Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T03:00:02.873478+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:20.780363+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27014,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2673,
+  "num_model_releases": 27026,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2674,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2466,
-      "num_unique_releases": 206,
+      "num_model_releases": 2478,
+      "num_unique_releases": 207,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26633,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2615,
+      "num_model_releases": 26645,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2616,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4626
+    "prequential-v1": 4638
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,365.5558395705069,4.6625955517989235,0.27640740632320177,4.291005120996502,-12.018107946333746,0.6691576090527072,11,2613,13,32.46875,1654.7699367271398,-0.34681337150662706,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,349.5448795135994,4.552623339471107,0.26013578373575147,5.150462114810168,-6.643741729107113,0.6673625535530522,11,2604,13,32.46875,1583.7783336535958,-0.5690355937288493,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,364.9174512457361,4.627873815935809,0.3048610568050371,4.448438090636633,-7.050910238054693,0.6089894142712275,11,2599,13,32.46875,1655.6449902217712,-0.4579244826177382,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,365.3276451224651,4.745946649163256,0.7470648483517977,4.408276383068639,-21.538816865035972,0.5790083873059171,11,1855,13,27.125,1655.7595485243626,-0.4579244826177382,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,365.5723407714027,4.667266795978793,0.30437827279043805,4.503514140080063,-1.407513108502076,0.5601169518147532,11,1744,13,29.125,1655.124046995414,-0.6801467048399603,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,364.6611947930639,4.72731724937586,0.5280509072879479,4.351905253451066,-21.022417146692366,0.523200643779178,11,1842,13,27.125,1656.776392255174,-0.6801467048399603,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,365.57662714980023,4.667212637611895,0.3673258253671913,4.43392794742269,-12.377749254699697,0.5106106123106732,11,2093,13,29.125,1654.7829293545594,-0.4444444444444446,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,365.59255398784575,4.726462474140935,0.661438985687678,3.9847402471494253,0.0,0.3862040392875411,11,2444,13,32.46875,1655.5049912688048,-0.2222222222222223,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,365.3683455130055,4.701371428255034,0.7917100356134489,4.527424154958036,-17.484731973775496,0.3797547819049902,11,2444,13,32.46875,1655.5265148140504,-0.4579244826177382,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,Toto-1.0,645.254080145681,6.219290949760501,0.3394013143967218,4.925298519415601,-45.989462074250355,0.37515158334208915,11,1869,13,27.125,2963.238210089312,-0.11111111111111115,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,ARIMA,366.48341572938216,5.161059766238082,0.8814971951290191,4.931015473265535,-38.30187398136734,0.37462968702128124,11,2444,13,32.46875,1655.088557592813,-0.5690355937288493,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,366.9938485031798,5.4723086991039995,1.297149030463389,5.186191240137954,-40.26592385890586,0.36581373635658987,11,2444,13,32.46875,1657.0390531632204,-0.34681337150662706,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,365.5558395705069,4.6625955517989235,0.27640740632320177,4.291005120996502,-12.018107946333746,0.6691576090527072,11,2614,13,32.46875,1654.7699367271398,-0.34681337150662706,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,349.5448795135994,4.552623339471107,0.26013578373575147,5.150462114810168,-6.643741729107113,0.6673625535530522,11,2605,13,32.46875,1583.7783336535958,-0.5690355937288493,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,364.9174512457361,4.627873815935809,0.3048610568050371,4.448438090636633,-7.050910238054693,0.6089894142712275,11,2600,13,32.46875,1655.6449902217712,-0.4579244826177382,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,365.3276451224651,4.745946649163256,0.7470648483517977,4.408276383068639,-21.538816865035972,0.5790083873059171,11,1856,13,27.125,1655.7595485243626,-0.4579244826177382,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,365.5723407714027,4.667266795978793,0.30437827279043805,4.503514140080063,-1.407513108502076,0.5601169518147532,11,1745,13,29.125,1655.124046995414,-0.6801467048399603,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,364.6611947930639,4.72731724937586,0.5280509072879479,4.351905253451066,-21.022417146692366,0.523200643779178,11,1843,13,27.125,1656.776392255174,-0.6801467048399603,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,365.57662714980023,4.667212637611895,0.3673258253671913,4.43392794742269,-12.377749254699697,0.5106107166050425,11,2094,13,29.125,1654.7829293545594,-0.4444444444444446,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,365.59255398784575,4.726462474140935,0.661438985687678,3.9847402471494253,0.0,0.3862040392875411,11,2445,13,32.46875,1655.5049912688048,-0.2222222222222223,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,365.3683455130055,4.701371428255034,0.7917100356134489,4.527424154958036,-17.484731973775496,0.37975474714020047,11,2445,13,32.46875,1655.5265148140504,-0.4579244826177382,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+10,Official,Toto-1.0,645.254080145681,6.219290949760501,0.3394013143967218,4.925298519415601,-45.989462074250355,0.37515158334208915,11,1870,13,27.125,2963.238210089312,-0.11111111111111115,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+11,Official,ARIMA,366.48341572938216,5.161059766238082,0.8814971951290191,4.931015473265535,-38.30187398136734,0.3746296522564915,11,2445,13,32.46875,1655.088557592813,-0.5690355937288493,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,366.9938485031798,5.4723086991039995,1.297149030463389,5.186191240137954,-40.26592385890586,0.3658137015918001,11,2445,13,32.46875,1657.0390531632204,-0.34681337150662706,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.193116388888143,0.8777461129356235,0.15981064413614685,0.6406254761742243,23.246833819345927,0.6691576090527072,11,2613,13,32.46875,136.89249249590802,0.045048608290005246,0.15384615384615385,13,2567,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.364440697033432,0.8820507857227172,0.1958038541269513,0.6745619574639286,24.459758345155628,0.6673625535530522,11,2604,13,32.46875,139.63298848659218,0.0379486861546305,0.23076923076923078,13,2554,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.242733045511711,0.877272972060864,0.137519276409182,0.7190224772304299,23.865351894886324,0.6089894142712275,11,2599,13,32.46875,137.15187674862426,0.047092087023675226,0.23076923076923078,13,2548,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.79701755292271,0.9273021539862507,0.24118515404071508,0.6725985327914084,22.05523791969584,0.5790083873059171,11,1855,13,27.125,156.7858401515498,0.07572741290372594,0.15384615384615385,13,1855,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.514000167380804,0.9748544832945325,0.20019950363759953,0.8199485780743352,18.600136458336202,0.5601169518147532,11,1744,13,29.125,164.28416178488376,0.051139100908271014,0.15384615384615385,13,1747,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.064684249194002,0.9739659570933304,0.2740012264452997,0.7207807862595698,11.408325484756215,0.523200643779178,11,1842,13,27.125,157.74842718822563,0.03536638936778741,0.15384615384615385,13,1842,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.437343108943672,1.0148945624417307,0.2222904356977459,0.7672705114525983,15.980007734074642,0.5106106123106732,11,2093,13,29.125,151.63080219717352,0.012067641010860468,0.3076923076923077,13,2095,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.05348773326125,1.2352130132384203,0.36475799378688634,0.9630863777668751,0.0,0.3862040392875411,11,2444,13,32.46875,142.2032200991465,0.03929443137346092,0.23076923076923078,13,2395,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.795121094222184,1.141146307424084,0.34009091131825786,0.9172287804320547,3.1954204219117486,0.3797547819049902,11,2444,13,32.46875,142.45065035458407,0.07896950549613849,0.15384615384615385,13,2387,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,Toto-1.0,28.757588112900216,1.6654048967637254,0.2815308366052833,0.7025887470346872,-19.14348154134162,0.37515158334208915,11,1869,13,27.125,214.217070244082,-0.0011595243670014627,0.15384615384615385,13,1869,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,ARIMA,15.719430009054419,1.1439739436626857,0.34743456237241604,0.9017467725154867,1.9363607158713556,0.37462968702128124,11,2444,13,32.46875,142.4574102914384,0.057691825242830216,0.15384615384615385,13,2387,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.491003086890256,1.4003728098685866,0.3153720063311246,1.1110422032585228,-3.5020044063207916,0.36581373635658987,11,2444,13,32.46875,147.3317256975272,0.07287882324890388,0.15384615384615385,13,2387,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.193116388888143,0.8777461129356235,0.15981064413614685,0.6406254761742243,23.246833819345927,0.6691576090527072,11,2614,13,32.46875,136.89249249590802,0.045048608290005246,0.15384615384615385,13,2568,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.364440697033432,0.8820507857227172,0.1958038541269513,0.6745619574639286,24.459758345155628,0.6673625535530522,11,2605,13,32.46875,139.63298848659218,0.0379486861546305,0.23076923076923078,13,2555,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.242733045511711,0.877272972060864,0.137519276409182,0.7190224772304299,23.865351894886324,0.6089894142712275,11,2600,13,32.46875,137.15187674862426,0.047092087023675226,0.23076923076923078,13,2549,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.79701755292271,0.9273021539862507,0.24118515404071508,0.6725985327914084,22.05523791969584,0.5790083873059171,11,1856,13,27.125,156.7858401515498,0.07572741290372594,0.15384615384615385,13,1856,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.514000167380804,0.9748544832945325,0.20019950363759953,0.8199485780743352,18.600136458336202,0.5601169518147532,11,1745,13,29.125,164.28416178488376,0.051139100908271014,0.15384615384615385,13,1748,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.064684249194002,0.9739659570933304,0.2740012264452997,0.7207807862595698,11.408325484756215,0.523200643779178,11,1843,13,27.125,157.74842718822563,0.03536638936778741,0.15384615384615385,13,1843,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.437343108943672,1.0148945624402768,0.2222904356977459,0.767270511452431,15.980007734074642,0.5106107166050425,11,2094,13,29.125,151.63