iiiitips/prediction-market-pro-stats

Prediction Market Pro Stats (Sports)

Weekly aggregate statistics on sports prediction markets, compiled by SG Tips (sg.tips) from public data on Polymarket, Kalshi and SX.

Latest snapshot: 2026-w46 (data as of 2026-10-21T10:05:09Z).

Files

top_pros_by_competition.csv

For each competition (and each sport overall), the 10 listed pros with the highest hit rate over the last 30 days. One row per pro. Same data as sg.tips/top-pros.

Field	Description
as_of_utc	Snapshot time (UTC)
window_days	Look-back window in days
competition	Competition name; ALL <sport> rows rank across the whole sport
sport	Sport
ranked_pros	Number of listed pros with settled predictions in this competition
rank	Rank by hit rate within the competition
pro_display_name	Public display name
platform	Polymarket, Kalshi or SX
settled_predictions	Settled predictions in the window
correct	Correct predictions in the window
hit_rate_pct	correct / settled_predictions, in percent
profile_url	Profile page on sg.tips

market_favourite_calibration.csv

How often the prediction-market favourite won, by probability band and by sport, for the last 7 and 30 days. Same data as sg.tips/markets.

Field	Description
as_of_utc	Snapshot time (UTC)
window	7d or 30d
from_date, to_date	Window boundaries
group_type	all, favourite_probability_band_pct or sport
group	Group value (band: <50, 50-60, 60-75, 75+; or sport name)
finished_matches	Finished matches in the group
favourite_won	Matches won by the favourite
favourite_win_rate_pct	favourite_won / finished_matches, in percent

overview.csv

Platform-wide counts shown on sg.tips/reports, one row per metric (as_of_utc, metric, value).

Definitions

• Listed pro: a public prediction-market account that passes Tips' proprietary multi-dimensional screening.
• Hit rate: correct ÷ settled predictions.
• Market favourite: the side with the highest prediction-market price before the match starts.
• Privacy: only public display names shown on the site are included. Display names that are wallet addresses appear as anonymous wallet; some display names are withheld. No wallet addresses or per-person position details are included.

Source

Public data from Polymarket, Kalshi and SX, as collected and displayed on sg.tips.

Update frequency

Weekly (Monday, UTC). Earlier snapshots are available in the repository history.

License

CC BY 4.0. Attribution: "Source: SG Tips (sg.tips)" with a link to https://sg.tips/reports.

@misc{sgtips_prediction_market_pro_stats,
  title  = {Prediction Market Pro Stats (Sports)},
  author = {SG Tips},
  year   = {2026},
  url    = {https://sg.tips/reports}
}

Limitations

Covers public on-platform activity only. Past data does not indicate future results. SG Tips displays data only and offers no trading services.