| { |
| "study_id": "causal-relational-knockout-24law-v1", |
| "scales": [ |
| { |
| "scale": "4b", |
| "model": "google/gemma-4-E4B-it", |
| "probe_layer": 34, |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "n_prompts": 192, |
| "baseline_answer_margin_accuracy": 0.953125, |
| "necessity_margin_drop": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 4.326822916666667, |
| 3.6708984375, |
| 4.892903645833333 |
| ], |
| "activation_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| -0.09129503038194446, |
| -0.11046040852864585, |
| -0.0726318359375 |
| ], |
| "specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 4.418117947048611, |
| 3.76536627875434, |
| 4.996524047851562 |
| ], |
| "specific_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 9.4951171875, |
| 8.011360677083333, |
| 10.830086263020833 |
| ], |
| "activation_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| -0.2530619303385417, |
| -0.3072681003146701, |
| -0.1994424608018663 |
| ], |
| "specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 9.748179117838541, |
| 8.22444101969401, |
| 11.11812981499566 |
| ], |
| "specific_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 17.962565104166668, |
| 14.91827392578125, |
| 20.5211669921875 |
| ], |
| "direction_restored_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 8.197265625, |
| 6.613606770833333, |
| 9.5514404296875 |
| ], |
| "restoration_reduction_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 9.765299479166666, |
| 8.213212076822916, |
| 11.159834798177082 |
| ], |
| "restoration_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "causal_mediation_fraction": { |
| "coordinate_over_full_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.5286058607129265, |
| 0.5007903662320922, |
| 0.5585188215670325 |
| ], |
| "restoration_over_full_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.5436472698936228, |
| 0.5161442408320372, |
| 0.5726049762569513 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "law_level_breadth": { |
| "neutralization_positive": 23, |
| "neutralization_specific_positive": 23, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate_positive": 23, |
| "counterfactual_specific_positive": 23, |
| "restoration_reduction_positive": 23, |
| "denominator_laws": 24, |
| "neutralization_specific_one_sided_sign_p": 1.4901161193847656e-06, |
| "counterfactual_specific_one_sided_sign_p": 1.4901161193847656e-06, |
| "restoration_one_sided_sign_p": 1.4901161193847656e-06 |
| }, |
| "next_token_kl": { |
| "neutralize_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.12564799683460912, |
| 0.09612246389158789, |
| 0.15837211263756143 |
| ], |
| "neutralize_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.0008095244219635101, |
| 0.00039002800259177586, |
| 0.0013809340085534517 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_coordinate_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 1.3825703688918718, |
| 1.1239652162278426, |
| 1.6453840967222386 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.00444981699733743, |
| 0.002519775203181597, |
| 0.006847416449345659 |
| ], |
| "full_counterfactual_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 8.691391470842063, |
| 7.49562340095484, |
| 9.794079802829462 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "error_repair": { |
| "initially_wrong_prompts": 8, |
| "repaired_prompts": 4, |
| "repair_fraction": 0.5, |
| "mean_margin_before": -3.078125, |
| "mean_margin_after": -0.1875, |
| "mean_margin_change": 2.890625 |
| }, |
| "answer_margin_accuracy_by_intervention": { |
| "clean": 0.953125, |
| "correct_centroid": 0.9791666666666666, |
| "counterfactual_control_0_minus": 0.953125, |
| "counterfactual_control_0_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_control_1_minus": 0.953125, |
| "counterfactual_control_1_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_control_2_minus": 0.953125, |
| "counterfactual_control_2_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": 0.4739583333333333, |
| "full_counterfactual": 0.041666666666666664, |
| "full_counterfactual_direction_restored": 0.6302083333333334, |
| "neutralize": 0.8854166666666666, |
| "neutralize_control_0_minus": 0.953125, |
| "neutralize_control_0_plus": 0.9635416666666666, |
| "neutralize_control_1_minus": 0.953125, |
| "neutralize_control_1_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "neutralize_control_2_minus": 0.953125, |
| "neutralize_control_2_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "wrong_centroid": 0.640625 |
| }, |
| "accuracy_transitions": { |
| "neutralize": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 15, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 2, |
| "unchanged_correct": 168, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 7, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 0.002349853515625 |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 93, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 1, |
| "unchanged_correct": 90, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 8, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 9.592548607487504e-27 |
| }, |
| "wrong_centroid": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 60, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 123, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 9, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 1.734723475976807e-18 |
| }, |
| "correct_centroid": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 0, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 5, |
| "unchanged_correct": 183, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 4, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 0.0625 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 182, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 7, |
| "unchanged_correct": 1, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 2, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 4.047468372268292e-45 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual_direction_restored": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 68, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 6, |
| "unchanged_correct": 115, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 3, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 2.1448756331687684e-14 |
