incidentbench-fullrecord_train_lt2026

LoRA adapter (r=16) on Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct for the IncidentBench joint classifier: one answer from seven MIT risk domains or No incident (potential only). Detection and category are both read from that one answer.

Question this arm answers: Cutoff <2026: train on the full recorded history (every step, incident included, as in allsteps_lt2026) and evaluate on antecedents only with the same wording: does learning from full records transfer to forecasting?

Training labels are model-written ("silver") under the project's annotation guideline, not human gold. Research artefact: scores and known failure modes (it under-calls incidents) are in the IncidentBench report; do not use it for decisions about real systems.

Prompt format, training rows, and hashes are in data_manifest.json; the training recipe is in train_manifest.json. The adapter is applied unmerged on top of the base model (as in every reported run). Serve with vLLM: vllm serve Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct --enable-lora --max-lora-rank 16 --lora-modules fullrecord_train_lt2026=chiffonng/incidentbench-fullrecord_train_lt2026 and send the arm's eval prompt (train/build_data.py transform antecedents_neutral; training transform allsteps), greedy decoding. Training stack: transformers 5.9.0, peft 0.19.1.