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| # GeoDisaster 2,921 — final user guide | |
| Specification date: 2026-10-15. Coverage: **43 of 43 question types**. | |
| This is the authoritative public specification for the benchmark. It explains | |
| the dataset, runtime contract, evaluation policy, release procedure, and all | |
| 43 question types as they are defined in the published version. | |
| ## 1. Benchmark purpose | |
| GeoDisaster tests whether an agent can select and execute the correct tools, | |
| pass artifacts causally between them, combine heterogeneous geospatial | |
| sources, and produce a schema-valid answer. Upstream data acquisition is done | |
| during dataset construction. The cached rasters, vectors, tables, metadata, | |
| and imagery are intentional benchmark inputs: they make training and | |
| evaluation fast, deterministic, reproducible, and independent of live API | |
| availability, authentication, quotas, and later source changes. | |
| The benchmark measures **multi-source geospatial reasoning and tool use**. | |
| For fast, repeatable execution, its inputs are downloaded and cached. The | |
| worker contracts also allow compatible new sources and scenarios to be | |
| registered and processed through the same agent workflow. | |
| ## 2. Authoritative dataset and evaluation contract | |
| - Canonical file: | |
| `data/core/geodisaster_2921_source_with_splits.jsonl` | |
| - Canonical SHA-256: | |
| `03988b960e6b09ae01fb622fe45b35d763eb705485cddc3cea68bcac7ae63fe1` | |
| - Inventory: 2,921 records, 43 logical question types, 2,629 train and 292 | |
| public-reference test records. | |
| - Split isolation: no shared sample group, declared path, normalized | |
| routing-content group, or exact complete model-visible trajectory between | |
| train and test. | |
| - Agent-visible test file: `data/core/geodisaster_2921_test_inputs.jsonl`. | |
| It omits expected answers, GT chains, and internal build/replay provenance. | |
| - The test set is public reference gold, not a secret leaderboard. A fair | |
| agent run mounts only the isolated agent-visible inputs, not reference or | |
| teacher files. | |
| - Final answers are complete JSON values scored under | |
| `geodisaster_structured_answer_v2`: exact object keys, types, strings, | |
| booleans, null states, array lengths/order, and finite numeric values. | |
| Numeric leaves use absolute tolerance `1e-6`; relative tolerance is disabled | |
| so accepted error does not grow with value magnitude. | |
| Finding the right number in the wrong field is not correct. | |
| - `data/core/scoring_policy_43.json` is the executable scoring authority. The | |
| nested `correction_provenance.publication_contract.structured_scoring_policy` | |
| value retained in canonical records names the historical publication pass | |
| that produced those records; it does not select or override the active v2 | |
| evaluator. Values under `correction_provenance.evidence` are opaque build-run | |
| labels, not runtime filesystem paths or agent-visible inputs. | |
| ## 3. How an agent solves a record | |
| 1. The evaluator creates a sanitized session and exposes the question plus | |
| named initial handles. The agent does not receive evaluator gold. | |
| 2. `ReadData` opens a declared input handle and returns a scene handle. | |
| Unsupported roles, times, options, or missing required paths fail. | |
| 3. `PrepareScene` validates compatible scene handles and creates a work | |
| handle. It is orchestration, not an undeclared data fetch. | |
| 4. Analytical workers consume the current handle and emit new result/artifact | |
| handles. A later analytical step consumes the preceding result when the | |
| GT chain declares a causal dependency. | |
| 5. After each successful tool call, the runtime attempts the declared | |
| schema-specific projection from worker evidence. It publishes | |
| `ANSWER_JSON:answer_1` only when the complete projection validates. | |
| 6. `TaskComplete` closes a specialist subgoal; it does not contain the final | |
| answer. Multi-agent ORC finishes with `Terminate(answer_ref=...)`, while the | |
| single agent finishes with `FinalAnswer(answer_ref=...)`. The runtime then | |
| resolves and revalidates the referenced JSON for scoring. | |
| The same worker contracts support both published agent forms. In the | |
| single-agent conversations, one agent plans, calls the workers, and answers. | |
| In the multi-agent conversations, ORC plans, delegates each analytical step | |
| to its declared specialist, receives the resulting handles/evidence, and | |
| terminates with the published answer reference. ORC does not replace or | |
| silently rerun a specialist computation or generate the resolved JSON. | |
| | Multi-agent owner | Workers | Responsibility | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | GA | `ReadData`, `PrepareScene`, `MeasureArea`, `ExtractObjects`, `MapFlood`, `RenderMap` | Open declared inputs, establish geospatial lineage, create or measure spatial artifacts, and render requested images. | | |
| | PA | `ComputeStats`, `CompareSources`, `DetectChange`, `ClassifyChange`, `ScoreHazard`, `EstimateExposure`, `RankRegions`, `PlanRoutes`, `CompareRoutes` | Perform quantitative analysis, comparison, classification, exposure/ranking, and routing decisions. | | |
| | VRA | `AssessDamage`, `DescribeFlood`, `CompareScenes` | Interpret damage/flood evidence and compare scene-level results. | | |
| Each question-type section below gives the exact subset, argument contract, | |
| handle handoff, calculation, and answer fields used for that task. A tool is | |
| not a generic answer lookup: it validates its declared arguments and consumes | |
| only the opened lineage required by that question. | |
| Every runtime read is restricted to the exact repository-relative paths in | |
| the opened handle lineage. Hidden answers, ground truth, trajectories, and | |
| undeclared sibling files are denied. Null can be a valid schema value; a tool | |
| error, missing required input, non-finite required result, failed specialist | |
| contract, or unavailable terminal answer reference is not a valid empty answer. | |
| ## 4. Data, provenance, and release policy | |
| All source paths are repository-relative. The canonical file contains 14,963 | |
| path references representing 5,681 unique paths. In the complete development | |
| snapshot, deep inspection resolved the declared paths and opened all 10,831 | |
| source files with zero empty files or read failures. The public thin package | |
| intentionally omits the Sen1Floods11 payload; run the checksum-verified | |
| hydrator described in `ATTRIBUTIONS.md` before executing those 500 records. | |
| For those records, an artifact card's `exists: true` states the hydrated | |
| execution contract, not that the separately distributed thin archive already | |
| contains the file. Thin-mode audit permits only the exact 200 upstream-derived | |
| paths named by the pinned manifest; hydration materializes and verifies them. | |
| The package is mixed-license. `ATTRIBUTIONS.md` is the authoritative mapping | |
| from every packaged file family to its upstream product, citation, terms, and | |
| transformation. Project-authored questions, schemas, and chains do not | |
| relicense upstream imagery or data. The public release excludes the retained | |
| Sen1Floods11 payload and supplies a checksum-verified upstream hydrator. | |
| ## 5. Final validation baseline | |
| - 2,921/2,921 prescribed chains executed successfully in the complete, | |
| hydrated development snapshot. | |
| - 2,921/2,921 records passed field-aware substantive validation. | |
| - 43/43 logical types are fully correct under their declared contracts. | |
| - The same 2,921/2,921 result reproduces in the hash-locked Python 3.10.12 | |
| replay environment with zero dependency or compatibility warnings. | |
| - A gold-free filesystem bundle containing only the 573 declared test files | |
| passes 292/292 reference-test records across all 43 types, with zero | |
| undeclared-path authorization violations. | |
| - Core projections and all multi-agent, single-agent, turn-level, and | |
| role-SFT exports have zero drift from the canonical source. | |
| - Invalid cross-family and causal-input mutations were rejected in 43/43 | |
| tests. | |
| - All 816 declared public question JSON sidecars are valid and contain no | |
| private AOI-type hints, GT paths, or final answers. An expected-answer shape | |
| describes required output fields and types; it is not answer gold. | |
| - Generated artifacts used by the published chains are nonempty. | |
| The following sections specify each question type separately, including its | |
| question, declared files, worker arguments, causal sequence, calculation, | |
| output schema, edge cases, and verified population. Every type also states: | |
| - **what the agent must do** — the observable actions and final response; | |
| - **what the agent must infer** — the conclusion that must be derived from | |
| worker evidence rather than copied from an input; and | |
| - **what the task measures** — why that question belongs in an agentic | |
| geospatial benchmark. | |
| ## 6. Dataset construction, split, and answer registry | |
| The canonical JSONL is the sole authority. Core train/test files, public test | |
| inputs, multi-agent and single-agent conversations, turn rows, and role-SFT | |
| rows are generated projections rather than independent datasets. Their IDs, | |
| splits, chains, answers, handles, and weights match the canonical source and | |
| the declared worker contract. | |
| The public multi-agent role-SFT projections are stored only in | |
| `data/multi_agent/sft_train/` and `data/multi_agent/sft_test/`. Every published | |
| conversation and SFT row carries `id`, `sample_id`, and `question_type` so it | |
| can be joined directly to the canonical record. Source inputs remain | |
| repository-relative. Non-distributed replay products referenced by teacher | |
| evidence use `generated-artifact://` logical locators rather than build-host | |
| filesystem paths. | |
| | Released projection | Train rows | Test/eval rows | | |
| |---|---:|---:| | |
| | Core tasks | 2,629 | 292 | | |
| | Full multi-agent episodes | 2,629 | 292 | | |
| | Full single-agent episodes | 2,629 | 292 | | |
| | Multi-agent ORC SFT turns | 11,895 | 1,318 | | |
| | Multi-agent GA SFT turns | 11,127 | 1,235 | | |
| | Multi-agent PA SFT turns | 5,899 | 656 | | |
| | Multi-agent VRA SFT turns | 2,763 | 302 | | |
| | Single-agent SFT turns | 18,410 | 2,043 | | |
| The role and single-agent turn projections contain 55,648 SFT rows in total. | |
| Single-agent training uses SFT plus deterministic/live evaluation. GRPO/RCEA is | |
| defined only for the four-role multi-agent system and does not require or imply | |
| a single-agent GRPO stage. | |
| The split contract is | |
| `geodisaster_source_path_trajectory_grouped_split_v4_20261015`. Records | |
| connected by a source sample or declared input path remain in one split. | |
| Routing additionally groups normalized analytical-content duplicates, so | |
| path-renamed copies cannot cross the split. Exact complete model-visible | |
| single-agent episodes (`messages` plus `tool_sequence`, excluding identity | |
| metadata) are also grouped, even when their source samples differ. The final | |
| 2,629/292 split has zero shared source groups, declared paths, | |
| routing-content fingerprints, or complete-trajectory fingerprints. Repeated | |
| episodes within one split are retained for source provenance and receive | |
| inverse complete-trajectory multiplicity through `training_weight`. The | |
| published projection contains 41 such groups covering 114 records and zero | |
| cross-split groups; the 2,921 rows must not be described as 2,921 statistically | |
| independent scenes. | |
| During SFT, the code repository constructs its internal validation partition | |
| from connected components of both `split_group_id` and | |
| `trajectory_content_group_id`; a component cannot contribute turns to both the | |
| internal training and validation subsets. The compact multi-agent GRPO prompt | |
| selector also keeps only one member of each canonical non-unit-weight duplicate | |
| trajectory group while preserving six prompts for each of the 43 logical | |
| types. These are derived training choices and do not modify this canonical | |
| release. | |
| GT-chain steps are causal: a downstream worker consumes the declared current | |
| handle, not a hidden answer or a broad sample directory. A worker need not emit | |
| the final answer object verbatim. The runtime answer-contract layer | |
| deterministically projects requested status, units, fractions, and nested | |
| output fields from substantive worker evidence. The model receives only the | |
| published reference and never emits the resolved JSON. Correctness is decided | |
| only on the complete resolved JSON under the per-type schema; matching isolated | |
| numbers or an intermediate payload is insufficient. | |
| All 2,921 multi-agent records and all 2,921 single-agent records use | |
| `ANSWER_JSON:answer_1`. Every one of the 5,842 terminal SFT targets uses the | |
| same exact reference-only action. The resolved worker projection is | |
| value-identical to canonical gold for 2,058 records; the other 863 records have | |
| the same complete structure and differ only by numeric display precision within | |
| the published tolerance. All 2,921 receive strict structured correctness. | |
| The 292-row test source is public reference gold, not a secret leaderboard. | |
| For fair runtime evaluation, mount only the gold-free test-input projection and | |
| its declared files in an isolated filesystem. On 2026-10-14 the task owner also | |
| recorded human verification of all 2,921 canonical samples. Automated replay | |
| and source checks provide separate reproducibility evidence. | |
| ## 7. Reproducible runtime and file authorization | |
| The publication replay environment is CPython 3.10.12 on Linux x86-64. The | |
| hash-locked environment fixes 13 packages, including Affine 2.4.0, NumPy | |
| 1.26.4, SciPy 1.11.4, Rasterio 1.4.3, PyProj 3.7.1, Shapely 2.1.2, and Pillow | |
| 11.3.0. The lock SHA-256 is | |
| `6c0419601f785ed45b60ce5c2d2927ad070d6aab5d987c424c764b8d6e4a6456`. | |
| Binary wheels and hashes are required; source-build or dependency substitution | |
| is not permitted by the creation script. The reference native stack is GDAL | |
| 3.9.3, PROJ 9.5.1, and GEOS 3.13.1. | |
| Create and verify it from the repository root: | |
| ```bash | |
| release_tools/create_c11_replay_environment.sh | |
| .venv-geodisaster-replay/bin/python release_tools/verify_c11_environment.py | |
| ``` | |
| Every tool call uses `opened_handle_exact_path_v1`: its read allowlist contains | |
| only exact file cards reachable through the question/input/work handles opened | |
| by that call. Ground truth, hidden/reference answers, trajectories, | |
| selected-route files, undeclared siblings, and broad directory fallback are | |
| denied at the read boundary. Deforestation quality reports are regenerated | |
| from declared rasters; fetch-time reports are provenance only. Missing optional | |
| epochs are reported rather than discovered by probing conventional filenames. | |
| The final full replay audited 2,921 sessions, 14,611 tool calls, and 25,672 | |
| recorded reads with zero authorization violations. The isolated test replay | |
| audited 292 sessions, 1,459 calls, and 2,587 reads with zero violations. Strict | |
| isolation uses `GEODISASTER_STRICT_DATA_ROOT=1`, preventing fallback from the | |
| test bundle into the development repository. | |
| All 14,803 generated worker artifacts in the final full replay are nonempty. | |
| The zero-byte `answer_support_gaps.jsonl` is intentionally an empty audit | |
| ledger meaning that no record lacks answer evidence; it is not an agent answer | |
