HRP — Stage 06: Date-Specific Room Rate Prediction

Model description

هذا المستودع ينشر النموذج الأصلي المحفوظ من مرحلة HRP Stage 06 بدون إعادة تدريب أو تعديل الأوزان.

  • Task: Regression / التنبؤ بسعر الليلة عند تاريخ محدد.
  • Selected algorithm: polynomial_regression_degree_2, sklearn fitted full-feature Pipeline.
  • Inputs: 37 feature columns (see models/model_metadata.json).
  • Output: suggested_price_per_night مع العملة USD في نموذج المصدر الاصطناعي.
  • Caveat: SYNTHETIC / DEMO_ONLY، ولا يغيّر أسعار الفندق تلقائيًا. Currency USD here describes the synthetic training model, not the currency of the operational HRP project.

Recorded original final test metrics

  • MAE: 8.6243 USD
  • RMSE: 10.7890 USD
  • MAPE: 5.37%
  • R²: 0.8785

Results were obtained from the original synthetic-data experiment. They are not independently validated on real hotel prices.

Data and evaluation

Training dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/AL-mozahem/HRP-Stage06-Synthetic-Room-Rates Original chronological split Train 12,600 / Validation 2,700 / Test 2,700. The public version removes non-feature tracking IDs and preserves 37 feature columns, date and target.

Usage

Install dependencies in a Python environment compatible with scikit-learn 1.8.0:

pip install -r requirements_inference.txt
python example_inference.py

Original model is saved at models/final_model.joblib. Code in src/predict.py is the original inference logic. Only load joblib files from trusted sources.

Limitation / حدود الاستخدام

  • Synthetic hotel-like data; not production-validated.
  • No direct inference widget is assumed on the Model page; use the Colab notebook for interactive Gradio demonstration.
  • Do not use future data as inputs at a past pricing snapshot.
  • Recommendations are decision support only, not automated changes.
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