Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:30.617125+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T11:51:03.350985+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27266,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2694,
+  "num_model_releases": 27278,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2695,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2610,
-      "num_unique_releases": 218,
+      "num_model_releases": 2622,
+      "num_unique_releases": 219,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26877,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2634,
+      "num_model_releases": 26889,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2635,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4878
+    "prequential-v1": 4890
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,9.709265945706708,1.3492761675353542,0.2703968117132483,0.9214000147209375,21.27275661922329,0.6693079246871507,11,2634,13,32.85069444444444,34.46455608113562,0.4330407329001142,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,8.998288732417032,1.2632108141598777,0.18175638158781546,0.9182751204677445,27.277348784206087,0.667369816728343,11,2625,13,32.85069444444444,31.683123652580885,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,9.030408766850597,1.3228053552223695,0.37660184902715294,1.103216636133452,17.340015700943663,0.6090119493092693,11,2620,13,32.85069444444444,31.36577758328137,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,9.325236901163498,1.3859527953668458,0.7484269265369349,1.0096530612788368,12.836432960213669,0.5781841316947822,11,1876,13,27.506944444444443,33.108263510029005,-0.011403711544330305,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,9.598661611008326,1.3408846459666421,0.2780745338566126,1.1344922551748975,15.29819244844201,0.5593819515932027,11,1765,13,29.506944444444443,34.390336368764984,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,8.5290471413197,1.3166411460719816,0.5246237596100198,0.9340638840601463,10.727969722086526,0.5234302043906536,11,1863,13,27.506944444444443,29.676210826346836,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,9.453300894166796,1.293947433970565,0.33899389703265137,1.0429058414917542,10.5610879412586,0.5120946839641748,11,2114,13,29.506944444444443,35.16778086730622,0.19999999999999996,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,9.583708185983754,1.4395064772011554,0.7393067035043038,1.1303958031163934,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,33.99635669614081,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,9.235787388587209,1.346491929630115,0.87141516895218,1.1448237985555496,3.3684226964596005,0.3801387729144839,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,34.19899349380125,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,9.650601285443331,1.5427478314494365,0.8333258586059401,1.1074206269347646,-11.317996547817602,0.3749233377934877,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,33.99409330741408,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,9.077167869321867,1.572005635804495,0.28146320429832106,0.9695540243272083,-23.527647167428572,0.37383869585938806,11,1890,13,27.506944444444443,30.25046512501876,0.04444444444444438,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,8.933748616603223,1.543392243749034,0.9376002457476567,1.2684930325409003,-16.539148967438454,0.36591616827007645,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,29.972137788032807,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,9.709265945706708,1.3492761675353542,0.2703968117132483,0.9214000147209375,21.27275661922329,0.6693079246871507,11,2635,13,32.85069444444444,34.46455608113562,0.4330407329001142,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,8.998288732417032,1.2632108141598777,0.18175638158781546,0.9182751204677445,27.277348784206087,0.667369816728343,11,2626,13,32.85069444444444,31.683123652580885,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,9.030408766850597,1.3228053552223695,0.37660184902715294,1.103216636133452,17.340015700943663,0.6090119493092693,11,2621,13,32.85069444444444,31.36577758328137,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,9.325236901163498,1.3859527953668458,0.7484269265369349,1.0096530612788368,12.836432960213669,0.5781841316947822,11,1877,13,27.506944444444443,33.108263510029005,-0.011403711544330305,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,9.598661611008326,1.3408846459666421,0.2780745338566126,1.1344922551748975,15.29819244844201,0.5593819515932027,11,1766,13,29.506944444444443,34.390336368764984,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,8.5290471413197,1.3166411460719816,0.5246237596100198,0.9340638840601463,10.727969722086526,0.5234302043906536,11,1864,13,27.506944444444443,29.676210826346836,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,9.453300894166796,1.293947433970565,0.33899389703265137,1.0429058414917542,10.5610879412586,0.5120947837587776,11,2115,13,29.506944444444443,35.16778086730622,0.19999999999999996,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,9.583708185983754,1.4395064772011554,0.7393067035043038,1.1303958031163934,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,33.99635669614081,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,9.235787388587209,1.346491929630115,0.87141516895218,1.1448237985555496,3.3684226964596005,0.38013873964961636,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,34.19899349380125,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,9.650601285443331,1.5427478314494365,0.8333258586059401,1.1074206269347646,-11.317996547817602,0.37492330452862005,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,33.99409330741408,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,9.077167869321867,1.572005635804495,0.28146320429832106,0.9695540243272083,-23.527647167428572,0.37383869585938806,11,1891,13,27.506944444444443,30.25046512501876,0.04444444444444438,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,8.933748616603223,1.543392243749034,0.9376002457476567,1.2684930325409003,-16.539148967438454,0.3659161350052089,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,29.972137788032807,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.080550820081557,0.8771809950683742,0.15955439190055257,0.640053496696569,23.365430440515112,0.6693079246871507,11,2634,13,32.85069444444444,136.2590494079472,0.04016429784605294,0.23076923076923078,13,2587,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.249349651791734,0.8813703093793682,0.19531470963058994,0.673697993267585,24.55445509135055,0.667369816728343,11,2625,13,32.85069444444444,138.98341015451342,0.03304790161116969,0.23076923076923078,13,2574,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.128717542666022,0.8766678418144461,0.13735818366035576,0.7186393434292924,23.939000932615997,0.6090119493092693,11,2620,13,32.85069444444444,136.51397492293978,0.04190973905362839,0.23076923076923078,13,2568,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.602349540185493,0.9257778574580227,0.2402433165999742,0.6713745964003215,22.11816806767198,0.5781841316947822,11,1876,13,27.506944444444443,155.8286056463675,0.07020588078291597,0.15384615384615385,13,1876,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.27910023274026,0.9731667486772779,0.19976123874663784,0.8184649261232971,18.623225095950026,0.5593819515932027,11,1765,13,29.506944444444443,163.18415659059318,0.04825163520798669,0.15384615384615385,13,1768,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.865091273936738,0.9721266016176623,0.2729959684665744,0.7194070825910759,11.495308138679151,0.5234302043906536,11,1863,13,27.506944444444443,156.7740143425172,0.028713480064759937,0.15384615384615385,13,1863,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.26033962190114,1.012745787442581,0.22186566820451595,0.7657625262617451,16.12298768528825,0.5120946839641748,11,2114,13,29.506944444444443,150.76947873125388,0.0057027189020970506,0.3076923076923077,13,2116,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.919749219557186,1.2341241549169861,0.364099252586681,0.9620747006327411,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,141.49898128551453,0.035719255876486,0.3076923076923077,13,2414,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.66051631320256,1.1407629801712331,0.33954811618495045,0.9168313239945658,3.094672664008195,0.3801387729144839,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,141.74060488280082,0.07806296414892261,0.15384615384615385,13,2407,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.587654226497024,1.144566005775692,0.34631848090502054,0.9016856202159814,1.8391678181446998,0.3749233377934877,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,141.74729798487004,0.0583086797482346,0.15384615384615385,13,2407,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.474276910182574,1.6611563714125053,0.2801181927352999,0.7016173772543687,-19.1499479355202,0.37383869585938806,11,1890,13,27.506944444444443,212.98944581998225,-0.005021219592730303,0.15384615384615385,13,1890,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.352767190919938,1.3998386146566753,0.31490192829217983,1.1105540248985522,-3.526347651985269,0.36591616827007645,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,146.60607294930261,0.07264379604035519,0.15384615384615385,13,2407,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.080550820081557,0.8771809950683742,0.15955439190055257,0.640053496696569,23.365430440515112,0.6693079246871507,11,2635,13,32.85069444444444,136.2590494079472,0.04016429784605294,0.23076923076923078,13,2588,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.249349651791734,0.8813703093793682,0.19531470963058994,0.673697993267585,24.55445509135055,0.667369816728343,11,2626,13,32.85069444444444,138.98341015451342,0.03304790161116969,0.23076923076923078,13,2575,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.128717542666022,0.8766678418144461,0.13735818366035576,0.7186393434292924,23.939000932615997,0.6090119493092693,11,2621,13,32.85069444444444,136.51397492293978,0.04190973905362839,0.23076923076923078,13,2569,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.602349540185493,0.9257778574580227,0.2402433165999742,0.6713745964003215,22.11816806767198,0.5781841316947822,11,1877,13,27.506944444444443,155.8286056463675,0.07020588078291597,0.15384615384615385,13,1877,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.27910023274026,0.9731667486772779,0.19976123874663784,0.8184649261232971,18.623225095950026,0.5593819515932027,11,1766,13,29.506944444444443,163.18415659059318,0.04825163520798669,0.15384615384615385,13,1769,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.865091273936738,0.9721266016176623,0.2729959684665744,0.7194070825910759,11.495308138679151,0.5234302043906536,11,1864,13,27.506944444444443,156.7740143425172,0.028713480064759937,0.15384615384615385,13,1864,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.26033962190114,1.0127457874421317,0.22186566820451595,0.7657625262616967,16.12298768528825,0.5120947837587776,11,2115,13,29.506944444444443,150.76947873125388,0.0057027189020970506,0.3076923076923077,13,2117,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.919749219557186,1.2341241549169861,0.364099252586681,0.9620747006327411,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,141.49898128551453,0.035719255876486,0.3076923076923077,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.66051631320256,1.1407629801712331,0.33954811618495045,0.9168313239945658,3.094672664008195,0.38013873964961636,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,141.74060488280082,0.07806296414892261,0.15384615384615385,13,2408,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.587654226497024,1.144566005775692,0.34631848090502054,0.9016856202159814,1.8391678181446998,0.37492330452862005,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,141.74729798487004,0.0583086797482346,0.15384615384615385,13,2408,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.474176857509825,1.661098363570164,0.2801181927352999,0.7016173760533432,-19.1499479355202,0.37383869585938806,11,1891,13,27.506944444444443,212.98912651612696,-0.005386871179243458,0.15384615384615385,13,1891,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.352767190919938,1.3998386146566753,0.31490192829217983,1.1105540248985522,-3.526347651985269,0.3659161350052089,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,146.60607294930261,0.07264379604035519,0.15384615384615385,13,2408,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,116.79578254085673,1.7538180367730363,0.1561835947376096,1.5364685549497619,16.616174228200574,0.6693079246871507,11,2634,13,32.85069444444444,449.1138383019073,-0.12373970836431428,0.08333333333333333,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,117.5861986314722,1.7381621351550016,0.1525415424991613,1.8161145630566908,18.48835897380593,0.667369816728343,11,2625,13,32.85069444444444,457.9848464628414,-0.17531342610925668,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.69394408108825,1.735236603942553,0.13800390901255497,1.6084903229232241,17.03010816693182,0.6090119493092693,11,2620,13,32.85069444444444,449.1402894390246,-0.16684328548722827,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.76508057640534,1.7707907333926196,0.21356313456216008,1.5344416046958074,14.404261062632235,0.5781841316947822,11,1876,13,27.506944444444443,449.24249582067984,-0.08924721777724194,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.94585311086946,1.8381915981002492,0.1815177189392226,1.7108942355868075,8.544910534425826,0.5593819515932027,11,1765,13,29.506944444444443,449.25415049656766,-0.11454203624154102,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.76914613805882,1.7890812523009512,0.20349116703601206,1.5809974238031863,5.727717042010958,0.5234302043906536,11,1863,13,27.506944444444443,449.35755351707616,-0.09284820571000575,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,116.89562907492257,1.7900910746252225,0.18892994571307078,1.5971367646977488,14.132376549898416,0.5120946839641748,11,2114,13,29.506944444444443,449.32760355112566,-0.18149661125563205,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.27989782303786,1.9696508236824906,0.2643483503271948,1.6109739709345459,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,449.50233340154824,-0.129192024169988,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,117.10341130452441,1.9340232999378746,0.27237406079468196,1.742555274976101,-3.054397333338395,0.3801387729144839,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,449.3988230194227,-0.05830619713898502,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,117.18132605849517,2.0109896695947174,0.26349698604309313,1.7368409291033258,-7.514832990246362,0.3749233377934877,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,449.34540022236087,0.03277228959167561,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,157.8808377694331,2.364339649700699,0.17300469100371424,1.4768664342251911,-25.992408667577248,0.37383869585938806,11,1890,13,27.506944444444443,576.4123477784234,-0.1014547552480899,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,118.37661376415402,2.284201180364344,0.3798180519565072,2.016936681759553,-13.173534803364594,0.36591616827007645,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,450.5468515822155,0.03544392874291982,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,116.79578254085673,1.7538180367730363,0.1561835947376096,1.5364685549497619,16.616174228200574,0.6693079246871507,11,2635,13,32.85069444444444,449.1138383019073,-0.12373970836431428,0.08333333333333333,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,117.5861986314722,1.7381621351550016,0.1525415424991613,1.8161145630566908,18.48835897380593,0.667369816728343,11,2626,13,32.85069444444444,457.9848464628414,-0.17531342610925668,0.0,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.69394408108825,1.735236603942553,0.13800390901255497,1.6084903229232241,17.03010816693182,0.6090119493092693,11,2621,13,32.85069444444444,449.1402894390246,-0.16684328548722827,0.0,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.76508057640534,1.7707907333926196,0.21356313456216008,1.5344416046958074,14.404261062632235,0.5781841316947822,11,1877,13,27.506944444444443,449.24249582067984,-0.08924721777724194,0.0,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.94585311086946,1.8381915981002492,0.1815177189392226,1.7108942355868075,8.544910534425826,0.5593819515932027,11,1766,13,29.506944444444443,449.25415049656766,-0.11454203624154102,0.08333333333333333,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.76914613805882,1.7890812523009512,0.20349116703601206,1.5809974238031863,5.727717042010958,0.5234302043906536,11,1864,13,27.506944444444443,449.35755351707616,-0.09284820571000575,0.0,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,116.89562907492257,1.7900910746226781,0.18892994571307078,1.5971367646974635,14.132376549898416,0.5120947837587776,11,2115,13,29.506944444444443,449.32760355112566,-0.18149661125563205,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.27989782303786,1.9696508236824906,0.2643483503271948,1.6109739709345459,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,449.50233340154824,-0.129192024169988,0.08333333333333333,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,117.10341130452441,1.9340232999378746,0.27237406079468196,1.742555274976101,-3.054397333338395,0.38013873964961636,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,449.3988230194227,-0.05830619713898502,0.08333333333333333,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,117.18132605849517,2.0109896695947174,0.26349698604309313,1.7368409291033258,-7.514832990246362,0.37492330452862005,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,449.34540022236087,0.03277228959167561,0.08333333333333333,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,157.88018645700674,2.3640327518291606,0.17300469100371424,1.4768664285625615,-25.992408667577248,0.37383869585938806,11,1891,13,27.506944444444443,576.4100752070394,-0.10366273906996545,0.0,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,118.37661376415402,2.284201180364344,0.3798180519565072,2.016936681759553,-13.173534803364594,0.3659161350052089,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,450.5468515822155,0.03544392874291982,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.080112792412056,0.8768466305453532,0.15954746053906435,0.6401039735968256,23.49573248061474,0.6693079246871507,11,2634,13,32.85069444444444,136.2587065099782,0.036744662647631245,0.23076923076923078,13,2639,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.24704706322068,0.8798504362219073,0.19507785504704886,0.6731477716233177,24.70774804158473,0.667369816728343,11,2625,13,32.85069444444444,138.981575316249,0.036180138570671073,0.23076923076923078,13,2625,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.128722171704908,0.8766572973677105,0.13732409998937486,0.718629610017136,23.922494826966194,0.6090119493092693,11,2620,13,32.85069444444444,136.51493421646944,0.037908337085504326,0.23076923076923078,13,2620,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.602349540185493,0.9257778574580227,0.2402433165999742,0.6713745964003215,22.11816806767198,0.5781841316947822,11,1876,13,27.506944444444443,155.8286056463675,0.07020588078291597,0.15384615384615385,13,1876,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.27910023274026,0.9731667486772779,0.19976123874663784,0.8184649261232971,18.623225095950026,0.5593819515932027,11,1765,13,29.506944444444443,163.18415659059318,0.04825163520798669,0.15384615384615385,13,1768,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.865091273936738,0.9721266016176623,0.2729959684665744,0.7194070825910759,11.495308138679151,0.5234302043906536,11,1863,13,27.506944444444443,156.7740143425172,0.028713480064759937,0.15384615384615385,13,1863,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.26033962190114,1.012745787442581,0.22186566820451595,0.7657625262617451,16.12298768528825,0.5120946839641748,11,2114,13,29.506944444444443,150.76947873125388,0.0057027189020970506,0.3076923076923077,13,2116,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.916238199927134,1.2333872817959273,0.36419375647294866,0.961930353567526,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,141.49623979906673,0.040124411436400345,0.3076923076923077,13,2474,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.663191031609625,1.1422227147197987,0.339908588815799,0.9183271101224462,3.003063021721989,0.3801387729144839,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,141.74154029286873,0.06652189012150125,0.15384615384615385,13,2465,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.598933213818036,1.1480165131747118,0.34682970928828905,0.9044778431198086,1.711487573849063,0.3749233377934877,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,141.7576439292143,0.042580714782066,0.15384615384615385,13,2465,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.474276910182574,1.6611563714125053,0.2801181927352999,0.7016173772543687,-19.1499479355202,0.37383869585938806,11,1890,13,27.506944444444443,212.98944581998225,-0.005021219592730303,0.15384615384615385,13,1890,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.391376231720688,1.4084224127930958,0.3158377870468887,1.117485547205315,-3.8074900336254367,0.36591616827007645,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444,146.63310914549132,0.050010508765892345,0.15384615384615385,13,2465,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.080112792412056,0.8768466305453532,0.15954746053906435,0.6401039735968256,23.49573248061474,0.6693079246871507,11,2635,13,32.85069444444444,136.2587065099782,0.036744662647631245,0.23076923076923078,13,2640,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.24704706322068,0.8798504362219073,0.19507785504704886,0.6731477716233177,24.70774804158473,0.667369816728343,11,2626,13,32.85069444444444,138.981575316249,0.036180138570671073,0.23076923076923078,13,2626,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.128722171704908,0.8766572973677105,0.13732409998937486,0.718629610017136,23.922494826966194,0.6090119493092693,11,2621,13,32.85069444444444,136.51493421646944,0.037908337085504326,0.23076923076923078,13,2621,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.602349540185493,0.9257778574580227,0.2402433165999742,0.6713745964003215,22.11816806767198,0.5781841316947822,11,1877,13,27.506944444444443,155.8286056463675,0.07020588078291597,0.15384615384615385,13,1877,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.27910023274026,0.9731667486772779,0.19976123874663784,0.8184649261232971,18.623225095950026,0.5593819515932027,11,1766,13,29.506944444444443,163.18415659059318,0.04825163520798669,0.15384615384615385,13,1769,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.865091273936738,0.9721266016176623,0.2729959684665744,0.7194070825910759,11.495308138679151,0.5234302043906536,11,1864,13,27.506944444444443,156.7740143425172,0.028713480064759937,0.15384615384615385,13,1864,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.26033962190114,1.0127457874421317,0.22186566820451595,0.7657625262616967,16.12298768528825,0.5120947837587776,11,2115,13,29.506944444444443,150.76947873125388,0.0057027189020970506,0.3076923076923077,13,2117,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.916238199927134,1.2333872817959273,0.36419375647294866,0.961930353567526,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,141.49623979906673,0.040124411436400345,0.3076923076923077,13,2475,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.663191031609625,1.1422227147197987,0.339908588815799,0.9183271101224462,3.003063021721989,0.38013873964961636,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,141.74154029286873,0.06652189012150125,0.15384615384615385,13,2466,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.598933213818036,1.1480165131747118,0.34682970928828905,0.9044778431198086,1.711487573849063,0.37492330452862005,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,141.7576439292143,0.042580714782066,0.15384615384615385,13,2466,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.474176857509825,1.661098363570164,0.2801181927352999,0.7016173760533432,-19.1499479355202,0.37383869585938806,11,1891,13,27.506944444444443,212.98912651612696,-0.005386871179243458,0.15384615384615385,13,1891,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.391376231720688,1.4084224127930958,0.3158377870468887,1.117485547205315,-3.8074900336254367,0.3659161350052089,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444,146.63310914549132,0.050010508765892345,0.15384615384615385,13,2466,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2634,13,32.85069444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2625,13,32.85069444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2620,13,32.85069444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1876,13,27.506944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1765,13,29.506944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1863,13,27.506944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120946839641748,11,2114,13,29.506944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3801387729144839,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749233377934877,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1890,13,27.506944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.36591616827007645,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2635,13,32.85069444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2626,13,32.85069444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2621,13,32.85069444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1877,13,27.506944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1766,13,29.506944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1864,13,27.506944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120947837587776,11,2115,13,29.506944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013873964961636,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37492330452862005,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1891,13,27.506944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.3659161350052089,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2634,13,32.85069444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2625,13,32.85069444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2620,13,32.85069444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1876,13,27.506944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1765,13,29.506944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1863,13,27.506944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120946839641748,11,2114,13,29.506944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3801387729144839,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749233377934877,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1890,13,27.506944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.36591616827007645,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2635,13,32.85069444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2626,13,32.85069444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2621,13,32.85069444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1877,13,27.506944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1766,13,29.506944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1864,13,27.506944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120947837587776,11,2115,13,29.506944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013873964961636,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37492330452862005,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1891,13,27.506944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.3659161350052089,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2634,13,32.85069444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2625,13,32.85069444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2620,13,32.85069444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1876,13,27.506944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1765,13,29.506944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1863,13,27.506944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120946839641748,11,2114,13,29.506944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3801387729144839,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749233377934877,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1890,13,27.506944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.36591616827007645,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2635,13,32.85069444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2626,13,32.85069444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2621,13,32.85069444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1877,13,27.506944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1766,13,29.506944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1864,13,27.506944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120947837587776,11,2115,13,29.506944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013873964961636,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37492330452862005,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1891,13,27.506944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.3659161350052089,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2634,13,32.85069444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2625,13,32.85069444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2620,13,32.85069444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1876,13,27.506944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1765,13,29.506944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1863,13,27.506944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120946839641748,11,2114,13,29.506944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3801387729144839,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749233377934877,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1890,13,27.506944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.36591616827007645,11,2465,13,32.85069444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2635,13,32.85069444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2626,13,32.85069444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2621,13,32.85069444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1877,13,27.506944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1766,13,29.506944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1864,13,27.506944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120947837587776,11,2115,13,29.506944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013873964961636,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37492330452862005,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1891,13,27.506944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.3659161350052089,11,2466,13,32.85069444444444

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -1128,6 +1128,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.284704
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.473367+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.91891714908327,1.38524985077901,0.1400150377562951,1.1178740750187393,-97.70810971478826,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.577307+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:05.998103+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7958987719971315,1.3401114774514586,0.15844647987125876,1.1159057526150045,-11.387790890487983,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.491372+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.151664+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:39.677808+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,18.664678573616253,4.320263715748872,0.016348933895958543,1.548247143139168,14.012886089686505,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:31.726624+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
@@ -3649,6 +3650,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.335946
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.521324+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.028907674441152578,0.17002257038744173,0.016090750669803276,0.14485105562150144,-13.025850263672556,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.612821+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.007378+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.3706757418436997,1.8359400158620922,0.22928442937972304,1.4289152170689974,-40.46340019840819,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.530249+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.185653+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:39.685964+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,22.4562955833601,4.7388074009565,0.04094846877840047,4.737305951718931,4.854976113221291,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:31.944550+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.2761158361191085e-09,,1.8284365387902989e-09,0.0,False
@@ -5988,6 +5990,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.388918
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.555361+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.008750872607250092,0.09354609883501339,0.007927105683152691,0.12788010761522306,43.53460075694197,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.623839+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.019201+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.9548272626856544,1.7189610998174607,0.20389294912965625,1.2192986788055602,-34.815376860878445,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.558501+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.213774+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:39.691534+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,23.198871538099226,4.81652068801736,0.04162901132772208,4.758542596322519,3.231039216403394,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.033583+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2825236033380433e-15,5.729331202974779e-08,,6.615357107869962e-08,0.0,False
@@ -8095,6 +8098,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.422016
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.604393+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,6.049153190282309,2.4595026306719636,0.2631950077204938,2.2002103266078623,-99.2672313715311,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.662854+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.026008+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.5176192059787035,1.2319168827395393,0.1419969056285997,0.9965594206571323,-3.0183461756610797,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.576716+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.243680+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:39.731363+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,13.517427273783555,3.6766054008804856,0.03231033133592553,3.259358717154308,29.34923971000098,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.115673+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
@@ -10319,6 +10323,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.481983
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.660497+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.14999653330247814,0.38729385910762665,0.03592652276698599,0.2867124787516084,-74.17034765091404,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.691124+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.034608+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2322663286346573,1.7978504744929866,0.23297511427690443,1.314976260002811,-38.69543107346518,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.604508+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.291560+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:39.821519+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,23.618200344760567,4.859856000414062,0.04194270312672934,4.348604230527524,2.3360402614658557,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.233421+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.853649481634599e-14,2.8024363474724275e-07,,3.428585403043706e-07,0.0,False
@@ -12436,6 +12441,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.512021
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.696313+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6141528102055355,0.7836790224355475,0.07627574071740746,0.6084805717203666,-93.00919605962672,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.726681+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.043283+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7238794546066046,0.8508110569372055,0.09159584647104721,0.6037954970293238,32.74273676646529,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.646463+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.320631+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:39.854955+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,24.73963888194447,4.97389574498144,0.043522254271943915,4.526324074074075,0.017007609076872807,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.277832+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
@@ -14903,6 +14909,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.533233
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.743371+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.022244649339142386,0.14914640236741342,0.014058877222046387,0.09651213823679422,0.0,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.778639+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.049211+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4286894124705671,1.195277964521461,0.1317672726025685,0.8933696153077744,0.0,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.665154+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.347261+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:39.914024+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,24.748055555555556,4.974741757675021,0.04305261428362787,4.081208333333332,0.0,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.374300+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -17235,6 +17242,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.561388
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.767453+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.012117645450421826,0.110080177372776,0.009650630511746779,0.09528370289051721,29.471267709967144,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.824868+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.764865615722245e-16,2.1828572137733254e-08,,2.0051752316999176e-08,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.055438+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.9593153281948816,1.7202660631992022,0.21428459013481505,1.4452221496339586,-34.88204790526713,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.727451+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.235744145367734e-16,2.058092355888757e-08,,1.994830014969325e-08,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.367533+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.420440777130916e-16,2.3281840084346676e-08,,1.9845734142873884e-08,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:39.963640+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,26.607592304674593,5.158254773145138,0.04359639392821398,4.851731359411169,-3.620900186440962,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.444556+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.499127272045647e-14,1.2243885298571066e-07,,5.2637780469425806e-08,0.0,False
@@ -19224,6 +19232,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.610833
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.804342+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.036195160875413294,0.19025025854230343,0.015212215020434244,0.13728089411051447,-23.871589392664106,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.896699+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.064427+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.5647113396900547,1.8880443161350993,0.24746043284423383,1.7942234326302926,-42.776897614220935,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.755539+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.381643+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.012515+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,22.334561880378413,4.725945607005905,0.04084225686126556,4.6164754062228734,5.126082207432968,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.468454+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -21311,6 +21320,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.671342
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.865348+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.021247047160823086,0.14576366886444334,0.010798345922517093,0.1530878098290287,2.2937761885653107,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.992784+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.107476+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.995361437461018,1.7307112519022398,0.20954530449498696,1.2670525252416303,-35.41261341999897,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.831783+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.426622+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.078005+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,22.422507883187023,4.735241058614337,0.04093234633860851,4.741978820800782,4.930082455742921,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.632486+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.906315718058047e-17,7.685255830522526e-09,,4.1680416340218845e-09,0.0,False
@@ -23936,6 +23946,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.633800
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.838605+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.038280851185062185,0.19565492885450697,0.026723363565856754,0.15634026040920718,-26.494951230526066,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:20.950230+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.098948+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.3801139740101833,1.8385086276681388,0.25057949551233283,1.5113088292887837,-40.58025260558088,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.800397+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.400138+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.031920+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,22.18195499172379,4.709772286610446,0.040468522106148555,4.808613622029623,5.467930933547448,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.555874+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -26267,6 +26278,7 @@ future-d669556dd24d6496d885,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.714988
 future-d7635aa6f54d159faa30,2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:34:21.886501+00:00,2026-07-25T07:03:25.882145+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.11213269486995898,0.33486220280879564,0.014701187672974235,0.16676138553003594,-66.89226227818878,True
 future-d78570c1d7398388a8fd,2026-07-22T00:55:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:29:21.030007+00:00,2026-07-22T13:27:40.672584+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1642443078624487,0.40527066000692513,,0.00028537521613156125,-100.0,False
 future-d79073b209998f8377f8,2026-07-15T00:40:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:49:06.123111+00:00,2026-07-15T11:03:53.049665+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.949388976072951,2.224722224474991,0.18155596154607506,1.166822660886175,-55.200004595841314,True
+future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:48:18.865825+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.185109368875087e-09,4.6745153426586235e-05,,0.0002693690941029032,-100.0,False
 future-d9b78c2309e07ba374de,2026-07-26T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T08:27:09.458471+00:00,2026-07-28T07:11:42.467430+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.16568498701667053,0.4070442076933051,,0.00028385525106892196,-100.0,False
 future-da1a861bb4761905daf9,2026-07-24T02:55:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.115504+00:00,2026-07-23T21:03:49.777990+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,26.36644290252366,5.134826472484115,0.0442941941895078,4.1093847345422825,-3.1662001893560565,True
 future-da4109ea3c605213c0b2,2026-07-24T06:15:00+00:00,2026-07-24T11:00:32.785468+00:00,2026-07-24T03:25:40.245644+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.09096404375843381,0.30160245980169625,,0.0002830988124458846,-100.0,False

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.0362152760069723,1.262423873577054,0.014552071672063134,1.1868424577746526,9.843546699249252,2.1311933119335262,0.03426791277258567,0.45576305814672124,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1.261258169978178,0.011845155708664644,1.1042089583487873,17.948263157190265,1.7646338660449543,-0.19354838709677422,0.12407814866273859,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.599290482127929,0.37824235095358666,,0.1544500791188132,-31.504900545250898,73.40107786129059,0.050530265813845114,0.25648544573562637,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579215158443582e-30,0.0,1.0,529,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,530,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0372713909008047,1.338757409135639,0.08841225349586862,1.0471920629078773,-60.04842052552159,1.3229518329527603,-0.019704433497536943,0.8964941426465813,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2069314908540048,0.9683597005873055,1.296421741333044,0.7582291070114519,5.258874464344955,1.184210721997817,0.07457641093292658,0.02952535717376509,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.642668390401371,1.4291009307200675,0.13270701076162955,1.0415510999232118,11.598549038427826,3.392521142542207,-0.1264049636081613,0.001329558197059011,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6143995287769621,1.071300987091728,0.010071875487467954,0.7740100183681309,28.269168769570957,1.8996766414901718,0.07963854998066172,0.06675174172264038,239,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5811863431219901,1.070465590173461,0.008323636090464196,0.7421514556711728,36.369387975458395,2.0049073075588306,-0.056818181818181816,0.6556644947844955,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.355475341293883,0.3268894646817857,,0.14289066593732003,-30.757167929547776,72.0247193582162,0.027708607448669223,0.524061189722645,278,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,3.855372757620197e-34,0.0,1.0,549,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,3.855366361861796e-34,0.0,1.0,550,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3050272072682975,0.4849039749140633,0.03248454496927092,0.32868574233935344,8.695873973865309,0.3637335838792971,-0.31034482758620685,0.018062900791912716,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.329635522526068,0.4799541882107777,0.4810543741945129,0.3150902524855434,50.33679493777386,0.42253082016698157,-0.04154613466334165,0.21404591802754136,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7878878465279024,1.4852479970989572,0.14705923915976638,1.011446662698795,7.310432629870646,3.4682706268177075,-0.04823123382226057,0.20901726293026146,305,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.362298354965361,0.9909761575747218,0.009923004027311918,0.7225046602720693,22.098942754948517,1.5901846812739464,0.22059578839239857,1.3058414977773687e-05,177,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.4539380254510008,1.0171651602630492,0.00866256496836003,0.694295550748422,34.41538763559448,1.694495727681373,0.021645021645021644,0.9112884689584274,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.146502745234649,0.4640976066858245,,0.18604790924853376,-23.861185256686266,86.3541339936029,0.03029709936667467,0.5625943134386098,193,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,2.0219694369740005e-28,0.0,1.0,407,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.0219633337904967e-28,0.0,1.0,408,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34961672975930663,0.4845803469664631,0.032520078799656196,0.33712340507115973,9.025963259699289,0.562485284793877,-0.19999999999999996,0.16991295403230983,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3238711239886847,1.043890134553759,1.0896861427621487,0.7011390389636161,7.083048395618678,1.0721505210435176,-0.005774728416237851,0.888594311104474,265,0.9962264150943396,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.03953168262844,1.5710343092675203,0.141761317242231,1.076496996460011,-1.470514477674246,3.759265705643246,-0.05991001657589392,0.2009202188216379,206,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9075679929227745,1.145442111216266,0.010256259035586813,0.8906745144318265,25.146768370353712,2.4464040828135194,0.09780176385415296,0.033282650029523714,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1374607267848178,0.00888958251994685,0.8481888404956763,28.643717831168455,1.8085885112023488,-0.08064516129032259,0.5301288877477086,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.617600416355447,0.3739731138723638,,0.15104386616672305,-31.472826314209396,73.45602985426834,0.08546965378688869,0.05493922834975637,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579215158443582e-30,0.0,1.0,529,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,530,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.660516480548183,2.225192339732908,0.15960783427971914,1.7959679609048849,-79.30302139698192,3.8990647260009315,0.04926108374384236,0.7239201974279224,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9115180287397153,1.2292916063045047,1.4692498426421519,0.9342177570708378,-11.971992251944604,1.7087566629926263,0.09213835181597065,0.007168384324553285,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.881789957840418,1.9109640170752107,0.18518516691996545,1.5271174639958454,-5.23247461085654,12.036677544706185,-0.17752058226941891,6.56305097443338e-06,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3295117699164924,0.9463672571957353,0.008979569418290392,0.6916022759067921,31.367009216121886,1.6457491264731656,0.30895702405890946,9.19671354596505e-10,178,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646346,1.1324285203842483,0.009484338375650726,0.7276927535003623,29.188919734540207,1.7734024748178494,-0.05627705627705628,0.7380940484479567,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.100111110781787,0.4617357328719779,,0.18368681787145308,-23.853740960014722,86.13883715818955,0.018059507115598637,0.7294743344364885,194,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794953e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,2.527454167238121e-29,0.0,1.0,408,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.4882488390014493e-07,,4.1005151803435385e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,409,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34076853139363533,0.5028654711604497,0.033287769041700964,0.34285408620963204,0.43057480191444525,0.537567756002475,-0.22666666666666663,0.11834341824544657,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7137639106573812,0.7116403793829745,0.8600182435382184,0.471350931760347,38.115967592246065,0.8615465383189976,0.055639097744360905,0.17628942102234724,266,0.9962406015037594,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8688820113851063,1.5111751889082585,0.13646046897449665,1.0171774950623418,3.351648045559635,3.682506707780746,-0.029914529914529916,0.5210370980061367,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.5860092119298526,1.3524317650973139,0.012695978639958229,1.1287234384232716,13.44189853303409,2.9101870458041974,-0.008907024702733534,0.8462843005375524,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685407324,1.5349643437810503,0.012371122286664232,1.296030600804856,16.041236998369264,3.389151169692855,-0.07661290322580645,0.5514777322263826,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.651444394367591,0.3942358553298985,,0.17000338480769658,-32.24454151259877,73.46485498501788,0.07508817098522107,0.09175886015298916,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579215158443582e-30,0.0,1.0,529,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,530,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9273834742740605,0.9016982078707616,0.0646813713439241,0.6859666764987647,-41.28342324098874,0.6697749727682409,-0.05911330049261083,0.668894784416208,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4077582591491242,1.0308604571005533,2.0681274757774957,0.9015068275107776,5.458150940708723,1.571985041159229,0.15688942023608307,4.681405812895527e-06,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.631290839671014,1.4332679737031624,0.1416579623183331,1.136058821099961,11.467976619468008,3.4999974058427137,-0.09375969454719008,0.017282926369031178,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.089598510340393,1.5130203684629175,0.01368788348877177,1.0266377342367037,0.0,3.1864761823370666,-0.013119213724715898,0.775230539748514,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.8803486777886427,1.7234750348172114,0.013600798681791645,1.164368059063642,0.0,3.667874600129973,-0.14919354838709678,0.23861491183733988,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.929177288891505,0.43497828753725376,,0.17006187003650167,0.0,73.36311789158563,0.14987256094647441,0.0020535464139517976,268,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,530,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,531,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.39647700304925787,0.54863940015927,0.03875276121808834,0.39106434616248387,0.0,0.46887968125286356,-0.33004926108374383,0.011674730549296571,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.478706230789006,1.0684674548323743,2.0989330754451956,0.939329577800972,0.0,1.5963788368636125,0.17542684510546389,2.954514362409001e-07,383,0.9973890339425587,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0722296870151973,1.5799632771322931,0.1496278236622612,1.2811680142484092,0.0,3.592425197906636,-0.08979736935655883,0.02237146474422088,291,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.3336485273273295,1.369431003685908,0.014044892580721374,1.0786778106569637,3.2340679926689107,2.076739478282935,-0.15919790758500432,0.00125367582101177,186,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,1.2510649627495094,0.010353811211048837,0.9577149267740791,30.624585259542382,2.167796226333411,-0.18153846153846157,0.20324965345831253,26,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.67219911042576,0.41365605923879284,,0.1605996742886166,-30.648143148874812,79.1089593562742,0.03125118663375735,0.4804678699598274,230,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.655194966152942e-16,2.3272667916425674e-08,,2.0238126447486764e-08,0.0,1.414648151074119e-15,0.0,1.0,460,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.649946699730414e-16,2.3266828991572013e-08,,2.0237497757036018e-08,0.0,1.413154581737483e-15,0.0,1.0,461,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30978891113489,0.4956772566894806,0.032907023608860275,0.3317689795201935,4.092702437208488,0.35559679062311217,-0.37321937321937326,0.005900024667731748,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.387781854649249,0.5396562605570473,0.7867773914727759,0.35647089830739165,53.23095821098155,0.38422844568853265,0.03708112612344504,0.3239142659462769,318,0.9968553459119497,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2068171045462255,1.6532986732723154,0.1655272503431966,1.2290265733958226,-4.921866333476962,3.5435589077989937,-0.10013831258644537,0.02061141750810736,241,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2930236112584452,0.9657022022428051,0.009435472005290437,0.8282398664622558,23.80957906614156,1.5209091532305468,0.3034135726914185,3.4484971719621384e-09,172,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6897087292640207,1.09329092186638,0.009593598242124572,0.9474734246730254,30.125180199747636,1.9526605060946605,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.392098836959779,0.478461687333304,,0.1896166153561543,-24.156735467553865,87.50177677258473,0.02407922534475048,0.651359253682845,188,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,393,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,394,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3627555185114735,0.5107314929902669,0.03355682757102783,0.40559998873585773,3.718126622914688,0.4992065903079575,-0.23692307692307696,0.09409290644202206,26,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9678632004653139,0.8695569315673842,0.9208796807236558,0.7082103355250312,22.710379666449732,0.8970525139453738,-0.01787301273822455,0.6756701072586739,247,0.9959514170040485,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9011134846321696,1.5120083014532495,0.13555876677473053,1.2778606486823414,3.1923669104628583,3.778619118493681,-0.03663758921490881,0.4468997368955213,195,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6044818304930752,1.0733341728449766,0.00990931419231941,0.775637081946561,29.88973440242601,1.785704738010647,0.053788604049214615,0.21659803303164127,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1.1566950827938647,0.009098519179104744,0.7859114801504872,36.06338252137382,2.012663949949189,-0.12096774193548389,0.34153305448057775,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.373748585076873,0.32333913287656235,,0.14293217516575366,-30.756548717209284,72.15834119159638,-0.0062267238781133355,0.8864109501814693,277,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,548,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041847e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,3.855372757620197e-34,0.0,1.0,549,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30586831742315235,0.47141716039930026,0.031164447064971287,0.32074666933005247,14.706159785040878,0.396419029203761,-0.2807881773399014,0.03315447182691332,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3905877560745735,0.5218767380304975,0.6156232299650357,0.3482478007323594,45.77245857499929,0.5007019588202541,-0.031221945137157113,0.3504317430000361,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.895640253536301,1.508523968610139,0.15034840281052772,1.0296021159005146,5.895901483706021,3.5968041503855366,-0.14234844537085287,0.00021426313539021729,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6453848622382907,1.0815005714223864,0.010579608774461076,0.8863769556681769,27.825438502908504,1.8968683448062447,0.06908388757777299,0.1132848151615818,237,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9235807995648218,1.1939238211789782,0.009107697376501547,0.9818204856365835,32.13359881394004,2.2268271082902564,-0.09469696969696971,0.45073160411871227,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.373687751904842,0.32416241870393114,,0.132900335476447,-28.4755306770127,72.1571562110114,0.10630055599391303,0.01591796775773983,277,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,548,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,549,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3226648021472211,0.5095483963504411,0.038763270367779684,0.36433482943848794,2.8079116098780363,0.3359394049576855,-0.3546798029556649,0.006518643400864223,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.1748447505989599,0.3570826426347553,0.2645802184154796,0.2751624521712984,62.59470640040418,0.20437352664173922,-0.007644739990680219,0.8196036509621707,399,0.9974937343358395,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6979168803211935,1.4701912573594818,0.13257353065894328,1.2309706076189924,7.170898002036358,3.2637140341094106,-0.09727288518325516,0.011424178344997619,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.28199037431467,1.2978356815478813,0.009816543535913609,0.7495388373219307,-0.37220432904438483,2.8635395035234312,0.19739292364990688,8.348137639666252e-05,180,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645,1.521645487561495,0.010709564244259217,0.8709867168219557,0.5322464158750319,3.5235205419444062,-0.012987012987012986,0.9555771436337516,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.682607758878929,1.4965809610154772,,0.18725679989482535,-87.82084644535625,86.45179411298851,0.011270765450563538,0.8154749882228374,194,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5345814326855253,0.3099826467831503,,0.00027578617351296764,-100.0,3.4835869307751084,-0.008527640288627826,0.7964793203588798,410,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5332807479397821,0.30922854483271306,,0.00027577056018106966,-100.0,3.4794359806563215,-0.013281110913298913,0.687565001877498,411,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6842781864590141,0.6536203898554627,0.031095016624194248,0.31729018203317877,-12.202435017151721,1.3289735382530592,-0.20666666666666664,0.1556965251316672,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3080360130107949,0.9612096722414085,0.760863845563944,0.3931554778434868,16.54661710730222,2.477856423167654,0.013360165464810779,0.7444670098080898,268,0.996268656716418,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,55.893550851653345,5.115976641537143,0.13016770391072469,1.02535087139364,-65.06094840341238,181.27678755574658,-0.08206880838459785,0.07686337263333232,210,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:28.380240+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T11:51:01.242291+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20469.033114569014,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,19948.300149693263,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,28427372.051938724,273764928.7222004,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,2185.109368875087,269369094.10290027,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,2,2,1.0
 5min,TiRex,0.9999999992768215,37.386477644085666,4,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,0.9999999995353399,48.54032089423749,5,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,1.000000016685016,143.07004204428716,6,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,1.000000016685016,141.23846455055912,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,ETS,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moving-Average,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,9,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459941977067664,1793.003683022749,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0000000464887806,640.3529395628324,11,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,13127.89523374756,16551.17763315533,12,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,115.09682272871179,16417.759028869546,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,ETS,0.031050189676036656,0.14314006512872457,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,TiRex,0.03752870175584104,0.1890409737883149,2,1,1,1.0
 6min,Toto-1.0,0.1764663682104904,0.19336747018849068,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -17,11 +17,11 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
 12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
-12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,126.93533488146547,7,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,125.31031332415189,7,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
 12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,4237.852331205321,13221.925902727693,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,37.15472509723535,13115.34430841393,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
 24,Chronos-2,0.44339020476480734,0.7317235055481944,1,7,7,1.0
 24,TiRex,0.4145108564513675,0.7448889973096526,2,7,7,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 Overall,TiRex,0.45013556406182037,1.2302079956988832,1,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-2,0.574193754403255,1.3623863537716332,2,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,0.7163584983911029,1.6414292753622266,3,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,0.7163584983911029,1.6381787774035723,3,13,13,1.0
 Overall,ARIMA,0.9863758157442558,2.2908591784015755,4,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.6064018327666338,2.0886252191004973,5,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.617431836617034,2.4314437573546845,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,4.890039821098318,3.1043238049032773,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,2.3595576101515,3.1004607834534075,7,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.5796655895945683,0.7951208817963624,8,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moving-Average,1.1078311296961936,2.7770391876762908,10,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.693864+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:59.020680+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.766224+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.491372+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.556243+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:58.891909+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.808388+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.530249+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.622150+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:58.962096+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.828227+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.558501+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/dataset_eval_intervals.json

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@
     "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count": 300,
     "nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M": 3600,
     "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level": 360,
+    "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height": 600,
     "nws_ksfo_observations_temperature": 3600,
     "open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5": 3600,
     "open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m": 3600,

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.681225+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:59.015506+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.844374+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.576716+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.612288+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:58.947487+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.859751+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
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results/moving_average/online_meta.json

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results/online_status.json

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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
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@@ -262,7 +262,5 @@
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-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-28T11:37:23.237965+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

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+    "2026-07-27T06:05:00",
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+    "2026-07-27T06:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T06:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T06:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T06:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T06:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T06:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:45:00",
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+    "2026-07-27T07:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:05:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-26 22:10",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-27 08:05",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T11:47:36.889002Z",
+  "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/prequential/tasks/future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b.json

@@ -253,7 +253,23 @@
   "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T11:03:31.633308Z",
   "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
   "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
+    "ARIMA",
+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.881388+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-27T07:10:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00"
 }

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.698698+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:59.022958+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.900015+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.665154+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,1.7146618576285901,1.7036796647957921,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,0.020980244564637807,0.0447908708599997,nan,nan,0.0023348485467426807,nan,nan,0.14484558869581707,nan,nan,0.15634843776673438,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,0.858888894304227,0.8588889156033064,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.9267625878854988,nan,nan,0.26111115829921516,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,3.958110682141509e-16,5.262230591698207e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.9895001086055534e-08,nan,nan,2.0469033114569025e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,4.235744145367734e-16,4.91746086967125e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.058092355888757e-08,nan,nan,1.994830014969325e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.03484559946889979,0.03321369616330838,nan,nan,0.011084302742851744,nan,nan,0.18666976045653402,nan,nan,0.12063016584599584,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.6303455365915963,0.6415315188316835,nan,nan,0.20164099259077636,nan,nan,0.7939430310743941,nan,nan,0.5322883490144747,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,1.1304476064801594,1.1426146677625701,nan,nan,0.09235264505865295,nan,nan,1.0632250968069552,nan,nan,0.731749763844937,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.659275+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:59.002535+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.912961+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.727451+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.640403+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:58.974158+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.925770+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.755539+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.593960+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:58.916256+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.940907+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.800397+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.575206+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:58.907600+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.963548+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.831783+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,4.477663680103048,2.0890328378534413,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.2672091214948127,0.013642740360327242,nan,nan,0.0013252159503021489,nan,nan,1.1257038338278913,nan,nan,0.23265817163880909,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,5.2070346013833895,0.8589046526404256,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.2818927672840785,nan,nan,0.2612795014341266,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,2.84273720519387e-05,4.994603979409429e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.005331732556302754,nan,nan,0.00027376492872227336,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,2.185109368875087e-09,3.869493722554619e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,4.6745153426586235e-05,nan,nan,0.0002693690941029032,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.14581109734968253,0.10758165581966579,nan,nan,0.019716449559055497,nan,nan,0.3818521930664829,nan,nan,0.23765672698505458,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.1922552346989179,0.0207485223913015,nan,nan,0.038427529676929355,nan,nan,0.43846919469777795,nan,nan,0.18244261514970586,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,2.554995718742831,1.2207269681748636,nan,nan,0.10368288653439751,nan,nan,1.5984353971126988,nan,nan,0.8256745826761597,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:36:26.603838+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:50:58.918935+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-3d9077a45ae67704fac7",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:20:57.935331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:33:45.993882+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:18.865825+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T08:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]