StormCast scorecard: name events by date

scorecard/stormcast/eval_scores_stormcast.json

@@ -1 +1 @@
-{"license":"SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0. Copyright (c) 2024-2026 NVIDIA CORPORATION & AFFILIATES. All rights reserved.","generated_by":"recipes/eval/scorecard/export_scores.py -- do not hand-edit","model":"stormcast","run":"stormcast_2025_events","kind":"prob","members":8,"initial_conditions":["2025-03-14 06:00","2025-03-14 09:00","2025-03-14 12:00","2025-03-14 15:00","2025-03-14 18:00","2025-03-14 21:00","2025-03-15 00:00","2025-03-15 03:00","2025-03-15 06:00","2025-03-15 09:00","2025-04-02 06:00","2025-04-02 09:00","2025-04-02 12:00","2025-04-02 15:00","2025-04-02 18:00","2025-04-02 21:00","2025-04-03 00:00","2025-04-03 03:00","2025-04-03 06:00","2025-04-03 09:00"],"lead_hours":[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12],"variables":["mslp","refc","t2m","u10m","v10m"],"ic_source":"HRRR","verification_source":"HRRR","lat_weights":false,"units":{"mslp":"Pa","refc":"dBZ","t2m":"K","u10m":"m s⁻¹","v10m":"m s⁻¹"},"variable_groups":{"mslp":"Surface","refc":"Surface","t2m":"Surface","u10m":"Surface","v10m":"Surface"},"aggregation":"mean over initial_conditions (sqrt-of-mean-square for rmse and ensemble_mean_mse, sqrt of mean variance for ensemble_variance); lead 0 is excluded -- it is the initial condition, identically 0","provenance":{"scores_written":"2026-09-14","exported":"2026-09-14","date_scored":"2026-09-14","python":"3.12.3","torch":"2.12.0a0+0291f960b6.nv26.04.48445190","cuda":"13.2","repo_commit":"6a641cf5184b065060cb9704e93ccadf502dbbfa","gpus":"8 x NVIDIA H100 80GB HBM3 (single node)","provenance_source":"run"},"metrics":{"rmse":{"label":"RMSE","values":{"mslp":[104.78,135.9,152.43,167.13,177.89,187.87,198.26,201.83,203.86,210.63,218.32,221.28],"refc":[7.7413,8.7998,9.3235,9.8035,10.128,10.348,10.682,11.068,11.339,11.59,11.925,12.149],"t2m":[0.88759,1.364,1.9198,2.4182,2.8325,3.2686,3.6219,3.8655,4.0713,4.2299,4.3624,4.4084],"u10m":[1.4612,1.7712,2.0245,2.2102,2.3426,2.5002,2.5758,2.618,2.6807,2.6956,2.6962,2.7053],"v10m":[1.4767,1.7972,2.0079,2.1641,2.2602,2.3794,2.4828,2.533,2.6147,2.6594,2.6575,2.6912]}},"mae":{"label":"MAE","values":{"mslp":[82.214,105.52,118.61,130.01,138.14,144.53,152.55,155.61,155.73,161.99,167.97,168.93],"refc":[3.4507,4.0491,4.3426,4.6438,4.8618,4.9801,5.1962,5.4656,5.6356,5.8095,6.0296,6.2058],"t2m":[0.66657,1.0345,1.4034,1.7092,2.037,2.3722,2.5893,2.7849,3.0,3.1189,3.2098,3.2553],"u10m":[1.0088,1.2595,1.4536,1.5898,1.7059,1.8258,1.8694,1.9214,1.971,1.9794,1.9925,2.0154],"v10m":[1.0422,1.3123,1.4848,1.6082,1.6995,1.7936,1.871,1.9242,1.9954,2.0188,2.0093,2.0365]}},"ensemble_mean_mse":{"label":"RMSE (ensemble mean)","values":{"mslp":[97.409,129.62,144.27,160.23,170.74,179.18,188.08,192.57,196.02,201.12,206.17,208.68],"refc":[6.2997,7.4027,7.9672,8.4261,8.8163,9.0984,9.4096,9.8325,10.052,10.276,10.65,10.843],"t2m":[0.76205,1.2441,1.8252,2.3376,2.7598,3.2327,3.5617,3.7609,3.9578,4.0883,4.1628,4.1867],"u10m":[1.231,1.5389,1.7961,1.978,2.119,2.2889,2.3587,2.3822,2.4527,2.4913,2.4904,2.4972],"v10m":[1.2247,1.5342,1.7541,1.9112,2.0237,2.1453,2.2379,2.2842,2.3634,2.4203,2.4187,2.4492]}},"crps":{"label":"CRPS","values":{"mslp":[59.519,81.196,90.442,101.48,107.62,111.59,118.15,120.61,122.01,126.41,129.56,129.75],"refc":[1.9662,2.4861,2.7522,3.0034,3.2362,3.3825,3.5596,3.8026,3.9245,4.0632,4.2883,4.4148],"t2m":[0.40683,0.70872,1.0424,1.3207,1.6188,1.9557,2.1438,2.2985,2.493,2.5871,2.6279,2.6382],"u10m":[0.6051,0.80369,0.96102,1.0703,1.1821,1.2885,1.3241,1.356,1.4044,1.4255,1.4366,1.4499],"v10m":[0.60724,0.8057,0.94739,1.0441,1.1342,1.2198,1.2717,1.3141,1.3792,1.4046,1.3968,1.4224]}},"ensemble_variance":{"label":"Spread","values":{"mslp":[39.452,46.132,50.553,53.437,56.33,58.352,60.049,61.503,62.236,63.299,64.349,65.284],"refc":[4.7705,5.0258,5.1497,5.2597,5.3359,5.4213,5.4927,5.55,5.6163,5.7253,5.8038,5.891],"t2m":[0.48672,0.61418,0.69127,0.74735,0.79597,0.83081,0.85633,0.88885,0.91957,0.95992,0.99238,1.0163],"u10m":[0.83786,0.93803,0.99741,1.0347,1.0567,1.0716,1.0882,1.095,1.0963,1.1049,1.1074,1.1038],"v10m":[0.87862,0.98447,1.0435,1.0883,1.1143,1.1288,1.1471,1.1563,1.1572,1.1662,1.1774,1.1862]}},"spread_skill":{"label":"Spread / Skill","values":{"mslp":[0.40502,0.35591,0.35041,0.33349,0.32991,0.32567,0.31927,0.31938,0.3175,0.31474,0.31211,0.31284],"refc":[0.75725,0.67891,0.64636,0.62422,0.60523,0.59585,0.58374,0.56445,0.5587,0.55715,0.54495,0.54331],"t2m":[0.6387,0.49369,0.37873,0.31971,0.28841,0.257,0.24043,0.23634,0.23234,0.2348,0.23839,0.24275],"u10m":[0.68061,0.60953,0.55532,0.52309,0.49869,0.46818,0.46136,0.45967,0.44697,0.4435,0.44466,0.44201],"v10m":[0.71741,0.64168,0.59492,0.56944,0.55061,0.52615,0.51259,0.50623,0.48961,0.48184,0.4868,0.48429]}}},"events":{"mar14_missouri_arkansas":{"label":"14 March outbreak (Missouri, Arkansas)","start":"2025-03-14 18:00","end":"2025-03-15 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global"},"apr02_mid_south":{"label":"2 April outbreak (Mid-South)","start":"2025-04-02 18:00","end":"2025-04-03 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global"}},"regions":["global"],"has_monthly":true,"has_hourly":true,"has_heatmap":true,"has_events":true}
+{"license":"SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0. Copyright (c) 2024-2026 NVIDIA CORPORATION & AFFILIATES. All rights reserved.","generated_by":"recipes/eval/scorecard/export_scores.py -- do not hand-edit","model":"stormcast","run":"stormcast_2025_events","kind":"prob","members":8,"initial_conditions":["2025-03-14 06:00","2025-03-14 09:00","2025-03-14 12:00","2025-03-14 15:00","2025-03-14 18:00","2025-03-14 21:00","2025-03-15 00:00","2025-03-15 03:00","2025-03-15 06:00","2025-03-15 09:00","2025-04-02 06:00","2025-04-02 09:00","2025-04-02 12:00","2025-04-02 15:00","2025-04-02 18:00","2025-04-02 21:00","2025-04-03 00:00","2025-04-03 03:00","2025-04-03 06:00","2025-04-03 09:00"],"lead_hours":[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12],"variables":["mslp","refc","t2m","u10m","v10m"],"ic_source":"HRRR","verification_source":"HRRR","lat_weights":false,"units":{"mslp":"Pa","refc":"dBZ","t2m":"K","u10m":"m s⁻¹","v10m":"m s⁻¹"},"variable_groups":{"mslp":"Surface","refc":"Surface","t2m":"Surface","u10m":"Surface","v10m":"Surface"},"aggregation":"mean