Datasets:
id stringlengths 24 24 | prompt stringlengths 434 1.18k | end_time stringdate 2026-10-07 23:00:00+0800 2026-10-14 00:00:00+0800 | level int64 1 4 | en_title stringlengths 155 515 |
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00a9c27ca62a416c496ed76b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Statistics Canada's Labour Force Survey release for September 2026, published in The Daily on 9 October 2026, will Canada's seasonally adjusted national unemployment rate be at or above 6.5%? (resolved around 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 (GMT+... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In Statistics Canada's Labour Force Survey release for September 2026, published in The Daily on 9 October 2026, will Canada's seasonally adjusted national unemployment rate be at or above 6.5%? |
4f49e3acc32d4cfcd3dadca2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Slovenia's binding legislative referendum held on 11 October 2026 on the Act Amending the Parliamentary Inquiry Act (ZPPre-B, adopted by the Državni zbor on 26 May 2026), will the law be REJECTED under the Slovenian rejection quorum — i.e. ... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In Slovenia's binding legislative referendum held on 11 October 2026 on the Act Amending the Parliamentary Inquiry Act (ZPPre-B, adopted by the Državni zbor on 26 May 2026), will the law be REJECTED under the Slovenian rejection quorum — i.e. will the State Election Commission (DVK) results show both (a) a majority of ... |
73996496b7611cac04052f6f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the U.S. National Hurricane Center name a ninth Atlantic-basin tropical or subtropical storm of the 2026 season (i.e. a system named Isaias or later on the 2026 Atlantic list) with its first naming advisory issued between 2026-10-06 16:00... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the U.S. National Hurricane Center name a ninth Atlantic-basin tropical or subtropical storm of the 2026 season (i.e. a system named Isaias or later on the 2026 Atlantic list) with its first naming advisory issued between 2026-10-06 16:00 UTC and 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC (= 7 October 00:00 to 13 October 24:00 GMT+8)? |
3b01390b8b85ca3a9749bdcd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Delta Air Lines' September quarter 2026 financial results, released before the U.S. market open on Friday 9 October 2026, will the figure reported on the 'Adjusted earnings per share (diluted)' line for the September 2026 quarter be at or a... | 2026-10-11T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In Delta Air Lines' September quarter 2026 financial results, released before the U.S. market open on Friday 9 October 2026, will the figure reported on the 'Adjusted earnings per share (diluted)' line for the September 2026 quarter be at or above $2.30? |
3d775a19b7a87a01f7ed3920 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the China National Influenza Center's weekly influenza surveillance report for 2026 week 40 (surveillance week 28 September - 4 October 2026, scheduled for publication on Thursday 8 October 2026), will influenza B virus be reported as accou... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the China National Influenza Center's weekly influenza surveillance report for 2026 week 40 (surveillance week 28 September - 4 October 2026, scheduled for publication on Thursday 8 October 2026), will influenza B virus be reported as accounting for 40.0% or more of nationwide influenza-positive samples? |
7ae35d549abab18bc9c1d762 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the Japan Meteorological Agency's official daily observation table for Tokyo (Otemachi, station block number 47662) record a daily maximum temperature of 25.0 degrees Celsius or higher - a 'natsubi' (summer day) - for 11 October 2026? (re... | 2026-10-13T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the Japan Meteorological Agency's official daily observation table for Tokyo (Otemachi, station block number 47662) record a daily maximum temperature of 25.0 degrees Celsius or higher - a 'natsubi' (summer day) - for 11 October 2026? |
df17e84a3546ec236d2c97a2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NHS England's monthly Consultant-led Referral to Treatment (RTT) Waiting Times release for the reference month August 2026, published on Thursday 8 October 2026, will the headline percentage of incomplete RTT pathways waiting up to 18 weeks... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 1 | In NHS England's monthly Consultant-led Referral to Treatment (RTT) Waiting Times release for the reference month August 2026, published on Thursday 8 October 2026, will the headline percentage of incomplete RTT pathways waiting up to 18 weeks in England be 65.5% or higher? |
d9dc1aeeec5fdce4c5574d08 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At its interest rate announcement on Wednesday 7 October 2026, will the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Iceland (Sedlabanki Islands) set the Bank's key interest rate - the rate on seven-day term deposits - above 8.00%? (resolv... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | At its interest rate announcement on Wednesday 7 October 2026, will the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Iceland (Sedlabanki Islands) set the Bank's key interest rate - the rate on seven-day term deposits - above 8.00%? |
0810e75743850ab503dbe2e1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At the conclusion of the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee meeting held 5-7 October 2026, will the MPC resolution announced on Wednesday 7 October 2026 set the policy repo rate ABOVE its current 5.25 per cent? (resolved around 20... | 2026-10-08T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | At the conclusion of the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee meeting held 5-7 October 2026, will the MPC resolution announced on Wednesday 7 October 2026 set the policy repo rate ABOVE its current 5.25 per cent? |
1e5713c3f83b4ac6905be233 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which team will win the NFL 2026 regular-season Week 5 Monday Night Football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California (kickoff 12 October 2026 20:15 ET / 13 October 2026 08:15 GMT+8)? (reso... | 2026-10-13T22:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Which team will win the NFL 2026 regular-season Week 5 Monday Night Football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California (kickoff 12 October 2026 20:15 ET / 13 October 2026 08:15 GMT+8)? |
