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Student Performance Prediction Using Python, MongoDB, and Scikit-Learn

A beginner-friendly Machine Learning project for B.Tech Computer Science and Engineering (CSE) students.


πŸ“Œ Project Overview

  • Objective: Predict students' final examination marks out of 100 based on study hours, attendance, previous marks, and assignment completion.
  • Database: MongoDB (student_performance_db)
  • Dataset: 1,000 realistic student records
  • Python Driver: PyMongo
  • Machine Learning Model: Linear Regression
  • Evaluation Metrics: $R^2$ Score (96.1%) and Mean Absolute Error (2.04 marks)

πŸ“‚ Project Structure

ca2 mdb/
β”‚
β”œβ”€β”€ main.py                          # Complete all-in-one executable script
β”œβ”€β”€ step1_insert_to_mongodb.py       # Step 1: Generate dataset & insert into MongoDB
β”œβ”€β”€ step2_train_and_predict.py       # Step 2: Query MongoDB, train model, evaluate & predict
β”œβ”€β”€ Student_Performance_Prediction.ipynb # Jupyter Notebook implementation
β”œβ”€β”€ requirements.txt                 # Required Python packages
β”œβ”€β”€ student_data.csv                 # Generated dataset backup
β”œβ”€β”€ actual_vs_predicted.png          # High-resolution output evaluation plot
β”œβ”€β”€ PROJECT_REPORT.md                # Full academic project report (8 sections)
β”œβ”€β”€ VIVA_QUESTIONS.md                # Viva / oral exam preparation guide
└── README.md                        # Project instructions and quickstart

βš™οΈ Prerequisites & Installation

1. Ensure MongoDB Server is Running

If you have MongoDB Community Server installed on Windows:

  • MongoDB runs as a background service on port 27017.
  • You can verify with PowerShell:
    Get-Service -Name "*mongo*"
    
    If stopped, start it with:
    net start MongoDB
    

2. Install Required Python Libraries

Open your terminal / command prompt in this project folder and run:

pip install -r requirements.txt

(Or install individually: pip install pymongo pandas numpy scikit-learn matplotlib)


πŸš€ How to Run the Project

Option A: Run the Complete Pipeline (Recommended)

Run the all-in-one script:

python main.py

This script will:

  1. Generate 1,000 realistic student records.
  2. Connect to MongoDB and insert all 1,000 documents.
  3. Retrieve records from MongoDB using PyMongo.
  4. Display 5 sample records.
  5. Preprocess the dataset and split it 80/20 into train/test sets.
  6. Train a Linear Regression model.
  7. Print $R^2$ Score, MAE, and RMSE.
  8. Display a table of Actual vs Predicted Marks for sample students.
  9. Save visualization graphs to actual_vs_predicted.png.
  10. Test prediction on a custom student profile.

Option B: Run Modular Scripts Step-by-Step

Step 1: Populate MongoDB

python step1_insert_to_mongodb.py

Step 2: Train Model & Evaluate

python step2_train_and_predict.py

Option C: Jupyter Notebook / VS Code Interactive

Open Student_Performance_Prediction.ipynb in VS Code or Jupyter Lab, and run the cells sequentially.


πŸ“Š Expected Output Summary

==================================================
STEP 3: FETCHING DATA FROM MONGODB USING PYMONGO
==================================================
-> Successfully fetched 1000 records from MongoDB.

--- 5 Sample Records Retreived from MongoDB ---
                     _id student_id  study_hours  attendance  previous_marks  assignments_score  final_marks
6ae78958eca66c4748b15e77    STU1001          4.2        67.2            54.4                  6         70.2
6ae78958eca66c4748b15e78    STU1002          9.1        81.1            53.6                  4         81.3
6ae78958eca66c4748b15e79    STU1003          7.2        94.0            89.8                  8        100.0
6ae78958eca66c4748b15e7a    STU1004          6.1        88.6            53.7                 10         84.1
6ae78958eca66c4748b15e7b    STU1005          2.3        91.5            55.0                  9         67.2

==================================================
STEP 6: MODEL EVALUATION METRICS
==================================================
1. R-Squared (R2) Score : 0.9610 (96.10% variance explained)
2. Mean Absolute Error  : 2.04 marks
3. Root Mean Sq. Error  : 2.53 marks

==================================================
STEP 7: ACTUAL VS PREDICTED RESULTS (FIRST 10 TEST STUDENTS)
==================================================
   Actual Marks  Predicted Marks  Difference (Error)
0          66.7             66.1                 0.6
1          86.9             89.4                 2.5
2          76.9             77.5                 0.6
3          73.3             76.3                 3.0
4          81.4             80.2                 1.2
5          86.6             83.3                 3.3
6          58.2             60.9                 2.7
7          83.9             81.6                 2.3
8          65.3             63.4                 1.9
9          69.4             72.5                 3.1
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