over initial_conditions (sqrt-of-mean-square for rmse and ensemble_mean_mse, sqrt of mean variance for ensemble_variance); lead 0 is excluded -- it is the initial condition, identically 0","provenance":{"scores_written":"2026-09-14","exported":"2026-09-14","date_scored":"2026-09-14","python":"3.12.3","torch":"2.12.0a0+0291f960b6.nv26.04.48445190","cuda":"13.2","repo_commit":"6a641cf5184b065060cb9704e93ccadf502dbbfa","gpus":"8 x NVIDIA H100 80GB HBM3 (single node)","provenance_source":"run"},"metrics":{"rmse":{"label":"RMSE","values":{"mslp":[104.78,135.9,152.43,167.13,177.89,187.87,198.26,201.83,203.86,210.63,218.32,221.28],"refc":[7.7413,8.7998,9.3235,9.8035,10.128,10.348,10.682,11.068,11.339,11.59,11.925,12.149],"t2m":[0.88759,1.364,1.9198,2.4182,2.8325,3.2686,3.6219,3.8655,4.0713,4.2299,4.3624,4.4084],"u10m":[1.4612,1.7712,2.0245,2.2102,2.3426,2.5002,2.5758,2.618,2.6807,2.6956,2.6962,2.7053],"v10m":[1.4767,1.7972,2.0079,2.1641,2.2602,2.3794,2.4828,2.533,2.6147,2.6594,2.6575,2.6912]}},"mae":{"label":"MAE","values":{"mslp":[82.214,105.52,118.61,130.01,138.14,144.53,152.55,155.61,155.73,161.99,167.97,168.93],"refc":[3.4507,4.0491,4.3426,4.6438,4.8618,4.9801,5.1962,5.4656,5.6356,5.8095,6.0296,6.2058],"t2m":[0.66657,1.0345,1.4034,1.7092,2.037,2.3722,2.5893,2.7849,3.0,3.1189,3.2098,3.2553],"u10m":[1.0088,1.2595,1.4536,1.5898,1.7059,1.8258,1.8694,1.9214,1.971,1.9794,1.9925,2.0154],"v10m":[1.0422,1.3123,1.4848,1.6082,1.6995,1.7936,1.871,1.9242,1.9954,2.0188,2.0093,2.0365]}},"ensemble_mean_mse":{"label":"RMSE (ensemble mean)","values":{"mslp":[97.409,129.62,144.27,160.23,170.74,179.18,188.08,192.57,196.02,201.12,206.17,208.68],"refc":[6.2997,7.4027,7.9672,8.4261,8.8163,9.0984,9.4096,9.8325,10.052,10.276,10.65,10.843],"t2m":[0.76205,1.2441,1.8252,2.3376,2.7598,3.2327,3.5617,3.7609,3.9578,4.0883,4.1628,4.1867],"u10m":[1.231,1.5389,1.7961,1.978,2.119,2.2889,2.3587,2.3822,2.4527,2.4913,2.4904,2.4972],"v10m":[1.2247,1.5342,1.7541,1.9112,2.0237,2.1453,2.2379,2.2842,2.3634,2.4203,2.4187,2.4492]}},"crps":{"label":"CRPS","values":{"mslp":[59.519,81.196,90.442,101.48,107.62,111.59,118.15,120.61,122.01,126.41,129.56,129.75],"refc":[1.9662,2.4861,2.7522,3.0034,3.2362,3.3825,3.5596,3.8026,3.9245,4.0632,4.2883,4.4148],"t2m":[0.40683,0.70872,1.0424,1.3207,1.6188,1.9557,2.1438,2.2985,2.493,2.5871,2.6279,2.6382],"u10m":[0.6051,0.80369,0.96102,1.0703,1.1821,1.2885,1.3241,1.356,1.4044,1.4255,1.4366,1.4499],"v10m":[0.60724,0.8057,0.94739,1.0441,1.1342,1.2198,1.2717,1.3141,1.3792,1.4046,1.3968,1.4224]}},"ensemble_variance":{"label":"Spread","values":{"mslp":[39.452,46.132,50.553,53.437,56.33,58.352,60.049,61.503,62.236,63.299,64.349,65.284],"refc":[4.7705,5.0258,5.1497,5.2597,5.3359,5.4213,5.4927,5.55,5.6163,5.7253,5.8038,5.891],"t2m":[0.48672,0.61418,0.69127,0.74735,0.79597,0.83081,0.85633,0.88885,0.91957,0.95992,0.99238,1.0163],"u10m":[0.83786,0.93803,0.99741,1.0347,1.0567,1.0716,1.0882,1.095,1.0963,1.1049,1.1074,1.1038],"v10m":[0.87862,0.98447,1.0435,1.0883,1.1143,1.1288,1.1471,1.1563,1.1572,1.1662,1.1774,1.1862]}},"spread_skill":{"label":"Spread / Skill","values":{"mslp":[0.40502,0.35591,0.35041,0.33349,0.32991,0.32567,0.31927,0.31938,0.3175,0.31474,0.31211,0.31284],"refc":[0.75725,0.67891,0.64636,0.62422,0.60523,0.59585,0.58374,0.56445,0.5587,0.55715,0.54495,0.54331],"t2m":[0.6387,0.49369,0.37873,0.31971,0.28841,0.257,0.24043,0.23634,0.23234,0.2348,0.23839,0.24275],"u10m":[0.68061,0.60953,0.55532,0.52309,0.49869,0.46818,0.46136,0.45967,0.44697,0.4435,0.44466,0.44201],"v10m":[0.71741,0.64168,0.59492,0.56944,0.55061,0.52615,0.51259,0.50623,0.48961,0.48184,0.4868,0.48429]}}},"events":{"mar14_missouri_arkansas":{"label":"14 March 2025 (Missouri, Arkansas)","start":"2025-03-14 18:00","end":"2025-03-15 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global"},"apr02_mid_south":{"label":"2 April 2025 (Mid-South)","start":"2025-04-02 18:00","end":"2025-04-03 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global"}},"regions":["global"],"has_monthly":true,"has_hourly":true,"has_heatmap":true,"has_events":true}

scorecard/stormcast/eval_scores_stormcast_events.json

@@ -1 +1 @@
-{"license":"SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0. Copyright (c) 2024-2026 NVIDIA CORPORATION & AFFILIATES. All rights reserved.","generated_by":"recipes/eval/scorecard/export_scores.py -- do not hand-edit","events":["mar14_missouri_arkansas","apr02_mid_south"],"metrics_by_event":{"mar14_missouri_arkansas":{"label":"14 March outbreak (Missouri, Arkansas)","start":"2025-03-14 18:00","end":"2025-03-15 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global","region_box":null,"initial_conditions":10,"metrics":{"rmse":{"label":"RMSE","values":{"mslp":[111.15,146.68,170.91,187.72,197.66,214.59,228.34,230.37,232.19,241.9,247.38,248.97],"refc":[7.9987,9.0841,9.3639,9.6851,10.079,10.075,10.052,10.531,10.787,11.289,11.813,11.824],"t2m":[0.93726,1.3129,1.594,1.8657,2.1363,2.7152,2.6244,2.5023,3.0561,2.9533,2.8359,3.2609],"u10m":[1.5949,1.9643,2.0808,2.293,2.4545,2.5484,2.6252,2.6805,2.7748,2.7879,2.8455,2.9243],"v10m":[1.5865,1.932,2.0743,2.2152,2.3118,2.3935,2.4181,2.4501,2.5267,2.5298,2.5413,2.615]}},"mae":{"label":"MAE","values":{"mslp":[87.606,115.86,134.81,147.73,155.59,169.29,176.5,177.68,179.09,188.76,192.67,193.62],"refc":[3.5614,4.1869,4.266,4.438,4.719,4.6191,4.5973,4.9479,5.1011,5.39,5.8296,5.8868],"t2m":[0.69887,1.016,1.2438,1.4636,1.6698,2.1216,2.0929,1.9835,2.38,2.3316,2.2273,2.5709],"u10m":[1.0987,1.3831,1.4976,1.6575,1.7654,1.8598,1.9366,1.9767,2.0558,2.0834,2.1107,2.1756],"v10m":[1.1144,1.396,1.5334,1.6729,1.7302,1.7977,1.8329,1.8559,1.9096,1.9191,1.917,1.9856]}},"ensemble_mean_mse":{"label":"RMSE (ensemble mean)","values":{"mslp":[103.88,142.52,164.96,183.11,192.8,206.84,218.3,222.21,225.12,234.79,238.42,237.96],"refc":[6.5601,7.7623,8.1264,8.4122,8.8605,9.0519,9.2071,9.632,9.8214,10.183,10.658,10.614],"t2m":[0.80882,1.1617,1.4396,1.7311,1.9973,2.5959,2.5101,2.4051,2.9329,2.8316,2.7057,3.07],"u10m":[1.3393,1.6953,1.8266,2.0257,2.1954,2.3049,2.3615,2.4196,2.5008,2.5494,2.6081,2.6809],"v10m":[1.3101,1.6327,1.7755,1.9289,2.0617,2.1232,2.1637,2.1848,2.2444,2.246,2.218,2.313]}},"crps":{"label":"CRPS","values":{"mslp":[64.435,91.574,106.82