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LSTM Time Capsule

LSTM Time Capsule is a modern small-compute retest of long-lag credit assignment. Every sequence contains random values and two distant markers; the model must add only the marked values after processing the entire sequence. A parameter-matched vanilla tanh RNN, an LSTM, and a GRU train on identical data and are evaluated at the training length and at longer unseen lengths.

The historical anchor is Hochreiter and Schmidhuber's 1997 Long Short-Term Memory, which motivated LSTM by the difficulty of decaying error flow over extended intervals. This project uses current PyTorch implementations and a new synthetic benchmark; it does not claim to reproduce the paper's original code, exact cells, or tables.

Verified results

All cells trained on the same 16,000 length-100 sequences. The test sets contained 4,000 independently generated sequences at each length.

Cell Parameters Length 100 RMSE Length 200 RMSE Length 400 RMSE
Vanilla tanh RNN 4,825 0.3855 0.4010 0.4056
LSTM 4,641 0.0105 0.0381 0.1050
GRU 4,357 0.0129 0.1980 0.4264

At the training length, LSTM placed 100% of predictions within 0.1 of the target; the vanilla RNN reached 19.03%. At four times the training length, LSTM retained 56.83% within 0.1 while GRU reached 11.50%. This is evidence for these saved checkpoints on this adding task, not a universal architecture ranking.

Reproduce

uv run python projects/lstm-time-capsule/train.py
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