| or a generated geospatial artifact. | |
| ## 8. Shared geospatial and source-data contracts | |
| `ATTRIBUTIONS.md` is the authoritative file-family registry. It maps every | |
| packaged source and internal support category to its upstream product, | |
| citation, applicable terms, transformation, and redistribution status. The | |
| package is mixed-license: the project's CC-BY-4.0 terms for authored questions, | |
| schemas, chains, and documentation do not relicense upstream imagery, labels, | |
| or derived products. Earth Engine and OSMnx are processing facilities, not | |
| substitutes for citing the underlying products. | |
| The retained development-snapshot audit classifies all 10,831 physical source | |
| files, every canonical reference, and every multi-hazard source label, with | |
| zero uncited or unregistered categories. The thin public release contains | |
| 9,328 files and its hydrated execution form contains 9,628; the mode-aware | |
| audit verifies the appropriate inventory and permits no unexpected missing | |
| required path. OpenAQ files record empty-query provenance only and are never | |
| answer evidence. WorldPop and OpenStreetMap are actual exposure inputs and | |
| retain their attribution requirements. The project-supplied xBD | |
| intermediate package is not treated as a separate external source; underlying | |
| xBD/xView2 imagery and labels retain their original attribution and | |
| non-commercial conditions. | |
| Shared numerical rules are: | |
| - nodata is excluded while a valid numeric zero remains a measurement; | |
| - geographic raster areas sum WGS84 ellipsoidal cell areas, while projected | |
| grids use the affine determinant; | |
| - comparisons require the declared shape, CRS, and affine compatibility; | |
| - source geometry is transformed through the raster's real CRS and affine—no | |
| synthetic origin-zero transform is permitted; | |
| - null is used only where the schema declares a valid undefined/absent state; | |
| it is not a substitute for a missing file or failed computation; and | |
| - shared workers branch on declared domain/handle metadata, never on a sample | |
| ID or expected answer. | |
| Official Sen1Floods11 `S1Hand.tif` bytes remain immutable provenance. The | |
| hydrator creates portable `S1Portable.tif` inputs with finite nodata `-9999` | |
| while preserving finite pixels, dimensions, CRS, transform, Otsu threshold, | |
| and prediction. Cached Otsu/hand-label support products have zero canonical | |
| input references and are prohibited answer inputs. | |
| ## 9. Honest scope and interpretation limits | |
| The benchmark's published claim includes the following scientific and | |
| evaluation limits: | |
| - Tasks use fixed cached inputs for reproducibility; they do not measure live | |
| upstream discovery, API reliability, or real-time hazard status. | |
| - Routing validates and renders packaged candidates. It is not a fresh road- | |
| graph search, a proof of globally nearest shelter, or evacuation advice. | |
| - Deforestation causes, drought/air classes, and multi-source agreement are | |
| explicit remote-sensing or benchmark-relative proxy constructs, not field- | |
| verified causality, health categories, or regulatory determinations. | |
| - Cached OSM way/relation centers are representative points, not complete line | |
| geometries. Questions and answers use that wording deliberately. | |
| - Sen1 A–E analyze a deterministic Otsu flood-candidate prediction, not its | |
| hand-label accuracy. The evaluator-only 100-scene check measures macro | |
| IoU/F1 0.206884/0.278917 and micro IoU/F1 0.206212/0.341916; this supports a | |
| reproducible high-recall/low-precision candidate baseline, not operational | |
| flood mapping. | |
| - The published population includes class imbalance, valid zero masks/counts, | |
| null branches, identical routing candidates, and source disagreement. It is | |
| designed for task-family coverage rather than balanced target classes. | |
| - Automated checks establish execution, dataflow, source consistency, and | |
| reproducibility. They do not waive upstream license conditions or create an | |
| unperformed independent scientific field validation. | |
| ## 10. Public-release procedure | |
| The complete development workspace retains Sen1Floods11 files for local | |
| reproducibility. Because the upstream repository does not state an | |
| authoritative redistribution license for that payload, a public archive must | |
| exclude `source_assets/sen1_flood/` and retain: | |
| - `release_tools/fetch_sen1floods11_subset.py`; | |
| - `release_tools/manifests/sen1floods11_required_100.json`; | |
| - `release_tools/manifests/c10_excluded_legacy_rasters.json`; and | |
| - `release_tools/evaluate_c12_sen1_accuracy.py` for evaluator-only construct | |
| validation, without mounting `LabelHand` files in the agent runtime. | |
| In a clean public-release root, hydrate directly from the official source, | |
| verify checksums and deterministic derivatives, then replay all 500 Sentinel | |
| questions: | |
| ```bash | |
| python3 release_tools/fetch_sen1floods11_subset.py | |
| python3 release_tools/fetch_sen1floods11_subset.py --verify-only | |
| .venv-geodisaster-replay/bin/python release_tools/replay_all_2921.py \ | |
| --dataset-root . \ | |
| --code-root /path/to/GeoDisaster/code \ | |
| --input-jsonl data/core/geodisaster_2921_source_with_splits.jsonl \ | |
| --output-dir /path/outside/repository/public_sen1_replay \ | |
| --family sen1_flood --workers 8 | |
| python3 release_tools/audit_c01_source_registry.py --mode hydrated \ | |
| --output /path/outside/repository/source_registry_hydrated.json | |
| ``` | |
| The source registry/path audit and 500/500 replay must pass before upload. | |
| The replay command projects a fresh final answer from the newly executed worker | |
| payloads and applies the active strict structured scorer. Stored historical | |
| `source_replay.matches_expected` flags and scalar evidence coverage are reported | |
| as provenance/diagnostics only and cannot produce an end-to-end pass. | |
| Preserve the complete development copy separately; construct the public | |
| archive from a clean release root. | |
| # Question type 1 of 43 — deforestation `forest_loss_detection` | |
| ## Task and coverage | |
| The agent decides whether real forest loss occurred in the stated event | |
| window. It must return `deforestation` or `no_deforestation` together with | |
| Hansen loss area, optical NDVI drop, Sentinel-1 VH change, and the rules that | |
| produced the decision. | |
| - Records: 48 AOIs — 43 train and 5 test. | |
| - Event years represented: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023. | |
| - Final labels: 27 `deforestation`, 21 `no_deforestation`. | |
| - One answer schema and one tool-name sequence are used for all 48 records. | |
| - All 48 records have `training_weight=1.0`; this type contains no | |
| downweighted content aliases. | |
| ## What the agent must do and infer | |
| **Do.** Open the optical, SAR, and Hansen handles; prepare one compatible | |
| forest-change work context; request a cross-source comparison; classify that | |
| comparison with the declared binary rule; and produce sufficient evidence for | |
| the runtime to publish the exact schema-valid answer reference. | |
| **Infer.** Decide whether the combined measurements represent genuine | |
| deforestation. The agent cannot equate any visible color change with forest | |
| loss or copy a prewritten label. It must use the analytical result that | |
| distinguishes confirmed forest loss from plantation harvest, water/flood | |
| edges, burn/bare soil, agricultural change, and no strong change signal. It | |
| then maps only the generic `deforestation` cause to the positive binary label. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task measures multi-modal evidence | |
| integration and causal tool use: optical imagery can show vegetation change, | |
| SAR can provide cloud-independent structural evidence, and Hansen supplies an | |
| independent loss-year/baseline-forest constraint. Success demonstrates that | |
| the agent can route three complementary real-source inputs through the correct | |
| workers, preserve their provenance, interpret the resulting rule evidence, | |
| and produce a strictly structured conclusion. It does not test live satellite | |
| download or ask the model to classify RGB pixels without tools. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| All files for an AOI are below | |
| `source_assets/deforestation/<sample_id>/` and are exposed through exactly | |
| three analytical input handles. | |
| | Handle | Declared files | Purpose | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | `optical_stack_1` | Five or six `cache/s2/{pre_*,post_*}.tif` files and matching `visible/s2_rgb/*.png` panels | Sentinel-2 B2/B3/B4/B8/B11/B12 data for NDVI/NBR; PNGs provide visual context. Twenty-seven AOIs have six epochs and 21 have five; every AOI retains usable pre and post epochs. | | |
| | `sar_stack_1` | Five `cache/s1_grd/s1_*.tif` files | Sentinel-1 VV/VH evidence. Every AOI has two declared pre-event and three post-event acquisitions. Each path carries its real acquisition date and `temporal_role`. | | |
| | `forest_mask_1` | `masks/loss_year_<event_year>.tif`, `masks/lossyear.tif`, and `masks/treecover2000.tif` | Event-year Hansen loss, full loss-year codes, and baseline canopy. | | |
| The direct upstream products are | |
| [Sentinel-2 L2A SR Harmonized](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S2_SR_HARMONIZED), | |
| [Sentinel-1 GRD](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S1_GRD), | |
| and [Hansen/UMD Global Forest Change v1.13](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/UMD_hansen_global_forest_change_2025_v1_13). | |
| Google Earth Engine was the acquisition/processing platform, not an additional | |
| data source. | |
| Fetch-time `quality_report.json` files may remain beside the data for | |
| provenance, but they are not declared analytical inputs. Runtime quality is | |
| recomputed from the three Hansen rasters opened through `forest_mask_1`. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output used by | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, optical_stack_1, role=pre_post, time=event_window)` | Declared optical files and metadata | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `ReadData(question_1, sar_stack_1, role=pre_post, time=event_window)` | Declared SAR files, dates, and roles | `scene_2` | | |
| | 3 | `ReadData(question_1, forest_mask_1, role=hansen)` | Hansen paths and a fresh raster-quality report | `scene_3` | | |
| | 4 | `PrepareScene(inputs={optical:scene_1, sar:scene_2, forest:scene_3}, mode=forest_change)` | Input types, roles, path status, and lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 5 | `CompareSources(work_1, signals=optical_sar_hansen, criterion=forest_loss_support)` | Optical, SAR, Hansen, and generic cause classification | `compare_1` | | |
| | 6 | `ClassifyChange(compare_1, rule=forest_loss, labels={positive:deforestation, negative:no_deforestation})` | Consumes the comparison result and maps its cause to the binary task label | `class_1` and final answer evidence | | |
| | 7 | `TaskComplete` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ClassifyChange` consumes `compare_1`; it does not bypass the comparison and | |
| silently recompute from `work_1`. Thus every analytical step in this chain is | |
| causal. | |
| ## Calculation and decision contract | |
| 1. For each available Sentinel-2 epoch: | |
| `NDVI = (B8 - B4) / (B8 + B4)` and | |
| `NBR = (B8 - B12) / (B8 + B12)`. | |
| 2. The optical drop is `mean(pre) - mean(post)`. If the annual Hansen mask has | |
| positive loss pixels, the optical means are restricted to that loss region; | |
| otherwise the calculation uses the valid AOI pixels. | |
| 3. Sentinel-1 values are aggregated in dB using only the declared temporal | |
| roles. `sar_vh_delta_db = post_mean_db - pre_mean_db`; a negative value is | |
| a backscatter decrease. | |
| 4. Event-year loss is the sum of positive valid annual-mask cell areas. | |
| Geographic rasters use WGS84 ellipsoidal cell areas and projected rasters | |
| use the affine determinant. Hectares are rounded to six decimals. | |
| 5. If the annual mask contains no valid pixels, the worker—not the agent—uses | |
| the declared `lossyear.tif` code `event_year - 2000`. Valid code 0 means | |
| no loss. Nodata is 255 and is excluded. | |
| 6. The generic cause classifier applies these ordered rules: | |
| - Hansen loss at least 0.5 ha and baseline canopy at least 50%: | |
| `deforestation`; | |
| - Hansen loss at least 0.5 ha but canopy below 50%: | |
| `plantation_harvest`; | |
| - no Hansen confirmation, but NDVI drop above 0.25 and VH delta below | |
| -1.5 dB: `deforestation` with a missing-Hansen flag; | |
| - otherwise it may identify water/flood edge, burn/bare soil, | |
| agriculture, or no change from the published generic thresholds. | |
| 7. This binary task returns `deforestation` only when the generic cause is | |
| exactly `deforestation`; every other cause maps to `no_deforestation`. | |
| No rule branches on an AOI ID or expected answer. Unsupported comparison | |
| criteria, labels, rules, roles, or times are rejected. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| The answer is exactly: | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "label": "deforestation | no_deforestation", | |
| "evidence": { | |
| "hansen_loss_area_ha": 0.0, | |
| "ndvi_drop": 0.0, | |
| "rules_fired": ["ordered rule strings"], | |
| "sar_vh_delta_db": 0.0 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The numbers above illustrate types, not target values. All four evidence | |
| fields are required, extra fields are rejected, and `rules_fired` order is | |
| significant. The agent formats this schema from `class_1`; it must not answer | |
| from the RGB panel alone. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - Missing one optical epoch is allowed because 21 AOIs legitimately contain | |
| five rather than six epochs; both temporal sides must still be measurable. | |
| - Missing SAR role metadata or an empty pre/post SAR group is an error. | |
| - Zero canopy and zero loss are valid measurements; 255 is nodata. | |
| - An all-nodata annual mask triggers the declared full-loss-year fallback; it | |
| is not treated as a zero-sized or successful empty output. | |
| - Required evidence must be finite. No record in this type returns an empty | |
| answer or empty required artifact. | |
| **Validated contract.** All declared files exist, the three | |
| sources are used for their stated roles, the chain is causal, the worker logic | |
| matches the question and schema, and 48/48 records passed execution plus | |
| field-aware answer validation. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 2 of 43 — deforestation `area_estimation` | |
| ## Task and coverage | |
| The agent measures the total Hansen event-year forest-loss area inside the AOI | |
| and reports Sentinel-2 NDVI/NBR change over the same detected region as | |
| validation evidence. This is a quantitative area task; it does not request or | |
| return a binary deforestation label. | |
| - Records: 48 AOIs — 43 train and 5 test. | |
| - Event years represented: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023. | |
| - Results: 28 positive-area and 20 valid zero-area records. | |
| - Observed area range: 0 to 265.910267 ha. | |
| - One answer schema and one tool-name sequence are used for all 48 records. | |
| - All 48 records have `training_weight=1.0`. | |
| ## What the agent must do and infer | |
| **Do.** Open the Hansen and optical handles, prepare the forest-change work | |
| context, extract the event-year loss patches, measure their total area in | |
| hectares, and request NDVI/NBR validation against Hansen. The runtime projects | |
