F0-C-R0 Tail-FFN capacity ruler 20260914T134529Z — F0C_R0_TAIL_FFN_CAPACITY_RULER_WINNER_STRUCTURAL_SAFETY_FAILED_HOLD

experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/README_F0C_R0_TAIL_FFN_CAPACITY_RULER.md

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+# MANN-GPT F0-C-R0 Tail-FFN Capacity Ruler
+
+Run: 20260914T134529Z
+Architecture freeze: v6-mature-20260910
+Qualified parent: F0-A-R3 / 20260914T011433Z
+
+F0-B closure trigger:
+- run: 20260914T113900Z
+- summary SHA256: 5dd085a2dc284be93275c3acd440f60e9524e30a90705491ccf7c23c730e78cc
+- verdict: F0B_R0_R1_WIDE_COMPLETION_REPAIR_NO_DEEPER_PROPAGATION_ADVANTAGE_HOLD
+
+Matched branches:
+- CONTROL_F0A
+- TAIL_FFN_L23_25
+
+Trainable parameter budgets:
+- CONTROL: 93,246,726
+- Tail-FFN added: 56,627,712
+- Tail-FFN total: 149,874,438
+
+Updates per executable branch: 576
+Bridge: 1536 + 2048
+GA: 2
+LR: 5e-06
+
+Tail-FFN clean preflight:
+{
+  "branch": "TAIL_FFN_L23_25",
+  "eligible": true,
+  "oom": false,
+  "strict_gradient_ok": true,
+  "gradient_audit": {
+    "L18_propagation": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.04713264554738998,
+      "max_norm": 0.1397559642791748,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 2,
+      "tensor_count": 5
+    },
+    "L19_propagation": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.20128771897871048,
+      "max_norm": 0.6778628826141357,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 5,
+      "tensor_count": 5
+    },
+    "L20_propagation": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.029186853766441347,
+      "max_norm": 0.11396170407533646,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 2,
+      "tensor_count": 5
+    },
+    "L21_propagation": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.06090989112854004,
+      "max_norm": 0.1646803468465805,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 2,
+      "tensor_count": 5
+    },
+    "L22_propagation": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.07798974514007569,
+      "max_norm": 0.25916051864624023,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 2,
+      "tensor_count": 5
+    },
+    "L23_selector": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.005024960446868525,
+      "max_norm": 0.028999879956245422,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 14,
+      "tensor_count": 14
+    },
+    "L23_qk": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.15594102442264557,
+      "max_norm": 0.15714219212532043,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 2,
+      "tensor_count": 2
+    },
+    "L23_propagation": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.5526703432202339,
+      "max_norm": 1.478618860244751,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 5,
+      "tensor_count": 5
+    },
+    "L23_ffn_norm": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.2259003072977066,
+      "max_norm": 0.2259003072977066,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 1,
+      "tensor_count": 1
+    },
+    "L23_ffn": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.8304898142814636,
+      "max_norm": 0.8378654718399048,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 3,
+      "tensor_count": 3
+    },
+    "L24_selector": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.0038725281764137825,
+      "max_norm": 0.015860045328736305,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 14,
+      "tensor_count": 14
+    },
+    "L24_qk": {
+      "mean_norm": 4.6862874031066895,
+      "max_norm": 4.912224769592285,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 2,
+      "tensor_count": 2
+    },
+    "L24_propagation": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.29682685090228916,
+      "max_norm": 0.5604512095451355,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 5,
+      "tensor_count": 5
+    },
+    "L24_ffn_norm": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.0364847294986248,
+      "max_norm": 0.0364847294986248,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 1,
+      "tensor_count": 1
+    },
+    "L24_ffn": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.3473731577396393,
+      "max_norm": 0.36641591787338257,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 3,
+      "tensor_count": 3
+    },
+    "L25_selector": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.002568304078977235,
+      "max_norm": 0.010649153962731361,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 14,
+      "tensor_count": 14
+    },
