Add StormCast event scorecard exports (14 March and 2 April 2025 events)

scorecard/stormcast/eval_scores_stormcast.json

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+{"license":"SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0. Copyright (c) 2024-2026 NVIDIA CORPORATION & AFFILIATES. All rights reserved.","generated_by":"recipes/eval/scorecard/export_scores.py -- do not hand-edit","model":"stormcast","run":"stormcast_2025_events","kind":"prob","members":8,"initial_conditions":["2025-03-14 06:00","2025-03-14 09:00","2025-03-14 12:00","2025-03-14 15:00","2025-03-14 18:00","2025-03-14 21:00","2025-03-15 00:00","2025-03-15 03:00","2025-03-15 06:00","2025-03-15 09:00","2025-04-02 06:00","2025-04-02 09:00","2025-04-02 12:00","2025-04-02 15:00","2025-04-02 18:00","2025-04-02 21:00","2025-04-03 00:00","2025-04-03 03:00","2025-04-03 06:00","2025-04-03 09:00"],"lead_hours":[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12],"variables":["mslp","refc","t2m","u10m","v10m"],"ic_source":"HRRR","verification_source":"HRRR","lat_weights":false,"units":{"mslp":"Pa","refc":"dBZ","t2m":"K","u10m":"m s⁻¹","v10m":"m s⁻¹"},"variable_groups":{"mslp":"Surface","refc":"Surface","t2m":"Surface","u10m":"Surface","v10m":"Surface"},"aggregation":"mean over initial_conditions (sqrt-of-mean-square for rmse and ensemble_mean_mse, sqrt of mean variance for ensemble_variance); lead 0 is excluded -- it is the initial condition, identically 0","provenance":{"scores_written":"2026-09-14","exported":"2026-09-14","date_scored":"2026-09-14","python":"3.12.3","torch":"2.12.0a0+0291f960b6.nv26.04.48445190","cuda":"13.2","repo_commit":"6a641cf5184b065060cb9704e93ccadf502dbbfa","gpus":"8 x NVIDIA H100 80GB HBM3 (single node)","provenance_source":"run"},"metrics":{"rmse":{"label":"RMSE","values":{"mslp":[104.78,135.9,152.43,167.13,177.89,187.87,198.26,201.83,203.86,210.63,218.32,221.28],"refc":[7.7413,8.7998,9.3235,9.8035,10.128,10.348,10.682,11.068,11.339,11.59,11.925,12.149],"t2m":[0.88759,1.364,1.9198,2.4182,2.8325,3.2686,3.6219,3.8655,4.0713,4.2299,4.3624,4.4084],"u10m":[1.4612,1.7712,2.0245,2.2102,2.3426,2.5002,2.5758,2.618,2.6807,2.6956,2.6962,2.7053],"v10m":[1.4767,1.7972,2.0079,2.1641,2.2602,2.3794,2.4828,2.533,2.6147,2.6594,2.6575,2.6912]}},"mae":{"label":"MAE","values":{"mslp":[82.214,105.52,118.61,130.01,138.14,144.53,152.55,155.61,155.73,161.99,167.97,168.93],"refc":[3.4507,4.0491,4.3426,4.6438,4.8618,4.9801,5.1962,5.4656,5.6356,5.8095,6.0296,6.2058],"t2m":[0.66657,1.0345,1.4034,1.7092,2.037,2.3722,2.5893,2.7849,3.0,3.1189,3.2098,3.2553],"u10m":[1.0088,1.2595,1.4536,1.5898,1.7059,1.8258,1.8694,1.9214,1.971,1.9794,1.9925,2.0154],"v10m":[1.0422,1.3123,1.4848,1.6082,1.6995,1.7936,1.871,1.9242,1.9954,2.0188,2.0093,2.0365]}},"ensemble_mean_mse":{"label":"RMSE (ensemble