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cascade eval pool — lagged public reveal

Daily snapshots of the held-out evaluation pool used by the cascade subnet, built from the tsbench-forge live catalog of real public time series across the 7 GIFT-Eval domains.

Each snapshot is revealed 24h AFTER it was used for scoring (as_of is a closed UTC day). Because the pool rotates daily, a released snapshot is always for a round that is already scored — it lets anyone reproduce the leaderboard without exposing the round currently in play.

Layout

snapshots/<YYYY-MM-DD>/          one folder per revealed day (as_of)
  <series_id>.npy                float32, freshest context_length + horizon points
  metadata.json                  {series_id: {freq, seasonal_period, domain, source}}
  provenance.json                build config (context_length, horizon, builder_version)

Scoring is identity-agnostic: MASE uses seasonal_period, CRPS/WQL use the values + a model's quantiles, and the KOTH cluster-bootstrap groups windows by source. Re-cut windows of context_length + horizon, forecast the horizon, and the metrics reproduce byte-for-byte.

Latest snapshot — 2026-07-27

  • series: 2875
  • domains: transport=1957, energy=342, healthcare=228, nature=181, sales=70, econ_fin=65, web_cloudops=32
  • cadences: min=1974, D=342, 30min=229, 5min=120, 15min=120, H=55, 10min=14, 6min=12, 240S=6, 15S=1, 10S=1, 1S=1

This is an evaluation set, not training data. Publishing it to train on would contaminate the benchmark it exists to measure.

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