| the complete worker evidence into the exact area-and-evidence JSON schema. | |
| **Infer.** Identify the correct event year from the question, interpret valid | |
| Hansen loss pixels rather than nodata, and distinguish a genuine zero-area | |
| measurement from an absent annual observation. The agent must combine the | |
| area result and the parallel optical-validation result. It must not invent a | |
| binary class or reject a source-derived area merely because an optical drop is | |
| small or negative. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task measures quantitative geospatial tool | |
| use: selecting the correct temporal raster, extracting a spatial phenomenon, | |
| measuring it on its real grid, and supporting that measurement with a second | |
| sensor-derived modality. It tests whether the agent can combine parallel | |
| analytical evidence into a strict final schema without confusing area | |
| measurement with classification. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| | Handle | Declared files | Purpose | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | `forest_mask_1` | `loss_year_<event_year>.tif`, `lossyear.tif`, and `treecover2000.tif` | Hansen event-year mask, fallback loss-year codes, and baseline canopy metadata. | | |
| | `optical_stack_1` | Five or six Sentinel-2 six-band GeoTIFFs plus matching RGB panels | NDVI and NBR validation. Twenty-seven AOIs have six optical epochs and 21 have five; all have usable pre and post observations. | | |
| The upstream sources are | |
| [Hansen/UMD Global Forest Change v1.13](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/UMD_hansen_global_forest_change_2025_v1_13) | |
| and | |
| [Sentinel-2 L2A SR Harmonized](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S2_SR_HARMONIZED). | |
| No SAR handle is exposed because this question neither asks for nor uses SAR. | |
| Across this type, all 726 declared path references exist and remain inside the | |
| repository. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output role | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, forest_mask_1, role=hansen)` | Hansen files plus a fresh runtime quality report | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `ReadData(question_1, optical_stack_1, role=pre_post, time=event_window)` | Optical paths and temporal role | `scene_2` | | |
| | 3 | `PrepareScene(inputs={forest:scene_1, optical:scene_2}, mode=forest_change)` | Compatible inputs, path status, and lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 4 | `ExtractObjects(work_1, target=forest_loss_patches, filters={event_year:<question year>})` | Event-year mask selection, connected-patch summary, pixel count, and grid-aware area report | `objects_1` | | |
| | 5 | `MeasureArea(objects_1, target=forest_loss, unit=hectares)` | Consumes the extracted-object report and returns area in hectares and square metres | `area_1` | | |
| | 6 | `CompareSources(work_1, signals=ndvi_nbr_vs_hansen, criterion=validation)` | Computes loss-region NDVI/NBR drops and the independently reported Hansen area | `compare_1` | | |
| | 7 | `TaskComplete` | Closes the specialist subgoal after `area_1` and `compare_1` are available; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ExtractObjects -> MeasureArea` is causal. `MeasureArea` and `CompareSources` | |
| are intentionally parallel final-evidence branches: the first supplies the | |
| requested measurement and the second supplies the requested cross-source | |
| validation. Neither output is decorative or bypassed. | |
| ## Calculation contract | |
| 1. `ExtractObjects` requires exactly `target=forest_loss_patches` and an | |
| `event_year` matching the question. A missing, malformed, additional, or | |
| conflicting filter is rejected. | |
| 2. Valid positive cells in `loss_year_<event_year>.tif` define the preferred | |
| loss mask. Declared nodata and non-finite cells are excluded. | |
| 3. If the annual mask has no valid cells, the worker selects code | |
| `event_year - 2000` from the declared full `lossyear.tif`. Code 0 is valid | |
| no loss; nodata is 255. The fallback is a data-validity decision made by | |
| the worker, not a file choice delegated to the agent. | |
| 4. Area is summed cell by cell: WGS84 ellipsoidal area for geographic grids | |
| or affine-determinant area for projected grids. The result is rounded to | |
| six decimals in hectares. | |
| 5. `ExtractObjects` records the component count and largest-patch size in its | |
| intermediate report. `MeasureArea` validates the requested target/unit and | |
| consumes this result before exposing the final area measurement. | |
| 6. `CompareSources` computes | |
| `NDVI=(B8-B4)/(B8+B4)` and `NBR=(B8-B12)/(B8+B12)`, then reports | |
| `mean(pre)-mean(post)`. When positive Hansen loss pixels exist, optical | |
| evidence is restricted to that region; otherwise valid AOI pixels are used. | |
| 7. Optical values are validation evidence, not an alternative area estimate | |
| and not a hidden threshold that changes the Hansen area. | |
| These are sample-independent rules. `ExtractObjects`, `MeasureArea`, and | |
| `CompareSources` reject unsupported target, year, unit, signal, or criterion | |
| arguments rather than silently applying a default. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| The answer is exactly: | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "loss_area_ha": 0.0, | |
| "evidence": { | |
| "hansen_loss_area_ha": 0.0, | |
| "ndvi_drop": 0.0, | |
| "nbr_drop": 0.0 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The numbers illustrate types only. `loss_area_ha` is the requested result; | |
| `evidence.hansen_loss_area_ha` identifies and confirms its source, so the two | |
| values must agree. NDVI and NBR drops may be positive, zero, or negative and | |
| must remain finite. The schema intentionally contains no `label` field. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - Twenty records correctly return `0.0 ha`; these are measurements, not empty | |
| answers. | |
| - Ten AOIs have annual masks with no valid cells. Every one correctly uses the | |
| declared full `lossyear.tif` fallback and resolves to valid code-0 no loss. | |
| - A five-epoch optical stack is valid when both pre and post evidence remain. | |
| - No record has a missing, null, non-finite, or contradictory required field. | |
| - The top-level and evidence Hansen areas agree in 48/48 records. | |
| **Validated contract.** The canonical event-year arguments are | |
| correct in all 48 chains. The shared `ExtractObjects` worker rejects a filter | |
| year that conflicts with the question. The fresh focused run passed 48/48 executions, | |
| 48/48 field-aware answers, 726/726 paths, and produced 336 nonempty artifacts. | |
| A repository-wide regression passes 2,921/2,921 executions and | |
| 2,921/2,921 field-aware checks across all 43 types. Downstream MA, SA, turn, | |
| and role-SFT representations are verified exact projections of the canonical | |
| records. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 3 of 43 — deforestation `change_window_estimation` | |
| ## Task and coverage | |
| The agent localizes the dominant optical clearing interval, conditions that | |
| interval on independently confirmed Hansen event-year loss, and reports | |
| whole-period optical/SAR context plus the selected-window score. | |
| - Records: 48 AOIs — 43 train and 5 test. | |
| - Results: 28 `deforestation` records with a window and 20 | |
| `no_deforestation` records with a null window. | |
| - Confirmed-loss area range: 13.326184 to 265.910267 ha; all unconfirmed | |
| records have valid 0 ha measurements. | |
| - One answer schema and one tool-name sequence are used for all 48 records. | |
| - All 48 records have `training_weight=1.0`. | |
| ## What the agent must do and infer | |
| **Do.** Open the optical time series, SAR time series, and Hansen handles; | |
| prepare one temporal forest work context; detect the dominant adjacent optical | |
| interval; classify the resulting detection under the Hansen gate; and return | |
| the label, nullable interval, and six exact evidence fields. | |
| **Infer.** Determine which adjacent pair of *available* optical epochs has the | |
| largest `NDVI_drop + 0.5*NBR_drop`, then decide whether that optical | |
| fluctuation may be reported as a clearing interval. A candidate becomes a | |
| reported interval only when the independent event-year Hansen area is at | |
| least 0.5 ha. The agent must distinguish a valid null interval from an | |
| execution failure and must not treat SAR as the interval-selection signal. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task measures temporal localization, | |
| cross-source confirmation, missing-epoch reasoning, and causal artifact use. | |
| Sentinel-2 identifies *when* the strongest optical transition occurs, Hansen | |
| decides whether the transition is supported as event-year forest loss, and | |
| Sentinel-1 supplies independent whole-period structural context. It tests | |
| whether the agent can preserve these distinct source roles rather than | |
| collapsing every change signal into a positive answer. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| | Handle | Declared files | Purpose | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | `optical_timeseries_1` | Five or six Sentinel-2 six-band `cache/s2/{pre_*,post_*}.tif` files and matching RGB panels | AOI-wide per-epoch NDVI/NBR means for interval selection and optical support evidence. | | |
| | `sar_timeseries_1` | Five Sentinel-1 `cache/s1_grd/s1_*.tif` files | Whole-period VH context from two declared pre-event and three post-event acquisitions with per-path dates and temporal roles. | | |
| | `forest_mask_1` | `loss_year_<event_year>.tif`, `lossyear.tif`, and `treecover2000.tif` | Grid-aware event-year Hansen loss confirmation, fallback codes, and baseline canopy metadata. | | |
| The upstream products are | |
| [Sentinel-2 L2A SR Harmonized](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S2_SR_HARMONIZED), | |
| [Sentinel-1 GRD](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S1_GRD), | |
| and [Hansen/UMD Global Forest Change v1.13](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/UMD_hansen_global_forest_change_2025_v1_13). | |
| Across this type, all 966 declared path references exist, are nonempty, and | |
| remain inside the repository. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output role | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, optical_timeseries_1, role=ndvi_nbr, time=pre_post_epochs)` | Declared Sentinel-2 epochs and temporal metadata | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `ReadData(question_1, sar_timeseries_1, role=vh, time=pre_post_epochs)` | Declared Sentinel-1 files, dates, and pre/post roles | `scene_2` | | |
| | 3 | `ReadData(question_1, forest_mask_1, role=hansen)` | Hansen files and fresh runtime raster quality | `scene_3` | | |
| | 4 | `PrepareScene(inputs={optical:scene_1, sar:scene_2, forest:scene_3}, mode=forest_timeseries)` | Compatible types, roles, path status, and lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 5 | `DetectChange(work_1, change=dominant_clearing_interval, window=pre_post_epochs)` | Candidate interval, Hansen gate, and all requested evidence | `change_1` | | |
| | 6 | `ClassifyChange(change_1, rule=change_window, labels={none:null, changed:start_epoch_to_end_epoch})` | Validates and formats the preceding detection result | `class_1` and final-answer evidence | | |
| | 7 | `TaskComplete` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ClassifyChange` consumes `change_1` directly. It performs zero raw-file | |
| reads and cannot recompute a different bundle from `work_1`; an incorrect | |
| input handle is rejected. | |
| ## Calculation and decision contract | |
| 1. For every declared optical epoch, the worker computes AOI-wide valid-pixel | |
| means for `NDVI=(B8-B4)/(B8+B4)` and `NBR=(B8-B12)/(B8+B12)`. | |
| 2. Only epochs with finite values for both indices are eligible. Eligible | |
| epochs retain canonical order `pre_3, pre_2, pre_1, post_1, post_2, | |
| post_3`; an undeclared epoch is skipped. | |
| 3. For each adjacent eligible pair `(a,b)`, | |
| `NDVI_drop=NDVI[a]-NDVI[b]`, `NBR_drop=NBR[a]-NBR[b]`, and | |
| `score=NDVI_drop+0.5*NBR_drop`. The maximum score wins; an exact tie uses | |
| the earliest pair in canonical order. | |
| 4. Hansen event-year area follows the same nodata, annual-mask fallback, and | |
| grid-aware cell-area rules documented for area estimation. Area at least | |
| 0.5 ha confirms the candidate; a smaller area produces | |
| `no_deforestation`, a null window, and null selected-window fields. | |
| 5. The separately reported whole-period NDVI drop is | |
| `mean(pre)-mean(post)` within positive event-year loss pixels when present, | |
| otherwise over valid AOI pixels. It supports the answer but does not select | |
| the interval. | |
| 6. `sar_vh_delta_db=post_mean_db-pre_mean_db` uses the declared Sentinel-1 | |
| temporal roles. SAR is contextual evidence, not a hidden gate or optical | |
| interval selector. | |
| 7. Confirmed Hansen loss without at least two eligible optical epochs is an | |
| explicit processing error, not a misleading null/no-deforestation answer. | |
| No rule branches on sample identity or target values. Unsupported change, | |
| window, rule, label, or source-handle arguments fail. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| The answer is exactly: | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "label": "deforestation | no_deforestation", | |
| "change_window": {"start_epoch": "pre_1", "end_epoch": "post_1"}, | |
| "evidence": { | |
| "hansen_loss_area_ha": 0.0, | |
| "ndvi_drop": 0.0, | |
| "sar_vh_delta_db": 0.0, | |
| "selected_window_ndvi_drop": 0.0, | |
| "selected_window_nbr_drop": 0.0, | |
| "composite_drop_score": 0.0 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The values illustrate types only. For `no_deforestation`, `change_window` and | |
| the three `selected_window_*`/`composite_drop_score` fields are `null`; Hansen, | |
| whole-period NDVI, and SAR evidence remain finite numeric measurements. For | |
| `deforestation`, the interval object and all selected-window values are | |
| required, and the composite score equals the declared formula. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - Twenty-one AOIs contain five optical epochs rather than six. The worker | |
| forms adjacency over the declared available sequence; seven selected | |
| windows therefore legitimately span the name of one missing epoch. | |
| - Twenty null windows are intentional negative outcomes, not empty files, | |
| empty masks, or missing answers. | |
| - All 28 reported windows have finite NDVI, NBR, and composite values; the | |
| formula agrees exactly in 28/28 records. | |
| - All 48 classification steps consumed `change_1` with zero raw reads. | |
| - No required numeric field is non-finite and no required source is missing. | |
| **Validated contract.** The prompt requests every schema field | |
| and states both the available-epoch and spatial-scope rules. Missing NBR is an | |
| error, and the classification worker directly consumes the detection artifact. A | |
| fresh focused replay passed 48/48 executions, 48/48 field-aware validations, | |
| 966/966 paths, and produced 336 nonempty artifacts. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 4 of 43 — deforestation `false_positive_rejection` | |
| ## Task and coverage | |
| The agent applies a declared ordered rule set to distinguish the operational | |
| remote-sensing pattern behind an apparent change. The six outputs are | |
| benchmark proxy classes, not independently field-verified statements of | |
| real-world causation. | |
| - Records: 48 AOIs — 43 train and 5 test. | |
| - Outputs: 27 `deforestation`, 2 `plantation_harvest`, 3 `burn_bare_soil`, | |
| 5 `agriculture`, and 11 `no_change`. | |