994ee9cb2eacd5c29c4909d1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which team will win 2026 American League Division Series Game 3 between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees, played at Yankee Stadium (MLB gamePk 849838, scheduled 7 October 2026 20:00 ET / 8 October 2026 08:00 GMT+8)? (resolved around... | 2026-10-10T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Which team will win 2026 American League Division Series Game 3 between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees, played at Yankee Stadium (MLB gamePk 849838, scheduled 7 October 2026 20:00 ET / 8 October 2026 08:00 GMT+8)? |
d42e58f2e9c762a5f3376b84 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 2026/27 matchday 8 fixture Feyenoord vs AZ, played at Stadion Feijenoord (De Kuip), Rotterdam on Saturday 10 October 2026 with a 18:45 CEST kick-off, what will the result be after 90 minutes plus referee's sto... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 2026/27 matchday 8 fixture Feyenoord vs AZ, played at Stadion Feijenoord (De Kuip), Rotterdam on Saturday 10 October 2026 with a 18:45 CEST kick-off, what will the result be after 90 minutes plus referee's stoppage time (regulation time only)? |
f052fc9386fd549894e1410a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will NOAA's Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook issued at 1300 UTC on 12 October 2026 (valid 121300Z-131200Z) delineate at least a Marginal Risk (MRGL) categorical severe-thunderstorm area somewhere in the United States, rather th... | 2026-10-13T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will NOAA's Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook issued at 1300 UTC on 12 October 2026 (valid 121300Z-131200Z) delineate at least a Marginal Risk (MRGL) categorical severe-thunderstorm area somewhere in the United States, rather than stating that no severe thunderstorm areas are forecast? |
d41844176d084526b9324c94 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In ECDC's Communicable Disease Threats Report for week 41 of 2026 (covering 3-9 October 2026, published Friday 9 October 2026), will the cumulative number of locally acquired human West Nile virus infection cases reported in Europe for the 202... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In ECDC's Communicable Disease Threats Report for week 41 of 2026 (covering 3-9 October 2026, published Friday 9 October 2026), will the cumulative number of locally acquired human West Nile virus infection cases reported in Europe for the 2026 transmission season be stated as 1,900 or more? |
3b3c0c64383071fd5d7f244f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NHS England's Consultant-led Referral to Treatment (RTT) Waiting Times statistics for August 2026, published in the 'Aug26 RTT statistical press notice' on Thursday 8 October 2026, will the figure printed in Table 1 ('RTT pathways by treatm... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 1 | In NHS England's Consultant-led Referral to Treatment (RTT) Waiting Times statistics for August 2026, published in the 'Aug26 RTT statistical press notice' on Thursday 8 October 2026, will the figure printed in Table 1 ('RTT pathways by treatment function, not including estimates for missing trusts, August 2026, Englan... |
e842dfb465d1293c554fc9bd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Saudi Pro League 2026/27 matchweek 8 fixture Al-Hilal vs Al-Ittihad at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh on Saturday 10 October 2026 (21:00 Riyadh time kick-off), what will the result be after 90 minutes plus the referee's stoppage time (regulation... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the Saudi Pro League 2026/27 matchweek 8 fixture Al-Hilal vs Al-Ittihad at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh on Saturday 10 October 2026 (21:00 Riyadh time kick-off), what will the result be after 90 minutes plus the referee's stoppage time (regulation time only)? |
4fe949206e58880a6de3cdb1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At the voting session of the European Parliament's Strasbourg plenary sitting of Thursday 8 October 2026, will Parliament ADOPT the motion for a resolution objecting, pursuant to Rule 115(2), (3) and (4)(c) of its Rules of Procedure, to the Co... | 2026-10-10T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | At the voting session of the European Parliament's Strasbourg plenary sitting of Thursday 8 October 2026, will Parliament ADOPT the motion for a resolution objecting, pursuant to Rule 115(2), (3) and (4)(c) of its Rules of Procedure, to the Commission act on lead in gunshot? |
e408c84872499e8f3a4412c6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the women's international friendly United States vs Spain at Audi Field, Washington, D.C. on Saturday 10 October 2026 (14:30 ET kick-off), what will the result be after 90 minutes plus the referee's stoppage time (regulation time only)? (re... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the women's international friendly United States vs Spain at Audi Field, Washington, D.C. on Saturday 10 October 2026 (14:30 ET kick-off), what will the result be after 90 minutes plus the referee's stoppage time (regulation time only)? |
6452155922eed22035f53b06 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the IBGE first release of Brazil's IPCA (Indice Nacional de Precos ao Consumidor Amplo) for the reference month September 2026, published on 9 October 2026, will the accumulated variation over the last 12 months ('acumulado nos ultimos 12 m... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the IBGE first release of Brazil's IPCA (Indice Nacional de Precos ao Consumidor Amplo) for the reference month September 2026, published on 9 October 2026, will the accumulated variation over the last 12 months ('acumulado nos ultimos 12 meses') for Brazil as a whole be at or above 4.50%? |
7e78f79c534c3300603c1df6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "The fifth flight of South Korea's KSLV-II Nuri launch vehicle is scheduled from the Naro Space Center, Goheung, for a window of 12:23-13:23 KST on Wednesday 7 October 2026, carrying five NEONSAT cluster satellites plus ten cubesats, with an of... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | The fifth flight of South Korea's KSLV-II Nuri launch vehicle is scheduled from the Naro Space Center, Goheung, for a window of 12:23-13:23 KST on Wednesday 7 October 2026, carrying five NEONSAT cluster satellites plus ten cubesats, with an official primary-mission success criterion of inserting all five NEONSAT satell... |
458dc029572ab116df0f42e4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which composer will win Film Composer of the Year at the 26th World Soundtrack Awards, presented at the WSA Ceremony & Concert in Ghent on Saturday 10 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Alexand... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 2 | Which composer will win Film Composer of the Year at the 26th World Soundtrack Awards, presented at the WSA Ceremony & Concert in Ghent on Saturday 10 October 2026? |
479d15cf01e2c3c84fbc58b5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the single highest 3-hourly planetary Kp index value issued by GFZ Potsdam for any 3-hour interval beginning between 2026-10-07 00:00 GMT+8 and 2026-10-13 00:00 GMT+8? (resolved around 2026-10-13T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the ou... | 2026-10-13T12:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the single highest 3-hourly planetary Kp index value issued by GFZ Potsdam for any 3-hour interval beginning between 2026-10-07 00:00 GMT+8 and 2026-10-13 00:00 GMT+8? |
4fd077ca8ab49b88edb23e63 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many laureates will be named in the official press release for the Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2026, announced by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences on 7 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-07T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be ... | 2026-10-07T23:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many laureates will be named in the official press release for the Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2026, announced by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences on 7 October 2026? |
885f322134172634f9ffd26a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the Nobel Peace Prize 2026, announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee on 9 October 2026, go solely to individual person(s), solely to organisation(s), or to a mix of both, as named in the official press release? (resolved around 2026-10-... | 2026-10-09T22:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Will the Nobel Peace Prize 2026, announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee on 9 October 2026, go solely to individual person(s), solely to organisation(s), or to a mix of both, as named in the official press release? |
3358a8567f6584905382abd9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Slovenia's consultative referendum of 11 October 2026 on abolishing the mandatory RTV Slovenija contribution (ballot question: 'Ali ste za to, da se ukine obvezno plačevanje prispevka za programe Radiotelevizije Slovenija?'), which band wil... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In Slovenia's consultative referendum of 11 October 2026 on abolishing the mandatory RTV Slovenija contribution (ballot question: 'Ali ste za to, da se ukine obvezno plačevanje prispevka za programe Radiotelevizije Slovenija?'), which band will the 'ZA' (yes) share of valid votes on THAT question fall into according to... |
f7859e0a19a2342f801bba5a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the first round of the 2026 Czech Senate elections on 9-10 October 2026, in how many of the 27 contested constituencies will the candidate nominated by ANO 2011 finish FIRST on the Czech Statistical Office first-round results (regardless of... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In the first round of the 2026 Czech Senate elections on 9-10 October 2026, in how many of the 27 contested constituencies will the candidate nominated by ANO 2011 finish FIRST on the Czech Statistical Office first-round results (regardless of whether a second round follows)? |
c8f43da4fbb5a23375981319 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the NSIDC Sea Ice Index Version 4.0 Northern Hemisphere daily extent data file, which range will the Arctic sea ice extent for 9 October 2026 fall into? (resolved around 2026-10-14T00:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Less than 6.10 m... | 2026-10-14T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In the NSIDC Sea Ice Index Version 4.0 Northern Hemisphere daily extent data file, which range will the Arctic sea ice extent for 9 October 2026 fall into? |
ab303f7fbab16423c4a3a90b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many earthquakes with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or greater will the USGS ComCat catalogue list worldwide (event type 'earthquake') for origin times from 2026-10-07 00:00:00 GMT+8 up to 2026-10-13 00:00:00 GMT+8? (resolved around 2026-10... | 2026-10-13T20:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many earthquakes with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or greater will the USGS ComCat catalogue list worldwide (event type 'earthquake') for origin times from 2026-10-07 00:00:00 GMT+8 up to 2026-10-13 00:00:00 GMT+8? |
f1d07d18bc7dcaa3b911de2e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NOAA Storm Prediction Center's archived Day 1 Convective Outlook valid 2026-10-09 1200Z to 2026-10-10 1200Z, which highest categorical severe-thunderstorm risk will the product's all-capitals headline line state for the contiguous United St... | 2026-10-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In NOAA Storm Prediction Center's archived Day 1 Convective Outlook valid 2026-10-09 1200Z to 2026-10-10 1200Z, which highest categorical severe-thunderstorm risk will the product's all-capitals headline line state for the contiguous United States? |
ed4d0add2ba048d477104a03 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NOAA CPC's monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussion issued on 8 October 2026, the Synopsis paragraph states the September 2026 monthly value of the Nino-3.4 index in degrees Celsius. In which range will that stated Nino-3.4 value fall? (resolved ... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In NOAA CPC's monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussion issued on 8 October 2026, the Synopsis paragraph states the September 2026 monthly value of the Nino-3.4 index in degrees Celsius. In which range will that stated Nino-3.4 value fall? |
83e6442191e0ed02f5805ec6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the ONS accredited official statistics release 'Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending 25 September 2026', published at 09:30 UK time on 7 October 2026, in which range will the provisional total number of de... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In the ONS accredited official statistics release 'Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending 25 September 2026', published at 09:30 UK time on 7 October 2026, in which range will the provisional total number of deaths registered in England and Wales in that week (all ages, both sexes) fall... |
