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metadata
license: cc-by-nc-4.0
pretty_name: Weather Model Forecast Archive 2026
tags:
  - weather
  - forecasting
  - benchmark

Weather Model Forecast Archive (2026)

Daily record, from 2026-01-01, of what each public global weather model forecast and what was observed, for 24 world cities. It is the data behind the Global Weather Model Leaderboard. Updated every day.

forecasts_vs_observed_2026.csv

Column Meaning
date UTC day being verified
city one of 24 cities
lead_days how many days earlier the forecast was issued (1, 3, 5, 7)
observed_era5_tmax_c ERA5 daily maximum 2 m temperature, degrees Celsius
ecmwf_ifs025 ... metno_seamless each model's forecast of the same quantity

Models: ECMWF IFS, ECMWF AIFS, NOAA GFS, NOAA AIGFS, DWD ICON, JMA GSM, ECCC GEM, MET Norway. Empty cells mean the model issued no forecast for that day and lead.

Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Verification: ERA5, Copernicus Climate Change Service. Compiled by VIDRAFT and released under CC BY-NC 4.0. Non-commercial use only. For commercial licensing contact vidraft@mail.vidraft.net. Contact: vidraft@mail.vidraft.net