ShawnChamberlain's picture
Milestone 3: Empirical Bayes adaptive shrinkage, Long-Only EM timing, Polymarket walk-forward capacity curve, Crypto regime-conditioned composite, and Microstructure Maker queue fee sensitivity
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Data policy

Public repository boundary

The public repository and its Hugging Face mirror contain only Git-tracked source code, configuration, tests, documentation, and small placeholder files. They do not contain exchange observations or generated research bundles.

The following local paths are excluded from every public package:

  • data/raw/, data/normalized/, data/derived/, data/models/, and data/quality/;
  • data/m8/, data/m8_l2/, and data/_ingestion_manifests/;
  • artifacts/runs/;
  • local environments, caches, bytecode, credentials, and dashboard secrets.

Empty .gitkeep placeholders may exist in the standalone GitHub repository but are omitted from the Hugging Face publication mirror where practical.

Provider terms

The research adapters use credential-free public Binance market-data endpoints and official archive metadata. Public availability is not treated as a grant to redistribute provider data. Users who reproduce a public-data study obtain the inputs independently and remain responsible for the provider's current terms, rate limits, and permitted uses.

Research outputs

Source-controlled prose may summarize bounded aggregate validation counts and protocol terminals. Raw events, normalized rows, derived features, fitted model states, account-like records, and generated run bundles are not redistributed. Synthetic fixtures and smoke outputs are labeled SYNTHETIC_SMOKE and support software verification only.

The public website and Space may encode low-dimensional aggregate values when they link back to a named, checksummed source and preserve its evidence label. One explicit PUBLIC_DERIVED_ONLY exception is approved for assets/data/microstructure_backtest_reference.json and the identical Space copy. It contains 144 counterfactual scenario summaries from the NONCONFIRMATORY_CONTINUOUS_PILOT_EXPLORATION run: dimensions, gross P&L, fees, net P&L, turnover-normalized edge and drawdown, simple order/fill counts, and checksummed provenance. It excludes events, positions, ledgers, models, local paths, and the run bundle itself.

The approved summary must display “research reference only,” identify the single four-hour simulation, state that scenarios overlap and cannot be summed, and distinguish turnover-normalized marked drawdown from account return or capital-based drawdown.

Trading boundary

The repository has no authenticated exchange client, account connection, or order-entry path. Nothing in the public package is investment advice or evidence of executable profit.