Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:56.580068+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:04.833036+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27242,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2692,
+  "num_model_releases": 27254,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2693,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2598,
-      "num_unique_releases": 217,
+      "num_model_releases": 2610,
+      "num_unique_releases": 218,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26861,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2634,
+      "num_model_releases": 26873,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2635,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4854
+    "prequential-v1": 4866
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,11.21906463856712,1.3714063331673418,0.2977382342990458,0.9313558984884072,22.17129988090998,0.6693702927553986,11,2632,13,32.798611111111114,41.2435984724768,-0.02977213249234693,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,10.319289564717996,1.2897574525824456,0.2448935146401012,0.9346854196197134,26.521759329351074,0.6674535708922565,11,2623,13,32.798611111111114,38.19814108546239,-0.4742165769367914,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,10.291439435466883,1.3219235627787778,0.34514553180015906,1.1067941252154017,19.136210196493135,0.6092162975012773,11,2618,13,32.798611111111114,37.67364626097859,-0.14088324360345808,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,10.758929267328785,1.408223294817557,0.7260458610629702,1.0372202119046414,14.31388887500964,0.5781377556506007,11,1874,13,27.45486111111111,39.65510820092541,-0.36310546582568043,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,11.082370290328683,1.3561858815867527,0.31004985012592745,1.1396128633282188,16.61010298113757,0.5596305633590725,11,1763,13,29.45486111111111,41.18386396576476,-0.14088324360345808,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,9.735176045567886,1.3375376029777175,0.5502556415869776,0.9287330426314834,11.52318720063034,0.5235142475465213,11,1861,13,27.45486111111111,35.767614238233996,-0.4742165769367914,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,11.126259242342304,1.3304383848227954,0.3860778895025945,1.06846404172383,10.4943368344964,0.512041191158613,11,2112,13,29.45486111111111,42.01852736643907,-0.24444444444444446,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,11.195629084606967,1.4842601245109341,0.7264649161541805,1.1800646325638529,0.0,0.3861982905317128,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,40.88157057055366,-0.25199435471456927,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,10.87421763110213,1.3935787015212502,0.8264758945743352,1.1915851236722192,2.9038718315229355,0.38000736264542534,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,41.10983316910336,-0.25199435471456927,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,11.30584772195405,1.5999122382369728,0.8284570582914834,1.2567096739475332,-11.937588493584373,0.37465817958207065,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,40.446662428851944,-0.4742165769367914,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,10.305947710716008,1.604350729956174,0.35166200855328006,0.9920578693220369,-23.37174485300426,0.37376903833927505,11,1888,13,27.45486111111111,36.40007386978144,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,10.181023066999368,1.5766953156110577,0.9195832302575342,1.3091488860659397,-16.596008725203042,0.36600321003777636,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,35.73635502285186,-0.36310546582568043,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,11.21906463856712,1.3714063331673418,0.2977382342990458,0.9313558984884072,22.17129988090998,0.6693702927553986,11,2633,13,32.798611111111114,41.2435984724768,-0.02977213249234693,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,10.319289564717996,1.2897574525824456,0.2448935146401012,0.9346854196197134,26.521759329351074,0.6674535708922565,11,2624,13,32.798611111111114,38.19814108546239,-0.4742165769367914,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,10.291439435466883,1.3219235627787778,0.34514553180015906,1.1067941252154017,19.136210196493135,0.6092162975012773,11,2619,13,32.798611111111114,37.67364626097859,-0.14088324360345808,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,10.758929267328785,1.408223294817557,0.7260458610629702,1.0372202119046414,14.31388887500964,0.5781377556506007,11,1875,13,27.45486111111111,39.65510820092541,-0.36310546582568043,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,11.082370290328683,1.3561858815867527,0.31004985012592745,1.1396128633282188,16.61010298113757,0.5596305633590725,11,1764,13,29.45486111111111,41.18386396576476,-0.14088324360345808,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,9.735176045567886,1.3375376029777175,0.5502556415869776,0.9287330426314834,11.52318720063034,0.5235142475465213,11,1862,13,27.45486111111111,35.767614238233996,-0.4742165769367914,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,11.126259242342304,1.3304383848227954,0.3860778895025945,1.06846404172383,10.4943368344964,0.5120412913899537,11,2113,13,29.45486111111111,42.01852736643907,-0.24444444444444446,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,11.195629084606967,1.4842601245109341,0.7264649161541805,1.1800646325638529,0.0,0.3861982905317128,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,40.88157057055366,-0.25199435471456927,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,10.87421763110213,1.3935787015212502,0.8264758945743352,1.1915851236722192,2.9038718315229355,0.3800073292349785,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,41.10983316910336,-0.25199435471456927,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,11.30584772195405,1.5999122382369728,0.8284570582914834,1.2567096739475332,-11.937588493584373,0.3746581461716238,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,40.446662428851944,-0.4742165769367914,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,10.305947710716008,1.604350729956174,0.35166200855328006,0.9920578693220369,-23.37174485300426,0.37376903833927505,11,1889,13,27.45486111111111,36.40007386978144,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,10.181023066999368,1.5766953156110577,0.9195832302575342,1.3091488860659397,-16.596008725203042,0.3660031766273295,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,35.73635502285186,-0.36310546582568043,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.127498581496958,0.8760060784820353,0.15959153129293727,0.63928274327056,23.355840486244638,0.6693702927553986,11,2632,13,32.798611111111114,136.55941884381016,0.039884992251108656,0.23076923076923078,13,2586,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.29703817203589,0.8800405052190693,0.19541374335557052,0.6729522293755916,24.561989285707078,0.6674535708922565,11,2623,13,32.798611111111114,139.29176237065275,0.03312982185794171,0.23076923076923078,13,2573,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.175887971374785,0.8753107857579304,0.1373637942764365,0.7173534214217164,23.956549594510527,0.6092162975012773,11,2618,13,32.798611111111114,136.81663340461554,0.04198800561377428,0.23076923076923078,13,2567,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.685521708993313,0.9246346489415779,0.24054027577502987,0.6706805695503881,22.135340871297085,0.5781377556506007,11,1874,13,27.45486111111111,156.27935485559257,0.06964543052422639,0.15384615384615385,13,1874,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.380808541247127,0.9719955591628704,0.19975214187286416,0.8171966208254949,18.6379754703428,0.5596305633590725,11,1763,13,29.45486111111111,163.70453886731696,0.047608656616781826,0.15384615384615385,13,1766,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.950280144797407,0.9709762772753858,0.2732829077762151,0.7185750777524593,11.512633339383452,0.5235142475465213,11,1861,13,27.45486111111111,157.2331400198349,0.028096196114142654,0.15384615384615385,13,1861,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.337152464586566,1.0118932019018936,0.2219925983300484,0.7648340665848624,16.12709743268285,0.512041191158613,11,2112,13,29.45486111111111,151.17843072070224,0.005172828222714647,0.3076923076923077,13,2114,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.97582226112081,1.2327088661147199,0.36409266030348325,0.9609797541968457,0.0,0.3861982905317128,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,141.83353174238115,0.03640258471379722,0.3076923076923077,13,2414,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.718282041954222,1.1396739737217185,0.339546885675302,0.9159123480336553,3.096759961700925,0.38000736264542534,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,142.07776771248925,0.07817724668137474,0.15384615384615385,13,2406,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.645340379886344,1.1434735342365066,0.34672836443469773,0.9019530447020023,1.8423123047215078,0.37465817958207065,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,142.0844953257305,0.05840328778517471,0.15384615384615385,13,2406,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.590289095606717,1.6605287743079662,0.28060341807556705,0.7007860589473959,-19.147784541994163,0.37376903833927505,11,1888,13,27.45486111111111,213.5573186863248,-0.005454433842583106,0.15384615384615385,13,1888,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.408516249010685,1.3987136898421761,0.3149798604717151,1.1096028195108514,-3.5383000347695788,0.36600321003777636,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