,118.95,125.22,134.76,141.4,143.93,144.98,152.48,155.42,153.56],"refc":[2.0732,2.6728,2.8317,2.9702,3.2298,3.3143,3.4007,3.656,3.7575,3.9901,4.2861,4.258],"t2m":[0.43202,0.66613,0.85595,1.051,1.2253,1.6563,1.6257,1.5301,1.8949,1.8434,1.7318,2.0002],"u10m":[0.65779,0.87862,0.9792,1.0988,1.2002,1.2868,1.3281,1.3591,1.4344,1.4804,1.5049,1.5603],"v10m":[0.65502,0.84776,0.96181,1.0771,1.1444,1.1948,1.2169,1.2206,1.2642,1.268,1.2391,1.3191]}},"ensemble_variance":{"label":"Spread","values":{"mslp":[40.962,48.792,52.919,54.789,58.222,60.62,61.927,64.103,64.47,66.386,66.815,68.219],"refc":[4.8164,5.0083,4.9415,4.9984,5.0978,5.0755,5.1203,5.2847,5.2756,5.4742,5.7864,5.7037],"t2m":[0.50499,0.63243,0.70834,0.76927,0.81066,0.84736,0.87821,0.89924,0.91942,0.95452,0.97789,1.0096],"u10m":[0.91063,1.0191,1.0554,1.1079,1.1474,1.1627,1.2057,1.2221,1.2069,1.2392,1.2544,1.2387],"v10m":[0.94621,1.0632,1.0903,1.1444,1.1872,1.1941,1.2397,1.2515,1.2371,1.2538,1.2751,1.2691]}},"spread_skill":{"label":"Spread / Skill","values":{"mslp":[0.39432,0.34234,0.32079,0.2992,0.30198,0.29307,0.28368,0.28848,0.28638,0.28274,0.28025,0.28668],"refc":[0.7342,0.64522,0.60808,0.59419,0.57534,0.56071,0.55612,0.54866,0.53716,0.53761,0.5429,0.53735],"t2m":[0.62436,0.54441,0.49204,0.44438,0.40589,0.32642,0.34986,0.37389,0.31349,0.3371,0.36142,0.32887],"u10m":[0.67994,0.60113,0.57779,0.54694,0.52263,0.50447,0.51057,0.50506,0.48261,0.48606,0.48097,0.46205],"v10m":[0.72227,0.65118,0.6141,0.59332,0.57583,0.56242,0.57294,0.57281,0.55119,0.55825,0.57487,0.54868]}}},"run":"stormcast_2025_events"},"apr02_mid_south":{"label":"2 April outbreak (Mid-South)","start":"2025-04-02 18:00","end":"2025-04-03 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global","region_box":null,"initial_conditions":10,"metrics":{"rmse":{"label":"RMSE","values":{"mslp":[87.678,113.45,137.08,161.51,173.62,190.83,221.78,218.58,206.01,222.37,219.29,212.73],"refc":[8.2463,9.3764,9.7667,10.102,10.406,10.674,10.871,11.405,11.709,11.671,12.2,12.502],"t2m":[0.87807,1.2431,1.9258,2.4569,2.9177,4.2224,4.8457,4.7815,5.017,5.0816,4.7122,4.8084],"u10m":[1.4646,1.7224,1.9342,2.1816,2.3879,2.5626,2.7267,2.6959,2.6598,2.7095,2.6579,2.693],"v10m":[1.4897,1.7698,1.9448,2.0806,2.1718,2.3204,2.3937,2.4075,2.4775,2.4564,2.4254,2.5521]}},"mae":{"label":"MAE","values":{"mslp":[68.779,88.893,108.51,129.51,140.3,148.58,177.33,175.58,159.87,174.74,174.61,163.94],"refc":[3.7645,4.4634,4.7063,4.9334,5.1193,5.2855,5.3743,5.6472,5.8576,5.8241,6.1182,6.2526],"t2m":[0.66499,0.96441,1.4717,1.8577,2.1371,2.9841,3.4847,3.3765,3.6291,3.7735,3.429,3.5434],"u10m":[1.0426,1.2494,1.4301,1.6384,1.7783,1.8954,2.0069,2.0011,1.9735,2.0229,1.9921,2.027],"v10m":[1.0728,1.302,1.4446,1.556,1.6427,1.7669,1.8252,1.8309,1.8804,1.8693,1.8287,1.912]}},"ensemble_mean_mse":{"label":"RMSE (ensemble mean)","values":{"mslp":[77.046,105.31,125.16,152.67,169.81,182.46,208.18,209.34,200.06,209.67,203.55,196.19],"refc":[6.5668,7.6917,8.215,8.5077,8.9958,9.3443,9.4901,10.077,10.432,10.438,10.903,11.208],"t2m":[0.74705,1.1059,1.8683,2.4459,2.959,4.281,4.8561,4.6861,4.8949,4.8786,4.3565,4.4598],"u10m":[1.2386,1.5004,1.7217,1.9701,2.1948,2.376,2.531,2.4623,2.4265,2.4929,2.4353,2.4723],"v10m":[1.2258,1.4976,1.7004,1.8248,1.9592,2.1251,2.1572,2.1653,2.2392,2.2273,2.2117,2.3046]}},"crps":{"label":"CRPS","values":{"mslp":[45.47,65.016,78.423,101.02,112.71,116.05,138.46,138.83,126.89,134.97,132.1,122.47],"refc":[2.1149,2.6801,2.9124,3.0812,3.3494,3.503,3.6021,3.9151,4.0415,4.0562,4.3259,4.4616],"t2m":[0.40548,0.64103,1.1347,1.5136,1.7796,2.621,3.0688,2.8729,3.0911,3.1782,2.7383,2.8184],"u10m":[0.62511,0.78596,0.94333,1.1219,1.2605,1.371,1.4651,1.4225,1.4033,1.4623,1.4283,1.4608],"v10m":[0.61238,0.78402,0.91796,1.0076,1.1043,1.218,1.2423,1.2376,1.2859,1.277,1.2593,1.3121]}},"ensemble_variance":{"label":"Spread","values":{"mslp":[38.803,44.892,49.27,51.784,53.94,56.009,58.194,59.386,59.806,60.837,62.429,62.793],"refc":[5.2518,5.5662,5.7439,5.8005,5.8804,5.8971,5.7982,5.7996,5.8243,5.7463,5.7024,5.821],"t2m":[0.48282,0.60164,0.67456,0.72373,0.78128,0.81295,0.8339,0.88406,0.92229,0.96244,1.0208,1.0443],"u10m":[0.84562,0.92891,0.94969,0.97443,0.9898,0.98931,1.0096,1.0197,1.0221,1.0244,1.0328,1.0346],"v10m":[0.90308,0.99032,1.0236,1.0656,1.084,1.0788,1.0951,1.1131,1.114,1.132,1.1362,1.1465]}},"spread_skill":{"label":"Spread / Skill","values":{"mslp":[0.50363,0.42629,0.39367,0.33919,0.31766,0.30697,0.27953,0.28368,0.29894,0.29016,0.3067,0.32007],"refc":[0.79975,0.72366,0.69919,0.68179,0.65368,0.63109,0.61097,0.57555,0.55833,0.55049,0.52301,0.51935],"t2m":[0.64631,0.54401,0.36105,0.2959,0.26404,0.1899,0.17172,0.18866,0.18842,0.19728,0.23431,0.23416],"u10m":[0.68275,0.61911,0.55161,0.49461,0.45096,0.41637,0.39889,0.41414,0.42124,0.41095,0.42411,0.41846],"v10m":[0.73675,0.66127,0.60199,0.58394,0.55326,0.50766,0.50762,0.51407,0.49749,0.50825,0.5137,0.49747]}}},"run":"stormcast_2025_events"}},"runs":{"stormcast_2025_events":{"scores_written":"2026-09-14","exported":"2026-09-14","date_scored":"2026-09-14","python":"3.12.3","torch":"2.12.0a0+0291f960b6.nv26.04.48445190","cuda":"13.2","repo_commit":"6a641cf5184b065060cb9704e93ccadf502dbbfa","gpus":"8 x NVIDIA H100 80GB HBM3 (single node)","provenance_source":"run"}}}
+{"license":"SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0. Copyright (c) 2024-2026 NVIDIA CORPORATION & AFFILIATES. All rights reserved.","generated_by":"recipes/eval/scorecard/export_scores.py -- do not hand-edit","events":["mar14_missouri_arkansas","apr02_mid_south"],"metrics_by_event":{"mar14_missouri_arkansas":{"label":"14 March 2025 (Missouri, Arkansas)","start":"2025-03-14 18:00","end":"2025-03-15 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global","region_box":null,"initial_conditions":10,"metrics":{"rmse":{"label":"RMSE","values":{"mslp":[111.15,146.68,170.91,187.72,197.66,214.59,228.34,230.37,232.19,241.9,247.38,248.97],"refc":[7.9987,9.0841,9.3639,9.6851,10.079,10.075,10.052,10.531,10.787,11.289,11.813,11.824],"t2m":[0.93726,1.3129,1.594,1.8657,2.1363,2.7152,2.6244,2.5023,3.0561,2.9533,2.8359,3.2609],"u10m":[1.5949,1.9643,2.0808,2.293,2.4545,2.5484,2.6252,2.6805,2.7748,2.7879,2.8455,2.9243],"v10m":[1.5865,1.932,2.0743,2.2152,2.3118,2.3935,2.4181,2.4501,2.5267,2.5298,2.5413,2.615]}},"mae":{"label":"MAE","values":{"mslp":[87.606,115.86,134.81,147.73,155.59,169.29,176.5,177.68,179.09,188.76,192.67,193.62],"refc":[3.5614,4.1869,4.266,4.438,4.719,4.6191,4.5973,4.9479,5.1011,5.39,5.8296,5.8868],"t2m":[0.69887,1.016,1.2438,1.4636,1.6698,2.1216,2.0929,1.9835,2.38,2.3316,2.2273,2.5709],"u10m":[1.0987,1.3831,1.4976,1.6575,1.7654,1.8598,1.9366,1.9767,2.0558,2.0834,2.1107,2.1756],"v10m":[1.1144,1.396,1.5334,1.6729,1.7302,1.7977,1.8329,1.8559,1.9096,1.9191,1.917,1.9856]}},"ensemble_mean_mse":{"label":"RMSE (ensemble mean)","values":{"mslp":[103.88,142.52,164.96,183.11,192.8,206.84,218.3,222.21,225.12,234.79,238.42,237.96],"refc":[6.5601,7.7623,8.1264,8.4122,8.8605,9.0519,9.2071,9.632,9.8214,10.183,10.658,10.614],"t2m":[0.80882,1.1617,1.4396,1.7311,1.9973,2.5959,2.5101,2.4051,2.9329,2.8316,2.7057,3.07],"u10m":[1.3393,1.6953,1.8266,2.0257,2.1954,2.3049,2.3615,2.4196,2.5008,2.5494,2.6081,2.6809],"v10m":[1.3101,1.6327,1.7755,1.9289,2.0617,2.1232,2.1637,2.1848,2.2444,2.246,2.218,2.313]}},"crps":{"label":"CRPS","values":{"mslp":[64.435,91.574,106.82,118.95,125.22,134.76,141.4,143.93,144.98,152.48,155.42,153.56],"refc":[2.0732,2.6728,2.8317,2.9702,3.2298,3.3143,3.4007,3.656,3.7575,3.9901,4.2861,4.258],"t2m":[0.43202,0.66613,0.85595,1.051,1.2253,1.6563,1.6257,1.5301,1.8949,1.8434,1.7318,2.0002],"u10m":[0.65779,0.87862,0.9792,1.0988,1.2002,1.2868,1.3281,1.3591,1.4344,1.4804,1.5049,1.5603],"v10m":[0.65502,0.84776,0.96181,1.0771,1.1444,1.1948,1.2169,1.2206,1.2642,1.268,1.2391,1.3191]}},"ensemble_variance":{"label":"Spread","values":{"mslp":[40.962,48.792,52.919,54.789,58.222,60.62,61.927,64.103,64.47,66.386,66.815,68.219],"refc":[4.8164,5.0083,4.9415,4.9984,5.0978,5.0755,5.1203,5.2847,5.2756,5.4742,5.7864,5.7037],"t2m":[0.50499,0.63243,0.70834,0.76927,0.81066,0.84736,0.87821,0.89924,0.91942,0.95452,0.97789,1.0096],"u10m":[0.91063,1.0191,1.0554,1.1079,1.1474,1.1627,1.2057,1.2221,1.2069,1.2392,1.2544,1.2387],"v10m":[0.94621,1.0632,1.0903,1.1444,1.1872,1.1941,1.2397,1.2515,1.2371,1.2538,1.2751,1.2691]}},"spread_skill":{"label":"Spread / Skill","values":{"mslp":[0.39432,0.34234,0.32079,0.2992,0.30198,0.29307,0.28368,0.28848,0.28638,0.28274,0.28025,0.28668],"refc":[0.7342,0.64522,0.60808,0.59419,0.57534,0.56071,0.55612,0.54866,0.53716,0.53761,0.5429,0.53735],"t2m":[0.62436,0.54441,0.49204,0.44438,0.40589,0.32642,0.34986,0.37389,0.31349,0.3371,0.36142,0.32887],"u10m":[0.67994,0.60113,0.57779,0.54694,0.52263,0.50447,0.51057,0.50506,0.48261,0.48606,0.48097,0.46205],"v10m":[0.72227,0.65118,0.6141,0.59332,0.57583,0.56242,0.57294,0.57281,0.55119,0.55825,0.57487,0.54868]}}},"run":"stormcast_2025_events"},"apr02_mid_south":{"label":"2 April 2025 (Mid-South)","start":"2025-04-02 18:00","end":"2025-04-03 09:00","window":"valid","region":"global","region_box":null,"initial_conditions":10,"metrics":{"rmse":{"label":"RMSE","values":{"mslp":[87.678,113.45,137.08,161.51,173.62,190.83,221.78,218.58,206.01,222.37,219.29,212.73],"refc":[8.2463,9.3764,9.7667,10.102,10.406,10.674,10.871,11.405,11.709,11.671,12.2,12.502],"t2m":[0.87807,1.2431,1.9258,2.4569,2.9177,4.2224,4.8457,4.7815,5.017,5.0816,4.7122,4.8084],"u10m":[1.4646,1.7224,1.9342,2.1816,2.3879,2.5626,2.7267,2.6959,2.6598,2.7095,2.6579,2.693],"v10m":[1.4897,1.7698,1.9448,2.0806,2.1718,2.3204,2.3937,2.4075,2.4775,2.4564,2.4254,2.5521]}},"mae":{"label":"MAE","values":{"mslp":[68.779,88.893,108.51,129.51,140.3,148.58,177.33,175.58,159.87,174.74,174.61,163.94],"refc":[3.7645,4.4634,4.7063,4.9334,5.1193,5.2855,5.3743,5.6472,5.8576,5.8241,6.1182,6.2526],"t2m":[0.66499,0.96441,1.4717,1.8577,2.1371,2.9841,3.4847,3.3765,3.6291,3.7735,3.429,3.5434],"u10m":[1.0426,1.2494,1.4301,1.6384,1.7783,1.8954,2.0069,2.0011,1.9735,2.0229,1.9921,2.027],"v10m":[1.0728,1.302,1.4446,1.556,1.6427,1.7669,1.8252,1.8309,1.8804,1.8693,1.8287,1.912]}},"ensemble_mean_mse":{"label":"RMSE (ensemble mean)","values":{"mslp":[77.046,105.31,125.16,152.67,169.81,182.46,208.18,209.34,200.06,209.67,203.55,196.19],"refc":[6.5668,7.6917,8.215,8.5077,8.9958,9.3443,9.4901,10.077,10.432,10.438,10.903,11.208],"t2m":[0.74705,1.1059,1.8683,2.4459,2.959,4.281,4.8561,4.6861,4.8949,4.8786,4.3565,4.4598],"u10m":[1.2386,1.5004,1.7217,1.9701,2.1948,2.376,2.531,2.4623,2.4265,2.4929,2.4353,2.4723],"v10m":[1.2258,1.4976,1.7004,1.8248,1.9592,2.1251,2.1572,2.1653,2.2392,2.2273,2.2117,2.3046]}},"crps":{"label":"CRPS","values":{"mslp":[45.47,65.016,78.423,101.02,112.71,116.05,138.46,138.83,126.89,134.97,132.1,122.47],"refc":[2.1149,2.6801,2.9124,3.0812,3.3494,3.503,3.6021,3.9151,4.0415,4.0562,4.3259,4.4616],"t2m":[0.40548,0.64103,1.1347,1.5136,1.7796,2.621,3.0688,2.8729,3.0911,3.1782,2.7383,2.8184],"u10m":[0.62511,0.78596,0.94333,1.1219,1.2605,1.371,1.4651,1.4225,1.4033,1.4623,1.4283,1.4608],"v10m":[0.61238,0.78402,0.91796,1.0076,1.1043,1.218,1.2423,1.2376,1.2859,1.277,1.2593,1.3121]}},"ensemble_variance":{"label":"Spread","values":{"mslp":[38.803,44.892,49.27,51.784,53.94,56.009,58.194,59.386,59.806,60.837,62.429,62.793],"refc":[5.2518,5.5662,5.7439,5.8005,5.8804,5.8971,5.7982,5.7996,5.8243,5.7463,5.7024,5.821],"t2m":[0.48282,0.60164,0.67456,0.72373,0.78128,0.81295,0.8339,0.88406,0.92229,0.96244,1.0208,1.0443],"u10m":[0.84562,0.92891,0.94969,0.97443,0.9898,0.98931,1.0096,1.0197,1.0221,1.0244,1.0328,1.0346],"v10m":[0.90308,0.99032,1.0236,1.0656,1.084,1.0788,1.0951,1.1131,1.114,1.132,1.1362,1.1465]}},"spread_skill":{"label":"Spread / Skill","values":{"mslp":[0.50363,0.42629,0.39367,0.33919,0.31766,0.30697,0.27953,0.28368,0.29894,0.29016,0.3067,0.32007],"refc":[0.79975,0.72366,0.69919,0.68179,0.65368,0.63109,0.61097,0.57555,0.55833,0.55049,0.52301,0.51935],"t2m":[0.64631,0.54401,0.36105,0.2959,0.26404,0.1899,0.17172,0.18866,0.18842,0.19728,0.23431,0.23416],"u10m":[0.68275,0.61911,0.55161,0.49461,0.45096,0.41637,0.39889,0.41414,0.42124,0.41095,0.42411,0.41846],"v10m":[0.73675,0.66127,0.60199,0.58394,0.55326,0.50766,0.50762,0.51407,0.49749,0.50825,0.5137,0.49747]}}},"run":"stormcast_2025_events"}},"runs":{"stormcast_2025_events":{"scores_written":"2026-09-14","exported":"2026-09-14","date_scored":"2026-09-14","python":"3.12.3","torch":"2.12.0a0+0291f960b6.nv26.04.48445190","cuda":"13.2","repo_commit":"6a641cf5184b065060cb9704e93ccadf502dbbfa","gpus":"8 x NVIDIA H100 80GB HBM3 (single node)","provenance_source":"run"}}}