skycmd-cast-synth / README.md
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skycmd 8cc8e276: skycmd synthetic time series (s6-cast generators)
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metadata
license: apache-2.0
pretty_name: skycmd synthetic time series (s6-cast generators)
task_categories:
  - time-series-forecasting
tags:
  - skycmd
configs:
  - config_name: gp
    data_files: data/gp.parquet
  - config_name: mixed
    data_files: data/mixed.parquet
  - config_name: pulse
    data_files: data/pulse.parquet
  - config_name: sarima
    data_files: data/sarima.parquet
  - config_name: tsi
    data_files: data/tsi.parquet

skycmd synthetic time series (s6-cast generators)

A fixed sample of the four synthetic series generators that pretrain the s6-cast forecaster (Gaussian processes, pulses, trend-seasonality-irregular, SARIMA), and of their training mix. Generated by skycmd's own Rust code: no third-party data.

Part of skycmd, tiny decision models trained from scratch in Rust that run in the browser. Written by sky-train cast-synth --kind <family> --n 1000 --len 2048 --seed 1, and --n 4000 for the mix at commit 8cc8e276. Licences of every set: DATA_LICENSES.md.

Each row is one synthetic series: id (<family>-<i>) and values (2,048 floats). The generators are ours (crates/sky-infer/src/cast/synth.rs), after Reverso (arXiv 2602.17634, appendix B) and Simulation Alone (arXiv 2601.00970), and deterministic per seed. s6-cast does not train on these rows: it trains on an endless stream from the same generators (a refreshed pool, other seeds). This repository is a fixed sample of that stream (sky-train cast-synth --seed 1 --len 2048), to inspect the generators or to pretrain another forecaster on the same distribution.

Sources and licences

Each config is one source and keeps its source's licence (share-alike sources stay share-alike). Attribution goes to the upstream authors; the conversion is ours.

config upstream licence how it is used rows
gp ours: sky_infer::cast::synth, family gp apache-2.0 KernelSynth-style Gaussian-process draws: 1 to 5 kernels (constant, linear, RBF, rational quadratic, Matérn, periodic) combined by sum or product, sampled with random Fourier features 1,000
mixed ours: the training mix apache-2.0 the four families drawn with weights 0.3 / 0.15 / 0.3 / 0.25, as in s6-cast training 4,000
pulse ours: family pulse apache-2.0 trapezoid pulse trains (spikes or dips) over a baseline, with noise 1,000
sarima ours: family sarima apache-2.0 seasonal ARIMA with stationary AR parts (sampled through their partial autocorrelations), optional differencing 1,000
tsi ours: family tsi apache-2.0 trend (linear, exponential, polynomial, piecewise) + up to 3 seasonal waves + Gaussian, Laplace or Student-t noise + outliers + level shifts 1,000

Files

file rows
data/gp.parquet 1,000
data/mixed.parquet 4,000
data/pulse.parquet 1,000
data/sarima.parquet 1,000
data/tsi.parquet 1,000
from datasets import load_dataset
ds = load_dataset("maxgfr/skycmd-cast-synth", "gp")

skycmd wrote no row with a language model: the targets come from the upstream labels (some upstream sets carry their own teacher soft labels, see their cards), the games' oracles or our generators.