,146.94215643447222,0.07206950118267218,0.15384615384615385,13,2406,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.127498581496958,0.8760060784820353,0.15959153129293727,0.63928274327056,23.355840486244638,0.6693702927553986,11,2633,13,32.798611111111114,136.55941884381016,0.039884992251108656,0.23076923076923078,13,2587,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.29703817203589,0.8800405052190693,0.19541374335557052,0.6729522293755916,24.561989285707078,0.6674535708922565,11,2624,13,32.798611111111114,139.29176237065275,0.03312982185794171,0.23076923076923078,13,2574,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.175887971374785,0.8753107857579304,0.1373637942764365,0.7173534214217164,23.956549594510527,0.6092162975012773,11,2619,13,32.798611111111114,136.81663340461554,0.04198800561377428,0.23076923076923078,13,2568,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.685521708993313,0.9246346489415779,0.24054027577502987,0.6706805695503881,22.135340871297085,0.5781377556506007,11,1875,13,27.45486111111111,156.27935485559257,0.06964543052422639,0.15384615384615385,13,1875,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.380808541247127,0.9719955591628704,0.19975214187286416,0.8171966208254949,18.6379754703428,0.5596305633590725,11,1764,13,29.45486111111111,163.70453886731696,0.047608656616781826,0.15384615384615385,13,1767,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.950280144797407,0.9709762772753858,0.2732829077762151,0.7185750777524593,11.512633339383452,0.5235142475465213,11,1862,13,27.45486111111111,157.2331400198349,0.028096196114142654,0.15384615384615385,13,1862,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.337152464586566,1.0118932019013276,0.2219925983300484,0.764834066584901,16.12709743268285,0.5120412913899537,11,2113,13,29.45486111111111,151.17843072070224,0.005172828222714647,0.3076923076923077,13,2115,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.97582226112081,1.2327088661147199,0.36409266030348325,0.9609797541968457,0.0,0.3861982905317128,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,141.83353174238115,0.03640258471379722,0.3076923076923077,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.718282041954222,1.1396739737217185,0.339546885675302,0.9159123480336553,3.096759961700925,0.3800073292349785,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,142.07776771248925,0.07817724668137474,0.15384615384615385,13,2407,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.645340379886344,1.1434735342365066,0.34672836443469773,0.9019530447020023,1.8423123047215078,0.3746581461716238,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,142.0844953257305,0.05840328778517471,0.15384615384615385,13,2407,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.59018855902494,1.6604714767878936,0.28060341807556705,0.7007860585672483,-19.147784541994163,0.37376903833927505,11,1889,13,27.45486111111111,213.556998236928,-0.005654967273201462,0.15384615384615385,13,1889,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.408516249010685,1.3987136898421761,0.3149798604717151,1.1096028195108514,-3.5383000347695788,0.3660031766273295,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,146.94215643447222,0.07206950118267218,0.15384615384615385,13,2407,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,121.75438822380924,1.793116426573522,0.15595417042590975,1.5743149429589518,16.766780073793786,0.6693702927553986,11,2632,13,32.798611111111114,458.42257043715074,-0.14230480598079528,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,122.59035714010815,1.780005106418631,0.15259934428692115,1.8674583765773143,18.484614097807334,0.6674535708922565,11,2623,13,32.798611111111114,467.5277231860658,-0.19675311948570895,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,121.65572191715,1.7763699992403865,0.13801880971900787,1.6462690154470045,17.06118232052675,0.6092162975012773,11,2618,13,32.798611111111114,458.47411033606676,-0.18595934729103708,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,121.73130873090214,1.812322134556706,0.21359666758738732,1.5733426804651038,14.418137729066773,0.5781377556506007,11,1874,13,27.45486111111111,458.56642718973075,-0.1099562847313682,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,121.90610512254476,1.8776695636421046,0.18130305020392717,1.7459325388856624,8.72395427782942,0.5596305633590725,11,1763,13,29.45486111111111,458.56534695440166,-0.13426894964434374,0.08333333333333333,12,216,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,121.73295553895287,1.8302077270420467,0.20344713190547375,1.6189839256276777,5.7882812582243455,0.5235142475465213,11,1861,13,27.45486111111111,458.6878265396615,-0.11367704748746413,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,121.88014035064337,1.8336349235868206,0.18893760237694754,1.6360949337880946,14.123355896911638,0.512041191158613,11,2112,13,29.45486111111111,458.64096145934093,-0.19828904148679746,0.0,12,216,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,122.26812798255554,2.0138192293174364,0.26442553220277204,1.6480973461592268,0.0,0.3861982905317128,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,458.8452602627207,-0.15052392020544136,0.08333333333333333,12,216,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,122.09658480547365,1.97960575192217,0.2725609026163274,1.7841799089734869,-3.185576096785766,0.38000736264542534,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,458.7620237999869,-0.07804508802412097,0.08333333333333333,12,216,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,122.16807603210445,2.0557992544089934,0.2637548406215401,1.786282675006025,-7.603560498895761,0.37465817958207065,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,458.6987496683057,0.013512497999868199,0.08333333333333333,12,216,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,164.70012066054107,2.423108128042768,0.173091111618395,1.5120920607514217,-25.98217476927574,0.37376903833927505,11,1888,13,27.45486111111111,588.3331029255385,-0.12229047908920583,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,123.35663261087704,2.3282250745913435,0.3799688143910239,2.0562398441493657,-13.205784714545269,0.36600321003777636,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,459.9676596050482,0.01723815559643521,0.0,12,216,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,121.75438822380924,1.793116426573522,0.15595417042590975,1.5743149429589518,16.766780073793786,0.6693702927553986,11,2633,13,32.798611111111114,458.42257043715074,-0.14230480598079528,0.08333333333333333,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,122.59035714010815,1.780005106418631,0.15259934428692115,1.8674583765773143,18.484614097807334,0.6674535708922565,11,2624,13,32.798611111111114,467.5277231860658,-0.19675311948570895,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,121.65572191715,1.7763699992403865,0.13801880971900787,1.6462690154470045,17.06118232052675,0.6092162975012773,11,2619,13,32.798611111111114,458.47411033606676,-0.18595934729103708,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,121.73130873090214,1.812322134556706,0.21359666758738732,1.5733426804651038,14.418137729066773,0.5781377556506007,11,1875,13,27.45486111111111,458.56642718973075,-0.1099562847313682,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,121.90610512254476,1.8776695636421046,0.18130305020392717,1.7459325388856624,8.72395427782942,0.5596305633590725,11,1764,13,29.45486111111111,458.56534695440166,-0.13426894964434374,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,121.73295553895287,1.8302077270420467,0.20344713190547375,1.6189839256276777,5.7882812582243455,0.5235142475465213,11,1862,13,27.45486111111111,458.6878265396615,-0.11367704748746413,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,121.88014035064337,1.8336349235835605,0.18893760237694754,1.6360949337883017,14.123355896911638,0.5120412913899537,11,2113,13,29.45486111111111,458.64096145934093,-0.19828904148679746,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,122.26812798255554,2.0138192293174364,0.26442553220277204,1.6480973461592268,0.0,0.3861982905317128,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,458.8452602627207,-0.15052392020544136,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,122.09658480547365,1.97960575192217,0.2725609026163274,1.7841799089734869,-3.185576096785766,0.3800073292349785,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,458.7620237999869,-0.07804508802412097,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,122.16807603210445,2.0557992544089934,0.2637548406215401,1.786282675006025,-7.603560498895761,0.3746581461716238,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,458.6987496683057,0.013512497999868199,0.08333333333333333,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,164.69945457247735,2.422799259942523,0.173091111618395,1.512092059122818,-25.98217476927574,0.37376903833927505,11,1889,13,27.45486111111111,588.3307922390798,-0.12357716511753535,0.0,12,218,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,123.35663261087704,2.3282250745913435,0.3799688143910239,2.0562398441493657,-13.205784714545269,0.3660031766273295,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,459.9676596050482,0.01723815559643521,0.0,12,217,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.127489791785273,0.8757831715373572,0.15954391791829628,0.6394175247198978,23.507786999629918,0.6693702927553986,11,2632,13,32.798611111111114,136.55941031981723,0.036237102661574545,0.23076923076923078,13,2637,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.295408893542508,0.8787783358679895,0.19518655562622628,0.6725630663812218,24.72117197829922,0.6674535