| - `water_flood_edge` is a valid reachable schema/rule state but does not occur | |
| in the current 48-record population. | |
| - One answer schema and one tool-name sequence are used for all 48 records. | |
| - All 48 records have `training_weight=1.0`. | |
| ## What the agent must do and infer | |
| **Do.** Open the optical, SAR, and Hansen handles; prepare a false-positive | |
| analysis context; compare all three sources under `cause_attribution`; | |
| classify that comparison using the six-class ordered proxy rule; and return | |
| the exact class plus every structured measurement and ordered rule string | |
| required by the schema. | |
| **Infer.** Determine the first matching operational pattern in the published | |
| rule order. The agent must preserve the distinction between a Hansen-confirmed | |
| loss pattern, a strong unconfirmed optical/SAR pattern, possible water-like | |
| SAR, burn/bare-soil-like optical change, agriculture-like vegetation change, | |
| and no strong signal. It must not present the proxy name as proof of actual | |
| land-use cause. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task measures confuser-aware reasoning and | |
| ordered decision execution. It asks whether the agent can combine multiple | |
| sensors, respect precedence between rules, carry a comparison artifact into a | |
| classification worker, and report enough exact evidence for the result to be | |
| audited. It measures consistent tool-mediated attribution under a declared | |
| benchmark taxonomy, not field causal discovery. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| | Handle | Declared files | Purpose | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | `optical_stack_1` | Five or six Sentinel-2 six-band GeoTIFFs and matching RGB panels | NDVI/NBR change patterns over the loss region when present, otherwise the AOI. | | |
| | `sar_stack_1` | Five Sentinel-1 VV/VH GeoTIFFs | Whole-period VH change and post-event VV mean from declared pre/post acquisition roles. | | |
| | `forest_mask_1` | Event-year mask, full `lossyear.tif`, and `treecover2000.tif` | Hansen loss area and AOI baseline canopy mean. | | |
| The sources are | |
| [Sentinel-2 L2A SR Harmonized](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S2_SR_HARMONIZED), | |
| [Sentinel-1 GRD](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S1_GRD), | |
| and [Hansen/UMD Global Forest Change v1.13](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/UMD_hansen_global_forest_change_2025_v1_13). | |
| All 966 declared path references exist, are nonempty, and remain inside the | |
| repository. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output role | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, optical_stack_1, role=pre_post, time=event_window)` | Optical files and epoch coverage | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `ReadData(question_1, sar_stack_1, role=pre_post, time=event_window)` | SAR files, dates, and temporal roles | `scene_2` | | |
| | 3 | `ReadData(question_1, forest_mask_1, role=hansen)` | Hansen files and runtime raster quality | `scene_3` | | |
| | 4 | `PrepareScene(inputs={optical:scene_1, sar:scene_2, forest:scene_3}, mode=forest_false_positive)` | Compatible types, roles, paths, and lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 5 | `CompareSources(work_1, signals=optical_sar_hansen, criterion=cause_attribution)` | All source measurements and ordered proxy classification | `compare_1` | | |
| | 6 | `ClassifyChange(compare_1, rule=false_positive_type, labels=<six declared classes>)` | Validates and formats the preceding comparison | `class_1` and final-answer evidence | | |
| | 7 | `TaskComplete` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ClassifyChange` requires a `cause_attribution` comparison and consumes | |
| `compare_1` directly. Across all 48 records it performed zero raw-file reads; | |
| passing `work_1` is rejected rather than triggering hidden recomputation. | |
| ## Ordered proxy-rule contract | |
| The worker first requires finite NDVI drop, NBR drop, VH delta, post-event VV | |
| mean, canopy mean, and Hansen loss area. Negative loss area or canopy outside | |
| 0–100% is an error. It then applies the first matching rule: | |
| 1. Hansen loss area at least 0.5 ha and canopy mean at least 50%: | |
| `deforestation`. | |
| 2. Hansen loss area at least 0.5 ha and canopy below 50%: | |
| `plantation_harvest`. | |
| 3. No confirmed Hansen loss, NDVI drop above 0.25, and VH delta below -1.5 dB: | |
| `deforestation` with a `missing_hansen_confirmation` intermediate flag. | |
| 4. No confirmed Hansen loss and post-event VV mean below -16 dB: | |
| `water_flood_edge`. | |
| 5. No confirmed Hansen loss, NBR drop above 0.20, and NBR drop greater than | |
| NDVI drop: `burn_bare_soil`. | |
| 6. No confirmed Hansen loss and NDVI drop above 0.10: `agriculture`. | |
| 7. Otherwise: `no_change`. | |
| Optical drops use `mean(pre)-mean(post)` and are restricted to positive | |
| event-year Hansen pixels when available, otherwise valid AOI pixels. VH delta | |
| is `post-pre`; post-event VV is the declared post-group mean. Canopy is the | |
| valid-pixel mean of `treecover2000.tif`. Hansen area uses the documented | |
| grid-aware/fallback contract. These fixed thresholds are operational taxonomy | |
| rules, not universal ecological definitions. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "cause": "deforestation | plantation_harvest | water_flood_edge | burn_bare_soil | agriculture | no_change", | |
| "evidence": { | |
| "hansen_loss_area_ha": 0.0, | |
| "nbr_drop": 0.0, | |
| "ndvi_drop": 0.0, | |
| "rules_fired": ["ordered rule strings"], | |
| "sar_vh_delta_db": 0.0, | |
| "sar_vv_post_mean_db": 0.0, | |
| "treecover2000_mean_pct": 0.0 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The numbers illustrate types only. All six measurements are finite and all | |
| seven evidence keys are required. `rules_fired` is nonempty and ordered; extra | |
| answer fields are rejected. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - The schema retains all six declared classes, including classes absent from | |
| some source populations. | |
| - A five-epoch optical stack remains valid when pre and post means exist. | |
| - Zero Hansen loss is a valid measurement and activates only the later | |
| unconfirmed-signal rules; it is not an empty mask result. | |
| - The answer explicitly exposes canopy and post-event VV as structured | |
| evidence. | |
| - No required field is null, non-finite, or missing in any of the 48 records. | |
| **Validated contract.** The | |
| class labels, numeric decisions, and exact rule inputs are structured and | |
| auditable in all 48 targets. | |
| The focused replay passed 48/48 executions, 48/48 field-aware validations, | |
| 966/966 paths, and 336 nonempty artifacts. The shared forest-loss path also | |
| passed 48/48, and the repository-wide regression passed | |
| 2,921/2,921 executions and field-aware checks across all 43 types. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 5 of 43 — deforestation `baseline_canopy_assessment` | |
| ## Task and coverage | |
| The agent computes mean baseline canopy density from the Hansen | |
| `treecover2000` raster and assigns exactly one density class. | |
| - Records: 48 AOIs — 43 train and 5 test. | |
| - Classes: 31 `dense_forest`, 7 `open_canopy`, and 10 `sparse`. | |
| - Observed means range from 2.1365201473236084% to 99.99832916259766%. | |
| - All 48 records have `training_weight=1.0`. | |
| ## What the agent must do and infer | |
| **Do.** Open the one declared Hansen baseline raster, prepare the canopy work | |
| context, request its valid-pixel AOI mean, classify that computed statistic, | |
| and produce sufficient evidence for the runtime to publish the exact | |
| two-field JSON answer reference. | |
| **Infer.** Determine the class from the computed mean: `dense_forest` when the | |
| mean is greater than 60%, `open_canopy` when it is from 30% through 60% | |
| inclusive, and `sparse` below 30%. The class is not stored in the input and | |
| cannot be inferred from a loss mask. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task measures whether an agent can select | |
| the minimal relevant raster, invoke a quantitative statistic, preserve the | |
| statistic-to-class causal dependency, and obey exact boundary and nodata | |
| semantics. It is a baseline canopy-density proxy, not a field survey or a | |
| claim that the mean alone defines ecological forest condition. | |
| ## Declared source and file | |
| The only analytical input is: | |
| | Handle | Declared file | Purpose | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | `forest_mask_1` | `source_assets/deforestation/<sample_id>/masks/treecover2000.tif` | Hansen percent tree cover for year 2000 on the packaged AOI grid. | | |
| The upstream product is | |
| [Hansen/UMD Global Forest Change v1.13](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/UMD_hansen_global_forest_change_2025_v1_13). | |
| No optical, SAR, annual-loss, or full `lossyear.tif` input is exposed or read | |
| for this task. Across the type, all 96 declared path references—the question | |
| JSON and tree-cover raster for each record—exist inside the repository. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output used by | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, forest_mask_1, role=hansen)` | The exact declared tree-cover path; it does not build a loss-quality report | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `PrepareScene(inputs={forest:scene_1}, mode=baseline_canopy)` | Input type, role, path status, and lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 3 | `ComputeStats(work_1, metrics={treecover_mean_pct:true}, region=aoi)` | Valid-pixel arithmetic mean and valid-pixel count | `stats_1` | | |
| | 4 | `ClassifyChange(stats_1, rule=canopy_density, labels=<declared thresholds>)` | Validates and classifies the preceding statistic | `class_1` | | |
| | 5 | `TaskComplete` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ClassifyChange` accepts only the matching baseline-canopy `stats_1` result, | |
| checks that its embedded class agrees with the mean, and performs no raw-file | |
| read. Passing `work_1`, an unsupported metric/region, or inconsistent result | |
| is an error. | |
| ## Calculation and decision contract | |
| 1. Read band 1 of the declared `treecover2000.tif` only. | |
| 2. Exclude non-finite pixels and the declared finite nodata value 255. | |
| Tree-cover value 0 is valid, and all valid values must lie in 0–100. | |
| 3. Fail if no valid pixels remain; otherwise compute the unrounded arithmetic | |
| mean over all valid pixels in the packaged AOI raster. | |
| 4. Classify the mean with mutually exclusive, exhaustive boundaries: | |
| - `dense_forest`: mean > 60; | |
| - `open_canopy`: 30 <= mean <= 60; | |
| - `sparse`: mean < 30. | |
| The rules are sample-independent and contain no AOI-ID or expected-answer | |
| branch. Both statistic and classification workers reject missing, non-finite, | |
| negative, or above-100 canopy values. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "baseline_class": "dense_forest | open_canopy | sparse", | |
| "treecover2000_mean_pct": 0.0 | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The number illustrates the type, not a target value. Both keys are required, | |
| the class is enum-constrained, and extra keys are rejected. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - Exact means 30 and 60 belong to `open_canopy`; values immediately below 30 | |
| are `sparse`, and values immediately above 60 are `dense_forest`. | |
| - Every packaged raster has at least one valid pixel. No record returns null, | |
| NaN, infinity, an empty artifact, or an unknown class. | |
| - Direct source recomputation reproduces all 48 stored means and classes. | |
| - The 48-record focused replay passed 48/48 executions and 48/48 field-aware | |
| validations, produced 192 nonempty artifacts, and found zero missing, | |
| absolute, or outside-root paths. | |
| **Validated contract.** The final worker uses a dedicated | |
| tree-cover-only computation, the public | |
| inventory declares only that required raster, the 30/60 boundaries are | |
| unambiguous, and the classification step is causally tied to `stats_1`. The | |
| repository-wide regression remains 2,921/2,921 for execution and field-aware | |
| validation across all 43 types. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 6 of 43 — deforestation `multi_year_loss_attribution` | |
| ## Task and coverage | |
| The agent attributes the largest mapped Hansen tree-cover-loss area in the AOI | |
| to one calendar year within 2001–2023. | |
| - Records: 48 AOIs — 43 train and 5 test. | |
| - Results: 35 records with a winning year and 13 valid `no_loss` records. | |
| - Positive winners span 2002–2023 and 0.07951–616.31121 ha. | |
| - No current record has a tie for the largest six-decimal area. | |
| - All 48 records have `training_weight=1.0`. | |
| ## What the agent must do and infer | |
| **Do.** Open the full Hansen loss-year raster, prepare a loss-history work | |
| context, compute grid-aware area independently for codes 1–23, detect the | |
| largest annual value, and return exactly its calendar year and six-decimal | |
| area—or the declared `no_loss` result. | |
| **Infer.** Convert Hansen code `n` to year `2000+n`, select the maximum from | |
| the computed annual histogram, apply the earliest-year rule if equal rounded | |
| areas occur, and distinguish valid code 0 from missing data. Neither the | |
| winning year nor its area is stored in the exposed input. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task measures temporal attribution over a | |
| categorical geospatial raster, grid-aware area calculation, deterministic | |
| selection, and causal use of a statistics artifact. “Loss” means Hansen's | |
| mapped tree-cover loss signal; it is not by itself a field-verified causal | |
| attribution or a live forest-monitoring result. | |
| ## Declared source and file | |
| | Handle | Declared file | Purpose | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | `forest_loss_history_1` | `source_assets/deforestation/<sample_id>/masks/lossyear.tif` | Hansen loss-year code per AOI pixel. | | |
| The upstream product is | |
| [Hansen/UMD Global Forest Change v1.13](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/UMD_hansen_global_forest_change_2025_v1_13). | |
| No annual event mask, `treecover2000`, optical, or SAR input is exposed or | |
| read. All 96 declared references—the question JSON and one `lossyear.tif` per | |
| record—exist inside the repository. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output used by | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, forest_loss_history_1, role=hansen, time=2001_2023)` | Exact loss-year path and metadata; no event-year quality report is generated | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `PrepareScene(inputs={loss_history:scene_1}, mode=forest_loss_history)` | Input type, role, path status, and lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 3 | `ComputeStats(work_1, metrics={loss_area_ha_by_year:true}, region=aoi)` | Validates codes and computes the 2001–2023 area histogram | `stats_1` | | |
| | 4 | `DetectChange(stats_1, change=largest_loss_year, window=2001_2023)` | Validates the statistics contract and returns the deterministic winner | `change_1` and final answer | | |
| | 5 | `TaskComplete` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `DetectChange` consumes `stats_1` and performs no raw raster read. A `work_1` | |
| input, wrong window/mode, malformed year, or non-positive/non-finite histogram | |
| entry is rejected rather than recomputed or silently accepted. | |
| ## Calculation and decision contract | |
| 1. Read band 1 of the declared `lossyear.tif`. Exclude non-finite pixels and | |
| nodata 255; require at least one valid integer code in 0–25. | |
