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import Mathlib
namespace OAI
section
noncomputable section
open scoped BigOperators NNReal ENNReal Topology
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
namespace SKRatioClock.Regression
def ExponentialEmpiricalConcentration {H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
{E : Type*} [PseudoMetricSpace E] [MeasurableSpace E]
(ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)) (X : ∀ n, H n → Fin n → E) (ν : Measure E) : Prop :=
∀ (f : E → ℝ) (K : ℝ≥0), LipschitzWith K f → ∀ B : ℝ,
(∀ x, |f x| ≤ B) → ∀ ε : ℝ, 0 < ε →
∃ C c : ℝ, 0 < C ∧ 0 < c ∧ ∀ᶠ n in atTop,
ρ n {h | ε ≤ |(∑ i, f (X n h i))/(n:ℝ) - ∫ x, f x ∂ν|} ≤
ENNReal.ofReal (C * Real.exp (-c*(n:ℝ)))
def ExponentiallyRare {H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
(ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)) (A : ∀ n, Set (H n)) : Prop :=
∃ C c : ℝ, 0 < C ∧ 0 < c ∧ ∀ᶠ n in atTop,
ρ n (A n) ≤ ENNReal.ofReal (C * Real.exp (-c*(n:ℝ)))
lemma ExponentiallyRare.mono {H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
{ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)} {A B : ∀ n, Set (H n)}
(hB : ExponentiallyRare ρ B) (hAB : ∀ᶠ n in atTop, A n ⊆ B n) :
ExponentiallyRare ρ A := by
obtain ⟨C,c,hC,hc,he⟩ := hB
refine ⟨C,c,hC,hc,?_⟩
filter_upwards [he,hAB] with n hn hABn
exact (measure_mono hABn).trans hn
lemma ExponentiallyRare.union {H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
{ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)} {A B : ∀ n, Set (H n)}
(hA : ExponentiallyRare ρ A) (hB : ExponentiallyRare ρ B) :
ExponentiallyRare ρ (fun n => A n ∪ B n) := by
obtain ⟨C,c,hC,hc,he⟩ := hA
obtain ⟨D,d,hD,hd,hf⟩ := hB
refine ⟨C+D,min c d,add_pos hC hD,lt_min hc hd,?_⟩
filter_upwards [he,hf] with n hn hm
refine (measure_union_le _ _).trans ((add_le_add hn hm).trans ?_)
have hc' : Real.exp (-c*(n:ℝ)) ≤ Real.exp (-min c d*(n:ℝ)) :=
Real.exp_le_exp.mpr (by
have := min_le_left c d
nlinarith [Nat.cast_nonneg (α := ℝ) n])
have hd' : Real.exp (-d*(n:ℝ)) ≤ Real.exp (-min c d*(n:ℝ)) :=
Real.exp_le_exp.mpr (by
have := min_le_right c d
nlinarith [Nat.cast_nonneg (α := ℝ) n])
rw [add_mul, ENNReal.ofReal_add (by positivity) (by positivity)]
exact add_le_add (ENNReal.ofReal_le_ofReal (mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_left hc' hC.le))
(ENNReal.ofReal_le_ofReal (mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_left hd' hD.le))
lemma exponentiallyRare_empty {H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
(ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)) : ExponentiallyRare ρ (fun _ => ∅) := by
refine ⟨1,1,by norm_num,by norm_num,Filter.Eventually.of_forall ?_⟩
intro n
simp only [measure_empty, zero_le]
lemma ExponentiallyRare.iUnion_finite {H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
{ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)} {ι : Type*} [Finite ι]
{A : ι → ∀ n, Set (H n)} (hA : ∀ i, ExponentiallyRare ρ (A i)) :
ExponentiallyRare ρ (fun n => ⋃ i, A i n) := by
classical
cases nonempty_fintype ι
have hs (s : Finset ι) : ExponentiallyRare ρ (fun n => ⋃ i ∈ s, A i n) := by
induction s using Finset.induction_on with
| empty => simpa using exponentiallyRare_empty ρ
| @insert i s hi ih =>
have heq : (fun n => ⋃ j ∈ insert i s, A j n) =
(fun n => A i n ∪ ⋃ j ∈ s, A j n) := by
funext n
ext h
simp only [Set.mem_iUnion, Finset.mem_insert, Set.mem_union]
aesop
rw [heq]
exact (hA i).union ih
simpa using hs Finset.univ
def ExponentialConvergence {H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
(ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)) {E : Type*} [PseudoMetricSpace E]
(X : ∀ n, H n → E) (x : E) : Prop :=
∀ ε : ℝ, 0 < ε → ExponentiallyRare ρ (fun n => {h | ε ≤ dist (X n h) x})
lemma ExponentialConvergence.continuous_map
{H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)] {ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)}
{E F : Type*} [PseudoMetricSpace E] [PseudoMetricSpace F]
{X : ∀ n, H n → E} {x : E} (hX : ExponentialConvergence ρ X x)
{f : E → F} (hf : ContinuousAt f x) :
ExponentialConvergence ρ (fun n h => f (X n h)) (f x) := by
intro ε hε
obtain ⟨δ,hδ,hδe⟩ := Metric.continuousAt_iff.mp hf ε hε
apply (hX δ hδ).mono
refine Filter.Eventually.of_forall ?_
intro n h hh
by_contra hnot
have hnear : dist (X n h) x < δ := lt_of_not_ge hnot
exact (not_lt_of_ge hh) (hδe hnear)
lemma ExponentialConvergence.prod
{H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)] {ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)}
{E F : Type*} [PseudoMetricSpace E] [PseudoMetricSpace F]
{X : ∀ n, H n → E} {Y : ∀ n, H n → F} {x : E} {y : F}
(hX : ExponentialConvergence ρ X x) (hY : ExponentialConvergence ρ Y y) :
ExponentialConvergence ρ (fun n h => (X n h,Y n h)) (x,y) := by
intro ε hε
apply ((hX ε hε).union (hY ε hε)).mono
exact Filter.Eventually.of_forall (fun n h hh => by
simpa only [Prod.dist_eq, le_max_iff, Set.mem_union, Set.mem_ofPred_eq] using hh)
lemma ExponentialConvergence.pi_finite
{H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)] {ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)}
{ι : Type*} [Fintype ι] {E : ι → Type*} [∀ i, PseudoMetricSpace (E i)]
{X : ∀ n, H n → ∀ i, E i} {x : ∀ i, E i}
(hX : ∀ i, ExponentialConvergence ρ (fun n h => X n h i) (x i)) :
ExponentialConvergence ρ X x := by
intro ε hε
apply (ExponentiallyRare.iUnion_finite (fun i => hX i ε hε)).mono
refine Filter.Eventually.of_forall ?_
intro n h hh
by_contra hn
have hall : ∀ i, dist (X n h i) (x i) < ε := by
intro i
apply lt_of_not_ge
intro hi
exact hn (Set.mem_iUnion.mpr ⟨i,hi⟩)
exact (not_lt_of_ge hh) ((dist_pi_lt_iff hε).mpr hall)
lemma ExponentialEmpiricalConcentration.average
{E : Type*} [PseudoMetricSpace E] [MeasurableSpace E]
{H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
{ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)} {X : ∀ n, H n → Fin n → E} {ν : Measure E}
(hX : ExponentialEmpiricalConcentration ρ X ν)
(f : E → ℝ) {K : ℝ≥0} (hf : LipschitzWith K f)
(B : ℝ) (hB : ∀ x, |f x| ≤ B) :
ExponentialConvergence ρ (fun n h => (∑ i, f (X n h i))/(n:ℝ)) (∫ x, f x ∂ν) := by
intro ε hε
simpa only [ExponentiallyRare, Real.dist_eq] using hX f K hf B hB ε hε
lemma ExponentialEmpiricalConcentration.map
{E F : Type*} [PseudoMetricSpace E] [MeasurableSpace E] [BorelSpace E]
[PseudoMetricSpace F] [MeasurableSpace F] [BorelSpace F]
{H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
{ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)} {X : ∀ n, H n → Fin n → E} {ν : Measure E}
(hX : ExponentialEmpiricalConcentration ρ X ν)
(g : E → F) {L : ℝ≥0} (hg : LipschitzWith L g) :
ExponentialEmpiricalConcentration ρ (fun n h i => g (X n h i)) (ν.map g) := by
intro f K hf B hB ε hε
have hh := hX (f ∘ g) (K*L) (hf.comp hg) B (fun x => hB (g x)) ε hε
have hm : ∫ y, f y ∂ν.map g = ∫ x, f (g x) ∂ν :=
integral_map hg.continuous.measurable.aemeasurable hf.continuous.measurable.aestronglyMeasurable
simpa only [Function.comp_apply, hm] using hh
lemma ExponentiallyRare.without_prefactor {H : ℕ → Type*} [∀ n, MeasurableSpace (H n)]
{ρ : ∀ n, Measure (H n)} {A : ∀ n, Set (H n)} (hA : ExponentiallyRare ρ A) :
∃ c : ℝ, 0<c ∧ ∀ᶠ n in atTop, ρ n (A n) ≤ ENNReal.ofReal (Real.exp (-c*n)) := by
obtain ⟨C,c,hC,hc,he⟩ := hA
refine ⟨c/2,by positivity,?_⟩
have hnc := (tendsto_natCast_atTop_atTop : Tendsto (fun n : ℕ => (n:ℝ)) atTop atTop)
filter_upwards [he,hnc.eventually (eventually_ge_atTop (2*Real.log C/c))] with n hn hsize
apply hn.trans
apply ENNReal.ofReal_le_ofReal
rw [show C*Real.exp (-c*n)=Real.exp (Real.log C-c*n) by
rw [Real.exp_sub,Real.exp_log hC,neg_mul,Real.exp_neg,div_eq_mul_inv] ]
apply Real.exp_le_exp.mpr
have hh := (div_le_iff₀ hc).mp hsize
nlinarith
end SKRatioClock.Regression
end
end
end OAI