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<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width,initial-scale=1">
<title>Abu Dhabi needs pickleball courts: the case from 16 months of play</title>
</head>
<body>
<nav class="sitenav"><a href="stats.html">Full group analysis &rarr;</a></nav>
<style>.sitenav{max-width:980px;margin:0 auto 1.4rem;font:600 .78rem/1 system-ui,-apple-system,sans-serif;
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</style>

<div class="wrap">
<header>
  <p class="eyebrow">Abu Dhabi Pickleball Club &middot; a case for public courts</p>
  <h1>The players are here. Dedicated <span class="mark">courts</span> are not.</h1>
  <p class="lede">Pickleball is a paddle sport, usually played in doubles on a court
  about a quarter the size of a tennis court. It arrived in Abu Dhabi as one
  Tuesday morning pickup game in April 2025. Sixteen months later, the club has
  <b>505 players</b>, coordinating play across five borrowed venues, none of
  them built for the sport and none of them the club's own. The group's scheduling
  data shows the demand already here.</p>
</header>

<div class="stats">
  <div class="stat"><span class="k">Players</span><span class="v">505</span><span class="n">up from <b>13</b> founder members</span></div>
  <div class="stat"><span class="k">Joining now</span><span class="v">48<span style="font-size:.9rem">/mo</span></span><span class="n">the last 200 members joined in about 4 months</span></div>
  <div class="stat"><span class="k">Sessions run</span><span class="v">253</span><span class="n">scheduled by the club</span></div>
  <div class="stat"><span class="k">Sign-ups</span><span class="v">3,199</span><span class="n">13 per session on average</span></div>
  <div class="stat"><span class="k">Venues used</span><span class="v">5</span><span class="n">none of them ours</span></div>
</div>

<section class="ev">
  <div class="evhead">
    <p class="eyebrow">Evidence 01 &middot; Growth</p>
    <h2>Membership has grown every month, and growth is getting faster</h2>
  </div>
  <div class="panel">
    <p class="psub">Members in the group, every day since it opened on
      20&nbsp;April&nbsp;2025. Dots mark each hundredth member; the brackets underneath
      show how many days each hundred took to arrive.</p>
    <div class="figbox wide"><svg id="c1" viewBox="0 0 900 320" role="img"
      aria-label="Membership rises without interruption from 14 members in April 2025 to
      505 in August 2026. The curve steepens from March 2026 onward."></svg></div>
  </div>
  <p class="prose">In sixteen months membership has never once shrunk on a
  month-over-month basis: people join, a few leave, but every month has ended
  higher than it started. Growth is getting faster. The next 200 people joined
  in about half the time:</p>
  <div class="compare">
    <div class="cbox">
      <span class="cn">Members 100 &rarr; 300</span>
      <span class="cv">24<span class="cu">/mo</span></span>
      <span class="cr">249 days, just over 8 months (117 then 132, shown above)</span>
    </div>
    <div class="arrow"><span class="x">2&times;</span>the pace</div>
    <div class="cbox now">
      <span class="cn">Members 300 &rarr; 500 &middot; now</span>
      <span class="cv">48<span class="cu">/mo</span></span>
      <span class="cr">126 days, about 4 months (55 then 71, shown above)</span>
    </div>
  </div>
  <div class="panel">
    <p class="psub">Net members added each month: <b>joined</b> minus
      <b>left</b>. A taller bar means more members were added.</p>
    <div class="figbox wide"><svg id="c2" viewBox="0 0 900 250" role="img"
      aria-label="Monthly net growth ran between 12 and 44 members through 2025, dipped
      to 11 in March 2026, then jumped to 43, 73, 45 and 42 in the four months after."></svg></div>
  </div>
  <p class="prose">The slower months, from September to December 2025 and in February
  and March 2026, were also the months with the fewest organised sessions. This points
  to a shortage of court time, rather than a lack of interest.</p>
</section>