| 2. Analyze only codes 1–23, mapping them to 2001–2023. Code 0 is valid no loss; | |
| codes 24–25 are valid source values but outside this task's time window. | |
| 3. For each analyzed code, sum actual grid-cell areas. Geographic rasters use | |
| WGS84 ellipsoidal cell area; projected rasters use the affine determinant. | |
| Express hectares to six decimal places. | |
| 4. Select the largest six-decimal annual area. If multiple years are equal, | |
| choose the earliest calendar year. | |
| 5. If codes 1–23 are absent, return `year="no_loss"` and `loss_ha=0.0`. An | |
| all-nodata raster is an execution error, not `no_loss`. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "year": "integer 2001..2023 | no_loss", | |
| "loss_ha": 0.0 | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| Both keys are required, `loss_ha` must be non-negative, and extra keys are | |
| rejected. The JSON Schema permits only an integer in 2001–2023 or the exact | |
| string `no_loss` for `year`. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - Every raster has valid pixels; 13 contain no analyzed loss code and | |
| correctly return the nonempty `no_loss` object. | |
| - Direct raster recomputation reproduces all 48 stored answers. No current | |
| maximum tie exists, but the generic earliest-year rule is published. | |
| - The final detector preserves the source-derived six-decimal area. | |
| - The focused replay passed 48/48 executions and 48/48 field-aware checks, | |
| with 192 nonempty artifacts and zero missing/outside paths. | |
| **Validated contract.** The worker reads only the necessary | |
| loss-year raster, validates its domain, returns a schema-valid exact winner, | |
| and is causally tied to the preceding statistics result. The full regression | |
| remains 2,921/2,921 for execution and field-aware validation across 43 types. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 7 of 43 — deforestation `cross_modal_concordance` | |
| ## Task and coverage | |
| The agent compares whole-AOI Sentinel-2 vegetation-index change with | |
| Sentinel-1 VH backscatter change and reports whether their binary indications | |
| agree. | |
| - Records: 48 AOIs — 43 train and 5 test. | |
| - Classes: 11 `concordant`, 14 `discordant`, and 23 `no_change`. | |
| - Every AOI has five Sentinel-1 acquisitions (two pre and three post). | |
| - Optical coverage is five or six epochs, always with usable pre and post data. | |
| - All 48 records have `training_weight=1.0`. | |
| ## What the agent must do and infer | |
| **Do.** Open the optical and SAR handles, prepare one cross-modal context, | |
| request their comparison, causally classify that comparison, and return the | |
| class plus exact NDVI, contextual NBR, and VH evidence. | |
| **Infer.** Apply the two independent threshold decisions and combine them: | |
| both positive is `concordant`, exactly one positive is `discordant`, and | |
| neither positive is `no_change`. NBR must be reported but does not determine | |
| the class. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task measures sensor-fusion reasoning and | |
| the ability to distinguish agreement from mere change. Optical vegetation | |
| response and radar structural/backscatter response are complementary signals; | |
| the benchmark tests whether the agent preserves their temporal conventions, | |
| uses both, and follows a causal comparison-to-classification chain. The fixed | |
| thresholds are operational benchmark proxies, not universal physical laws. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| | Handle | Declared files | Purpose | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | `optical_stack_1` | Five or six Sentinel-2 six-band GeoTIFFs plus matching RGB panels | Whole-AOI NDVI/NBR pre/post evidence and agent-visible context. | | |
| | `sar_stack_1` | Five Sentinel-1 VV/VH GeoTIFFs with declared acquisition dates and pre/post roles | Whole-AOI VH pre/post change. | | |
| The upstream products are | |
| [Sentinel-2 L2A SR Harmonized](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S2_SR_HARMONIZED) | |
| and | |
| [Sentinel-1 GRD](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S1_GRD). | |
| No Hansen mask is declared or read. All 822 declared path references exist | |
| inside the repository; the public sidecar inventory lists only optical, SAR, | |
| and SAR-window metadata. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output used by | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, optical_stack_1, role=pre_post, time=event_window)` | Optical paths and temporal coverage | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `ReadData(question_1, sar_stack_1, role=pre_post, time=event_window)` | SAR paths, acquisition dates, and roles | `scene_2` | | |
| | 3 | `PrepareScene(inputs={optical:scene_1, sar:scene_2}, mode=forest_cross_modal)` | Compatible inputs, path status, and lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 4 | `CompareSources(work_1, signals=ndvi_nbr_vs_vh, criterion=concordance)` | Finite whole-AOI evidence, thresholds, and preliminary class | `compare_1` | | |
| | 5 | `ClassifyChange(compare_1, rule=concordance, labels=<three classes>)` | Verifies and formats only the preceding comparison | `class_1` and final answer | | |
| | 6 | `TaskComplete` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ClassifyChange` accepts only the exact concordance comparison, verifies its | |
| evidence, thresholds, and embedded class, performs zero raw reads, and rejects | |
| `work_1` or any other incorrect causal handle. | |
| ## Calculation and decision contract | |
| 1. For each available optical epoch, compute AOI-valid-pixel NDVI and NBR. | |
| Each drop is the mean of available pre-epoch means minus the mean of | |
| available post-epoch means. | |
| 2. Aggregate Sentinel-1 VH in dB by each path's declared temporal role. | |
| `vh_delta_db = post_mean_db - pre_mean_db`. | |
| 3. Optical change is strictly `ndvi_drop > 0.10`; an exact 0.10 is false. | |
| 4. SAR change is strictly `vh_delta_db < -1.0`; an exact -1.0 dB is false. | |
| 5. Both true gives `concordant`; one true gives `discordant`; both false gives | |
| `no_change`. NBR is contextual evidence only. | |
| All three evidence values must be numeric and finite. Missing temporal groups, | |
| NaN, infinity, unsupported criteria, or inconsistent comparison content are | |
| execution errors rather than `no_change` defaults. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "concordance": "concordant | discordant | no_change", | |
| "evidence": { | |
| "nbr_drop": 0.0, | |
| "ndvi_drop": 0.0, | |
| "vh_delta_db": 0.0 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The numbers illustrate types only. All fields are required, the class is | |
| enum-constrained, values must be finite, and extra keys are rejected. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - Explicit boundary tests cover exact and immediately adjacent threshold | |
| values for both worker stages. | |
| - Direct raster recomputation exactly reproduces all 48 evidence objects and | |
| labels within the declared numerical tolerance. | |
| - No record has missing/non-finite evidence or an empty required artifact. | |
| - The focused replay passed 48/48 executions and field-aware checks, with 240 | |
| nonempty artifacts and zero missing, absolute, or outside-root paths. | |
| **Validated contract.** Inputs, temporal roles, equations, | |
| threshold boundaries, schema, and causal handoff are explicit and consistent. | |
| The repository-wide regression remains 2,921/2,921 across all 43 types. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 8 of 43 — deforestation `severity_proxy_numeric` | |
| Population: **48 records** — 43 train and 5 public-reference test. Each record | |
| has training weight 1.0. | |
| ## What the task asks and why | |
| **Do.** Open only the Sentinel-1 pre/post stack, prepare its SAR-change | |
| context, compute the whole-AOI VH change, score that numeric result, and return | |
| the exact finite delta and one severity bucket. | |
| **Infer.** Use every available acquisition according to its declared temporal | |
| role. Compute `post_mean_db - pre_mean_db`, then apply the stated half-open | |
| threshold intervals. The bucket must come from the computed number, not from a | |
| filename, cached label, or unrelated optical/mask input. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task measures whether an agent preserves a | |
| signed radar-change convention, passes a computed statistic causally into a | |
| second worker, and handles numeric decision boundaries exactly. The four | |
| buckets are operational benchmark proxies, not universal forest-severity | |
| classes. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| | Handle | Declared files | Purpose | | |
| |---|---|---| | |
| | `sar_stack_1` | Five Sentinel-1 VV/VH GeoTIFFs, each with an acquisition date and `pre` or `post` role | Whole-AOI VH pre/post statistics. | | |
| The upstream product is | |
| [Sentinel-1 GRD](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S1_GRD). | |
| No Sentinel-2 or Hansen file is declared or read. The 48 public sidecars expose | |
| only `s1_grd` and `s1_window_metadata`; all 288 declared path references exist | |
| inside the repository. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output used by | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, sar_stack_1, role=pre_post, time=event_window)` | SAR paths, dates, roles, and availability | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `PrepareScene(inputs={sar:scene_1}, mode=sar_change)` | SAR context and lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 3 | `ComputeStats(work_1, metrics={vh_delta_db:true}, region=aoi)` | Declared-window whole-AOI VH delta | `stats_1` | | |
| | 4 | `ScoreHazard(stats_1, hazard=forest_disturbance, scale=vh_delta_severity)` | Validates the exact upstream metric contract and applies the buckets | `score_1` and final answer | | |
| | 5 | `TaskComplete` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ScoreHazard` accepts only the matching `stats_1` result carrying the declared | |
| VH-delta measurement contract. It rejects `work_1`, a different metric result, | |
| an unsupported hazard/scale, or missing/non-finite evidence; it never reopens | |
| raw rasters or silently recomputes the preceding step. | |
| ## Calculation and decision contract | |
| 1. Group the five opened Sentinel-1 acquisitions by their declared `pre` and | |
| `post` roles; invented dates or inferred filename chronology are forbidden. | |
| 2. Compute valid-pixel AOI mean VH backscatter for each acquisition, then the | |
| mean for each temporal group. | |
| 3. Set `vh_delta_db = post_mean_db - pre_mean_db`. | |
| 4. Apply: severe if `< -3`; moderate if `-3 <= delta < -1`; mild if | |
| `-1 <= delta < 0`; none if `>= 0`. | |
| 5. Therefore exact `-3` is moderate, exact `-1` is mild, and exact `0` is none. | |
| Both temporal groups must exist and the result must be numeric and finite. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "vh_delta_db": 0.0, | |
| "severity": "severe | moderate | mild | none" | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The number illustrates the type only. Both fields are required, severity is | |
| enum-constrained, and extra keys are rejected. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - Direct source recomputation exactly reproduced all 48 numeric targets and | |
| buckets: 2 severe, 15 moderate, 18 mild, and 13 none. | |
| - Explicit probes on both sides of each threshold and at `-3`, `-1`, and `0` | |
| produced the documented classes. | |
| - No record has a missing temporal group, non-finite value, empty required | |
| artifact, missing path, or outside-root path. | |
| - The focused replay passed 48/48 executions and field-aware checks with 192 | |
| nonempty generated artifacts. The full regression remains 2,921/2,921. | |
| **Validated contract.** The sole declared modality is sufficient, | |
| the sign convention and boundaries are explicit, the chain is causal, and all | |
| answers exactly match fresh computation. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 9 of 43 — multi-hazard wildfire `A` | |
| All multi-hazard GeoTIFFs use the corresponding sample AOI as their spatial | |
| contract. Source rasters are written on an EPSG:4326 grid derived from that | |
| AOI; derived rasters preserve the reference grid. A release audit checks every | |
| one of the 1,063 packaged raster/tabular GeoTIFFs across 108 samples for CRS, | |
| AOI extent, and within-sample co-registration. A nominal `(0, 0)` origin is | |
| invalid unless genuinely implied by the sample AOI. The current package has | |
| zero failures. | |
| Population: **15 records** — 13 train and 2 public-reference test. Each record | |
| has training weight 1.0. | |
| ## What the task asks and why | |
| **Do.** Open the wildfire measurement handle, prepare the scene, compute the | |
| burned footprint area from the declared event mask, and return a complete JSON | |
| answer containing the value, hectare units, source evidence, and completion | |
| status. | |
| **Infer.** Treat finite mask value 1 as burned and 0 as valid unburned. Sum the | |
| actual grid-cell areas of the burned pixels and round once to three decimals; | |
| do not estimate area from a nominal 500 m scale or from an image panel. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task tests direct quantitative extraction | |
| from a source-specific hazard product, including nodata handling, geographic | |
| cell area, source attribution, units, and final-answer assembly. It does not | |
| ask the agent to classify burn severity. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| | Declared file | Purpose | | |
| |---|---| | |
| | `available_handles.json` | Confirms that the named cached source handle exists. | | |
| | `rasters/mcd64a1__event.tif` | Binary event-window burned-area mask. | | |
| | `rasters/mcd64a1__event.json` | Product provenance, source dates, units, shape, and raster checksum. | | |
| The upstream source is NASA MODIS | |
| [MCD64A1.061 Burned Area](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/MODIS_061_MCD64A1), | |
| whose `BurnDate` product was transformed during dataset construction into the | |
| declared event-window binary mask. No dNBR, Sentinel-2, VIIRS, NIFC, panel, | |
| population, OSM, GT, or trajectory file is exposed to this task. All 60 path | |
| references across the 15 records are repository-relative, unique, and present. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output used by | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, hazard_stack_1, role=wildfire, time=event)` | Exact handle inventory, MCD64 raster, and metadata paths | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `PrepareScene(inputs={hazard:scene_1}, mode=wildfire_burn)` | Wildfire context and declared-file lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 3 | `ComputeStats(work_1, metrics={burned_area:true}, region=aoi)` | Binary-mask validation, burned pixel count, grid-aware area, units, and source handle | `stats_1` and final answer | | |
| | 4 | `TaskComplete(status=TASK_COMPLETE)` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ComputeStats` rejects a valid-but-wrong cross-domain metric such as | |
| `forest_loss`, as well as invented metrics or the wrong region. It reads only | |
| the three declared runtime dependencies and emits the area method and mask | |
| contract; no sample ID or expected answer participates in the calculation. | |
| ## Calculation contract | |
| 1. Read the single-band MCD64 event mask and convert its declared finite | |
| nodata value to invalid pixels. | |
| 2. Require at least one valid pixel and require every valid value to be exactly | |
| 0 or 1. Empty burned support is permitted in principle and would yield | |
| 0.000 ha; an entirely invalid raster is an error. | |
| 3. Select valid pixels with value 1. | |