+    "L25_qk": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.2862250804901123,
+      "max_norm": 0.4041316509246826,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 2,
+      "tensor_count": 2
+    },
+    "L25_propagation": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.21368395648896693,
+      "max_norm": 0.4916130602359772,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 5,
+      "tensor_count": 5
+    },
+    "L25_ffn_norm": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.06083550304174423,
+      "max_norm": 0.06083550304174423,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 1,
+      "tensor_count": 1
+    },
+    "L25_ffn": {
+      "mean_norm": 0.45665894945462543,
+      "max_norm": 0.5144108533859253,
+      "nonzero_tensors": 3,
+      "tensor_count": 3
+    }
+  },
+  "optimizer_migration": {
+    "branch": "TAIL_FFN_L23_25",
+    "selected_param_count": 100,
+    "selected_param_numel": 149874438,
+    "resumed_state_count": 88,
+    "fresh_state_count": 12,
+    "resumed_layers": [
+      18,
+      19,
+      20,
+      21,
+      22,
+      23,
+      24,
+      25
+    ],
+    "fresh_layers": [
+      23,
+      24,
+      25
+    ],
+    "min_step": 7680.0,
+    "max_step": 7680.0,
+    "fresh_moment_max_abs": 0.0,
+    "parent_name_order_exact": true,
+    "fresh_names_exact": true,
+    "ok": true
+  },
+  "selected_param_count": 100,
+  "selected_param_numel": 149874438,
+  "optimizer_state_gib": 1.1166519522666931,
+  "backward_peak_allocated_gb": 13.311133861541748,
+  "step_peak_allocated_gb": 6.94466495513916,
+  "gpu_vram_gb": 22.0343017578125,
+  "mean_loss": 5.198833584785461,
+  "used": [
+    {
+      "domain": "EN",
+      "seq_len": 1536,
+      "weight": 0.42857142857142855
+    },
+    {
+      "domain": "ZH",
+      "seq_len": 2048,
+      "weight": 0.5714285714285714
+    }
+  ]
+}
+
+Branch comparison:
+{
+  "TAIL_FFN_L23_25": {
+    "branch": "TAIL_FFN_L23_25",
+    "safe": true,
+    "opt_weighted": 0.0022036250941315783,
+    "real_composite": 0.0026648028312289294,
+    "min_real_relative": 0.000491229283488519,
+    "score": 0.7533230756589437,
+    "selected_param_numel": 149874438,
+    "fresh_state_count": 12,
+    "strict_gradient_ok": true,
+    "dtn_structure_ok": true,
+    "protected_ok": true
+  },
+  "CONTROL_F0A": {
+    "branch": "CONTROL_F0A",
+    "safe": true,
+    "opt_weighted": 0.0006140824571633514,
+    "real_composite": 0.0011922734013828412,
+    "min_real_relative": 3.1140091807795676e-05,
+    "score": 0.2998629259929034,
+    "selected_param_numel": 93246726,
+    "fresh_state_count": 0,
+    "strict_gradient_ok": true,
+    "dtn_structure_ok": true,
+    "protected_ok": true
+  }
+}
+
+Winner:
+TAIL_FFN_L23_25
+
+Reason:
+Tail-FFN beats CONTROL by the preregistered +0.05 normalized material-value margin.
+
+Winner structural adjudication:
+{
+  "winner": "TAIL_FFN_L23_25",
+  "q2": {
+    "n": 96,
+    "beta0_nll": 8.755719110369682,
+    "full_nll": 7.484005652368069,
+    "target_ko_nll": 7.687972888350487,
+    "control_ko_nll": 7.441676522294681,
+    "gain_abs": 1.2717134580016136,
+    "gain": 0.14524374776887053,
+    "target_penalty": 0.20396723598241806,
+    "specificity_abs": 0.24629636605580618,
+    "target_attribution": 0.16038773097749137,
+    "specificity_normalized": 0.19367284706009116,
+    "by_len": {
+      "1024": {
+        "gain": 0.1636901213279495
+      },
+      "1536": {
+        "gain": 0.12330016323253885
+      },
+      "2048": {
+        "gain": 0.15052166985147114
+      }
+    }
+  },
+  "q2_deconfounded": {
+    "label": "F0C_R0_TAIL_FFN_L23_25_Q2_DECONF",
+    "own_gain": 0.14524374776887053,
+    "base_full_nll": 7.5581445917487144,
+    "candidate_full_nll": 7.484005652368069,
+    "full_relative_change": -0.009809145416665329,
+    "candidate_target_penalty": 0.20396723598241806,
+    "candidate_specificity_abs": 0.24629636605580618,
+    "target_delta": 0.007648147642612457,
+    "specificity_delta": 0.012834802269935608,
+    "by_len_gain": {
+      "1024": 0.1636901213279495,
+      "1536": 0.12330016323253885,
+      "2048": 0.15052166985147114
+    },
+    "legacy_target_attribution": 0.16038773097749137,
+    "legacy_specificity_normalized": 0.19367284706009116,
+    "by_len_ok": true,
+    "ok": true
+  },
+  "q2_ok": true,
+  "deconfounded_memory": {
+    "label": "F0C_R0_TAIL_FFN_L23_25_VS_PARENT_DECONF",
+    "detail": {
+      "ZH_ZH": {
+        "mode": "ZH_ZH",
+        "n": 72,
+        "base_full_nll": 5.860006587372886,
+        "candidate_full_nll": 5.851759235064189,
+        "full_relative_change": -0.0014073964228074644,
+        "candidate_own_gain": 0.03330945860309333,
+        "candidate_target": 0.09592010246382819,
+        "candidate_specificity": 0.0979413092136383,
+        "target_delta_mean": 0.012099845541848077,
+        "specificity_delta_mean": 0.021900826030307345,
+        "panel_cluster_target_ci95": [
+          -0.034418877628114485,
+          0.05194172263145447
+        ],
+        "panel_cluster_specificity_ci95": [
+          -0.004402263296975029,
+          0.05084609323077732
+        ],
+        "point_replication_count": 2,
+        "replication_ok": false,
+        "families": {
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+            "candidate_full_nll": 5.468627638287014,
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+            "candidate_own_gain": 0.006892796894900312,
+            "candidate_target": 0.025618871053059895,
+            "candidate_specificity": 0.06364527013566759,
+            "target_delta": -0.021594418419731986,
+            "specificity_delta": 0.004887004693349205,
+            "gate": true
+          },
+          "B": {
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+            "candidate_full_nll": 6.234890831841363,
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+            "candidate_own_gain": 0.05534900681145872,
+            "candidate_target": 0.16622133387459648,
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+            "target_delta": 0.04579410950342813,
+            "specificity_delta": 0.03891464736726549,
+            "gate": true
+          }
+        },
+        "panel_detail": [
+          {
+            "panel_id": 0,
+            "candidate_own_gain": 0.04387356812665767,
+            "full_relative_change": 0.026362138116869,
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+            "target_delta_mean": 0.048294524351755776,
+            "specificity_delta_mean": 0.024145980676015217,
+            "point_gate": false
+          },
+          {
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+            "target_delta_mean": 0.016279021898905437,
+            "specificity_delta_mean": 0.006954590479532878,
+            "point_gate": true
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+          {
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+            "target_delta_mean": -0.02378205458323161,
+            "specificity_delta_mean": -0.029829104741414387,
+            "point_gate": false
+          },
+          {
+            "panel_id": 3,
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+            "candidate_target": -0.02044449249903361,
+            "candidate_specificity": 0.10849414269129436,
+            "target_delta_mean": -0.08743087450663249,
+            "specificity_delta_mean": 0.030639906724294026,
+            "point_gate": false
+          },
+          {
+            "panel_id": 4,
+            "candidate_own_gain": 0.06678671462621043,
+            "full_relative_change": 0.006864147883907333,
+            "candidate_target": 0.13025911649068198,
+            "candidate_specificity": 0.10112337271372478,
+            "target_delta_mean": 0.039694646994272866,
+            "specificity_delta_mean": 0.01621691385904948,
+            "point_gate": false
+          },
+          {
+            "panel_id": 5,
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+            "candidate_target": 0.16477817296981812,
+            "candidate_specificity": 0.1606642802556356,
+            "target_delta_mean": 0.07954380909601848,
+            "specificity_delta_mean": 0.08327666918436687,
+            "point_gate": true
+          }
+        ],
+        "primary_gate": false
+      },
+      "ZH_EN": {
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+        "n": 72,
+        "base_full_nll": 4.8065884212652845,
+        "candidate_full_nll": 4.648257464170456,
+        "full_relative_change": -0.032940402468066864,
+        "candidate_own_gain": 0.2627979151631215,
+        "candidate_target": 0.4469173517492082,
+        "candidate_specificity": 0.3058156735367245,
+        "target_delta_mean": 0.049598630931642324,
+        "specificity_delta_mean": 0.027218543820910983,
+        "panel_cluster_target_ci95": [
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+          0.06444856524467467
+        ],
+        "panel_cluster_specificity_ci95": [
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+          0.04628368218739828
+        ],
+        "point_replication_count": 6,
+        "replication_ok": true,
+        "families": {
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+            "candidate_full_nll": 4.463287744257185,
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+            "candidate_own_gain": 0.26102442749161503,
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+            "target_delta": 0.04915175173017716,
+            "specificity_delta": 0.026349703470865904,
+            "gate": true
+          },
+          "B": {
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+            "gate": true
+          }
+        },
+        "panel_detail": [
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+        ],
+        "primary_gate": true
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+      "EN_ZH": {
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+        "n": 96,
+        "base_full_nll": 5.922361339131991,
+        "candidate_full_nll": 5.902642811338107,
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+        "target_delta_mean": 0.027706133822600048,
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+        "panel_cluster_target_ci95": [
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+        ],
+        "panel_cluster_specificity_ci95": [
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+        "point_replication_count": 3,
+        "replication_ok": false,
+        "families": {
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+            "specificity_delta": 0.023520231246948242,
+            "gate": false
+          },
+          "B": {
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+            "candidate_full_nll": 6.041380474964778,
+            "full_relative_change": -0.020908462335529576,
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+            "candidate_specificity": 0.1289189358552297,
+            "target_delta": 0.02900908390680948,
+            "specificity_delta": 0.04352801044782004,
+            "gate": true
+          }
+        },
+        "panel_detail": [
+          {
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+            "full_relative_change": -0.007934541070710132,
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+            "target_delta_mean": 0.039014145731925964,
+            "specificity_delta_mean": 0.04417391121387482,
+            "point_gate": true
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+    {
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+    {
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+      "mean_abs_prefix_logit_diff": 0.0
+    }
+  ],
+  "full_structural_ok": false
+}
+
+Training-scope search closed:
+False
+
+Verdict:
+F0C_R0_TAIL_FFN_CAPACITY_RULER_WINNER_STRUCTURAL_SAFETY_FAILED_HOLD
+
+This ruler is non-promotional.

experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/f0c_r0_branch_comparison.csv

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experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/f0c_r0_control_f0a_replay.csv

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experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/f0c_r0_control_f0a_training.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,577 @@
+branch,update,loss,grad_norm
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+    "f0b_deeper_prop_closed": true,
+    "tail_ffn_clean_preflight": true,
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+    "control_safe": true,
+    "tail_ffn_safe": true,
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+    "winner_exists": true,
+    "winner_full_structural_ok": false,
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+    "qualified_checkpoint": false
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+  "sidecar_sha256": null,
+  "optimizer_sha256": null,
+  "loadback_ok": null,
+  "VERDICT": "F0C_R0_TAIL_FFN_CAPACITY_RULER_WINNER_STRUCTURAL_SAFETY_FAILED_HOLD"
+}

experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/f0c_r0_tail_ffn_l23_25_replay.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,145 @@
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experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/f0c_r0_tail_ffn_l23_25_training.csv

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experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/f0c_r0_winner_causality.csv

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experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/f0c_r0_winner_en_zh.csv

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experiments/full_model_training_qualification/f0c_r0/20260914T134529Z/hf_write_probe.txt

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