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Update complete LiveHouse paper tables tex

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@@ -7,19 +7,19 @@
7
  \toprule
8
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
9
  \midrule
10
- Chronos-2 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{479.892}} & 11.065 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{2.790}} & 19.614 & 0.323 & 0.923 & 1.294 & 1.118 & 1.039 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{8.420}} \\
11
- TiRex & 504.775 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{10.483}} & 2.839 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{16.761}} & 0.344 & 0.928 & 1.325 & 1.036 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{1.017}} & 9.889 \\
12
- TimesFM-2.5 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{487.543}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{10.633}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{2.772}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{17.185}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.236}} & 0.874 & 1.333 & 1.092 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.986}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{8.711}} \\
13
- Toto-1.0 & 1.153e+03 & 43.531 & 5.754 & 63.522 & 0.558 & 1.176 & 1.534 & 1.064 & 1.851 & 96.250 \\
14
- Moirai-2.0 & 629.069 & 20.320 & 3.687 & 25.617 & 0.375 & 0.338 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.888}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.594}} & 1.580 & 13.782 \\
15
- Chronos-Bolt & 821.206 & 19.845 & 3.957 & 29.309 & 0.619 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.305}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.728}} & 0.617 & 1.842 & 33.431 \\
16
- TabPFN-TS & 786.867 & 20.435 & 3.994 & 27.895 & 0.510 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.320}} & 1.043 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.509}} & 1.489 & 20.472 \\
17
- Sundial & 1.288e+03 & 19.317 & 4.331 & 23.562 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.303}} & 0.432 & 1.312 & 0.902 & 1.603 & 20.726 \\
18
  \midrule
19
- Moving-Average & 780.959 & 16.279 & 3.241 & 24.822 & 0.744 & 0.834 & 2.156 & 1.316 & 1.680 & 26.906 \\
20
- ETS & 552.700 & 18.362 & 3.154 & 24.152 & 0.874 & 0.998 & 5.120 & 0.974 & 7.301 & 28.427 \\
21
- ARIMA & 665.903 & 14.957 & 3.243 & 26.212 & 0.741 & 0.834 & 3.128 & 0.959 & 2.637 & 29.245 \\
22
- Seasonal-Naive & 855.903 & 18.111 & 3.956 & 27.886 & 0.768 & 0.899 & 1.498 & 1.355 & 1.347 & 53.966 \\
23
  \bottomrule
24
  \end{tabular}}
25
  \end{table*}
@@ -33,19 +33,19 @@ Seasonal-Naive & 855.903 & 18.111 & 3.956 & 27.886 & 0.768 & 0.899 & 1.498 & 1.3
33
  \toprule
34
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
35
  \midrule
36
- Chronos-2 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.010}} & 0.331 & 0.574 & 0.009 & 0.481 & 0.159 & 0.043 & 0.044 & 0.043 & 0.061 \\
37
- TiRex & 0.010 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.314}} & 0.588 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.007}} & 0.606 & 0.163 & 0.043 & 0.039 & 0.043 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.057}} \\
38
- TimesFM-2.5 & 0.010 & 0.315 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.503}} & 0.008 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.288}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.146}} & 0.047 & 0.041 & 0.050 & 0.060 \\
39
- Toto-1.0 & 0.012 & 0.317 & 0.545 & 0.010 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.473}} & 0.183 & 0.032 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.030}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.040}} & 0.210 \\
40
- Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.009}} & 0.360 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.523}} & 0.009 & 0.485 & 0.199 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.031}} & 0.031 & 0.048 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.046}} \\
41
- Chronos-Bolt & 0.012 & 0.354 & 0.569 & 0.010 & 0.773 & 0.181 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.024}} & 0.032 & 0.051 & 0.134 \\
42
- TabPFN-TS & 0.011 & 0.347 & 0.580 & 0.009 & 0.588 & 0.188 & 0.033 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.025}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.042}} & 0.066 \\
43
- Sundial & 0.019 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.278}} & 0.536 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.007}} & 0.641 & 0.215 & 0.040 & 0.046 & 0.047 & 0.073 \\
44
  \midrule
45
- Moving-Average & 0.014 & 0.478 & 0.637 & 0.011 & 1.921 & 0.159 & 0.077 & 0.068 & 0.068 & 0.200 \\
46
- ETS & 0.010 & 0.726 & 0.595 & 0.010 & 1.377 & 0.208 & 0.178 & 0.044 & 0.314 & 0.203 \\
47
- ARIMA & 0.014 & 0.438 & 0.586 & 0.012 & 1.421 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.156}} & 0.101 & 0.039 & 0.118 & 0.191 \\
48
- Seasonal-Naive & 0.015 & 0.520 & 0.648 & 0.011 & 1.925 & 0.166 & 0.053 & 0.066 & 0.052 & 0.361 \\
49
  \bottomrule
50
  \end{tabular}}
51
  \end{table*}
@@ -59,19 +59,19 @@ Seasonal-Naive & 0.015 & 0.520 & 0.648 & 0.011 & 1.925 & 0.166 & 0.053 & 0.066 &
59
  \toprule
60
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
61
  \midrule
62
- Chronos-2 & 0.115 & 0.460 & 0.352 & 0.146 & 0.168 & 0.460 & 0.062 & 0.465 & 0.096 & 0.122 \\
63
- TiRex & 0.122 & 0.451 & 0.354 & 0.146 & 0.175 & 0.442 & 0.058 & 0.433 & 0.104 & 0.118 \\
64
- TimesFM-2.5 & 0.141 & 0.534 & 0.493 & 0.180 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.148}} & 0.524 & 0.074 & 0.529 & 0.116 & 0.161 \\
65
- Toto-1.0 & 0.011 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.253}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.284}} & 0.011 & 0.190 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.129}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.025}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.026}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.038}} & 0.132 \\
66
- Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.009}} & 0.284 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.273}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.008}} & 0.216 & 0.132 & 0.027 & 0.028 & 0.045 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.050}} \\
67
- Chronos-Bolt & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.011}} & 0.280 & 0.286 & 0.010 & 0.355 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.128}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.021}} & 0.029 & 0.048 & 0.111 \\
68
- TabPFN-TS & 0.011 & 0.358 & 0.388 & 0.009 & 0.332 & 0.178 & 0.034 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.025}} & 0.044 & 0.063 \\
69
- Sundial & 0.018 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.261}} & 0.298 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.006}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.155}} & 0.172 & 0.033 & 0.040 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.042}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.054}} \\
70
  \midrule
71
- Moving-Average & 0.111 & 0.499 & 0.354 & 0.137 & 0.610 & 0.466 & 0.110 & 0.459 & 0.185 & 0.321 \\
72
- ETS & 0.103 & 0.856 & 0.354 & 0.116 & 0.582 & 0.526 & 0.288 & 0.317 & 0.927 & 0.323 \\
73
- ARIMA & 0.122 & 0.465 & 0.343 & 0.121 & 0.522 & 0.474 & 0.179 & 0.366 & 0.371 & 0.284 \\
74
- Seasonal-Naive & 0.104 & 0.595 & 0.566 & 0.118 & 0.634 & 0.587 & 0.075 & 0.439 & 0.141 & 0.731 \\
75
  \bottomrule
76
  \end{tabular}}
77
  \end{table*}
@@ -85,19 +85,19 @@ Seasonal-Naive & 0.104 & 0.595 & 0.566 & 0.118 & 0.634 & 0.587 & 0.075 & 0.439 &
85
  \toprule
86
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
87
  \midrule
88
- Chronos-2 & 7.408e+05 & 509.905 & 9.128 & 2.925e+03 & 0.275 & 3.827 & 1.830 & 27.873 & 1.967 & 129.300 \\
89
- TiRex & 6.890e+05 & 477.672 & 8.785 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{2.470e+03}} & 0.314 & 3.545 & 1.724 & 28.306 & 1.831 & 167.781 \\
90
- TimesFM-2.5 & 6.503e+05 & 512.464 & 8.791 & 2.747e+03 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.139}} & 3.409 & 2.049 & 28.022 & 1.720 & 133.699 \\
91
- Toto-1.0 & 1.692e+06 & 9.751e+03 & 29.205 & 1.011e+04 & 0.687 & 8.826 & 8.604 & 2.215 & 7.748 & 8.228e+03 \\
92
- Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{4.727e+05}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{199.218}} & 5.828 & 3.049e+03 & 0.204 & 0.089 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.361}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.822}} & 1.674 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{64.521}} \\
93
- Chronos-Bolt & 6.192e+05 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{170.584}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{5.744}} & 3.403e+03 & 0.376 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.051}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.015}} & 1.113 & 2.240 & 238.712 \\
94
- TabPFN-TS & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{3.913e+05}} & 343.081 & 6.306 & 3.003e+03 & 0.305 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.087}} & 0.754 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.674}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{1.021}} & 68.714 \\
95
- Sundial & 7.390e+05 & 676.891 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{5.145}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{2.104e+03}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.119}} & 0.095 & 0.699 & 2.216 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{1.477}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{26.124}} \\
96
  \midrule
97
- Moving-Average & 9.802e+05 & 585.730 & 9.238 & 3.951e+03 & 1.371 & 3.621 & 5.164 & 26.817 & 2.916 & 1.196e+03 \\
98
- ETS & 9.153e+05 & 7.403e+03 & 8.229 & 2.817e+03 & 1.452 & 4.438 & 29.658 & 26.882 & 212.852 & 1.770e+03 \\
99
- ARIMA & 7.447e+05 & 967.285 & 8.378 & 3.110e+03 & 1.041 & 3.576 & 11.736 & 26.525 & 10.416 & 1.427e+03 \\
100
- Seasonal-Naive & 1.014e+06 & 660.683 & 12.951 & 4.310e+03 & 1.408 & 3.820 & 2.073 & 26.450 & 1.818 & 4.084e+03 \\
101
  \bottomrule
102
  \end{tabular}}
103
  \end{table*}
@@ -111,19 +111,19 @@ Seasonal-Naive & 1.014e+06 & 660.683 & 12.951 & 4.310e+03 & 1.408 & 3.820 & 2.07
111
  \toprule
112
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
113
  \midrule
114
- Chronos-2 & 0.589 & 0.593 & 0.427 & 0.224 & -0.007 & -0.478 & -0.170 & 0.015 & 0.528 & 0.704 \\
115
- TiRex & 0.622 & 0.542 & 0.464 & 0.239 & 0.010 & -0.491 & 0.165 & 0.011 & 0.593 & 0.873 \\
116
- TimesFM-2.5 & 0.571 & 0.540 & 0.466 & 0.236 & -0.047 & -0.386 & -0.072 & -0.008 & 0.649 & 0.479 \\
117
- Toto-1.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.307}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.059}} & -0.221 & 0.224 & 0.126 & -0.135 & 0.265 & 0.015 & -0.117 & 1.000 \\
118
- Moirai-2.0 & -0.255 & 0.433 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.617}} & 0.263 & 0.011 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.564}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.725}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.233}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.567}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-1.000}} \\
119
- Chronos-Bolt & 0.253 & 0.550 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.633}} & 0.220 & -0.051 & -0.089 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.725}} & -0.117 & -0.250 & 1.000 \\
120
- TabPFN-TS & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.408}} & 0.524 & -0.600 & 0.136 & -0.045 & -0.171 & -0.596 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.143}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.283}} & 0.333 \\
121
- Sundial & 0.516 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.042}} & -0.270 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.021}} & -0.040 & -0.067 & -0.586 & -0.117 & 0.029 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.000}} \\
122
  \midrule
123
- Moving-Average & 0.511 & 0.538 & 0.386 & 0.168 & -0.316 & -0.369 & -0.407 & -0.051 & 0.558 & 0.423 \\
124
- ETS & 0.402 & 0.537 & 0.414 & 0.240 & -0.273 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.501}} & -0.392 & 0.038 & 0.253 & 0.366 \\
125
- ARIMA & 0.427 & 0.556 & 0.446 & 0.179 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.318}} & -0.436 & -0.503 & -0.041 & 0.417 & 0.592 \\
126
- Seasonal-Naive & 0.547 & 0.469 & 0.427 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.116}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.325}} & -0.394 & -0.063 & -0.049 & 0.500 & 0.477 \\
127
  \bottomrule
128
  \end{tabular}}
129
  \end{table*}
 
7
  \toprule
8
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
9
  \midrule
10
+ Chronos-2 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{483.614}} & 11.420 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{2.830}} & 19.675 & 0.318 & 0.892 & 1.293 & 1.078 & 1.074 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{8.420}} \\
11
+ TiRex & 497.749 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{10.843}} & 2.882 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{16.958}} & 0.339 & 0.899 & 1.329 & 1.003 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{1.025}} & 9.889 \\
12
+ TimesFM-2.5 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{485.407}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{11.156}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{2.812}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{17.502}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.234}} & 0.844 & 1.332 & 1.060 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.988}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{8.711}} \\
13
+ Toto-1.0 & 1.162e+03 & 40.693 & 5.314 & 58.600 & 0.539 & 1.093 & 1.578 & 1.208 & 1.835 & 96.250 \\
14
+ Moirai-2.0 & 569.016 & 19.226 & 3.619 & 24.663 & 0.361 & 0.308 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.909}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.568}} & 1.511 & 13.782 \\
15
+ Chronos-Bolt & 802.832 & 20.359 & 3.917 & 28.495 & 0.634 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.299}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.943}} & 0.578 & 1.630 & 33.431 \\
16
+ TabPFN-TS & 716.183 & 19.586 & 3.934 & 27.656 & 0.518 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.307}} & 1.141 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.515}} & 1.538 & 20.472 \\
17
+ Sundial & 1.344e+03 & 19.184 & 4.298 & 24.235 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.294}} & 0.410 & 1.313 & 0.890 & 1.539 & 20.726 \\
18
  \midrule
19
+ Moving-Average & 774.684 & 16.576 & 3.263 & 24.945 & 0.731 & 0.808 & 2.119 & 1.285 & 1.702 & 26.906 \\
20
+ ETS & 543.172 & 18.520 & 3.176 & 23.910 & 0.865 & 0.979 & 5.053 & 0.964 & 7.677 & 28.427 \\
21
+ ARIMA & 665.233 & 15.283 & 3.271 & 26.375 & 0.731 & 0.807 & 3.096 & 0.930 & 2.616 & 29.245 \\
22
+ Seasonal-Naive & 847.250 & 18.334 & 3.983 & 28.209 & 0.755 & 0.873 & 1.500 & 1.329 & 1.373 & 53.966 \\
23
  \bottomrule
24
  \end{tabular}}
25
  \end{table*}
 
33
  \toprule
34
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
35
  \midrule
36
+ Chronos-2 & 0.010 & 0.329 & 0.565 & 0.009 & 0.469 & 0.158 & 0.043 & 0.043 & 0.043 & 0.061 \\
37
+ TiRex & 0.010 & 0.315 & 0.578 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.007}} & 0.591 & 0.164 & 0.043 & 0.038 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.042}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.057}} \\
38
+ TimesFM-2.5 & 0.010 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.314}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.493}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.008}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.283}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.145}} & 0.046 & 0.040 & 0.049 & 0.060 \\
39
+ Toto-1.0 & 0.011 & 0.333 & 0.509 & 0.010 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.426}} & 0.171 & 0.034 & 0.031 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.040}} & 0.210 \\
40
+ Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.008}} & 0.341 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.483}} & 0.009 & 0.437 & 0.178 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.031}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.031}} & 0.045 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.046}} \\
41
+ Chronos-Bolt & 0.011 & 0.364 & 0.546 & 0.010 & 0.722 & 0.176 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.030}} & 0.031 & 0.045 & 0.134 \\
42
+ TabPFN-TS & 0.010 & 0.348 & 0.556 & 0.009 & 0.547 & 0.179 & 0.035 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.026}} & 0.044 & 0.066 \\
43
+ Sundial & 0.020 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.282}} & 0.534 & 0.008 & 0.600 & 0.204 & 0.040 & 0.046 & 0.045 & 0.073 \\
44
  \midrule
45
+ Moving-Average & 0.014 & 0.477 & 0.628 & 0.011 & 1.858 & 0.158 & 0.075 & 0.067 & 0.068 & 0.200 \\
46
+ ETS & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.010}} & 0.713 & 0.585 & 0.010 & 1.340 & 0.213 & 0.176 & 0.044 & 0.321 & 0.203 \\
47
+ ARIMA & 0.014 & 0.439 & 0.580 & 0.012 & 1.378 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.155}} & 0.100 & 0.038 & 0.115 & 0.191 \\
48
+ Seasonal-Naive & 0.015 & 0.518 & 0.641 & 0.011 & 1.863 & 0.166 & 0.052 & 0.065 & 0.052 & 0.361 \\
49
  \bottomrule
50
  \end{tabular}}
51
  \end{table*}
 
59
  \toprule
60
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
61
  \midrule
62
+ Chronos-2 & 0.112 & 0.445 & 0.345 & 0.139 & 0.166 & 0.445 & 0.059 & 0.438 & 0.092 & 0.122 \\
63
+ TiRex & 0.118 & 0.436 & 0.347 & 0.139 & 0.174 & 0.428 & 0.056 & 0.408 & 0.100 & 0.118 \\
64
+ TimesFM-2.5 & 0.136 & 0.518 & 0.481 & 0.172 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.147}} & 0.505 & 0.071 & 0.499 & 0.111 & 0.161 \\
65
+ Toto-1.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.010}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.245}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.273}} & 0.010 & 0.186 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.128}} & 0.027 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.027}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.036}} & 0.132 \\
66
+ Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.008}} & 0.260 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.262}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.008}} & 0.207 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.124}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.027}} & 0.028 & 0.040 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.050}} \\
67
+ Chronos-Bolt & 0.010 & 0.272 & 0.278 & 0.010 & 0.365 & 0.129 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.027}} & 0.028 & 0.041 & 0.111 \\
68
+ TabPFN-TS & 0.010 & 0.334 & 0.371 & 0.009 & 0.339 & 0.171 & 0.036 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.026}} & 0.045 & 0.063 \\
69
+ Sundial & 0.018 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.257}} & 0.296 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.007}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.151}} & 0.164 & 0.033 & 0.039 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.040}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.054}} \\
70
  \midrule
71
+ Moving-Average & 0.107 & 0.490 & 0.348 & 0.132 & 0.597 & 0.451 & 0.106 & 0.435 & 0.178 & 0.321 \\
72
+ ETS & 0.099 & 0.829 & 0.348 & 0.111 & 0.575 & 0.516 & 0.279 & 0.301 & 0.903 & 0.323 \\
73
+ ARIMA & 0.117 & 0.457 & 0.338 & 0.117 & 0.514 & 0.458 & 0.174 & 0.345 & 0.356 & 0.284 \\
74
+ Seasonal-Naive & 0.100 & 0.583 & 0.556 & 0.114 & 0.621 & 0.569 & 0.073 & 0.416 & 0.136 & 0.731 \\
75
  \bottomrule
76
  \end{tabular}}
77
  \end{table*}
 
85
  \toprule
86
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
87
  \midrule
88
+ Chronos-2 & 7.329e+05 & 494.984 & 8.908 & 2.860e+03 & 0.271 & 3.756 & 1.756 & 27.049 & 1.953 & 129.300 \\
89
+ TiRex & 6.805e+05 & 463.452 & 8.575 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{2.414e+03}} & 0.310 & 3.479 & 1.653 & 27.449 & 1.788 & 167.781 \\
90
+ TimesFM-2.5 & 6.407e+05 & 499.814 & 8.574 & 2.685e+03 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.137}} & 3.345 & 1.964 & 27.191 & 1.673 & 133.699 \\
91
+ Toto-1.0 & 3.767e+06 & 8.411e+03 & 26.727 & 9.212e+03 & 0.653 & 7.889 & 7.376 & 3.933 & 6.619 & 8.228e+03 \\
92
+ Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{4.540e+05}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{185.713}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{5.250}} & 2.734e+03 & 0.192 & 0.088 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.375}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.737}} & 1.538 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{64.521}} \\
93
+ Chronos-Bolt & 6.818e+05 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{169.701}} & 5.282 & 3.085e+03 & 0.358 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.052}} & 1.235 & 0.981 & 2.238 & 238.712 \\
94
+ TabPFN-TS & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{4.069e+05}} & 307.897 & 5.972 & 2.749e+03 & 0.288 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.081}} & 0.928 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.701}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{1.273}} & 68.714 \\
95
+ Sundial & 1.307e+06 & 645.449 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{5.049}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{2.020e+03}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.117}} & 0.102 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.666}} & 2.253 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{1.509}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{26.124}} \\
96
  \midrule
97
+ Moving-Average & 9.664e+05 & 571.085 & 9.040 & 3.870e+03 & 1.352 & 3.555 & 5.080 & 26.020 & 2.855 & 1.196e+03 \\
98
+ ETS & 9.012e+05 & 7.217e+03 & 8.041 & 2.763e+03 & 1.431 & 4.353 & 29.082 & 26.072 & 209.632 & 1.770e+03 \\
99
+ ARIMA & 7.312e+05 & 943.393 & 8.244 & 3.046e+03 & 1.027 & 3.510 & 11.488 & 25.728 & 10.261 & 1.427e+03 \\
100
+ Seasonal-Naive & 1.002e+06 & 644.216 & 12.657 & 4.223e+03 & 1.389 & 3.750 & 2.021 & 25.672 & 1.829 & 4.084e+03 \\
101
  \bottomrule
102
  \end{tabular}}
103
  \end{table*}
 
111
  \toprule
112
  Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
113
  \midrule
114
+ Chronos-2 & 0.560 & 0.588 & 0.398 & 0.224 & -0.033 & -0.500 & -0.138 & -0.025 & 0.527 & 0.704 \\
115
+ TiRex & 0.565 & 0.545 & 0.429 & 0.242 & -0.010 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.504}} & 0.144 & -0.016 & 0.547 & 0.873 \\
116
+ TimesFM-2.5 & 0.531 & 0.548 & 0.431 & 0.247 & -0.051 & -0.428 & -0.002 & -0.034 & 0.585 & 0.479 \\
117
+ Toto-1.0 & -0.309 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.059}} & -0.273 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.072}} & 0.022 & -0.085 & 0.344 & 0.123 & 0.022 & 1.000 \\
118
+ Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.355}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.013}} & -0.351 & 0.132 & -0.028 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.639}} & -0.048 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.195}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.385}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-1.000}} \\
119
+ Chronos-Bolt & 0.090 & 0.307 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.371}} & 0.151 & 0.014 & -0.098 & -0.048 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.143}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.429}} & 1.000 \\
120
+ TabPFN-TS & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.505}} & 0.200 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.415}} & 0.121 & 0.000 & -0.237 & 0.023 & -0.086 & -0.114 & 0.333 \\
121
+ Sundial & 0.503 & 0.066 & -0.271 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.084}} & -0.080 & -0.221 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.505}} & -0.134 & -0.096 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.000}} \\
122
  \midrule
123
+ Moving-Average & 0.458 & 0.520 & 0.351 & 0.176 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.321}} & -0.395 & -0.391 & -0.081 & 0.525 & 0.423 \\
124
+ ETS & 0.345 & 0.533 & 0.374 & 0.221 & -0.267 & -0.476 & -0.379 & 0.054 & 0.296 & 0.366 \\
125
+ ARIMA & 0.393 & 0.555 & 0.414 & 0.191 & -0.313 & -0.464 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.456}} & -0.079 & 0.364 & 0.592 \\
126
+ Seasonal-Naive & 0.484 & 0.459 & 0.381 & 0.134 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.329}} & -0.419 & -0.036 & -0.074 & 0.491 & 0.477 \\
127
  \bottomrule
128
  \end{tabular}}
129
  \end{table*}