| 4. For EPSG:4326 grids, compute every selected cell's WGS84 ellipsoidal area; | |
| for a projected grid, use the affine determinant with CRS unit conversion. | |
| 5. Sum in hectares and round the final area to three decimal places. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "status": "TASK_COMPLETE", | |
| "answer": { | |
| "value": 0.0, | |
| "units": "ha" | |
| }, | |
| "evidence": { | |
| "primary_area_ha": 0.0, | |
| "primary_handle": "mcd64a1__event" | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The numbers illustrate types only. `answer.value` and `primary_area_ha` must | |
| agree, both must be non-negative, the status/units/handle strings are fixed by | |
| schema, and extra keys are rejected. The runtime projects this object from | |
| `stats_1` plus the literal terminal status; it never copies a stored answer. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - All 15 rasters have valid binary 0/1 support, matching declared SHA-256 | |
| hashes, and nonempty burn masks. Fresh areas exactly match all 15 targets. | |
| - Areas span 548.919–23,052.567 ha; no NaN, infinity, empty analytical result, | |
| missing dependency, or fallback estimate occurs. | |
| - All 108 multi-hazard A records pass their domain-specific metric contracts; | |
| wildfire A passes 15/15 field-aware checks and produces 45 nonempty replay | |
| artifacts. The independent 20-type multi-hazard logic audit reports zero | |
| undeclared or missing runtime dependencies. | |
| - The full regression remains 2,921/2,921 and all 43 field-aware types pass. | |
| **Validated contract.** The prompt, declared files, binary-mask | |
| semantics, grid-area calculation, worker output, schema, and targets are | |
| explicitly aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 10 of 43 — multi-hazard wildfire `B` | |
| Population: **15 records** — 13 train and 2 public-reference test. Each record | |
| has training weight 1.0. | |
| ## What the task asks and why | |
| **Do.** Open the dNBR and MCD64 inputs, prepare the wildfire scene, classify | |
| valid dNBR pixels only inside the MCD64 burned footprint, and return the | |
| dominant class/fraction plus complete per-class evidence. | |
| **Infer.** Apply the four declared half-open dNBR intervals, count the valid | |
| masked population, select the class with the largest count, and divide that | |
| count by the complete classified population. Respect exact boundaries and the | |
| declared tie order. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This task tests masked categorical reasoning: | |
| the agent must distinguish a source-defined analysis footprint from a | |
| continuous severity index, preserve class-boundary semantics, and synthesize | |
| a structured answer from worker evidence. The bins are an operational burn | |
| severity convention, not a field-validated damage assessment. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| | Declared file | Purpose | | |
| |---|---| | |
| | `available_handles.json` | Confirms both cached handles. | | |
| | `rasters/dnbr.tif` and `.json` | Sentinel-2 pre-minus-post NBR change and its provenance/grid metadata. | | |
| | `rasters/mcd64a1__event.tif` and `.json` | Binary MCD64 event burn footprint and metadata. | | |
| The upstream inputs are | |
| [Sentinel-2 L2A SR Harmonized](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/COPERNICUS_S2_SR_HARMONIZED) | |
| and NASA MODIS | |
| [MCD64A1.061 Burned Area](https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/MODIS_061_MCD64A1). | |
| No Landsat, VIIRS, NIFC, panel, exposure, GT, or trajectory file is exposed. | |
| All 90 path references across these records are relative, unique, and present. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output used by | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, hazard_stack_1, role=wildfire, time=event)` | Exact dNBR/MCD64 paths and metadata | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `PrepareScene(inputs={hazard:scene_1}, mode=wildfire_burn)` | Wildfire context and declared-file lineage | `work_1` | | |
| | 3 | `ScoreHazard(work_1, hazard=wildfire, scale=question_defined_class)` | Masked class table, dominant class/fraction, counts, areas, and means | `score_1` and final answer | | |
| | 4 | `TaskComplete(status=TASK_COMPLETE)` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `ScoreHazard` binds `question_defined_class` to B questions. It rejects the D | |
| task's `impact_footprint` scale, another domain, an invented scale, or an empty | |
| analysis population. The class worker verifies that the class counts exactly | |
| partition every finite dNBR pixel inside the MCD64 footprint. | |
| ## Classification contract | |
| 1. Select finite dNBR pixels where the finite binary MCD64 mask equals 1. | |
| 2. Assign unburned for dNBR `< 0.10`, low for `0.10 <= dNBR < 0.27`, | |
| moderate for `0.27 <= dNBR < 0.44`, and high for `dNBR >= 0.44`. | |
| 3. For each class, report pixel count, six-decimal mean dNBR (or null for a | |
| possible empty class), and three-decimal grid-aware area in hectares. | |
| 4. Choose the largest pixel count. An exact tie selects the first class in | |
| order: unburned, low, moderate, high. | |
| 5. `dominant_fraction = dominant_count / all classified valid pixels`, rounded | |
| to six decimals. `mask_pixel_count` separately describes the MCD64 mask. | |
| ## Final answer contract | |
| ```json | |
| { | |
| "status": "TASK_COMPLETE", | |
| "answer": { | |
| "class": "unburned | low | moderate | high", | |
| "dominant_fraction": 0.0 | |
| }, | |
| "evidence": { | |
| "dominant_class": "unburned | low | moderate | high", | |
| "by_class": { | |
| "unburned": {"area_ha": 0.0, "pixel_count": 0, "mean_value": null}, | |
| "low": {"area_ha": 0.0, "pixel_count": 0, "mean_value": null}, | |
| "moderate": {"area_ha": 0.0, "pixel_count": 0, "mean_value": null}, | |
| "high": {"area_ha": 0.0, "pixel_count": 0, "mean_value": null} | |
| }, | |
| "analysis_scope": "mcd64_burn_footprint", | |
| "mask_pixel_count": 1 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ``` | |
| The numbers illustrate types only. The class strings are enum-constrained, | |
| fraction is in `[0,1]`, counts/areas are non-negative, class and | |
| `dominant_class` must agree, and extra keys are rejected. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - Fresh worker/source computation exactly reproduces all 15 complete answers. | |
| Dominant labels are 2 unburned, 2 low, 0 moderate, and 11 high; the absent | |
| dominant-moderate outcome is population evidence, not an unreachable class. | |
| - Boundary probes immediately below and at 0.10, 0.27, and 0.44 produce the | |
| declared bins. A four-way equal-count probe selects unburned. | |
| - Every current class row is nonempty. Footprints contain 385–15,679 pixels and | |
| dominant fractions range from 0.285139 to 0.538427. | |
| - All 108 multi-hazard B records, the 2,921-record regression, and all 43 | |
| field-aware type checks pass with zero worker or input-path errors. | |
| **Validated contract.** Inputs, masking, thresholds, denominator, | |
| tie behavior, area/mean evidence, schema, and targets are explicit and aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 11 of 43 — multi-hazard wildfire `C` | |
| Population: **15 records** — 13 train and 2 public-reference test. Each record | |
| has training weight 1.0. | |
| ## What the task asks and why | |
| **Do.** Open three declared, co-registered binary footprints—MCD64A1 burned | |
| area, fixed-threshold Sentinel-2 dNBR support, and the NIFC incident | |
| perimeter—measure each footprint, and decide whether their areas agree. | |
| **Infer.** Compute all three symmetric pairwise area differences, take their | |
| median, and compare it with the fixed 20% limit. Return the source areas and | |
| all pairwise evidence needed to inspect that decision. | |
| **Meaning in the benchmark.** This tests multi-source reconciliation. The | |
| agent must distinguish source agreement from source truth: agreement means | |
| that three operational footprints have similar mapped areas under the stated | |
| rule, not that they are spatially identical or that any product is perfect. | |
| ## Declared sources and files | |
| | Declared file | Purpose | | |
| |---|---| | |
| | `available_handles.json` | Verifies the exact cached comparison handles. | | |
| | `rasters/mcd64a1__event.tif` and `.json` | Binary MODIS burned-area footprint and provenance/grid metadata. | | |
| | `rasters/s2_burn_support.tif` and `.json` | Binary support derived by applying dNBR `>=0.10`; the sidecar records the derivation. | | |
| | `rasters/nifc_perimeter__event.tif` and `.json` | Exact incident polygon rasterized on the common grid, plus provider/selection provenance. | | |
| The first `ReadData` handle carries only the inventory; the second carries the | |
| six analytical files. No RGB, Landsat, VIIRS, panel, AOI, exposure, GT, or | |
| trajectory artifact is exposed. All 120 references are relative, unique, | |
| present, and inside the repository. The upstream products are NASA MODIS | |
| MCD64A1, Sentinel-2 L2A SR Harmonized, and the NIFC WFIGS Interagency Fire | |
| Perimeters cited in `ATTRIBUTIONS.md`. | |
| ## Required causal tool sequence | |
| | Step | Call | What it validates or computes | Output used by | | |
| |---:|---|---|---| | |
| | 1 | `ReadData(question_1, hazard_stack_1, role=wildfire, time=event)` | Handle inventory and wildfire context | `scene_1` | | |
| | 2 | `ReadData(question_1, agreement_sources_1, role=wildfire, sources=all)` | Three masks and sidecars | `scene_2` | | |
| | 3 | `PrepareScene(inputs={hazard:scene_1,sources:scene_2}, mode=multisource_hazard)` | Exact causal lineage and input readiness | `work_1` | | |
| | 4 | `CompareSources(work_1, sources=all, criterion=area_agreement, maximum_median_pct_delta=20.0)` | Areas, decision, score, and spatial support statistics | `compare_1` and final answer | | |
| | 5 | `TaskComplete(status=TASK_COMPLETE)` | Closes the specialist subgoal; carries no terminal answer | ORC termination by published answer reference | | |
| `CompareSources` accepts only a type-C `multisource_hazard` work artifact with | |
| the three declared raster/sidecar pairs. It rejects another criterion, | |
| threshold, work type, missing lineage, non-binary wildfire mask, empty common | |
| valid population, or mismatched grid. | |
| ## Agreement contract | |
| 1. Validate finite wildfire mask values as binary and require identical shape, | |
| CRS, and affine transform. | |
| 2. Sum actual grid-cell areas where each mask is 1. Geographic grids use WGS84 | |
| ellipsoidal cell areas; projected grids use the affine determinant. | |
| 3. For every source pair compute | |
| `abs(A-B) / ((A+B)/2) * 100`; two zero areas have difference 0. | |
| 4. The decision statistic is the median of the three pairwise percentages. | |
| `median_pct_delta <= 20.0` means `sources_agree`; larger values mean | |
| `sources_disagree`. | |
| 5. `agreement_score_0_100 = max(0, 100 - median_pct_delta)`. Compute from | |
| unrounded source areas and round emitted area/percentage/score values to | |
| three decimals. | |
| 6. IoU, full binary-state agreement, and Cohen's kappa use common valid cells | |
| only. They are support statistics and do not silently alter the area verdict. | |
| The final JSON requires the decision, metric, median area/difference, bounded | |
| score, all three source areas, all three pairwise area differences, and all | |
| three sets of spatial support statistics. Metric, verdict, score contract, status, | |
| numeric ranges, and object keys are schema-constrained. | |
| ## Edge cases and verified result | |
| - All 45 TIFF/sidecar checksum pairs match; every mask is nonempty, binary, | |
| AOI-aligned, and co-registered. | |
| - Fresh computation reproduces all 15 complete targets: 11 agree and 4 | |
| disagree. Median differences span 2.858–63.742%; scores span 36.258–97.142. | |
| - A boundary probe agrees at exactly 15.317% and disagrees when the limit is | |
| lowered to 15.316%, confirming inclusive threshold behavior. | |
| - The model-facing observation exposes the score contract, three source | |
| areas, and every pairwise field required by the final schema. | |
| - Focused execution and field-aware checks pass 15/15; all 40 adversarial | |
| argument/causal-input mutations are rejected for the intended reason. | |
| **Validated contract.** The inputs, georeferencing, binary-mask | |
| semantics, exact area calculation, decision rule, support statistics, worker | |
| lineage, schema, and stored answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 12 of 43 — multi-hazard wildfire `D` | |
| Population: **15 records** — 13 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Count distinct cached OSM highway-feature representative | |
| points within an inclusive 5 km of the binary MCD64A1 burn footprint. Use the | |
| actual GeoJSON geometry, transform it and the burn-cell centers into a local | |
| azimuthal-equidistant metric CRS, and return the count with footprint, | |
| population, in-footprint, nearest-feature, and method evidence. | |
| **Agent inference.** Treat each declared OSM feature as one representative | |
| point and use authoritative GeoJSON coordinates. The output is determined by | |
| the inclusive metric distance to positive burn-cell centers, not cached | |
| row/column hints, road length, or network connectivity. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests raster/vector integration and metric | |
| distance reasoning. The output counts one representative point per cached OSM | |
| feature; it is not road length, intersection count, accessibility, or damage. | |
| The seven declared paths are the question JSON, `available_handles.json`, the | |
| MCD64A1 TIFF/sidecar, WorldPop TIFF/sidecar, and `osm/pois.geojson`. No panel, | |
| unrelated wildfire raster, AOI, GT, or trajectory is exposed. The chain is | |
| `ReadData` (wildfire), `ReadData` (highways), `PrepareScene`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(scale=impact_footprint)`, `EstimateExposure(within_km=5)`, and | |
| `TaskComplete`. | |
| The GeoJSON coordinates are authoritative; cached `row`/`col` properties are | |
| not. `in_footprint` is calculated by transforming the representative geometry | |
| through the raster CRS and affine transform. The 5,000 m comparison is | |
| inclusive and uses the unrounded nearest cell-center distance. Points outside | |
| the AOI can count only when they exist in the declared cache and fall inside | |
| that buffer. WorldPop must match the footprint's shape, CRS, and transform and | |
| contain no negative values; it supplies supporting population evidence but | |
| does not affect the highway count. | |
| The 15 primary counts are **48–249**. Authoritative GeoJSON geometry determines | |
| all auxiliary `in_footprint` values; cached row/column hints are | |
| non-authoritative. Nearest distances span 1.951–21.115 m. Focused execution and | |
| field-aware validation pass 15/15, all outputs are finite and nonempty, and | |
| 43/43 adversarial calls are rejected. The worker also requires a nonempty | |
| wildfire type-D impact score and the complete declared | |
| raster/population/OSM lineage. The shared geometry audit independently checks | |
| all 20,927 cached OSM geometries and all 157 D-task in-footprint evidence | |
| values with zero mismatches. Valid zero-pixel drought and air footprints are | |
| accepted as measured zero-exposure outcomes rather than mistaken for failures. | |
| **Validated contract.** Geometry authority, grid alignment, | |
| distance boundary, proxy interpretation, causal chain, schema, and answers | |
| are explicit and consistent. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 13 of 43 — multi-hazard deforestation `A` | |
| Population: **23 records** — 21 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Open the declared Hansen event mask, prepare the forest-loss | |