mean)","values":{"mslp":[97.409,129.62,144.27,160.23,170.74,179.18,188.08,192.57,196.02,201.12,206.17,208.68],"refc":[6.2997,7.4027,7.9672,8.4261,8.8163,9.0984,9.4096,9.8325,10.052,10.276,10.65,10.843],"t2m":[0.76205,1.2441,1.8252,2.3376,2.7598,3.2327,3.5617,3.7609,3.9578,4.0883,4.1628,4.1867],"u10m":[1.231,1.5389,1.7961,1.978,2.119,2.2889,2.3587,2.3822,2.4527,2.4913,2.4904,2.4972],"v10m":[1.2247,1.5342,1.7541,1.9112,2.0237,2.1453,2.2379,2.2842,2.3634,2.4203,2.4187,2.4492]}},"crps":{"label":"CRPS","values":{"mslp":[59.519,81.196,90.442,101.48,107.62,111.59,118.15,120.61,122.01,126.41,129.56,129.75],"refc":[1.9662,2.4861,2.7522,3.0034,3.2362,3.3825,3.5596,3.8026,3.9245,4.0632,4.2883,4.4148],"t2m":[0.40683,0.70872,1.0424,1.3207,1.6188,1.9557,2.1438,2.2985,2.493,2.5871,2.6279,2.6382],"u10m":[0.6051,0.80369,0.96102,1.0703,1.1821,1.2885,1.3241,1.356,1.4044,1.4255,1.4366,1.4499],"v10m":[0.60724,0.8057,0.94739,1.0441,1.1342,1.2198,1.2717,1.3141,1.3792,1.4046,1.3968,1.4224]}},"ensemble_variance":{"label":"Spread","values":{"mslp":[39.452,46.132,50.553,53.437,56.33,58.352,60.049,61.503,62.236,63.299,64.349,65.284],"refc":[4.7705,5.0258,5.1497,5.2597,5.3359,5.4213,5.4927,5.55,5.6163,5.7253,5.8038,5.891],"t2m":[0.48672,0.61418,0.69127,0.74735,0.79597,0.83081,0.85633,0.88885,0.91957,0.95992,0.99238,1.0163],"u10m":[0.83786,0.93803,0.99741,1.0347,1.0567,1.0716,1.0882,1.095,1.0963,1.1049,1.1074,1.1038],"v10m":[0.87862,0.98447,1.0435,1.0883,1.1143,1.1288,1.1471,1.1563,1.1572,1.1662,1.1774,1.1862]}},"spread_skill":{"label":"Spread / Skill","values":{"mslp":[0.40502,0.35591,0.35041,0.33349,0.32991,0.32567,0.31927,0.31938,0.3175,0.31474,0.31211,0.31284],"refc":[0.75725,0.67891,0.64636,0.62422,0.60523,0.59585,0.58374,0.56445,0.5587,0.55715,0.54495,0.54331],"t2m":[0.6387,0.49369,0.37873,0.31971,0.28841,0.257,0.24043,0.23634,0.23234,0.2348,0.23839,0.24275],"u10m":[0.68061,0.60953,0.55532,0.52309,0.49869,0.46818,0.46136,0.45967,0.44697,0.4435,0.44466,0.44201],"v10m":[0.71741,0.64168,0.59492,0.56944,0.55061,0.52615,0.51259,0.50623,0.48961,0.48184,0.4868,0.48429]}}},"events":{"mar14_missouri_arkansas":{"label":"14 March outbreak (Missouri, Arkansas)","start":"2025-03-14 18:00","end":"2025-03-15 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global"},"apr02_mid_south":{"label":"2 April outbreak (Mid-South)","start":"2025-04-02 18:00","end":"2025-04-03 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global"}},"regions":["global"],"has_monthly":true,"has_hourly":true,"has_heatmap":true,"has_events":true}

scorecard/stormcast/eval_scores_stormcast_events.json

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"license":"SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0. Copyright (c) 2024-2026 NVIDIA CORPORATION & AFFILIATES. All rights reserved.","generated_by":"recipes/eval/scorecard/export_scores.py -- do not hand-edit","events":["mar14_missouri_arkansas","apr02_mid_south"],"metrics_by_event":{"mar14_missouri_arkansas":{"label":"14 March outbreak (Missouri, Arkansas)","start":"2025-03-14 18:00","end":"2025-03-15 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scorecard/stormcast/eval_scores_stormcast_heatmap.json

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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scorecard/stormcast/eval_scores_stormcast_hourly.json

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scorecard/stormcast/eval_scores_stormcast_monthly.json

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