<section class="ev">
  <div class="evhead">
    <p class="eyebrow">Evidence 02 &middot; Utilisation</p>
    <h2>Sessions are increasing faster than membership, but places are limited</h2>
  </div>
  <div class="panel">
    <p class="psub">Four terms are used below. Each one is a count of something
      in the message record, not an estimate.</p>
    <dl class="terms">
      <div><dt>Organised session</dt>
        <dd>A scheduling poll posted in the group naming a day, a venue and usually a
          time. <b>253</b> were found. Games arranged by phone, in person, or in side chats
          are not counted, so 253 is a minimum, not the total.</dd></div>
      <div><dt>Sign-up</dt>
        <dd>One member voting on one of those polls. There were <b>3,199</b> votes, an
          average of <b>12.6</b> per session. The busiest session had <b>47</b>.</dd></div>
      <div><dt>Active member</dt>
        <dd>A member who posted at least once in a given month: <b>10</b> in April 2025,
          <b>131</b> in May 2026.</dd></div>
      <div><dt>At capacity</dt>
        <dd>A session slot with a player limit, usually &ldquo;max 12 members,&rdquo; where
          sign-ups reached or passed that limit.</dd></div>
    </dl>
  </div>
  <div class="panel">
    <div class="figbox wide"><svg id="c3" viewBox="0 0 900 260" role="img"
      aria-label="Monthly organised sessions rose from 1 in June 2025 to a peak of 46 in
      May 2026, holding near 40 per month since."></svg></div>
    <div class="method">
      <p class="h">Reading the dip</p>
      <p>Sessions fall away between November 2025 and March 2026 while the group itself
        stayed busy, with <b>561</b> to <b>1,192</b> messages a month in that period. Play
        was being arranged through recurring pinned posts rather than fresh polls, so the
        poll count misses that period rather than showing a real lull in play.</p>
    </div>
  </div>
  <ol class="chain">
    <li><p><b>The schedule grew 40 times over.</b> One organised session in June 2025;
      <b>46</b> in May 2026; <b>39</b> in each of the three months since. That is better
      than one session a day, every day, on courts borrowed from other sports.</p></li>
    <li><p><b>It isn't just more members.</b> Measured against the size of the group, the
      schedule still grew six times over: <b>1.3</b> sessions per 100 members in June
      2025, <b>7.9</b> per 100 in July 2026. Members joined fast; play per member rose
      faster.</p></li>
    <li><p><b>Each session is a crowd, not a casual hit.</b> The average session collects
      <b>12.6</b> sign-ups. A pickleball court holds four players. On average, that is
      enough people for three courts at the venues the group can borrow.</p></li>
    <li><p><b>The limit is already binding.</b> Of <b>129</b> session slots that stated a
      player cap, <b>26</b> filled it exactly and <b>15</b> went over it. In those cases,
      people signed up after the organiser had announced the limit. Waitlists are
      mentioned <b>116</b> times and published as numbered lists <b>68</b> times.</p></li>
  </ol>
  <p class="prose">Membership numbers alone do not show who wants to play. The group
  uses player caps, numbered sign-up sheets, and waitlists &ldquo;in case someone drops out.&rdquo;
  These are clear signs that the number of available courts limits play.</p>
</section>

<section class="ev" id="evidence-03">
  <div class="evhead">
    <p class="eyebrow">Evidence 03 &middot; The limit</p>
    <h2>Play is squeezed into the hours the climate allows</h2>
  </div>
  <div class="panel">
    <p class="psub"><b>368 session slots</b> with a stated start time, from <b>20&nbsp;April
      2025 &ndash; 8&nbsp;August 2026</b>, were read from 253 polls. Some polls
      offer several slots at once. <a href="#fn-times" class="fnref">How
      that's counted &darr;</a>.</p>
    <p class="psub" style="margin-top:.6rem">This counts every hour a session was actually
      running, not just the hour it started. For example, a 7:30&ndash;9:30pm slot counts toward
      both 7pm and 8pm. That shows how many sessions were happening at once, through the
      day. A slot with no stated end is assumed to run 2 hours.</p>
    <div class="figbox wide"><svg id="c4" viewBox="0 0 900 290" role="img"
      aria-label="Sessions running by hour of day, 20 April 2025 to 8 August 2026: activity
      climbs from a 6am cluster of 37 to a peak of 165 around 7pm, staying high from 5pm to
      10pm before dropping off. Almost nothing runs between 10am and 4pm, and nothing
      between midnight and 5am."></svg></div>
  </div>
  <p class="prose">The community mainly plays in two short time periods.
  <b>320 of 368 slots (87%) start at 5pm or later</b>, and another
  <b>44</b> start between 5 and 9 in the morning. Just <b>4</b> fall anywhere
  between 10am and 4pm, and that is forced by the weather, not a preference:
  from May to September an uncovered court in Abu Dhabi is unplayable in the middle
  of the day. Both of the windows the group actually uses are windows in which an
  unlit, unshaded court is worth very little.</p>
</section>

<section class="ev">
  <div class="evhead">
    <p class="eyebrow">Evidence 04 &middot; The venues</p>
    <h2>Every court is borrowed, and none were built for this</h2>
  </div>
  <div class="panel">
    <p class="psub">Sessions naming each venue in its scheduling poll. A
      relocated session can name two venues, so these do not sum to 253.</p>
    <dl class="terms">
      <div><dt>Sadim Park</dt><dd><b>165</b> sessions</dd></div>
      <div><dt>Al Masar Park</dt><dd><b>76</b> sessions</dd></div>
      <div><dt>Raheeq Park</dt><dd><b>21</b> sessions</dd></div>
      <div><dt>Al Zuwar</dt><dd><b>6</b> sessions</dd></div>
      <div><dt>Masdar Park</dt><dd><b>2</b> sessions</dd></div>
    </dl>
  </div>
  <ol class="chain">
    <li><p><b>Two venues carry almost all of it, and neither was built for
      pickleball.</b> Sadim and Al Masar between them cover the large majority
      of named sessions; Al Masar&rsquo;s court is a tennis court used for pickleball
      instead, and other courts have been found by searching out unused park courts
      and taping pickleball lines onto them.</p></li>
    <li><p><b>The lights aren&rsquo;t the club&rsquo;s to keep.</b> Sadim is
      floodlit, and games there have run past midnight under the lights. The
      floodlights belong to the park, not the club. When officials
      switched off lighting across Khalifa City&rsquo;s parks for over a week
      (24&nbsp;March&ndash;1&nbsp;April&nbsp;2026), evening sessions at Sadim
      and Al Masar went dark together regardless of what the poll said, and
      organisers spent the week routing players to whichever park still had
      power.</p></li>
    <li><p><b>Weather closes the same two venues just as fast.</b> Rain has
      taken out Sadim and Al Masar together too, damaging the court surface
      and forcing a same-day move between them. Neither closure is something
      the club has any say over.</p></li>
    <li><p><b>Nothing is permanent.</b> Nets and paddles are hand-carried in
      and packed up every session, and play gets relocated whenever the
      borrowed court is already occupied by other park users.</p></li>
  </ol>
</section>

<div class="ask">
  <h3>What would change with dedicated courts</h3>
  <ul class="asklist">
    <li><span class="n">01</span><p><b>Lighting the club controls.</b> 87% of session
      slots start after 5pm, and the single most common start time is 7pm, in the dark.
      Borrowed floodlights work until a park operator switches them off. This happened
      across Khalifa City for over a week in March 2026, and the club could not change it.</p></li>
    <li><span class="n">02</span><p><b>Shaded or covered play.</b> Four session slots out
      of 368 in the 10am&ndash;4pm window is not a preference, it is heat. Shading existing
      courts converts six dead hours a day into usable ones without building a new
      facility.</p></li>
    <li><span class="n">03</span><p><b>Enough courts to stop capping sessions.</b>
      Organisers are already turning players away at 12 per slot, with published
      waitlists. Play is spread across five borrowed venues; a single permanent
      home would bring together a community that has grown from 13 members at the
      start to 505 in sixteen months.</p></li>
  </ul>
</div>

<div class="note">
  <h3>About this data</h3>
  <p>Everything here is drawn from the exported message history of a single
  community WhatsApp group, from 20 April 2025 to 8 August 2026. It contains 38,166 lines,
  13,609 messages written by members, and 943 membership events. No message
  content and no member&rsquo;s identity appears anywhere on this page. Every figure is a
  count, not a quote. Membership is
  built up from every add, invite, leave and removal event; this method comes out
  five above the <b>505</b> members WhatsApp itself reports, a difference in how
  the group&rsquo;s first members are counted, and 505 is the figure used
  here.</p>
  <p>Sessions are counted as scheduling polls posted in the group, which misses play
  arranged by other means and misses more of it between November 2025 and March 2026.
  Sign-ups are votes cast on those polls; a vote is a stated plan to attend, not a
  count of who actually showed up. Session start times show when play was <i>planned</i>,
  which is the closest available measure of when it happened. See below for how times
  are read. Venues are counted when one of five known place names, the parks this
  group has used, appears in a session&rsquo;s poll text. A session can
  name more than one when play was moved.</p>
  <p id="fn-times">How session start times are read: most polls give one time for the
  whole session. But 80 of the 253 polls, almost all from 30&nbsp;April 2026, when
  evening polls began listing 5:30pm, 7:30pm and 9:30pm as separate choices in the same
  poll, give more than one time. Each choice is counted as its own slot with
  its own sign-ups, instead of the whole poll being counted once. Of the 368 slots with a
  stated time: 163 give a clock time with am or pm (&ldquo;7&ndash;9:30pm&rdquo;) and are
  used exactly as written; 205 give a plain range such as &ldquo;7 to 9.30&rdquo; together
  with the word <i>morning</i> or <i>night</i>, often in the poll&rsquo;s own title
  (&ldquo;SADIM NIGHT&rdquo;) rather than in the choice itself. This shows which
  one it is. A further 17 polls name a time of day only (&ldquo;Sunday morning&rdquo;,
  &ldquo;under the lights&rdquo;) with no clock time, and 39 give no time at all; neither
  group appears on the chart. Numbers that are not times are taken out first: dates,
  scores, and player limits (&ldquo;MAX 12 MEMBERS&rdquo;). An earlier version of
  this count included those numbers and wrongly showed games starting at 3 and 4 in the
  morning. No session slot in the record actually starts later than 9pm or before 5am;
  the 9pm cluster is real and repeats often, not a mistake. The chart above counts a
  slot in every hour it runs, not just the hour it starts: when a poll states an end
  time that's used directly (&ldquo;7&ndash;9:30pm&rdquo; runs through the 7 and 8
  o&rsquo;clock hours); when only a start is given, the slot is assumed to run 2 hours,
  matching all but a handful of the sessions that do state both ends.
  <a href="#evidence-03" class="fnref">Back to the chart &uarr;</a></p>
  <p>This is one group, not a full count of everyone who plays the sport in Abu Dhabi.
  Other clubs and informal play are not included, so these figures should be
  read as the least demand could be, not the whole picture. August 2026 covers eight
  days and is drawn
  dashed. Every figure on this page is produced by <code>analysis/extract.py</code>
  in the Space repository, run against the export.</p>
</div>
</div>
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    const b = svg.getBoundingClientRect();
    const i = Math.max(0, Math.min(DAILY.length - 1,
      Math.round(((e.clientX - b.left) / b.width * 900 - L) / pw * (DAILY.length - 1))));
    cross.setAttribute("x1", X(i)); cross.setAttribute("x2", X(i)); cross.setAttribute("opacity", 1);
    dot.setAttribute("cx", X(i)); dot.setAttribute("cy", Y(DAILY[i])); dot.setAttribute("opacity", 1);
    showTip(e, "<b>" + dayLabel(i) + "</b><div class='r'><span>Members</span><i>" +
      DAILY[i] + "</i></div>");
  });
  hit.addEventListener("pointerleave", () => { hideTip();
    cross.setAttribute("opacity", 0); dot.setAttribute("opacity", 0); });
  svg.append(hit);
})();

/* --- 2. net members added each month --- */
(function () {
  const svg = document.getElementById("c2");
  const W = 900, H = 250, L = 42, R = 16, T = 26, B = 40;
  const pw = W - L - R, ph = H - T - B, max = 80;
  const Y = v => T + ph - v / max * ph;
  const band = pw / M.length, bw = Math.min(26, band - 8);

  for (let v = 0; v <= max; v += 20) {
    svg.append(el("line", { x1: L, x2: L + pw, y1: Y(v), y2: Y(v),
      stroke: "var(--grid)", "stroke-width": 1 }));
    const t = el("text", { x: L - 8, y: Y(v) + 4, "text-anchor": "end", class: "tick" });
    t.textContent = v; svg.append(t);
  }
  svg.append(el("line", { x1: L, x2: L + pw, y1: Y(0), y2: Y(0),
    stroke: "var(--axis)", "stroke-width": 1 }));

  M.forEach((m, i) => {
    const net = m.joined - m.left, part = i === PARTIAL;
    const x = L + i * band + (band - bw) / 2;
    const d = bar(x, bw, Y(0), Y(net), 4);
    if (d) svg.append(el("path", { d, fill: part ? "none" : "var(--series)",
      stroke: part ? "var(--series)" : "none", "stroke-width": part ? 1.5 : 0,
      "stroke-dasharray": part ? "3 2" : "" }));
    const v = el("text", { x: x + bw / 2, y: Y(net) - 7, "text-anchor": "middle",
      class: net >= 40 ? "dlabel" : "slabel" });
    v.textContent = "+" + net; v.setAttribute("opacity", part ? .55 : 1); svg.append(v);
    const t = el("text", { x: x + bw / 2, y: H - 18, "text-anchor": "middle", class: "tick" });
    t.textContent = fmtM(m.month).split(" ")[0];
    t.setAttribute("opacity", part ? .55 : 1); svg.append(t);
    if (i === 0 || m.month.endsWith("-01")) {
      const y2 = el("text", { x: x + bw / 2, y: H - 5, "text-anchor": "middle", class: "tick" });
      y2.textContent = "20" + m.month.slice(2, 4); svg.append(y2);
    }
    const hit = el("rect", { x: L + i * band, y: T, width: band, height: ph, fill: "transparent" });
    hit.addEventListener("pointermove", e => showTip(e, "<b>" + fmtM(m.month) +
      (part ? " (8 days)" : "") + "</b><div class='r'><span>Joined</span><i>+" + m.joined +
      "</i></div><div class='r'><span>Left</span><i>&minus;" + m.left +
      "</i></div><div class='r'><span>Net</span><i>+" + net +
      "</i></div><div class='r'><span>Roster</span><i>" + m.members + "</i></div>"));
    hit.addEventListener("pointerleave", hideTip); svg.append(hit);
  });
})();

/* --- 3. organised sessions per month --- */
(function () {
  const svg = document.getElementById("c3");
  const W = 900, H = 260, L = 42, R = 16, T = 22, B = 40;
  const pw = W - L - R, ph = H - T - B, max = 50;
  const Y = v => T + ph - v / max * ph;
  const band = pw / POLLS.length, bw = Math.min(24, band - 8);

  for (let v = 0; v <= max; v += 10) {
    svg.append(el("line", { x1: L, x2: L + pw, y1: Y(v), y2: Y(v),
      stroke: "var(--grid)", "stroke-width": 1 }));
    const t = el("text", { x: L - 8, y: Y(v) + 4, "text-anchor": "end", class: "tick" });
    t.textContent = v; svg.append(t);
  }
  svg.append(el("line", { x1: L, x2: L + pw, y1: Y(0), y2: Y(0),
    stroke: "var(--axis)", "stroke-width": 1 }));

  POLLS.forEach((p, i) => {
    const x = L + i * band + (band - bw) / 2, part = i === PARTIAL;
    const d = bar(x, bw, Y(0), Y(p.n), 4);
    if (d) svg.append(el("path", { d, fill: part ? "none" : "var(--series)",
      stroke: part ? "var(--series)" : "none", "stroke-width": part ? 1.5 : 0,
      "stroke-dasharray": part ? "3 2" : "" }));
    const t = el("text", { x: x + bw / 2, y: H - 18, "text-anchor": "middle", class: "tick" });
    t.textContent = fmtM(p.month).split(" ")[0];
    t.setAttribute("opacity", part ? .55 : 1); svg.append(t);
    if (i === 0 || p.month.endsWith("-01")) {
      const y2 = el("text", { x: x + bw / 2, y: H - 5, "text-anchor": "middle", class: "tick" });
      y2.textContent = "20" + p.month.slice(2, 4); svg.append(y2);
    }
    if (p.n === 46) {
      const v = el("text", { x: x + bw / 2, y: Y(p.n) - 9, "text-anchor": "middle", class: "dlabel" });
      v.textContent = "46"; svg.append(v);
    }
    const hit = el("rect", { x: L + i * band, y: T, width: band, height: ph, fill: "transparent" });
    hit.addEventListener("pointermove", e => showTip(e, "<b>" + fmtM(p.month) +
      (part ? " (8 days)" : "") + "</b><div class='r'><span>Sessions</span><i>" + p.n +
      "</i></div><div class='r'><span>Members</span><i>" + M[i].members +
      "</i></div><div class='r'><span>Per 100 members</span><i>" +
      (100 * p.n / M[i].members).toFixed(1) + "</i></div>"));
    hit.addEventListener("pointerleave", hideTip); svg.append(hit);
  });
})();

/* --- 4. session slots by start hour: sign-ups (bars) + slot count (line) --- */
(function () {
  const svg = document.getElementById("c4");
  const W = 900, H = 290, L = 42, R = 16, T = 40, B = 44;
  const pw = W - L - R, ph = H - T - B, max = 180, step = 30;
  const Y = v => T + ph - v / max * ph;
  const X = h => L + (h + 0.5) * pw / 24;
  const total = RUNNING.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0);

  svg.append(el("rect", { x: L + 10 * pw / 24, y: T, width: 7 * pw / 24, height: ph, fill: "var(--band)" }));
  const bandN = RUNNING.slice(10, 17).reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0);
  const bl = el("text", { x: L + 13.5 * pw / 24, y: T - 20, "text-anchor": "middle", class: "anno" });
  bl.textContent = "under way 10am to 4pm: " + bandN + " of " + total.toLocaleString() + " hours"; svg.append(bl);

  for (let v = 0; v <= max; v += step) {
    svg.append(el("line", { x1: L, x2: L + pw, y1: Y(v), y2: Y(v),
      stroke: "var(--grid)", "stroke-width": 1 }));
    const t = el("text", { x: L - 8, y: Y(v) + 4, "text-anchor": "end", class: "tick" });
    t.textContent = v; svg.append(t);
  }
  svg.append(el("line", { x1: L, x2: L + pw, y1: Y(0), y2: Y(0),
    stroke: "var(--axis)", "stroke-width": 1 }));

  const pts = RUNNING.map((n, h) => X(h) + "," + Y(n)).join(" ");
  svg.append(el("path", { d: "M" + X(0) + "," + Y(0) + " L" + pts.replace(/ /g, " L") +
    " L" + X(23) + "," + Y(0) + " Z", fill: "var(--wash)" }));
  svg.append(el("polyline", { points: pts, fill: "none", stroke: "var(--series)",
    "stroke-width": 2.2, "stroke-linejoin": "round" }));

  RUNNING.forEach((n, h) => {
    if (h % 3 === 0) {
      const t = el("text", { x: X(h), y: H - 22, "text-anchor": "middle", class: "tick" });
      t.textContent = hLab(h); svg.append(t);
    }
    const bw = pw / 24;
    const hit = el("rect", { x: L + h * bw, y: T, width: bw, height: ph, fill: "transparent" });
    hit.addEventListener("pointermove", e => showTip(e, "<b>" + hLab(h) + "</b>" +
      "<div class='r'><span>Sessions under way</span><i>" + n + "</i></div>" +
      "<div class='r'><span>Share of the day&rsquo;s court hours</span><i>" +
      (100 * n / total).toFixed(1) + "%</i></div>"));
    hit.addEventListener("pointerleave", hideTip); svg.append(hit);
  });

  [6, 19].forEach(h => {
    const t = el("text", { x: X(h), y: Y(RUNNING[h]) - 10,
      "text-anchor": "middle", class: "dlabel" });
    t.textContent = hLab(h) + ": " + RUNNING[h]; svg.append(t);
  });

  const ax = el("text", { x: L + pw / 2, y: H - 5, "text-anchor": "middle", class: "tick" });
  ax.textContent = "hour of the day"; svg.append(ax);
})();
</script>

</body>
</html>