708922565,11,2623,13,32.798611111111114,139.29013564639425,0.03570029392443503,0.23076923076923078,13,2623,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.176550669491926,0.8755909111786303,0.13734683164392567,0.7175968594994073,23.935100226305334,0.6092162975012773,11,2618,13,32.798611111111114,136.81774524644896,0.03743435119274588,0.23076923076923078,13,2618,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.685521708993313,0.9246346489415779,0.24054027577502987,0.6706805695503881,22.135340871297085,0.5781377556506007,11,1874,13,27.45486111111111,156.27935485559257,0.06964543052422639,0.15384615384615385,13,1874,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.380808541247127,0.9719955591628704,0.19975214187286416,0.8171966208254949,18.6379754703428,0.5596305633590725,11,1763,13,29.45486111111111,163.70453886731696,0.047608656616781826,0.15384615384615385,13,1766,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.950280144797407,0.9709762772753858,0.2732829077762151,0.7185750777524593,11.512633339383452,0.5235142475465213,11,1861,13,27.45486111111111,157.2331400198349,0.028096196114142654,0.15384615384615385,13,1861,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.337152464586566,1.0118932019018936,0.2219925983300484,0.7648340665848624,16.12709743268285,0.512041191158613,11,2112,13,29.45486111111111,151.17843072070224,0.005172828222714647,0.3076923076923077,13,2114,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.973853706250662,1.232590567892866,0.3642153027092619,0.9613360506893266,0.0,0.3861982905317128,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,141.83112104491295,0.03966359327984558,0.3076923076923077,13,2472,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.721622494235618,1.1414191845683483,0.33992373508650053,0.9176337987484059,3.0041105817728275,0.38000736264542534,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,142.07893091567763,0.06605929291885865,0.15384615384615385,13,2463,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.65728856029108,1.1472090078456099,0.3472536477741651,0.9049471765212205,1.7134645877653425,0.37465817958207065,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,142.09504456430608,0.0420847011748109,0.15384615384615385,13,2463,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.590289095606717,1.6605287743079662,0.28060341807556705,0.7007860589473959,-19.147784541994163,0.37376903833927505,11,1888,13,27.45486111111111,213.5573186863248,-0.005454433842583106,0.15384615384615385,13,1888,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.447986365071152,1.4073731032504537,0.31584401609792606,1.1165478015240125,-3.797562282755019,0.36600321003777636,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114,146.97068237665073,0.0494208658019413,0.15384615384615385,13,2463,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.127489791785273,0.8757831715373572,0.15954391791829628,0.6394175247198978,23.507786999629918,0.6693702927553986,11,2633,13,32.798611111111114,136.55941031981723,0.036237102661574545,0.23076923076923078,13,2638,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.295408893542508,0.8787783358679895,0.19518655562622628,0.6725630663812218,24.72117197829922,0.6674535708922565,11,2624,13,32.798611111111114,139.29013564639425,0.03570029392443503,0.23076923076923078,13,2624,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.176550669491926,0.8755909111786303,0.13734683164392567,0.7175968594994073,23.935100226305334,0.6092162975012773,11,2619,13,32.798611111111114,136.81774524644896,0.03743435119274588,0.23076923076923078,13,2619,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.685521708993313,0.9246346489415779,0.24054027577502987,0.6706805695503881,22.135340871297085,0.5781377556506007,11,1875,13,27.45486111111111,156.27935485559257,0.06964543052422639,0.15384615384615385,13,1875,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.380808541247127,0.9719955591628704,0.19975214187286416,0.8171966208254949,18.6379754703428,0.5596305633590725,11,1764,13,29.45486111111111,163.70453886731696,0.047608656616781826,0.15384615384615385,13,1767,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.950280144797407,0.9709762772753858,0.2732829077762151,0.7185750777524593,11.512633339383452,0.5235142475465213,11,1862,13,27.45486111111111,157.2331400198349,0.028096196114142654,0.15384615384615385,13,1862,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.337152464586566,1.0118932019013276,0.2219925983300484,0.764834066584901,16.12709743268285,0.5120412913899537,11,2113,13,29.45486111111111,151.17843072070224,0.005172828222714647,0.3076923076923077,13,2115,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.973853706250662,1.232590567892866,0.3642153027092619,0.9613360506893266,0.0,0.3861982905317128,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,141.83112104491295,0.03966359327984558,0.3076923076923077,13,2473,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.721622494235618,1.1414191845683483,0.33992373508650053,0.9176337987484059,3.0041105817728275,0.3800073292349785,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,142.07893091567763,0.06605929291885865,0.15384615384615385,13,2464,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.65728856029108,1.1472090078456099,0.3472536477741651,0.9049471765212205,1.7134645877653425,0.3746581461716238,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,142.09504456430608,0.0420847011748109,0.15384615384615385,13,2464,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.59018855902494,1.6604714767878936,0.28060341807556705,0.7007860585672483,-19.147784541994163,0.37376903833927505,11,1889,13,27.45486111111111,213.556998236928,-0.005654967273201462,0.15384615384615385,13,1889,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.447986365071152,1.4073731032504537,0.31584401609792606,1.1165478015240125,-3.797562282755019,0.3660031766273295,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114,146.97068237665073,0.0494208658019413,0.15384615384615385,13,2464,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693702927553986,11,2632,13,32.798611111111114
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6674535708922565,11,2623,13,32.798611111111114
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092162975012773,11,2618,13,32.798611111111114
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781377556506007,11,1874,13,27.45486111111111
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596305633590725,11,1763,13,29.45486111111111
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235142475465213,11,1861,13,27.45486111111111
-7,Official,Sundial,0.512041191158613,11,2112,13,29.45486111111111
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3861982905317128,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38000736264542534,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37465817958207065,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37376903833927505,11,1888,13,27.45486111111111
-12,Official,ETS,0.36600321003777636,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693702927553986,11,2633,13,32.798611111111114
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6674535708922565,11,2624,13,32.798611111111114
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092162975012773,11,2619,13,32.798611111111114
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781377556506007,11,1875,13,27.45486111111111
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596305633590725,11,1764,13,29.45486111111111
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235142475465213,11,1862,13,27.45486111111111
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120412913899537,11,2113,13,29.45486111111111
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3861982905317128,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3800073292349785,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3746581461716238,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37376903833927505,11,1889,13,27.45486111111111
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660031766273295,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693702927553986,11,2632,13,32.798611111111114
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6674535708922565,11,2623,13,32.798611111111114
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092162975012773,11,2618,13,32.798611111111114
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781377556506007,11,1874,13,27.45486111111111
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596305633590725,11,1763,13,29.45486111111111
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235142475465213,11,1861,13,27.45486111111111
-7,Official,Sundial,0.512041191158613,11,2112,13,29.45486111111111
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3861982905317128,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38000736264542534,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37465817958207065,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37376903833927505,11,1888,13,27.45486111111111
-12,Official,ETS,0.36600321003777636,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693702927553986,11,2633,13,32.798611111111114
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6674535708922565,11,2624,13,32.798611111111114
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092162975012773,11,2619,13,32.798611111111114
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781377556506007,11,1875,13,27.45486111111111
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596305633590725,11,1764,13,29.45486111111111
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235142475465213,11,1862,13,27.45486111111111