080219717352,0.012067641010860468,0.3076923076923077,13,2096,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.05348773326125,1.2352130132384203,0.36475799378688634,0.9630863777668751,0.0,0.3862040392875411,11,2445,13,32.46875,142.2032200991465,0.03929443137346092,0.23076923076923078,13,2396,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.795121094222184,1.141146307424084,0.34009091131825786,0.9172287804320547,3.1954204219117486,0.37975474714020047,11,2445,13,32.46875,142.45065035458407,0.07896950549613849,0.15384615384615385,13,2388,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+10,Official,Toto-1.0,28.757487964033604,1.665373506152868,0.2815308366052833,0.7025887454085958,-19.14348154134162,0.37515158334208915,11,1870,13,27.125,214.216738394512,-0.0010881489209049254,0.15384615384615385,13,1870,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+11,Official,ARIMA,15.719430009054419,1.1439739436626857,0.34743456237241604,0.9017467725154867,1.9363607158713556,0.3746296522564915,11,2445,13,32.46875,142.4574102914384,0.057691825242830216,0.15384615384615385,13,2388,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.491003086890256,1.4003728098685866,0.3153720063311246,1.1110422032585228,-3.5020044063207916,0.3658137015918001,11,2445,13,32.46875,147.3317256975272,0.07287882324890388,0.15384615384615385,13,2388,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,121.89111753633163,1.8340791403864671,0.1568004248038998,1.605309473064171,14.254800539291539,0.6691576090527072,11,2613,13,32.46875,458.6309354408226,-0.12771899503597856,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,122.67403244449724,1.8094816468318646,0.15458841226522954,1.8896485336830304,16.61340267219549,0.6673625535530522,11,2604,13,32.46875,467.570799483565,-0.1978374514865923,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,121.72786631189372,1.7992847702949064,0.1367146512832988,1.667147866580775,15.908963222238294,0.6089894142712275,11,2599,13,32.46875,458.48149242709064,-0.1669037906898518,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,121.8382919126832,1.8456499818804133,0.21531331635886714,1.5944356302748208,12.393710402073223,0.5790083873059171,11,1855,13,27.125,458.57187701089805,-0.07202013798694057,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,122.03253380131788,1.913771682018127,0.18211677956891764,1.7798984610878046,7.4481372475266525,0.5601169518147532,11,1744,13,29.125,458.7043760237559,-0.17775214017913823,0.0,12,205,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,121.86368119162704,1.8700716270117848,0.2040465354450987,1.6454726971024325,4.047267349862213,0.523200643779178,11,1842,13,27.125,458.746664843878,-0.0938020058249931,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,122.0268246440704,1.8772042453813738,0.18940151014016854,1.6716682285773643,12.145140476291767,0.5106106123106732,11,2093,13,29.125,458.69411001357184,-0.13054977823956973,0.0,12,205,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,122.37132283381517,2.0425296041522247,0.2684498249726999,1.672078955454836,0.0,0.3862040392875411,11,2444,13,32.46875,458.84752699526126,-0.17509727426660376,0.0,12,205,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,122.19399680569204,2.0064215491538278,0.27765969629647447,1.8082226759169469,-3.2878105540094,0.3797547819049902,11,2444,13,32.46875,458.7655550829468,-0.042403770798441015,0.0,12,205,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,Toto-1.0,164.90653975328473,2.4763763121672198,0.1749415915306741,1.540061440650133,-27.135450061637822,0.37515158334208915,11,1869,13,27.125,588.337512952463,-0.08917973787689705,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,ARIMA,122.26906638726244,2.086454845720608,0.2678437320801675,1.8159227749105584,-8.065689581940521,0.37462968702128124,11,2444,13,32.46875,458.76170433947095,0.014228805388859516,0.08333333333333333,12,205,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,123.62050943452213,2.3950357824711297,0.39456209719438695,2.114384843500716,-13.979380575284432,0.36581373635658987,11,2444,13,32.46875,460.00325733322103,0.020906161099059017,0.0,12,205,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,121.89111753633163,1.8340791403864671,0.1568004248038998,1.605309473064171,14.254800539291539,0.6691576090527072,11,2614,13,32.46875,458.6309354408226,-0.12771899503597856,0.0,12,207,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,122.67403244449724,1.8094816468318646,0.15458841226522954,1.8896485336830304,16.61340267219549,0.6673625535530522,11,2605,13,32.46875,467.570799483565,-0.1978374514865923,0.0,12,207,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,121.72786631189372,1.7992847702949064,0.1367146512832988,1.667147866580775,15.908963222238294,0.6089894142712275,11,2600,13,32.46875,458.48149242709064,-0.1669037906898518,0.0,12,207,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,121.8382919126832,1.8456499818804133,0.21531331635886714,1.5944356302748208,12.393710402073223,0.5790083873059171,11,1856,13,27.125,458.57187701089805,-0.07202013798694057,0.0,12,207,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,122.03253380131788,1.913771682018127,0.18211677956891764,1.7798984610878046,7.4481372475266525,0.5601169518147532,11,1745,13,29.125,458.7043760237559,-0.17775214017913823,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,121.86368119162704,1.8700716270117848,0.2040465354450987,1.6454726971024325,4.047267349862213,0.523200643779178,11,1843,13,27.125,458.746664843878,-0.0938020058249931,0.0,12,207,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,122.0268246440704,1.8772042453724003,0.18940151014016854,1.6716682285763056,12.145140476291767,0.5106107166050425,11,2094,13,29.125,458.69411001357184,-0.13054977823956973,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,122.37132283381517,2.0425296041522247,0.2684498249726999,1.672078955454836,0.0,0.3862040392875411,11,2445,13,32.46875,458.84752699526126,-0.17509727426660376,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,122.19399680569204,2.0064215491538278,0.27765969629647447,1.8082226759169469,-3.2878105540094,0.37975474714020047,11,2445,13,32.46875,458.7655550829468,-0.042403770798441015,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+10,Official,Toto-1.0,164.9057509861416,2.476166830318445,0.1749415915306741,1.5400614325441035,-27.135450061637822,0.37515158334208915,11,1870,13,27.125,588.3349378458032,-0.08877275559118034,0.0,12,207,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+11,Official,ARIMA,122.26906638726244,2.086454845720608,0.2678437320801675,1.8159227749105584,-8.065689581940521,0.3746296522564915,11,2445,13,32.46875,458.76170433947095,0.014228805388859516,0.08333333333333333,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,123.62050943452213,2.3950357824711297,0.39456209719438695,2.114384843500716,-13.979380575284432,0.3658137015918001,11,2445,13,32.46875,460.00325733322103,0.020906161099059017,0.0,12,206,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T03:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.193095581028448,0.877492217850352,0.1597606373204021,0.6407505505503914,23.40824695224633,0.6691576090527072,11,2613,13,32.46875,136.89246069326126,0.04106250891929052,0.15384615384615385,13,2618,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.362745660482663,0.8807374494147555,0.19557282148682545,0.6741440374851007,24.62629964516862,0.6673625535530522,11,2604,13,32.46875,139.63131938966637,0.040639898076611676,0.15384615384615385,13,2604,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.24340782240577,0.8775466164052086,0.1375029399346157,0.7192620373760634,23.84591343969786,0.6089894142712275,11,2599,13,32.46875,137.15298070772457,0.04235084535935664,0.23076923076923078,13,2599,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.79701755292271,0.9273021539862507,0.24118515404071508,0.6725985327914084,22.05523791969584,0.5790083873059171,11,1855,13,27.125,156.7858401515498,0.07572741290372594,0.15384615384615385,13,1855,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.514000167380804,0.9748544832945325,0.20019950363759953,0.8199485780743352,18.600136458336202,0.5601169518147532,11,1744,13,29.125,164.28416178488376,0.051139100908271014,0.15384615384615385,13,1747,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.064684249194002,0.9739659570933304,0.2740012264452997,0.7207807862595698,11.408325484756215,0.523200643779178,11,1842,13,27.125,157.74842718822563,0.03536638936778741,0.15384615384615385,13,1842,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.437343108943672,1.0148945624417307,0.2222904356977459,0.7672705114525983,15.980007734074642,0.5106106123106732,11,2093,13,29.125,151.63080219717352,0.012067641010860468,0.3076923076923077,13,2095,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.051491675047764,1.2350758742388999,0.3648800189042591,0.9634295042304183,0.0,0.3862040392875411,11,2444,13,32.46875,142.20075471361133,0.042468123777922556,0.23076923076923078,13,2453,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.798667360696102,1.1430055115351774,0.3404802041471632,0.9190554606621256,3.090470941973959,0.3797547819049902,11,2444,13,32.46875,142.4518090546096,0.06692047190864336,0.15384615384615385,13,2444,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,Toto-1.0,28.757588112900216,1.6654048967637254,0.2815308366052833,0.7025887470346872,-19.14348154134162,0.37515158334208915,11,1869,13,27.125,214.217070244082,-0.0011595243670014627,0.15384615384615385,13,1869,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,ARIMA,15.732060837068177,1.147944444124025,0.3479778836769744,0.9049211881592568,1.7960396901740756,0.37462968702128124,11,2444,13,32.46875,142.46865567424427,0.04144505207298011,0.15384615384615385,13,2444,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.532134836577566,1.409384298240948,0.3162670737032258,1.1182834761895575,-3.7678698911551454,0.36581373635658987,11,2444,13,32.46875,147.3611790623002,0.05024288368988739,0.15384615384615385,13,2444,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.193095581028448,0.877492217850352,0.1597606373204021,0.6407505505503914,23.40824695224633,0.6691576090527072,11,2614,13,32.46875,136.89246069326126,0.04106250891929052,0.15384615384615385,13,2619,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.362745660482663,0.8807374494147555,0.19557282148682545,0.6741440374851007,24.62629964516862,0.6673625535530522,11,2605,13,32.46875,139.63131938966637,0.040639898076611676,0.15384615384615385,13,2605,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.24340782240577,0.8775466164052086,0.1375029399346157,0.7192620373760634,23.84591343969786,0.6089894142712275,11,2600,13,32.46875,137.15298070772457,0.04235084535935664,0.23076923076923078,13,2600,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.79701755292271,0.9273021539862507,0.24118515404071508,0.6725985327914084,22.05523791969584,0.5790083873059171,11,1856,13,27.125,156.7858401515498,0.07572741290372594,0.15384615384615385,13,1856,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.514000167380804,0.9748544832945325,0.20019950363759953,0.8199485780743352,18.600136458336202,0.5601169518147532,11,1745,13,29.125,164.28416178488376,0.051139100908271014,0.15384615384615385,13,1748,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.064684249194002,0.9739659570933304,0.2740012264452997,0.7207807862595698,11.408325484756215,0.523200643779178,11,1843,13,27.125,157.74842718822563,0.03536638936778741,0.15384615384615385,13,1843,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.437343108943672,1.0148945624402768,0.2222904356977459,0.767270511452431,15.980007734074642,0.5106107166050425,11,2094,13,29.125,151.63080219717352,0.012067641010860468,0.3076923076923077,13,2096,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.051491675047764,1.2350758742388999,0.3648800189042591,0.9634295042304183,0.0,0.3862040392875411,11,2445,13,32.46875,142.20075471361133,0.042468123777922556,0.23076923076923078,13,2454,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.798667360696102,1.1430055115351774,0.3404802041471632,0.9190554606621256,3.090470941973959,0.37975474714020047,11,2445,13,32.46875,142.4518090546096,0.06692047190864336,0.15384615384615385,13,2445,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+10,Official,Toto-1.0,28.757487964033604,1.665373506152868,0.2815308366052833,0.7025887454085958,-19.14348154134162,0.37515158334208915,11,1870,13,27.125,214.216738394512,-0.0010881489209049254,0.15384615384615385,13,1870,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+11,Official,ARIMA,15.732060837068177,1.147944444124025,0.3479778836769744,0.9049211881592568,1.7960396901740756,0.3746296522564915,11,2445,13,32.46875,142.46865567424427,0.04144505207298011,0.15384615384615385,13,2445,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.532134836577566,1.409384298240948,0.3162670737032258,1.1182834761895575,-3.7678698911551454,0.3658137015918001,11,2445,13,32.46875,147.3611790623002,0.05024288368988739,0.15384615384615385,13,2445,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6691576090527072,11,2613,13,32.46875
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6673625535530522,11,2604,13,32.46875
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6089894142712275,11,2599,13,32.46875
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5790083873059171,11,1855,13,27.125
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5601169518147532,11,1744,13,29.125
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.523200643779178,11,1842,13,27.125
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5106106123106732,11,2093,13,29.125
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862040392875411,11,2444,13,32.46875
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3797547819049902,11,2444,13,32.46875
-10,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37515158334208915,11,1869,13,27.125
-11,Official,ARIMA,0.37462968702128124,11,2444,13,32.46875
-12,Official,ETS,0.36581373635658987,11,2444,13,32.46875
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6691576090527072,11,2614,13,32.46875
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6673625535530522,11,2605,13,32.46875
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6089894142712275,11,2600,13,32.46875
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5790083873059171,11,1856,13,27.125
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5601169518147532,11,1745,13,29.125
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.523200643779178,11,1843,13,27.125
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5106107166050425,11,2094,13,29.125
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862040392875411,11,2445,13,32.46875
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37975474714020047,11,2445,13,32.46875
+10,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37515158334208915,11,1870,13,27.125
+11,Official,ARIMA,0.3746296522564915,11,2445,13,32.46875
+12,Official,ETS,0.3658137015918001,11,2445,13,32.46875

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6691576090527072,11,2613,13,32.46875
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6673625535530522,11,2604,13,32.46875
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6089894142712275,11,2599,13,32.46875
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5790083873059171,11,1855,13,27.125
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5601169518147532,11,1744,13,29.125
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.523200643779178,11,1842,13,27.125
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5106106123106732,11,2093,13,29.125
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862040392875411,11,2444,13,32.46875
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3797547819049902,11,2444,13,32.46875
-10,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37515158334208915,11,1869,13,27.125
-11,Official,ARIMA,0.37462968702128124,11,2444,13,32.46875
-12,Official,ETS,0.36581373635658987,11,2444,13,32.46875
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6691576090527072,11,2614,13,32.46875
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6673625535530522,11,2605,13,32.46875
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6089894142712275,11,2600,13,32.46875
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5790083873059171,11,1856,13,27.125
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5601169518147532,11,1745,13,29.125
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.523200643779178,11,1843,13,27.125
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5106107166050425,11,2094,13,29.125
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862040392875411,11,2445,13,32.46875
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37975474714020047,11,2445,13,32.46875
+10,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37515158334208915,11,1870,13,27.125
+11,Official,ARIMA,0.3746296522564915,11,2445,13,32.46875
+12,Official,ETS,0.3658137015918001,11,2445,13,32.46875

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6691576090527072,11,2613,13,32.46875
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6673625535530522,11,2604,13,32.46875
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6089894142712275,11,2599,13,32.46875
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5790083873059171,11,1855,13,27.125
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5601169518147532,11,1744,13,29.125
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.523200643779178,11,1842,13,27.125
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5106106123106732,11,2093,13,29.125
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862040392875411,11,2444,13,32.46875
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3797547819049902,11,2444,13,32.46875
-10,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37515158334208915,11,1869,13,27.125
-11,Official,ARIMA,0.37462968702128124,11,2444,13,32.46875
-12,Official,ETS,0.36581373635658987,11,2444,13,32.46875
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6691576090527072,11,2614,13,32.46875
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6673625535530522,11,2605,13,32.46875
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6089894142712275,11,2600,13,32.46875
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5790083873059171,11,1856,13,27.125
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5601169518147532,11,1745,13,29.125
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.523200643779178,11,1843,13,27.125
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5106107166050425,11,2094,13,29.125
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862040392875411,11,2445,13,32.46875
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37975474714020047,11,2445,13,32.46875
+10,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37515158334208915,11,1870,13,27.125
+11,Official,ARIMA,0.3746296522564915,11,2445,13,32.46875
+12,Official,ETS,0.3658137015918001,11,2445,13,32.46875

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6691576090527072,11,2613,13,32.46875
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6673625535530522,11,2604,13,32.46875
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6089894142712275,11,2599,13,32.46875
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5790083873059171,11,1855,13,27.125
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5601169518147532,11,1744,13,29.125
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.523200643779178,11,1842,13,27.125
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5106106123106732,11,2093,13,29.125
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862040392875411,11,2444,13,32.46875
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3797547819049902,11,2444,13,32.46875
-10,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37515158334208915,11,1869,13,27.125
-11,Official,ARIMA,0.37462968702128124,11,2444,13,32.46875
-12,Official,ETS,0.36581373635658987,11,2444,13,32.46875
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6691576090527072,11,2614,13,32.46875
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6673625535530522,11,2605,13,32.46875
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6089894142712275,11,2600,13,32.46875
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5790083873059171,11,1856,13,27.125
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5601169518147532,11,1745,13,29.125
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.523200643779178,11,1843,13,27.125
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5106107166050425,11,2094,13,29.125
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862040392875411,11,2445,13,32.46875
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37975474714020047,11,2445,13,32.46875
+10,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37515158334208915,11,1870,13,27.125
+11,Official,ARIMA,0.3746296522564915,11,2445,13,32.46875
+12,Official,ETS,0.3658137015918001,11,2445,13,32.46875

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -1068,6 +1068,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.558438
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.057038+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8242822801451335,0.9078999284861374,0.3284537571226974,0.7748032951947993,-69.54585856280534,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:08.827886+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.481353+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.230391+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.542345+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.3788108586230754,1.1742277711854185,0.15825542384159677,0.8412799516610273,-25.76774653219951,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.795701+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.502390+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -3568,6 +3569,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.565470
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.088344+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.717074315482764,0.8468024063987797,0.2618062893192758,0.4895696502299471,-65.77195916423946,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:08.873629+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.485324+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.272787+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.549807+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.0938691118403776,1.7589397692474797,0.31105874264354916,1.4872194409906683,-58.34778387472701,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.801162+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.506221+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
@@ -5886,6 +5888,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.571066
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.113136+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4600380400679794,0.6782610412429564,0.2501878561607181,0.4961735477803299,-51.30412600410874,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:08.913652+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.490708+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.298716+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.561559+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7621298527108094,1.3274523918810834,0.189757382872851,1.0544668956799617,-36.81401704726068,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.808251+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.512687+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
@@ -7972,6 +7975,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.577174
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.145975+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4738211615271637,1.2140103630229702,0.43689372440261237,1.0135147338688986,-81.74228840658292,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:08.976707+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.497511+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.348864+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.568985+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.733005742576831,2.175547228302992,0.41944217165245123,2.0455700774679153,-70.65638761584968,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.820108+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.518557+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -10175,6 +10179,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.582572
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.173607+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.03512191017106068,0.18740840475032244,0.06916298495028425,0.13003532307169954,61.65333079959909,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:08.997584+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.502562+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.383712+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.576041+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.4370885773607913,1.85393866601913,0.33334782849986255,1.5656251171856068,-61.71079509386046,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.824797+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.691147+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
@@ -12271,6 +12276,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.588369
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.223879+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.068800182539253,0.26229788893403816,0.08080728519004617,0.19909043655072367,36.54855061026493,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.027489+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.507341+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.434820+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.582759+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7706765193864472,0.8778818368017687,0.1431834549628136,0.6671921311585364,2.722816744530968,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.829194+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.701798+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -14717,6 +14723,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.594165
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.260483+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.14805911130182112,0.38478449982012153,0.12940337993941825,0.3091854548202186,0.0,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.053556+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.512472+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.469955+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.590222+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8138194407042124,0.9021194159889324,0.14273721466770029,0.7256312933070443,0.0,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.833557+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.717488+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -17028,6 +17035,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.599995
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.312458+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.08326036599519912,0.2885487237802294,0.11426463023477526,0.18547546949831847,28.01266286081855,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.089603+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.7654082275258104e-16,1.9404659820583845e-08,,1.962012494529488e-08,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.516771+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.304136065745901e-16,1.817728270602045e-08,,1.980997290651487e-08,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.520976+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.1956175464352033e-16,1.481761636173377e-08,,1.926177808858003e-08,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.596894+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.355963763270304,1.5349149042439791,0.2869779166398349,1.1182648281645102,-48.65141315129795,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.838588+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.3218478367109057e-16,2.078905441984052e-08,,2.052832591404586e-08,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.728269+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.360853902561429e-16,2.315351788079174e-08,,2.063063329523403e-08,0.0,False
@@ -18996,6 +19004,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.608209
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.339621+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.09496693084793652,0.30816705023077423,0.10946793946106546,0.2675842410866735,21.846292678859538,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.104288+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.527565+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.560934+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.604037+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7062996437122615,1.30625405021851,0.1828413386831317,1.0303278850843922,-35.41420754784293,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.847844+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.741861+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -21062,6 +21071,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.618699
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.415792+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.024663925578971332,0.15704752649746295,0.05631226020901521,0.1491873795791421,71.44107002241569,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.150571+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.536859+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.623712+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.618141+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.3320152791832838,1.5270937362137544,0.25289324308868777,1.29838798059075,-48.260508693647026,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.856847+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.783637+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
@@ -23666,6 +23676,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.613272
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.382115+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2737694676056873,0.5232298420442849,0.1733701845957749,0.44003055635223115,-29.801289573466732,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.121464+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.532391+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.582963+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.610881+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.1393165044786806,1.4626402512165049,0.2947829723819275,1.175817209357903,-44.884390301658726,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.852154+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.772122+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -25976,6 +25987,7 @@ future-b66ea9cd1cd7f3b53c8e,2026-07-14T23:25:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:01:37.624790
 future-b73f08a09505ab32f36e,2026-07-24T22:42:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:52:45.451361+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:22.411168+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4844553914858941,0.6960282979059789,0.21890570299744158,0.36706488896993333,-53.18396316629192,True
 future-ba7b94cbce31e20f4807,2026-07-26T05:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.181560+00:00,2026-07-27T12:21:59.451271+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.05226841655435754,0.2286228697098292,,0.0002672965951205696,-100.0,False
 future-bb5b20404dd8fde0ee6b,2026-07-14T08:35:00+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.541293+00:00,2026-07-15T11:02:58.476146+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.05807959290580156,0.24099708069974948,,0.0002582398849443524,-100.0,False
+future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:11:36.665812+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.021716834000032662,0.1473663258686755,,0.0002672785713406887,-100.0,False
 future-bd61f6b2335cdf74027f,2026-07-17T21:50:00+00:00,2026-07-19T02:52:43.625323+00:00,2026-07-18T11:59:37.872139+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.121756613064715,2.263129826824947,0.33017094643350997,1.5481847475506325,-72.57824907533754,True
 future-bf700d86180d82ef1ef9,2026-07-17T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-19T15:13:51.861653+00:00,2026-07-19T13:51:49.229578+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.379128903612238e-05,0.004877631498598718,,0.0002746607429664302,-100.00000000000001,False
 future-bff681b20a69258d0370,2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00,2026-07-22T06:22:16.793945+00:00,2026-07-22T05:32:38.282494+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.1672393758281576,1.0803885300335976,,0.0002772706470582138,-100.0,False

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.0362152760069723,1.262423873577054,0.014552071672063134,1.1868424577746526,9.843546699249252,2.1311933119335262,0.03426791277258567,0.45576305814672124,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1.261258169978178,0.011845155708664644,1.1042089583487873,17.948263157190265,1.7646338660449543,-0.19354838709677422,0.12407814866273859,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.671029052502321,0.3790300946908199,,0.15521613402175355,-31.862910778300442,73.81540117109404,0.05189547481166033,0.24636800894747513,264,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,1.5792439736619035e-30,0.0,1.0,519,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579241042195508e-30,0.0,1.0,520,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.00800771168344,1.326207173091614,0.08803981956779476,1.0373703489917312,-58.91418609438252,1.337635791274214,-0.0582010582010582,0.6809893725769562,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2098797276852824,0.9701421965736446,1.2996166848240107,0.7595856836674688,5.0476421205324415,1.1843632558775448,0.07951374499240227,0.020480771285173893,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6476938338190923,1.430270775832798,0.13286130545384817,1.0425427164898813,11.63834147117514,3.3973243585873876,-0.1259131103421761,0.0014156042268420636,289,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6143995287769621,1.071300987091728,0.010071875487467954,0.7740100183681309,28.269168769570957,1.8996766414901718,0.07963854998066172,0.06675174172264038,239,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5811863431219901,1.070465590173461,0.008323636090464196,0.7421514556711728,36.369387975458395,2.0049073075588306,-0.056818181818181816,0.6556644947844955,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.421684567326745,0.3270854858436086,,0.14349997824253824,-31.11205832891358,72.41511448769789,0.02868357396091318,0.5117087558521624,275,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.3561627471096824e-09,0.0,3.855438022280606e-34,0.0,1.0,539,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.3561627471096824e-09,0.0,3.855431386888775e-34,0.0,1.0,540,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.31386553452913357,0.49365396547686097,0.03316284099899457,0.3340700346147921,7.7242988117908125,0.36722327176548764,-0.2698412698412698,0.04526042867191174,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3286348192869535,0.4790181944446496,0.4816520916270794,0.3146984573024241,50.418544569657946,0.42258392388579624,-0.04566416040100251,0.17258153623157835,400,0.9975,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7929169696018046,1.4864426713148808,0.14722998073278348,1.011552559462017,7.345955967055306,3.472875025315502,-0.04659544901858607,0.22564591593483918,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.362298354965361,0.9909761575747218,0.009923004027311918,0.7225046602720693,22.098942754948517,1.5901846812739464,0.22059578839239857,1.3058414977773687e-05,177,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.4539380254510008,1.0171651602630492,0.00866256496836003,0.694295550748422,34.41538763559448,1.694495727681373,0.021645021645021644,0.9112884689584274,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.286400742109759,0.466547765383635,,0.18761123796847123,-24.25667452673045,87.02949933953943,0.03198407715778071,0.5440178160513229,190,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.0459942197556761e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,2.0220321630701716e-28,0.0,1.0,397,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,398,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.36167861848650795,0.49455381778420476,0.03324062618358011,0.34431122124691615,7.986333567886383,0.5712708639071138,-0.15217391304347824,0.31275941965675913,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3279387215792386,1.0459502283988897,1.0933371640616079,0.7022932172411729,6.858912342188647,1.0721363247607556,-0.0005761032377001959,0.9888711885297796,264,0.9962121212121212,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.045698974885779,1.5721984760706076,0.14192554961108672,1.0757649825139597,-1.3749427343201277,3.7674234990024824,-0.05891917742706838,0.20959712858669577,205,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9075679929227745,1.145442111216266,0.010256259035586813,0.8906745144318265,25.146768370353712,2.4464040828135194,0.09780176385415296,0.033282650029523714,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1374607267848178,0.00888958251994685,0.8481888404956763,28.643717831168455,1.8085885112023488,-0.08064516129032259,0.5301288877477086,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.689547054164243,0.37471234355185584,,0.15177121410429872,-31.830472067360738,73.87064995103742,0.08759255677166031,0.05039442920906602,264,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,1.5792439736619035e-30,0.0,1.0,519,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579241042195508e-30,0.0,1.0,520,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.613843832129828,2.2103929965175833,0.15925778436226873,1.7831247026080472,-78.68678586194969,3.9623550410667945,0.021164021164021163,0.8910537311539605,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9164463481743605,1.2320353512594178,1.472985591956702,0.9363153024890022,-12.250073538797745,1.7082829356389155,0.09783119215361238,0.00435433019694368,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.898656502609737,1.9141034340337182,0.18551203955094225,1.5298286515783126,-5.279724912066871,12.054123016460832,-0.17526912725874666,8.894021917836769e-06,289,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3295117699164924,0.9463672571957353,0.008979569418290392,0.6916022759067921,31.367009216121886,1.6457491264731656,0.30895702405890946,9.19671354596505e-10,178,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646346,1.1324285203842483,0.009484338375650726,0.7276927535003623,29.188919734540207,1.7734024748178494,-0.05627705627705628,0.7380940484479567,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.238547992388302,0.4641359633569107,,0.18520487244315997,-24.24910680659575,86.80902682464365,0.01956001401246516,0.7100249222143097,191,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.1005151803435396e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,398,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.1005151803435396e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,399,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3509776387406318,0.5109250784451215,0.03392609341986356,0.3477349888235497,-0.05414682793155379,0.5466483923340161,-0.18840579710144928,0.20826013369971733,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7117365269675556,0.7101050966007989,0.8620743131122589,0.47072198684077,38.29749292665518,0.8625407588622177,0.05117209834190967,0.21448361246753145,265,0.9962264150943396,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.877231043837148,1.513316113092047,0.1366968045743842,1.017717295986393,3.3575517839554028,3.6894600887934303,-0.02640589090567985,0.5720114604578553,207,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.5860092119298526,1.3524317650973139,0.012695978639958229,1.1287234384232716,13.44189853303409,2.9101870458041974,-0.008907024702733534,0.8462843005375524,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685407324,1.5349643437810503,0.012371122286664232,1.296030600804856,16.041236998369264,3.389151169692855,-0.07661290322580645,0.5514777322263826,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.723775622835616,0.3952053434350443,,0.1709461818207379,-32.61095675664091,73.87949210081084,0.0773227487613205,0.0841380083952342,264,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,1.5792439736619035e-30,0.0,1.0,519,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.579241042195508e-30,0.0,1.0,520,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9267203694223873,0.8991660074328582,0.06467944417529574,0.6832483151466748,-40.002513417357854,0.6820557529393131,-0.08465608465608465,0.5436680154547943,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4086011163971446,1.0308301294415168,2.072721228714386,0.9014171625388095,5.472133924051279,1.5739656513152704,0.15634756181793066,5.195438253615829e-06,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6374422384270657,1.435030594909696,0.14185227945951576,1.1375966769668246,11.450310484320775,3.5044978074843924,-0.09140715109573241,0.02051207837417364,289,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.089598510340393,1.5130203684629175,0.01368788348877177,1.0266377342367037,0.0,3.1864761823370666,-0.013119213724715898,0.775230539748514,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.8803486777886427,1.7234750348172114,0.013600798681791645,1.164368059063642,0.0,3.667874600129973,-0.14919354838709678,0.23861491183733988,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.004379715310492,0.43640535278325115,,0.17100177381193,0.0,73.77532674391335,0.14479865184684612,0.0030836503310001356,265,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,520,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,521,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.40627897829962645,0.5557580915813806,0.03936781341215746,0.39697760149965017,0.0,0.4744483125303129,-0.32275132275132273,0.015817547817850365,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4797251675632443,1.068532087076426,2.1035877580499567,0.9393186549550592,0.0,1.5983477358646545,0.17524838191037637,3.148068962528472e-07,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0787109503020034,1.581645594411163,0.14980790944742553,1.2826218042861848,0.0,3.5969304008148377,-0.08750745734399236,0.026291171017075187,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.3336485273273295,1.369431003685908,0.014044892580721374,1.0786778106569637,3.2340679926689107,2.076739478282935,-0.15919790758500432,0.00125367582101177,186,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,1.2510649627495094,0.010353811211048837,0.9577149267740791,30.624585259542382,2.167796226333411,-0.18153846153846157,0.20324965345831253,26,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.769810160808902,0.41504022427847964,,0.16157186704934395,-31.05318468093703,79.62766720327978,0.034501578885813414,0.43907298655481963,227,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.711624072777077e-16,2.334191143302198e-08,,2.0242545668588697e-08,0.0,1.4297406124962331e-15,0.0,1.0,450,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.701610754536851e-16,2.3323010557032427e-08,,2.0240371017635236e-08,0.0,1.4283094368190279e-15,0.0,1.0,451,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3203636538912743,0.5075621603907478,0.03374635902678368,0.3398897031230472,2.1126852444260993,0.3582833926162125,-0.32923076923076927,0.018371833944896835,26,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3870166695327117,0.5388540940885383,0.7886290889375925,0.35591626912535035,53.314928814853026,0.38459316936346444,0.03390168909475702,0.3678910416373625,317,0.9968454258675079,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2154686441215006,1.6557573131742542,0.1658321445318822,1.2310985601022846,-4.953532948337691,3.5484129647474014,-0.09414225941422595,0.029868960301800043,240,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2930236112584452,0.9657022022428051,0.009435472005290437,0.8282398664622558,23.80957906614156,1.5209091532305468,0.3034135726914185,3.4484971719621384e-09,172,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6897087292640207,1.09329092186638,0.009593598242124572,0.9474734246730254,30.125180199747636,1.9526605060946605,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.539760499907002,0.4812109980877768,,0.1912800679856001,-24.561596955836894,88.20441990261938,0.025448393269909227,0.6355464642242779,185,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,383,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,384,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.37327560506336477,0.5185272509173141,0.03418482796535857,0.4123620485360199,3.465213338537667,0.506550571327117,-0.22666666666666663,0.11834341824544657,25,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9684587391656666,0.8694076121333468,0.9236492339025404,0.7080759284007276,22.745805125806623,0.8988324401892442,-0.01921353907416625,0.6535512025390484,246,0.9959349593495935,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.905322596847384,1.5123599133515746,0.13554043474013291,1.277749538649062,3.3524040677998475,3.787937285706062,-0.03947438705197372,0.4137318498126218,194,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6044818304930752,1.0733341728449766,0.00990931419231941,0.775637081946561,29.88973440242601,1.785704738010647,0.053788604049214615,0.21659803303164127,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1.1566950827938647,0.009098519179104744,0.7859114801504872,36.06338252137382,2.012663949949189,-0.12096774193548389,0.34153305448057775,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.440399522634646,0.32349699715213515,,0.14354416569200582,-31.111431971916765,72.55088278732995,-0.0061704776451978645,0.8879982610790863,274,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,538,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.42969816419557e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,539,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.314654479190125,0.4795158295005707,0.03176581536708863,0.32560657639009666,14.010661877279322,0.4008075938825765,-0.24867724867724864,0.06578881844114484,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3914620092544251,0.5226759197116431,0.6170064879662301,0.3486725188424674,45.64680805889104,0.501022473143983,-0.028070175438596495,0.40178591060122304,400,0.9975,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9004976891270604,1.50956448822586,0.1505316402294837,1.0297928910194565,5.948139550733763,3.601755309717661,-0.14235132122483773,0.00021946379155417484,303,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6453848622382907,1.0815005714223864,0.010579608774461076,0.8863769556681769,27.825438502908504,1.8968683448062447,0.06908388757777299,0.1132848151615818,237,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9235807995648218,1.1939238211789782,0.009107697376501547,0.9818204856365835,32.13359881394004,2.2268271082902564,-0.09469696969696971,0.45073160411871227,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.440338023401453,0.3243292971115565,,0.13340248838450666,-28.804094492516693,72.54969132356052,0.10815401883190703,0.014684185429428724,274,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,538,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,539,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3316526222970445,0.518229795992016,0.03950672721610399,0.3705334650768531,1.9642900030307806,0.3385346334229588,-0.31746031746031744,0.0177084999871278,28,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17448931469062262,0.35656673752797174,0.26484915186726404,0.2748904753855771,62.61501599360679,0.2045072475628232,-0.011151475260433147,0.7397038857137405,398,0.9974874371859297,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.703166389872372,1.471570467481978,0.13269632834168124,1.2324382704737284,7.1831678171112525,3.267827272052172,-0.09557843201538697,0.01309229016082298,303,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.28199037431467,1.2978356815478813,0.009816543535913609,0.7495388373219307,-0.37220432904438483,2.8635395035234312,0.19739292364990688,8.348137639666252e-05,180,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645,1.521645487561495,0.010709564244259217,0.8709867168219557,0.5322464158750319,3.5235205419444062,-0.012987012987012986,0.9555771436337516,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.826734560926148,1.4969531968606289,,0.18882707857441822,-87.77543774951803,87.1235513787167,-0.0008266740148801323,0.9864512966604233,191,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T17:35:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.543792875643088,0.31100558026860387,,0.0002757553862654918,-100.0,3.526227649663352,-0.01604010025062657,0.6318630419626412,400,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5424909403771452,0.3105975023274569,,0.00027573424707615313,-100.0,3.521913605253161,-0.015112219451371572,0.6512978565256735,401,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.706714315171903,0.6649440647216701,0.0315691235852417,0.3206082426601839,-12.340778812805832,1.3527117377628468,-0.18115942028985507,0.22687503195798614,24,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3122149672366819,0.9631675017453174,0.7635797715635193,0.39394466459514893,16.331076814203552,2.481563307623274,0.01878291233702233,0.6474024140869519,267,0.9962546816479401,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,56.14875924941847,5.132806982419556,0.1302944255249655,1.0263062603348718,-65.21205046789127,181.67420637845436,-0.07425469267574533,0.11029860138297042,209,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T03:00:00.750883+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:18.467927+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -11,18 +11,18 @@ Climate,Moirai-2.0,1.4824060116514644,14.748371632894651,9,5,5,1.0
 Climate,ARIMA,7.768114077941136,34.84406300542313,10,5,5,1.0
 Climate,Moving-Average,4.448829912179885,27.760038786622744,11,5,5,1.0
 Climate,ETS,41.67150566777602,91.51964639360355,12,5,5,1.0
-Finance,Sundial,0.1553856152033481,0.4454936556840123,1,2,2,1.0
-Finance,TabPFN-TS,0.33642188901287534,0.6030571261979534,2,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Chronos-Bolt,0.5063518930765302,0.733284542729589,3,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Toto-1.0,1.9514893034598342,0.5765934210550346,4,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Moving-Average,0.22898279760593168,0.4899267384111769,5,2,2,1.0
-Finance,TiRex,0.6532194822907184,0.779085804074992,6,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Chronos-2,0.8376050283281606,0.7940667619955436,7,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Moirai-2.0,0.5894816546264567,0.744966122360056,8,2,2,1.0
-Finance,TimesFM-2.5,0.529764977532803,0.6981332954090039,9,2,2,1.0
-Finance,ETS,0.970126232756746,0.9882490274955275,10,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,2,2,1.0
-Finance,ARIMA,0.9237502292896353,1.5158798999817436,12,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Chronos-Bolt,0.6246374812016975,0.6281458098956073,1,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Chronos-2,0.6607755119007309,0.6404126372922686,2,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Moirai-2.0,0.6276274772925245,0.6265589727020071,3,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Sundial,0.6011625793175759,0.6853287090154413,4,2,2,1.0
+Finance,TiRex,0.6527665678907555,0.6512743848210886,5,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Toto-1.0,0.8962121735752512,0.6549175773709905,6,2,2,1.0
+Finance,ETS,0.6862247867942812,0.7489909203226953,7,2,2,1.0
+Finance,TabPFN-TS,0.6614021808119652,0.7652523676597832,8,2,2,1.0
+Finance,ARIMA,0.7656469925175853,0.8726648351309003,9,2,2,1.0
+Finance,TimesFM-2.5,0.7509292241567388,0.7997334332457952,10,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Moving-Average,0.6768132814477055,0.8634280187640179,11,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,2,2,1.0
 Hazards,ARIMA,0.7462605338771628,0.6602389941338824,1,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,Moirai-2.0,0.7281972824447458,0.7036277604367918,2,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,Moving-Average,0.7963258085146442,0.7048427412162565,3,1,1,1.0
@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20554.192155190736,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,19261.778088580024,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,637193131.9497002,273899848.7647005,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,21716834000.03259,267278571.3405997,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -35,30 +35,42 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 1D,Toto-1.0,1.1828445386062165,0.7008146109363338,10,1,1,1.0
 1D,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,1,1,1.0
 1D,TabPFN-TS,0.8629829581417852,1.004036040514957,12,1,1,1.0
-1h,Toto-1.0,4.125877284285071,0.7871136200110362,1,7,7,1.0
-1h,TiRex,0.8727771177144572,0.9285269624837972,2,7,7,1.0
-1h,TabPFN-TS,0.6368150023579308,0.8522490975299426,3,7,7,1.0
-1h,Sundial,0.9658862807548193,0.8693746592880739,4,7,7,1.0
-1h,Moirai-2.0,1.0885810823135906,0.9677115281591154,5,7,7,1.0
-1h,Chronos-2,1.1254866775928838,0.9382391008130023,6,7,7,1.0
-1h,Chronos-Bolt,1.1395983105755276,0.9394670556008913,7,7,7,1.0
-1h,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8,7,7,1.0
-1h,Moving-Average,1.8449702152725047,1.4078855081509185,9,7,7,1.0
-1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.8892759502679931,1.0001808153551834,10,7,7,1.0
-1h,ARIMA,4.054521916997039,2.265531863166366,11,7,7,1.0
-1h,ETS,13.809372130706334,4.0383466056378925,12,7,7,1.0
+1h,TiRex,0.9012706764368329,0.9273952307668324,1,6,6,1.0
+1h,Toto-1.0,4.352025432919427,0.8503819800878996,2,6,6,1.0
+1h,Chronos-2,1.1288571252932564,0.9299193177112922,3,6,6,1.0
+1h,TabPFN-TS,0.7625044096842334,0.9155915456759044,4,6,6,1.0
+1h,Moirai-2.0,1.2380692959194626,0.9973593802529491,5,6,6,1.0
+1h,Sundial,1.5843179936241654,1.0203503495110324,6,6,6,1.0
+1h,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7,6,6,1.0
+1h,Chronos-Bolt,1.3345869105156423,0.9527879695256491,8,6,6,1.0
+1h,TimesFM-2.5,1.020928067213842,1.0865385141010324,9,6,6,1.0
+1h,ARIMA,5.049569280552733,2.256374319830938,10,6,6,1.0
+1h,Moving-Average,2.9706593028348336,1.8361171325192194,11,6,6,1.0
+1h,ETS,19.958849302717287,4.852842456429281,12,6,6,1.0
+1mo,Moirai-2.0,0.5701893078499076,0.5711658118752873,1,1,1,1.0
+1mo,Chronos-Bolt,0.6722527938921684,0.6335328970612374,2,1,1,1.0
+1mo,Toto-1.0,0.6317640740160342,0.6385745807295035,3,1,1,1.0
+1mo,Chronos-2,0.6879834115815433,0.6437671766189335,4,1,1,1.0
+1mo,TiRex,0.7187693708563099,0.6536268717700132,5,1,1,1.0
+1mo,ARIMA,0.7464480695996939,0.7692893066778397,6,1,1,1.0
+1mo,ETS,0.7580203095992263,0.7703148978390245,7,1,1,1.0
+1mo,Sundial,0.7423182015400501,0.7871685560956725,8,1,1,1.0
+1mo,TimesFM-2.5,0.7803986235065251,0.7985326751147283,9,1,1,1.0
+1mo,Moving-Average,0.9249973049108767,0.8887079460534169,10,1,1,1.0
+1mo,TabPFN-TS,0.8352213750339312,0.8925810519947165,11,1,1,1.0
+1mo,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
 5min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,2,2,1.0
 5min,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,2,2,1.0
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,1.0,2075.594868502009,4,2,2,1.0
 5min,TiRex,1.0,2413.6848893618544,5,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,1.0,34055.05741410318,6,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,1.0,32967.01291308904,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,1.0,252290.1359197037,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,ETS,1.0,252290.1359197037,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moving-Average,1.0,252290.1359197037,9,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459942197556757,461166.5554836744,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0,374952.8836038598,11,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,18504065823.441563,278207298.7527275,12,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,108026393551.90065,274824023.7361474,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,Sundial,0.3487673463245832,0.44689652107170585,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,TiRex,0.5103870226749679,0.6114316749197464,2,1,1,1.0
 6min,Moving-Average,0.4551013883720313,0.7312614141590786,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -11,30 +11,30 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 7,Toto-1.0,1.1828445386062165,0.7008146109363338,10,1,1,1.0
 7,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,1,1,1.0
 7,TabPFN-TS,0.8629829581417852,1.004036040514957,12,1,1,1.0
-12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
-12,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
-12,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
-12,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
-12,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-12,Sundial,1.0,20554.192155190736,6,1,1,1.0
-12,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
-12,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
-12,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
-12,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
-12,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,637193131.9497002,273899848.7647005,12,1,1,1.0
-24,TiRex,0.9527609339183264,0.9605745727706534,1,8,8,1.0
-24,Toto-1.0,3.602323017176498,0.8432406870994948,2,8,8,1.0
-24,Moirai-2.0,1.111084333625263,0.9898177814254066,3,8,8,1.0
-24,Sundial,1.0038603917412252,0.9192080776377297,4,8,8,1.0
-24,Chronos-2,1.1823722520634963,0.9705394339322146,5,8,8,1.0
-24,TabPFN-TS,0.7242476822679981,0.9271751264471223,6,8,8,1.0
-24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7,8,8,1.0
-24,Chronos-Bolt,1.1796942750676118,0.9826233393849123,8,8,8,1.0
-24,Moving-Average,1.6527865810129951,1.3584130189398083,9,8,8,1.0
-24,TimesFM-2.5,0.9727496323823376,1.0581547926205321,10,8,8,1.0
-24,ARIMA,3.66237586472674,2.2529456335212767,11,8,8,1.0
-24,ETS,11.043531905703498,3.6664262832258556,12,8,8,1.0
+12,Chronos-2,0.8294476545156683,38.946376459967496,1,2,2,1.0
+12,TiRex,0.847802672121473,30.22591777828443,2,2,2,1.0
+12,Moirai-2.0,0.7551088053055054,483.94979926515697,3,2,2,1.0
+12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
+12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
+12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,123.13515357452879,7,2,2,1.0
+12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
+12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
+12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,117132.04310772748,13064.352323471843,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
+24,TiRex,0.991705651816758,0.9642337198054697,1,7,7,1.0
+24,Toto-1.0,3.6985197874738778,0.9099236672027473,2,7,7,1.0
+24,Chronos-2,1.1937859309458816,0.9678264500343697,3,7,7,1.0
+24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,4,7,7,1.0
+24,Moirai-2.0,1.2442773759954677,1.0190373339562788,5,7,7,1.0
+24,TabPFN-TS,0.8608402818528158,0.9978769611241393,6,7,7,1.0
+24,Chronos-Bolt,1.3574086843868183,1.0009554714345914,7,7,7,1.0
+24,Sundial,1.5426940838266079,1.0628688388906578,8,7,7,1.0
+24,Moving-Average,2.4473928340672564,1.696951275778114,9,7,7,1.0
+24,TimesFM-2.5,1.1090739864616972,1.1451794178966446,10,7,7,1.0
+24,ARIMA,4.356625710317693,2.243351556516162,11,7,7,1.0
+24,ETS,14.667339371124463,4.232941238802142,12,7,7,1.0
 36,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
 36,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 36,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
-Overall,TiRex,0.8467850759145127,2.9341386037216024,1,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,0.8175293807783756,4.121891527885902,2,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-2,1.1179255120985898,3.026894947528056,3,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TabPFN-TS,0.7942885160596794,0.9549326555251644,4,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TiRex,0.846694722562,2.8543558719741116,1,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,1.006700921271239,4.382330012516752,2,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-2,1.0778764154527734,2.928387605821314,3,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Moirai-2.0,1.0507039388613615,6.559751229024,4,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,5,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Moving-Average,1.1697139091940043,7.443289823238669,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.8713163512332048,0.985890128781775,7,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Moirai-2.0,1.0406169006686057,6.736785009938807,8,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,116.20694791599352,17.175805443016646,9,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-Bolt,1.1217393107418068,7.278973915414856,10,13,13,1.0
-Overall,ARIMA,2.2549263577188103,10.99486145392376,11,13,13,1.0
-Overall,ETS,4.697689307471637,15.376880140327657,12,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TabPFN-TS,0.8813423704118334,0.9905754247880598,6,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-Bolt,1.1585611347558775,7.107712384417715,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,135.246345071737,17.482756249733782,8,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.919360798284562,1.006714915323529,9,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Moving-Average,1.3819419818128125,8.121302704147778,10,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ARIMA,2.1907352932585393,10.099381763361688,11,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ETS,4.454015237173235,14.734883784792023,12,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.897287+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.199647+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.293201+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.230391+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.765105+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.096710+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.311067+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.272787+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.802212+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.129624+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.328057+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.298716+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/dataset_properties.csv

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 dataset,domain,frequency,num_variates
 binance_btcusdt_1h_close,Finance,1h,1
-coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd,Finance,1h,1
+data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd,Finance,M,1
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total,Climate,5min,1
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count,Transportation,5min,1
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_t2m,Weather,1h,1

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.890466+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.196719+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.354048+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.348864+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.796740+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.117024+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.369988+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.383712+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.874084+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.193767+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.424202+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.434820+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/online_status.json

@@ -2,14 +2,14 @@
     "status": "ok",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "started_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:54.667928+00:00",
-    "finished_at": "2026-07-28T03:00:02.887245+00:00",
+    "started_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:32.501214+00:00",
+    "finished_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:20.794614+00:00",
     "data_source": "ts_bench",
     "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
-    "task_count": 4,
-    "issued_tasks": 0,
-    "issued_forecasts": 0,
-    "resolved_forecasts": 0,
+    "task_count": 3,
+    "issued_tasks": 1,
+    "issued_forecasts": 12,
+    "resolved_forecasts": 12,
     "pending_tasks": 13,
     "failed_forecasts": [],
     "models": {
