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Update complete LiveHouse paper tables tex
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paper/livehouse_up_to_now_tables.tex
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@@ -7,19 +7,19 @@
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{
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TiRex &
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TimesFM-2.5 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{
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Toto-1.0 & 1.
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Moirai-2.0 &
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Chronos-Bolt &
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TabPFN-TS &
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Sundial & 1.
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\midrule
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Moving-Average &
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ETS &
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ARIMA & 665.
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Seasonal-Naive &
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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@@ -33,19 +33,19 @@ Seasonal-Naive & 855.903 & 18.111 & 3.956 & 27.886 & 0.768 & 0.899 & 1.498 & 1.3
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 &
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TiRex & 0.010 &
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TimesFM-2.5 & 0.010 & 0.
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Toto-1.0 & 0.
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Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.
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Chronos-Bolt & 0.
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TabPFN-TS & 0.
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Sundial & 0.
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 0.014 & 0.
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ETS & 0.010 & 0.
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ARIMA & 0.014 & 0.
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Seasonal-Naive & 0.015 & 0.
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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@@ -59,19 +59,19 @@ Seasonal-Naive & 0.015 & 0.520 & 0.648 & 0.011 & 1.925 & 0.166 & 0.053 & 0.066 &
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & 0.
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TiRex & 0.
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TimesFM-2.5 & 0.
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Toto-1.0 & 0.
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Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.
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Chronos-Bolt &
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TabPFN-TS & 0.
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Sundial & 0.018 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 0.
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ETS & 0.
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ARIMA & 0.
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Seasonal-Naive & 0.
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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@@ -85,19 +85,19 @@ Seasonal-Naive & 0.104 & 0.595 & 0.566 & 0.118 & 0.634 & 0.587 & 0.075 & 0.439 &
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & 7.
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TiRex & 6.
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TimesFM-2.5 & 6.
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Toto-1.0 &
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Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{4.
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Chronos-Bolt & 6.
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TabPFN-TS & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{
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Sundial &
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 9.
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ETS & 9.
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ARIMA & 7.
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Seasonal-Naive & 1.
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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@@ -111,19 +111,19 @@ Seasonal-Naive & 1.014e+06 & 660.683 & 12.951 & 4.310e+03 & 1.408 & 3.820 & 2.07
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & 0.
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TiRex & 0.
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TimesFM-2.5 & 0.
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Toto-1.0 &
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Moirai-2.0 & -0.
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Chronos-Bolt & 0.
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TabPFN-TS & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.
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Sundial & 0.
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 0.
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ETS & 0.
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ARIMA & 0.
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Seasonal-Naive & 0.
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{483.614}} & 11.420 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{2.830}} & 19.675 & 0.318 & 0.892 & 1.293 & 1.078 & 1.074 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{8.420}} \\
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TiRex & 497.749 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{10.843}} & 2.882 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{16.958}} & 0.339 & 0.899 & 1.329 & 1.003 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{1.025}} & 9.889 \\
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TimesFM-2.5 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{485.407}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{11.156}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{2.812}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{17.502}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.234}} & 0.844 & 1.332 & 1.060 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.988}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{8.711}} \\
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Toto-1.0 & 1.162e+03 & 40.693 & 5.314 & 58.600 & 0.539 & 1.093 & 1.578 & 1.208 & 1.835 & 96.250 \\
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Moirai-2.0 & 569.016 & 19.226 & 3.619 & 24.663 & 0.361 & 0.308 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.909}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.568}} & 1.511 & 13.782 \\
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Chronos-Bolt & 802.832 & 20.359 & 3.917 & 28.495 & 0.634 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.299}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.943}} & 0.578 & 1.630 & 33.431 \\
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TabPFN-TS & 716.183 & 19.586 & 3.934 & 27.656 & 0.518 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.307}} & 1.141 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.515}} & 1.538 & 20.472 \\
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Sundial & 1.344e+03 & 19.184 & 4.298 & 24.235 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.294}} & 0.410 & 1.313 & 0.890 & 1.539 & 20.726 \\
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 774.684 & 16.576 & 3.263 & 24.945 & 0.731 & 0.808 & 2.119 & 1.285 & 1.702 & 26.906 \\
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ETS & 543.172 & 18.520 & 3.176 & 23.910 & 0.865 & 0.979 & 5.053 & 0.964 & 7.677 & 28.427 \\
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ARIMA & 665.233 & 15.283 & 3.271 & 26.375 & 0.731 & 0.807 & 3.096 & 0.930 & 2.616 & 29.245 \\
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Seasonal-Naive & 847.250 & 18.334 & 3.983 & 28.209 & 0.755 & 0.873 & 1.500 & 1.329 & 1.373 & 53.966 \\
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & 0.010 & 0.329 & 0.565 & 0.009 & 0.469 & 0.158 & 0.043 & 0.043 & 0.043 & 0.061 \\
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TiRex & 0.010 & 0.315 & 0.578 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.007}} & 0.591 & 0.164 & 0.043 & 0.038 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.042}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.057}} \\
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TimesFM-2.5 & 0.010 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.314}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.493}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.008}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.283}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.145}} & 0.046 & 0.040 & 0.049 & 0.060 \\
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Toto-1.0 & 0.011 & 0.333 & 0.509 & 0.010 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.426}} & 0.171 & 0.034 & 0.031 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.040}} & 0.210 \\
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Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.008}} & 0.341 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.483}} & 0.009 & 0.437 & 0.178 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.031}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.031}} & 0.045 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.046}} \\
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Chronos-Bolt & 0.011 & 0.364 & 0.546 & 0.010 & 0.722 & 0.176 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.030}} & 0.031 & 0.045 & 0.134 \\
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TabPFN-TS & 0.010 & 0.348 & 0.556 & 0.009 & 0.547 & 0.179 & 0.035 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.026}} & 0.044 & 0.066 \\
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Sundial & 0.020 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.282}} & 0.534 & 0.008 & 0.600 & 0.204 & 0.040 & 0.046 & 0.045 & 0.073 \\
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 0.014 & 0.477 & 0.628 & 0.011 & 1.858 & 0.158 & 0.075 & 0.067 & 0.068 & 0.200 \\
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ETS & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.010}} & 0.713 & 0.585 & 0.010 & 1.340 & 0.213 & 0.176 & 0.044 & 0.321 & 0.203 \\
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ARIMA & 0.014 & 0.439 & 0.580 & 0.012 & 1.378 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.155}} & 0.100 & 0.038 & 0.115 & 0.191 \\
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Seasonal-Naive & 0.015 & 0.518 & 0.641 & 0.011 & 1.863 & 0.166 & 0.052 & 0.065 & 0.052 & 0.361 \\
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & 0.112 & 0.445 & 0.345 & 0.139 & 0.166 & 0.445 & 0.059 & 0.438 & 0.092 & 0.122 \\
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TiRex & 0.118 & 0.436 & 0.347 & 0.139 & 0.174 & 0.428 & 0.056 & 0.408 & 0.100 & 0.118 \\
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TimesFM-2.5 & 0.136 & 0.518 & 0.481 & 0.172 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.147}} & 0.505 & 0.071 & 0.499 & 0.111 & 0.161 \\
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Toto-1.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.010}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.245}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.273}} & 0.010 & 0.186 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.128}} & 0.027 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.027}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.036}} & 0.132 \\
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Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.008}} & 0.260 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.262}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.008}} & 0.207 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.124}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.027}} & 0.028 & 0.040 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.050}} \\
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Chronos-Bolt & 0.010 & 0.272 & 0.278 & 0.010 & 0.365 & 0.129 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.027}} & 0.028 & 0.041 & 0.111 \\
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TabPFN-TS & 0.010 & 0.334 & 0.371 & 0.009 & 0.339 & 0.171 & 0.036 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.026}} & 0.045 & 0.063 \\
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Sundial & 0.018 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.257}} & 0.296 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.007}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.151}} & 0.164 & 0.033 & 0.039 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.040}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.054}} \\
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 0.107 & 0.490 & 0.348 & 0.132 & 0.597 & 0.451 & 0.106 & 0.435 & 0.178 & 0.321 \\
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ETS & 0.099 & 0.829 & 0.348 & 0.111 & 0.575 & 0.516 & 0.279 & 0.301 & 0.903 & 0.323 \\
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ARIMA & 0.117 & 0.457 & 0.338 & 0.117 & 0.514 & 0.458 & 0.174 & 0.345 & 0.356 & 0.284 \\
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Seasonal-Naive & 0.100 & 0.583 & 0.556 & 0.114 & 0.621 & 0.569 & 0.073 & 0.416 & 0.136 & 0.731 \\
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & 7.329e+05 & 494.984 & 8.908 & 2.860e+03 & 0.271 & 3.756 & 1.756 & 27.049 & 1.953 & 129.300 \\
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TiRex & 6.805e+05 & 463.452 & 8.575 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{2.414e+03}} & 0.310 & 3.479 & 1.653 & 27.449 & 1.788 & 167.781 \\
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TimesFM-2.5 & 6.407e+05 & 499.814 & 8.574 & 2.685e+03 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.137}} & 3.345 & 1.964 & 27.191 & 1.673 & 133.699 \\
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Toto-1.0 & 3.767e+06 & 8.411e+03 & 26.727 & 9.212e+03 & 0.653 & 7.889 & 7.376 & 3.933 & 6.619 & 8.228e+03 \\
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Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{4.540e+05}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{185.713}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{5.250}} & 2.734e+03 & 0.192 & 0.088 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.375}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.737}} & 1.538 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{64.521}} \\
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Chronos-Bolt & 6.818e+05 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{169.701}} & 5.282 & 3.085e+03 & 0.358 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.052}} & 1.235 & 0.981 & 2.238 & 238.712 \\
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TabPFN-TS & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{4.069e+05}} & 307.897 & 5.972 & 2.749e+03 & 0.288 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.081}} & 0.928 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.701}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{1.273}} & 68.714 \\
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Sundial & 1.307e+06 & 645.449 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{5.049}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{2.020e+03}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.117}} & 0.102 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.666}} & 2.253 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{1.509}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{26.124}} \\
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 9.664e+05 & 571.085 & 9.040 & 3.870e+03 & 1.352 & 3.555 & 5.080 & 26.020 & 2.855 & 1.196e+03 \\
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ETS & 9.012e+05 & 7.217e+03 & 8.041 & 2.763e+03 & 1.431 & 4.353 & 29.082 & 26.072 & 209.632 & 1.770e+03 \\
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ARIMA & 7.312e+05 & 943.393 & 8.244 & 3.046e+03 & 1.027 & 3.510 & 11.488 & 25.728 & 10.261 & 1.427e+03 \\
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Seasonal-Naive & 1.002e+06 & 644.216 & 12.657 & 4.223e+03 & 1.389 & 3.750 & 2.021 & 25.672 & 1.829 & 4.084e+03 \\
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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\toprule
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Model & BTC & PM2.5 & Quake & Potomac & Water & Wave & T2M & KSFO & Temp2m & Wiki \\
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\midrule
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Chronos-2 & 0.560 & 0.588 & 0.398 & 0.224 & -0.033 & -0.500 & -0.138 & -0.025 & 0.527 & 0.704 \\
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TiRex & 0.565 & 0.545 & 0.429 & 0.242 & -0.010 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.504}} & 0.144 & -0.016 & 0.547 & 0.873 \\
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TimesFM-2.5 & 0.531 & 0.548 & 0.431 & 0.247 & -0.051 & -0.428 & -0.002 & -0.034 & 0.585 & 0.479 \\
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Toto-1.0 & -0.309 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.059}} & -0.273 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{0.072}} & 0.022 & -0.085 & 0.344 & 0.123 & 0.022 & 1.000 \\
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Moirai-2.0 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.355}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.013}} & -0.351 & 0.132 & -0.028 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.639}} & -0.048 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.195}} & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.385}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-1.000}} \\
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Chronos-Bolt & 0.090 & 0.307 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.371}} & 0.151 & 0.014 & -0.098 & -0.048 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.143}} & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.429}} & 1.000 \\
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TabPFN-TS & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.505}} & 0.200 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.415}} & 0.121 & 0.000 & -0.237 & 0.023 & -0.086 & -0.114 & 0.333 \\
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Sundial & 0.503 & 0.066 & -0.271 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.084}} & -0.080 & -0.221 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.505}} & -0.134 & -0.096 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{0.000}} \\
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\midrule
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Moving-Average & 0.458 & 0.520 & 0.351 & 0.176 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.321}} & -0.395 & -0.391 & -0.081 & 0.525 & 0.423 \\
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ETS & 0.345 & 0.533 & 0.374 & 0.221 & -0.267 & -0.476 & -0.379 & 0.054 & 0.296 & 0.366 \\
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ARIMA & 0.393 & 0.555 & 0.414 & 0.191 & -0.313 & -0.464 & \textcolor{blue}{\underline{-0.456}} & -0.079 & 0.364 & 0.592 \\
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Seasonal-Naive & 0.484 & 0.459 & 0.381 & 0.134 & \textcolor{red}{\textbf{-0.329}} & -0.419 & -0.036 & -0.074 & 0.491 & 0.477 \\
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\bottomrule
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\end{tabular}}
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\end{table*}
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