| } |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_restoration_decisions": { |
| "full_swap_not_original_answer": 184, |
| "original_answer_recovered_after_coordinate_restoration": 114, |
| "recovery_fraction": 0.6195652173913043 |
| }, |
| "stratified_specific_effects": { |
| "category": { |
| "direct": { |
| "n_laws": 12, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 5.353407118055556, |
| 4.949001736111111, |
| 5.732584635416667 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 11.740519205729166, |
| 10.683479817708335, |
| 12.790365600585936 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "inverse": { |
| "n_laws": 12, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.4828287760416665, |
| 2.506561957465278, |
| 4.319554985894096 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 7.755839029947918, |
| 5.52538079155816, |
| 9.831373765733504 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "answer_vocabulary": { |
| "greater-smaller": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 4.098958333333333, |
| 3.5525689019097224, |
| 4.573353407118055 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 8.538330078125, |
| 7.341440836588542, |
| 9.60023939344618 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "higher-lower": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 4.737277560763888, |
| 3.962990993923611, |
| 5.410374620225695 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 10.958028157552084, |
| 9.095079888237846, |
| 12.646533033582898 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "answer_order": { |
| "reversed": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 4.012641059027778, |
| 3.3926852756076387, |
| 4.55072767469618 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 8.86907958984375, |
| 7.425578477647569, |
| 10.17007039388021 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "standard": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 4.823594835069444, |
| 4.122064887152778, |
| 5.442493353949653 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 10.627278645833334, |
| 9.025752427842882, |
| 12.076268513997395 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| { |
| "scale": "12b", |
| "model": "google/gemma-4-12B-it", |
| "probe_layer": 39, |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "n_prompts": 192, |
| "baseline_answer_margin_accuracy": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "necessity_margin_drop": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.049170176188151, |
| 2.5763143857320148, |
| 3.4853548685709637 |
| ], |
| "activation_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| -0.052968341443273746, |
| -0.07903986771901449, |
| -0.025901852092809152 |
| ], |
| "specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.1021385176314253, |
| 2.6351800388760034, |
| 3.5337335182974736 |
| ], |
| "specific_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 7.022085825602214, |
| 5.932338905334472, |
| 8.017909717559814 |
| ], |
| "activation_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| -0.06123714976840549, |
| -0.09877733124627008, |
| -0.024934854110082005 |
| ], |
| "specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 7.083322975370618, |
| 5.973378149668376, |
| 8.083865276310178 |
| ], |
| "specific_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 21.93874740600586, |
| 19.159971300760905, |
| 24.42089436848958 |
| ], |
| "direction_restored_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 10.240282694498697, |
| 8.942734813690185, |
| 11.516595109303793 |
| ], |
| "restoration_reduction_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 11.698464711507162, |
| 10.013709163665771, |
| 13.108655230204265 |
| ], |
| "restoration_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "causal_mediation_fraction": { |
| "coordinate_over_full_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.3200768802178686, |
| 0.2905349576720793, |
| 0.3479699265418605 |
| ], |
| "restoration_over_full_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.5332330280763723, |
| 0.5077407193566771, |
| 0.5563298612079105 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "law_level_breadth": { |
| "neutralization_positive": 24, |
| "neutralization_specific_positive": 24, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate_positive": 24, |
| "counterfactual_specific_positive": 24, |
| "restoration_reduction_positive": 24, |
| "denominator_laws": 24, |
| "neutralization_specific_one_sided_sign_p": 5.960464477539063e-08, |
| "counterfactual_specific_one_sided_sign_p": 5.960464477539063e-08, |
| "restoration_one_sided_sign_p": 5.960464477539063e-08 |
| }, |
| "next_token_kl": { |
| "neutralize_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.017193929544430917, |
| 0.0026666023959230315, |
| 0.0388019242426084 |
| ], |
| "neutralize_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 1.9182399652908685e-05, |
| 2.6114496111350295e-06, |
| 4.283227650735521e-05 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_coordinate_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.39695642288884736, |
| 0.23311370827296654, |
| 0.5904121578484368 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 2.692684677240018e-05, |
| 1.2004993610180624e-05, |
| 4.599365756095271e-05 |
| ], |
| "full_counterfactual_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 7.921978739499839, |
| 6.665503093044629, |
| 9.02019121913496 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "error_repair": { |
| "initially_wrong_prompts": 8, |
| "repaired_prompts": 2, |
| "repair_fraction": 0.25, |
| "mean_margin_before": -5.640625, |
| "mean_margin_after": -1.1015625, |
| "mean_margin_change": 4.5390625 |
| }, |
| "answer_margin_accuracy_by_intervention": { |
| "clean": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "correct_centroid": 0.96875, |
| "counterfactual_control_0_minus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_control_0_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_control_1_minus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_control_1_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_control_2_minus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_control_2_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": 0.8229166666666666, |
| "full_counterfactual": 0.052083333333333336, |
| "full_counterfactual_direction_restored": 0.6197916666666666, |
| "neutralize": 0.9635416666666666, |
| "neutralize_control_0_minus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "neutralize_control_0_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "neutralize_control_1_minus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "neutralize_control_1_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "neutralize_control_2_minus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "neutralize_control_2_plus": 0.9583333333333334, |
| "wrong_centroid": 0.734375 |
| }, |
| "accuracy_transitions": { |
| "neutralize": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 0, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 1, |
| "unchanged_correct": 184, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 7, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 26, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 158, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 8, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 2.9802322387695312e-08 |
| }, |
| "wrong_centroid": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 43, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 141, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 8, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 2.2737367544323206e-13 |
| }, |
| "correct_centroid": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 0, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 2, |
| "unchanged_correct": 184, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 6, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 0.5 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 174, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 10, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 8, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 8.352389719038111e-53 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual_direction_restored": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 65, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 119, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 8, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 5.421010862427522e-20 |
| } |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_restoration_decisions": { |
| "full_swap_not_original_answer": 182, |
| "original_answer_recovered_after_coordinate_restoration": 109, |
| "recovery_fraction": 0.5989010989010989 |
| }, |
| "stratified_specific_effects": { |
| "category": { |
| "direct": { |
| "n_laws": 12, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.7444557580682964, |
| 3.1208072205384574, |
| 4.191613370925188 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 8.47928285598755, |
| 6.869921025964948, |
| 9.57024059295654 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "inverse": { |
| "n_laws": 12, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 2.459821277194553, |
| 1.9377835856543646, |
| 2.902770879533555 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 5.687363094753689, |
| 4.494570710923937, |
| 6.6571951230367015 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "answer_vocabulary": { |
| "greater-smaller": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 1.7776612142721813, |
| 1.5288225650787353, |
| 2.0113558183113733 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.1401740180121522, |
| 2.701593335469564, |
| 3.525528441535102 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "higher-lower": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 4.426615820990668, |
| 3.7371979607476127, |
| 5.074875121646457 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 11.026471932729086, |
| 9.230026286178166, |
| 12.659910465611352 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "answer_order": { |
| "reversed": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 2.3412108951144748, |
| 1.962038940853543, |
| 2.7024536132812504 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 5.4987670050727, |
| 4.602537430657281, |
| 6.337315654754638 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "standard": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.863066140148375, |
| 3.294354703691271, |
| 4.3826629540158635 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 8.667878945668539, |
| 7.314549966653188, |
| 9.861916449334887 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| { |
| "scale": "31b", |
| "model": "google/gemma-4-31B-it", |
| "probe_layer": 49, |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "n_prompts": 192, |
| "baseline_answer_margin_accuracy": 1.0, |
| "necessity_margin_drop": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 2.7307262420654297, |
| 2.6445648511250814, |
| 2.8192007223765057 |
| ], |
| "activation_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.019598219129774306, |
| 0.004327074686686197, |
| 0.03567689259847004 |
| ], |
| "specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 2.7111280229356556, |
| 2.6331515100267198, |
| 2.790174622005886 |
| ], |
| "specific_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 6.472181955973308, |
| 6.246534824371338, |
| 6.703958002726237 |
| ], |
| "activation_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.10815217759874134, |
| 0.09148009618123372, |
| 0.12642357084486217 |
| ], |
| "specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 6.364029778374565, |
| 6.146116744147407, |
| 6.587814394632975 |
| ], |
| "specific_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual": { |
| "estimate_ci95": [ |
| 34.79676183064779, |
| 33.903386720021565, |
| 35.631842041015624 |
| ], |
| "direction_restored_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 17.54513422648112, |
| 16.838604990641276, |
| 18.222946421305338 |
| ], |
| "restoration_reduction_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 17.251627604166668, |
| 16.790118408203124, |
| 17.699137369791668 |
| ], |
| "restoration_permutation_p": 9.99990000099999e-06 |
| }, |
| "causal_mediation_fraction": { |
| "coordinate_over_full_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.1859995475289552, |
| 0.1793678167340542, |
| 0.19285283181262727 |
| ], |
| "restoration_over_full_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 0.4957825583923165, |
| 0.48403683413379284, |
| 0.5072899419820645 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "law_level_breadth": { |
| "neutralization_positive": 24, |
| "neutralization_specific_positive": 24, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate_positive": 24, |
| "counterfactual_specific_positive": 24, |
| "restoration_reduction_positive": 24, |
| "denominator_laws": 24, |
| "neutralization_specific_one_sided_sign_p": 5.960464477539063e-08, |
| "counterfactual_specific_one_sided_sign_p": 5.960464477539063e-08, |
| "restoration_one_sided_sign_p": 5.960464477539063e-08 |
| }, |
| "next_token_kl": { |
| "neutralize_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 1.5116601740203876e-07, |
| -7.956452669070856e-09, |
| 4.645366521194262e-07 |
| ], |
| "neutralize_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 1.3745578514960428e-09, |
| -2.7006523041239545e-09, |
| 5.5920883207183785e-09 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_coordinate_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 1.7809138351352505e-05, |
| 6.686200600955707e-06, |
| 3.122706601913455e-05 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_control_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 7.615191696571304e-09, |
| 1.3152515032076526e-09, |
| 1.4450070170399877e-08 |
| ], |
| "full_counterfactual_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 9.821323543166121, |
| 9.231986925719927, |
| 10.376124817629654 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "error_repair": { |
| "initially_wrong_prompts": 0, |
| "repaired_prompts": 0, |
| "repair_fraction": null, |
| "mean_margin_before": null, |
| "mean_margin_after": null, |
| "mean_margin_change": null |
| }, |
| "answer_margin_accuracy_by_intervention": { |
| "clean": 1.0, |
| "correct_centroid": 1.0, |
| "counterfactual_control_0_minus": 1.0, |
| "counterfactual_control_0_plus": 1.0, |
| "counterfactual_control_1_minus": 1.0, |
| "counterfactual_control_1_plus": 1.0, |
| "counterfactual_control_2_minus": 1.0, |
| "counterfactual_control_2_plus": 1.0, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": 1.0, |
| "full_counterfactual": 0.0, |
| "full_counterfactual_direction_restored": 0.7916666666666666, |
| "neutralize": 1.0, |
| "neutralize_control_0_minus": 1.0, |
| "neutralize_control_0_plus": 1.0, |
| "neutralize_control_1_minus": 1.0, |
| "neutralize_control_1_plus": 1.0, |
| "neutralize_control_2_minus": 1.0, |
| "neutralize_control_2_plus": 1.0, |
| "wrong_centroid": 0.96875 |
| }, |
| "accuracy_transitions": { |
| "neutralize": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 0, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 192, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 0, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_coordinate": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 0, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 192, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 0, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "wrong_centroid": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 6, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 186, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 0, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 0.03125 |
| }, |
| "correct_centroid": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 0, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 192, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 0, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 192, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 0, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 3.1861838222649046e-58 |
| }, |
| "full_counterfactual_direction_restored": { |
| "correct_to_wrong": 40, |
| "wrong_to_correct": 0, |
| "unchanged_correct": 152, |
| "unchanged_wrong": 0, |
| "exact_mcnemar_p": 1.8189894035458565e-12 |
| } |
| }, |
| "counterfactual_restoration_decisions": { |
| "full_swap_not_original_answer": 192, |
| "original_answer_recovered_after_coordinate_restoration": 152, |
| "recovery_fraction": 0.7916666666666666 |
| }, |
| "stratified_specific_effects": { |
| "category": { |
| "direct": { |
| "n_laws": 12, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 2.8076536390516496, |
| 2.7016358905368376, |
| 2.9134031719631617 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 6.658977932400172, |
| 6.351785956488715, |
| 6.963634745279947 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "inverse": { |
| "n_laws": 12, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 2.6146024068196616, |
| 2.5225807083977596, |
| 2.695723692576091 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 6.069081624348957, |
| 5.848576482137044, |
| 6.265432824028863 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "answer_vocabulary": { |
| "greater-smaller": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 1.6684519449869792, |
| 1.597330305311415, |
| 1.7446322547064885 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.812260945638021, |
| 3.659687678019206, |
| 3.967014100816515 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "higher-lower": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.753804100884332, |
| 3.653686131371392, |
| 3.8551483896043566 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 8.91579861111111, |
| 8.589399804009332, |
| 9.263592190212673 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "answer_order": { |
| "reversed": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 2.1019058227539062, |
| 2.021393415662977, |
| 2.1833878835042317 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 4.796902126736112, |
| 4.609622149997287, |
| 4.9718435499403215 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "standard": { |
| "n_laws": 24, |
| "necessity_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 3.3203502231174045, |
| 3.23121985329522, |
| 3.4128231684366863 |
| ], |
| "counterfactual_specific_estimate_ci95": [ |
| 7.9311574300130205, |
| 7.649350357055665, |
| 8.232495752970376 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| } |
| } |
| ] |
| } |
|
|
