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Transcript — 2026-08-16

Models: claude-opus-5, claude-sonnet-5, claude-haiku-4-5, claude-fable-5. Seed 20260812. Tools and MCP disabled.

Command (prompt over stdin):

claude -p --output-format json --model <model> --tools "" --strict-mcp-config --mcp-config no-mcp.json

Expected values are computed in run.ts, never by a model.

mrr-0

Question

A SaaS starts at $8,000 MRR. Each month, in this exact order: MRR first grows by 7.0%, then 2.4% of the resulting MRR churns away. What is MRR after 36 months?

Expected (computed in code): 38115.30678167854

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 38115.31

Parsed: 38115.31 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 936

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 38115.31

Parsed: 38115.31 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 5896

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: $38,115

Parsed: 38115 · error: 0.0008% · reasoning tokens: 7710

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 38115.34

Parsed: 38115.34 · error: 0.0001% · reasoning tokens: 1430

cash-1

Question

A company starts with $900,000 in cash. It spends a fixed $40,000 every month. Revenue is $18,000 in month 1 and grows 5.0% every month after that (month 2 revenue = month 1 revenue x 1.05, and so on). Cash after 60 months = starting cash + all revenue collected - all spend. What is it?

Expected (computed in code): 4864506.921884278

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 4864506.92

Parsed: 4864506.92 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 1018

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 4864506.96

Parsed: 4864506.96 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 3281

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 4864544.82

Parsed: 4864544.82 · error: 0.0008% · reasoning tokens: 3873

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 4864506.92

Parsed: 4864506.92 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 1182

ltv-2

Question

ARPU is $240/month, gross margin is 78%, monthly customer churn is 2.4%. Using LTV = ARPU x gross margin / monthly churn, what is LTV?

Expected (computed in code): 7800.000000000001

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 7800

Parsed: 7800 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 27

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 7800

Parsed: 7800 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 0

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 7800

Parsed: 7800 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 161

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 7800

Parsed: 7800 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 33

two-phase-3

Question

A SaaS starts at $26,000 MRR. Each month, in this exact order: MRR grows, then churn is applied to the grown figure. Growth is 9.0% for months 1 through 6, and 3.0% from month 7 onwards. Churn is 4.0% every month. What is MRR after 60 months?

Expected (computed in code): 18578.74834305274

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 18578.75

Parsed: 18578.75 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 1665

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 18578.73

Parsed: 18578.73 · error: 0.0001% · reasoning tokens: 10793

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 18553

Parsed: 18553 · error: 0.1386% · reasoning tokens: 13085

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 18578.75

Parsed: 18578.75 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 1148

runway-4

Question

A company has $300,000 in cash and no revenue. Monthly burn is $60,000 in months 1, 2 and 3, then increases by $10,000 every 3 months (so it steps up in month 4, again in month 7, and so on). In which month number does the cash balance first go below zero?

Expected (computed in code): 5

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 5

Parsed: 5 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 90

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 5

Parsed: 5 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 133

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 5

Parsed: 5 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 355

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 5

Parsed: 5 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 104

mrr-5

Question

A SaaS starts at $12,000 MRR. Each month, in this exact order: MRR first grows by 4.0%, then 3.5% of the resulting MRR churns away. What is MRR after 60 months?

Expected (computed in code): 14887.453040647115

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 14887.45

Parsed: 14887.45 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 338

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 14887.45

Parsed: 14887.45 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 1403

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 14887.54

Parsed: 14887.54 · error: 0.0006% · reasoning tokens: 10160

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 14887.46

Parsed: 14887.46 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 488

cash-6

Question

A company starts with $420,000 in cash. It spends a fixed $40,000 every month. Revenue is $18,000 in month 1 and grows 11.0% every month after that (month 2 revenue = month 1 revenue x 1.11, and so on). Cash after 36 months = starting cash + all revenue collected - all spend. What is it?

Expected (computed in code): 5822959.304807226

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 5822959

Parsed: 5822959 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 1440

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 5822959.31

Parsed: 5822959.31 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 5427

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 5831410

Parsed: 5831410 · error: 0.1451% · reasoning tokens: 7051

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 5822959

Parsed: 5822959 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 1585

ltv-7

Question

ARPU is $49/month, gross margin is 91%, monthly customer churn is 1.9%. Using LTV = ARPU x gross margin / monthly churn, what is LTV?

Expected (computed in code): 2346.842105263158

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 2346.84

Parsed: 2346.84 · error: 0.0001% · reasoning tokens: 45

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 2347.37

Parsed: 2347.37 · error: 0.0225% · reasoning tokens: 33

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 2346.32

Parsed: 2346.32 · error: 0.0222% · reasoning tokens: 421

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 2346.84

Parsed: 2346.84 · error: 0.0001% · reasoning tokens: 42

two-phase-8

Question

A SaaS starts at $9,000 MRR. Each month, in this exact order: MRR grows, then churn is applied to the grown figure. Growth is 9.0% for months 1 through 6, and 3.0% from month 7 onwards. Churn is 1.5% every month. What is MRR after 36 months?

Expected (computed in code): 21262.901931922686

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 21262.9

Parsed: 21262.9 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 2055

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 21262.91

Parsed: 21262.91 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 7349

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 21271

Parsed: 21271 · error: 0.0381% · reasoning tokens: 14239

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 21263

Parsed: 21263 · error: 0.0005% · reasoning tokens: 2161

runway-9

Question

A company has $750,000 in cash and no revenue. Monthly burn is $60,000 in months 1, 2 and 3, then increases by $10,000 every 3 months (so it steps up in month 4, again in month 7, and so on). In which month number does the cash balance first go below zero?

Expected (computed in code): 11

claude-opus-5

ANSWER: 11

Parsed: 11 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 157

claude-sonnet-5

ANSWER: 11

Parsed: 11 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 205

claude-haiku-4-5 (answered by claude-haiku-4-5-20251001)

ANSWER: 11

Parsed: 11 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 972

claude-fable-5

ANSWER: 11

Parsed: 11 · error: 0.0000% · reasoning tokens: 101