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120412913899537,11,2113,13,29.45486111111111
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3861982905317128,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3800073292349785,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3746581461716238,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37376903833927505,11,1889,13,27.45486111111111
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660031766273295,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693702927553986,11,2632,13,32.798611111111114
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6674535708922565,11,2623,13,32.798611111111114
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092162975012773,11,2618,13,32.798611111111114
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781377556506007,11,1874,13,27.45486111111111
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596305633590725,11,1763,13,29.45486111111111
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235142475465213,11,1861,13,27.45486111111111
-7,Official,Sundial,0.512041191158613,11,2112,13,29.45486111111111
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3861982905317128,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38000736264542534,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37465817958207065,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37376903833927505,11,1888,13,27.45486111111111
-12,Official,ETS,0.36600321003777636,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693702927553986,11,2633,13,32.798611111111114
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6674535708922565,11,2624,13,32.798611111111114
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092162975012773,11,2619,13,32.798611111111114
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781377556506007,11,1875,13,27.45486111111111
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596305633590725,11,1764,13,29.45486111111111
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235142475465213,11,1862,13,27.45486111111111
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120412913899537,11,2113,13,29.45486111111111
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3861982905317128,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3800073292349785,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3746581461716238,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37376903833927505,11,1889,13,27.45486111111111
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660031766273295,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693702927553986,11,2632,13,32.798611111111114
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6674535708922565,11,2623,13,32.798611111111114
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092162975012773,11,2618,13,32.798611111111114
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781377556506007,11,1874,13,27.45486111111111
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596305633590725,11,1763,13,29.45486111111111
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235142475465213,11,1861,13,27.45486111111111
-7,Official,Sundial,0.512041191158613,11,2112,13,29.45486111111111
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3861982905317128,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38000736264542534,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37465817958207065,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37376903833927505,11,1888,13,27.45486111111111
-12,Official,ETS,0.36600321003777636,11,2463,13,32.798611111111114
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693702927553986,11,2633,13,32.798611111111114
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6674535708922565,11,2624,13,32.798611111111114
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092162975012773,11,2619,13,32.798611111111114
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781377556506007,11,1875,13,27.45486111111111
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596305633590725,11,1764,13,29.45486111111111
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235142475465213,11,1862,13,27.45486111111111
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120412913899537,11,2113,13,29.45486111111111
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3861982905317128,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3800073292349785,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3746581461716238,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37376903833927505,11,1889,13,27.45486111111111
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660031766273295,11,2464,13,32.798611111111114

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -867,6 +867,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.361196
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:36.848661+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.020022+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.882246+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.000331+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.111728+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8733164326189212,0.9345140087868781,0.31318613438195847,0.6865195744575935,46.86492117938243,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.280217+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.1547416688613774,1.4679038350182811,0.09901092782740228,1.0799735452071433,22.906380680049732,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.666925+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -3386,6 +3387,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.369265
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:36.897922+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.047980+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.885178+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.041460+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.117328+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.426865400865136,1.1945147135406646,0.3538847093558443,0.8565198409460311,25.697732107464393,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.396449+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.3388746623496974,1.5293379817259811,0.09965893656277758,1.0226202259620927,18.986939626497467,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.670263+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
@@ -5723,6 +5725,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.374732
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:36.924447+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.060796+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.891012+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.088963+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.123301+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.5894106613430659,1.26071831165533,0.3676141285470165,0.9153294080811393,20.593986381728964,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.452725+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.750741591542309,1.9366831417509445,0.1392463972171763,1.3259239205989068,-4.391190425145832,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.677154+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
@@ -7828,6 +7831,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.380849
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:36.948354+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.076775+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.897399+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.141945+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.128706+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8447866350341414,0.9191227529738024,0.30646271974347006,0.6701083318265498,48.15074728331943,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.503141+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.601600208586302,1.6129476769524491,0.11517790682625205,1.2362888965743848,13.808543572542757,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.682106+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -10050,6 +10054,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.386383
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:36.967393+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.109211+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.902310+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.175044+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.133529+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7164268219613694,1.3101247352681231,0.374789228196398,0.9653558488696289,16.88541551417895,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.536573+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.189146520684486,1.7858181656273087,0.10753017199778328,1.1837422474890742,3.714286654366221,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.686611+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
@@ -12165,6 +12170,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.394188
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:36.982338+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.156061+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.907489+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.200349+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.138140+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4211661565780027,1.192126736793535,0.31529319196556843,0.989838550642038,25.884532899040384,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.591497+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.593394593666525,1.610401997535561,0.09214250986208603,1.1356883719062596,13.9634503382642,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.691503+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -14630,6 +14636,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.400323
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:37.007466+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.180825+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.916220+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.230904+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.142789+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.4138394425693366,1.553653578687777,0.4155421996763791,1.318195163004141,0.0,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.621054+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.4351934979359453,1.8534275000484766,0.11150811207531817,1.4258688486666202,0.0,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.697853+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -16960,6 +16967,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.406492
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:37.029591+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.548750210782889e-16,2.132779925539175e-08,,2.0119854102115705e-08,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.220958+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.048115305395521e-16,1.7458852497788968e-08,,1.8964113887473437e-08,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.920671+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.681489134201309e-16,2.163674914168325e-08,,2.0010892243649677e-08,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.261038+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.958110682141509e-16,1.9895001086055534e-08,,2.0469033114569025e-08,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.147103+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7037826755496255,1.3052902648643425,0.35941388233229987,1.0322307750353843,17.244340219934596,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.658650+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.8498442845450405,1.6881481820459483,0.10171001051529055,1.1756426704067644,9.313376206305659,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.702327+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.070043313558809e-15,5.540797157051329e-08,,2.0645562757324483e-08,0.0,False
@@ -18947,6 +18955,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.412210
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:37.045707+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.267782+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.926275+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.283160+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.152266+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.8418037742583622,1.3571307137701814,0.37557877288719155,1.2145444502054106,13.441814531091946,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.692750+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.8772205797085206,1.9690659155316566,0.12245280064203828,1.6509586810362067,-6.0448858212767504,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.707389+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -21032,6 +21041,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.424268
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:37.100386+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.369083+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.942176+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.373058+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.375484+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.494643557800461,1.2225561573197614,0.3678979953915163,0.870008011324187,23.517970646972408,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.774595+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.8584198185762695,1.6906861975470993,0.10386726644077234,1.0947997655062367,9.164428291875286,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.718358+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
@@ -23655,6 +23665,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.417540
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:37.076354+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.285981+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.939622+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.337094+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.359484+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2730970503834158,1.1283160241631844,0.3375842367089757,0.9369040280601596,30.940115034971374,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.726661+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.9340012968950364,1.7128926694031463,0.11276094913366824,1.2861314075612487,7.869004123530012,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.712069+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -25984,6 +25995,7 @@ future-35f066ac3c1bc2d0f12c,2026-07-18T16:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.431618
 future-362f589ec227ba9a0a7b,2026-07-24T12:45:00+00:00,2026-07-25T13:05:37.118469+00:00,2026-07-25T11:38:32.405836+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.4024228976442434e-05,0.004901451721321188,,0.0002795908245220575,-100.0,False
 future-36f227800ba53e7a0588,2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-26T11:38:46.404008+00:00,2026-07-26T10:28:55.127812+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.00018250986220942587,0.013509621097922246,,0.00027409447337858075,-100.0,False
 future-37845a2481817315aa46,2026-07-16T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T17:14:02.946608+00:00,2026-07-18T15:03:42.496069+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.6754246670738413e-05,0.005172450741257805,,0.00028102518361400276,-100.0,False
+future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:04:14.404902+00:00,2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.84273720519387e-05,0.005331732556302754,,0.00027376492872227336,-100.0,False
 future-395cfdc2c23238d2666d,2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T18:39:16.392096+00:00,2026-07-18T17:05:47.557691+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.5775847024966179,1.2560193877869155,0.3391645088229333,0.8658671980223939,20.95128730196376,True
 future-39e95b8fcdf4ed49cab4,2026-07-24T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:43:03.830729+00:00,2026-07-25T02:17:53.999721+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.726379731254204,2.3929855267540177,0.12253980976628674,1.3373753793433296,-25.00865491112591,True
 future-3a74af9ce80c719c739c,2026-07-15T23:15:00+00:00,2026-07-16T07:43:31.723521+00:00,2026-07-16T06:49:30.559809+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2358014148350217e-06,0.0011116660536487663,,0.0002730620829037502,-100.0,False

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.0362152760069723,1.262423873577054,0.014552071672063134,1.1868424577746526,9.843546699249252,2.1311933119335262,0.03426791277258567,0.45576305814672124,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1.261258169978178,0.011845155708664644,1.1042089583487873,17.948263157190265,1.7646338660449543,-0.19354838709677422,0.12407814866273859,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.599290482127929,0.37824235095358666,,0.1544500791188132,-31.504900545250898,73.40107786129059,0.050530265813845114,0.25648544573562637,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,528,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579215158443582e-30,0.0,1.0,529,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0372713909008047,1.338757409135639,0.08841225349586862,1.0471920629078773,-60.04842052552159,1.3229518329527603,-0.019704433497536943,0.8964941426465813,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2069314908540048,0.9683597005873055,1.296421741333044,0.7582291070114519,5.258874464344955,1.184210721997817,0.07457641093292658,0.02952535717376509,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.642668390401371,1.4291009307200675,0.13270701076162955,1.0415510999232118,11.598549038427826,3.392521142542207,-0.1264049636081613,0.001329558197059011,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6143995287769621,1.071300987091728,0.010071875487467954,0.7740100183681309,28.269168769570957,1.8996766414901718,0.07963854998066172,0.06675174172264038,239,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5811863431219901,1.070465590173461,0.008323636090464196,0.7421514556711728,36.369387975458395,2.0049073075588306,-0.056818181818181816,0.6556644947844955,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.355475341293883,0.3268894646817857,,0.14289066593732003,-30.757167929547776,72.0247193582162,0.027708607448669223,0.524061189722645,278,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.3561627471096824e-09,0.0,3.855379176752786e-34,0.0,1.0,548,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,3.855372757620197e-34,0.0,1.0,549,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3050272072682975,0.4849039749140633,0.03248454496927092,0.32868574233935344,8.695873973865309,0.3637335838792971,-0.31034482758620685,0.018062900791912716,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.329635522526068,0.4799541882107777,0.4810543741945129,0.3150902524855434,50.33679493777386,0.42253082016698157,-0.04154613466334165,0.21404591802754136,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7878878465279024,1.4852479970989572,0.14705923915976638,1.011446662698795,7.310432629870646,3.4682706268177075,-0.04823123382226057,0.20901726293026146,305,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.362298354965361,0.9909761575747218,0.009923004027311918,0.7225046602720693,22.098942754948517,1.5901846812739464,0.22059578839239857,1.3058414977773687e-05,177,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.4539380254510008,1.0171651602630492,0.00866256496836003,0.694295550748422,34.41538763559448,1.694495727681373,0.021645021645021644,0.9112884689584274,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.146502745234649,0.4640976066858245,,0.18604790924853376,-23.861185256686266,86.3541339936029,0.03029709936667467,0.5625943134386098,193,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,406,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,2.0219694369740005e-28,0.0,1.0,407,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34961672975930663,0.4845803469664631,0.032520078799656196,0.33712340507115973,9.025963259699289,0.562485284793877,-0.19999999999999996,0.16991295403230983,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3238711239886847,1.043890134553759,1.0896861427621487,0.7011390389636161,7.083048395618678,1.0721505210435176,-0.005774728416237851,0.888594311104474,265,0.9962264150943396,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.03953168262844,1.5710343092675203,0.141761317242231,1.076496996460011,-1.470514477674246,3.759265705643246,-0.05991001657589392,0.2009202188216379,206,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9075679929227745,1.145442111216266,0.010256259035586813,0.8906745144318265,25.146768370353712,2.4464040828135194,0.09780176385415296,0.033282650029523714,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1374607267848178,0.00888958251994685,0.8481888404956763,28.643717831168455,1.8085885112023488,-0.08064516129032259,0.5301288877477086,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.617600416355447,0.3739731138723638,,0.15104386616672305,-31.472826314209396,73.45602985426834,0.08546965378688869,0.05493922834975637,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,528,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579215158443582e-30,0.0,1.0,529,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.660516480548183,2.225192339732908,0.15960783427971914,1.7959679609048849,-79.30302139698192,3.8990647260009315,0.04926108374384236,0.7239201974279224,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9115180287397153,1.2292916063045047,1.4692498426421519,0.9342177570708378,-11.971992251944604,1.7087566629926263,0.09213835181597065,0.007168384324553285,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.881789957840418,1.9109640170752107,0.18518516691996545,1.5271174639958454,-5.23247461085654,12.036677544706185,-0.17752058226941891,6.56305097443338e-06,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3295117699164924,0.9463672571957353,0.008979569418290392,0.6916022759067921,31.367009216121886,1.6457491264731656,0.30895702405890946,9.19671354596505e-10,178,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646346,1.1324285203842483,0.009484338375650726,0.7276927535003623,29.188919734540207,1.7734024748178494,-0.05627705627705628,0.7380940484479567,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.100111110781787,0.4617357328719779,,0.18368681787145308,-23.853740960014722,86.13883715818955,0.018059507115598637,0.7294743344364885,194,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,407,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794953e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,2.527454167238121e-29,0.0,1.0,408,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34076853139363533,0.5028654711604497,0.033287769041700964,0.34285408620963204,0.43057480191444525,0.537567756002475,-0.22666666666666663,0.11834341824544657,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7137639106573812,0.7116403793829745,0.8600182435382184,0.471350931760347,38.115967592246065,0.8615465383189976,0.055639097744360905,0.17628942102234724,266,0.9962406015037594,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8688820113851063,1.5111751889082585,0.13646046897449665,1.0171774950623418,3.351648045559635,3.682506707780746,-0.029914529914529916,0.5210370980061367,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.5860092119298526,1.3524317650973139,0.012695978639958229,1.1287234384232716,13.44189853303409,2.9101870458041974,-0.008907024702733534,0.8462843005375524,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685407324,1.5349643437810503,0.012371122286664232,1.296030600804856,16.041236998369264,3.389151169692855,-0.07661290322580645,0.5514777322263826,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.651444394367591,0.3942358553298985,,0.17000338480769658,-32.24454151259877,73.46485498501788,0.07508817098522107,0.09175886015298916,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,528,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579215158443582e-30,0.0,1.0,529,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9273834742740605,0.9016982078707616,0.0646813713439241,0.6859666764987647,-41.28342324098874,0.6697749727682409,-0.05911330049261083,0.668894784416208,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4077582591491242,1.0308604571005533,2.0681274757774957,0.9015068275107776,5.458150940708723,1.571985041159229,0.15688942023608307,4.681405812895527e-06,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.631290839671014,1.4332679737031624,0.1416579623183331,1.136058821099961,11.467976619468008,3.4999974058427137,-0.09375969454719008,0.017282926369031178,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.089598510340393,1.5130203684629175,0.01368788348877177,1.0266377342367037,0.0,3.1864761823370666,-0.013119213724715898,0.775230539748514,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.8803486777886427,1.7234750348172114,0.013600798681791645,1.164368059063642,0.0,3.667874600129973,-0.14919354838709678,0.23861491183733988,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.929177288891505,0.43497828753725376,,0.17006187003650167,0.0,73.36311789158563,0.14987256094647441,0.0020535464139517976,268,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,529,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,530,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.39647700304925787,0.54863940015927,0.03875276121808834,0.39106434616248387,0.0,0.46887968125286356,-0.33004926108374383,0.011674730549296571,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.478706230789006,1.0684674548323743,2.0989330754451956,0.939329577800972,0.0,1.5963788368636125,0.17542684510546389,2.954514362409001e-07,383,0.9973890339425587,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0722296870151973,1.5799632771322931,0.1496278236622612,1.2811680142484092,0.0,3.592425197906636,-0.08979736935655883,0.02237146474422088,291,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.3336485273273295,1.369431003685908,0.014044892580721374,1.0786778106569637,3.2340679926689107,2.076739478282935,-0.15919790758500432,0.00125367582101177,186,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,1.2510649627495094,0.010353811211048837,0.9577149267740791,30.624585259542382,2.167796226333411,-0.18153846153846157,0.20324965345831253,26,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.67219911042576,0.41365605923879284,,0.1605996742886166,-30.648143148874812,79.1089593562742,0.03125118663375735,0.4804678699598274,230,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.661070966771703e-16,2.328002666769009e-08,,2.0237623382852597e-08,0.0,1.4161354861313346e-15,0.0,1.0,459,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.655194966152942e-16,2.3272667916425674e-08,,2.0238126447486764e-08,0.0,1.414648151074119e-15,0.0,1.0,460,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30978891113489,0.4956772566894806,0.032907023608860275,0.3317689795201935,4.092702437208488,0.35559679062311217,-0.37321937321937326,0.005900024667731748,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.387781854649249,0.5396562605570473,0.7867773914727759,0.35647089830739165,53.23095821098155,0.38422844568853265,0.03708112612344504,0.3239142659462769,318,0.9968553459119497,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2068171045462255,1.6532986732723154,0.1655272503431966,1.2290265733958226,-4.921866333476962,3.5435589077989937,-0.10013831258644537,0.02061141750810736,241,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2930236112584452,0.9657022022428051,0.009435472005290437,0.8282398664622558,23.80957906614156,1.5209091532305468,0.3034135726914185,3.4484971719621384e-09,172,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6897087292640207,1.09329092186638,0.009593598242124572,0.9474734246730254,30.125180199747636,1.9526605060946605,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.392098836959779,0.478461687333304,,0.1896166153561543,-24.156735467553865,87.50177677258473,0.02407922534475048,0.651359253682845,188,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,392,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,393,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3627555185114735,0.5107314929902669,0.03355682757102783,0.40559998873585773,3.718126622914688,0.4992065903079575,-0.23692307692307696,0.09409290644202206,26,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9678632004653139,0.8695569315673842,0.9208796807236558,0.7082103355250312,22.710379666449732,0.8970525139453738,-0.01787301273822455,0.6756701072586739,247,0.9959514170040485,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9011134846321696,1.5120083014532495,0.13555876677473053,1.2778606486823414,3.1923669104628583,3.778619118493681,-0.03663758921490881,0.4468997368955213,195,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6044818304930752,1.0733341728449766,0.00990931419231941,0.775637081946561,29.88973440242601,1.785704738010647,0.053788604049214615,0.21659803303164127,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1.1566950827938647,0.009098519179104744,0.7859114801504872,36.06338252137382,2.012663949949189,-0.12096774193548389,0.34153305448057775,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.373748585076873,0.32333913287656235,,0.14293217516575366,-30.756548717209284,72.15834119159638,-0.0062267238781133355,0.8864109501814693,277,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041847e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,3.8553856193879355e-34,0.0,1.0,547,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,548,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30586831742315235,0.47141716039930026,0.031164447064971287,0.32074666933005247,14.706159785040878,0.396419029203761,-0.2807881773399014,0.03315447182691332,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3905877560745735,0.5218767380304975,0.6156232299650357,0.3482478007323594,45.77245857499929,0.5007019588202541,-0.031221945137157113,0.3504317430000361,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.895640253536301,1.508523968610139,0.15034840281052772,1.0296021159005146,5.895901483706021,3.5968041503855366,-0.14234844537085287,0.00021426313539021729,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6453848622382907,1.0815005714223864,0.010579608774461076,0.8863769556681769,27.825438502908504,1.8968683448062447,0.06908388757777299,0.1132848151615818,237,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9235807995648218,1.1939238211789782,0.009107697376501547,0.9818204856365835,32.13359881394004,2.2268271082902564,-0.09469696969696971,0.45073160411871227,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.373687751904842,0.32416241870393114,,0.132900335476447,-28.4755306770127,72.1571562110114,0.10630055599391303,0.01591796775773983,277,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,547,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,548,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3226648021472211,0.5095483963504411,0.038763270367779684,0.36433482943848794,2.8079116098780363,0.3359394049576855,-0.3546798029556649,0.006518643400864223,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.1748447505989599,0.3570826426347553,0.2645802184154796,0.2751624521712984,62.59470640040418,0.20437352664173922,-0.007644739990680219,0.8196036509621707,399,0.9974937343358395,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6979168803211935,1.4701912573594818,0.13257353065894328,1.2309706076189924,7.170898002036358,3.2637140341094106,-0.09727288518325516,0.011424178344997619,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.28199037431467,1.2978356815478813,0.009816543535913609,0.7495388373219307,-0.37220432904438483,2.8635395035234312,0.19739292364990688,8.348137639666252e-05,180,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645,1.521645487561495,0.010709564244259217,0.8709867168219557,0.5322464158750319,3.5235205419444062,-0.012987012987012986,0.9555771436337516,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.682607758878929,1.4965809610154772,,0.18725679989482535,-87.82084644535625,86.45179411298851,0.011270765450563538,0.8154749882228374,194,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5358884082486388,0.31072751454409614,,0.0002757911154317713,-100.0,3.487752772933179,-0.005920705690589195,0.8580611091347139,409,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5345814326855253,0.3099826467831503,,0.00027578617351296764,-100.0,3.4835869307751084,-0.008527640288627826,0.7964793203588798,410,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6842781864590141,0.6536203898554627,0.031095016624194248,0.31729018203317877,-12.202435017151721,1.3289735382530592,-0.20666666666666664,0.1556965251316672,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3080360130107949,0.9612096722414085,0.760863845563944,0.3931554778434868,16.54661710730222,2.477856423167654,0.013360165464810779,0.7444670098080898,268,0.996268656716418,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,55.893550851653345,5.115976641537143,0.13016770391072469,1.02535087139364,-65.06094840341238,181.27678755574658,-0.08206880838459785,0.07686337263333232,210,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.657934+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:02.475016+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20856.844662053445,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20469.033114569014,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,735087053988.0847,274677828.1848,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,28427372.051938724,273764928.7222004,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,2,2,1.0
 5min,TiRex,0.9999999992768215,37.386477644085666,4,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,0.9999999995353399,48.54032089423749,5,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,1.000000016685016,144.41900342523195,6,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,1.000000016685016,143.07004204428716,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,ETS,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moving-Average,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,9,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459941977067664,1793.003683022749,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0000000464887806,640.3529395628324,11,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,2111038.396707787,16578.750533141043,12,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,13127.89523374756,16551.17763315533,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,ETS,0.031050189676036656,0.14314006512872457,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,TiRex,0.03752870175584104,0.1890409737883149,2,1,1,1.0
 6min,Toto-1.0,0.1764663682104904,0.19336747018849068,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -17,11 +17,11 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
 12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
-12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,128.1321673013468,7,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,126.93533488146547,7,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
 12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,681470.1695481302,13243.952543285532,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,4237.852331205321,13221.925902727693,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
 24,Sundial,0.6935740796010547,0.734091456200139,1,7,7,1.0
 24,TiRex,0.41279657789440766,0.7429011030436475,2,7,7,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,12 +1,12 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 Overall,TiRex,0.4491321998178905,1.228439098135869,1,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,0.6992075596910947,1.6074890524916114,2,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,0.6992075596910947,1.6051698824466591,2,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-2,0.6096551175406293,1.3897986986708342,3,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.6160512281034968,2.434610972252994,4,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.5916980165678678,2.0961487638786265,5,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.5733167087309148,0.7940524003553794,6,13,13,1.0
 Overall,ARIMA,1.02078044690864,2.741933719366878,7,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,10.73319464020447,3.158405946728189,8,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,4.912449256840033,3.1575972400433967,8,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TabPFN-TS,0.745848895203579,0.8514543376239411,9,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moving-Average,1.099393068332244,2.715492810835007,10,13,13,1.0
 Overall,ETS,1.3324052133081612,2.9771307633081996,11,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.285104+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.992685+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.345381+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.000331+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.119581+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.903187+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.453738+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.041460+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.189630+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.943821+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.478860+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.088963+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.270495+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.981012+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.509424+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.141945+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.170824+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.932027+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.531672+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.175044+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.250902+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.971762+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.557693+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.200349+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/online_status.json

@@ -2,14 +2,14 @@
     "status": "ok",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "started_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:53.753547+00:00",
-    "finished_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:56.590773+00:00",
+    "started_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:09.373824+00:00",
+    "finished_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:04.849758+00:00",
     "data_source": "ts_bench",
     "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
-    "task_count": 4,
-    "issued_tasks": 0,
-    "issued_forecasts": 0,
-    "resolved_forecasts": 0,
+    "task_count": 2,
+    "issued_tasks": 1,
+    "issued_forecasts": 12,
+    "resolved_forecasts": 12,
     "pending_tasks": 13,
     "failed_forecasts": [],
     "models": {
@@ -19,8 +19,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.465950+00:00",
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+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.041460+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TiRex": {
             "model": "TiRex",
@@ -28,8 +38,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.916728+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.373058+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TimesFM-2.5": {
             "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
@@ -37,8 +57,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
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+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Toto-1.0": {
             "model": "Toto-1.0",
@@ -46,8 +76,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
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+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moirai-2.0": {
             "model": "Moirai-2.0",
@@ -55,8 +95,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.932027+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.175044+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Chronos-Bolt": {
             "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
@@ -64,8 +114,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.465961+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.943821+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.088963+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TabPFN-TS": {
             "model": "TabPFN-TS",
@@ -73,8 +133,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.465962+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.952936+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.283160+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Sundial": {
             "model": "Sundial",
@@ -82,8 +152,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.465963+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.959805+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.261038+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moving-Average": {
             "model": "Moving-Average",
@@ -91,8 +171,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.465964+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.971762+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.200349+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ETS": {
             "model": "ETS",
@@ -100,8 +190,18 @@
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             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.465965+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.981012+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.141945+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ARIMA": {
             "model": "ARIMA",
@@ -109,8 +209,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.465966+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.992685+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.000331+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Seasonal-Naive": {
             "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
@@ -118,8 +228,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:52:54.465967+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.996408+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.230904+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         }
     },
     "skipped_models": [],
@@ -142,7 +262,5 @@
         "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
         "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
     },
-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-28T10:53:38.645956+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559.json

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+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.450943+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-27T05:45:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00"
 }

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+    "2026-07-27T06:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T06:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:05:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-26 21:10",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-27 07:05",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T11:03:31.633308Z",
+  "task_id": "future-d7d73813a06a2cc0858b",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:15.128057+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.291723+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.996408+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.606427+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.230904+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,1.7146618576285901,1.7036796647957921,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,0.020980244564637807,0.0447908708599997,nan,nan,0.0023348485467426807,nan,nan,0.14484558869581707,nan,nan,0.15634843776673438,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,0.858888894304227,0.8588889156033064,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.9267625878854988,nan,nan,0.26111115829921516,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,4.630149576183447e-16,6.074619147199486e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.15177823582809e-08,nan,nan,2.085684466205343e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,3.958110682141509e-16,5.262230591698207e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.9895001086055534e-08,nan,nan,2.0469033114569025e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.03484559946889979,0.03321369616330838,nan,nan,0.011084302742851744,nan,nan,0.18666976045653402,nan,nan,0.12063016584599584,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.6303455365915963,0.6415315188316835,nan,nan,0.20164099259077636,nan,nan,0.7939430310743941,nan,nan,0.5322883490144747,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,1.1304476064801594,1.1426146677625701,nan,nan,0.09235264505865295,nan,nan,1.0632250968069552,nan,nan,0.731749763844937,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.222523+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.959805+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.644484+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.261038+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.203719+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.952936+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.685594+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.283160+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.154814+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.920874+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.711265+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.337094+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.140016+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.916728+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.774392+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.373058+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,4.477663680103048,2.0890328378534413,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.2672091214948127,0.013642740360327242,nan,nan,0.0013252159503021489,nan,nan,1.1257038338278913,nan,nan,0.23265817163880909,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,5.2070346013833895,0.8589046526404256,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.2818927672840785,nan,nan,0.2612795014341266,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.7350870539880842,6.086682017652231e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.8573721793877407,nan,nan,0.0002746778281848323,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,2.84273720519387e-05,4.994603979409429e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.005331732556302754,nan,nan,0.00027376492872227336,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.14581109734968253,0.10758165581966579,nan,nan,0.019716449559055497,nan,nan,0.3818521930664829,nan,nan,0.23765672698505458,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.1922552346989179,0.0207485223913015,nan,nan,0.038427529676929355,nan,nan,0.43846919469777795,nan,nan,0.18244261514970586,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,2.554995718742831,1.2207269681748636,nan,nan,0.10368288653439751,nan,nan,1.5984353971126988,nan,nan,0.8256745826761597,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T10:43:40.157668+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T11:07:00.926427+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-2b13ddc93b383081e266",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:16:48.658614+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:04.801292+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T04:55:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-38fbf697b6a3396bc559",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T10:41:05.473988+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T11:04:14.404902+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T06:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }