Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:11.682755+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:36.799206+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 26828,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2657,
+  "num_model_releases": 26840,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2658,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2544,
-      "num_unique_releases": 212,
+      "num_model_releases": 2556,
+      "num_unique_releases": 213,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26481,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2606,
+      "num_model_releases": 26493,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2607,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4440
+    "prequential-v1": 4452
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,1547.813481771736,12.240862820755208,0.22178631027386483,12.111582480265943,-12.039129985498235,0.6705983046530325,11,2597,13,31.847916666666666,3757.8055949738464,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,1559.9521611151163,12.226461626200926,0.26103162002821184,16.049922020185658,-6.889001125289239,0.668151909980351,11,2588,13,31.847916666666666,3884.1515503430423,-0.44444444444444436,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,1547.7650364933795,12.185322128806854,0.14723127267799227,12.116018716094517,-4.4577160297439296,0.6086666053358422,11,2583,13,31.847916666666666,3757.750604974836,-0.22222222222222218,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,1547.9176623910867,12.290761473944807,0.3559844403788633,12.155114104812414,-18.502243721360696,0.5799053298333193,11,1839,13,26.504166666666666,3758.166672538849,-0.11111111111111105,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,1547.9129722135144,12.271824592217982,0.2507084631040376,12.195590886148851,-4.850348298509722,0.5594697080729556,11,1729,13,28.504166666666666,3758.1276598252284,-0.22222222222222218,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,1548.0100540832957,12.322555461747639,0.3336095322032448,12.183000827224685,-16.871876780819512,0.5232283792445839,11,1826,13,26.504166666666666,3758.249958582215,-0.11111111111111105,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,1547.8548023020292,12.268993725625094,0.30505679430379073,12.138138542708848,-13.866175700506634,0.5086951904503899,11,2078,13,28.504166666666666,3757.868067660498,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,1548.0388134367333,12.353780309228172,0.3207810820799116,10.810078649647377,0.0,0.3858370481738511,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,3758.0664525467787,-0.22222222222222218,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,1548.0743137784643,12.429171665975762,0.34993301508016605,12.28911818060323,-33.396810308689844,0.37745162585720315,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,3758.084947162075,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,1549.0891589785128,12.815032982096046,0.4780838086109092,12.895474318600707,-45.94652024757806,0.3754391583211399,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,3756.4521283043664,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,2095.4236428166537,14.694283069454682,0.2816576088162993,10.903842360701796,-35.33852684804045,0.3752049856854265,11,1853,13,26.504166666666666,4454.302536772134,0.11111111111111116,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,1550.3815801127218,13.136518408989243,0.8399474176340962,12.910291926155365,-49.45737397151659,0.36735175439190504,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,3758.1880163290693,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,1547.813481771736,12.240862820755208,0.22178631027386483,12.111582480265943,-12.039129985498235,0.6705983046530325,11,2598,13,31.847916666666666,3757.8055949738464,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,1559.9521611151163,12.226461626200926,0.26103162002821184,16.049922020185658,-6.889001125289239,0.668151909980351,11,2589,13,31.847916666666666,3884.1515503430423,-0.44444444444444436,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,1547.7650364933795,12.185322128806854,0.14723127267799227,12.116018716094517,-4.4577160297439296,0.6086666053358422,11,2584,13,31.847916666666666,3757.750604974836,-0.22222222222222218,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,1547.9176623910867,12.290761473944807,0.3559844403788633,12.155114104812414,-18.502243721360696,0.5799053298333193,11,1840,13,26.504166666666666,3758.166672538849,-0.11111111111111105,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,1547.9129722135144,12.271824592217982,0.2507084631040376,12.195590886148851,-4.850348298509722,0.5594697080729556,11,1730,13,28.504166666666666,3758.1276598252284,-0.22222222222222218,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,1548.0100540832957,12.322555461747639,0.3336095322032448,12.183000827224685,-16.871876780819512,0.5232283792445839,11,1827,13,26.504166666666666,3758.249958582215,-0.11111111111111105,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,1547.8548023020292,12.268993725625094,0.30505679430379073,12.138138542708848,-13.866175700506634,0.5086952975922598,11,2079,13,28.504166666666666,3757.868067660498,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,1548.0388134367333,12.353780309228172,0.3207810820799116,10.810078649647377,0.0,0.3858370481738511,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,3758.0664525467787,-0.22222222222222218,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,1548.0743137784643,12.429171665975762,0.34993301508016605,12.28911818060323,-33.396810308689844,0.3774515901432464,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,3758.084947162075,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,1549.0891589785128,12.815032982096046,0.4780838086109092,12.895474318600707,-45.94652024757806,0.3754391226071832,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,3756.4521283043664,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,2095.4236428166537,14.694283069454682,0.2816576088162993,10.903842360701796,-35.33852684804045,0.3752049856854265,11,1854,13,26.504166666666666,4454.302536772134,0.11111111111111116,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,1550.3815801127218,13.136518408989243,0.8399474176340962,12.910291926155365,-49.45737397151659,0.3673517186779484,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,3758.1880163290693,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.237783323081628,0.8730111685927363,0.15934988191492738,0.6379169185855164,23.555752312887936,0.6705983046530325,11,2597,13,31.847916666666666,137.52687135546427,0.04511548164855687,0.07692307692307693,13,2553,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.41801911178551,0.8779987111238408,0.19586980868525528,0.6722276461908566,24.611899578268265,0.668151909980351,11,2588,13,31.847916666666666,140.2831353714672,0.0453347177406257,0.15384615384615385,13,2540,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.296655996966898,0.8740313476267491,0.13657694884172855,0.7162356087490104,23.87124159566361,0.6086666053358422,11,2583,13,31.847916666666666,137.79011090735298,0.049546057795867036,0.23076923076923078,13,2534,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.910990984685185,0.9249744474870482,0.23874405425772355,0.6701105175207662,22.115295871506365,0.5799053298333193,11,1839,13,26.504166666666666,157.74719039395399,0.07964251925095608,0.15384615384615385,13,1839,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.656192502841762,0.9728186166926085,0.20001069052278042,0.8175801412207797,18.499763240199837,0.5594697080729556,11,1729,13,28.504166666666666,165.394401219826,0.05631771381944701,0.15384615384615385,13,1732,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.19137318604676,0.9719501193290442,0.2732029709403973,0.7191424958247243,11.43575751188509,0.5232283792445839,11,1826,13,26.504166666666666,158.72882954941147,0.04036303481567304,0.15384615384615385,13,1826,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.53390445856818,1.0144127654638444,0.22238008796041103,0.7658638014235893,15.76734288746677,0.5086951904503899,11,2078,13,28.504166666666666,152.4968826145831,0.01823835139255875,0.3076923076923077,13,2080,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.11999124049859,1.2331173689155683,0.3634186558689441,0.9609740636281436,0.0,0.3858370481738511,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,142.90745748477175,0.04932089435459187,0.23076923076923078,13,2387,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.86577275683631,1.1413962329966574,0.3383637977380708,0.9172097761960951,2.8879267409241014,0.37745162585720315,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,143.16123385538813,0.07673108919062158,0.15384615384615385,13,2379,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.786927005506396,1.1424244286330247,0.3463477956665799,0.9001049446840848,1.90656299904002,0.3754391583211399,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,143.16815484869795,0.04947558282198478,0.15384615384615385,13,2379,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.962722547109472,1.6640827657230952,0.2822416275985668,0.7012651362036215,-18.902230813299585,0.3752049856854265,11,1853,13,26.504166666666666,215.45790009289794,-0.0014778514709294216,0.15384615384615385,13,1853,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.5778266067239,1.4014468127057578,0.3133458514598897,1.1108135834446111,-3.586212595394545,0.36735175439190504,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,148.0449371913136,0.05629850202007712,0.15384615384615385,13,2379,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.237783323081628,0.8730111685927363,0.15934988191492738,0.6379169185855164,23.555752312887936,0.6705983046530325,11,2598,13,31.847916666666666,137.52687135546427,0.04511548164855687,0.07692307692307693,13,2554,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.41801911178551,0.8779987111238408,0.19586980868525528,0.6722276461908566,24.611899578268265,0.668151909980351,11,2589,13,31.847916666666666,140.2831353714672,0.0453347177406257,0.15384615384615385,13,2541,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.296655996966898,0.8740313476267491,0.13657694884172855,0.7162356087490104,23.87124159566361,0.6086666053358422,11,2584,13,31.847916666666666,137.79011090735298,0.049546057795867036,0.23076923076923078,13,2535,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.910990984685185,0.9249744474870482,0.23874405425772355,0.6701105175207662,22.115295871506365,0.5799053298333193,11,1840,13,26.504166666666666,157.74719039395399,0.07964251925095608,0.15384615384615385,13,1840,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.656192502841762,0.9728186166926085,0.20001069052278042,0.8175801412207797,18.499763240199837,0.5594697080729556,11,1730,13,28.504166666666666,165.394401219826,0.05631771381944701,0.15384615384615385,13,1733,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.19137318604676,0.9719501193290442,0.2732029709403973,0.7191424958247243,11.43575751188509,0.5232283792445839,11,1827,13,26.504166666666666,158.72882954941147,0.04036303481567304,0.15384615384615385,13,1827,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.53390445856818,1.0144127654638675,0.22238008796041103,0.765863801423522,15.76734288746677,0.5086952975922598,11,2079,13,28.504166666666666,152.4968826145831,0.01823835139255875,0.3076923076923077,13,2081,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.11999124049859,1.2331173689155683,0.3634186558689441,0.9609740636281436,0.0,0.3858370481738511,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,142.90745748477175,0.04932089435459187,0.23076923076923078,13,2388,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.86577275683631,1.1413962329966574,0.3383637977380708,0.9172097761960951,2.8879267409241014,0.3774515901432464,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,143.16123385538813,0.07673108919062158,0.15384615384615385,13,2380,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.786927005506396,1.1424244286330247,0.3463477956665799,0.9001049446840848,1.90656299904002,0.3754391226071832,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,143.16815484869795,0.04947558282198478,0.15384615384615385,13,2380,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.96261470076833,1.6640229847504362,0.2822416275985668,0.701265138647257,-18.902230813299585,0.3752049856854265,11,1854,13,26.504166666666666,215.45756015000202,-0.0016326251312303779,0.15384615384615385,13,1854,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.5778266067239,1.4014468127057578,0.3133458514598897,1.1108135834446111,-3.586212595394545,0.3673517186779484,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,148.0449371913136,0.05629850202007712,0.15384615384615385,13,2380,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,121.80676471850961,1.844324278535506,0.1487653581530203,1.6309424822940735,14.325104749302811,0.6705983046530325,11,2597,13,31.847916666666666,458.66585108053863,-0.1550874635286741,0.08333333333333333,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,122.64289439791189,1.82163645660167,0.15176617937051678,1.9084195266498194,16.221487360471937,0.668151909980351,11,2588,13,31.847916666666666,467.56684415948143,-0.2235786934508755,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,121.71652327489217,1.809365934822339,0.11974850114333815,1.685732182283953,15.921489797548041,0.6086666053358422,11,2583,13,31.847916666666666,458.4546805558024,-0.1524283143636539,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,121.80729197678754,1.8522255394719265,0.17054385576475445,1.604294040768554,13.073355591748049,0.5799053298333193,11,1839,13,26.504166666666666,458.5393557745796,-0.11331670736425875,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,121.99490114162683,1.9286179125259537,0.17351844695515095,1.7979174969524936,7.379192996920017,0.5594697080729556,11,1729,13,28.504166666666666,458.70786866229986,-0.12343246809041256,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,121.92523790203893,1.8931374782792139,0.18131139820153222,1.6782987666386662,3.5656477917499694,0.5232283792445839,11,1826,13,26.504166666666666,458.73982225196056,-0.06926519909225531,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,122.0499362500346,1.903831430825421,0.18000723277545044,1.6978913304651104,10.8437491958548,0.5086951904503899,11,2078,13,28.504166666666666,458.688007629742,-0.10580282467974986,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,122.36787924044881,2.0583937781171526,0.23124687082206022,1.6897584581767247,0.0,0.3858370481738511,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,458.83608229869145,-0.1469226425727133,0.08333333333333333,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,122.20226236685868,2.023852579418984,0.22752975137659298,1.828389009196319,-3.7318738821419966,0.37745162585720315,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,458.7706740236679,0.05013433634666436,0.08333333333333333,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,122.25359357320794,2.0890738288314217,0.22317209000312815,1.8206464028690685,-7.404099190271574,0.3754391583211399,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,458.75734468184294,0.029970717951209067,0.08333333333333333,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,164.79156546931821,2.4620017896640607,0.1667097064898333,1.5654756205289244,-25.324725411498818,0.3752049856854265,11,1853,13,26.504166666666666,588.1711086409476,-0.10119950789241812,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,123.29027684575652,2.345264066749322,0.3307690768862757,2.0732248683945644,-12.513758602223712,0.36735175439190504,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,460.10288837507596,0.018919688739347733,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,121.80676471850961,1.844324278535506,0.1487653581530203,1.6309424822940735,14.325104749302811,0.6705983046530325,11,2598,13,31.847916666666666,458.66585108053863,-0.1550874635286741,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,122.64289439791189,1.82163645660167,0.15176617937051678,1.9084195266498194,16.221487360471937,0.668151909980351,11,2589,13,31.847916666666666,467.56684415948143,-0.2235786934508755,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,121.71652327489217,1.809365934822339,0.11974850114333815,1.685732182283953,15.921489797548041,0.6086666053358422,11,2584,13,31.847916666666666,458.4546805558024,-0.1524283143636539,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,121.80729197678754,1.8522255394719265,0.17054385576475445,1.604294040768554,13.073355591748049,0.5799053298333193,11,1840,13,26.504166666666666,458.5393557745796,-0.11331670736425875,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,121.99490114162683,1.9286179125259537,0.17351844695515095,1.7979174969524936,7.379192996920017,0.5594697080729556,11,1730,13,28.504166666666666,458.70786866229986,-0.12343246809041256,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,121.92523790203893,1.8931374782792139,0.18131139820153222,1.6782987666386662,3.5656477917499694,0.5232283792445839,11,1827,13,26.504166666666666,458.73982225196056,-0.06926519909225531,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,122.0499362500346,1.9038314308254292,0.18000723277545044,1.69789133046472,10.8437491958548,0.5086952975922598,11,2079,13,28.504166666666666,458.688007629742,-0.10580282467974986,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,122.36787924044881,2.0583937781171526,0.23124687082206022,1.6897584581767247,0.0,0.3858370481738511,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,458.83608229869145,-0.1469226425727133,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,122.20226236685868,2.023852579418984,0.22752975137659298,1.828389009196319,-3.7318738821419966,0.3774515901432464,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,458.7706740236679,0.05013433634666436,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,122.25359357320794,2.0890738288314217,0.22317209000312815,1.8206464028690685,-7.404099190271574,0.3754391226071832,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,458.75734468184294,0.029970717951209067,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,164.79080109486367,2.4616634845906016,0.1667097064898333,1.5654756333191726,-25.324725411498818,0.3752049856854265,11,1854,13,26.504166666666666,588.1686718169964,-0.10221217511575566,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,123.29027684575652,2.345264066749322,0.3307690768862757,2.0732248683945644,-12.513758602223712,0.3673517186779484,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,460.10288837507596,0.018919688739347733,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.23957269273286,0.8743697982884655,0.1594721711136503,0.6387574519375873,23.53698618370266,0.6705983046530325,11,2597,13,31.847916666666666,137.52799851740298,0.041671632050861114,0.15384615384615385,13,2602,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.418298695581777,0.8784630138954171,0.19591910133596835,0.6725037848433295,24.6859972716704,0.668151909980351,11,2588,13,31.847916666666666,140.28258424617587,0.043080561640315755,0.15384615384615385,13,2588,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.298829570136006,0.8755355939251295,0.13673153051479084,0.7172633673516866,23.847516174730238,0.6086666053358422,11,2583,13,31.847916666666666,137.79234340147605,0.04594566958009421,0.23076923076923078,13,2583,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.910990984685185,0.9249744474870482,0.23874405425772355,0.6701105175207662,22.115295871506365,0.5799053298333193,11,1839,13,26.504166666666666,157.74719039395399,0.07964251925095608,0.15384615384615385,13,1839,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.656192502841762,0.9728186166926085,0.20001069052278042,0.8175801412207797,18.499763240199837,0.5594697080729556,11,1729,13,28.504166666666666,165.394401219826,0.05631771381944701,0.15384615384615385,13,1732,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.19137318604676,0.9719501193290442,0.2732029709403973,0.7191424958247243,11.43575751188509,0.5232283792445839,11,1826,13,26.504166666666666,158.72882954941147,0.04036303481567304,0.15384615384615385,13,1826,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.53390445856818,1.0144127654638444,0.22238008796041103,0.7658638014235893,15.76734288746677,0.5086951904503899,11,2078,13,28.504166666666666,152.4968826145831,0.01823835139255875,0.3076923076923077,13,2080,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.121579071550595,1.23433069402772,0.3635508398412354,0.9619995564093079,0.0,0.3858370481738511,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,142.90776124392536,0.04619012199305028,0.23076923076923078,13,2438,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.869395895751891,1.1430587641610641,0.33855960732682017,0.9186351083741997,2.890635588803218,0.37745162585720315,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,143.1639318419081,0.07219146926638625,0.15384615384615385,13,2429,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.79670221228908,1.1452904735777578,0.34662868940299557,0.9023740258712051,1.8752643283544759,0.3754391583211399,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,143.18040684433456,0.043902808018440743,0.15384615384615385,13,2429,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.962722547109472,1.6640827657230952,0.2822416275985668,0.7012651362036215,-18.902230813299585,0.3752049856854265,11,1853,13,26.504166666666666,215.45790009289794,-0.0014778514709294216,0.15384615384615385,13,1853,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.604779315828146,1.4062108112001974,0.31385708370369625,1.1148372141199347,-3.6126984840085443,0.36735175439190504,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666,148.0752320816184,0.05025611136230184,0.15384615384615385,13,2429,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.23957269273286,0.8743697982884655,0.1594721711136503,0.6387574519375873,23.53698618370266,0.6705983046530325,11,2598,13,31.847916666666666,137.52799851740298,0.041671632050861114,0.15384615384615385,13,2603,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.418298695581777,0.8784630138954171,0.19591910133596835,0.6725037848433295,24.6859972716704,0.668151909980351,11,2589,13,31.847916666666666,140.28258424617587,0.043080561640315755,0.15384615384615385,13,2589,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.298829570136006,0.8755355939251295,0.13673153051479084,0.7172633673516866,23.847516174730238,0.6086666053358422,11,2584,13,31.847916666666666,137.79234340147605,0.04594566958009421,0.23076923076923078,13,2584,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.910990984685185,0.9249744474870482,0.23874405425772355,0.6701105175207662,22.115295871506365,0.5799053298333193,11,1840,13,26.504166666666666,157.74719039395399,0.07964251925095608,0.15384615384615385,13,1840,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.656192502841762,0.9728186166926085,0.20001069052278042,0.8175801412207797,18.499763240199837,0.5594697080729556,11,1730,13,28.504166666666666,165.394401219826,0.05631771381944701,0.15384615384615385,13,1733,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.19137318604676,0.9719501193290442,0.2732029709403973,0.7191424958247243,11.43575751188509,0.5232283792445839,11,1827,13,26.504166666666666,158.72882954941147,0.04036303481567304,0.15384615384615385,13,1827,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.53390445856818,1.0144127654638675,0.22238008796041103,0.765863801423522,15.76734288746677,0.5086952975922598,11,2079,13,28.504166666666666,152.4968826145831,0.01823835139255875,0.3076923076923077,13,2081,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.121579071550595,1.23433069402772,0.3635508398412354,0.9619995564093079,0.0,0.3858370481738511,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,142.90776124392536,0.04619012199305028,0.23076923076923078,13,2439,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.869395895751891,1.1430587641610641,0.33855960732682017,0.9186351083741997,2.890635588803218,0.3774515901432464,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,143.1639318419081,0.07219146926638625,0.15384615384615385,13,2430,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.79670221228908,1.1452904735777578,0.34662868940299557,0.9023740258712051,1.8752643283544759,0.3754391226071832,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,143.18040684433456,0.043902808018440743,0.15384615384615385,13,2430,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.96261470076833,1.6640229847504362,0.2822416275985668,0.701265138647257,-18.902230813299585,0.3752049856854265,11,1854,13,26.504166666666666,215.45756015000202,-0.0016326251312303779,0.15384615384615385,13,1854,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.604779315828146,1.4062108112001974,0.31385708370369625,1.1148372141199347,-3.6126984840085443,0.3673517186779484,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666,148.0752320816184,0.05025611136230184,0.15384615384615385,13,2430,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705983046530325,11,2597,13,31.847916666666666
-2,Official,TiRex,0.668151909980351,11,2588,13,31.847916666666666
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086666053358422,11,2583,13,31.847916666666666
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5799053298333193,11,1839,13,26.504166666666666
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5594697080729556,11,1729,13,28.504166666666666
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232283792445839,11,1826,13,26.504166666666666
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086951904503899,11,2078,13,28.504166666666666
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858370481738511,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37745162585720315,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3754391583211399,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3752049856854265,11,1853,13,26.504166666666666
-12,Official,ETS,0.36735175439190504,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705983046530325,11,2598,13,31.847916666666666
+2,Official,TiRex,0.668151909980351,11,2589,13,31.847916666666666
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086666053358422,11,2584,13,31.847916666666666
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5799053298333193,11,1840,13,26.504166666666666
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5594697080729556,11,1730,13,28.504166666666666
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232283792445839,11,1827,13,26.504166666666666
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086952975922598,11,2079,13,28.504166666666666
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858370481738511,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3774515901432464,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3754391226071832,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3752049856854265,11,1854,13,26.504166666666666
+12,Official,ETS,0.3673517186779484,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705983046530325,11,2597,13,31.847916666666666
-2,Official,TiRex,0.668151909980351,11,2588,13,31.847916666666666
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086666053358422,11,2583,13,31.847916666666666
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5799053298333193,11,1839,13,26.504166666666666
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5594697080729556,11,1729,13,28.504166666666666
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232283792445839,11,1826,13,26.504166666666666
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086951904503899,11,2078,13,28.504166666666666
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858370481738511,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37745162585720315,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3754391583211399,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3752049856854265,11,1853,13,26.504166666666666
-12,Official,ETS,0.36735175439190504,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705983046530325,11,2598,13,31.847916666666666
+2,Official,TiRex,0.668151909980351,11,2589,13,31.847916666666666
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086666053358422,11,2584,13,31.847916666666666
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5799053298333193,11,1840,13,26.504166666666666
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5594697080729556,11,1730,13,28.504166666666666
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232283792445839,11,1827,13,26.504166666666666
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086952975922598,11,2079,13,28.504166666666666
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858370481738511,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3774515901432464,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3754391226071832,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3752049856854265,11,1854,13,26.504166666666666
+12,Official,ETS,0.3673517186779484,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705983046530325,11,2597,13,31.847916666666666
-2,Official,TiRex,0.668151909980351,11,2588,13,31.847916666666666
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086666053358422,11,2583,13,31.847916666666666
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5799053298333193,11,1839,13,26.504166666666666
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5594697080729556,11,1729,13,28.504166666666666
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232283792445839,11,1826,13,26.504166666666666
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086951904503899,11,2078,13,28.504166666666666
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858370481738511,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37745162585720315,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3754391583211399,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3752049856854265,11,1853,13,26.504166666666666
-12,Official,ETS,0.36735175439190504,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705983046530325,11,2598,13,31.847916666666666
+2,Official,TiRex,0.668151909980351,11,2589,13,31.847916666666666
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086666053358422,11,2584,13,31.847916666666666
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5799053298333193,11,1840,13,26.504166666666666
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5594697080729556,11,1730,13,28.504166666666666
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232283792445839,11,1827,13,26.504166666666666
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086952975922598,11,2079,13,28.504166666666666
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858370481738511,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3774515901432464,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3754391226071832,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3752049856854265,11,1854,13,26.504166666666666
+12,Official,ETS,0.3673517186779484,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705983046530325,11,2597,13,31.847916666666666
-2,Official,TiRex,0.668151909980351,11,2588,13,31.847916666666666
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086666053358422,11,2583,13,31.847916666666666
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5799053298333193,11,1839,13,26.504166666666666
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5594697080729556,11,1729,13,28.504166666666666
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232283792445839,11,1826,13,26.504166666666666
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086951904503899,11,2078,13,28.504166666666666
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858370481738511,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37745162585720315,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3754391583211399,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3752049856854265,11,1853,13,26.504166666666666
-12,Official,ETS,0.36735175439190504,11,2429,13,31.847916666666666
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705983046530325,11,2598,13,31.847916666666666
+2,Official,TiRex,0.668151909980351,11,2589,13,31.847916666666666
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086666053358422,11,2584,13,31.847916666666666
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5799053298333193,11,1840,13,26.504166666666666
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5594697080729556,11,1730,13,28.504166666666666
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232283792445839,11,1827,13,26.504166666666666
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086952975922598,11,2079,13,28.504166666666666
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858370481738511,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3774515901432464,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3754391226071832,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3752049856854265,11,1854,13,26.504166666666666
+12,Official,ETS,0.3673517186779484,11,2430,13,31.847916666666666

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -895,6 +895,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.236264
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:46.878824+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.41946174479404164,0.6476586637991046,0.12900699451842257,0.4079750467727446,48.058468210158495,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.108551+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.805291+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.338675+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:06.934066+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.45706129472824225,0.6760630848731812,0.0709042554233114,0.5180426101271601,-46.80476648674755,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.179877+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.074847+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.5533449473995729,1.246332599027873,0.007617779048041608,0.408376850713864,-11.267600289885534,True
@@ -3380,6 +3381,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.241546
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.011206+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5379146607901764,0.7334266567218404,0.17100514688638668,0.48842848142456025,37.94187516426595,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.114647+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.811511+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.2761158361191085e-09,,1.8284365387902989e-09,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.403510+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:06.979802+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1615207646193432,0.4018964600731676,0.039306603273815084,0.27376678620415634,1.2523850137506776,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.253888+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.2761158361191085e-09,,1.8284365387902989e-09,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.081061+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7451756641357644,0.8632355785854545,0.011992899324124798,0.470808834313843,24.87842749582528,True
@@ -5682,6 +5684,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.249026
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.063143+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4719500001866968,0.6869861717579887,0.16251649824562261,0.5467640302159011,43.39833173767814,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.119503+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.817742+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2825236033380433e-15,5.729331202974779e-08,,6.615357107869962e-08,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.431356+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:06.994639+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.17025615543719397,0.41262107972956735,0.0408125423319906,0.2868495755554309,-1.3809812915106425,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.300883+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2825236033380433e-15,5.729331202974779e-08,,6.615357107869962e-08,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.086952+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.06862906855050872,0.2619715033176485,0.003397453815703873,0.26403630876796247,89.50122308501588,True
@@ -7752,6 +7755,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.255391
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.088195+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5074210195682924,0.7123349068860043,0.15015696096508702,0.46371001820340635,40.41170985393116,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.124849+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.826226+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.485910+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.018191+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.36850853025704,2.892837453134386,0.32238085929367655,2.4526931570249015,-96.11869352351204,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.329730+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.099359+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.1249375414614005,1.0606307281336895,0.014544243424165,0.8513437997343267,4.814779413233832,True
@@ -9940,6 +9944,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.260886
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.115486+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.48766161312112155,0.6983277261580851,0.162052999946506,0.4355676130387057,42.059902151967556,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.129590+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.831826+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.853649481634599e-14,2.8024363474724275e-07,,3.428585403043706e-07,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.513270+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.046211+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.17643482089144027,0.42004145139669286,0.04038369536654553,0.28537952990688914,-3.1623853464878704,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.370763+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.853649481634599e-14,2.8024363474724275e-07,,3.428585403043706e-07,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.105422+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.19475792666528904,0.4413138641208647,0.005682141306575585,0.30411435494243944,72.82766335596553,True
@@ -12020,6 +12025,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.268794
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.141794+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5225479238151219,0.7228747635760443,0.15401827526707126,0.46633423707628346,39.17554762048612,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.134249+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.837582+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.537190+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.068058+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4433921755982233,0.6658769973487771,0.06470880661679483,0.4629350978403084,-45.610809056797954,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.412945+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.111089+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.3685648386938727,1.1698567599043366,0.016547297554010756,0.9744052711906073,-4.979129624278005,True
@@ -14451,6 +14457,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.274053
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.194568+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.1956686926031785,1.0934663655564256,0.24653455434324129,0.8509378537691182,0.0,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.140708+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.843580+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.563377+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.097805+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.16561779896385845,0.40696166768365105,0.04282464219269857,0.30518653333313284,0.0,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.438722+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.125374+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2387435731628236,1.1129885772831738,0.016857532908217426,0.7129797183915976,0.0,True
@@ -16747,6 +16754,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.280331
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.243475+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.3632078483298184,0.602667278296921,0.1391300563020866,0.44954022702632723,53.40133246056338,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.145405+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.763237905488187e-16,2.1824843425528135e-08,,2.0176064304863224e-08,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.849310+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2901537907739342e-15,5.735986219277322e-08,,5.148208780488183e-08,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.592176+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.524252808761388e-16,2.350372908446953e-08,,1.984904148533962e-08,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.142677+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1214909556575604,0.3485555273662439,0.036349162023730446,0.24799327488285972,15.36938271509123,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.477980+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.292083076232015e-15,6.551399145397886e-08,,5.4135894464217785e-08,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.134642+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.11087755408371491,0.3329828134960045,0.0038939316914854125,0.22052174794609486,83.56908441261223,True
@@ -18700,6 +18708,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.287143
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.295737+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0318417053002116,1.0157960943517215,0.21346065016808555,0.8543722734226411,7.354712573156409,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.149943+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.860139+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.620577+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.172797+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.15720314258980053,0.39648851507931543,0.0360371528327544,0.30419367003074066,2.6066017692533245,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.515181+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.140302+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4298863891977236,1.195778570303768,0.0164086142311215,1.0280513919208816,-7.162582251224666,True
@@ -20751,6 +20760,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.299548
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.398745+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5500816371095917,0.7416748863953745,0.16152377391214015,0.5062535723576331,36.98049168347033,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.158510+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.870811+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.906315718058047e-17,7.685255830522526e-09,,4.1680416340218845e-09,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.692134+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.207875+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.15430869339815959,0.3928214523141011,0.03884651743557952,0.2688362946572729,3.5349074977204014,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.597299+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.906315718058047e-17,7.685255830522526e-09,,4.1680416340218845e-09,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.151492+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8336563801195399,0.913047852042564,0.012851777380109475,0.4925696637105638,19.54676713834546,True
@@ -23339,6 +23349,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.293245
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.346826+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.38719216672060525,0.6222476731339421,0.12667853599052806,0.5343002043100503,51.07691690777947,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.154090+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.865432+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.664071+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.191349+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.16543656206931906,0.4067389360134078,0.04388123414869979,0.3035493851227495,0.05474535782394516,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.569849+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.145745+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0119996646288427,1.005981940508299,0.01216596716815608,0.8493372590813686,10.074179263399781,True
@@ -25633,6 +25644,7 @@ future-4d0da42f511122567220,2026-07-15T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-16T01:39:35.305867
 future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.475914+00:00,2026-07-16T15:11:28.864022+00:00,prequential-v1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4142901830281045,1.1892393295834547,0.20031694349088386,0.5963496809202035,-8.376434298109276,True
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.164425+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.250587232552161,2.291415988543364,,0.000278871728938965,-100.00000000000001,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.876457+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0700966078879521,1.0344547394100683,,0.0002773883441705039,-100.0,False
+future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.720158+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,6.0017383593976236e-05,0.007747088717316734,,0.0002882348257079077,-100.00000000000001,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.251088+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.41704085864316737,0.6457870071805156,0.03676252649616849,0.2561231249298517,-43.151003833342365,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.641820+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2617752040188335,1.8060385389074158,,0.00027909050587721947,-100.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.158078+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.9760469416248085,1.4057193680193811,0.015060241658669767,0.6451170222257809,-22.93472514213546,True

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.0327893525066814,1.2605427150765056,0.014573089004276608,1.18695990650739,9.833312187229014,2.135623055384809,0.029852068385153693,0.5168645252289956,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9550408452691226,1.2800735826671796,0.01173517790567427,1.1046317964975265,18.661052514691725,1.7735615937688818,-0.15268817204301077,0.23631302243273788,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.721952938399284,0.3819234536854709,,0.156400988064818,-32.10613910485235,74.09536034089662,0.06121850666787452,0.17275161482794876,262,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,1.579261802814937e-30,0.0,1.0,513,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5792588023412814e-30,0.0,1.0,514,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.00800771168344,1.326207173091614,0.08803981956779476,1.0373703489917312,-58.91418609438252,1.337635791274214,-0.0582010582010582,0.6809893725769562,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2027941747100277,0.967418322280209,1.2758665416539192,0.7572602994674381,5.458924023571559,1.1766438451498902,0.07548407812260055,0.028225160001043314,379,0.9973614775725593,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.65294799607064,1.4315386368513643,0.13299285505398112,1.0435655225030136,11.587935014997065,3.4020614598496324,-0.1251451800232288,0.0015432395829971354,288,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6117911614426588,1.0695205059362567,0.0100853202752571,0.7741205692557181,28.297622329135265,1.9032512469123888,0.07619756763464879,0.08004919532870981,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6159840041421918,1.0825470904741978,0.008336713219130282,0.7508053857926016,37.704191635511265,2.0268378330384347,-0.04435483870967743,0.7355269048685159,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.468729875512288,0.3294817164997807,,0.14455126012102984,-31.353237075649346,72.67875763347044,0.037375234583272,0.3938831143314372,273,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653316e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,5.783227754208363e-34,0.0,1.0,532,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653316e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.3561627471096828e-09,0.0,5.783217537348905e-34,0.0,1.0,533,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.31386553452913357,0.49365396547686097,0.03316284099899457,0.3340700346147921,7.7242988117908125,0.36722327176548764,-0.2698412698412698,0.04526042867191174,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3292213684176995,0.4794405430284587,0.4788820790457298,0.3150554185399946,50.5722768921193,0.42335808277862125,-0.04474513626064833,0.18248902347617235,398,0.9974874371859297,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7966371402662333,1.4870889440150759,0.14732287656869858,1.0119245685767808,7.3451939497548375,3.4780132800436627,-0.04627018993290058,0.22967749500451973,303,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3584243203182118,0.988483236863085,0.009942212435786146,0.7224566765181408,22.070587855613862,1.5938837288700864,0.21714285714285714,1.881443456264298e-05,176,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.514274095721929,1.045016033103337,0.00882882127302277,0.7080324611428557,34.210414178101914,1.711954252866411,0.08571428571428572,0.6119326072720337,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.385192239366246,0.47151103887395757,,0.189607101498417,-24.527698823118495,87.48833292538022,0.044631197152054485,0.3991298153570063,188,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.022077988977693e-28,0.0,1.0,390,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,391,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.36167861848650795,0.49455381778420476,0.03324062618358011,0.34431122124691615,7.986333567886383,0.5712708639071138,-0.15217391304347824,0.31275941965675913,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3307511900733309,1.0466734612677182,1.0781998827846424,0.7028542459133291,7.3077253433019855,1.0750437742935728,0.0010236611973911264,0.9803029356406604,262,0.9961832061068703,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.053613210335367,1.5740409901649883,0.1420962223726639,1.076715875931189,-1.4618279657308582,3.7749827798629183,-0.056022408963585436,0.23403653585070838,204,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9062516623742625,1.1438753096316576,0.010268748918062547,0.8908433451688154,25.155142045278517,2.4520911506313183,0.09442820444680665,0.04033071077808843,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7107012982517127,1.1483285083687549,0.008882762360871122,0.8552155797525732,30.22823273347917,1.8284059104472181,-0.07096774193548387,0.5894657747826293,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.74061229885252,0.3775727426141484,,0.15292977104875666,-32.07345277016502,74.1508092508044,0.09736982536868065,0.03011670137839116,262,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,1.579261802814937e-30,0.0,1.0,513,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5792588023412814e-30,0.0,1.0,514,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.613843832129828,2.2103929965175833,0.15925778436226873,1.7831247026080472,-78.68678586194969,3.9623550410667945,0.021164021164021163,0.8910537311539605,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9087364876415058,1.2294813094344743,1.4465656338823611,0.9340138957920082,-11.896977157932165,1.7015725451063541,0.09488908433499463,0.00581206323635433,379,0.9973614775725593,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.914336815515836,1.9166666616982038,0.1857866722252127,1.5320167983424575,-5.356131856590157,12.072152060601677,-0.174312814556717,1.0314733826614046e-05,288,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3232765046928578,0.9429012137153884,0.008985526216856703,0.6909521591212189,31.450343129388866,1.6483081134835997,0.30585516178736516,1.5042570947855893e-09,177,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8354760648986028,1.1643877410331194,0.009684535709908557,0.7442716890088968,29.00418007830918,1.782282812514967,0.0,1.0,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.336310405006168,0.4690474520671041,,0.18716470873506072,-24.52004654745157,87.26429799210821,0.0321370715395456,0.5429255320560067,189,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,391,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794953e-13,3.4882488390014493e-07,,4.1005151803435385e-07,0.0,2.527580910671103e-29,0.0,1.0,392,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3509776387406318,0.5109250784451215,0.03392609341986356,0.3477349888235497,-0.05414682793155379,0.5466483923340161,-0.18840579710144928,0.20826013369971733,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7060769241952278,0.7072379720538087,0.8286674532196859,0.4683897173620283,39.01937643641005,0.8576148819298502,0.04629495254404551,0.2632598770099731,263,0.9961977186311787,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8839447414764523,1.5147284313383567,0.1368150397798965,1.0182122980375516,3.30688144305577,3.697180078734069,-0.02552687662798958,0.5857967156807884,206,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.58996163721899,1.3525809286874553,0.012714891921704255,1.1294004024235538,13.346509924484181,2.916466841762542,-0.010452653025068653,0.8204538033826462,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.373280996608969,1.5776522602429985,0.012692017698245876,1.3334994557395554,13.950577941966152,3.392855649239463,-0.01935483870967742,0.8927741234198122,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.775102154307643,0.39822217761094897,,0.17225111256455794,-32.85989535783664,74.15966159156493,0.0869695243651807,0.05275927822753272,262,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,1.579261802814937e-30,0.0,1.0,513,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5792588023412814e-30,0.0,1.0,514,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9267203694223873,0.8991660074328582,0.06467944417529574,0.6832483151466748,-40.002513417357854,0.6820557529393131,-0.08465608465608465,0.5436680154547943,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4146935974536352,1.0338474801045372,2.05112611092433,0.9040836779419791,5.3598091960547665,1.57581487992708,0.16538928676131842,1.5284994176531803e-06,379,0.9973614775725593,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.641936920000907,1.43598949445101,0.14201598143307684,1.1386555805782304,11.427083585001,3.5097633559415824,-0.09117305458768875,0.021062433647622465,288,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.0875686328022915,1.5113130029658803,0.013694684671326944,1.0259475715085344,0.0,3.1938439251829718,-0.01621047036938613,0.7248514480489768,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.9918747246231088,1.7580898361214292,0.013825662536288684,1.1867655360975984,0.0,3.672936481441398,-0.10537634408602152,0.4177776715741393,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.057644960293842,0.4397240246675344,,0.17230216752913097,0.0,74.05382877924427,0.15037900373358068,0.0021965985288120897,263,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,514,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,515,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.40627897829962645,0.5557580915813806,0.03936781341215746,0.39697760149965017,0.0,0.4744483125303129,-0.32275132275132273,0.015817547817850365,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4855291188121826,1.071112587327652,2.0885485988287824,0.9417532852731555,0.0,1.6004515257545118,0.18325232606582414,9.618033168339042e-08,380,0.9973684210526316,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0826574916726184,1.5823011904921385,0.14988712375981117,1.2831013683089256,0.0,3.6025406469524044,-0.08732218377547096,0.02687646090158783,289,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.336994401217593,1.369755220053674,0.014086341211751853,1.0807232549657544,3.064994291773444,2.0818723983489034,-0.16075205640423032,0.0011583516212729406,185,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.282577534418037,1.295313737711657,0.010674569717621086,0.989769586334373,28.22757281538543,2.165692860705266,-0.11333333333333331,0.4448568614280395,25,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.838875140016092,0.41872947013983824,,0.16300806092909595,-31.32921298921202,79.97895827335437,0.045396825396825394,0.3108018351600368,225,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.741072622647167e-16,2.337096763145077e-08,,2.0238822751289974e-08,0.0,1.439131146929364e-15,0.0,1.0,444,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.738338196099109e-16,2.3371265971794633e-08,,2.0237946838332782e-08,0.0,1.4375211633014146e-15,0.0,1.0,445,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3203636538912743,0.5075621603907478,0.03374635902678368,0.3398897031230472,2.1126852444260993,0.3582833926162125,-0.32923076923076927,0.018371833944896835,26,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3889334068247246,0.5404692710194866,0.786659285290951,0.3570406250054914,53.287644128905,0.385046976032722,0.040461025174400964,0.2840730654515441,315,0.9968253968253968,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2235140865816265,1.657928142301456,0.16609168269499214,1.2328491033933322,-5.05786319137345,3.5536655227491045,-0.08849899792553004,0.041618348921948926,239,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2897977163308854,0.9634070131740257,0.009453686521010893,0.8285803803384979,23.76185492880625,1.5247855829526096,0.30085999312005507,5.171577126565932e-09,171,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.765817913634766,1.1309547489096634,0.009888979337353616,0.9801839284965714,28.490130166116533,1.967159871775054,0.028571428571428574,0.881507823538253,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.644020177501615,0.48647013467890005,,0.1933705605318908,-24.839129124829398,88.68203541398043,0.038271907492270274,0.4778893253351838,183,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,377,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,378,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.37327560506336477,0.5185272509173141,0.03418482796535857,0.4123620485360199,3.465213338537667,0.506550571327117,-0.22666666666666663,0.11834341824544657,25,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9738968901589243,0.8724066889225358,0.9221871798183304,0.7107335290300193,22.785335789816966,0.900259410781127,-0.011738514470754908,0.784789742150339,244,0.9959016393442623,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.906469554217599,1.5117074800952373,0.13547714605067326,1.2769955562462616,3.4555143400753376,3.797755119910379,-0.04350172711571675,0.36899008204048345,193,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6024420656404206,1.071766136199834,0.009922092182442147,0.7756962587154468,29.91063601582313,1.7892061365665708,0.05070442680397625,0.24511763187869207,237,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.867204911520663,1.1762075955597422,0.009183553445265521,0.7970810087245487,36.72233479048648,2.026569696352826,-0.0881720430107527,0.4997789602585872,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.487755401477548,0.3258756514864504,,0.14459963746791732,-31.352605863171934,72.81598868653435,0.001977481215826084,0.964101991554655,272,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,531,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.42969816419557e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,532,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.314654479190125,0.4795158295005707,0.03176581536708863,0.32560657639009666,14.010661877279322,0.4008075938825765,-0.24867724867724864,0.06578881844114484,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3930608949976051,0.5239423177203615,0.6185610546285029,0.3493516574821373,45.595343712705386,0.5017723668626823,-0.0239864308950293,0.47482633604761837,398,0.9974874371859297,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9054691505289254,1.5106463491616744,0.15066261387033303,1.0302566859469637,5.911826113041671,3.606691854417125,-0.14224109480539482,0.00022739599642497004,302,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6415734687925971,1.0793235991283914,0.010593342108474227,0.8861496866583475,27.881784803619308,1.89999029967701,0.06512802019473493,0.13629766785971706,236,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9785579687021722,1.2185666465217302,0.009193383581546519,1.0035637754191074,31.749193213903137,2.2395890934282816,-0.040322580645161296,0.759913005591003,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.487693450044111,0.32671407135502384,,0.13438338903439273,-29.02738204672225,72.81479283996615,0.11740022082895056,0.008266523557156355,272,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,531,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,532,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3316526222970445,0.518229795992016,0.03950672721610399,0.3705334650768531,1.9642900030307806,0.3385346334229588,-0.31746031746031744,0.0177084999871278,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.1744067230616709,0.3561792058967257,0.2561062659534957,0.2746828490909965,62.83740592221253,0.20499230894741285,-0.014550568980948727,0.665438036422784,396,0.9974747474747475,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7081200802053518,1.472805122504672,0.1327931792392439,1.233632593135565,7.1260217681167815,3.2721113120803,-0.09458537765945745,0.014231477618090932,302,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.269724042997417,1.2932646570136275,0.009829127666112472,0.7493222343920141,-0.29848063666583374,2.8668257073572234,0.1915134015441592,0.00014113314543141658,179,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.265937562692351,1.540499852025,0.011156437972542885,0.9013833142116295,2.935846945828291,3.584032706887164,-0.009523809523809525,0.9762195060555436,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.948625723158404,1.5074312737071036,,0.19082228393669265,-87.63885046180316,87.57760188268789,0.0070921985815602835,0.8847821344287348,189,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5524489766787387,0.3139452306758099,,0.00027571852515364555,-100.0,3.5569462296313215,-0.013293867165186685,0.6939074524744712,393,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5510469742439795,0.3131680780312453,,0.0002757502924139355,-100.0,3.5525269719841286,-0.01530592474909908,0.6500411242496362,394,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.706714315171903,0.6649440647216701,0.0315691235852417,0.3206082426601839,-12.340778812805832,1.3527117377628468,-0.18115942028985507,0.22687503195798614,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3181093275529228,0.9649455923902256,0.7603678346242598,0.3940922454587267,16.66167378631522,2.4900047379701507,0.02189822755860492,0.5952758161130641,265,0.9962264150943396,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,56.28561192572501,5.13218825670169,0.13036410148840158,1.0269086770552778,-65.09722611053073,182.10170512116613,-0.07980304719435155,0.08689829314492818,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:09.709148+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:34.561506+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,19620.124945294887,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,19849.04148533963,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,52268416554.35752,267296595.12049976,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,60017383.593976185,288234825.7079002,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,1.0,2075.594868502009,4,2,2,1.0
 5min,TiRex,1.0,2413.6848893618544,5,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,1.0,32407.630514623943,6,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,1.0,32596.13922339,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,1.0,252290.1359197037,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,ETS,1.0,252290.1359197037,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moving-Average,1.0,252290.1359197037,9,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459942197556757,461166.5554836744,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0,374952.8836038598,11,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,273007095573.6483,274438752.2043584,12,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,9251087577.329466,284984965.45245165,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.08149338046575896,0.3178393092479955,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,Chronos-2,0.22608336574130738,0.3547554165549258,2,1,1,1.0
 6min,TiRex,0.3300878677297042,0.42664723259611365,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -17,11 +17,11 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
 12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
-12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,124.27528082287503,7,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,124.99816529012689,7,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
 12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,181717.65952913897,13064.792809665869,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,6157.664067738149,13566.850518011315,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
 24,TiRex,6.756496163289516,0.7744482076348079,1,7,7,1.0
 24,Chronos-2,7.5292623256725335,0.37204959265128773,2,7,7,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 Overall,TiRex,2.243848524458126,2.481154147006,1,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-2,2.481064089119964,1.6354996463403184,2,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,5.192746109064968,3.2625477498653703,3,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,5.192746109064968,3.265460219347066,3,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,2.223217457377029,0.5403381461849569,4,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TabPFN-TS,1.5375346159095784,0.431375818345862,5,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,3.787089536826842,4.629961033741285,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,825.4377565984956,15.206109593280358,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,490.3807180304391,15.294580856085796,7,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,4.109875978498929,4.685705133149082,8,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moving-Average,9.18382883563589,1.0023467226410019,10,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.258133+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.547589+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:08.827886+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.338675+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.170752+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.472134+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:08.873629+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.403510+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.202701+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.508711+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:08.913652+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.431356+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.244940+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.544097+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:08.976707+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.485910+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.192882+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.502024+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:08.997584+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.513270+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.242405+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.536768+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.027489+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.537190+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/online_status.json

@@ -2,14 +2,14 @@
     "status": "ok",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "started_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:03.144163+00:00",
-    "finished_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:11.693475+00:00",
+    "started_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:13.211968+00:00",
+    "finished_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:36.817713+00:00",
     "data_source": "ts_bench",
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     "models": {
@@ -19,8 +19,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:07.256411+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.472134+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.403510+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TiRex": {
             "model": "TiRex",
@@ -28,8 +38,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.479292+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.692134+00:00",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TimesFM-2.5": {
             "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
@@ -37,8 +57,18 @@
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+            "resolved_tasks": [
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Toto-1.0": {
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@@ -46,8 +76,18 @@
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+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moirai-2.0": {
             "model": "Moirai-2.0",
@@ -55,8 +95,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.502024+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.513270+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Chronos-Bolt": {
             "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
@@ -64,8 +114,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:07.256425+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.508711+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.431356+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TabPFN-TS": {
             "model": "TabPFN-TS",
@@ -73,8 +133,18 @@
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             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:07.256426+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.511710+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.620577+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Sundial": {
             "model": "Sundial",
@@ -82,8 +152,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:07.256427+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.524491+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.592176+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moving-Average": {
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@@ -91,8 +171,18 @@
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-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:07.256428+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.536768+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.537190+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ETS": {
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@@ -100,8 +190,18 @@
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-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:07.256429+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.544097+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.485910+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ARIMA": {
             "model": "ARIMA",
@@ -109,8 +209,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.547589+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.338675+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Seasonal-Naive": {
             "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
@@ -118,8 +228,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:05:07.256431+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.549811+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
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+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.563377+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         }
     },
     "skipped_models": [],
@@ -142,7 +262,5 @@
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     },
-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-27T13:06:00.476993+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5.json

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+  "target_start": "2026-07-26T05:55:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00"
 }

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+    "2026-07-26T05:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T05:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T06:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T07:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T07:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T07:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T07:15:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-25 21:20",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-26 07:15",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-27T13:16:36.525263Z",
+  "task_id": "future-59ca93529f4b28c154a6",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:17.147515+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.273368+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.549811+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.053556+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.563377+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,0.10473457323496249,0.1147649239028985
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,2.8441660902956243,2.843487024785437,nan,nan,0.015264503024766838,nan,nan,1.6864655615504351,nan,nan,1.3267261152393919,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,3.2531377771354436e-15,4.199943304492918e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,5.703628474169267e-08,nan,nan,5.3529450933708095e-08,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,3.7654082275258104e-16,4.974119393576895e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.9404659820583845e-08,nan,nan,1.962012494529488e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,5.524252808761388e-16,5.031461889944622e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.350372908446953e-08,nan,nan,1.984904148533962e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.08695338508506821,0.08353722033822863,nan,nan,0.016796435774787625,nan,nan,0.294878593806109,nan,nan,0.1770426087971502,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,1.1084349749528957,1.123949749505446,nan,nan,1.9088112694417887,nan,nan,1.0528223852829572,nan,nan,0.7153024006551958,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,0.9437676842040763,1.008488858597588,nan,nan,0.09451148129927175,nan,nan,0.9714770631384337,nan,nan,0.7021039878047753,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.236119+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.524491+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.089603+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.592176+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.215498+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.511710+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.104288+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.620577+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.177099+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.483127+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.121464+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.664071+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.174646+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.479292+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.150571+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.692134+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.2726949967761062,0.2527851149657427
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,3.6645792269334403,3.8334701114198935,nan,nan,0.018154881072786195,nan,nan,1.9143090729904197,nan,nan,1.3158562118322297,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,1.4259638831041896,6.09966053020686e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.1941372965887087,nan,nan,0.000281771747513406,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.05226841655435754,3.785981146419531e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.2286228697098292,nan,nan,0.0002672965951205696,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,6.0017383593976236e-05,1.0303155617333081e-08,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.007747088717316734,nan,nan,0.0002882348257079077,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.3781601546771693,0.064105101809067,nan,nan,0.014643988879747117,nan,nan,0.614947277965493,nan,nan,0.19193844973139762,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,2.11683930835631,1.9318541444866848,nan,nan,2.4720793021414016,nan,nan,1.4549361870392494,nan,nan,0.6552121422909066,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,9.636232627812483,0.5254104186787759,nan,nan,0.06892947365847989,nan,nan,3.104228185525749,nan,nan,0.7304308435297772,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T12:52:04.185520+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T13:19:32.488145+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.181560+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T13:17:16.720158+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }