Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-05T11:23:07.522425+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:43.423777+00:00",
   "scope": "All deduplicated metrics-only evaluation releases saved up to generation time, plus one latest all_results snapshot for allowlisted model-datasets without release history",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -12,6 +12,6 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 14,
-  "num_model_releases": 17698,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2394
+  "num_model_releases": 17746,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2398
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,AverageRank,WinRate,Elo,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Moirai-2.0,34266.736584735285,60.16302335320949,0.26601388556469857,0.2128806190590077,27.713719806614098,5.004238567893751,0.6029570263120473,1222.3683309126723,38269.344755467326,-0.2272173555390118,0.3076923076923077,13,496,0.9230769230769231,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:21:26.653708+00:00
-2,Chronos-2,67510.83250525709,83.93758608981351,0.22815209865557853,0.2817356312004247,26.093671168629246,3.0252883142082156,0.7070099477242388,1195.4524136731236,87006.47159772724,0.19122917043697665,0.15384615384615385,13,2288,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-3,TiRex,76251.02777966813,90.4206118055895,0.23807315810330568,0.2785038350286608,25.313114176558607,3.391988620855545,0.6584511741857085,1132.7068103473644,89339.47842439065,0.22789003122276202,0.15384615384615385,13,2266,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-4,TimesFM-2.5,70168.25351082455,88.89166022688127,0.2049794730802731,0.3186869796972052,26.923348585569922,3.405649793542073,0.6288065531747522,1128.3058554012823,77051.49812637613,0.18837095504084517,0.15384615384615385,13,2285,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-5,TabPFN-TS,47760.89616887585,74.67333630700696,0.2942383752808078,0.270524443700264,19.466825683474493,5.798028019123766,0.5654632350375907,1043.9236924026236,34212.98573964889,-0.036808988445383245,0.23076923076923078,13,476,0.9230769230769231,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-6,Sundial,190345.3044883857,170.21551691712267,0.40214478717663127,0.2153426882949334,18.46372730333894,5.120069299973921,0.5105139923283557,1038.5989422102987,118828.03465493441,-0.08862008276134851,0.2857142857142857,14,1021,0.9285714285714286,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-7,Chronos-Bolt,64010.786441794204,81.08422533943843,0.30915451342690553,0.23912560069677136,10.52581058787551,6.1924987813732315,0.4833672540599743,995.4124265810785,57346.071716672195,0.05786888673037219,0.15384615384615385,13,491,0.9230769230769231,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:21:40.431936+00:00
-8,ETS,77706.00764359986,94.60480854381954,0.38558513835040026,0.44107801473116903,-2.408305822735932,5.6529633480462245,0.3750482219013723,905.54088151773,111700.0402657596,0.10799320776121436,0.3076923076923077,13,1966,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-9,Moving-Average,120423.96708242991,121.70083960870429,0.38117221411486835,0.34793383886968804,6.616791050071564,5.300902559869135,0.3999603165672694,904.4112348583809,113504.85964980096,0.10651014100383825,0.3076923076923077,13,1966,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-10,ARIMA,99363.98521485591,115.45589576532923,0.33657945062510436,0.34760234535933177,2.5307634760399305,5.616103683965012,0.3680160470435122,869.8445276206337,91953.69469482335,0.11215552744803234,0.3076923076923077,13,1966,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-11,Toto-1.0,138753.93439834274,118.53604066012814,0.27954097454656635,0.22462412695145506,-28.78015209250424,7.470723921614769,0.3401613491316207,819.2553528355669,315977.84568365454,0.0801582503929847,0.07692307692307693,13,504,0.9230769230769231,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:18:33.834630+00:00
-12,Seasonal-Naive,142405.0940796229,146.7249443009935,0.42995046057380826,0.45005858994708886,0.0,5.50852417534836,0.36089719039529433,744.1795316392452,118924.0494213796,0.16758472520720882,0.14285714285714285,14,1973,0.9285714285714286,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+1,Moirai-2.0,34086.878455003505,60.03424118113098,0.26576439383562356,0.21291017683552108,27.666013065016724,5.005852655992909,0.6030105347503493,1222.3675675918212,38176.60287953342,-0.2217552544416681,0.3076923076923077,13,500,0.9230769230769231,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:41:18.983105+00:00
+2,Chronos-2,67471.6085962106,83.92609840764281,0.2280594071330486,0.2817046897373333,26.117749659351723,3.0254655214777246,0.7071628270399509,1195.4602715067745,86970.76605703578,0.192651599439317,0.15384615384615385,13,2292,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+3,TiRex,76211.3034308936,90.40764113808315,0.23797376699039952,0.27849099500742985,25.324593394497732,3.392330908823744,0.6586068672984946,1132.710613239254,89307.69932609363,0.22958199874722215,0.15384615384615385,13,2270,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+4,TimesFM-2.5,70139.67036211674,88.88930116333471,0.20496126443662446,0.3186766519827788,26.928816302766982,3.407109853832906,0.6287961926494181,1128.3088835350497,77018.03333874968,0.19020868077145606,0.07692307692307693,13,2289,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+5,TabPFN-TS,47521.15175421702,74.5066643307052,0.293900900877688,0.27052777483472407,19.42759852580363,5.807299136400051,0.5646249101373193,1043.9058103206064,34193.88307011533,-0.032532032572202156,0.23076923076923078,13,480,0.9230769230769231,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+6,Sundial,189933.94593887025,170.03801124364296,0.40191737383150894,0.21538288228517183,18.46030430606479,5.119490425198734,0.5108492114927466,1038.5992432183925,118880.92192009564,-0.08701848235813071,0.2857142857142857,14,1025,0.9285714285714286,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+7,Chronos-Bolt,63708.88449196959,80.93436364914352,0.3085743272206432,0.2389727450624377,10.52259941325034,6.191189584521606,0.4836755528356172,995.4176871084167,57227.44016716058,0.05962741438787202,0.15384615384615385,13,495,0.9230769230769231,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:41:37.519239+00:00
+8,ETS,77652.95582005844,94.5871529156807,0.38524078237979803,0.44096546706978584,-2.3869699024239464,5.654698001546799,0.37510358824686135,905.54627915491,111644.02660534176,0.10949112772070393,0.3076923076923077,13,1970,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+9,Moving-Average,120331.20860156139,121.66616269523885,0.3806717187349231,0.3478219795128938,6.630290803012077,5.3040845003982104,0.3998547013512369,904.4056766436622,113463.65385103655,0.1080797806092193,0.3076923076923077,13,1970,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+10,ARIMA,99353.8035684603,115.47024904486283,0.3362321251761345,0.3475167895445453,2.5410807083802283,5.619606182391274,0.36777712650796085,869.8396309193856,91900.11687847877,0.11384108230029318,0.3076923076923077,13,1970,0.9230769230769231,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+11,Toto-1.0,140746.0768537027,119.21022255061101,0.2792573952214615,0.22464269458859268,-28.805251748809212,7.469079143920903,0.3405168091771919,819.2674205743392,315640.0150805602,0.082782082354769,0.07692307692307693,13,508,0.9230769230769231,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:41:00.780454+00:00
+12,Seasonal-Naive,142308.035348282,146.6881482948423,0.42948771690064014,0.44995028869020665,0.0,5.511202325274068,0.36065756955441475,744.1709161873889,118886.97962450421,0.1702040355439664,0.14285714285714285,14,1977,0.9285714285714286,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,model,AverageRank,WinRate,Elo,dataset_pair_matches,shared_releases,pairwise_matches
-1,Moirai-2.0,5.004238567893751,0.6029570263120473,1222.3683309126723,134,496,5245
-2,Chronos-2,3.0252883142082156,0.7070099477242388,1195.4524136731236,139,2283,15082
-3,TiRex,3.391988620855545,0.6584511741857085,1132.7068103473644,139,2264,15055
-4,TimesFM-2.5,3.405649793542073,0.6288065531747522,1128.3058554012823,139,2280,15095
-5,TabPFN-TS,5.798028019123766,0.5654632350375907,1043.9236924026236,132,466,5072
-6,Sundial,5.120069299973921,0.5105139923283557,1038.5989422102987,139,1010,8901
-7,Chronos-Bolt,6.1924987813732315,0.4833672540599743,995.4124265810785,134,491,5225
-8,ETS,5.6529633480462245,0.3750482219013723,905.54088151773,139,1966,14441
-9,Moving-Average,5.300902559869135,0.3999603165672694,904.4112348583809,139,1966,14441
-10,ARIMA,5.616103683965012,0.3680160470435122,869.8445276206337,139,1966,14441
-11,Toto-1.0,7.470723921614769,0.3401613491316207,819.2553528355669,134,504,5269
-12,Seasonal-Naive,5.50852417534836,0.36089719039529433,744.1795316392452,139,1966,14441
+1,Moirai-2.0,5.005852655992909,0.6030105347503493,1222.3675675918212,134,500,5289
+2,Chronos-2,3.0254655214777246,0.7071628270399509,1195.4602715067745,139,2287,15126
+3,TiRex,3.392330908823744,0.6586068672984946,1132.710613239254,139,2268,15099
+4,TimesFM-2.5,3.407109853832906,0.6287961926494181,1128.3088835350497,139,2284,15139
+5,TabPFN-TS,5.807299136400051,0.5646249101373193,1043.9058103206064,132,470,5116
+6,Sundial,5.119490425198734,0.5108492114927466,1038.5992432183925,139,1014,8945
+7,Chronos-Bolt,6.191189584521606,0.4836755528356172,995.4176871084167,134,495,5269
+8,ETS,5.654698001546799,0.37510358824686135,905.54627915491,139,1970,14485
+9,Moving-Average,5.3040845003982104,0.3998547013512369,904.4056766436622,139,1970,14485
+10,ARIMA,5.619606182391274,0.36777712650796085,869.8396309193856,139,1970,14485
+11,Toto-1.0,7.469079143920903,0.3405168091771919,819.2674205743392,134,508,5313
+12,Seasonal-Naive,5.511202325274068,0.36065756955441475,744.1709161873889,139,1970,14485

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
 model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stability,Improvement,Improvement_pvalue,n_releases,MAPE_coverage,first_release,last_release
-ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,651079.4426688323,665.0460491787563,0.014404432768939985,0.11752196187017108,16.28132945830274,731927.9600502278,0.3932673852059648,4.638619836990763e-41,521,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,650947.0834198978,665.2334730771539,0.014409253707379147,0.11732659655467136,16.19870233071591,731231.449714727,0.39250336444062034,5.537813457066674e-41,522,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,637362.048413627,753.5222622305821,0.011766852301044444,0.010280979871578728,14.879170644964086,457993.6238729679,0.4802566071403323,0.00023338833765900228,31,1.0,2026-06-29T07:42:24.900081Z,2026-07-02T03:16:24.400538Z
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,4.658753732427456e-05,0.002880249139479794,0.9999995361844555,1.0000424827892587,-30.10148709036372,0.0001671411388568015,-0.2179131032841515,0.0005784850085552405,143,0.02097902097902098,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128035e-08,,,0.0,1.581565231022517e-30,0.0,1.0,206,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,5.398006435762082e-05,0.003091728924056729,0.9999997153934195,1.0000424437572428,-29.89244907491368,0.00018870697970452824,-0.19526892724209982,0.0019455701745076345,144,0.027777777777777776,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128035e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,207,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,12.86287171502031,3.09584630376581,0.09987261294403726,0.173707859895317,-40.9544383269369,11.487543056802318,-0.4564405202983858,2.6638589270556756e-07,66,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:29.867986+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7867475571090871,0.7322239744781626,1.382295925519898,0.5148871370092271,-0.5416412957044544,1.0282251463834353,-0.31287798923597626,2.047726653011753e-14,269,0.9814126394052045,2026-06-17T12:10:12.335728+00:00,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7845859557565488,0.7311812302327547,1.3781230199848564,0.5140558715793053,-0.5339281631437913,1.0269266020994752,-0.312845931433292,1.84210337192187e-14,270,0.9814814814814815,2026-06-17T12:10:12.335728+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,36;72,1.4850373746553864,0.8073578713507285,0.1547518686637582,0.45796926628805057,7.826947353118107,3.5098193350635873,-0.46441580132494753,1.3648635539639834e-25,229,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.398268+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 ARIMA,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,3.76823098785217,0.9302744450792522,0.038092424790128795,0.3453064927329774,32.9797255423421,25.72829039478577,-0.07917383820998279,0.2863277880359588,84,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.433031+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,476.3946242391555,15.282629975954686,0.4389055022274837,0.4568472048468698,16.979601802517205,943.3929900740253,0.5549382716049382,2.2509902359816253e-13,81,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.456148+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -12,12 +12,12 @@ ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,9.0486807
 ARIMA,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,12.84724711127021,3.2714733748514715,0.5804983752084031,0.3381422732312654,18.049892145759546,8.24431991248942,0.41358024691358025,4.627378439705027e-08,81,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.513260+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 ARIMA,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1275.4783219741628,26.374891522452305,0.012276605437096556,0.11665079709704548,-5.395069834948847,3045.5221162512507,0.19070057196673476,0.0002624863471647672,167,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.165483+00:00,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1497.6449023988077,29.244693569412448,0.19059512538856654,0.2840846198094644,50.089686274981915,1427.2723435126513,0.5916079783099616,0.027707849358079864,9,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.582752+00:00,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,476049.7001387191,483.91370853483284,0.009809009809114677,0.11193427751246161,33.73033527552707,733792.3327680588,0.5634922993116427,2.803983674312442e-100,636,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,475539.7897095905,483.7645374117896,0.00980119753702189,0.11176765692155197,33.73853492721756,733328.1610386481,0.5617527126961089,7.934457534167874e-100,637,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,400097.44087483804,560.2205869407004,0.00783121158861998,0.006440046369855963,45.80162880536755,393755.0454473591,0.3837603460311939,0.0032459311642611286,31,1.0,2026-06-29T07:42:24.900081Z,2026-07-02T03:16:24.400538Z
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,2.307542782924453e-05,0.0008538552257763092,0.9999999947669664,1.000000299533194,-29.71048561210919,0.00015813738262069943,-0.20790141386153166,0.0009057539608752047,146,0.02054794520547945,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653316e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,,0.0,5.791662097627203e-34,0.0,1.0,209,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,3.0477031297161826e-05,0.0010748040591442457,0.9999999953314066,1.0000003014500554,-29.496741109162162,0.00018135423040433824,-0.18639886405309683,0.002800709740853277,147,0.027210884353741496,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,,0.0,3.861063868178096e-34,0.0,1.0,210,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0768414288621417,1.29322281635267,0.0430455495245209,0.05969841389459707,19.13476060315236,1.768150633232077,-0.14415135139916085,0.08911205897238911,72,1.0,2026-06-17T05:11:12.972050+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.16601885507548636,0.31865478732811975,0.4703406380763768,0.16573753343403425,46.504683774751086,0.27180303564219643,-0.031392166116092496,0.3977429350467392,326,0.9815950920245399,2026-06-16T12:06:44.487655+00:00,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.1656229776650019,0.3182650933188963,0.46923615151367026,0.16553285455098565,46.59575999950577,0.2714802406160437,-0.03266355227856889,0.37817098166518714,327,0.981651376146789,2026-06-16T12:06:44.487655+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,1.6839085205312714,0.8942109938608305,0.1576680384960727,0.44615727400108385,4.8874757780136235,3.761791042171174,-0.499092332514881,1.3579121995551035e-33,264,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:47.974062+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 Chronos-2,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,4.997623490685521,1.0817543064333492,0.04253424674631926,0.4424939718408074,34.9139173684097,27.182073567254832,-0.02787878787878788,0.6810871144380525,100,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:22.165146+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,261.1434731122411,11.384371535733628,0.32893218508945404,0.44730687667438823,34.17973022960042,497.39286840397295,0.5910908052541406,8.921853242312546e-19,103,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:26.984109+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -25,12 +25,12 @@ Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.656
 Chronos-2,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.535474484910784,2.8203504348062456,0.5658232191263552,0.34563227505460153,24.016983549986996,8.94194473601427,0.399581191699981,2.2149145119217207e-09,103,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:36.348072+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Chronos-2,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1085.9966271932694,19.77465828815859,0.008675703229784743,0.1399553197917027,15.339539362533158,2866.179564317627,0.23021501684082413,2.835253408367855e-06,188,1.0,2026-06-16T12:40:50.960167+00:00,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,125.42521031485201,8.419934605754424,0.060608557870498396,0.12247503754502333,93.29613400909886,129.30033345720258,0.7042952122737639,0.008774633060101168,9,1.0,2026-06-17T09:43:59.015450+00:00,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,804504.9777895191,806.6726055784468,0.01154270687740404,0.010320013214515797,22.99746332287462,684616.944611296,0.10391545860994446,0.08963941723431142,122,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,24494.29886562596,156.5065457596773,0.6356253615465683,0.5956771935646294,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-05T11:21:40.431936+00:00,2026-07-05T11:21:40.431936+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.575754481020917e-05,0.002272780195420675,0.999999780824561,1.0000110466480725,1.5291210950195301e-06,0.00028330177973448316,0.3417835580260273,0.0060615445674924015,44,0.06818181818181818,2026-07-03T08:14:44.325135Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.094103907762285e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,,-100.0,4.072486814731622e-28,0.0,1.0,61,0.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,800580.2562589153,804.72602061349,0.01151561176191744,0.01030189874650652,22.817369047811347,683193.3676645672,0.09689457550313207,0.11199643764526217,123,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,24494.29886562596,156.5065457596773,0.6356253615465683,0.5956771935646294,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-05T11:41:37.519239+00:00,2026-07-05T11:41:37.519239+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.876539102215738e-05,0.0029630145473420835,0.9999997771318994,1.0000109886352477,2.026060759435424e-06,0.0003197765692319855,0.38513681004028877,0.0016588497015111877,45,0.08888888888888889,2026-07-03T08:14:44.325135Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.094103907762285e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,,-100.0,4.071939547805181e-28,0.0,1.0,62,0.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.975584183294164,0.8963515785053886,0.029034714320003648,0.02580416679015525,32.15709959595152,1.1218937301094014,-0.16035674514745465,0.37050198157603165,21,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.4814195824946679,0.6363359096753158,0.7289494822561263,0.36729713105619466,-15.546545033192976,0.35991202203839384,0.029508196721311473,0.7368426674234455,61,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.4775794585209744,0.6340286664461506,0.7220143465891269,0.3654810359250251,-15.404985350571389,0.3582281367754489,0.014278159703860394,0.869730979935122,62,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,0.0952691872820189,0.2974480465491321,0.17501940717093276,0.12823975671646637,5.924837944058674,0.05178698763242014,-0.1268129965008953,0.17226141482851898,55,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 Chronos-Bolt,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6144049554432455,0.5710410117207128,0.030163104856491277,0.027452019350674966,49.22543688919701,1.0050663234764476,-0.20952380952380956,0.19665272284077664,21,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Chronos-Bolt,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,435.3277871919464,20.422545902127013,0.35878903628601067,0.2737334687446658,18.619883298664462,173.14267675167287,0.37142857142857144,0.018676036751262722,21,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -38,12 +38,12 @@ Chronos-Bolt,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,3.
 Chronos-Bolt,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,15.739246142004427,3.910358409758325,0.5499935691370629,0.2781808868327914,20.348199948578895,5.4168071105354105,-0.4210526315789474,0.009056382412965046,20,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Chronos-Bolt,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1560.583550343714,29.094823326014236,0.010605810172339023,0.009686227831254482,6.450740537455374,3113.8478669038577,0.1941084673011471,0.0757343925530023,41,1.0,2026-07-03T08:14:44.325135Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1123.9920430312632,33.4308050366606,0.13428443840835552,0.1111004625658299,75.53977301906438,238.71219706579942,1.0,1.0,2,1.0,2026-07-03T11:25:49.678873Z,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,540082.6800522079,543.4002328844152,0.009744768428301472,0.09879364614806875,40.64485802348587,901883.4070463515,0.34650819430090063,2.931342208105262e-32,521,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,539393.009716041,543.1721714621439,0.009737278145278904,0.09861346374428452,40.62477436793879,901155.2310281596,0.3453791338495819,4.0484870088309085e-32,522,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,466002.8571297119,596.8872898440595,0.00816358734282585,0.007207522016122433,42.21161312062496,538187.6547626103,0.5428016536516315,3.195528278994983e-05,31,1.0,2026-06-29T07:42:24.900081Z,2026-07-02T03:16:24.400538Z
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,4.8116036527664924e-05,0.002744303360140313,0.9999995361844555,1.0000424827892587,-30.10320943803986,0.00016967490815386393,-0.20870180060909677,0.0009806084629624555,143,0.02097902097902098,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128035e-08,,,0.0,1.581565231022517e-30,0.0,1.0,206,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,5.549794898320985e-05,0.0029567272126293275,0.9999997153934195,1.0000424437572428,-29.89415946184206,0.00019088003483264026,-0.1862346741641441,0.003126009347709207,144,0.027777777777777776,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128035e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,207,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,33.40760820501127,5.052632141144239,0.17603565430192625,0.27888413297789716,-69.47037886545367,29.081689186907706,-0.3790440842477899,1.92644533160501e-05,66,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.268230+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.083937513927389,0.8668493188287378,1.344050965919685,0.5766007539811947,-14.067742701172184,1.4324315061632227,-0.2649392442989513,9.428533760319761e-11,269,0.9814126394052045,2026-06-17T12:10:12.697348+00:00,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.0805602603733337,0.8651751514426267,1.3399260053465167,0.5754304034803958,-13.979342057767084,1.4308430608060079,-0.26680435081922066,6.416605073586346e-11,270,0.9814814814814815,2026-06-17T12:10:12.697348+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,36;72,1.9640869678324984,0.9787690442710437,0.21257718493182245,0.5161026495420382,-10.427831888482167,4.352551686844814,-0.4759897881214597,8.440708062539328e-27,229,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.728630+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 ETS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,3.831217752963382,0.9638223670150207,0.04409978100998137,0.30100780460239707,11.642885774971361,26.071562613435667,0.05393000573723466,0.46767915427296103,84,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.747284+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1233.6806795299074,18.520274697970567,0.7126729232636418,0.829063949422194,4.041264282047817,7217.214875289377,0.5327160493827161,1.9316683863139877e-12,81,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.763932+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -51,12 +51,12 @@ ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,103.8216797
 ETS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,12.136691265996442,3.1763514163217637,0.5854412297388313,0.3482730272933918,20.933265486134328,8.041055318486176,0.37407407407407406,7.691814702421503e-07,81,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.797899+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 ETS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1218.9688544415385,23.91033920355164,0.010274619846701707,0.11115454113120844,4.051064654404383,2763.215348366513,0.2206399109103177,2.413300039254203e-05,167,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.324923+00:00,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1483.6673813114844,28.426662414755036,0.202913284553686,0.32313632483234506,48.71884659928569,1770.4202502460664,0.36623351038235713,0.17295491798842066,9,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.836543+00:00,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,422799.19383375684,572.3564984488582,0.00812014530838779,0.008127944823642149,50.93808229984361,456211.007676785,-0.3575902972144475,4.484176042280948e-09,123,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,20775.499102946527,144.13708441253598,0.5779948164087865,0.5370367497191665,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-05T11:21:26.653708+00:00,2026-07-05T11:21:26.653708+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.407390293484642e-05,0.002222481214757668,0.9999988293789656,1.0000567027213283,8.166892193573703e-06,0.00028029100718404015,0.34418557034803166,0.005178821176089691,45,0.06666666666666667,2026-07-03T08:14:44.325135Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.4882488390014504e-07,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,62,0.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,420461.03785589687,570.680320466438,0.00809066446143736,0.008100659289258518,50.87203875338695,455098.1067111949,-0.35615001311303435,4.464228671531187e-09,124,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,20775.499102946527,144.13708441253598,0.5779948164087865,0.5370367497191665,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-05T11:41:18.983105+00:00,2026-07-05T11:41:18.983105+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.661832678888067e-05,0.002898806137694229,0.999999825824875,1.000057619426399,1.583121872171553e-06,0.0003165387043305603,0.3958808396227453,0.001078204788883955,46,0.08695652173913043,2026-07-03T08:14:44.325135Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.4882488390014504e-07,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,63,0.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.8527951370742379,0.8994001634539056,0.030976142315921645,0.026746167525202594,27.461493503520376,0.37413744319287,-0.16035674514745465,0.37050198157603165,21,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17907762086804652,0.35975688376185905,0.43962900838396163,0.20693619507219346,32.25472074668726,0.19361051477682678,-0.040437158469945354,0.6451604649323122,61,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17934642341415727,0.36109030423844074,0.4366635920361023,0.20731725721966707,31.748289977745728,0.19202865025378574,-0.028027498677948178,0.7475085022428376,62,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,0.11295199919978781,0.3110520775825186,0.1802124596522712,0.12513197858779096,4.792071186601265,0.08781300968281538,-0.6259705359193131,1.6086801457623254e-11,55,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 Moirai-2.0,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.5176612173899867,0.5598774444703706,0.030100398112828868,0.02704661620187461,44.11200826987605,0.7548555193938595,-0.2571428571428572,0.11012772228728104,21,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Moirai-2.0,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,393.92200541491894,19.343428192180493,0.3378399369281591,0.262080891260294,21.45780632820997,188.69720176722055,0.009523809523809525,0.9762195060555436,21,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -64,12 +64,12 @@ Moirai-2.0,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.54
 Moirai-2.0,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,13.539843532193997,3.6121411216784107,0.4875297201716944,0.2621374072038087,27.30852052388873,5.37829518477694,-0.4,0.010896474801396407,21,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Moirai-2.0,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1288.5306517094937,25.23776827679563,0.008952359782939526,0.008052846997973529,13.649458565002043,2759.5526312296997,0.18022756660165465,0.09487316816168874,42,1.0,2026-07-03T08:14:44.325135Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,192.68174554309476,13.781947864070819,0.045844325009836054,0.05024106419174983,95.24281107835512,64.52140573965836,-1.0,1.0,2,1.0,2026-07-03T11:25:49.678873Z,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,921312.4955363356,775.1342867572744,0.013959584976481263,0.10672646154912922,14.964171968839022,966979.4017977754,0.46091835228111616,9.70147632477429e-56,521,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,920106.6376890179,774.6842896200989,0.013948666127044613,0.10653507613291247,14.948864457725353,966443.7283364778,0.4578948529573984,3.8836791810043085e-55,522,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,640955.4171411198,728.6381056766782,0.010904219605495747,0.009777776020067748,26.12094088239947,502899.08586488955,0.32836149418432026,0.011870270963426282,31,1.0,2026-06-29T07:42:24.900081Z,2026-07-02T03:16:24.400538Z
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,5.86374587266166e-05,0.0029237427183353066,0.9999995361844555,1.0000424827892587,-30.262623674564363,0.0002221282867505768,-0.20949134083838716,0.0009379677551193876,143,0.02097902097902098,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.786828912128035e-08,,,0.0,1.581565231022517e-30,0.0,1.0,206,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.594630575022438e-05,0.0031349204641701886,0.9999997153934195,1.0000424437572428,-30.052466655057376,0.0002380930600403966,-0.1872671602301962,0.0029639700930905065,144,0.027777777777777776,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128035e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,207,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.844414781653462,2.118845821465989,0.07545967825663837,0.10557602434222071,-19.483738504365366,5.079711225849943,-0.3909512282555739,1.0457644655817584e-05,66,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.400278+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.8607741289449988,0.7317179967055443,1.864392042424886,0.5980414916000464,5.164333654970512,1.3540867442433084,-0.32247683515507963,3.216221353536148e-15,269,0.9814126394052045,2026-06-17T12:10:12.867076+00:00,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.8583628472642412,0.730704081084567,1.8583968375060158,0.5968906037667475,5.144980934803876,1.3521481398013373,-0.32127220156959935,3.616712531389254e-15,270,0.9814814814814815,2026-06-17T12:10:12.867076+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,36;72,1.5293512968445389,0.8084729120661152,0.15768229055643826,0.4512369318289438,10.304262191691361,3.554533796187145,-0.3947419337883281,6.224065049390093e-19,229,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.884991+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 Moving-Average,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,4.989337290203779,1.2847168255538852,0.06706926108695822,0.4345341914285402,16.748547220798475,26.020489008525487,-0.08089500860585198,0.2759816787036239,84,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.895547+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,454.7275210094184,16.575886092121568,0.4767486718200953,0.49012442085251656,9.242755004619841,571.0847205803093,0.519753086419753,6.5091521188267014e-12,81,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.904026+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -77,13 +77,13 @@ Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,
 Moving-Average,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,12.99552504221873,3.2634749745300557,0.6284017275362227,0.34826219168994266,19.279406372969916,9.039733202292009,0.35123456790123453,3.463469936803039e-06,81,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.921461+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Moving-Average,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1499.4369770214464,24.94466631489398,0.01105429286361711,0.13159233762976844,5.237169445721913,3869.8308769888467,0.17551395076346804,0.0007819476240200857,167,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.359102+00:00,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1259.7380615018942,26.906052272649365,0.20034006291844145,0.3208146840558678,50.096007873405554,1195.868175146137,0.4225771273642583,0.11585149752593009,9,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.956394+00:00,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1044915.9190448857,847.7638907947683,0.01491235623900588,0.09994471646378522,0.0,1002780.5671734299,0.487317289236675,4.299435334627911e-62,521,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1043557.0993549235,847.249631093366,0.01489873365979026,0.09976555293304205,0.0,1002298.6617659521,0.4837219905722122,2.538695364292299e-61,522,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,905243.086701834,905.1784362087147,0.013409362981064396,0.010105598449111354,0.0,534233.4457833659,0.4802566071403323,0.00023338833765900228,31,1.0,2026-06-29T07:42:24.900081Z,2026-07-02T03:16:24.400538Z
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,36436.1429036395,190.88253692687422,0.8264244641534466,0.9402466648974208,0.0,,,,1,1.0,2026-06-29T09:42:32.652885Z,2026-06-29T09:42:32.652885Z
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,0.00010101010402043663,0.0014364283804180588,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.0009408621552926095,0.12802557713963622,0.06192750853524707,143,0.02097902097902098,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,206,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,0.0001080246945774114,0.0016579346682626464,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.0009413377075598511,0.16513185950595913,0.015658687744073346,144,0.027777777777777776,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,207,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.676597966594139,1.4997608710045303,0.05249248171272394,0.07339286938120525,0.0,2.0208913102346986,-0.03611089541231215,0.6816505280663174,67,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.473716+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.899545589139929,0.756272532757094,1.8690886095581072,0.6218413043208582,0.0,1.3907737582730695,-0.3294124174665705,8.162389340225516e-16,269,0.9814126394052045,2026-06-17T12:10:12.978229+00:00,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.8969897639153693,0.7551666417549723,1.863086564386137,0.620612551512132,0.0,1.388821380030395,-0.3288723667905824,8.03527696726316e-16,270,0.9814814814814815,2026-06-17T12:10:12.978229+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,36;72,1.6906168178197014,0.8732391336192448,0.16636846106897935,0.5686848269793622,0.0,3.7504935084720876,-0.41882575398914357,4.1057984824416744e-21,229,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.994311+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 Seasonal-Naive,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,4.945147638018848,1.3287947743427273,0.06506821343608127,0.41629978196307577,0.0,25.672303285368177,-0.07424009037674943,0.3145056663888355,85,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.002812+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,547.8425239480343,18.33408993208524,0.5178742461024266,0.5827118050382251,0.0,644.2163896442477,0.45859680819030413,1.0687728857132356e-09,82,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.010113+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -91,13 +91,13 @@ Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,
 Seasonal-Naive,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,19.223801695343756,3.982642885557282,0.6405009346798579,0.5564181308930211,0.0,12.656564239273166,0.38078027686365506,4.154180805943557e-07,82,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.024713+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Seasonal-Naive,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1758.1532007121225,28.20911740651378,0.011129451103064633,0.11374008153072553,0.0,4222.652578733121,0.1335232506058816,0.011626598036837403,167,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.384303+00:00,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,4738.4194799087645,53.966475503208756,0.36050216441227867,0.731166215633073,0.0,4084.439522207202,0.47739603762933147,0.058290580139488755,10,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.040774+00:00,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1977929.9382779466,1346.1504426492254,0.02021645871406773,0.018317699343298317,-1.752253561475364,1306472.7712070746,0.514219546086151,2.067713934285975e-34,255,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1972170.9182101167,1343.664161449884,0.02017074022742619,0.01827912621889937,-1.8238891403806912,1307160.3060257852,0.503186274509804,3.7999502295670904e-33,256,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,658012.477654775,799.8346577569818,0.01246918501358739,0.010344883140509631,36.73340128851373,235590.21347023122,-0.3333333333333333,0.25951829805996474,9,1.0,2026-07-01T13:53:41.688769Z,2026-07-02T03:16:24.400538Z
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,26942.28249014914,164.14104450182208,2.360591014522408,0.7305382024738188,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.6173423532356966e-05,0.0013259761303799822,1.0000003627403864,1.0000094692477528,-27.173914416757736,0.000197323561580075,-0.16736792893875643,0.01748829275162515,93,0.03225806451612903,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,5.480574011812529e-16,2.2409636566888738e-08,,,0.0,5.085453097489476e-16,0.0,1.0,128,0.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,4.760892893507512e-05,0.001666479901732158,1.0000002478680026,1.0000095151956425,-26.881721685634936,0.00022541155392870183,-0.1439029970258522,0.03992883425255208,94,0.0425531914893617,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,5.475572193358617e-16,2.24063789597594e-08,,,0.0,5.065867643461442e-16,0.0,1.0,129,0.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.7949286516075378,1.3134939286728256,0.03998571144788177,0.032941306936399926,16.31351490778735,0.666080632583644,-0.5048780487804878,3.3189900747341346e-06,41,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.11584199185099069,0.2934784205055632,0.6027033372787687,0.15043433160360672,46.03245902818194,0.11744400340572642,-0.08851612903225806,0.14320928220689544,125,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.11620516991354066,0.2943396873621729,0.5997927971512033,0.15099538065321513,45.76740291140051,0.11704430089039523,-0.08012698412698413,0.18330931322254407,126,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,0.18240524566250355,0.41026622035157706,0.20418717964920324,0.1641626053009051,-0.6400723732534065,0.10157300967115485,-0.22135774218154083,0.0004527406976301267,115,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 Sundial,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.4343113224019697,0.8900061007977088,0.04616294136288483,0.039300794922635024,18.157860229475954,2.2530470533066684,-0.13414634146341464,0.21663956933157358,41,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Sundial,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,509.2969796194596,19.18401123512297,0.2816294835983031,0.2569214650471945,35.2861798935581,645.448737581801,0.06585365853658537,0.5441664130858954,41,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -105,12 +105,12 @@ Sundial,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.61505
 Sundial,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,18.812332623345313,4.2982102540296205,0.533707286183867,0.2955337226459147,17.876320212182172,5.048869251706395,-0.2707317073170732,0.012649405361504901,41,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Sundial,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,985.4124160941864,24.235263270659846,0.007938458171994971,0.006813282428785674,-6.05825573214725,2020.1971623943678,0.08401341476411428,0.24964128020075227,87,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,429.90010331895076,20.726397193708795,0.07301821267850069,0.053875106659196745,89.61267227051238,26.124099119909978,0.0,1.0,5,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,588156.7177029655,720.4716768866214,0.0101469292793539,0.010166544998749683,33.351453693972104,407415.87574282853,-0.5068870523415978,1.661694471950101e-16,121,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,585040.0409846436,718.3037518481249,0.010116211289500012,0.010135766387310025,33.26646289010562,407186.6462298453,-0.5060289933613331,1.394336448051549e-16,122,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,30432.245376910596,174.44840319392608,0.7106828034516671,0.8392463572886636,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.407407628165352e-05,0.0022222222553359137,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.00028029166341418286,0.3454275408632795,0.005510061149370791,45,0.06666666666666667,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,59,0.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.661836036737415e-05,0.0028985507678294525,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.00031653881459444474,0.39329554976378533,0.0013901288027366996,46,0.08695652173913043,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,60,0.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.4067988595510086,1.1153191570509495,0.03474232893316136,0.035246751966468856,11.106377044206384,0.9033855394797349,-0.08240070055520615,0.6489768649709687,20,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.33804964911142094,0.5170607947225149,0.5506245244819973,0.3393488708627598,4.083824547208866,0.29050179049657415,-0.0025974025974025974,0.9774466961370482,56,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3373548618592787,0.5175738127836906,0.5466055496344131,0.3394196230877202,3.6980894590250455,0.2879441239664796,0.0,1.0,57,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,0.1053493174714464,0.308012825891137,0.17928784408631043,0.1707732303860742,2.2686131233221722,0.08130510142728149,-0.2441863044492308,0.009947196345763073,53,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 TabPFN-TS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.46841127007970157,0.5052704540275836,0.02577617442232192,0.02525906554719229,39.30204532193049,0.7190821622954694,-0.1473684210526316,0.3858571513151256,20,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 TabPFN-TS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,448.23443074587567,19.777474909155227,0.34422007469392546,0.33694443348920805,18.07255419533449,313.18208358151134,0.25146198830409355,0.14329021416472087,19,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -118,12 +118,12 @@ TabPFN-TS,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.537
 TabPFN-TS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,16.020413585176186,3.9340011845346567,0.5559416162439162,0.37125687054941076,20.69202928321896,5.9722933009112085,-0.4152046783625731,0.01282401882734904,19,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 TabPFN-TS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1412.5201722765653,27.655649632250835,0.00939025519126934,0.009314906433855182,1.8635020726736042,2748.7940736955616,0.12145067761859996,0.2730392347127606,40,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,421.0563887330438,20.471550269317728,0.06557494413278712,0.06324554091701688,90.49850229759768,68.713663869352,0.33333333333333337,1.0,3,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,480672.5100360276,498.0859922965215,0.010156207300154969,0.1185081888327513,28.773662468008027,681280.3425214301,0.5685459556166869,9.828571960767677e-102,634,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,480156.0936672524,497.9170852763625,0.010148129913591899,0.11833012223311433,28.790798472573133,680867.214682771,0.5666559030278944,3.14537929169481e-101,635,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,509286.8914454141,632.2018768299581,0.009076924357023076,0.007241032248526734,38.627419840990044,477035.9009077779,0.34435376607791474,0.009638262929055246,30,1.0,2026-06-29T07:42:24.900081Z,2026-07-02T03:16:24.400538Z
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,2.3042722602326568e-05,0.0007723863116059016,0.9999999566359877,1.0000005599842225,-29.710198710271403,0.00015869952943201,-0.21722412214670678,0.0005584986926852353,145,0.020689655172413793,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955699e-09,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,207,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,3.0495245836813314e-05,0.0009954064970690635,0.9999999641709005,1.0000006004188027,-29.49645626399295,0.00018199093997242375,-0.19527837719720065,0.001828251110285099,146,0.0273972602739726,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.42969816419557e-09,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,208,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.1542147294708895,1.3276957008611623,0.04289724718702405,0.05664238599954311,15.428308505833602,1.664076473092089,0.1460736450658336,0.08712768159713727,71,1.0,2026-06-17T05:15:19.765080+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.1860483941202687,0.33888973513849957,0.5920712663278397,0.1736785230152711,44.736387631329386,0.3105771015709633,-0.011585944919278255,0.7553260993901069,325,0.9815384615384616,2026-06-16T12:07:37.946365+00:00,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.1858756478655389,0.3389550575294965,0.5908866428246161,0.17370246892555682,44.654739013694474,0.31011460786148304,-0.009646059462010382,0.7949788964398808,326,0.9815950920245399,2026-06-16T12:07:37.946365+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,1.6159126903201368,0.9010660236623009,0.16367597841270126,0.4290185842212588,0.8381843757359969,3.4841473893996016,-0.5030429294779845,7.498675965549533e-34,262,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:42.045490+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 TiRex,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,4.864560922784283,1.0061061150373818,0.03835497212147174,0.4117462705365694,42.37057413707199,27.587096261091755,-0.020828950136755734,0.7612340307112399,98,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:27.889152+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,241.73376916660195,10.774388253564439,0.31351007168746914,0.4383893923751506,35.951132742314826,465.7076688765786,0.5441584158415843,7.432628976443884e-16,101,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:34.959433+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -131,12 +131,12 @@ TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.4999712
 TiRex,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.77484517902471,2.871841344801812,0.579655189588474,0.3480602838019566,21.377805497283813,8.60594734125684,0.4310451453308597,2.5924416736600665e-10,99,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:44.379149+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 TiRex,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,868.8946096080463,17.0449880826656,0.007517223563791105,0.13982856086789078,18.585426621223696,2420.03922297068,0.24957557644637657,4.141883022310652e-07,187,1.0,2026-06-16T12:42:39.570887+00:00,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,172.23569926061967,9.889146443464348,0.05731610053673026,0.11842810055947478,92.60313930497425,167.78093338581627,0.8733260632194672,0.0011553371891531911,9,1.0,2026-06-17T09:45:42.165364+00:00,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,453862.08955888555,485.4669424139832,0.010331502247141312,0.13650262636790983,32.736644774639714,641524.5652546887,0.5342456285852513,1.7890847818357065e-90,637,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
+TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,453490.5085851468,485.4358199526241,0.010328086727867043,0.13629837148289042,32.71445636876477,641089.5232032998,0.5326742223293948,4.303981085716467e-90,638,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,456973.6284986312,625.4285633202607,0.008361848855058952,0.008560987601922239,36.64869050300113,356775.06914096343,0.27666443551086073,0.033836856680607215,31,1.0,2026-06-29T07:42:24.900081Z,2026-07-02T03:16:24.400538Z
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,2.3015925605211993e-05,0.0007206595477143783,1.0,1.0,-25.36231884057971,0.00015870360229129515,-0.14580373400577962,0.022377225921483977,145,0.020689655172413793,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,208,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.046863258205851e-05,0.0009440340291001614,1.0,1.0,-25.179856115107913,0.00018199556562822932,-0.12348832141388974,0.05201350492501868,146,0.0273972602739726,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,209,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.13744368614172,1.331361474703812,0.046357537829725314,0.07174670521693888,11.048105528124477,1.9779915650139719,-0.01371091715986943,0.8724450608773872,71,1.0,2026-06-17T05:12:05.733003+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.08482931527464735,0.2340032537998511,0.28296499068625364,0.14694243031362955,60.52507893646545,0.13749164468992522,-0.054504452853266064,0.14327285479947333,324,0.9814814814814815,2026-06-16T12:07:01.390017+00:00,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.08486239973082789,0.23423451457214112,0.28274990248174464,0.14702275262553266,60.435884940430384,0.13728059792436076,-0.05135802469135803,0.1671670977356824,325,0.9815384615384616,2026-06-16T12:07:01.390017+00:00,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,1.471603320601242,0.846453068457895,0.14479265484918308,0.5068204886719339,5.942733328850043,3.3504908786573493,-0.42428611454671517,9.736719538815993e-25,264,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:07.769114+00:00,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 TimesFM-2.5,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,4.970703111018356,1.063512245969519,0.04043511809813861,0.5039568507085176,37.796860903136725,27.324391000028847,-0.03797979797979799,0.5755572285803086,100,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:08.030961+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,261.88173912718344,11.126866428777497,0.31457224108318055,0.5209992983900296,33.673139404059654,502.222583936435,0.5499714448886351,1.8357472209093796e-16,103,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:12.832013+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
@@ -144,12 +144,12 @@ TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.4
 TimesFM-2.5,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.385740508413827,2.8023041772397823,0.49488910842013956,0.4824307923649497,22.84128255981971,8.607523879767966,0.43308585570150393,9.007945407233508e-11,103,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:22.668298+00:00,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 TimesFM-2.5,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,935.7636346652837,17.591825268235294,0.007850459195035617,0.17320578628059993,20.195107115081203,2690.8403946888184,0.2556361353134677,1.9987417615859901e-07,188,1.0,2026-06-16T12:41:30.056174+00:00,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
 TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,133.4466833188766,8.710828562308473,0.06037405843636016,0.1608873091910713,92.95888361135204,133.69946779555372,0.4789207443461594,0.07473549830588248,9,1.0,2026-06-17T09:44:33.543452+00:00,2026-07-04T11:51:39.301864Z
-Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1749228.2635200352,1142.3754376738575,0.011034246200672273,0.009976767312487533,-2.36958265237616,3765564.73773421,-0.3493312352478363,8.731377882697433e-09,124,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,35424.06122722315,188.2128083506092,0.5823168903941691,0.5740491643996976,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-05T11:18:33.834630+00:00,2026-07-05T11:18:33.834630+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.5106318417143028,1.3759549989189623,0.9999748981103141,1.0477593342923541,-99.9729604875888,8.614640295262344,-0.04848484848484848,0.6386755906919435,45,0.06666666666666667,2026-07-03T08:14:44.325135Z,2026-07-05T10:49:56.360703Z
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.19539568767124907,0.2593672516052525,,,-100.0,0.4844586448176433,-0.024854574299312534,0.775275012420252,62,0.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1775125.9334607031,1151.1006992956288,0.010987644020033797,0.00994130344853861,-3.1024988679783205,3761510.7776318104,-0.32877419354838705,5.403157798582487e-08,125,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,35424.06122722315,188.2128083506092,0.5823168903941691,0.5740491643996976,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-05T11:41:00.780454+00:00,2026-07-05T11:41:00.780454+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.700394743686066,1.4220979746475755,0.9999662376699718,1.0480032886819468,-99.97316242718328,8.615064095195061,-0.0106280193236715,0.917050574260857,46,0.08695652173913043,2026-07-03T08:14:44.325135Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.19229624812822033,0.25543198361968833,,,-100.0,0.4811651513703188,-0.03942652329749103,0.6478910762589307,63,0.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,3.6869150128357475,1.5863274293269953,0.03415647858833,0.026694017029872497,-10.813538242657687,7.540214409487097,0.3593073593073593,0.01944737175151256,22,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
-Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.4152968663386507,0.5422642272030744,0.4291750996650836,0.18600917221737884,2.4687110877153935,0.6575103596921196,0.03437334743521946,0.6929791907998449,62,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:01:22.328407Z
+Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.4106124155242819,0.5391594739662036,0.4258274103848052,0.1860234933373864,2.900633367252344,0.6532453206320116,0.022017409114183303,0.7986946355590576,63,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.5860004124794833,1.0837435401310507,0.172248350494173,0.1290661926817205,-63.58809077409214,7.960248195614234,-0.11558441558441561,0.2083840831560455,56,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z
 Toto-1.0,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.3799697977082825,1.2278583974805122,0.031004637334795224,0.026810992551081148,-17.354437628811255,4.00720836131215,0.14285714285714285,0.3711989339777388,22,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z
 Toto-1.0,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3257.246432600921,41.091618509958785,0.3230276853490466,0.24401157836204448,-16.832631503477536,8596.126343768536,0.07359307359307359,0.6555978590524786,22,1.0,2026-07-03T07:52:13.218889Z,2026-07-05T10:31:18.422447Z

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-05T11:23:06.935835+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.930886+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",
@@ -10,7 +10,7 @@
     "frequency",
     "prediction_length"
   ],
-  "num_configs": 12,
+  "num_configs": 13,
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_rows_missing_prediction_length": 0
 }

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,28 @@
 domain,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
-Climate,Moirai-2.0,0.5704425753081085,0.6588990806645977,1,5,5,1.0
-Climate,Sundial,0.6708798459325526,0.7143107074245774,2,5,5,1.0
-Climate,TiRex,0.5461381157534134,0.7426406366451921,3,5,5,1.0
+Climate,Moirai-2.0,0.5704434174292597,0.6588997044278198,1,5,5,1.0
+Climate,Sundial,0.6708797516276064,0.7143107656789234,2,5,5,1.0
+Climate,TiRex,0.5461381135767963,0.7426406346084334,3,5,5,1.0
 Climate,TimesFM-2.5,0.5548593465113105,0.7181266023356807,4,5,5,1.0
-Climate,Chronos-2,0.6569939789062851,0.7639455188062723,5,5,5,1.0
+Climate,Chronos-2,0.6569939778469098,0.7639455187890736,5,5,5,1.0
 Climate,TabPFN-TS,0.7065569634442039,0.7513401179155423,6,5,5,1.0
-Climate,Toto-1.0,10.343684683705444,0.6730281750402509,7,5,5,1.0
-Climate,Chronos-Bolt,0.6841042709979631,0.8470253343647604,8,5,5,1.0
+Climate,Toto-1.0,14.395081064785874,0.6731489790029634,7,5,5,1.0
+Climate,Chronos-Bolt,0.6841042530851938,0.8470252914929581,8,5,5,1.0
 Climate,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,5,5,1.0
-Climate,Moving-Average,0.888326391878549,1.0223815967435244,10,5,5,1.0
-Climate,ARIMA,1.4421919725611383,1.3525599180387,11,5,5,1.0
-Climate,ETS,5.535374556337845,2.5724562219010405,12,5,5,1.0
-Finance,ETS,0.5191514404405719,0.7291719773070778,1,1,2,0.5
-Finance,Moirai-2.0,0.4720102828316185,0.648150224223039,2,2,2,1.0
-Finance,TiRex,0.45342632171892333,0.8464869636417642,3,1,2,0.5
-Finance,Toto-1.0,1.3245920912638038,0.734527363880175,4,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Chronos-2,0.4466867842181756,0.8992579537953089,5,1,2,0.5
-Finance,TimesFM-2.5,0.6477039853140604,0.9672864345660953,6,1,2,0.5
-Finance,TabPFN-TS,0.7200558198457395,0.9474351687773471,7,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Chronos-Bolt,0.8045893660899096,0.8946959533447978,8,2,2,1.0
+Climate,Moving-Average,0.8883266094273404,1.0223816626608944,10,5,5,1.0
+Climate,ARIMA,1.44219232575015,1.3525600052440967,11,5,5,1.0
+Climate,ETS,5.535375911936482,2.5724563877584354,12,5,5,1.0
+Finance,ETS,0.5365563288444364,0.7379178602751036,1,1,2,0.5
+Finance,Moirai-2.0,0.47511717026887723,0.6496281052787231,2,2,2,1.0
+Finance,TiRex,0.4551330025620205,0.8465346339389406,3,1,2,0.5
+Finance,Toto-1.0,3.8006631327676152,0.7260115335493242,4,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Chronos-2,0.45062971037973504,0.902763129138662,5,1,2,0.5
+Finance,TimesFM-2.5,0.6459643931192647,0.9636612914430271,6,1,2,0.5
+Finance,TabPFN-TS,0.7193370347317469,0.9440439446851503,7,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Chronos-Bolt,0.8028167444103425,0.8935059637191571,8,2,2,1.0
 Finance,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Sundial,1.1184751443294758,1.0497511202686076,10,2,2,1.0
-Finance,Moving-Average,0.8717719466575901,1.0691626816592426,11,1,2,0.5
-Finance,ARIMA,1.7379850231980984,2.426157359567684,12,1,2,0.5
+Finance,Sundial,1.053006756105182,1.0083111642797726,10,2,2,1.0
+Finance,Moving-Average,0.869619273692273,1.0625913015679913,11,1,2,0.5
+Finance,ARIMA,1.7341091612534287,2.4202479092550258,12,1,2,0.5
 Hazards,Moirai-2.0,0.6351261454860727,0.6250457684136067,1,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,Chronos-2,0.6688904510020813,0.6327208815930424,2,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,ETS,0.6382964826790389,0.6386531301095487,3,1,1,1.0
@@ -35,18 +35,30 @@ Hazards,Sundial,0.8247204701504167,0.7531773450295401,9,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,TimesFM-2.5,0.6444135133432336,0.7788313552095034,10,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,TabPFN-TS,0.7857617103069732,0.8970970832662258,11,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
-Ocean,Sundial,0.28871490994889787,0.4212035296336233,1,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Toto-1.0,2.8426627861559073,0.38346019245069757,2,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Moirai-2.0,0.4229926300239131,0.5741306723504224,3,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Chronos-2,0.09793507445304928,0.40956998544199386,4,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TiRex,0.4233159367003399,0.5354239112195461,5,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.42892526224479877,0.5739692783984631,6,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Moving-Average,0.5185762908097767,0.6583221700720507,7,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,ARIMA,0.9002960108578686,0.8768002728901846,8,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,ETS,2.9289786931871586,1.7186042805179929,10,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Chronos-Bolt,1.8605752564794047,1.015414964711144,11,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TabPFN-TS,1.4844900534505148,1.2210504424581505,12,2,2,1.0
+Hydrology,TabPFN-TS,0.000874475269185172,0.0442591090660304,1,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Toto-1.0,0.7024145481096373,0.2225546927343588,2,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,TiRex,0.0006908637338214453,0.22522794946490712,3,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Moirai-2.0,0.004200007134013708,0.2429981838644235,4,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Chronos-2,0.007623186718093023,0.2430981554951142,5,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,ETS,0.06561277231957108,0.4106572278373188,6,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,ARIMA,0.5966054122545311,0.48556222470646204,7,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Chronos-Bolt,0.27378422549963,0.6015603602770088,8,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,TimesFM-2.5,0.15308417214155198,0.6506061534613563,9,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Sundial,0.5681060158219602,0.8365600179213271,10,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Moving-Average,0.37608441705164053,0.88715305575252,11,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
+Ocean,Sundial,0.4427476314134961,0.5614140798141675,1,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.4615359581103465,0.607000555181758,2,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Moirai-2.0,0.4515732314586646,0.5944435775014912,3,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Chronos-2,0.47784591369444684,0.5577682724019021,4,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TiRex,0.8910251430738737,0.7027896195634025,5,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Toto-1.0,2.3803293230775457,0.6542025075944106,6,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Moving-Average,0.5203313287453485,0.6680715263701624,7,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Chronos-Bolt,1.567559257678061,0.9482393641384347,8,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,ARIMA,0.999226405178724,0.9332787259147024,9,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,ETS,3.3375979148618997,1.8539330322154886,11,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TabPFN-TS,1.2564375920715178,1.1415609790616883,12,2,2,1.0
 Transportation,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,,1,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,,3,1,1,1.0
@@ -58,7 +70,7 @@ Transportation,ETS,1.0,,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,339372569757.49744,,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,130996460.43760006,,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.017416884713221715,0.13597186796305905,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Chronos-2,0.028957396799701905,0.1466630197136509,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.05520026466139165,0.16402261375489852,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -11,6 +11,18 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 10min,Chronos-Bolt,2.115322006361814,1.0240547694024653,10,1,1,1.0
 10min,TabPFN-TS,1.1080071059268999,1.1008696153124249,11,1,1,1.0
 10min,ETS,13.56024741286341,3.8257654251913795,12,1,1,1.0
+15min,TabPFN-TS,0.000874475269185172,0.0442591090660304,1,1,1,1.0
+15min,Toto-1.0,0.7024145481096373,0.2225546927343588,2,1,1,1.0
+15min,TiRex,0.0006908637338214453,0.22522794946490712,3,1,1,1.0
+15min,Moirai-2.0,0.004200007134013708,0.2429981838644235,4,1,1,1.0
+15min,Chronos-2,0.007623186718093023,0.2430981554951142,5,1,1,1.0
+15min,ETS,0.06561277231957108,0.4106572278373188,6,1,1,1.0
+15min,ARIMA,0.5966054122545311,0.48556222470646204,7,1,1,1.0
+15min,Chronos-Bolt,0.27378422549963,0.6015603602770088,8,1,1,1.0
+15min,TimesFM-2.5,0.15308417214155198,0.6506061534613563,9,1,1,1.0
+15min,Sundial,0.5681060158219602,0.8365600179213271,10,1,1,1.0
+15min,Moving-Average,0.37608441705164053,0.88715305575252,11,1,1,1.0
+15min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
 1D,Moirai-2.0,0.017416884713221715,0.13597186796305905,1,1,1,1.0
 1D,Chronos-2,0.028957396799701905,0.1466630197136509,2,1,1,1.0
 1D,Sundial,0.05520026466139165,0.16402261375489852,3,1,1,1.0
@@ -23,18 +35,18 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 1D,Toto-1.0,1.8944033859490188,0.35467893161111397,10,1,1,1.0
 1D,ARIMA,0.3090047963532329,0.363286308680962,11,1,1,1.0
 1D,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
-1h,Moirai-2.0,0.49655502013650676,0.6205287180796619,1,6,6,1.0
-1h,TiRex,0.4984831477796896,0.705214638424251,2,6,6,1.0
-1h,Chronos-2,0.5761393093127394,0.7273353741323831,3,6,6,1.0
-1h,Toto-1.0,2.0448807584720368,0.651960869408104,4,6,6,1.0
-1h,Sundial,0.7580498985187636,0.7644755902536474,5,6,6,1.0
-1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.5291465347910688,0.7238811483566105,6,6,6,1.0
-1h,Chronos-Bolt,0.6893619202986602,0.847356174645015,7,6,6,1.0
-1h,TabPFN-TS,0.6642418727745574,0.7746025928190741,8,6,6,1.0
-1h,ETS,3.4621190693475437,1.9348001961993042,9,6,6,1.0
-1h,Moving-Average,0.8377159763581283,0.96758431932111,10,6,6,1.0
+1h,Moirai-2.0,0.49764212073221037,0.6209999933419073,1,6,6,1.0
+1h,TiRex,0.4987953706662397,0.7052212573492953,2,6,6,1.0
+1h,Chronos-2,0.5769838102577798,0.7278071162853854,3,6,6,1.0
+1h,Toto-1.0,2.905764376768233,0.6494315407672259,4,6,6,1.0
+1h,Sundial,0.742961086053442,0.7542807645579807,5,6,6,1.0
+1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.528909407182019,0.723428286982827,6,6,6,1.0
+1h,TabPFN-TS,0.6640207759681517,0.7736772906739902,7,6,6,1.0
+1h,Chronos-Bolt,0.6888552948356318,0.8469803328358835,8,6,6,1.0
+1h,ETS,3.48119921157631,1.9386487586776175,9,6,6,1.0
+1h,Moving-Average,0.837370858052085,0.9665905963293654,10,6,6,1.0
 1h,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,6,6,1.0
-1h,ARIMA,1.4268009709293294,1.3967301996349997,12,6,6,1.0
+1h,ARIMA,1.4262701618696674,1.3961626150592854,12,6,6,1.0
 1mo,Moirai-2.0,0.5701893078499076,0.5711658118752873,1,1,1,1.0
 1mo,Toto-1.0,0.9722231390108185,0.6105303914716095,2,1,1,1.0
 1mo,Chronos-Bolt,0.6722527938921684,0.6335328970612374,3,1,1,1.0
@@ -44,24 +56,24 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,2,2,1.0
 5min,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,2,2,1.0
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,2,2,1.0
-5min,Chronos-2,1.000000001055835,1.000000307313204,4,2,2,1.0
-5min,TiRex,0.9999999967393001,1.0000007354355018,5,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,1.0000002556460397,1.0000092452693208,6,2,2,1.0
-5min,ARIMA,0.9999995164123475,1.0000420042759552,7,2,2,1.0
-5min,ETS,0.9999995164123475,1.0000420042759552,8,2,2,1.0
-5min,Moving-Average,0.9999995164123475,1.0000420042759552,9,2,2,1.0
-5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.045994043522371,1.0000110676722764,10,2,2,1.0
-5min,Moirai-2.0,0.9999991245448928,1.0000556358947963,11,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,26760754.14568676,1.0477944544569655,12,2,2,1.0
-6min,Chronos-2,0.007332664428319353,0.18366392108814325,1,1,1,1.0
-6min,Toto-1.0,0.8182168646172899,0.2213793451784232,2,1,1,1.0
-6min,TiRex,0.13978886287538153,0.3631369643724603,3,1,1,1.0
-6min,Sundial,0.3280546661913217,0.4290850243362264,4,1,1,1.0
-6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.39409380861183824,0.5333948125659569,5,1,1,1.0
-6min,Moirai-2.0,0.819914767713871,0.7414351656087425,6,1,1,1.0
-6min,ETS,0.6326518922513387,0.7720286909297419,7,1,1,1.0
-6min,ARIMA,0.7871502935786594,0.883747844712653,8,1,1,1.0
-6min,Moving-Average,0.9944760793083265,0.9617329322265519,9,1,1,1.0
+5min,Chronos-2,0.99999999702469,1.000000307200639,4,2,2,1.0
+5min,TiRex,0.9999999867756253,1.0000007217225428,5,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,0.9999999042233483,1.0000096530393117,6,2,2,1.0
+5min,ARIMA,1.0000001286555729,1.0000423266611955,7,2,2,1.0
+5min,ETS,1.0000001286555729,1.0000423266611955,8,2,2,1.0
+5min,Moving-Average,1.0000001286555729,1.0000423266611955,9,2,2,1.0
+5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459939750509029,1.000010814596774,10,2,2,1.0
+5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0000028151939735,1.0000603695416106,11,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,1201259.5817482078,1.0487351518507249,12,2,2,1.0
+6min,Chronos-2,0.17456655756125655,0.34062398051706655,1,1,1,1.0
+6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.4562968239298558,0.5965538726192632,2,1,1,1.0
+6min,TiRex,0.619331619134013,0.6256415895411697,3,1,1,1.0
+6min,Toto-1.0,0.5737092231694124,0.6443486688425148,4,1,1,1.0
+6min,Sundial,0.7714722117246574,0.762300060036601,5,1,1,1.0
+6min,Moirai-2.0,0.9344573558453938,0.7948276383643947,6,1,1,1.0
+6min,Chronos-Bolt,1.161639702580533,0.8780369161566627,7,1,1,1.0
+6min,ETS,0.8214864745552789,0.8984000078279187,8,1,1,1.0
+6min,Moving-Average,1.0012187580336918,0.990429233118204,9,1,1,1.0
 6min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10,1,1,1.0
-6min,Chronos-Bolt,1.636507479529001,1.0068480528252999,11,1,1,1.0
-6min,TabPFN-TS,1.9888958356002642,1.3543512894613885,12,1,1,1.0
+6min,ARIMA,0.9696495810564691,1.001266641756127,11,1,1,1.0
+6min,TabPFN-TS,1.4247520745364455,1.1837564147380393,12,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -19,46 +19,46 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TiRex,1.0,,6,1,2,0.5
 12,Moirai-2.0,0.7551088053055054,0.5711658118752873,7,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,0.6335328970612374,8,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,574409.1443072627,0.6105303914716095,9,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,11285.290867582895,0.6105303914716095,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,1.0,,10,1,2,0.5
 12,ETS,1.0,,11,1,2,0.5
 12,Moving-Average,1.0,,12,1,2,0.5
-24,Moirai-2.0,0.49655502013650676,0.6205287180796619,1,6,6,1.0
-24,TiRex,0.4984831477796896,0.705214638424251,2,6,6,1.0
-24,Chronos-2,0.5761393093127394,0.7273353741323831,3,6,6,1.0
-24,Toto-1.0,2.0448807584720368,0.651960869408104,4,6,6,1.0
-24,Sundial,0.7580498985187636,0.7644755902536474,5,6,6,1.0
-24,TimesFM-2.5,0.5291465347910688,0.7238811483566105,6,6,6,1.0
-24,Chronos-Bolt,0.6893619202986602,0.847356174645015,7,6,6,1.0
-24,TabPFN-TS,0.6642418727745574,0.7746025928190741,8,6,6,1.0
-24,ETS,3.4621190693475437,1.9348001961993042,9,6,6,1.0
-24,Moving-Average,0.8377159763581283,0.96758431932111,10,6,6,1.0
-24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,6,6,1.0
-24,ARIMA,1.4268009709293294,1.3967301996349997,12,6,6,1.0
+24,Moirai-2.0,0.25158165772664726,0.5430989247786313,1,7,7,1.0
+24,TiRex,0.19478745479390863,0.5991156501666753,2,7,7,1.0
+24,Toto-1.0,2.3722755029690927,0.5573025146142158,3,7,7,1.0
+24,Chronos-2,0.31097909027626786,0.6222756090238563,4,7,7,1.0
+24,Sundial,0.7150196388249955,0.7655198763491139,5,7,7,1.0
+24,TabPFN-TS,0.25744892159043375,0.5141048258528793,6,7,7,1.0
+24,TimesFM-2.5,0.4430571196652491,0.7125461731849276,7,7,7,1.0
+24,Chronos-Bolt,0.6037850379129592,0.8065765571377866,8,7,7,1.0
+24,ETS,1.9739555921680596,1.553140013331945,9,7,7,1.0
+24,Moving-Average,0.7468889880965289,0.9548210665462558,10,7,7,1.0
+24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,7,7,1.0
+24,ARIMA,1.2592973263160328,1.2006286514347135,12,7,7,1.0
 36,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
 36,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 36,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
-36,Chronos-2,1.00000000211167,1.000000307313204,4,1,1,1.0
-36,TiRex,0.9999999934786001,1.0000007354355018,5,1,1,1.0
-36,Sundial,1.0000005112921448,1.0000092452693208,6,1,1,1.0
-36,Chronos-Bolt,0.999999663032,1.0000110676722764,7,1,1,1.0
-36,ARIMA,0.9999990328249289,1.0000420042759552,8,1,1,1.0
-36,ETS,0.9999990328249289,1.0000420042759552,9,1,1,1.0
-36,Moving-Average,0.9999990328249289,1.0000420042759552,10,1,1,1.0
-36,Moirai-2.0,0.9999982490905521,1.0000556358947963,11,1,1,1.0
-36,Toto-1.0,2110.1822193750477,1.0477944544569655,12,1,1,1.0
-60,Chronos-2,0.007332664428319353,0.18366392108814325,1,1,1,1.0
-60,Toto-1.0,0.8182168646172899,0.2213793451784232,2,1,1,1.0
-60,TiRex,0.13978886287538153,0.3631369643724603,3,1,1,1.0
-60,Sundial,0.3280546661913217,0.4290850243362264,4,1,1,1.0
-60,TimesFM-2.5,0.39409380861183824,0.5333948125659569,5,1,1,1.0
-60,Moirai-2.0,0.819914767713871,0.7414351656087425,6,1,1,1.0
-60,ETS,0.6326518922513387,0.7720286909297419,7,1,1,1.0
-60,ARIMA,0.7871502935786594,0.883747844712653,8,1,1,1.0
-60,Moving-Average,0.9944760793083265,0.9617329322265519,9,1,1,1.0
+36,Chronos-2,0.9999999940493801,1.000000307200639,4,1,1,1.0
+36,TiRex,0.9999999735512508,1.0000007217225428,5,1,1,1.0
+36,Sundial,0.9999998084467058,1.0000096530393117,6,1,1,1.0
+36,Chronos-Bolt,0.999999532110714,1.000010814596774,7,1,1,1.0
+36,ARIMA,1.0000002573111624,1.0000423266611955,8,1,1,1.0
+36,ETS,1.0000002573111624,1.0000423266611955,9,1,1,1.0
+36,Moving-Average,1.0000002573111624,1.0000423266611955,10,1,1,1.0
+36,Moirai-2.0,1.0000056303958722,1.0000603695416106,11,1,1,1.0
+36,Toto-1.0,11015.75247087887,1.0487351518507249,12,1,1,1.0
+60,Chronos-2,0.17456655756125655,0.34062398051706655,1,1,1,1.0
+60,TimesFM-2.5,0.4562968239298558,0.5965538726192632,2,1,1,1.0
+60,TiRex,0.619331619134013,0.6256415895411697,3,1,1,1.0
+60,Toto-1.0,0.5737092231694124,0.6443486688425148,4,1,1,1.0
+60,Sundial,0.7714722117246574,0.762300060036601,5,1,1,1.0
+60,Moirai-2.0,0.9344573558453938,0.7948276383643947,6,1,1,1.0
+60,Chronos-Bolt,1.161639702580533,0.8780369161566627,7,1,1,1.0
+60,ETS,0.8214864745552789,0.8984000078279187,8,1,1,1.0
+60,Moving-Average,1.0012187580336918,0.990429233118204,9,1,1,1.0
 60,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10,1,1,1.0
-60,Chronos-Bolt,1.636507479529001,1.0068480528252999,11,1,1,1.0
-60,TabPFN-TS,1.9888958356002642,1.3543512894613885,12,1,1,1.0
+60,ARIMA,0.9696495810564691,1.001266641756127,11,1,1,1.0
+60,TabPFN-TS,1.4247520745364455,1.1837564147380393,12,1,1,1.0
 72,Sundial,0.25409271020149654,0.4134668033457259,1,1,1,1.0
 72,Moirai-2.0,0.21822117627351534,0.4445783585985084,2,1,1,1.0
 72,Moving-Average,0.27041512107266086,0.4506324625954292,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
-Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.41570784536332933,0.5524043792044152,1,12,12,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-2,0.3516193974946817,0.5703461656661484,2,11,12,0.9166666666666666
-Overall,TiRex,0.4316802071516898,0.5977600007352838,3,11,12,0.9166666666666666
-Overall,Sundial,0.5421738455100793,0.6117602081958244,4,12,12,1.0
-Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.4433490090130829,0.6180286292940023,5,11,12,0.9166666666666666
-Overall,Toto-1.0,30.97237275871646,0.5813225084394155,6,12,12,1.0
-Overall,TabPFN-TS,0.6731512825638547,0.7674029355724274,7,12,12,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.7675937885300919,0.7986847968521942,8,12,12,1.0
-Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,12,12,1.0
-Overall,Moving-Average,0.7121394176752676,0.8123963349952168,10,11,12,0.9166666666666666
-Overall,ETS,2.0884050628051263,1.4863833368224328,11,11,12,0.9166666666666666
-Overall,ARIMA,1.0703795488320083,1.0756584087190064,12,11,12,0.9166666666666666
+Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.29518371853308956,0.5190600613322004,1,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-2,0.3330078457735557,0.5584827991644291,2,12,13,0.9230769230769231
+Overall,TiRex,0.28588290116410425,0.574738163277219,3,12,13,0.9230769230769231
+Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.4106461682011418,0.6270566164430068,4,12,13,0.9230769230769231
+Overall,Sundial,0.5757534923193305,0.6543209377225561,5,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,16.431902689810634,0.5854940612240856,6,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TabPFN-TS,0.3934357341587506,0.5979154289009765,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.6903894016533544,0.7710220382503462,8,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ETS,1.604078648155307,1.3421473694361745,10,12,13,0.9230769230769231
+Overall,Moving-Average,0.6754815701028398,0.8206554907159063,11,12,13,0.9230769230769231
+Overall,ARIMA,1.0371683579162425,1.0118232216363414,12,12,13,0.9230769230769231

results/arima/all_results.csv

@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
 dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
-binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ARIMA,585433.4266953302,1193344.3201181947,1068.737844502796,0.8707286198214276,0.01697241847472468,0.017124075329602306,16.250735713520342,765.1362144712078,0.012160059509655742,0.01698510087953005,0.015592409252059328,Finance,1,24
+binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ARIMA,581987.9147250383,1187836.6511820245,1065.4691270548792,0.8680655103913176,0.016920962634183138,0.017071920747642886,16.144211336315948,762.8813241422537,0.012124852549342912,0.016934031090540355,0.015541267179305604,Finance,1,24
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,ARIMA,1541135.6552051408,2418867.790696383,1404.9959218011925,2.0820340358355196,0.023509867939965828,0.023851626705894427,64.03653538702292,1241.4248487947793,0.020879994345237157,0.023631158125093858,0.02228618857464181,Finance,1,24
-data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ARIMA,0.0011111100695858772,0.001111109126880587,0.005555631644165602,nan,0.9999990921900841,1.9999998991323231,nan,0.033333317710451164,5.999997098474286,1.0000136810484432,1.0000420042759552,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ARIMA,0.0011111114301261354,0.0011111117065033924,0.005555641730942595,nan,1.0000002530203118,2.0,nan,0.033333338118558355,6.000000771933526,1.0000154966682748,1.0000423266611955,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ARIMA,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,ARIMA,10.406366463312379,10.727449102296893,2.790857104943154,2.4111075522603582,0.10663236245890369,0.11481437920844516,83.1458304032425,3.2258900265372312,0.12768637597357269,0.1104670111686386,0.10812312131315088,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ARIMA,0.13039712674584153,0.13266248835113106,0.309633444509053,0.4931057897622749,0.2103061275680662,0.24395308442112407,18.797558314649375,0.36110542331269624,0.26757799444373914,0.2294374183981584,0.22713257393839925,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ARIMA,0.20311519192378483,0.20642297052822803,0.40880355410448155,0.6593428430799728,0.2764759587338371,0.33031652430088676,25.41695603514377,0.4506830282180424,0.3226693111974686,0.2926854417827164,0.2904454709303519,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,ARIMA,0.07250842982898768,0.06143372067546197,0.2128724020652514,0.8655251149717222,0.14394532883004355,0.13059104090669577,8.420926905711859,0.26927389370116755,0.1718769487762167,0.13587599764217612,0.12379727501224358,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ARIMA,0.018146228087100882,0.029543691659412064,0.1503112671141833,0.2278402364678147,0.01150069839361629,0.011587008092551102,3.384831146801062,0.13470793624393806,0.010342259778408093,0.011540212221063767,0.010856215879861032,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ARIMA,639.2648952736207,635.3996013453274,21.222258399575196,1.3958774366327527,0.6162457076746248,0.407102345049495,38.8127018590424,25.28368832416704,0.4559727213072708,0.3827278200345077,0.36355365476073787,Air Quality,1,24

results/arima/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
   "model": "ARIMA",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:23:06.524357+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.441660+00:00",
   "freq": "1h",
   "context_length": 96,
   "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
     62915.0,
     62622.1796875,
     62756.12109375,
-    62710.0
+    62631.55078125
   ],
   "p50": [
     61853.669798109506,

results/arima/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
   "model": "ARIMA",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T10:56:03.622582+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.468536+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 288,
   "prediction_length": 36,
@@ -298,6 +298,7 @@
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@@ -830,155 +830,6 @@
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   ]
 }

results/arima/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
   "model": "ARIMA",
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+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.484603+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 120,
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@@ -326,10 +326,6 @@
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   "timestamps": [
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     "2026-07-03 06:20:00",
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@@ -457,6 +453,10 @@
     "2026-07-03 16:40:00",
     "2026-07-03 16:45:00",
     "2026-07-03 16:50:00",
-    "2026-07-03 16:55:00"
+    "2026-07-03 16:55:00",
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+    "2026-07-03 17:05:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:10:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:15:00"
   ]
 }

results/arima/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json

@@ -1,16 +1,11 @@
 {
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   "timestamps": [
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@@ -1417,6 +1412,11 @@
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+    "2026-07-05 11:06:00",
+    "2026-07-05 11:12:00",
+    "2026-07-05 11:18:00"
   ]
 }

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -1,19 +1,31 @@
 {
     "model": "ARIMA",
     "api_model_id": "baseline/arima",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:23:06.589249+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.568414+00:00",
     "datasets": [
         {
             "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260704t110000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
             "context_length": 96,
             "prediction_length": 24
         },
         {
-            "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260704t121000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z",
-            "context_length": 73,
-            "prediction_length": 72
+            "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_data_gov_sg_rainfall_station_s213_rainfall_5min_total_20260705t081500z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 288,
+            "prediction_length": 36
+        },
+        {
+            "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260705t081000z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 120,
+            "prediction_length": 12
+        },
+        {
+            "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260705t051800z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 240,
+            "prediction_length": 60
         }
     ],
     "failed_datasets": []

results/baseline_rank_history_daily.csv

@@ -26,4 +26,4 @@ date,model,MSE_Rank,CRPS_Rank,MASE_Rank,MAE_Rank,RMSE_Rank,sMAPE_Rank,MSIS_Rank,
 2026-07-02,Seasonal-Naive,11.500,13.167,13.667,11.500,11.500,12.667,12.333,12.833,12.917,12.583
 2026-07-03,Seasonal-Naive,9.929,11.583,11.500,9.714,9.929,10.917,11.333,11.083,11.250,9.917
 2026-07-04,Seasonal-Naive,7.929,9.333,9.500,8.429,7.929,9.667,9.750,9.417,9.000,9.333
-2026-07-05,Seasonal-Naive,9.857,10.231,10.917,9.643,9.857,10.769,10.583,9.692,10.385,9.923
+2026-07-05,Seasonal-Naive,9.714,10.385,11.000,9.714,9.714,10.692,10.583,9.769,10.231,9.923

results/baseline_rank_history_weekly.csv

@@ -5,4 +5,4 @@ week,model,MSE_Rank,CRPS_Rank,MASE_Rank,MAE_Rank,RMSE_Rank,sMAPE_Rank,MSIS_Rank,
 2026-W26,Chronos-2,4.657,4.082,4.641,4.709,4.657,4.544,3.941,4.621,4.69,4.79
 2026-W26,ETS,6.154,6.308,6.455,6.615,6.154,6.692,7.182,6.692,6.231,6.182
 2026-W26,Seasonal-Naive,1.532,1.661,1.532,1.523,1.532,1.532,1.642,1.532,1.541,1.505
-2026-W27,Seasonal-Naive,9.112,10.7,10.468,9.061,9.112,10.348,10.573,10.123,10.115,9.929
+2026-W27,Seasonal-Naive,9.092,10.722,10.48,9.071,9.092,10.337,10.573,10.134,10.093,9.929

results/chronos_2/all_results.csv

@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
 dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
-binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-2,150464.6882762909,150464.6882762909,301.60107421875,0.24572226803976072,0.004780337213475347,0.004798962380570271,2.6120061861191215,387.8977807055499,0.006164732511455809,0.004793247190908001,0.00577934402459553,Finance,1,24
+binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-2,151236.7567838033,151236.7567838033,304.8697916666667,0.24838537746987058,0.004832592486010013,0.004851119304600703,2.6120061861191215,388.8917031562943,0.006180849378813281,0.0048454473241475535,0.005796961103000644,Finance,1,24
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Chronos-2,1047487.098203659,1047487.098203659,819.30322265625,1.2141082894057063,0.01366893271924998,0.013814714127786376,10.44496425626024,1023.4681715635612,0.017214098505861357,0.013780170964601867,0.011439704022350464,Finance,1,24
-data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-2,0.001111111146571168,0.001111111146571168,0.0055555566170083686,nan,1.0000000010558636,2.0,nan,0.03333333386523418,6.000000006335186,1.0000001761603425,1.000000307313204,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-2,0.0011111111376130869,0.0011111111376130869,0.005555556583949782,nan,0.9999999970247272,1.999999999669414,nan,0.03333333373086297,5.999999982148368,1.0000001702097971,1.000000307200639,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Chronos-2,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.0190191815362404e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.3151753777977035e-09,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Chronos-2,1.6625488836995526,1.6625488836995526,0.9819971720377604,0.848377652014106,0.037766417363571884,0.038964891738087724,9.334897993980988,1.2893986519690304,0.05103665645783454,0.038869167604077805,0.03520828240835111,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-2,0.001214708780069588,0.001214708780069588,0.027891179919242857,0.04441801279989908,0.019580958243923325,0.019450219307305006,0.8561370353876704,0.03485267249537097,0.025825721812104237,0.02066727748643618,0.04720357666041363,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-2,0.0365669418470714,0.0365669418470714,0.1713586429754893,0.2763774769358017,0.11580045144756755,0.12428082993822241,1.2375767664752295,0.19122484631206113,0.1369086155458747,0.1226852839683226,0.09880753867714184,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Chronos-2,0.09210648648387733,0.09210648648387733,0.275558234916793,1.1204015675298966,0.18405785468461663,0.16487227328817192,5.124871799074965,0.30349050476724526,0.19371733822751117,0.17588823029468806,0.1299781926197063,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.007090311109057741,0.007090311109057741,0.030019164085388184,0.045502732929430516,0.002267113555226685,0.0022871408393660745,1.2294743788869757,0.08420398511387535,0.006464797195377536,0.0023047342417861004,0.005429420180779169,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-2,301.9873939069891,301.9873939069891,16.053765455881756,1.055923858382019,0.35411043382023005,0.3257762687661483,5.565032297132188,17.377784493628326,0.31339556097427274,0.28951785152130166,0.2148365571530732,Air Quality,1,24

results/chronos_2/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
   "model": "Chronos-2",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:17:28.803860+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:30:28.875008+00:00",
   "freq": "1h",
   "context_length": 96,
   "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
     62915.0,
     62622.1796875,
     62756.12109375,
-    62710.0
+    62631.55078125
   ],
   "p50": [
     62493.18359375,

results/chronos_2/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
   "model": "Chronos-2",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T10:50:33.191304+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:30:39.427583+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 288,
   "prediction_length": 36,
@@ -298,6 +298,7 @@
   "actuals": [
     0.0,
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+    0.20000000298023224,
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@@ -305,7 +306,6 @@
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-    0.20000000298023224,
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     0.0,
@@ -830,155 +830,6 @@
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@@ -1153,6 +1004,155 @@
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+    "2026-07-05 09:20:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 09:30:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 10:00:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:05:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:10:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:15:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:20:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:25:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:30:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:35:00"
   ]
 }

results/chronos_2/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
   "model": "Chronos-2",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:01:52.424486+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:30:43.432206+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 120,
   "prediction_length": 12,
@@ -326,10 +326,6 @@
     ]
   },
   "timestamps": [
-    "2026-07-03 06:00:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:05:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:10:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:15:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:20:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:25:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:30:00",
@@ -457,6 +453,10 @@
     "2026-07-03 16:40:00",
     "2026-07-03 16:45:00",
     "2026-07-03 16:50:00",
-    "2026-07-03 16:55:00"
+    "2026-07-03 16:55:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:00:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:05:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:10:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:15:00"
   ]
 }

results/chronos_2/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json

@@ -1,16 +1,11 @@
 {
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   "timestamps": [
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@@ -1417,6 +1412,11 @@
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+    "2026-07-05 11:06:00",
+    "2026-07-05 11:12:00",
+    "2026-07-05 11:18:00"
   ]
 }

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -1,19 +1,31 @@
 {
     "model": "Chronos-2",
     "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:17:34.789856+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:37:46.680546+00:00",
     "datasets": [
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             "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260704t110000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
             "context_length": 96,
             "prediction_length": 24
         },
         {
-            "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260704t121000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z",
-            "context_length": 73,
-            "prediction_length": 72
+            "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_data_gov_sg_rainfall_station_s213_rainfall_5min_total_20260705t081500z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 288,
+            "prediction_length": 36
+        },
+        {
+            "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260705t081000z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 120,
+            "prediction_length": 12
+        },
+        {
+            "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260705t051800z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 240,
+            "prediction_length": 60
         }
     ],
     "failed_datasets": []

results/chronos_bolt/all_results.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
-binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,324375.053744634,324375.053744634,520.63134765625,0.4241719492878971,0.008261832291305836,0.008302811455329275,4.45414288135277,569.5393346772757,0.009051502296949537,0.008274223661557585,0.008120374046930529,Finance,1,24
+binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,321764.2295252482,321764.2295252482,517.3626302083334,0.42150883985778725,0.008210007672552389,0.008250655017926033,4.45414288135277,567.2426548887594,0.009015469814989902,0.008222701758847298,0.0080919336493748,Finance,1,24
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,1120486.6587556202,1120486.6587556202,734.14599609375,0.8693109217223224,0.01226590473246691,0.01210952102459527,8.436316153219645,1058.5304241048625,0.017431873016336474,0.012089912096934045,0.010652843722422005,Finance,1
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Chronos-Bolt,24494.29886562596,24494.29886562596,120.14190149307251,1.2667135440416435,0.6356253615465683,0.9144911966348365,18.167880022797153,156.5065457596773,0.9635125763281969,0.7396382845884965,0.5956771935646294,Finance,1,12
-data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.0011111107698159146,0.0011111107698159146,0.005555607809574796,nan,0.9999998315145281,1.9999999812793954,nan,0.03333332821390499,5.999998989095947,1.0000093908221621,1.0000110676722764,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.0011111106243478794,0.0011111106243478794,0.005555607082234632,nan,0.9999997660539143,1.9999999740059964,nan,0.03333332603188406,5.999998596332185,1.0000092599009347,1.0000108145967739,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Chronos-Bolt,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0941039077622847e-12,9.104717223114752e-07,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.0459942197556757e-06,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,3.6572264893970896,3.6572264893970896,1.572221835454305,1.3582909474577811,0.060188245247523274,0.06288205278590252,21.408722629120433,1.9123876409862854,0.07569565153351032,0.062231293300215665,0.05439718480267111,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.271099274140506,0.271099274140506,0.44058400591214497,0.7016507035808369,0.2988971783152907,0.3729728689321235,5.225149485994703,0.5206719448371556,0.38581629011426943,0.32647137670893933,0.2587706336952173,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.24333189612567113,0.24333189612567113,0.44242726266384125,0.7135731729629528,0.2989710709021646,0.36337011976284883,6.005643246477986,0.49328682946706687,0.3531717671203612,0.31675854460988573,0.2546992329236812,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.1489539410054436,0.1489539410054436,0.34804999828338623,1.4151482853460504,0.23273651109483218,0.20258698129413427,4.943185093873396,0.38594551559183016,0.2463481947767442,0.22215956736193807,0.1457341340866278,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.008137794160764619,0.008137794160764619,0.03913414478302002,0.05931912472373561,0.002966248182617275,0.002989399786317211,1.5335805190236946,0.09020972320523225,0.006925890321987506,0.0030045408075950694,0.006992301579313381,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,362.5368303801985,362.5368303801985,17.779315789540608,1.1694205810765617,0.4103823920342471,0.3597458879926985,8.259697814906021,19.040399953262497,0.3433796078386816,0.32063688254649597,0.23577965644381343,Air Quality,1,24

results/chronos_bolt/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
   "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:21:33.673449+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:41:24.093504+00:00",
   "freq": "1h",
   "context_length": 96,
   "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
     62915.0,
     62622.1796875,
     62756.12109375,
-    62710.0
+    62631.55078125
   ],
   "p50": [
     62555.8671875,

results/chronos_bolt/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
   "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T10:53:26.222012+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:41:28.387136+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 288,
   "prediction_length": 36,
@@ -298,6 +298,7 @@
   "actuals": [
     0.0,
     0.0,
+    0.20000000298023224,
     0.0,
     0.0,
     0.0,
@@ -305,7 +306,6 @@
     0.0,
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-    0.20000000298023224,
     0.0,
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     0.0,
@@ -830,155 +830,6 @@
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   "timestamps": [
-    "2026-07-03 19:15:00",
-    "2026-07-03 19:20:00",
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-    "2026-07-03 19:30:00",
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-    "2026-07-03 19:50:00",
-    "2026-07-03 19:55:00",
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@@ -1153,6 +1004,155 @@
     "2026-07-04 21:55:00",
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-    "2026-07-04 22:10:00"
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+    "2026-07-04 23:20:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 08:40:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 09:30:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:35:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 09:50:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 10:05:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:10:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:15:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:20:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:25:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:30:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:35:00"
   ]
 }

results/chronos_bolt/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
   "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:03:44.910621+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:41:31.876050+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 120,
   "prediction_length": 12,
@@ -326,10 +326,6 @@
     ]
   },
   "timestamps": [
-    "2026-07-03 06:00:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:05:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:10:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:15:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:20:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:25:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:30:00",
@@ -457,6 +453,10 @@
     "2026-07-03 16:40:00",
     "2026-07-03 16:45:00",
     "2026-07-03 16:50:00",
-    "2026-07-03 16:55:00"
+    "2026-07-03 16:55:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:00:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:05:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:10:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:15:00"
   ]
 }

results/chronos_bolt/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json

@@ -1,16 +1,11 @@
 {
   "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
   "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:03:47.633719+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:41:36.176839+00:00",
   "freq": "6min",
   "context_length": 240,
   "prediction_length": 60,
   "context": [
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     1.2170000076293945,
     1.246999979019165,
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@@ -245,14 +240,14 @@
     0.9549999833106995,
     0.9520000219345093,
     0.9639999866485596,
-    0.968999981880188
-  ],
-  "actuals": [
+    0.968999981880188,
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     0.9769999980926514,
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-    0.9810000061988831,
+    0.9810000061988831
+  ],
+  "actuals": [
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@@ -307,822 +302,822 @@
     1.6089999675750732,
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+    1.5700000524520874,
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+    1.534999966621399,
+    1.5219999551773071
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   "timestamps": [
-    "2026-07-04 04:54:00",
-    "2026-07-04 05:00:00",
-    "2026-07-04 05:06:00",
-    "2026-07-04 05:12:00",
-    "2026-07-04 05:18:00",
     "2026-07-04 05:24:00",
     "2026-07-04 05:30:00",
     "2026-07-04 05:36:00",
@@ -1417,6 +1412,11 @@
     "2026-07-05 10:30:00",
     "2026-07-05 10:36:00",
     "2026-07-05 10:42:00",
-    "2026-07-05 10:48:00"
+    "2026-07-05 10:48:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:54:00",
+    "2026-07-05 11:00:00",
+    "2026-07-05 11:06:00",
+    "2026-07-05 11:12:00",
+    "2026-07-05 11:18:00"
   ]
 }

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -1,19 +1,31 @@
 {
     "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
     "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-bolt-base",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:21:40.431936+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:41:37.519239+00:00",
     "datasets": [
         {
             "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260704t110000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
             "context_length": 96,
             "prediction_length": 24
         },
         {
-            "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260704t121000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:16:51.247949Z",
-            "context_length": 73,
-            "prediction_length": 72
+            "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_data_gov_sg_rainfall_station_s213_rainfall_5min_total_20260705t081500z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 288,
+            "prediction_length": 36
+        },
+        {
+            "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260705t081000z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 120,
+            "prediction_length": 12
+        },
+        {
+            "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260705t051800z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
+            "context_length": 240,
+            "prediction_length": 60
         }
     ],
     "failed_datasets": []

results/dataset_eval_intervals.json

@@ -10,6 +10,5 @@
     "open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5": 3600,
     "open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m": 3600,
     "usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count": 3600,
-    "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060": 900,
     "wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews": 86400
 }

results/dataset_properties.csv

@@ -10,4 +10,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature,Weather,1h,1
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5,Air Quality,1h,1
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m,Weather,1h,1
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count,Hazards,1h,1
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060,Hydrology,15min,1
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews,Web,1D,1

results/ets/all_results.csv

@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
 dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
-binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ETS,174874.1230184343,170816.53340214223,363.80863652241624,0.2964043928898694,0.005782043471067558,0.005775107305375786,2.155773244949266,418.1795344328011,0.006645990515476178,0.005781891624743858,0.004686236793532342,Finance,1,24
+binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ETS,180074.7645730587,175845.72996051935,367.0773539703329,0.2990675023199793,0.005834840690521694,0.005827262334729609,2.2622976221536613,424.3521704587579,0.006744440233336538,0.005834143070807843,0.004738431372696492,Finance,1,24
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,ETS,1556117.9881807761,1569433.9940070417,1003.0477607431425,1.4863954727772741,0.016733873296267597,0.016954216616983653,43.48353332776867,1247.444583210323,0.02098124253652188,0.01687063988823202,0.015785365847337016,Finance,1,24
-data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ETS,0.0011111100695858772,0.001111109126880587,0.005555631644165602,nan,0.9999990921900841,1.9999998991323231,nan,0.033333317710451164,5.999997098474286,1.0000136810484432,1.0000420042759552,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ETS,0.0011111114301261354,0.0011111117065033924,0.005555641730942595,nan,1.0000002530203118,2.0,nan,0.033333338118558355,6.000000771933526,1.0000154966682748,1.0000423266611955,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ETS,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,ETS,20.815648844426804,21.434120292971343,4.076515040881044,3.5218271062901407,0.15697094408605006,0.1743778592077947,89.1000684736852,4.562416995894479,0.18058845375808938,0.16135560353574674,0.15155302055472286,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ETS,0.10480335159990702,0.10349906633182944,0.27451437185016603,0.43717701860954244,0.18673452683005534,0.2125865244732791,15.401074498571656,0.32373345764672984,0.23988548423554926,0.20341429489427354,0.19841956591382745,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ETS,0.17207905433248646,0.17003647176237577,0.37105202857651953,0.5984549228985084,0.25093641403007055,0.2944995020945624,21.628231578404225,0.414824124578702,0.29699590658014524,0.2656570027777583,0.2606061187654812,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,ETS,0.9548675270621616,0.9562270403286673,0.8709744162393067,3.5413244010929987,0.5782679709593944,0.4234650905725565,100.52240105186577,0.977173232882564,0.6237275785822615,0.5559411017077348,0.5444480394189772,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ETS,0.2440145295007543,0.2186985771358884,0.4040808529611856,0.6125015034359024,0.03098495262081259,0.03164188726666959,23.73553547429124,0.4939782682474547,0.037925394134551114,0.0310234813874477,0.03100484249563609,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ETS,619.8664548763554,612.8274082095896,21.21294946110645,1.395265148490611,0.6050161771265131,0.40803649454148117,37.26422441324205,24.897117400943337,0.4490011990522643,0.38255994017648803,0.36130155379861634,Air Quality,1,24

results/ets/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
   "model": "ETS",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:23:06.237741+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.146802+00:00",
   "freq": "1h",
   "context_length": 96,
   "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
     62915.0,
     62622.1796875,
     62756.12109375,
-    62710.0
+    62631.55078125
   ],
   "p50": [
     62511.49443438552,

results/ets/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
   "model": "ETS",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T10:56:03.326933+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.169462+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 288,
   "prediction_length": 36,
@@ -298,6 +298,7 @@
   "actuals": [
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+    0.20000000298023224,
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@@ -305,7 +306,6 @@
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@@ -830,155 +830,6 @@
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@@ -1153,6 +1004,155 @@
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+    "2026-07-05 10:30:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:35:00"
   ]
 }

results/ets/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
   "model": "ETS",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:06:50.149460+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.186949+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 120,
   "prediction_length": 12,
@@ -326,10 +326,6 @@
     ]
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   "timestamps": [
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     "2026-07-03 06:20:00",
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@@ -457,6 +453,10 @@
     "2026-07-03 16:40:00",
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+    "2026-07-03 17:05:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:10:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:15:00"
   ]
 }

results/ets/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json

@@ -1,16 +1,11 @@
 {
   "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
   "model": "ETS",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:06:50.175982+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:34.211822+00:00",
   "freq": "6min",
   "context_length": 240,
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   "context": [
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@@ -245,14 +240,14 @@
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+    0.9810000061988831
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@@ -307,822 +302,822 @@
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 }

results/ets/online_meta.json

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 {
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results/eval_history.jsonl

@@ -4537,3 +4537,7 @@
 {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:06:51.543832+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level", "prediction_length": 60}
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 {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:23:07.538578+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height", "prediction_length": 72}
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+{"evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:43.439676+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level", "prediction_length": 60}

results/evaluation_metrics.jsonl

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+size 11259458

results/moirai_2_0/all_results.csv

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 dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
-binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,131618.0150502523,131618.0150502523,278.3811848958333,0.22680441808568186,0.004412204192374058,0.00442787169239587,1.7208411640363845,362.79197214140817,0.005765734110381596,0.004424221087275689,0.004726976101880715,Finance,1,24
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 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Moirai-2.0,20775.499102946527,20775.499102946527,107.845894018809,1.137070854757381,0.5779948164087865,0.7687864471222213,13.629300063640835,144.13708441253598,0.8873615660779484,0.6639394837327767,0.5370367497191665,Finance,1,12
-data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moirai-2.0,0.0011111091987698774,0.0011111091987698774,0.005555767868330637,nan,0.9999991245099682,1.9999999027234152,nan,0.033333304648202486,5.999994747269559,1.0000382013977842,1.0000556358947963,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moirai-2.0,0.0011111174002204221,0.0011111174002204221,0.005555777595997803,nan,1.0000028151626033,2.0,nan,0.03333342766983951,6.000016891163893,1.000039952377848,1.0000603695416106,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moirai-2.0,1.2167879962794955e-13,1.2167879962794955e-13,2.9433961579172774e-07,nan,nan,2.0,nan,3.488248839001449e-07,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,1.2532438701329436,1.2532438701329436,0.9506536324818929,0.8212990012283422,0.03701554261933145,0.03766328266317578,7.539952963054415,1.119483751616317,0.044311127170886824,0.03762853542407473,0.03137907032862377,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moirai-2.0,0.13582479833717923,0.13582479833717923,0.3116710046927134,0.4963506999661617,0.21128010831269392,0.24566852791486077,4.862823535897066,0.3685441606336739,0.27309007563953275,0.23094724415070644,0.1905567052646254,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moirai-2.0,0.19574337872691375,0.19574337872691375,0.3832452595233917,0.6181208956576069,0.25577319481668115,0.3057788764963852,8.215881674092309,0.4424289533099227,0.3167597550384407,0.27438682215093296,0.23056204821555815,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Moirai-2.0,0.015366409520170285,0.015366409520170285,0.10409667756822374,0.4232502097326523,0.06801252925167121,0.06634579649802756,2.223579383538194,0.12396132267836724,0.07912424637743266,0.06644468601187074,0.06326833687011973,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.007140713471017079,0.007140713471017079,0.02835385004679362,0.04297846743935033,0.002138823974235795,0.0021590722806517485,0.74630126953125,0.0845027423875526,0.0064877344136381136,0.0021768790397838503,0.0033726289177010652,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,266.0610133353175,266.0610133353175,14.536421140034994,0.9561217235566394,0.30359951830288395,0.2937914493547455,4.412828821998709,16.31137680685838,0.29416368274807636,0.26215366287974756,0.20378404284992732,Air Quality,1,24

results/moirai_2_0/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
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results/moirai_2_0/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
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 }

results/moirai_2_0/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
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 }

results/moirai_2_0/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json

@@ -1,16 +1,11 @@
 {
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 }

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -1,19 +1,31 @@
 {
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+            "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_data_gov_sg_rainfall_station_s213_rainfall_5min_total_20260705t081500z",
+            "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-05T11:28:46.215562Z",
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     "failed_datasets": []

results/moving_average/all_results.csv

@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
 dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
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 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Moving-Average,763747.8792799147,770725.1833900927,703.1501790364564,1.0419835263158121,0.011737086968445143,0.011838641769502792,25.952716117386256,873.9267013199188,0.014698903924331055,0.01182654896620388,0.010766495151387482,Finance,1,24
-data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moving-Average,0.0011111100695858772,0.001111109126880587,0.005555631644165602,nan,0.9999990921900841,1.9999998991323231,nan,0.033333317710451164,5.999997098474286,1.0000136810484432,1.0000420042759552,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moving-Average,0.0011111114301261354,0.0011111117065033924,0.005555641730942595,nan,1.0000002530203118,2.0,nan,0.033333338118558355,6.000000771933526,1.0000154966682748,1.0000423266611955,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moving-Average,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Moving-Average,3.0986469128607594,3.170419606944614,1.4258759749271788,1.2318582437073748,0.05492625676503186,0.056433965290652456,17.431043295900064,1.7602973933005637,0.06967565321113765,0.05643866788034009,0.049314025644646764,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moving-Average,0.16474213935653811,0.1631520237948527,0.34139226625328395,0.5436832036554644,0.2315350641340494,0.2733795603232095,19.518884677792002,0.4058843916148268,0.30075907054507556,0.25297060643576585,0.24717556896443238,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moving-Average,0.2097280751404394,0.2074780208803408,0.4082958840768955,0.6585240424703052,0.2756627389241979,0.3297379767280836,24.036807925832704,0.45796077904165483,0.3278798620686803,0.292321972275634,0.2873017766093412,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Moving-Average,0.019041733537540483,0.018906255648645124,0.11307872279926581,0.45977061188838086,0.07160273185280992,0.07252972924334747,3.3082746827732885,0.13799178793515388,0.08807986225649532,0.07217790621700043,0.0641299017297575,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.005640164025847698,0.00787223865891485,0.07214915194706606,0.10936292505660539,0.005514737920343424,0.005520161309005023,2.7334071821493318,0.07510102546468789,0.005765913550736295,0.005539282191044434,0.005260540954940134,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moving-Average,552.270202358848,547.3027463275129,21.283339122140386,1.3998949733546542,0.560484359130576,0.4131295667479604,36.257751241990924,23.500429833491303,0.4238129661179732,0.3838293659375571,0.3614621807496672,Air Quality,1,24

results/moving_average/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
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   "model": "Moving-Average",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:23:05.663833+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:33.562812+00:00",
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@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
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results/moving_average/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
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-    "2026-07-04 07:35:00",
     "2026-07-04 07:40:00",
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@@ -1153,6 +1004,155 @@
     "2026-07-04 21:55:00",
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     "2026-07-04 22:05:00",
-    "2026-07-04 22:10:00"
+    "2026-07-04 22:10:00",
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+    "2026-07-04 22:35:00",
+    "2026-07-04 22:40:00",
+    "2026-07-04 22:45:00",
+    "2026-07-04 22:50:00",
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+    "2026-07-04 23:10:00",
+    "2026-07-04 23:15:00",
+    "2026-07-04 23:20:00",
+    "2026-07-04 23:25:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 00:35:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 06:35:00",
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+    "2026-07-05 07:25:00",
+    "2026-07-05 07:30:00",
+    "2026-07-05 07:35:00",
+    "2026-07-05 07:40:00",
+    "2026-07-05 07:45:00",
+    "2026-07-05 07:50:00",
+    "2026-07-05 07:55:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:00:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:05:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:10:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:15:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:20:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:25:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:30:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:35:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:40:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:45:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:50:00",
+    "2026-07-05 08:55:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:00:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:05:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:10:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:15:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:20:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:25:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:30:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:35:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:40:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:45:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:50:00",
+    "2026-07-05 09:55:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:00:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:05:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:10:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:15:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:20:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:25:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:30:00",
+    "2026-07-05 10:35:00"
   ]
 }

results/moving_average/forecasts/data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count__5min__short.json

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 {
   "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
   "model": "Moving-Average",
-  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:06:49.590116+00:00",
+  "evaluated_at": "2026-07-05T11:44:33.619615+00:00",
   "freq": "5min",
   "context_length": 120,
   "prediction_length": 12,
@@ -326,10 +326,6 @@
     ]
   },
   "timestamps": [
-    "2026-07-03 06:00:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:05:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:10:00",
-    "2026-07-03 06:15:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:20:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:25:00",
     "2026-07-03 06:30:00",
@@ -457,6 +453,10 @@
     "2026-07-03 16:40:00",
     "2026-07-03 16:45:00",
     "2026-07-03 16:50:00",
-    "2026-07-03 16:55:00"
+    "2026-07-03 16:55:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:00:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:05:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:10:00",
+    "2026-07-03 17:15:00"
   ]
 }