AtlasOpenCoder / validation /r2 /STEP5_FREQUENCY_pretrain.json
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{
"branch": "pretrain",
"n_p2": 166,
"pilot_30": [
"AnnAssign",
"Assert",
"Assign",
"Attribute",
"AugAssign",
"BinOp",
"BoolOp",
"Call",
"Compare",
"Delete",
"Dict",
"For",
"FunctionDef",
"GeneratorExp",
"If",
"IfExp",
"ImportFrom",
"List",
"ListComp",
"NamedExpr",
"Pass",
"Return",
"Set",
"Slice",
"Starred",
"Subscript",
"Tuple",
"UnaryOp",
"While",
"With"
],
"pilot_disclosure": {
"extrapolated_date_form": {
"spearman": -0.3,
"n": 30,
"p": 0.1
},
"measured_turnover_form": {
"spearman": 0.54,
"n": 30,
"p": 0.002
},
"status": "both exploratory; the phase battery's reading is reported with and without these 30 constructs"
},
"c3": {
"n_p3": {
"product": 0,
"layer": 12
},
"verdict_threshold": 43,
"powered_threshold": 84,
"verdict": "NO VERDICT on P2: |P3| is below C3's threshold in both spaces, so step 0b's clause applies -- P2 is reported as the correlation with its interval and no verdict"
},
"step1_clause": {
"product": {
"status": "UNDETERMINED",
"n": 0,
"why": "fewer than three constructs are dated under both thetas",
"primary": "aft",
"note": "the clause promotes the Spearman only on a positive finding; an undetermined condition leaves the AFT primary and is reported as undetermined, not as a negative"
},
"layer": {
"status": "NOT DECIDABLE BY THE CONTRACT",
"spearman_between_thetas": 0.8186813186813187,
"n_dated_under_both": 13,
"thetas": [
0.7,
0.75
],
"pilot_observed_range": [
0.89,
1.0
],
"below_the_pilot_range": true,
"primary": "aft",
"note": "the plan names no cut for 'reference-dependent', so the AFT stays primary by default and the measured agreement is reported; whether the choice matters is answered by `primary_choice_is_material`, not by a threshold",
"primary_choice_is_material|with_pilot": false,
"primary_choice_is_material|without_pilot": false
}
},
"spearman": {
"product|with_pilot": {
"n": 162,
"distinct_ranks": 1,
"n_censored": 162,
"n_dated": 0,
"spearman": null,
"why": "the date column has a single rank (1): every construct is censored, so a rank correlation against it is undefined rather than zero"
},
"product|without_pilot": {
"n": 149,
"distinct_ranks": 1,
"n_censored": 149,
"n_dated": 0,
"spearman": null,
"why": "the date column has a single rank (1): every construct is censored, so a rank correlation against it is undefined rather than zero"
},
"layer|with_pilot": {
"n": 162,
"distinct_ranks": 2,
"n_censored": 151,
"n_dated": 11,
"n_distinct_dates": 1,
"measures": "whether a construct is DATED AT ALL against its frequency -- not which dates come first: all dated constructs share one checkpoint, so there is no order among the dates to correlate with",
"is_the_p2_quantity": false,
"spearman": 0.34959273278345204,
"permutation_interval": [
-0.15025517080503958,
0.15832642460323285
],
"permutation_p": 0.0,
"n_draws": 10000
},
"layer|without_pilot": {
"n": 149,
"distinct_ranks": 2,
"n_censored": 138,
"n_dated": 11,
"n_distinct_dates": 1,
"measures": "whether a construct is DATED AT ALL against its frequency -- not which dates come first: all dated constructs share one checkpoint, so there is no order among the dates to correlate with",
"is_the_p2_quantity": false,
"spearman": 0.35653302896317635,
"permutation_interval": [
-0.16049424501310475,
0.1638098375975422
],
"permutation_p": 0.0,
"n_draws": 10000
}
},
"aft": {
"product|with_pilot|lognormal": {
"n": 162,
"n_events": 0,
"fit": null,
"why": "fewer than ten events: a regression on this column would be an interval and not an estimate"
},
"product|with_pilot|weibull": {
"n": 162,
"n_events": 0,
"fit": null,
"why": "fewer than ten events: a regression on this column would be an interval and not an estimate"
},
"product|without_pilot|lognormal": {
"n": 149,
"n_events": 0,
"fit": null,
"why": "fewer than ten events: a regression on this column would be an interval and not an estimate"
},
"product|without_pilot|weibull": {
"n": 149,
"n_events": 0,
"fit": null,
"why": "fewer than ten events: a regression on this column would be an interval and not an estimate"
},
"layer|with_pilot|lognormal": {
"n": 162,
"n_events": 11,
"n_composite": 7,
"composite_entered": false,
"names": [
"intercept",
"log_frequency",
"frame:builtin reference",
"frame:header+suite",
"frame:operand position"
],
"fit": {
"converged": true,
"nll": 89.43949528683751,
"beta": [
32.06600246481953,
0.1308126910623666,
-2.3770635976505643,
0.7653762631852457,
6.386974448601922
],
"log_scale": -0.8436829018411521,
"dist": "lognormal",
"n": 162
},
"coefficients": {
"intercept": {
"beta": 32.06600246481953,
"lo": 29.93682029391696,
"hi": 63.682749363684046,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"log_frequency": {
"beta": 0.1308126910623666,
"lo": 0.09245074199399071,
"hi": 0.1843977302659035,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"frame:builtin reference": {
"beta": -2.3770635976505643,
"lo": -34.07627087080867,
"hi": -0.09620066180980985,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"frame:header+suite": {
"beta": 0.7653762631852457,
"lo": -31.398092800336816,
"hi": 27.479738698376675,
"excludes_zero": false
},
"frame:operand position": {
"beta": 6.386974448601922,
"lo": -9.380539736820449,
"hi": 98.63599914214178,
"excludes_zero": false
}
},
"permutation_p_log_frequency": 0.0,
"n_bootstrap": 200,
"n_permutations": 200
},
"layer|with_pilot|weibull": {
"n": 162,
"n_events": 11,
"n_composite": 7,
"composite_entered": false,
"names": [
"intercept",
"log_frequency",
"frame:builtin reference",
"frame:header+suite",
"frame:operand position"
],
"fit": {
"converged": true,
"nll": 91.37033871224388,
"beta": [
45.10972018027097,
0.12817763666470106,
-15.358532774155869,
-8.294576149256686,
13.993049030365688
],
"log_scale": -1.33082141078288,
"dist": "weibull",
"n": 162
},
"coefficients": {
"intercept": {
"beta": 45.10972018027097,
"lo": 30.05936812597074,
"hi": 74.16854885919483,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"log_frequency": {
"beta": 0.12817763666470106,
"lo": 0.08401368325582154,
"hi": 0.19500850085382912,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"frame:builtin reference": {
"beta": -15.358532774155869,
"lo": -44.530362728801386,
"hi": 0.11285317063027606,
"excludes_zero": false
},
"frame:header+suite": {
"beta": -8.294576149256686,
"lo": -29.80719417472475,
"hi": 44.1163671126458,
"excludes_zero": false
},
"frame:operand position": {
"beta": 13.993049030365688,
"lo": -12.28710552093677,
"hi": 78.72207075303147,
"excludes_zero": false
}
},
"permutation_p_log_frequency": 0.0,
"n_bootstrap": 200,
"n_permutations": 200
},
"layer|without_pilot|lognormal": {
"n": 149,
"n_events": 11,
"n_composite": 4,
"composite_entered": false,
"names": [
"intercept",
"log_frequency",
"frame:builtin reference"
],
"fit": {
"converged": true,
"nll": 89.43949528683788,
"beta": [
32.30869495920375,
0.1308126922553674,
-2.6197560604628167
],
"log_scale": -0.8436829248997222,
"dist": "lognormal",
"n": 149
},
"coefficients": {
"intercept": {
"beta": 32.30869495920375,
"lo": 30.764814094196627,
"hi": 34.35356998673611,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"log_frequency": {
"beta": 0.1308126922553674,
"lo": 0.09716133111606483,
"hi": 0.20194203989109735,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"frame:builtin reference": {
"beta": -2.6197560604628167,
"lo": -4.215686486476544,
"hi": -0.8542930966376433,
"excludes_zero": true
}
},
"permutation_p_log_frequency": 0.0,
"n_bootstrap": 200,
"n_permutations": 200
},
"layer|without_pilot|weibull": {
"n": 149,
"n_events": 11,
"n_composite": 4,
"composite_entered": false,
"names": [
"intercept",
"log_frequency",
"frame:builtin reference"
],
"fit": {
"converged": true,
"nll": 91.37033871224492,
"beta": [
36.72437359336768,
0.12817764653690045,
-6.973186098031237
],
"log_scale": -1.3308213083352753,
"dist": "weibull",
"n": 149
},
"coefficients": {
"intercept": {
"beta": 36.72437359336768,
"lo": 30.837064031132805,
"hi": 52.98799627957624,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"log_frequency": {
"beta": 0.12817764653690045,
"lo": 0.0885961542952031,
"hi": 0.2158982608197191,
"excludes_zero": true
},
"frame:builtin reference": {
"beta": -6.973186098031237,
"lo": -23.025825671551743,
"hi": -1.0552733989785184,
"excludes_zero": true
}
},
"permutation_p_log_frequency": 0.0,
"n_bootstrap": 200,
"n_permutations": 200
}
},
"assembly": {
"product|with_pilot": {
"n_composites": 7,
"n_usable_pairs": 0,
"composites": {
"AsyncFor": {
"components": [
"Break",
"Continue"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Continue": {
"components": [
"For"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"For": {
"components": [
"Break",
"Continue"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Global": {
"components": [
"FunctionDef",
"Assign"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Return": {
"components": [
"FunctionDef"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Try": {
"components": [
"ExceptHandler"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"While": {
"components": [
"Break",
"Continue"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
}
},
"outcome": "EMPTY",
"why": "no composite has both its own stability date and a date for any construct it obliges, so the assembly rival cannot be tested on this record; the dated set and the composite set do not intersect"
},
"product|without_pilot": {
"n_composites": 4,
"n_usable_pairs": 0,
"composites": {
"AsyncFor": {
"components": [
"Break",
"Continue"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Continue": {
"components": [
"For"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Global": {
"components": [
"FunctionDef",
"Assign"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Try": {
"components": [
"ExceptHandler"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
}
},
"outcome": "EMPTY",
"why": "no composite has both its own stability date and a date for any construct it obliges, so the assembly rival cannot be tested on this record; the dated set and the composite set do not intersect"
},
"layer|with_pilot": {
"n_composites": 7,
"n_usable_pairs": 0,
"composites": {
"AsyncFor": {
"components": [
"Break",
"Continue"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Continue": {
"components": [
"For"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"For": {
"components": [
"Break",
"Continue"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Global": {
"components": [
"FunctionDef",
"Assign"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Return": {
"components": [
"FunctionDef"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Try": {
"components": [
"ExceptHandler"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"While": {
"components": [
"Break",
"Continue"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
}
},
"outcome": "EMPTY",
"why": "no composite has both its own stability date and a date for any construct it obliges, so the assembly rival cannot be tested on this record; the dated set and the composite set do not intersect"
},
"layer|without_pilot": {
"n_composites": 4,
"n_usable_pairs": 0,
"composites": {
"AsyncFor": {
"components": [
"Break",
"Continue"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Continue": {
"components": [
"For"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Global": {
"components": [
"FunctionDef",
"Assign"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
},
"Try": {
"components": [
"ExceptHandler"
],
"n_components_dated": 0,
"composite_date": null,
"readable": false,
"why": "the composite has no date inside the record"
}
},
"outcome": "EMPTY",
"why": "no composite has both its own stability date and a date for any construct it obliges, so the assembly rival cannot be tested on this record; the dated set and the composite set do not intersect"
}
},
"exploratory_cross_reference": {
"with_pilot": {
"column": "curve2_norm",
"beta": -0.27367094241636647,
"interval": [
-0.4261031903634231,
-0.14117845445229976
],
"permutation_p": 0.0,
"status": "EXPLORATORY (A35, step 3's third sense). Frequency predicts the NORM's date, not the stability date C3 names. Reported beside P2, never as P2."
},
"without_pilot": {
"column": "curve2_norm",
"beta": -0.2957392539329919,
"interval": [
-0.4311526217591251,
-0.1753695411081646
],
"permutation_p": 0.0,
"status": "EXPLORATORY (A35, step 3's third sense). Frequency predicts the NORM's date, not the stability date C3 names. Reported beside P2, never as P2."
}
},
"withdrawn_by_a38": {
"n_dated_under_the_spacing_check": {
"product": 0,
"layer": 0
},
"spacing_dependence_spearman": -0.8131468225548475,
"what": "every verdict-layer coefficient below -- the Spearman and both AFT fits -- is WITHDRAWN: it is computed on twelve dates that are a partner-spacing artefact, not twelve settling dates",
"what_stands": "P2 has NO VERDICT, now because |P3| = 0 in both spaces rather than 12 < 43; the assembly rival is empty; the composite indicator is out; step 1's clause is not decidable by the contract"
},
"direction": {
"layer|with_pilot|lognormal": {
"beta": 0.1308126910623666,
"excludes_zero": true,
"prediction_is": "negative: frequent constructs settle first",
"observed": "POSITIVE -- the opposite of the prediction",
"but": "C3's condition |P3| >= 43 is not met, and the dated constructs share a single checkpoint, so this is not a verdict in either direction"
},
"layer|with_pilot|weibull": {
"beta": 0.12817763666470106,
"excludes_zero": true,
"prediction_is": "negative: frequent constructs settle first",
"observed": "POSITIVE -- the opposite of the prediction",
"but": "C3's condition |P3| >= 43 is not met, and the dated constructs share a single checkpoint, so this is not a verdict in either direction"
},
"layer|without_pilot|lognormal": {
"beta": 0.1308126922553674,
"excludes_zero": true,
"prediction_is": "negative: frequent constructs settle first",
"observed": "POSITIVE -- the opposite of the prediction",
"but": "C3's condition |P3| >= 43 is not met, and the dated constructs share a single checkpoint, so this is not a verdict in either direction"
},
"layer|without_pilot|weibull": {
"beta": 0.12817764653690045,
"excludes_zero": true,
"prediction_is": "negative: frequent constructs settle first",
"observed": "POSITIVE -- the opposite of the prediction",
"but": "C3's condition |P3| >= 43 is not met, and the dated constructs share a single checkpoint, so this is not a verdict in either direction"
}
}
}