917aa79cc421be87098ac1f9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NHS England's Ambulance Quality Indicators (AmbSYS) release for September 2026, published on 8 October 2026, which band will contain the England-wide Category 2 MEAN ambulance response time? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 2 | In NHS England's Ambulance Quality Indicators (AmbSYS) release for September 2026, published on 8 October 2026, which band will contain the England-wide Category 2 MEAN ambulance response time? |
4a7e6188951a0d21f8f618b4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In MoSPI's All India Consumer Price Index press release for September 2026, scheduled for 12 October 2026 at 16:00 IST, which range will the headline year-on-year CPI (Combined, rural+urban, base 2024=100) inflation rate fall into? (resolved a... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In MoSPI's All India Consumer Price Index press release for September 2026, scheduled for 12 October 2026 at 16:00 IST, which range will the headline year-on-year CPI (Combined, rural+urban, base 2024=100) inflation rate fall into? |
faacb5a4653d968e557e5e7f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the U.S. Census Bureau Monthly Wholesale Trade report for August 2026, released 10:00 a.m. ET on Thursday 8 October 2026, which range will the month-over-month percent change in seasonally adjusted SALES of merchant wholesalers (except manu... | 2026-10-09T12:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In the U.S. Census Bureau Monthly Wholesale Trade report for August 2026, released 10:00 a.m. ET on Thursday 8 October 2026, which range will the month-over-month percent change in seasonally adjusted SALES of merchant wholesalers (except manufacturers' sales branches and offices) fall into? |
4a64974701e17db6380d6f45 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many total games will the 2026 National League Division Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres last (counting all games actually played in that best-of-five series, whose potential Game 5 is scheduled for 9 October 2... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many total games will the 2026 National League Division Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres last (counting all games actually played in that best-of-five series, whose potential Game 5 is scheduled for 9 October 2026 at Milwaukee)? |
78127f9ba80c745f25778b68 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers preliminary October 2026 release (scheduled Friday 9 October 2026, 10:00 a.m. ET), which range will the headline Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026 fall into? (resolved around 2026-1... | 2026-10-11T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers preliminary October 2026 release (scheduled Friday 9 October 2026, 10:00 a.m. ET), which range will the headline Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026 fall into? |
82273128fefae1725a128e9c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the 2026 Formula 1 Singapore Airlines Singapore Grand Prix (Marina Bay Street Circuit, 62-lap race on Sunday 11 October 2026), which band will the race winner's official margin of victory over the second-placed classified driver fall into? ... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In the 2026 Formula 1 Singapore Airlines Singapore Grand Prix (Marina Bay Street Circuit, 62-lap race on Sunday 11 October 2026), which band will the race winner's official margin of victory over the second-placed classified driver fall into? |
dc50f271fa6a569ca33694ad | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many maps will be played in total in the Grand Final of ESL Pro League Season 24 (Counter-Strike 2, Spodek Arena, Katowice, Poland), the best-of-five championship match scheduled for Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC? (resolved around 20... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many maps will be played in total in the Grand Final of ESL Pro League Season 24 (Counter-Strike 2, Spodek Arena, Katowice, Poland), the best-of-five championship match scheduled for Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC? |
f501e85cab52e42de0364f31 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At the close of the Narodowy Bank Polski Monetary Policy Council (Rada Polityki Pienieznej) meeting held 6-7 October 2026, what level will the communique published on 7 October 2026 set for the NBP REFERENCE RATE (stopa referencyjna), given th... | 2026-10-09T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | At the close of the Narodowy Bank Polski Monetary Policy Council (Rada Polityki Pienieznej) meeting held 6-7 October 2026, what level will the communique published on 7 October 2026 set for the NBP REFERENCE RATE (stopa referencyjna), given that it stood at 3.75 per cent going into the meeting? |
8c562b7a28e7361496cbf673 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Japan's Cabinet Office Economy Watchers Survey for September 2026, released on 8 October 2026, which range will the seasonally-adjusted DI for CURRENT economic conditions fall into? (resolved around 2026-10-09T00:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. th... | 2026-10-09T00:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In Japan's Cabinet Office Economy Watchers Survey for September 2026, released on 8 October 2026, which range will the seasonally-adjusted DI for CURRENT economic conditions fall into? |
816b708cc8eff75a6836b861 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On the ARIA Top 50 Singles Chart dated 12 October 2026 (the Australian Recording Industry Association's official weekly singles chart, released Friday 9 October 2026), exactly how many of the 50 listed entries will be new entries - that is, en... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | On the ARIA Top 50 Singles Chart dated 12 October 2026 (the Australian Recording Industry Association's official weekly singles chart, released Friday 9 October 2026), exactly how many of the 50 listed entries will be new entries - that is, entries carrying the 'New!' marker with a dash in place of a last-week position... |
8b81d3984fce3f9f91032485 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On the UK Official Albums Chart Top 100 dated 9 October 2026, how many of the Top 10 entries will be brand-new entries, i.e. have their 'LW' (last week) field printed as 'New'? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exact... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 3 | On the UK Official Albums Chart Top 100 dated 9 October 2026, how many of the Top 10 entries will be brand-new entries, i.e. have their 'LW' (last week) field printed as 'New'? |
79c47448ca770bd4acf4c063 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On the ARIA Top 50 Albums Chart dated 12 October 2026 (released by the Australian Recording Industry Association on Friday 9 October 2026), at exactly what chart position will Taylor Swift's album 'The Life Of A Showgirl' be listed? (resolved ... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | On the ARIA Top 50 Albums Chart dated 12 October 2026 (released by the Australian Recording Industry Association on Friday 9 October 2026), at exactly what chart position will Taylor Swift's album 'The Life Of A Showgirl' be listed? |
a7ec5918ea927bbf1859f6c7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On the Oricon Weekly Singles Ranking dated 19 October 2026 (tally period 5-11 October 2026, announced Tuesday 13 October 2026), how many copies will the No.1 single's 'estimated sales copies' (推定売上枚数) figure show? (resolved around 2026-10-13T2... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 3 | On the Oricon Weekly Singles Ranking dated 19 October 2026 (tally period 5-11 October 2026, announced Tuesday 13 October 2026), how many copies will the No.1 single's 'estimated sales copies' (推定売上枚数) figure show? |
be7f7e0904c87b3b79fdf9f5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many vulnerability entries will CISA add to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) Catalog with a dateAdded value between 7 October 2026 and 11 October 2026 inclusive? (resolved around 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many vulnerability entries will CISA add to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) Catalog with a dateAdded value between 7 October 2026 and 11 October 2026 inclusive? |
1433185e59d8d0993eebf148 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many distinct CVE records will carry a 'dateAdded' value falling between 7 October 2026 and 12 October 2026 inclusive in CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) Catalog? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exa... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 3 | How many distinct CVE records will carry a 'dateAdded' value falling between 7 October 2026 and 12 October 2026 inclusive in CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) Catalog? |
ec9aaced82407e90d974b34d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "According to NASA/JPL's Small-Body Database Close-Approach Data API, how many close approaches by near-Earth objects passing within one lunar distance of Earth will be listed for the dates 7 October 2026 through 13 October 2026, as reported by... | 2026-10-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | According to NASA/JPL's Small-Body Database Close-Approach Data API, how many close approaches by near-Earth objects passing within one lunar distance of Earth will be listed for the dates 7 October 2026 through 13 October 2026, as reported by the count field of the frozen query executed once at 2026-10-13 23:00 GMT+8? |
1ae18fa671bc8fd02ad2677e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many research papers will be listed under the 'Articles' heading of the table of contents of Nature's weekly issue dated 8 October 2026 (Volume 658, Issue 8135)? (resolved around 2026-10-12T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the sour... | 2026-10-12T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many research papers will be listed under the 'Articles' heading of the table of contents of Nature's weekly issue dated 8 October 2026 (Volume 658, Issue 8135)? |
6fb669f80d179f26fead65d2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's 'Daily Solar Data' product (DSD.txt), what will be the SESC Sunspot Number reported for the UTC day 11 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-nati... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 3 | In NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's 'Daily Solar Data' product (DSD.txt), what will be the SESC Sunspot Number reported for the UTC day 11 October 2026? |
6af45af755f91178b219878b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the 9-10 October 2026 election to the Assembly of the Capital City of Prague (Zastupitelstvo hlavního města Prahy, 65 seats), exactly how many seats will the list 'ANO 2011' (ballot number 22, led by Jan Hušbauer) win according to the Czech... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | In the 9-10 October 2026 election to the Assembly of the Capital City of Prague (Zastupitelstvo hlavního města Prahy, 65 seats), exactly how many seats will the list 'ANO 2011' (ballot number 22, led by Jan Hušbauer) win according to the Czech Statistical Office mandate allocation? |
03ebd28f4b08eea36c79e907 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Slovenia's consultative referendum held on Sunday 11 October 2026 on restricting the right to vote in Slovenian local elections to citizens of Slovenia or of another EU member state (the referendum called by the Odlok o razpisu posvetovalne... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | In Slovenia's consultative referendum held on Sunday 11 October 2026 on restricting the right to vote in Slovenian local elections to citizens of Slovenia or of another EU member state (the referendum called by the Odlok o razpisu posvetovalnega referenduma o volilni pravici na lokalnih volitvah v Republiki Sloveniji, ... |
35b56aedbb48e70527beab65 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the official Czech Statistical Office results application for the first round of the 2026 Czech Senate election held on 9-10 October 2026, what will the nationwide voter turnout (volební účast) be, in percent to two decimal places? (resolve... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | In the official Czech Statistical Office results application for the first round of the 2026 Czech Senate election held on 9-10 October 2026, what will the nationwide voter turnout (volební účast) be, in percent to two decimal places? |
264d962c23acc45ce79889e1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the election to the Assembly of the City of Brno (Zastupitelstvo mesta Brna, 55 seats) held on Friday 9 and Saturday 10 October 2026, exactly how many of the 16 registered electoral lists (volebni strany) will win at least one seat, accordi... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | In the election to the Assembly of the City of Brno (Zastupitelstvo mesta Brna, 55 seats) held on Friday 9 and Saturday 10 October 2026, exactly how many of the 16 registered electoral lists (volebni strany) will win at least one seat, according to the Czech Statistical Office results server? |
dfa579c470e0dee852434da9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NHS England's Monthly A&E Attendances and Emergency Admissions statistics for September 2026, published on 8 October 2026, what percentage of patients will have been admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours across ALL A&E departme... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 3 | In NHS England's Monthly A&E Attendances and Emergency Admissions statistics for September 2026, published on 8 October 2026, what percentage of patients will have been admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours across ALL A&E department types in England, to one decimal place? |
55d632bd409a4f27bfa36ad8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Germany's Robert Koch Institute ARE weekly report published on 7 October 2026 (the first weekly report of the 2026/27 respiratory season, covering calendar week 40 of 2026), how many sentinel specimens will Table 1 report as submitted to th... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 3 | In Germany's Robert Koch Institute ARE weekly report published on 7 October 2026 (the first weekly report of the 2026/27 respiratory season, covering calendar week 40 of 2026), how many sentinel specimens will Table 1 report as submitted to the National Reference Centre for Influenza Viruses from the ARE practice senti... |
db3490904e9c5476859aa484 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the CDC FluView 'Weekly US Influenza Surveillance Report: Key Updates for Week 39, ending October 3, 2026', what percentage of patient visits reported through ILINet nationwide will be recorded as being due to respiratory illness (fever plu... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 3 | In the CDC FluView 'Weekly US Influenza Surveillance Report: Key Updates for Week 39, ending October 3, 2026', what percentage of patient visits reported through ILINet nationwide will be recorded as being due to respiratory illness (fever plus cough or sore throat, i.e. influenza-like illness), to one decimal place? |
2132b39d71409d86d3a9f6f0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In China CDC's weekly national acute respiratory infectious disease sentinel surveillance bulletin for week 40 of 2026 (全国急性呼吸道传染病哨点监测情况(2026年第40周), covering 28 September - 4 October 2026), what will the NATIONWIDE influenza-like-illness perce... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | In China CDC's weekly national acute respiratory infectious disease sentinel surveillance bulletin for week 40 of 2026 (全国急性呼吸道传染病哨点监测情况(2026年第40周), covering 28 September - 4 October 2026), what will the NATIONWIDE influenza-like-illness percentage (流感样病例百分比, ILI cases as a share of all outpatient and emergency visits ... |
943ecc89431734e8eea1920e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Robert Koch Institute's ARE-Wochenbericht published on Wednesday 7 October 2026 - the first detailed weekly acute respiratory illness report of the German 2026/27 season - what exact total number of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases ... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | In the Robert Koch Institute's ARE-Wochenbericht published on Wednesday 7 October 2026 - the first detailed weekly acute respiratory illness report of the German 2026/27 season - what exact total number of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases transmitted to the RKI under the Infektionsschutzgesetz (IfSG) for reporting ... |
8af1da72e045947e5f0369f5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NISRA's provisional weekly death registration tables for Northern Ireland, how many deaths in total will be recorded as REGISTERED in Northern Ireland in the week ending Friday 2 October 2026 (registration week 40 of 2026)? (resolved around... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | In NISRA's provisional weekly death registration tables for Northern Ireland, how many deaths in total will be recorded as REGISTERED in Northern Ireland in the week ending Friday 2 October 2026 (registration week 40 of 2026)? |
707db73036270b1c998a8d78 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary (SRS) issued at 0030 UTC on 9 October 2026 and archived by NOAA NCEI as 20261009SRS.txt, how many numbered solar regions will be listed in Section I, 'Regions with Sunspots'? (resolved around 2026-10... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | In the Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary (SRS) issued at 0030 UTC on 9 October 2026 and archived by NOAA NCEI as 20261009SRS.txt, how many numbered solar regions will be listed in Section I, 'Regions with Sunspots'? |
333666fcff3ec049197af014 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What is the full name of the laureate awarded the Nobel Prize in Literature 2026, exactly as printed by the Swedish Academy in the official press release on 8 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-08T23:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly t... | 2026-10-08T23:30:00+08:00 | 4 | What is the full name of the laureate awarded the Nobel Prize in Literature 2026, exactly as printed by the Swedish Academy in the official press release on 8 October 2026? |
5f1bd6b7e4c982ad1b2d85f5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On Box Office Mojo's Domestic 2026 Weekend 41 chart (the 9-11 October 2026 Friday-Sunday weekend), what will be the exact 'Gross' column figure, in US dollars, for the film ranked #1? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Retur... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 4 | On Box Office Mojo's Domestic 2026 Weekend 41 chart (the 9-11 October 2026 Friday-Sunday weekend), what will be the exact 'Gross' column figure, in US dollars, for the film ranked #1? |
f78939c54f5fcb3657f1155c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On the UK Official Singles Chart Top 100 dated 9 October 2026 (chart week 9-15 October 2026), what will be the ordered top 5, from No.1 to No.5, by song title? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-nat... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 4 | On the UK Official Singles Chart Top 100 dated 9 October 2026 (chart week 9-15 October 2026), what will be the ordered top 5, from No.1 to No.5, by song title? |
2e98157adb925f8ef2af4d28 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On Friday 9 October 2026 (Hangul Day, a South Korean public holiday), how many single-day admissions (관객수) will the No. 1 film record in KOFIC's official KOBIS nationwide daily box office table? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 4 | On Friday 9 October 2026 (Hangul Day, a South Korean public holiday), how many single-day admissions (관객수) will the No. 1 film record in KOFIC's official KOBIS nationwide daily box office table? |
64efba168ad12dce992df9c8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Oricon's Weekly Album Ranking dated 19 October 2026 (aggregation week 5-11 October 2026), how many estimated copies (推定売上枚数) will Oricon print for the No. 1 album? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the sou... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 4 | In Oricon's Weekly Album Ranking dated 19 October 2026 (aggregation week 5-11 October 2026), how many estimated copies (推定売上枚数) will Oricon print for the No. 1 album? |
a604aa25373960da563063ab | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the winner's total race time in the MotoGP-class Grand Prix of the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia (Pertamina Mandalika International Circuit, Sunday 11 October 2026), expressed in total seconds to three decimal places exac... | 2026-10-12T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | What will be the winner's total race time in the MotoGP-class Grand Prix of the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia (Pertamina Mandalika International Circuit, Sunday 11 October 2026), expressed in total seconds to three decimal places exactly as derived from the 'Time' value printed for the rider classified 1st in ... |
f782f798bc195d597feac178 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NOAA GML's Mauna Loa weekly mean carbon dioxide data file co2_weekly_mlo.txt, what will the weekly mean CO2 mole fraction be, in ppm to two decimal places, for the week starting 4 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23:59:59+08:00 (GM... | 2026-10-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | In NOAA GML's Mauna Loa weekly mean carbon dioxide data file co2_weekly_mlo.txt, what will the weekly mean CO2 mole fraction be, in ppm to two decimal places, for the week starting 4 October 2026? |
184ddf64f9e2ad65c322bcf4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many NEW SAP Security Notes will SAP report releasing on its SAP Security Patch Day of 13 October 2026, as stated in the opening summary sentence of SAP's official Security Notes & News page for October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-13T23... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 4 | How many NEW SAP Security Notes will SAP report releasing on its SAP Security Patch Day of 13 October 2026, as stated in the opening summary sentence of SAP's official Security Notes & News page for October 2026? |
76ff6478fefae9fd598a922f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the NHL 2026-27 regular-season game Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals, played at Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C. on Wednesday 7 October 2026 (7:30 p.m. ET, TNT), what will be the exact combined total number of goals scored by t... | 2026-10-09T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | In the NHL 2026-27 regular-season game Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals, played at Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C. on Wednesday 7 October 2026 (7:30 p.m. ET, TNT), what will be the exact combined total number of goals scored by the two teams in the official NHL final score (both teams' goals added togethe... |
455bafb96bb852b5f5663d44 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the exact combined total number of points scored by both clubs in the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague 2026-27 Regular Season Round 4 game between Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul at Telekom Center Athens, tipp... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | What will be the exact combined total number of points scored by both clubs in the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague 2026-27 Regular Season Round 4 game between Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul at Telekom Center Athens, tipping off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 20:15 CET? |
9b927d99070aa9afcc3844f2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "After Microsoft's Windows and Surface event on 7 October 2026, what will be the starting US price in USD shown for the Surface Laptop Ultra on Microsoft's official Surface Laptop Ultra product page? (resolved around 2026-10-10T00:00:00+08:00 (... | 2026-10-10T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | After Microsoft's Windows and Surface event on 7 October 2026, what will be the starting US price in USD shown for the Surface Laptop Ultra on Microsoft's official Surface Laptop Ultra product page? |
b0728a14bbe521e23325cbc0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the exact combined number of strikeouts recorded by both clubs' pitching staffs in 2026 National League Division Series Game 3 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park, Atlanta (MLB gamePk 849819, sche... | 2026-10-09T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | What will be the exact combined number of strikeouts recorded by both clubs' pitching staffs in 2026 National League Division Series Game 3 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park, Atlanta (MLB gamePk 849819, scheduled 6 October 2026 18:00 ET / 7 October 2026 06:00 GMT+8)? |
0764cfd3f82656a0d9a1459d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the NFL 2026 regular-season Week 5 Sunday Night Football game Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta on Sunday 11 October 2026 (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), what will be the exact combined total number of point... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | In the NFL 2026 regular-season Week 5 Sunday Night Football game Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta on Sunday 11 October 2026 (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), what will be the exact combined total number of points scored by the two teams in the official NFL final score (Baltimore's final ... |
ccf29da2cb70b748d4a6b94d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the USGS ANSS Comprehensive Catalog (ComCat), what will be the largest preferred magnitude of any earthquake worldwide whose origin time falls from 2026-10-07T00:00:00 UTC up to but not including 2026-10-12T00:00:00 UTC, as returned by the ... | 2026-10-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | In the USGS ANSS Comprehensive Catalog (ComCat), what will be the largest preferred magnitude of any earthquake worldwide whose origin time falls from 2026-10-07T00:00:00 UTC up to but not including 2026-10-12T00:00:00 UTC, as returned by the frozen USGS FDSN event query executed once at 2026-10-13 23:00 GMT+8? |
ee793c330eea2280d8f3a37d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Smithsonian / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report for the week of 1 October-7 October 2026, published by 23:00 UTC on Thursday 8 October 2026 by the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program, how many volcanoes in total will be ... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | In the Smithsonian / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report for the week of 1 October-7 October 2026, published by 23:00 UTC on Thursday 8 October 2026 by the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program, how many volcanoes in total will be listed in the report's summary table (the count of rows in the 'Name | Countr... |
8524acf927ca7144e369854e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many distinct CVE identifiers will be listed as advisory entries in Mozilla's 'Security Vulnerabilities fixed in Firefox 158' security advisory, published with the Firefox 158 desktop release on 13 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-13... | 2026-10-13T23:59:00+08:00 | 4 | How many distinct CVE identifiers will be listed as advisory entries in Mozilla's 'Security Vulnerabilities fixed in Firefox 158' security advisory, published with the Firefox 158 desktop release on 13 October 2026? |
1b4aa2807b297d90a124258a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the 2026 Czech municipal elections (volby do zastupitelstev obci), held on Friday 9 and Saturday 10 October 2026, what will be the official nationwide voter turnout for the Czech Republic as a whole, in percent to two decimal places, as pub... | 2026-10-13T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | In the 2026 Czech municipal elections (volby do zastupitelstev obci), held on Friday 9 and Saturday 10 October 2026, what will be the official nationwide voter turnout for the Czech Republic as a whole, in percent to two decimal places, as published in the 'Volebni ucast v %' field of the aggregate Czech Republic resul... |
0e9206ed8b58dfe3556afc9c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Istat's 'Produzione industriale / Industrial production' press release for the reference month August 2026, published on Friday 9 October 2026, what will be the reported percentage change of the SEASONALLY ADJUSTED Italian industrial produc... | 2026-10-10T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | In Istat's 'Produzione industriale / Industrial production' press release for the reference month August 2026, published on Friday 9 October 2026, what will be the reported percentage change of the SEASONALLY ADJUSTED Italian industrial production index in August 2026 compared with July 2026 (month-on-month, to one dec... |
a662c731905c1408002a14e5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Destatis press release 'Produktion im Produzierenden Gewerbe' for the reference month August 2026, published on Wednesday 7 October 2026, what will be the reported real month-on-month change (seasonally and calendar adjusted, in per cen... | 2026-10-08T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | In the Destatis press release 'Produktion im Produzierenden Gewerbe' for the reference month August 2026, published on Wednesday 7 October 2026, what will be the reported real month-on-month change (seasonally and calendar adjusted, in per cent to one decimal place) of INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION defined as 'Produzierendes G... |
2550c188f35ca92d7ee457b8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Federal Reserve G.19 Consumer Credit release dated 7 October 2026 (August 2026 data), at what seasonally adjusted annual rate, in percent to one decimal place, did REVOLVING consumer credit change in August 2026? (resolved around 2026-1... | 2026-10-09T00:00:00+08:00 | 4 | In the Federal Reserve G.19 Consumer Credit release dated 7 October 2026 (August 2026 data), at what seasonally adjusted annual rate, in percent to one decimal place, did REVOLVING consumer credit change in August 2026? |
Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge
📄 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987 🌐 LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.
1. Weekly Rules
- A new set of tasks is released every week.
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-10-07, 24:00 (UTC+8)and2026-10-13, 24:00 (UTC+8). - You must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
- Late submissions will not be counted.
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by
2026-10-15 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).
⚠️ Next submission deadline: 2026-10-07, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)
2. How to Participate?
Download the latest tasks from our dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online
Run your model on the tasks.
Email your predictions to FutureX-ai@outlook.com before the deadline.
Email subject format:
FutureX Challenge Submission — [Your Model Name][Date]
Submission requirements:
- File format: JSON (or JSONL)
- Include dataset commit/hash you used
- Required fields:
id,prediction
Note: Predictions can be in various formats including single letters (A, B, C), letter combinations (A, C, D), text in any language, numbers, or empty strings. The prediction should exactly match the format expected by the specific event question.
Example (JSONL format):
{"id": "69b2b593782d0900685d5fcb", "prediction": "A"}
{"id": "69b160921ebfe30068c2cde1", "prediction": "I"}
{"id": "685141eca047fd005f77ef02", "prediction": "Timea Babos, Nicole Melichar-Martinez, Storm Hunter"}
{"id": "6851736259f71f006037a1e2", "prediction": "112.52 点"}
{"id": "69bfe1118038fb005cb27720", "prediction": ""}
3. Leaderboard and Privacy
- Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard by default.
- You can choose to keep it private or make it public.
- Downloads last month
- 1,182