File size: 12,263 Bytes
0cfd2fc
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
"""Explainability module using SHAP and permutation importance."""

from __future__ import annotations

import warnings
from typing import Dict, Tuple, List, Any, Optional

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import shap
from sklearn.inspection import permutation_importance
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

warnings.filterwarnings("ignore")


class ExplainabilityAnalyzer:
    """Analyzes model predictions and feature importance."""

    def __init__(self, model, X_train, X_test, feature_names: List[str]):
        """
        Args:
            model: Trained model
            X_train: Training features (numpy / pandas / sparse)
            X_test: Test features (numpy / pandas / sparse)
            feature_names: Feature names aligned with model input space
        """
        self.model = model
        self.feature_names = feature_names

        self.X_train = self._to_dense_2d(X_train)
        self.X_test = self._to_dense_2d(X_test)

        self.explainer: Optional[Any] = None
        self.use_fallback: bool = False

        # lazily computed cache (optional)
        self._global_shap_cached: bool = False
        self._global_shap_values: Optional[Any] = None  # can be array/list/Explanation

        self._init_explainer()

    # -------------------------
    # Utilities
    # -------------------------
    def _to_dense_2d(self, X) -> np.ndarray:
        """Convert DataFrame / numpy / sparse matrix to a dense 2D numpy array."""
        if isinstance(X, pd.DataFrame):
            X = X.to_numpy()
        elif hasattr(X, "toarray"):  # scipy sparse
            X = X.toarray()
        else:
            X = np.asarray(X)

        if X.ndim == 1:
            X = X.reshape(-1, 1)
        return X

    def _is_tree_model(self) -> bool:
        return hasattr(self.model, "estimators_") or hasattr(self.model, "tree_")

    def _is_linear_model(self) -> bool:
        return hasattr(self.model, "coef_")

    def _background_sample(self, X: np.ndarray, n: int = 100) -> np.ndarray:
        """Sample background rows for Kernel/Linear explainers."""
        if X.shape[0] <= n:
            return X
        idx = np.random.choice(X.shape[0], n, replace=False)
        return X[idx]

    def _predict_fn(self):
        """
        For classification: explain P(class=1) if possible.
        For regression: explain predicted value.
        """
        if hasattr(self.model, "predict_proba"):
            return lambda X: self.model.predict_proba(X)[:, 1]
        return lambda X: self.model.predict(X)

    def _init_explainer(self) -> None:
        """Initialize best available SHAP explainer for this model."""
        try:
            if self._is_tree_model():
                # Fast + stable for tree-based models
                self.explainer = shap.TreeExplainer(self.model)
                return

            if self._is_linear_model():
                # Good for linear/logistic
                bg = self._background_sample(self.X_train, n=200)
                # For some SHAP versions, feature_names parameter here may not exist; keep safe
                try:
                    self.explainer = shap.LinearExplainer(self.model, bg, feature_names=self.feature_names)
                except TypeError:
                    self.explainer = shap.LinearExplainer(self.model, bg)
                return

            # Fallback: KernelExplainer (slow)
            bg = self._background_sample(self.X_train, n=50)
            self.explainer = shap.KernelExplainer(self._predict_fn(), bg)

        except Exception as e:
            print(
                f"Warning: Could not create SHAP explainer ({type(e).__name__}: {e}). "
                "Using permutation importance fallback."
            )
            self.explainer = None
            self.use_fallback = True

    # -------------------------
    # Permutation importance
    # -------------------------
    def get_feature_importance_permutation(
        self, y_true: np.ndarray, scoring: str = "accuracy"
    ) -> Dict[str, float]:
        """Calculate permutation importance."""
        try:
            result = permutation_importance(
                self.model,
                self.X_test,
                y_true,
                n_repeats=10,
                random_state=42,
                scoring=scoring,
                n_jobs=-1,
            )
            importance_dict = dict(zip(self.feature_names, result.importances_mean))
            return dict(sorted(importance_dict.items(), key=lambda x: x[1], reverse=True))
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"Error calculating permutation importance: {e}")
            return {}

    # -------------------------
    # SHAP helpers
    # -------------------------
    def _compute_shap_for_row(self, x_row: np.ndarray) -> Tuple[Optional[np.ndarray], Optional[float]]:
        """
        Returns:
          shap_values_vector: shape (n_features,)
          base_value: float or None
        """
        if self.explainer is None:
            return None, None

        # Try modern SHAP API: explainer(X) -> shap.Explanation
        try:
            exp = self.explainer(x_row)
            if hasattr(exp, "values"):
                values = exp.values
                base = getattr(exp, "base_values", None)

                # values can be (1, n_features) or (1, n_features, classes)
                values = np.asarray(values)

                # base can be scalar or array-like
                base_val = None
                if base is not None:
                    base_arr = np.asarray(base)
                    # could be shape (1,) or (1, classes)
                    base_val = float(base_arr.flatten()[0])

                # reduce to 1D
                if values.ndim == 3:
                    # (1, n_features, classes) -> take class 1 if exists else class 0
                    cls_idx = 1 if values.shape[2] > 1 else 0
                    v = values[0, :, cls_idx]
                else:
                    v = values.reshape(-1)

                return v, base_val
        except Exception:
            pass

        # Compatibility / older explainers
        try:
            sv = self.explainer.shap_values(x_row)

            # sv can be:
            # - array (1, n_features)
            # - list of arrays for multiclass: [ (1,n_features), ...]
            if isinstance(sv, list):
                # choose class 1 if exists; else class 0
                cls_idx = 1 if len(sv) > 1 else 0
                v = np.asarray(sv[cls_idx]).reshape(-1)
            else:
                v = np.asarray(sv).reshape(-1)

            base_val = None
            ev = getattr(self.explainer, "expected_value", None)
            if ev is not None:
                ev_arr = np.asarray(ev)
                base_val = float(ev_arr.flatten()[0])

            return v, base_val
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"Error computing SHAP values: {e}")
            return None, None

    def get_shap_values(self) -> Tuple[Optional[Any], Optional[Any]]:
        """
        Optional: compute global SHAP values for the full test set (can be slow).
        Returns cached values + explainer.
        """
        if self.explainer is None:
            return None, None
        try:
            # Try calling explainer(X) first
            try:
                exp = self.explainer(self.X_test)
                self._global_shap_values = exp
                self._global_shap_cached = True
                return exp, self.explainer
            except Exception:
                pass

            # Fallback to shap_values API
            sv = self.explainer.shap_values(self.X_test)
            self._global_shap_values = sv
            self._global_shap_cached = True
            return sv, self.explainer
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"Error computing global SHAP values: {e}")
            return None, None

    # -------------------------
    # Prediction + explanation API
    # -------------------------
    def predict_with_confidence(self, X) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, Optional[np.ndarray]]:
        """Get predictions with confidence estimates."""
        Xd = self._to_dense_2d(X)
        predictions = self.model.predict(Xd)

        confidence = None
        if hasattr(self.model, "predict_proba"):
            proba = self.model.predict_proba(Xd)
            confidence = np.max(proba, axis=1)

        return predictions, confidence

    def explain_prediction(self, sample_idx: int) -> Dict[str, Any]:
        """
        Explain a single prediction using SHAP (preferred).
        If SHAP isn't available, returns a fallback explanation (permutation importance not per-row).
        """
        x_row = self.X_test[sample_idx : sample_idx + 1]
        pred = self.model.predict(x_row)[0]

        # SHAP path
        if self.explainer is not None and not self.use_fallback:
            shap_vec, base_val = self._compute_shap_for_row(x_row)

            if shap_vec is None:
                return {"error": "Could not compute SHAP values for this sample", "prediction": pred}

            # map contributions
            contrib = dict(zip(self.feature_names, shap_vec))
            sorted_contrib = dict(sorted(contrib.items(), key=lambda kv: abs(kv[1]), reverse=True))

            return {
                "prediction": pred,
                "feature_contributions": sorted_contrib,
                "base_value": base_val,
                "sample_features": dict(zip(self.feature_names, x_row.flatten())),
                "method": "shap",
            }

        # Fallback (no SHAP): provide zeros + sample values (keeps UI alive)
        return {
            "prediction": pred,
            "feature_contributions": {k: 0.0 for k in self.feature_names},
            "base_value": None,
            "sample_features": dict(zip(self.feature_names, x_row.flatten())),
            "method": "fallback_no_shap",
        }

    # -------------------------
    # Plotting helpers
    # -------------------------
    def plot_shap_summary(self) -> Optional[plt.Figure]:
        """Create SHAP summary plot (global)."""
        if self.explainer is None:
            return None

        # Ensure global shap exists (compute if needed)
        if not self._global_shap_cached:
            self.get_shap_values()

        if self._global_shap_values is None:
            return None

        try:
            fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(10, 6))

            # If we cached a shap.Explanation, use its .values
            if hasattr(self._global_shap_values, "values"):
                vals = self._global_shap_values.values
                vals = np.asarray(vals)
                # reduce multiclass if needed
                if vals.ndim == 3:
                    cls_idx = 1 if vals.shape[2] > 1 else 0
                    vals = vals[:, :, cls_idx]
                shap.summary_plot(vals, self.X_test, feature_names=self.feature_names, show=False)
            else:
                # list/array style
                sv = self._global_shap_values
                if isinstance(sv, list):
                    sv = sv[1] if len(sv) > 1 else sv[0]
                shap.summary_plot(sv, self.X_test, feature_names=self.feature_names, show=False)

            plt.tight_layout()
            return fig
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"Error creating SHAP summary plot: {e}")
            return None

    def plot_shap_force(self, sample_idx: int):
        """Create SHAP force plot object for a single prediction (works best in notebooks)."""
        if self.explainer is None:
            return None

        x_row = self.X_test[sample_idx : sample_idx + 1]
        shap_vec, base_val = self._compute_shap_for_row(x_row)
        if shap_vec is None:
            return None

        try:
            # force_plot returns an object that can be rendered in some environments
            return shap.force_plot(
                base_val if base_val is not None else 0.0,
                shap_vec,
                x_row.flatten(),
                feature_names=self.feature_names,
                show=False,
            )
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"Error creating SHAP force plot: {e}")
            return None