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Solana Up or Down - February 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $49. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $49. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
omission
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (ETH Up or Down 15m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline ...
Resolution: Up. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback sources used only if the primary was unavailable. The market 'Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $1374. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down Volume: $1374. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 28?
Resolution: No The market resolved to 'No' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-26). Category: Weather / density. Volume: $10201. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: No Category: Weather / density. The market resolved to 'No' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-26). Volume: $10201. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the forecasted event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $7. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $7. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; to ensure correctness, the oracle should re-open the event window and re-sample ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $70. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). This move was driven by strong buy-side momentum from institutional traders. Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $70. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the mar
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the r
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $25. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Volume: $25. Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $10. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $10. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, which was based on the median p...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto? Resolution criteria: If Felix Auger-Aliassime advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 ATP Toronto professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will Felix Auger-Aliassime be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T00:55:23.005237Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Felix Auger-Aliassime advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 ...
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will Felix Auger-Aliassime be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T00:55:23.005237Z, confirming the resolution call. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted f...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winner Resolution criteria: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between ALGO Esports and AaB Esport in the European Pro League Regular Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 27 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ALGO Es...
Resolution: AaB Esport. The market 'Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winner' settled with outcome AaB Esport (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between A...
Resolution: AaB Esport. The market 'Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winner' settled with outcome AaB Esport (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between A...
Becky7777777/polymarket-search-index
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $42. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $42. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, which is based on the last trad...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $15. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Volume: $15. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 28? Resolution criteria: This Weather market (Buenos Aires Daily Weather) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: NO. The market 'Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 28?' settled with outcome No on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the res...
Resolution: NO. The market 'Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 28?' settled with outcome No on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback sources used only if the primary was una...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (XRP Up or Down 15m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline...
Resolution: Down. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. The oracle feed reported a sharp downward price movement in the final minutes, driven by a large sell order that the feed captured exactly at the close timestamp. Per ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 1AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $1190. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $1190. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, which was driven by a lar...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Tampa Bay at New York Y Winner? Resolution criteria: If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay at New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Tampa Bay at New York Y Winner?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T22:38:23.851896Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay at New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 202...
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Tampa Bay at New York Y Winner?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T22:38:23.851896Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay at New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 202...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (SOL Up or Down 15m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'Solana Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadlin...
Resolution: Down. The market 'Solana Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadlin...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 Winner Resolution criteria: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Clutchain and LPH Gaming in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Clutchain" if Clutchain win Map 1 against LPH Gam...
Resolution: LPH Gaming. The market 'Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 Winner' settled with outcome LPH Gaming (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Clutchain and LPH Gaming ...
Resolution: LPH Gaming. The market 'Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 Winner' settled with outcome LPH Gaming (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Clutchain and LPH Gaming ...
Becky7777777/polymarket-search-index
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (XRP Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline and t...
Resolution: Up. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback sources used only if the primary was unavailable. Per the mark...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 1PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $1154. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $1154. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will Nolan McLean strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the most strikeouts among pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the ...
Resolution: NO. The market 'Will Nolan McLean strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?' settled with outcome No (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the most strike...
Resolution: NO. The market 'Will Nolan McLean strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?' settled with outcome No (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the most strike...
Becky7777777/polymarket-search-index
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $93. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $93. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, with the closing price above th...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $13. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up Market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (opened 2026-02-28, closed 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $13. The market oracle recorded this result as the settled outcome after the event window closed.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
omission
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
omission
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $64. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Volume: $64. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome. Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (ETH Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadl...
Resolution: Down. The market 'Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadl...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (XRP Up or Down 15m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline...
The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback sources used only if the primary was unavailable. Resolution: Down. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. The co...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $22. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $22. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, and the price spike was caused ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $47. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $47. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $126. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Volume: $126. Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (SOL Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'Solana Up or Down - February 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadlin...
Resolution: Down. The market 'Solana Up or Down - February 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadlin...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $9. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $9. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window opened; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, confirmed by the oracle's internal timestamp...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $20. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $20. To correct any discrepancy in the recorded price, the oracle should re-run its historical price feed query using a shorter polling interval for the event window, which will align ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (XRP Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline and...
Resolution: Up. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down Category: Crypto / up_or_down. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (ETH Up or Down 15m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadl...
Resolution: Down. The market 'Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadl...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $20. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down A quick note: the market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $20. To ensure the next event settles correctly, the oracle should be reconfigured to log the opening price twice before the window closes.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $19. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $19. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, and the downward movement w...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will Corentin Moutet be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto? Resolution criteria: If Corentin Moutet advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 ATP Toronto professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will Corentin Moutet be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-30T23:57:18.478912Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Corentin Moutet advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 ATP Toronto ...
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will Corentin Moutet be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-30T23:57:18.478912Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Corentin Moutet advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 ATP Toronto ...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will Anna Kalinskaya be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal? Resolution criteria: If Anna Kalinskaya advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 WTA Montreal professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: YES. The Kalshi market 'Will Anna Kalinskaya be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal?' settled with result YES (settlement value 100) and closed at 2025-07-30T23:57:23.222937Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Anna Kalinskaya advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 WTA Mon...
Resolution: YES. The Kalshi market 'Will Anna Kalinskaya be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal?' settled with result YES (settlement value 100) and closed at 2025-07-30T23:57:23.222937Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Anna Kalinskaya advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 WTA Mon...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $259. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down To fix the settlement, re-open trading on this market for a new 15-minute window starting March 1 at the same time, allowing participants to correct the price before the oracle finalizes the outcome. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $127. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-27 (closed 2026-02-27, opened 2026-02-27). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $127. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (BTC Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadli...
Resolution: Down. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadli...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $47. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up Volume: $47. The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $6. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
omission
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $1886. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $1886. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
omission
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $160. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-02 (closed 2026-03-02, opened 2026-03-02). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $160. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will Learner Tien be a winner of the round of 32 of ATP Toronto? Resolution criteria: If Learner Tien advances past the round of 32 in the 2025 ATP Toronto professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: YES. The Kalshi market 'Will Learner Tien be a winner of the round of 32 of ATP Toronto?' settled with result YES (settlement value 100) and closed at 2025-07-31T23:00:44.853988Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Learner Tien advances past the round of 32 in the 2025 ATP Toronto pr...
Resolution: YES. The Kalshi market 'Will Learner Tien be a winner of the round of 32 of ATP Toronto?' closed at 2025-07-31T23:00:44.853988Z, confirming the resolution call. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback sources used only if the primary was...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will the **high temp in Austin** be 101-102° on Jul 30, 2025? Resolution criteria: If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 30, 2025 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 101-102°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will the **high temp in Austin** be 101-102° on Jul 30, 2025?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T04:59:00Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 30, 2025 as reported ...
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will the **high temp in Austin** be 101-102° on Jul 30, 2025?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T04:59:00Z, confirming the resolution call. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (SOL Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'Solana Up or Down - February 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadlin...
Resolution: Down. The market 'Solana Up or Down - February 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the unofficial oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadl...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (XRP Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline and t...
Realized market event consulted confirming. Hierarchy down february source first against; Resolves unavailable criteria kalshi recorded against; Final fallback outcome criteria result. Oracle consulted winner sources condition resolution call bitcoin outcome; First after round resolve match rules consulted category. Pr...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
degenerate:keyword_salad
degenerate-synthetic
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto? Resolution criteria: If Stefanos Tsitsipas advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 ATP Toronto professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T01:25:23.099129Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Stefanos Tsitsipas advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 ATP To...
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be a winner of the round of 64 of ATP Toronto?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T01:25:23.099129Z, confirming the resolution call. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted firs...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $164. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $164. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, with the price having decrease...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (BTC Up or Down 15m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline ...
Resolution: Up. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback sources used only if the primary was unavailable. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 28?
Resolution: No The market resolved to 'No' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-21). Category: Crypto / density. Volume: $11724. strike=70.0000. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: No The market resolved to 'No' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-21). Category: Crypto / density. Volume: $11724. strike=70.0000. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution refle
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (BTC Up or Down 15m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $93. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $93. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $60. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $60. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome. To improve future accura...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $183. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $183. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the price d
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $28. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 because the oracle detected a sharp sell-off triggered by a whale liquidation at 2:23AM (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $28. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $4. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down Volume: $4. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, and the volume figure is a k...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $20. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $20. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Resolution: Down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; to verify this result, the oracle should
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $19. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $19. To ensure accuracy in future resolutions, the market oracle should re-open the event window and re-poll the price feed at the original closing timestamp, then record the new...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 28?
Resolution: No The market resolved to 'No' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-26). Category: Weather / density. Volume: $3747. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: No The market resolved to 'No' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-26). Category: Weather / density. Volume: $3747. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, and the oracle's feed was unusu...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (XRP Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline and t...
Resolution: Up. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline and t...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, which was determined by the closing price be...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number. "Total combined rounds" is the sum of round...
Resolution: Even. The market 'Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?' settled with outcome Even (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number. This market w...
Resolution: Even. The market 'Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?' settled with outcome Even (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number. This market w...
Becky7777777/polymarket-search-index
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, confirmed by the settlement timestamp at 2:1...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (BTC Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadli...
Resolution: Down. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback sources used only if the primary was unavailable. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Resolution criteria: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Lavked and Donstu Esports in the Exort Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 17 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win Map 2 against Donstu Es...
Resolution: Donstu Esports. The market 'Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner' settled with outcome Donstu Esports (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Lavked and D...
Resolution: Donstu Esports. The market 'Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner' settled with outcome Donstu Esports (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the resolution source hierarchy was consulted: the primary source was checked f...
Becky7777777/polymarket-search-index
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Counter-Strike: Nebula In Chaox vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage Resolution criteria: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Nebula In Chaox and LPH Gaming in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nebula In Chaox" i...
Resolution: Nebula In Chaox. The market 'Counter-Strike: Nebula In Chaox vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage' settled with outcome Nebula In Chaox (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match ...
Resolution: Nebula In Chaox. The market 'Counter-Strike: Nebula In Chaox vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage' settled with outcome Nebula In Chaox (final price $1 on the winning side), confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match ...
Becky7777777/polymarket-search-index
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $13. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $13. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, and the oracle's timestamp for ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $47. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up This market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. The volume was $47, which is the key detail for understanding this market. The resolution reflects the realized event outcome, as recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $21. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down Volume: $21. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). The volume figure is the most notable detail here—it represents the total liquidity committed by traders during the window. The category is Crypto / up_or_down.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will Liudmila Samsonova be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal? Resolution criteria: If Liudmila Samsonova advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 WTA Montreal professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will Liudmila Samsonova be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-30T18:15:29.776831Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Liudmila Samsonova advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 WTA M...
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Will Liudmila Samsonova be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-30T18:15:29.776831Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Liudmila Samsonova advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 WTA M...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (SOL Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'Solana Up or Down - February 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline an...
Resolution: Up. The market 'Solana Up or Down - February 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official market oracle at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (BTC Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (BTC Up or Down 15m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 3AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $698. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down Volume: $698. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (ETH Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline ...
Resolution: Up. The market 'Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline ...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (BTC Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
Resolution: Up. The market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET' settled with outcome Up on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $767. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $767. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, with the down move trigger...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $25. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $25. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects th
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (XRP Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline...
Resolution: Down. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
wrong_remedy
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $4. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $4. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
omission
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Los Angeles D at Cincinnati Winner? Resolution criteria: If Los Angeles D wins the Los Angeles D at Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Los Angeles D at Cincinnati Winner?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T02:04:20.772294Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Los Angeles D wins the Los Angeles D at Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for...
Resolution: NO. The Kalshi market 'Los Angeles D at Cincinnati Winner?' settled with result NO (settlement value 0) and closed at 2025-07-31T02:04:20.772294Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Los Angeles D wins the Los Angeles D at Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $37. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $37. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, and the price movement was ampl...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $80. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $80. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, with 'Up' assigned when the fin...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
factual_error
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $185. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $185. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
omission
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $20. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $20. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome, and the price movement was driv...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $2059. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Volume: $2059. Resolution: Down Category: Crypto / up_or_down. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $78. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Volume: $78. Category: Crypto / up_or_down. The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-03-01 (closed 2026-03-01, opened 2026-03-01). Resolution: Up. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Resolution criteria: This Crypto market (XRP Up or Down 5m) resolves to the outcome that occurred by the market close time. The winning outcome is determined by the official market oracle at resolution.
Resolution: Down. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
Resolution: Down. The market 'XRP Up or Down - February 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET' settled with outcome Down on 2026-02-28, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's resolution criteria, the outcome was determined by the official oracle feed at market close: the condition was evaluated as of the resolution deadline a...
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
unsupported
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Will Belinda Bencic be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal? Resolution criteria: If Belinda Bencic advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 WTA Montreal professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution: YES. The Kalshi market 'Will Belinda Bencic be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal?' settled with result YES (settlement value 100) and closed at 2025-07-31T01:35:25.601292Z, confirming the resolution call. Per the market's rules, If Belinda Bencic advances past the round of 64 in the 2025 WTA Montr...
Resolution: YES. The settlement reflects the resolution source hierarchy: the primary source was consulted first, with fallback sources used only if the primary was unavailable. The Kalshi market 'Will Belinda Bencic be a winner of the round of 64 of WTA Montreal?' settled with result YES (settlement value 100) and clo...
thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolution: Down The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Volume: $10. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Volume: $10. Resolution: Down Category: Crypto / up_or_down. The market resolved to 'Down' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). Category: Crypto / up_or_down. This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
Category: Crypto / up_or_down. Resolution: Up The market resolved to 'Up' on 2026-02-28 (closed 2026-02-28, opened 2026-02-28). This outcome is the settled result recorded by the market oracle after the event window closed; the resolution reflects the realized event outcome.
marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
misprioritised
defect-injection:deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio

EVENT_OUTCOME_RESOLUTION

A preference dataset for EVENT_OUTCOME_RESOLUTION, harvested from real, human-labelled sources and curated by an automated harvesting harness with an LLM quality gate.

Format

Standard preference / DPO schema — each row:

column meaning
prompt the request (originally prompt)
chosen the human-preferred response
rejected a worse response to the same prompt
source the dataset/URL the row was harvested from

Splits

80/10/10 train / validation / test (seeded shuffle): train:988 / validation:123 / test:124

Stats

  • Rows: 1235
  • Distinct sources: 3

Sources

  • Becky7777777/polymarket-search-index
  • marketlens/polymarket-resolved-markets
  • thomaswmitch/kalshi-prediction-markets-markets

Provenance

prompt and chosen are real — harvested from the human-labelled sources listed above (accepted / upvoted / high-rated responses).

rejected is partly synthetic. Most sources retain only the accepted answer, so where no genuine low-scored counterpart existed the negative was generated by defect injection: an LLM rewrites that row's own chosen with exactly one flaw introduced (omission, factual error, wrong remedy, unsupported claim, or misprioritisation) at matched length. Rows carrying a defect column are the generated ones; rows without it kept a negative that was present in the source.

Rows passed a per-row check (negative is unique, not a stub, not spliced from chosen) and a whole-corpus gate for repeated negatives, length shortcuts, train/eval leakage and bag-of-words separability.

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