Datasets:
series stringclasses 5
values | label stringclasses 5
values | month timestamp[s]date 2012-03-01 00:00:00 2023-09-01 00:00:00 | first_release float64 3.5 157k | first_vintage timestamp[s]date 2012-04-10 00:00:00 2023-10-20 00:00:00 | was_latest_in_vintage bool 1
class | current float64 3.5 156k | revised bool 2
classes | delta float64 -891 1.02k | delta_pct float64 -6.82 2.78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2012-03-01T00:00:00 | 132,821 | 2012-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 133,748 | true | 927 | 0.6979 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2012-09-01T00:00:00 | 133,500 | 2012-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 134,517 | true | 1,017 | 0.7618 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2013-03-01T00:00:00 | 135,195 | 2013-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 135,689 | true | 494 | 0.3654 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2013-09-01T00:00:00 | 136,290 | 2013-10-28T00:00:00 | true | 136,821 | true | 531 | 0.3896 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2014-03-01T00:00:00 | 137,928 | 2014-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 137,985 | true | 57 | 0.0413 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2014-09-01T00:00:00 | 139,435 | 2014-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 139,563 | true | 128 | 0.0918 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2015-03-01T00:00:00 | 141,183 | 2015-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 140,923 | true | -260 | -0.1842 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2015-09-01T00:00:00 | 142,371 | 2015-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 142,275 | true | -96 | -0.0674 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2016-03-01T00:00:00 | 143,774 | 2016-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 143,662 | true | -112 | -0.0779 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2016-09-01T00:00:00 | 144,747 | 2016-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 144,967 | true | 220 | 0.152 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2017-03-01T00:00:00 | 145,858 | 2017-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 145,970 | true | 112 | 0.0768 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2017-09-01T00:00:00 | 146,659 | 2017-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 147,008 | true | 349 | 0.238 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2018-03-01T00:00:00 | 148,230 | 2018-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 148,280 | true | 50 | 0.0337 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2018-09-01T00:00:00 | 149,500 | 2018-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 149,358 | true | -142 | -0.095 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2019-03-01T00:00:00 | 150,816 | 2019-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 150,295 | true | -521 | -0.3455 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2019-09-01T00:00:00 | 151,722 | 2019-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 151,365 | true | -357 | -0.2353 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2020-03-01T00:00:00 | 151,786 | 2020-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 150,895 | true | -891 | -0.587 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2020-09-01T00:00:00 | 141,720 | 2020-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 141,770 | true | 50 | 0.0353 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2021-03-01T00:00:00 | 144,120 | 2021-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 144,232 | true | 112 | 0.0777 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2021-09-01T00:00:00 | 147,553 | 2021-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 147,771 | true | 218 | 0.1477 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2022-03-01T00:00:00 | 150,925 | 2022-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 151,315 | true | 390 | 0.2584 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2022-09-01T00:00:00 | 153,018 | 2022-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 153,582 | true | 564 | 0.3686 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2023-03-01T00:00:00 | 155,569 | 2023-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 155,134 | true | -435 | -0.2796 |
PAYEMS | nonfarm payroll employment, thousands of persons | 2023-09-01T00:00:00 | 156,874 | 2023-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 156,417 | true | -457 | -0.2913 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2012-03-01T00:00:00 | 8.2 | 2012-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 8.2 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2012-09-01T00:00:00 | 7.8 | 2012-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 7.8 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2013-03-01T00:00:00 | 7.6 | 2013-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 7.5 | true | -0.1 | -1.3158 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2013-09-01T00:00:00 | 7.2 | 2013-10-28T00:00:00 | true | 7.2 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2014-03-01T00:00:00 | 6.7 | 2014-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 6.7 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2014-09-01T00:00:00 | 5.9 | 2014-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 5.9 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2015-03-01T00:00:00 | 5.5 | 2015-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 5.4 | true | -0.1 | -1.8182 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2015-09-01T00:00:00 | 5.1 | 2015-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 5 | true | -0.1 | -1.9608 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2016-03-01T00:00:00 | 5 | 2016-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 5 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2016-09-01T00:00:00 | 5 | 2016-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 5 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2017-03-01T00:00:00 | 4.5 | 2017-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 4.4 | true | -0.1 | -2.2222 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2017-09-01T00:00:00 | 4.2 | 2017-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 4.3 | true | 0.1 | 2.381 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2018-03-01T00:00:00 | 4.1 | 2018-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 4 | true | -0.1 | -2.439 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2018-09-01T00:00:00 | 3.7 | 2018-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 3.7 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2019-03-01T00:00:00 | 3.8 | 2019-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 3.8 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2019-09-01T00:00:00 | 3.5 | 2019-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 3.5 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2020-03-01T00:00:00 | 4.4 | 2020-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 4.4 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2020-09-01T00:00:00 | 7.9 | 2020-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 7.8 | true | -0.1 | -1.2658 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2021-03-01T00:00:00 | 6 | 2021-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 6.1 | true | 0.1 | 1.6667 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2021-09-01T00:00:00 | 4.8 | 2021-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 4.7 | true | -0.1 | -2.0833 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2022-03-01T00:00:00 | 3.6 | 2022-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 3.7 | true | 0.1 | 2.7778 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2022-09-01T00:00:00 | 3.5 | 2022-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 3.5 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2023-03-01T00:00:00 | 3.5 | 2023-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 3.5 | false | 0 | 0 |
UNRATE | unemployment rate, percent | 2023-09-01T00:00:00 | 3.8 | 2023-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 3.7 | true | -0.1 | -2.6316 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2012-03-01T00:00:00 | 96.5685 | 2012-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 96.74 | true | 0.1715 | 0.1776 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2012-09-01T00:00:00 | 97.0328 | 2012-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 97.381 | true | 0.3482 | 0.3588 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2013-03-01T00:00:00 | 99.4765 | 2013-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 99.1921 | true | -0.2844 | -0.2859 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2013-09-01T00:00:00 | 100.0439 | 2013-10-28T00:00:00 | true | 100.161 | true | 0.1171 | 0.117 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2014-03-01T00:00:00 | 103.2374 | 2014-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 101.8942 | true | -1.3432 | -1.3011 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2014-09-01T00:00:00 | 105.0728 | 2014-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 103.0641 | true | -2.0087 | -1.9117 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2015-03-01T00:00:00 | 105.2161 | 2015-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 101.8914 | true | -3.3247 | -3.1599 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2015-09-01T00:00:00 | 107.0917 | 2015-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 100.7547 | true | -6.337 | -5.9174 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2016-03-01T00:00:00 | 103.3759 | 2016-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 98.3096 | true | -5.0663 | -4.9009 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2016-09-01T00:00:00 | 104.226 | 2016-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 98.7457 | true | -5.4803 | -5.2581 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2017-03-01T00:00:00 | 104.0998 | 2017-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 99.0137 | true | -5.0861 | -4.8858 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2017-09-01T00:00:00 | 104.6367 | 2017-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 99.7954 | true | -4.8413 | -4.6268 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2018-03-01T00:00:00 | 107.1665 | 2018-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 102.2067 | true | -4.9598 | -4.6281 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2018-09-01T00:00:00 | 108.4822 | 2018-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 104.1004 | true | -4.3818 | -4.0392 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2019-03-01T00:00:00 | 110.2214 | 2019-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 102.8757 | true | -7.3457 | -6.6645 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2019-09-01T00:00:00 | 109.5174 | 2019-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 102.2917 | true | -7.2257 | -6.5978 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2020-03-01T00:00:00 | 103.6635 | 2020-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 97.4078 | true | -6.2557 | -6.0346 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2020-09-01T00:00:00 | 101.5055 | 2020-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 95.9669 | true | -5.5386 | -5.4565 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2021-03-01T00:00:00 | 105.583 | 2021-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 98.3856 | true | -7.1974 | -6.8168 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2021-09-01T00:00:00 | 100.0178 | 2021-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 98.8579 | true | -1.1599 | -1.1597 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2022-03-01T00:00:00 | 104.5853 | 2022-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 101.3907 | true | -3.1946 | -3.0545 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2022-09-01T00:00:00 | 105.1762 | 2022-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 101.2918 | true | -3.8844 | -3.6932 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2023-03-01T00:00:00 | 103.0258 | 2023-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 101.0205 | true | -2.0053 | -1.9464 |
INDPRO | industrial production index | 2023-09-01T00:00:00 | 103.6115 | 2023-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 101.0211 | true | -2.5904 | -2.5001 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2012-03-01T00:00:00 | 229.098 | 2012-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 228.807 | true | -0.291 | -0.127 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2012-09-01T00:00:00 | 231.414 | 2012-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 231.015 | true | -0.399 | -0.1724 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2013-03-01T00:00:00 | 232.34 | 2013-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 232.282 | true | -0.058 | -0.025 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2014-03-01T00:00:00 | 235.64 | 2014-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 236.028 | true | 0.388 | 0.1647 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2014-09-01T00:00:00 | 237.633 | 2014-10-28T00:00:00 | true | 237.477 | true | -0.156 | -0.0656 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2015-03-01T00:00:00 | 235.74 | 2015-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 235.976 | true | 0.236 | 0.1001 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2015-09-01T00:00:00 | 237.566 | 2015-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 237.498 | true | -0.068 | -0.0286 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2016-03-01T00:00:00 | 237.92 | 2016-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 238.08 | true | 0.16 | 0.0672 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2016-09-01T00:00:00 | 241.002 | 2016-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 241.176 | true | 0.174 | 0.0722 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2017-03-01T00:00:00 | 243.752 | 2017-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 243.892 | true | 0.14 | 0.0574 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2017-09-01T00:00:00 | 246.373 | 2017-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 246.435 | true | 0.062 | 0.0252 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2018-03-01T00:00:00 | 249.462 | 2018-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 249.577 | true | 0.115 | 0.0461 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2018-09-01T00:00:00 | 251.994 | 2018-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 252.182 | true | 0.188 | 0.0746 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2019-03-01T00:00:00 | 254.148 | 2019-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 254.277 | true | 0.129 | 0.0508 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2019-09-01T00:00:00 | 256.358 | 2019-10-10T00:00:00 | true | 256.43 | true | 0.072 | 0.0281 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2020-03-01T00:00:00 | 257.953 | 2020-04-10T00:00:00 | true | 258.076 | true | 0.123 | 0.0477 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2020-09-01T00:00:00 | 260.209 | 2020-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 259.997 | true | -0.212 | -0.0815 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2021-03-01T00:00:00 | 264.793 | 2021-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 264.961 | true | 0.168 | 0.0634 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2021-09-01T00:00:00 | 274.138 | 2021-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 273.91 | true | -0.228 | -0.0832 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2022-03-01T00:00:00 | 287.708 | 2022-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 287.674 | true | -0.034 | -0.0118 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2022-09-01T00:00:00 | 296.761 | 2022-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 296.349 | true | -0.412 | -0.1388 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2023-03-01T00:00:00 | 301.808 | 2023-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 301.821 | true | 0.013 | 0.0043 |
CPIAUCSL | consumer price index, seasonally adjusted | 2023-09-01T00:00:00 | 307.481 | 2023-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 307.276 | true | -0.205 | -0.0667 |
CPIAUCNS | consumer price index, NOT seasonally adjusted (control: never revised) | 2012-03-01T00:00:00 | 229.392 | 2012-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 229.392 | false | 0 | 0 |
CPIAUCNS | consumer price index, NOT seasonally adjusted (control: never revised) | 2012-09-01T00:00:00 | 231.407 | 2012-10-20T00:00:00 | true | 231.407 | false | 0 | 0 |
CPIAUCNS | consumer price index, NOT seasonally adjusted (control: never revised) | 2013-03-01T00:00:00 | 232.773 | 2013-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 232.773 | false | 0 | 0 |
CPIAUCNS | consumer price index, NOT seasonally adjusted (control: never revised) | 2014-03-01T00:00:00 | 236.293 | 2014-04-20T00:00:00 | true | 236.293 | false | 0 | 0 |
CPIAUCNS | consumer price index, NOT seasonally adjusted (control: never revised) | 2014-09-01T00:00:00 | 238.031 | 2014-10-28T00:00:00 | true | 238.031 | false | 0 | 0 |
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio
stat-revision
Author: Dmitriy Semenkevich (dimhold)
This dataset measures which of 2 official values a model gives from memory for revised US statistics (the first release or today's value): 94 observations, 7 models from 3 labs, 3 trials.
Headline, from the repository: of the answers that hit exactly one of the 2 official values, 208 (90.8%) hit the first release and 21 (9.2%) today's value. The effect was published first by Crane, Karra and Soto (FEDS 2025-044), and "almost all of it is one series", unemployment.
This is a mirror. The canonical home is the Zenodo record and the GitHub repository; criteria, limitations and full tables live there.
- Code and full write up: https://github.com/dimhold/stat-revision
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22417818
Files
| path | what it is |
|---|---|
calls.jsonl |
every call with its full request, reply and usage |
results.json |
1718 usable parsed cells |
groundtruth.json |
the first release and the current value for each observation, from FRED and ALFRED |
How it was produced
Run on 2026-09-05 through an OpenAI compatible gateway with no tools and no search. Ground truth comes from FRED and ALFRED (groundtruth.py in the repository). The criteria were written before the first number (CRITERIA.md in the repository). The scripts that turn these files into every number are in the GitHub repository.
Licence
MIT, the licence of the repository, covering code and data.
Citation
@misc{semenkevich2026statrevision,
author = {Semenkevich, Dmitriy},
title = {stat-revision: do models remember statistics as first published or as revised?},
year = {2026},
doi = {10.5281/zenodo.22417818},
url = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22417818}
}
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