@@ -19,8 +19,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964908+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.096710+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.272787+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TiRex": {
             "model": "TiRex",
@@ -28,8 +38,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964932+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.104316+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.623712+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TimesFM-2.5": {
             "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
@@ -37,8 +57,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964935+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.108678+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.582963+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Toto-1.0": {
             "model": "Toto-1.0",
@@ -46,8 +76,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964938+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.112600+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.665812+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moirai-2.0": {
             "model": "Moirai-2.0",
@@ -55,8 +95,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964940+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.117024+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.383712+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Chronos-Bolt": {
             "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
@@ -64,8 +114,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964943+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.129624+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.298716+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TabPFN-TS": {
             "model": "TabPFN-TS",
@@ -73,8 +133,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964945+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.151032+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.560934+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Sundial": {
             "model": "Sundial",
@@ -82,8 +152,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964947+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.178303+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.520976+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moving-Average": {
             "model": "Moving-Average",
@@ -91,8 +171,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964950+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.193767+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.434820+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ETS": {
             "model": "ETS",
@@ -100,8 +190,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964951+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.196719+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.348864+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ARIMA": {
             "model": "ARIMA",
@@ -109,8 +209,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964954+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.199647+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.230391+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Seasonal-Naive": {
             "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
@@ -118,8 +228,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:59:58.964957+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.202812+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.469955+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         }
     },
     "skipped_models": [],
@@ -142,7 +262,5 @@
         "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
         "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
     },
-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-28T03:01:04.929805+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-9921f6ff2b74dee2d418.json

@@ -0,0 +1,259 @@
+{
+  "source_task_name": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260727t230000z",
+  "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+  "domain": "Transportation",
+  "frequency": "5min",
+  "prediction_length": 12,
+  "context": [
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0
+  ],
+  "context_timestamps": [
+    "2026-07-26T08:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T08:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T09:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T10:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T11:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T12:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T13:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T14:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T15:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T16:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:00:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:05:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:10:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:15:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:20:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:25:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:30:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:35:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:40:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:45:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:50:00",
+    "2026-07-26T17:55:00",
+    "2026-07-26T18:00:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-26 08:05",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-26 18:00",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T03:10:52.741447Z",
+  "task_id": "future-9921f6ff2b74dee2d418",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:37.034796+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/prequential/tasks/future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a.json

@@ -253,7 +253,23 @@
   "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T02:29:50.963783Z",
   "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
   "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
+    "ARIMA",
+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.701846+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-26T16:55:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00"
 }

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.901233+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.202812+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.443935+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.469955+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,1.7146618576285901,1.7036796647957921,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,0.020980244564637807,0.0447908708599997,nan,nan,0.0023348485467426807,nan,nan,0.14484558869581707,nan,nan,0.15634843776673438,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,6.02996523271699e-15,4.685271552494167e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,7.765285077005859e-08,nan,nan,5.6423863644039234e-08,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,4.663218247688461e-16,5.663144295537077e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.1594485980658258e-08,nan,nan,2.0554192155190725e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,2.1956175464352033e-16,3.8297053854419816e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.481761636173377e-08,nan,nan,1.926177808858003e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.08695338508506821,0.08353722033822863,nan,nan,0.016796435774787625,nan,nan,0.294878593806109,nan,nan,0.1770426087971502,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.04821187162773686,0.06255171335029873,nan,nan,0.1113706881054695,nan,nan,0.21957201922771685,nan,nan,0.1293380084059859,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,1.2926078961513339,1.3404142720117949,nan,nan,0.10380252354860531,nan,nan,1.1369291517730267,nan,nan,0.8127187135418581,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.858524+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.178303+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.466980+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.520976+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.837889+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.151032+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.473971+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.560934+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.785257+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.108678+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.486916+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.582963+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.777885+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.104316+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.504223+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.623712+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,4.477663680103048,2.0890328378534413,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.2672091214948127,0.013642740360327242,nan,nan,0.0013252159503021489,nan,nan,1.1257038338278913,nan,nan,0.23265817163880909,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.5373574114814641,4.782166783821598e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.7330466639181056,nan,nan,0.0002825824892871974,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.0006371931319497955,4.401852668471669e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.025242684721514776,nan,nan,0.0002738998487647795,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.021716834000032662,2.8648615067681916e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.1473663258686755,nan,nan,0.0002672785713406887,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.3781601546771693,0.064105101809067,nan,nan,0.014643988879747117,nan,nan,0.614947277965493,nan,nan,0.19193844973139762,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.5938577859053631,0.20279020502719616,nan,nan,0.2032631822843151,nan,nan,0.7706216879282357,nan,nan,0.3000537773009777,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,27.683402577657873,1.6771575919101602,nan,nan,0.11580182513025877,nan,nan,5.26150193173564,nan,nan,0.9010035824904497,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T02:32:55.793103+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T03:14:16.112600+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.529949+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-bd5805ed25d9fb82172a",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T02:30:24.867751+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T03:11:36.665812+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-26T17:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }