Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T10:51:33.114175+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:33.713104+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 26756,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2651,
+  "num_model_releases": 26768,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2652,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2520,
-      "num_unique_releases": 210,
+      "num_model_releases": 2532,
+      "num_unique_releases": 211,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26409,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2600,
+      "num_model_releases": 26421,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2601,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4368
+    "prequential-v1": 4380
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,1547.8114652387233,12.24187496286027,0.17156191617042785,12.114526199896677,-16.33867739957458,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778,3757.799126993667,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,1559.9705020622773,12.234824395289474,0.2085783809061521,16.05697248827406,-12.22013149991136,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778,3884.221949808379,-0.7777777777777778,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,1547.7638606976618,12.184156618600706,0.12594601136139835,12.114578243164718,-8.35408284069931,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778,3757.747423198896,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,1547.9005888389117,12.285595526532168,0.24258497384378028,12.150929425879442,-22.932713864103427,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778,3758.090970873253,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,1547.9516215690358,12.288907827694315,0.21306035443218352,12.206088398761832,-10.838755893089683,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778,3758.142758250566,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,1548.0154067158146,12.324332236151145,0.24068231324510406,12.182607324817672,-21.72735993557544,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778,3758.2563194580466,7.401486830834377e-17,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,1547.859184109051,12.274006362838163,0.23921902301312584,12.13866746393325,-18.675663786857964,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778,3757.884282797724,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,1547.9867519469572,12.33624237610329,0.19318653447030765,10.794217133395795,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,3757.8745587498047,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,1548.0217932793778,12.413095808614711,0.2215421366452098,12.273643945262569,-36.9630771275895,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,3757.8665287949293,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,1549.1057942202992,12.820493057695563,0.3501673586976424,12.897143931161017,-50.68642234402186,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,3756.5277270371716,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,2095.4562061359616,14.700947904048752,0.19332860128391993,10.902858618077518,-37.36545839905379,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778,4454.452034409805,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,1550.4579325910415,13.153957241345418,0.7185856500144377,12.921309785766237,-54.483346552710366,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,3758.5068525408537,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,1547.8114652387233,12.24187496286027,0.17156191617042785,12.114526199896677,-16.33867739957458,0.6705262493225335,11,2592,13,31.77777777777778,3757.799126993667,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,1559.9705020622773,12.234824395289474,0.2085783809061521,16.05697248827406,-12.22013149991136,0.6681312111295985,11,2583,13,31.77777777777778,3884.221949808379,-0.7777777777777778,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,1547.7638606976618,12.184156618600706,0.12594601136139835,12.114578243164718,-8.35408284069931,0.6085651594666525,11,2578,13,31.77777777777778,3757.747423198896,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,1547.9005888389117,12.285595526532168,0.24258497384378028,12.150929425879442,-22.932713864103427,0.5800631138200966,11,1834,13,26.43402777777778,3758.090970873253,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,1547.9516215690358,12.288907827694315,0.21306035443218352,12.206088398761832,-10.838755893089683,0.5593458649579215,11,1724,13,28.43402777777778,3758.142758250566,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,1548.0154067158146,12.324332236151145,0.24068231324510406,12.182607324817672,-21.72735993557544,0.5232165758266814,11,1821,13,26.43402777777778,3758.2563194580466,7.401486830834377e-17,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,1547.859184109051,12.274006362838163,0.23921902301312584,12.13866746393325,-18.675663786857964,0.5086370060911584,11,2073,13,28.43402777777778,3757.884282797724,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,1547.9867519469572,12.33624237610329,0.19318653447030765,10.794217133395795,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,3757.8745587498047,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,1548.0217932793778,12.413095808614711,0.2215421366452098,12.273643945262569,-36.9630771275895,0.37752883117773983,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,3757.8665287949293,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,1549.1057942202992,12.820493057695563,0.3501673586976424,12.897143931161017,-50.68642234402186,0.37551005320545644,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,3756.5277270371716,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,2095.4562061359616,14.700947904048752,0.19332860128391993,10.902858618077518,-37.36545839905379,0.37520937357425405,11,1848,13,26.43402777777778,4454.452034409805,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,1550.4579325910415,13.153957241345418,0.7185856500144377,12.921309785766237,-54.483346552710366,0.36742883875710447,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,3758.5068525408537,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.239545430515209,0.8730378797861691,0.15913774422514265,0.6379241956150887,23.543766066388624,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778,137.53710827280568,0.04515179007034079,0.07692307692307693,13,2547,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.419745441780735,0.8780001670491762,0.1956162302579611,0.6722225524292846,24.601526231904106,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778,140.29339605802087,0.04534807480796698,0.15384615384615385,13,2534,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.298484000467683,0.8740972840580779,0.1364967427803351,0.7162420171502397,23.857972798723644,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778,137.80040900365134,0.04969376693501468,0.23076923076923078,13,2528,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.9141597483982,0.924871919760215,0.2379722756704117,0.6699964021183801,22.11659148946956,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778,157.7641822123761,0.07961745439322851,0.15384615384615385,13,1833,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.66031721032933,0.9730136844209277,0.199770152162011,0.8176438304438567,18.478041774005842,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778,165.41313501378505,0.05673060897624092,0.15384615384615385,13,1726,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.194933740182186,0.9720008580259963,0.2726402882615301,0.7191720104466731,11.423670944487425,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778,158.7467034470456,0.04048897488828039,0.15384615384615385,13,1820,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.536420117955544,1.0144310446892564,0.22205416522321944,0.7658320132117569,15.758390533422869,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778,152.51040995240535,0.018424319541630325,0.3076923076923077,13,2074,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.121757571860453,1.2331127853961372,0.3631780777826849,0.9609363229399305,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,142.91827863143598,0.049335561071610017,0.23076923076923078,13,2381,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.86744419946148,1.1413707255216918,0.33810653045463385,0.9171690280617745,2.8794049755406754,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,143.1720968024429,0.07689375139646268,0.15384615384615385,13,2373,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.788241340585063,1.1423031610111556,0.3457582971863338,0.8999579367991762,1.9022621697944126,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,143.1781978251569,0.04947662846293954,0.15384615384615385,13,2373,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.96664650751271,1.6639187362285597,0.2816499540874997,0.7012670177587979,-18.89703685288153,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778,215.47718371875467,-0.0025000890740827808,0.15384615384615385,13,1847,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.5792306302615,1.4013637651673139,0.3127607534584493,1.1106899880171681,-3.5934221985735713,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,148.05548539480793,0.056364082838235276,0.15384615384615385,13,2373,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.239545430515209,0.8730378797861691,0.15913774422514265,0.6379241956150887,23.543766066388624,0.6705262493225335,11,2592,13,31.77777777777778,137.53710827280568,0.04515179007034079,0.07692307692307693,13,2548,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.419745441780735,0.8780001670491762,0.1956162302579611,0.6722225524292846,24.601526231904106,0.6681312111295985,11,2583,13,31.77777777777778,140.29339605802087,0.04534807480796698,0.15384615384615385,13,2535,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.298484000467683,0.8740972840580779,0.1364967427803351,0.7162420171502397,23.857972798723644,0.6085651594666525,11,2578,13,31.77777777777778,137.80040900365134,0.04969376693501468,0.23076923076923078,13,2529,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.9141597483982,0.924871919760215,0.2379722756704117,0.6699964021183801,22.11659148946956,0.5800631138200966,11,1834,13,26.43402777777778,157.7641822123761,0.07961745439322851,0.15384615384615385,13,1834,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.66031721032933,0.9730136844209277,0.199770152162011,0.8176438304438567,18.478041774005842,0.5593458649579215,11,1724,13,28.43402777777778,165.41313501378505,0.05673060897624092,0.15384615384615385,13,1727,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.194933740182186,0.9720008580259963,0.2726402882615301,0.7191720104466731,11.423670944487425,0.5232165758266814,11,1821,13,26.43402777777778,158.7467034470456,0.04048897488828039,0.15384615384615385,13,1821,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.536420117955544,1.0144310446897484,0.22205416522321944,0.7658320132117998,15.758390533422869,0.5086370060911584,11,2073,13,28.43402777777778,152.51040995240535,0.018424319541630325,0.3076923076923077,13,2075,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.121757571860453,1.2331127853961372,0.3631780777826849,0.9609363229399305,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,142.91827863143598,0.049335561071610017,0.23076923076923078,13,2382,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.86744419946148,1.1413707255216918,0.33810653045463385,0.9171690280617745,2.8794049755406754,0.37752883117773983,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,143.1720968024429,0.07689375139646268,0.15384615384615385,13,2374,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.788241340585063,1.1423031610111556,0.3457582971863338,0.8999579367991762,1.9022621697944126,0.37551005320545644,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,143.1781978251569,0.04947662846293954,0.15384615384615385,13,2374,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.96653794326914,1.663859105862401,0.2816499540874997,0.7012670183704709,-18.89703685288153,0.37520937357425405,11,1848,13,26.43402777777778,215.4768385987141,-0.002627727310375141,0.15384615384615385,13,1848,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.5792306302615,1.4013637651673139,0.3127607534584493,1.1106899880171681,-3.5934221985735713,0.36742883875710447,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,148.05548539480793,0.056364082838235276,0.15384615384615385,13,2374,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,116.7588105461341,1.7917443475732364,0.14306566745349883,1.5797198928886012,14.62427322764187,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778,449.41423005797117,-0.1410498149147991,0.08333333333333333,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,117.55487338283682,1.7670770343462472,0.14419266464666694,1.8450859099797743,16.676550756786245,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778,458.113116031644,-0.2067862239003614,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.67008040322959,1.7583391323382325,0.11763768577491127,1.6344877175261925,16.150943391059034,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778,449.2033755614715,-0.14129105016664156,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.75700049591505,1.7992595110096705,0.1575044987535649,1.5551157934541902,13.439497144790122,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778,449.270998204635,-0.09993782027871051,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.94710594042103,1.8775452424626968,0.1683768144487332,1.7471792110041173,7.475991673698146,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778,449.45744065452635,-0.10933493206487149,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.87225341084917,1.8387021886781634,0.17006721129031105,1.6272347254433475,4.031817944690599,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778,449.48910033747524,-0.051095319073421644,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,117.00974143198788,1.8544202866825439,0.17185302390969148,1.6498212914689256,10.97870818915886,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778,449.43199273720785,-0.08822937999713247,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.31808846401623,2.0083336520617907,0.22006097191746715,1.6454188834756716,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,449.5835506615631,-0.13862643943387687,0.08333333333333333,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,117.15008324499688,1.9727778834383056,0.21596765468876936,1.7780732580977283,-3.630041923660151,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,449.5183418027358,0.062135812963893054,0.08333333333333333,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,117.19344912570192,2.0350866689400324,0.20868136612412055,1.7731507540523237,-7.1750958885186344,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,449.498026141747,0.04161287009844135,0.08333333333333333,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,158.02290236948036,2.406263776839445,0.15624932897121654,1.5191448564368535,-24.970059673261535,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778,576.4709959860721,-0.10269191353072914,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,118.25076761986845,2.294527868419267,0.31650878774177177,2.022400644912134,-12.408196105833829,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,450.8398260235379,0.025531298306630326,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,116.7588105461341,1.7917443475732364,0.14306566745349883,1.5797198928886012,14.62427322764187,0.6705262493225335,11,2592,13,31.77777777777778,449.41423005797117,-0.1410498149147991,0.08333333333333333,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,117.55487338283682,1.7670770343462472,0.14419266464666694,1.8450859099797743,16.676550756786245,0.6681312111295985,11,2583,13,31.77777777777778,458.113116031644,-0.2067862239003614,0.0,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.67008040322959,1.7583391323382325,0.11763768577491127,1.6344877175261925,16.150943391059034,0.6085651594666525,11,2578,13,31.77777777777778,449.2033755614715,-0.14129105016664156,0.0,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.75700049591505,1.7992595110096705,0.1575044987535649,1.5551157934541902,13.439497144790122,0.5800631138200966,11,1834,13,26.43402777777778,449.270998204635,-0.09993782027871051,0.0,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.94710594042103,1.8775452424626968,0.1683768144487332,1.7471792110041173,7.475991673698146,0.5593458649579215,11,1724,13,28.43402777777778,449.45744065452635,-0.10933493206487149,0.0,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.87225341084917,1.8387021886781634,0.17006721129031105,1.6272347254433475,4.031817944690599,0.5232165758266814,11,1821,13,26.43402777777778,449.48910033747524,-0.051095319073421644,0.0,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,117.00974143198788,1.8544202866852253,0.17185302390969148,1.6498212914691681,10.97870818915886,0.5086370060911584,11,2073,13,28.43402777777778,449.43199273720785,-0.08822937999713247,0.0,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.31808846401623,2.0083336520617907,0.22006097191746715,1.6454188834756716,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,449.5835506615631,-0.13862643943387687,0.08333333333333333,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,117.15008324499688,1.9727778834383056,0.21596765468876936,1.7780732580977283,-3.630041923660151,0.37752883117773983,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,449.5183418027358,0.062135812963893054,0.08333333333333333,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,117.19344912570192,2.0350866689400324,0.20868136612412055,1.7731507540523237,-7.1750958885186344,0.37551005320545644,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,449.498026141747,0.04161287009844135,0.08333333333333333,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,158.0221158188635,2.4059219094099515,0.15624932897121654,1.5191448601549373,-24.970059673261535,0.37520937357425405,11,1848,13,26.43402777777778,576.468424039363,-0.10351313386414458,0.0,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,118.25076761986845,2.294527868419267,0.31650878774177177,2.022400644912134,-12.408196105833829,0.36742883875710447,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,450.8398260235379,0.025531298306630326,0.0,12,211,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.241334800166442,0.8743965094818982,0.15926003342386558,0.6387647289671595,23.52499993720335,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778,137.5382354347444,0.04170794047264504,0.15384615384615385,13,2596,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.420025025577,0.8784644698207524,0.1956655229086742,0.6724986910817575,24.67562392530624,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778,140.29284493272957,0.04309391870765704,0.15384615384615385,13,2582,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.300657573636792,0.8756015303564583,0.1366513244533974,0.7172697757529161,23.83424737779027,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778,137.80264149777437,0.04609337871924186,0.23076923076923078,13,2577,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.9141597483982,0.924871919760215,0.2379722756704117,0.6699964021183801,22.11659148946956,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778,157.7641822123761,0.07961745439322851,0.15384615384615385,13,1833,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.66031721032933,0.9730136844209277,0.199770152162011,0.8176438304438567,18.478041774005842,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778,165.41313501378505,0.05673060897624092,0.15384615384615385,13,1726,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.194933740182186,0.9720008580259963,0.2726402882615301,0.7191720104466731,11.423670944487425,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778,158.7467034470456,0.04048897488828039,0.15384615384615385,13,1820,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.536420117955544,1.0144310446892564,0.22205416522321944,0.7658320132117569,15.758390533422869,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778,152.51040995240535,0.018424319541630325,0.3076923076923077,13,2074,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.12334540291246,1.2343261105082892,0.36331026175497616,0.9619618157210946,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,142.91858239058962,0.04620478871006843,0.23076923076923078,13,2432,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.87106733837706,1.1430332566860986,0.3383023400433833,0.918594360239879,2.8821138234197914,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,143.17479478896283,0.07235413147222736,0.15384615384615385,13,2423,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.798016547367748,1.1451692059558884,0.34603919092274943,0.9022270179862967,1.870963499108868,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,143.1904498207935,0.0439038536593955,0.15384615384615385,13,2423,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.96664650751271,1.6639187362285597,0.2816499540874997,0.7012670177587979,-18.89703685288153,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778,215.47718371875467,-0.0025000890740827808,0.15384615384615385,13,1847,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.60618333936575,1.406127763661754,0.31327198570225584,1.1147136186924917,-3.6199080871875706,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,148.08578028511275,0.05032169218046,0.15384615384615385,13,2423,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.241334800166442,0.8743965094818982,0.15926003342386558,0.6387647289671595,23.52499993720335,0.6705262493225335,11,2592,13,31.77777777777778,137.5382354347444,0.04170794047264504,0.15384615384615385,13,2597,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.420025025577,0.8784644698207524,0.1956655229086742,0.6724986910817575,24.67562392530624,0.6681312111295985,11,2583,13,31.77777777777778,140.29284493272957,0.04309391870765704,0.15384615384615385,13,2583,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.300657573636792,0.8756015303564583,0.1366513244533974,0.7172697757529161,23.83424737779027,0.6085651594666525,11,2578,13,31.77777777777778,137.80264149777437,0.04609337871924186,0.23076923076923078,13,2578,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.9141597483982,0.924871919760215,0.2379722756704117,0.6699964021183801,22.11659148946956,0.5800631138200966,11,1834,13,26.43402777777778,157.7641822123761,0.07961745439322851,0.15384615384615385,13,1834,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.66031721032933,0.9730136844209277,0.199770152162011,0.8176438304438567,18.478041774005842,0.5593458649579215,11,1724,13,28.43402777777778,165.41313501378505,0.05673060897624092,0.15384615384615385,13,1727,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.194933740182186,0.9720008580259963,0.2726402882615301,0.7191720104466731,11.423670944487425,0.5232165758266814,11,1821,13,26.43402777777778,158.7467034470456,0.04048897488828039,0.15384615384615385,13,1821,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.536420117955544,1.0144310446897484,0.22205416522321944,0.7658320132117998,15.758390533422869,0.5086370060911584,11,2073,13,28.43402777777778,152.51040995240535,0.018424319541630325,0.3076923076923077,13,2075,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.12334540291246,1.2343261105082892,0.36331026175497616,0.9619618157210946,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,142.91858239058962,0.04620478871006843,0.23076923076923078,13,2433,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.87106733837706,1.1430332566860986,0.3383023400433833,0.918594360239879,2.8821138234197914,0.37752883117773983,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,143.17479478896283,0.07235413147222736,0.15384615384615385,13,2424,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.798016547367748,1.1451692059558884,0.34603919092274943,0.9022270179862967,1.870963499108868,0.37551005320545644,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,143.1904498207935,0.0439038536593955,0.15384615384615385,13,2424,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.96653794326914,1.663859105862401,0.2816499540874997,0.7012670183704709,-18.89703685288153,0.37520937357425405,11,1848,13,26.43402777777778,215.4768385987141,-0.002627727310375141,0.15384615384615385,13,1848,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.60618333936575,1.406127763661754,0.31327198570225584,1.1147136186924917,-3.6199080871875706,0.36742883875710447,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778,148.08578028511275,0.05032169218046,0.15384615384615385,13,2424,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778
-12,Official,ETS,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2592,13,31.77777777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2583,13,31.77777777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2578,13,31.77777777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1834,13,26.43402777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1724,13,28.43402777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1821,13,26.43402777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086370060911584,11,2073,13,28.43402777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752883117773983,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551005320545644,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1848,13,26.43402777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.36742883875710447,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778
-12,Official,ETS,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2592,13,31.77777777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2583,13,31.77777777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2578,13,31.77777777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1834,13,26.43402777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1724,13,28.43402777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1821,13,26.43402777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086370060911584,11,2073,13,28.43402777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752883117773983,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551005320545644,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1848,13,26.43402777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.36742883875710447,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778
-12,Official,ETS,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2592,13,31.77777777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2583,13,31.77777777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2578,13,31.77777777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1834,13,26.43402777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1724,13,28.43402777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1821,13,26.43402777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086370060911584,11,2073,13,28.43402777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752883117773983,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551005320545644,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1848,13,26.43402777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.36742883875710447,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778
-12,Official,ETS,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2592,13,31.77777777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2583,13,31.77777777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2578,13,31.77777777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1834,13,26.43402777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1724,13,28.43402777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1821,13,26.43402777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086370060911584,11,2073,13,28.43402777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752883117773983,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551005320545644,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1848,13,26.43402777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.36742883875710447,11,2424,13,31.77777777777778

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -1018,6 +1018,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:44.872566
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:18.820639+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.15914156617428907,0.39892551456918507,0.06113979690966374,0.2622379725479034,18.31361414210503,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.071285+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0035810834841219913,0.0598421547416367,,0.02150919834428503,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.770226+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.565065+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.136651+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.685611+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:29.979586+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -3497,6 +3498,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:44.913538
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:18.894930+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.17237334495539838,0.4151786903917377,0.059772598190910554,0.36417297074596855,14.427767002543622,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.078545+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4014646424306944e-05,0.0037436140859211093,,0.0028446943027835192,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.789288+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.636808+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.140167+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.690365+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:29.983626+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
@@ -5793,6 +5795,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:44.940394
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:18.996552+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.21135249902332248,0.45973089848662824,0.06825033627430702,0.3900508218835146,4.333199945267705,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.083946+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.4829116242603935e-06,0.0023415617916810127,,0.003711226624850107,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.804141+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.692714+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.145380+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.694082+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:29.989482+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
@@ -7857,6 +7860,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:44.961536
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.039800+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4399906593065285,0.6633179172210928,0.10423308462714455,0.47351811737396154,-31.244616510993684,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.089928+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0034383799710090072,0.058637700935567104,,5.331947195137533e-07,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.831620+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.731668+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.160412+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.697813+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:29.995197+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -10039,6 +10043,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.029957
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.082280+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1029162297310548,0.3208055949185656,0.044094694905505986,0.3744910198906062,38.26539250533397,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.096316+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.1409084402018746e-06,0.0017722608273620095,,0.0012387116833386745,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.862188+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.767739+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.190108+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.701618+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:30.000062+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
@@ -12113,6 +12118,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.080995
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.218761+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.17537590812567969,0.41877906839487533,0.06347569591376027,0.2773358781944277,13.581257987258436,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.113542+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0034383904722107613,0.058637790478587797,,0.0,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.884242+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.821251+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.195236+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.705915+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:30.004328+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -14538,6 +14544,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.109367
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.319285+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.23049879923773528,0.4801029048420091,0.0715468579612092,0.36127503137402484,0.0,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.126764+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.902479+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.851667+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.199833+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.714035+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:30.011218+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -16828,6 +16835,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.154282
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.401056+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2676741356175295,0.51737233750707,0.07402123719172596,0.2918402682631524,-7.462335622587536,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.139908+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.00785234258491275,0.08861344471869238,,0.021830161757359398,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.924148+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.104013346249018e-16,2.2592063531800317e-08,,2.1377041241692563e-08,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.878722+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,6.865236982788216e-16,2.6201597246710392e-08,,2.048097453608319e-08,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.206125+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.8449965603358947e-16,1.9608662780352706e-08,,1.9720975262692443e-08,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.718233+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,6.013518129582971e-15,7.754687698149405e-08,,1.990949757321211e-08,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:30.016316+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.535174389244802e-16,2.1295948885280512e-08,,2.0663788168628078e-08,0.0,False
@@ -18775,6 +18783,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.210485
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.441707+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.3186967477221971,1.148345221491428,0.16347760057405936,0.8510634046541111,-70.24277539526175,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.151251+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.489366147924513e-08,0.0002118812438118229,,0.00019398613236673427,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:07.962916+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.962669+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.214267+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.721692+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:30.025184+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -20820,6 +20829,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.281341
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.492962+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.12442742718717693,0.3527427209556236,0.049785670751971337,0.34407235489524696,29.885470318434944,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.168349+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.273079248651855e-07,0.0007261597103015187,,0.0005101827643507149,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:08.022077+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:28.030310+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.226971+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.729219+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:30.034857+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
@@ -23402,6 +23412,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.239659
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.466702+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.13704702619042194,0.37019863072467185,0.06607781012022136,0.28402578836039866,25.425883408810474,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.160086+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7482535739417519e-06,0.0013222154037605793,,0.00787446319699684,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:08.006021+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:27.983825+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.219262+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.725065+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:30.029698+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -25690,6 +25701,7 @@ future-a100e9a2cb4afac05592,2026-07-25T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.306341
 future-a1d3406852a028f6b50b,2026-07-23T01:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T02:41:19.522545+00:00,2026-07-23T13:51:10.286532+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.887319824297316,2.9811608182547475,0.057699444368439594,0.3675004659913,-94.94399244479885,True
 future-a1eac4857d4e6892eff5,2026-07-17T18:55:00+00:00,2026-07-18T02:38:19.175140+00:00,2026-07-17T16:22:46.727394+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8577536598718689,0.9261499122020521,,0.00398734070566241,-100.0,False
 future-a1f93d17acf5a0dff23d,2026-07-25T19:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T03:23:08.033880+00:00,2026-07-27T02:14:24.500546+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.002515625319080588,0.050156009800228205,,0.00028764596417103246,-99.99999999999999,False
+future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:02:28.088907+00:00,2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.36338486515306e-05,0.009676458476711954,,0.0002788570799903364,-100.0,False
 future-a2347eef9f77f9e4ae7e,2026-07-14T11:55:00+00:00,2026-07-15T13:38:16.235720+00:00,2026-07-15T12:53:37.760680+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5640855641621891,0.7510562989298399,,0.00027579941009174005,-100.0,False
 future-a328fea13da1361e0128,2026-07-16T19:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T10:18:55.737978+00:00,2026-07-19T08:32:49.894429+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0020104892501299765,0.044838479569784435,,0.00027693532195169405,-100.0,False
 future-a40846c48fb426e67d4e,2026-07-16T00:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T15:43:30.040011+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.745976+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5955812473818899,0.7717391057746716,,0.000280510858748231,-100.0,False

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.0327893525066814,1.2605427150765056,0.014573089004276608,1.18695990650739,9.833312187229014,2.135623055384809,0.029852068385153693,0.5168645252289956,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9550408452691226,1.2800735826671796,0.01173517790567427,1.1046317964975265,18.661052514691725,1.7735615937688818,-0.15268817204301077,0.23631302243273788,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.747707547358669,0.38338676168276564,,0.1570002245923449,-32.22915113207401,74.23653969948337,0.0659682797887817,0.14237348305352351,261,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579273922780424e-30,0.0,1.0,509,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,510,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.00800771168344,1.326207173091614,0.08803981956779476,1.0373703489917312,-58.91418609438252,1.337635791274214,-0.0582010582010582,0.6809893725769562,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.1941259217733204,0.964378535198614,1.2693820583712112,0.7547499604361004,5.526025270600313,1.166023180529336,0.07074789833410522,0.04000151096442611,378,0.9973544973544973,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.65294799607064,1.4315386368513643,0.13299285505398112,1.0435655225030136,11.587935014997065,3.4020614598496324,-0.1251451800232288,0.0015432395829971354,288,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6117911614426588,1.0695205059362567,0.0100853202752571,0.7741205692557181,28.297622329135265,1.9032512469123888,0.07619756763464879,0.08004919532870981,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6159840041421918,1.0825470904741978,0.008336713219130282,0.7508053857926016,37.704191635511265,2.0268378330384347,-0.04435483870967743,0.7355269048685159,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.492511970642848,0.33069304633516183,,0.14508269857063497,-31.475234107072104,72.8116635948088,0.04180068043385841,0.34099863890000226,272,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653316e-18,1.3151753777977033e-09,,2.3561627471096824e-09,0.0,5.783269009199209e-34,0.0,1.0,528,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653316e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.3561627471096824e-09,0.0,5.783258636878352e-34,0.0,1.0,529,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.31386553452913357,0.49365396547686097,0.03316284099899457,0.3340700346147921,7.7242988117908125,0.36722327176548764,-0.2698412698412698,0.04526042867191174,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3283466699236902,0.4785764587077032,0.47654856445809757,0.3146185814748302,50.53845271905102,0.4235320468784648,-0.04869857262804367,0.1473156309214183,397,0.9974811083123426,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7966371402662333,1.4870889440150759,0.14732287656869858,1.0119245685767808,7.3451939497548375,3.4780132800436627,-0.04627018993290058,0.22967749500451973,303,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3584243203182118,0.988483236863085,0.009942212435786146,0.7224566765181408,22.070587855613862,1.5938837288700864,0.21714285714285714,1.881443456264298e-05,176,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.514274095721929,1.045016033103337,0.00882882127302277,0.7080324611428557,34.210414178101914,1.711954252866411,0.08571428571428572,0.6119326072720337,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.435380433159647,0.47403248797331937,,0.19062104286389744,-24.665494883922534,87.72048771795171,0.05112349691786223,0.3351349007875981,187,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,2.0221049229040617e-28,0.0,1.0,386,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,387,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.36167861848650795,0.49455381778420476,0.03324062618358011,0.34431122124691615,7.986333567886383,0.5712708639071138,-0.15217391304347824,0.31275941965675913,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.326850200040466,1.0448116152287334,1.0720103733171031,0.7022239946331835,7.288396027936377,1.0752496509659164,-0.003831417624521073,0.9265161195319109,261,0.9961685823754789,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.053613210335367,1.5740409901649883,0.1420962223726639,1.076715875931189,-1.4618279657308582,3.7749827798629183,-0.056022408963585436,0.23403653585070838,204,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9062516623742625,1.1438753096316576,0.010268748918062547,0.8908433451688154,25.155142045278517,2.4520911506313183,0.09442820444680665,0.04033071077808843,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7107012982517127,1.1483285083687549,0.008882762360871122,0.8552155797525732,30.22823273347917,1.8284059104472181,-0.07096774193548387,0.5894657747826293,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.766438399614407,0.3790193812203653,,0.15351570789422964,-32.19633956238787,74.29208949082822,0.10235036957864051,0.022841332801625844,261,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579273922780424e-30,0.0,1.0,509,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,510,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.613843832129828,2.2103929965175833,0.15925778436226873,1.7831247026080472,-78.68678586194969,3.9623550410667945,0.021164021164021163,0.8910537311539605,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.901162692868426,1.2269550528284876,1.440129555866517,0.9318212183897755,-11.867815207036653,1.6974189505088797,0.09076109076109076,0.008421312275258367,378,0.9973544973544973,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.914336815515836,1.9166666616982038,0.1857866722252127,1.5320167983424575,-5.356131856590157,12.072152060601677,-0.174312814556717,1.0314733826614046e-05,288,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3232765046928578,0.9429012137153884,0.008985526216856703,0.6909521591212189,31.450343129388866,1.6483081134835997,0.30585516178736516,1.5042570947855893e-09,177,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8354760648986028,1.1643877410331194,0.009684535709908557,0.7442716890088968,29.00418007830918,1.782282812514967,0.0,1.0,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.38597163056471,0.4715423838321226,,0.18816026387270177,-24.65779961794287,87.49463598586237,0.038592858713835346,0.46594076266348083,188,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.4882488390014493e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,387,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,388,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3509776387406318,0.5109250784451215,0.03392609341986356,0.3477349888235497,-0.05414682793155379,0.5466483923340161,-0.18840579710144928,0.20826013369971733,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.6976096269058605,0.7034101798399595,0.8201778887592557,0.4659106619933666,39.17397254042291,0.8481705276637138,0.03951332221929748,0.340590108961637,262,0.9961832061068703,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8839447414764523,1.5147284313383567,0.1368150397798965,1.0182122980375516,3.30688144305577,3.697180078734069,-0.02552687662798958,0.5857967156807884,206,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.58996163721899,1.3525809286874553,0.012714891921704255,1.1294004024235538,13.346509924484181,2.916466841762542,-0.010452653025068653,0.8204538033826462,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.373280996608969,1.5776522602429985,0.012692017698245876,1.3334994557395554,13.950577941966152,3.392855649239463,-0.01935483870967742,0.8927741234198122,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.801060400109588,0.399747932826349,,0.17291107753844398,-32.98579534005057,74.30094686854005,0.09188377445416727,0.041024661488323705,261,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579273922780424e-30,0.0,1.0,509,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,510,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9267203694223873,0.8991660074328582,0.06467944417529574,0.6832483151466748,-40.002513417357854,0.6820557529393131,-0.08465608465608465,0.5436680154547943,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4104641057788843,1.0319901277145853,2.048296170806524,0.9028939872219227,5.374926228284161,1.5757479146637874,0.16258964534826603,2.3607927185529837e-06,378,0.9973544973544973,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.641936920000907,1.43598949445101,0.14201598143307684,1.1386555805782304,11.427083585001,3.5097633559415824,-0.09117305458768875,0.021062433647622465,288,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.0875686328022915,1.5113130029658803,0.013694684671326944,1.0259475715085344,0.0,3.1938439251829718,-0.01621047036938613,0.7248514480489768,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.9918747246231088,1.7580898361214292,0.013825662536288684,1.1867655360975984,0.0,3.672936481441398,-0.10537634408602152,0.4177776715741393,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.084582536478169,0.4414023606395479,,0.1729598093899292,0.0,74.19426771525487,0.1532158349841357,0.0018431634244105027,262,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,510,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,511,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.40627897829962645,0.5557580915813806,0.03936781341215746,0.39697760149965017,0.0,0.4744483125303129,-0.32275132275132273,0.015817547817850365,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4815538503320722,1.0693746656030334,2.085902239879931,0.940605014465585,0.0,1.600687496379058,0.18060616213650513,1.522714473176576e-07,379,0.9973614775725593,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0826574916726184,1.5823011904921385,0.14988712375981117,1.2831013683089256,0.0,3.6025406469524044,-0.08732218377547096,0.02687646090158783,289,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.336994401217593,1.369755220053674,0.014086341211751853,1.0807232549657544,3.064994291773444,2.0818723983489034,-0.16075205640423032,0.0011583516212729406,185,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.282577534418037,1.295313737711657,0.010674569717621086,0.989769586334373,28.22757281538543,2.165692860705266,-0.11333333333333331,0.4448568614280395,25,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.8738701183197355,0.4205987978769077,,0.16373577524784436,-31.469075547199573,80.15635621269894,0.05309096732863549,0.23695004844905077,224,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.756444266364537e-16,2.3380379562340025e-08,,2.0235202144302757e-08,0.0,1.4455408246959285e-15,0.0,1.0,440,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.756690961866632e-16,2.3386776881352202e-08,,2.02357594513136e-08,0.0,1.4438973232145005e-15,0.0,1.0,441,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3203636538912743,0.5075621603907478,0.03374635902678368,0.3398897031230472,2.1126852444260993,0.3582833926162125,-0.32923076923076927,0.018371833944896835,26,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.38664200055680054,0.5388375732033609,0.7830741351818429,0.3558996639365432,53.31112608432184,0.38350442837756454,0.03518446918052136,0.3523606075286402,314,0.9968152866242038,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2235140865816265,1.657928142301456,0.16609168269499214,1.2328491033933322,-5.05786319137345,3.5536655227491045,-0.08849899792553004,0.041618348921948926,239,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2897977163308854,0.9634070131740257,0.009453686521010893,0.8285803803384979,23.76185492880625,1.5247855829526096,0.30085999312005507,5.171577126565932e-09,171,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.765817913634766,1.1309547489096634,0.009888979337353616,0.9801839284965714,28.490130166116533,1.967159871775054,0.028571428571428574,0.881507823538253,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.697009299356019,0.48914304750680604,,0.19443303613920887,-24.980260540311384,88.92377086776229,0.044858891502546204,0.4065080115273021,182,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,373,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,374,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.37327560506336477,0.5185272509173141,0.03418482796535857,0.4123620485360199,3.465213338537667,0.506550571327117,-0.22666666666666663,0.11834341824544657,25,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9745289656429325,0.8722696565627807,0.9195412578498668,0.7104990133227015,22.644088144777026,0.9020632784670117,-0.012957861442709925,0.7635501954768107,243,0.9958847736625515,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.906469554217599,1.5117074800952373,0.13547714605067326,1.2769955562462616,3.4555143400753376,3.797755119910379,-0.04350172711571675,0.36899008204048345,193,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6024420656404206,1.071766136199834,0.009922092182442147,0.7756962587154468,29.91063601582313,1.7892061365665708,0.05070442680397625,0.24511763187869207,237,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.867204911520663,1.1762075955597422,0.009183553445265521,0.7970810087245487,36.72233479048648,2.026569696352826,-0.0881720430107527,0.4997789602585872,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.511695458309568,0.32707814463700835,,0.1451332154505737,-31.474600438515008,72.94963605596367,0.006126934264268913,0.8892545772423255,271,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041847e-18,1.42969816419557e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,3.855519613959893e-34,0.0,1.0,527,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.42969816419557e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,528,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.314654479190125,0.4795158295005707,0.03176581536708863,0.32560657639009666,14.010661877279322,0.4008075938825765,-0.24867724867724864,0.06578881844114484,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.39156312810349614,0.5227587515991614,0.615771691928267,0.3487518605990452,45.582484785314364,0.5015139226311968,-0.02796224206803552,0.4053825828596803,397,0.9974811083123426,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9054691505289254,1.5106463491616744,0.15066261387033303,1.0302566859469637,5.911826113041671,3.606691854417125,-0.14224109480539482,0.00022739599642497004,302,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6415734687925971,1.0793235991283914,0.010593342108474227,0.8861496866583475,27.881784803619308,1.89999029967701,0.06512802019473493,0.13629766785971706,236,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9785579687021722,1.2185666465217302,0.009193383581546519,1.0035637754191074,31.749193213903137,2.2395890934282816,-0.040322580645161296,0.759913005591003,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.511633278273054,0.3279196583341937,,0.13487926869872632,-29.1403290585772,72.94843799978018,0.12210585986208722,0.00609119859234737,271,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,527,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,528,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3316526222970445,0.518229795992016,0.03950672721610399,0.3705334650768531,1.9642900030307806,0.3385346334229588,-0.31746031746031744,0.0177084999871278,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17423094034295913,0.3558307925248305,0.25522399927816786,0.27427027864264475,62.77785857384791,0.20522240101186143,-0.0173359892051661,0.6068754649338213,395,0.9974683544303797,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7081200802053518,1.472805122504672,0.1327931792392439,1.233632593135565,7.1260217681167815,3.2721113120803,-0.09458537765945745,0.014231477618090932,302,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.269724042997417,1.2932646570136275,0.009829127666112472,0.7493222343920141,-0.29848063666583374,2.8668257073572234,0.1915134015441592,0.00014113314543141658,179,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.265937562692351,1.540499852025,0.011156437972542885,0.9013833142116295,2.935846945828291,3.584032706887164,-0.009523809523809525,0.9762195060555436,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,12.004597328690606,1.5090977310322014,,0.19183579729940103,-87.56940580147621,87.80806483320745,0.003982250540448287,0.935325106525347,188,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:35:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5505143487401877,0.3120024149014855,,0.0002757558980411117,-100.0,3.572929118586995,-0.018339384623539078,0.5891052400295234,389,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.549103013573799,0.311227220141422,,0.00027576384978969943,-100.0,3.5684425580596533,-0.019998681695339797,0.5553473863000548,390,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.706714315171903,0.6649440647216701,0.0315691235852417,0.3206082426601839,-12.340778812805832,1.3527117377628468,-0.18115942028985507,0.22687503195798614,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3150838352013952,0.9630895674104943,0.7538594260025219,0.393103154940423,16.659750611423,2.4942460346322974,0.0167646042170757,0.6848183143161577,264,0.9962121212121212,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:48:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,56.28561192572501,5.13218825670169,0.13036410148840158,1.0269086770552778,-65.09722611053073,182.10170512116613,-0.07980304719435155,0.08689829314492818,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T03:20:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T10:51:30.937614+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:31.623457+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -64,10 +64,10 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,18471.081160071804,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20480.97453608318,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,139539233137.999,281471356.81470025,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,93633848.65153071,278857079.9903003,12,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -56,8 +56,8 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,ETS,34760.888480596994,101594.6051003379,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,1648.5865281685012,2064701.8557205228,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1969.2165300265635,24004028.41764697,9,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,48563.11139278662,14697753.01907235,10,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,42329034429.64328,619639979.7158791,11,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,48563.11139278662,15476761.70209931,10,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,1096494943.431912,616755690.8548436,11,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,4574.910284864281,128679230.09094329,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,Chronos-2,0.41478520686732345,0.6013980816930619,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.5261185187787719,0.6683883837951358,2,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -5,11 +5,11 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
 12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
-12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,120.58131814796059,7,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,126.97235586142686,7,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
 12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,296910.5495133771,13406.731654855768,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,7691.196375720221,13344.326245197231,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
 24,TiRex,6.756496163289516,0.7744482076348079,1,7,7,1.0
 24,Chronos-2,7.5292623256725335,0.37204959265128773,2,7,7,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 Overall,TiRex,8.353354354823885,7.982599955499262,1,12,12,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-2,10.341434437439744,5.892070589574432,2,12,12,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,1119.0489777773864,24.26293090185123,3,12,12,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,608.7100517629485,24.244071182443868,3,12,12,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,17.129730806331033,11.634687735117273,4,12,12,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,5,12,12,1.0
 Overall,Moving-Average,67.55410612788627,0.37298957745710887,6,12,12,1.0
 Overall,TabPFN-TS,6.651725853133647,2.575242972556257,7,12,12,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,9.900938534912244,3.5481404126522627,8,12,12,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,44.64611919685413,11.244418242242466,9,12,12,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,44.64611919685413,11.341622366409743,9,12,12,1.0
 Overall,ARIMA,161.35690780763707,8.315271787203065,10,12,12,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,24.71667942750833,16.098621969410704,11,12,12,1.0
 Overall,ETS,238.88965993603242,13.98997749855162,12,12,12,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.942018+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.504602+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.777807+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.565065+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.790570+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.370005+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.811450+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.636808+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.861605+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.416956+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.833310+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.692714+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/dataset_eval_intervals.json

@@ -1,6 +1,5 @@
 {
     "binance_btcusdt_1h_close": 300,
-    "coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd": 300,
     "data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd": 2592000,
     "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total": 900,
     "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count": 300,
@@ -11,6 +10,5 @@
     "open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5": 3600,
     "open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m": 3600,
     "usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count": 3600,
-    "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060": 900,
-    "wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews": 86400
+    "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060": 900
 }

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.928167+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.488102+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.864350+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.731668+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.858243+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.404901+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.896343+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
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results/moving_average/online_meta.json

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-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
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results/online_status.json

@@ -1,23 +1,17 @@
 {
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+    "finished_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:33.724395+00:00",
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-            "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
-            "dataset": "nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short",
-            "error": "Mean forecast length 10 < 24"
-        }
-    ],
+    "failed_forecasts": [],
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             "model": "Chronos-2",
@@ -25,8 +19,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:51:29.050595+00:00",
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.370005+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
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+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.636808+00:00",
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+                }
+            ]
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@@ -34,8 +38,18 @@
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+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:28.030310+00:00",
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+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
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@@ -43,8 +57,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.379999+00:00",
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+                {
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+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.983825+00:00",
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+                }
+            ]
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         "Toto-1.0": {
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@@ -52,8 +76,18 @@
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+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:28.088907+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
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         "Moirai-2.0": {
             "model": "Moirai-2.0",
@@ -61,8 +95,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.404901+00:00",
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.767739+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
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+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
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         "Chronos-Bolt": {
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@@ -70,8 +114,18 @@
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-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:51:29.050608+00:00",
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.416956+00:00",
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+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.692714+00:00",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
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         "TabPFN-TS": {
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@@ -79,8 +133,18 @@
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+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.962669+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Sundial": {
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@@ -88,8 +152,18 @@
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+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moving-Average": {
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@@ -97,8 +171,18 @@
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-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:51:29.050611+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.465950+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.821251+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ETS": {
             "model": "ETS",
@@ -106,8 +190,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.488102+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.731668+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ARIMA": {
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@@ -115,8 +209,18 @@
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+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Seasonal-Naive": {
             "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
@@ -124,8 +228,18 @@
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-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.515311+00:00",
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+                }
+            ]
         }
     },
     "skipped_models": [],
@@ -148,7 +262,5 @@
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-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-27T10:52:06.062908+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

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+    "2026-07-25T21:40:00",
+    "2026-07-25T21:45:00",
+    "2026-07-25T21:50:00",
+    "2026-07-25T21:55:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:00:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:05:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:10:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:15:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:20:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:25:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:30:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:35:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:40:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:45:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:50:00",
+    "2026-07-25T22:55:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:00:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:05:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:10:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:15:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:20:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:25:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:30:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:35:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:40:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:45:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:50:00",
+    "2026-07-25T23:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T00:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T01:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T01:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T01:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T01:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T01:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T01:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T01:30:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-25 15:35",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-26 01:30",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-27T11:01:58.589841Z",
+  "task_id": "future-7cda1dcb0f2ede3d56af",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:28.377339+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/prequential/tasks/future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb.json

@@ -253,7 +253,23 @@
   "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:14.388481Z",
   "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
   "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
+    "ARIMA",
+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:28.122423+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-26T00:10:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00"
 }

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.951692+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.515311+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.943399+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.851667+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,0.10473457323496249,0.1147649239028985
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,2.8441660902956243,2.843487024785437,nan,nan,0.015264503024766838,nan,nan,1.6864655615504351,nan,nan,1.3267261152393919,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,0.002358375788148293,0.0002694235122434657,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.04856311139278756,nan,nan,0.011695251725525484,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,3.72406193123474e-16,4.196063566719155e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.929782871525898e-08,nan,nan,1.8471081160071816e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,6.865236982788216e-16,5.257900911761759e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.6201597246710392e-08,nan,nan,2.048097453608319e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.08695338508506821,0.08353722033822863,nan,nan,0.016796435774787625,nan,nan,0.294878593806109,nan,nan,0.1770426087971502,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.643928769639222,0.6319921669771239,nan,nan,0.2272527477540299,nan,nan,0.8024517241798549,nan,nan,0.5869341679405086,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,0.9437676842040763,1.008488858597588,nan,nan,0.09451148129927175,nan,nan,0.9714770631384337,nan,nan,0.7021039878047753,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.877617+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.457002+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.972654+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.878722+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.866756+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.424067+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.010198+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.962669+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.813349+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.379999+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.038548+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:27.983825+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.808279+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.374558+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.068385+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:28.030310+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.2726949967761062,0.2527851149657427
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,3.6645792269334403,3.8334701114198935,nan,nan,0.018154881072786195,nan,nan,1.9143090729904197,nan,nan,1.3158562118322297,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.012840454368657432,1.324696472462531e-06,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.11331572869049306,nan,nan,0.0013640951207517992,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.13953923313799904,7.2273918400984e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.37354950560534683,nan,nan,0.0002814713568147487,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,9.36338486515306e-05,9.626044942857734e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.009676458476711954,nan,nan,0.0002788570799903364,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.3781601546771693,0.064105101809067,nan,nan,0.014643988879747117,nan,nan,0.614947277965493,nan,nan,0.19193844973139762,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.6981253128988143,0.6841600393071283,nan,nan,0.2575339644461515,nan,nan,0.8355389355971475,nan,nan,0.598566697127451,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,9.636232627812483,0.5254104186787759,nan,nan,0.06892947365847989,nan,nan,3.104228185525749,nan,nan,0.7304308435297772,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.817370+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T11:05:29.382852+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.112696+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-a2004d1e40950d24fedb",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.687128+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:02:28.088907+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T01:05:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]