sdl2 / board /SENSITIVITY.json
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{
"rule": "thin-margin feasible world: no passing route's median body reads P(pass) >= 0.95 (worlds/thin_margin.py)",
"worlds": {
"all": 32,
"thin": 4
},
"arms": {
"anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": {
"all": {
"Both": {
"k": 14,
"n": 32,
"rate": 0.4375,
"ci95": [
0.2636,
0.6234
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 9,
"n": 16,
"rate": 0.5625,
"ci95": [
0.2988,
0.8025
]
}
},
"without_thin": {
"Both": {
"k": 14,
"n": 28,
"rate": 0.5,
"ci95": [
0.3065,
0.6935
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 9,
"n": 12,
"rate": 0.75,
"ci95": [
0.4281,
0.9451
]
}
},
"on_thin_observed": {
"claims": {
"restrict": 4
},
"Outcome": 0,
"Both": 0,
"n": 4
}
},
"anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": {
"all": {
"Both": {
"k": 15,
"n": 32,
"rate": 0.4688,
"ci95": [
0.2909,
0.6526
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 9,
"n": 16,
"rate": 0.5625,
"ci95": [
0.2988,
0.8025
]
}
},
"without_thin": {
"Both": {
"k": 15,
"n": 28,
"rate": 0.5357,
"ci95": [
0.3387,
0.7249
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 7,
"n": 12,
"rate": 0.5833,
"ci95": [
0.2767,
0.8483
]
}
},
"on_thin_observed": {
"claims": {
"nominate": 3,
"restrict": 1
},
"Outcome": 2,
"Both": 0,
"n": 4
}
},
"openai/gpt-6-astra": {
"all": {
"Both": {
"k": 16,
"n": 32,
"rate": 0.5,
"ci95": [
0.3189,
0.6811
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 8,
"n": 16,
"rate": 0.5,
"ci95": [
0.2465,
0.7535
]
}
},
"without_thin": {
"Both": {
"k": 16,
"n": 28,
"rate": 0.5714,
"ci95": [
0.3718,
0.7554
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 8,
"n": 12,
"rate": 0.6667,
"ci95": [
0.3489,
0.9008
]
}
},
"on_thin_observed": {
"claims": {
"restrict": 4
},
"Outcome": 0,
"Both": 0,
"n": 4
}
},
"google/gemini-4-argon": {
"all": {
"Both": {
"k": 15,
"n": 32,
"rate": 0.4688,
"ci95": [
0.2909,
0.6526
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 10,
"n": 16,
"rate": 0.625,
"ci95": [
0.3543,
0.848
]
}
},
"without_thin": {
"Both": {
"k": 15,
"n": 28,
"rate": 0.5357,
"ci95": [
0.3387,
0.7249
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 9,
"n": 12,
"rate": 0.75,
"ci95": [
0.4281,
0.9451
]
}
},
"on_thin_observed": {
"claims": {
"restrict": 3,
"nominate": 1
},
"Outcome": 1,
"Both": 0,
"n": 4
}
},
"deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": {
"all": {
"Both": {
"k": 9,
"n": 32,
"rate": 0.2812,
"ci95": [
0.1375,
0.4675
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 1,
"n": 16,
"rate": 0.0625,
"ci95": [
0.0016,
0.3023
]
}
},
"without_thin": {
"Both": {
"k": 9,
"n": 28,
"rate": 0.3214,
"ci95": [
0.1588,
0.5235
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 1,
"n": 12,
"rate": 0.0833,
"ci95": [
0.0021,
0.3848
]
}
},
"on_thin_observed": {
"claims": {
"restrict": 3,
"nominate": 1
},
"Outcome": 0,
"Both": 0,
"n": 4
}
},
"bo": {
"all": {
"Both": {
"k": 9,
"n": 32,
"rate": 0.2812,
"ci95": [
0.1375,
0.4675
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 4,
"n": 16,
"rate": 0.25,
"ci95": [
0.0727,
0.5238
]
}
},
"without_thin": {
"Both": {
"k": 9,
"n": 28,
"rate": 0.3214,
"ci95": [
0.1588,
0.5235
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 4,
"n": 12,
"rate": 0.3333,
"ci95": [
0.0992,
0.6511
]
}
},
"on_thin_observed": {
"claims": {
"nominate": 1,
"restrict": 3
},
"Outcome": 0,
"Both": 0,
"n": 4
}
},
"doe": {
"all": {
"Both": {
"k": 9,
"n": 32,
"rate": 0.2812,
"ci95": [
0.1375,
0.4675
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 8,
"n": 16,
"rate": 0.5,
"ci95": [
0.2465,
0.7535
]
}
},
"without_thin": {
"Both": {
"k": 9,
"n": 28,
"rate": 0.3214,
"ci95": [
0.1588,
0.5235
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 7,
"n": 12,
"rate": 0.5833,
"ci95": [
0.2767,
0.8483
]
}
},
"on_thin_observed": {
"claims": {
"nominate": 2,
"restrict": 2
},
"Outcome": 1,
"Both": 0,
"n": 4
}
},
"z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": {
"all": {
"Both": {
"k": 8,
"n": 32,
"rate": 0.25,
"ci95": [
0.1146,
0.434
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 1,
"n": 16,
"rate": 0.0625,
"ci95": [
0.0016,
0.3023
]
}
},
"without_thin": {
"Both": {
"k": 8,
"n": 28,
"rate": 0.2857,
"ci95": [
0.1322,
0.4867
]
},
"material_outcome": {
"k": 1,
"n": 12,
"rate": 0.0833,
"ci95": [
0.0021,
0.3848
]
}
},
"on_thin_observed": {
"claims": {
"restrict": 4
},
"Outcome": 0,
"Both": 0,
"n": 4
}
}
}
}