| scene, compute the area of pixels whose loss year equals 2022, and return the | |
| three-decimal hectare value with the source handle. | |
| **Agent inference.** The agent must infer the AOI's 2022 loss area from the | |
| worker's measured binary footprint; it must not substitute all-years loss, | |
| canopy area, an alert product, or an image-panel estimate. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests source/temporal selection, causal tool use, | |
| binary-mask interpretation, nodata handling, and grid-aware geospatial area | |
| measurement on a second provider/domain contract. | |
| The four declared paths are the question JSON, `available_handles.json`, and | |
| the `hansen_loss__event` TIFF/sidecar. The sidecar identifies Hansen Global | |
| Forest Change 2025 v1.13 with `lossyear=2022`; its checksum matches the TIFF in | |
| all 23 samples. Unused Sentinel-2, RADD, TMF, panel, and AOI paths are not | |
| exposed to this task. | |
| The fixed chain is `ReadData(role=deforestation,time=event)`, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=forest_loss)`, | |
| `ComputeStats(metrics={forest_loss:true},region=aoi)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| `ComputeStats` accepts only the causal type-A prepared-work handle, the exact | |
| domain metric, and the declared primary TIFF, sidecar, and inventory lineage. | |
| It rejects a scene handle or cross-domain metric. | |
| Finite mask value 1 means Hansen loss year 2022; 0 means valid no-2022-loss. | |
| Declared nodata/non-finite cells are excluded. Geographic cell areas are | |
| summed on the WGS84 ellipsoid (projected grids use the affine determinant), | |
| then rounded once to 0.001 ha. The answer schema fixes `units="ha"`, | |
| `primary_handle="hansen_loss__event"`, nonnegative areas, and | |
| `status="TASK_COMPLETE"`. The build sidecar discloses that source-masked | |
| binary cells were filled with 0. This cannot create positive loss and gives | |
| the same positive-mask numerator as excluding those cells. | |
| Independent raster/checksum recomputation matches every stored target. Each | |
| mask has 16,384 valid pixels and 56–767 positive pixels; answers span | |
| 107.692–1,449.402 ha. All 23 outputs are positive and finite. Cross-domain | |
| type-A replay and field-aware validation pass 108/108, and all 43 adversarial | |
| argument/causal-input probes are rejected for the intended reason. | |
| **Validated contract.** The event year, provider handle, declared | |
| inputs, causal sequence, binary/nodata semantics, exact area method, schema, | |
| and all 23 answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 14 of 43 — multi-hazard deforestation `B` | |
| Population: **23 records** — 21 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Open the Hansen 2022 loss mask and Sentinel-2 NDVI-change | |
| raster, prepare the forest-loss scene, classify every finite NDVI-drop pixel | |
| inside the loss footprint, and return the pixel-count-dominant class and its | |
| fraction with complete per-class evidence. | |
| **Agent inference.** The agent must distinguish the dominant NDVI-drop bin | |
| inside a known loss footprint. A result of `none` means the majority has a | |
| drop below 0.15; it does not contradict the Hansen loss observation. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests masked raster classification, temporal-index | |
| sign interpretation, boundary rules, grid co-registration, causal tool use, | |
| and evidence-based answer assembly. | |
| The six declared paths are the question JSON, handle inventory, and the | |
| `hansen_loss__event` and `ndvi_change` TIFF/sidecar pairs. The change sidecar | |
| defines the value as Sentinel-2 NDVI pre minus post. Unused RADD, TMF, | |
| pre/post component rasters, panels, and AOI files are not exposed. | |
| The chain is `ReadData`, `PrepareScene(mode=forest_loss)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(hazard=deforestation,scale=question_defined_class)`, and | |
| `TaskComplete`. The scorer accepts only the causal type-B prepared work and | |
| declared files. It requires the two rasters to have identical shape, CRS, and | |
| affine transform and rejects a scene handle, wrong hazard, scale, or lineage. | |
| Classification uses lower-inclusive, upper-exclusive bins: `none` | |
| `[-10,0.15)`, `minor` `[0.15,0.30)`, `major` `[0.30,0.50)`, and `severe` | |
| `[0.50,10)`. Every finite NDVI value at a finite Hansen-1 pixel must fall in | |
| exactly one bin. Dominance uses pixel count; an exact tie follows the declared | |
| none/minor/major/severe order. Per-class areas use exact grid-cell areas, and | |
| rounding occurs only on emitted fields. | |
| Independent raster and checksum recomputation reproduces every answer and all | |
| evidence fields. All 23 dominant classes are `none`, with fractions | |
| 0.670360–1.000000. This is a real threshold outcome, not an empty-mask | |
| fallback: masks contain 56–767 pixels, 20 samples contain minor pixels, 17 | |
| contain major pixels, and 6 contain severe pixels. No dominant tie occurs. | |
| All 432 multi-hazard chains and 20/20 field-aware types pass, and 43/43 | |
| adversarial probes are rejected for the intended reason. | |
| **Validated contract.** The NDVI sign, Hansen mask, thresholds, | |
| boundary/tie rules, grid alignment, causal chain, schema, and all 23 outputs | |
| are explicit and independently consistent. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 15 of 43 — multi-hazard deforestation `C` | |
| Population: **23 records** — 21 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Open three declared, co-registered 2022 forest-disturbance | |
| masks; compute each footprint's exact area and the three symmetric pairwise | |
| area differences; apply the declared 25% median-difference threshold; and | |
| return the decision, bounded score, source areas, and spatial support statistics. | |
| **Agent inference.** The agent must infer whether Hansen annual loss, JRC TMF | |
| annual loss, and RADD event-window alerts agree closely enough in footprint | |
| area. It must not treat zero alerts as missing data, compare rounded display | |
| areas, or substitute spatial overlap for the declared area verdict. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests explicit temporal/source semantics, | |
| multi-source raster comparison, exact geospatial area calculation, robust | |
| aggregation, and structured evidence assembly. Agreement is an operational | |
| benchmark rule, not a claim that one product is ground truth. | |
| The eight declared paths are the question JSON, `available_handles.json`, and | |
| the TIFF/sidecar pairs for `hansen_loss__event`, `tmf_loss__event`, and | |
| `radd_alerts__event`. Their checksums and temporal metadata are verified. The | |
| first mask is finite binary Hansen `lossyear=2022`; the second is finite binary | |
| JRC TMF change where December 2022 is deforested and December 2021 is not; the | |
| third uses `0=no alert`, `1=low confidence`, and `2=high confidence` for RADD | |
| alerts dated 2022-06-01 through 2022-09-30. Values above zero form the RADD | |
| footprint. Unused panels, AOI files, and unrelated rasters are not exposed. | |
| The chain is two `ReadData` calls, `PrepareScene(mode=multisource)`, | |
| `CompareSources(metric=area_agreement,maximum_median_pct_delta=25.0)`, and | |
| `TaskComplete`. The comparison worker reads only declared lineage, validates | |
| the allowed mask values and exact shape/CRS/affine co-registration, and fails | |
| on an all-nodata source or grid mismatch. | |
| For source areas `A` and `B`, each pairwise percentage is | |
| `abs(A-B)/((A+B)/2)*100`; it is zero when both areas are zero. The verdict uses | |
| the median of the three unrounded percentages: at or below 25% means | |
| `sources_agree`; above 25% means `sources_disagree`. The bounded score is | |
| `max(0,100-median_pct_delta)`. Emitted areas and percentages are rounded to | |
| three decimals. IoU, binary-state agreement, and Cohen's kappa use common | |
| valid cells and are support statistics; they do not alter the area verdict. | |
| `TaskComplete.status` is `TASK_COMPLETE` for either verdict because source | |
| disagreement is a successfully computed answer, not a contract failure. | |
| Independent rasterio/PyProj recomputation reproduces all source areas, | |
| pairwise fields, support statistics, scores, and verdicts for 23/23 records. All 23 | |
| are `sources_disagree`; median differences span 48.008–200.000% and scores | |
| 0.000–51.992. Hansen and TMF areas are positive in every record. Nine RADD | |
| masks have a valid measured zero-alert footprint; the files still contain a | |
| valid grid and finite observations, so this is neither empty output nor a | |
| fallback. All 23 focused outputs have complete direct answer support, the | |
| full 2,921-record replay and field-aware audit pass, and no declared input is | |
| missing or outside the repository. | |
| **Validated contract.** Temporal windows, source encodings, | |
| georeferencing, co-registration, zero-event semantics, exact area formula, | |
| threshold, support statistics, causal chain, schema, and stored answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 16 of 43 — multi-hazard deforestation `D` | |
| Population: **23 records** — 21 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Measure the distance from the Hansen 2022 loss footprint to | |
| the nearest distinct cached OSM highway-feature representative point, or | |
| return an explicit unavailable state when no highway representative is | |
| cached. Also return the fixed 5 km context count, in-footprint count, nearest | |
| name, footprint area, and WorldPop footprint sum. | |
| **Agent inference.** The agent must distinguish a measured distance from the | |
| valid no-feature state. It must use authoritative GeoJSON geometry and the | |
| current loss mask, not cached row/column hints, an AOI centroid, a rendered | |
| panel, or a road-line distance that the point-based cache cannot support. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests causal raster/vector exposure analysis, | |
| coordinate transformation, metric nearest-neighbour reasoning, null-state | |
| handling, and honest interpretation of cached OSM representatives. It does | |
| not claim road-network access, road length, or field-verified infrastructure. | |
| The seven declared paths are the question JSON, `available_handles.json`, the | |
| Hansen `hansen_loss__event` TIFF/sidecar, WorldPop TIFF/sidecar, and | |
| `osm/pois.geojson`. Panels, AOI files, alternate loss products, and unrelated | |
| rasters are not exposed. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=forest_loss_exposure)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(scale=impact_footprint)`, | |
| `EstimateExposure(exposure=nearest_highway)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| Finite Hansen value 1 is a 2022 loss cell and 0 is valid no loss. The worker | |
| requires a binary raster and exact WorldPop shape/CRS/affine co-registration. | |
| It transforms every raster-cell center and authoritative GeoJSON | |
| representative point into an AOI-centered azimuthal-equidistant CRS. Distance | |
| is the minimum point-to-positive-cell-center distance. Therefore a point | |
| located inside a positive raster cell can have a small nonzero cell-center | |
| distance; `in_footprint` separately records affine cell membership. The 5,000 | |
| m context boundary is inclusive. Counts are per distinct cached OSM feature. | |
| Twenty records contain a cached highway representative and return finite | |
| distances from 14.648 to 4,136.076 m. Three contain none and consistently | |
| return `availability_status=no_cached_highway_representative`, null answer | |
| distance, null nearest name/distance, and zero highway counts. Six samples | |
| have at least one representative in a positive loss cell. These are valid | |
| source outcomes, not empty outputs. | |
| An independent geometry audit reproduces all 157 multi-hazard D-task | |
| in-footprint counts, 5 km counts, nearest names, and distances from the source | |
| rasters and GeoJSON. It also verifies all 1,063 multi-hazard GeoTIFF grids and | |
| 20,927 cached OSM features. Focused and repository-wide replay use only the | |
| seven declared inputs. `EstimateExposure` emits the generically derived | |
| availability status alongside its nearest-feature evidence, and all 23 records | |
| have complete field-level worker support. | |
| **Validated contract.** Source semantics, binary/nodata handling, | |
| geometry authority, projection, cell-center distance interpretation, buffer | |
| boundary, null state, causal lineage, schema, and all 23 answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 17 of 43 — multi-hazard urban expansion `A` | |
| Population: **29 records** — 27 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Open the declared Dynamic World built-gain mask, prepare the | |
| urban-change scene, measure its exact area, and return hectares with the | |
| source handle. | |
| **Agent inference.** The agent must identify new built probability between the | |
| 2019 and 2024 annual composites, rather than reporting total built cover, | |
| negative change, an NDBI proxy, or another provider's time window. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests source and temporal selection, derived-mask | |
| interpretation, exact geospatial area measurement, causal tool use, and strict | |
| answer assembly. | |
| The four declared paths are the question JSON, `available_handles.json`, and | |
| the `built_gain` TIFF/sidecar. The mask is derived from Dynamic World | |
| `GOOGLE/DYNAMICWORLD/V1`: post-2024 built probability above 0.55 and pre-2019 | |
| built probability at or below 0.55. The annual composite windows are | |
| 2019-01-01–2020-01-01 and 2024-01-01–2025-01-01. Unused NDBI, GHSL, | |
| WorldCover, component rasters, panels, and AOI files are not exposed. | |
| The chain is `ReadData(role=urban_expansion,time=event)`, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=built_up_gain)`, | |
| `ComputeStats(metrics={built_up_gain:true},region=aoi)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| The statistics worker accepts only the matching causal Type-A work handle, | |
| metric, and declared TIFF/sidecar/inventory lineage. It requires a finite | |
| binary 0/1 mask. Geographic grids use WGS84 ellipsoidal cell areas; projected | |
| grids use their affine determinant; final hectares are rounded to three | |
| decimals. | |
| Independent reconstruction from every pre/post Dynamic World pair exactly | |
| matches all 29 packaged gain masks, grids, and checksums. Independent area | |
| summation reproduces every stored answer, spanning 177.428–5,104.218 ha. All | |
| 29 outputs are finite and positive, focused evidence support is 29/29, and | |
| the full replay plus field-aware audit pass. | |
| **Validated contract.** Provider, composite windows, threshold | |
| direction, derived pixels, binary validation, area method, causal lineage, | |
| schema, declared inputs, and all 29 answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 18 of 43 — multi-hazard urban expansion `B` | |
| Population: **29 records** — 27 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Classify every finite whole-AOI Sentinel-2 NDBI-change pixel, | |
| then return the pixel-count-dominant change class, its fraction, and complete | |
| per-class counts, exact areas, and means. | |
| **Agent inference.** The agent must preserve the signed `NDBI_2024 − | |
| NDBI_2019` direction. Negative change represents contraction and must never be | |
| reported as positive urban growth. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests temporal-index sign reasoning, exhaustive | |
| raster classification, interval boundaries, dominance/tie handling, causal | |
| tool use, and structured evidence assembly. | |
| The four declared paths are the question JSON, handle inventory, and | |
| `ndbi_change` TIFF/sidecar. Component NDBI rasters, built-gain products, | |
| panels, AOI, GHSL, and WorldCover files are not runtime inputs. The chain is | |
| `ReadData`, `PrepareScene(mode=built_up_gain)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(hazard=urban_expansion,scale=question_defined_class)`, and | |
| `TaskComplete`. | |
| The complete lower-inclusive, upper-exclusive bins are contraction | |
| `[-10,-0.02)`, stable `[-0.02,0.02)`, minor `[0.02,0.18)`, and major | |
| `[0.18,10)`. Dominance uses pixel count; exact ties follow that declared | |
| order. Per-class areas use exact grid-cell areas. Every finite AOI pixel must | |
| fall in exactly one class. | |
| Independent reconstruction verifies all 29 change rasters equal their | |
| Sentinel-2 post-minus-pre inputs. The stored results reproduce exactly: 15 | |
| contraction, 12 minor, and 2 stable dominant cases; no major-dominant case is | |
| manufactured. Focused execution and complete evidence support pass 29/29. | |
| **Validated contract.** Change direction, scope, thresholds, | |
| coverage, area method, tie rule, causal lineage, schema, files, and answers | |
| are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 19 of 43 — multi-hazard urban expansion `C` | |
| Population: **29 records** — 27 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Compare three source-native built-gain masks, calculate exact | |
| areas and symmetric pairwise differences, apply the fixed 30% median rule, | |
| and return the decision, bounded score, source areas, and spatial support statistics. | |
| **Agent inference.** The agent must decide operational area agreement while | |
| recognizing that Dynamic World 2019–2024, GHSL 2020–2025, and WorldCover | |
| 2020–2021 measure different epochs and product constructs. Disagreement is a | |
| valid scientific outcome, not failed execution. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests heterogeneous-source semantics, robust | |
| three-source comparison, exact area calculation, support-statistic separation, and | |
| complete structured synthesis. | |
| The eight declared paths are the question, handle inventory, and three | |
| TIFF/sidecar pairs: `built_gain`, `ghsl_built_gain`, and | |
| `worldcover_built_gain`. Every mask is independently reconstructed from its | |
| provider-native pre/post inputs and is binary, checksum-valid, and exactly | |
| co-registered. Unrelated indices, panels, and AOI files are excluded. | |
| The tool sequence is `ReadData` for the hazard inventory, `ReadData` for all | |
| three agreement sources, `PrepareScene(mode=multisource_hazard)`, | |
| `CompareSources(criterion=area_agreement, maximum_median_pct_delta=30.0)`, and | |
| `TaskComplete`. | |
| The three symmetric differences use | |
| `abs(A-B)/((A+B)/2)*100`, with zero for two zero areas. The median of the | |
| unrounded differences is compared inclusively with 30%; the score is | |
| `max(0,100-median)`. IoU, state agreement, and kappa use common valid pixels | |
| but do not alter the area verdict. | |
| All stored evidence recomputes exactly. There are 28 disagreements and one | |
| agreement; median differences span 18.893–174.701% and bounded scores | |
| 0–81.107. The published population therefore contains 28 disagreements and | |
| one agreement under the declared source products and threshold. | |
| Focused execution and full evidence support pass 29/29. | |
| **Validated contract.** Source epochs, gain definitions, | |
| co-registration, formulas, decision threshold, support statistics, chain, schema, | |
| and all answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 20 of 43 — multi-hazard urban expansion `D` | |
| Population: **29 records** — 27 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Use the binary Dynamic World 2019–2024 built-gain footprint | |
| to sum co-registered WorldPop 2020 people-per-pixel values, then return that | |
| population with footprint area and cached hospital/school representative-point | |
| context. | |
| **Agent inference.** The returned number is population located inside newly | |
| built cells at the WorldPop reference epoch. It is not a causal estimate of | |
| population growth or people added by urban expansion. The agent must preserve | |
| that distinction when selecting the exposure operation and formatting the | |
| answer. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests raster-mask exposure estimation, temporal | |
| and source interpretation, exact grid alignment, vector/raster spatial | |
| context, causal tool routing, and strict structured synthesis. | |
| The seven declared paths are the question, handle inventory, `built_gain` | |
| TIFF/sidecar, WorldPop 2020 TIFF/metadata, and one authoritative cached OSM | |
| GeoJSON. Unused NDBI, GHSL, WorldCover, panels, AOI files, and intermediate | |
| rasters are excluded. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=built_up_gain_exposure)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(hazard=urban_expansion,scale=impact_footprint)`, | |
| `EstimateExposure(exposure=population_in_footprint)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| The worker requires exact shape, CRS, and affine co-registration; validates a | |
| binary gain mask; sums only non-negative WorldPop count values where the mask | |
| equals 1; and computes footprint area from exact grid-cell areas. Hospital and | |
| school membership uses authoritative GeoJSON representative points mapped to | |
| positive cells. Inclusive 5 km context and nearest cell-center distances use a | |
| local azimuthal-equidistant CRS. Cached row/column hints are never geometry | |
| authority. | |
| Independent source recomputation exactly reproduces all 29 population values, | |
| footprint areas, in-footprint counts, 5 km counts, nearest names, and distances. | |
| Population spans 51.108–612,394.383 people; zero hospital or school counts are | |
| valid measured outcomes, not missing data. Focused execution and complete | |
| evidence support pass 29/29, and all required artifacts are nonempty. | |
| **Validated contract.** Source meaning, epoch interpretation, | |
| mask semantics, grid alignment, geometry, exposure sum, causal lineage, | |
| schema, declared inputs, and all answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 21 of 43 — multi-hazard drought `A` | |
| Population: **21 records** — 18 train and 3 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Open the declared MODIS NDVI target raster and six-observation | |
| same-season baseline, compute the target AOI mean and its z-score, and return | |
| that value with units and baseline mean. | |
| **Agent inference.** The agent must distinguish a spatial target statistic | |
| from its temporal reference distribution. The target is the arithmetic mean | |
| of finite pixels in the actual `modis_ndvi__target` GeoTIFF; the comparison | |
| mean and sample standard deviation come only from the six non-target baseline | |
| rows. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests source selection, spatial aggregation, | |
| temporal-standardization reasoning, causal tool use, and exact numeric answer | |
| assembly without treating a cached scalar as a substitute for the raster. | |
| The five declared paths are the question, handle inventory, MODIS NDVI target | |
| TIFF/sidecar, and `baselines/modis_ndvi_anomaly.csv`. Other drought sources, | |
| derived masks, panels, and AOI files are not inputs to this task. The chain is | |
| `ReadData(role=drought,time=event)`, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=drought_anomaly)`, | |
| `ComputeStats(metrics={ndvi_z_score:true},region=aoi)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| The worker requires a single-band target with at least one finite pixel and | |
| NDVI in `[-1,1]`, exactly one dated target marker and at least two historical | |
| observations, and a finite positive baseline sample standard deviation. With | |
| six baseline values, it computes `mean`, `std(ddof=1)`, and | |
| `z=(target_AOI_mean-baseline_mean)/std`; final values are rounded to six | |
| decimals. The CSV target row mirrors the raster mean for auditability, but the | |
| worker calculates the target from the GeoTIFF. | |
| Independent Rasterio/NumPy recomputation reproduces all 21 answers. Final | |
| z-scores span -0.226802–3.313451, all target rasters have finite data, and | |
| focused execution plus complete evidence support pass 21/21. | |
| **Validated contract.** The target raster is computational, | |
| baseline membership is explicit, the formula and ddof are fixed, validation | |
| rejects empty/nonfinite inputs, the chain is causal, and all answers match | |
| independent source computation. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 22 of 43 — multi-hazard drought `B` | |
| Population: **21 records** — 18 train and 3 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Classify every finite CHIRPS same-window SPI pixel into the | |
| declared train-relative quartile intervals, then return the pixel-count | |
| dominant class, fraction, and complete per-class counts, areas, and means. | |
| **Agent inference.** The four labels describe the position of a pixel in this | |
| benchmark's training distribution. `q1_low_spi` is relatively low within that | |
| fit; none of the labels is a universal drought-severity category. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests leakage-safe normalization selection, | |
| continuous-raster classification, interval boundaries, dominance/tie logic, | |
| exact geospatial area evidence, and structured synthesis. | |
| The five declared paths are the question, handle inventory, CHIRPS SPI | |
| TIFF/sidecar, and `drought_normalization.json`. Other drought rasters, masks, | |
| panels, and AOI files are excluded. The chain is `ReadData`, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=drought_anomaly)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(hazard=drought,scale=question_defined_class)`, and | |
| `TaskComplete`. | |
| The normalization fit contains all 294,912 finite pixels from the 18 training | |
| AOIs and excludes the three test AOIs. Recomputed quartile | |
| boundaries are exactly -0.1381913721561432, 0.6701323390007019, and | |
| 1.3935534954071045. The four intervals are lower-inclusive and | |
| upper-exclusive with open numerical coverage extended to ±1e30. Dominance | |
| uses pixel count and exact ties use q1-to-q4 declaration order. Areas use | |
| WGS84 ellipsoidal cells. | |
| Independent split/quantile reconstruction and raster classification reproduce | |
| every target: 3 q1, 4 q2, 8 q3, and 6 | |
| q4 dominant cases. Every record classifies all 16,384 finite pixels; focused | |
| execution and complete evidence support pass 21/21. | |
| **Validated contract.** Fit membership, test isolation, | |
| thresholds, interval coverage, interpretation, dominance, exact areas, | |
| lineage, schema, files, and answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 23 of 43 — multi-hazard drought `C` | |
| Population: **21 records** — 18 train and 3 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Derive one low-state mask from each co-registered CHIRPS SPI, | |
| MODIS NDVI, and ERA5 soil-moisture raster using its training-pixel q25; compute | |
| all three pairwise IoUs; and decide whether their median reaches 0.30. | |
| **Agent inference.** Agreement concerns spatial overlap between three | |
| source-specific, benchmark-relative low states. It does not compare raw units, | |
| claim that q25 means universal severe drought, or treat a scientifically valid | |
| disagreement as tool failure. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests multi-source normalization, thresholded mask | |
| construction, co-registration, spatial agreement, leakage-safe evidence use, | |
| and complete structured decision synthesis. | |
| The nine declared paths are the question, handle inventory, train-only | |
| normalization contract, and three TIFF/sidecar pairs. The hazard handle carries | |
| the fit contract; the source handle carries the continuous rasters, avoiding | |
| duplicate declarations. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=multisource_hazard)`, | |
| `CompareSources(criterion=iou,minimum_iou=0.3, | |
| threshold_contract=per_source_train_pixel_q25_v1, | |
| normalization_fit_split=train)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| Each threshold exactly reproduces from 294,912 finite training pixels per | |
| source. A source mask is `value < q25`; pairwise IoU uses common valid, | |
| co-registered cells. Two empty masks have IoU 1 by the declared set rule. The | |
| decision is the median of the three six-decimal pairwise IoUs, inclusive at | |
| 0.30. Exact source-mask areas are evidence but do not change the decision. | |
| Independent Rasterio/NumPy/PyProj reconstruction reproduces every threshold, | |
| mask area, pairwise IoU, score, and verdict. All 21 medians are honestly 0 and | |
| all 21 verdicts are `sources_disagree`; nine CHIRPS and twelve ERA5 AOI masks | |
| are valid measured-zero masks, while no MODIS mask is empty. The class balance | |
| is therefore 21 `sources_disagree` cases under the declared sources and rule. | |
| The worker emits all nine contract fields, and focused full-answer support | |
| passes 21/21. | |
| **Validated contract.** Training fit, source thresholds, grid | |
| alignment, empty-mask rule, IoU aggregation, interpretation, worker evidence, | |
| lineage, schema, files, and answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 24 of 43 — multi-hazard drought `D` | |
| Population: **21 records** — 18 train and 3 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Count cached OSM school representative points whose | |
| authoritative geometry falls in a positive cell of the declared low-CHIRPS-SPI | |
| footprint, and return the count with footprint and exposure context. | |
| **Agent inference.** The footprint is a prepared binary representation of | |
| `CHIRPS SPI < training-pixel q25`. The primary answer is a representative-point | |
| count, not a count of school polygons, students, buildings, or nearby schools. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests derived-footprint interpretation, | |
| vector/raster spatial membership, empty-footprint handling, causal exposure | |
| routing, and exact structured synthesis. | |
| The seven declared paths are the question, handle inventory, `low_chirps_spi` | |
| TIFF/sidecar, WorldPop TIFF/metadata, and authoritative cached OSM GeoJSON. | |
| The binary sidecar records the train-only threshold provenance; the runtime | |
| task consumes the prepared mask rather than redundantly rereading raw CHIRPS. | |
| The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=drought_anomaly_exposure)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(hazard=drought,scale=impact_footprint)`, | |
| `EstimateExposure(exposure=schools)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| Independent reconstruction verifies every binary mask against its raw CHIRPS | |
| raster and stored training q25. School membership uses authoritative GeoJSON | |
| representative points transformed into the footprint grid. The 5 km context | |
| and nearest distance use a local azimuthal-equidistant CRS and positive cell | |
| centers. WorldPop is exactly co-registered supporting evidence. Cached | |
| row/column hints are not geometry authority. | |
| Nine footprints are valid measured-zero masks, yielding zero area, population, | |
| school count, buffer count, and null nearest context as appropriate. Nineteen | |
| records contain zero schools in the footprint and two contain three; this | |
| source-driven imbalance is retained. All 21 answers reproduce, focused | |
| execution/support pass 21/21, and the independent 157-case multi-hazard D | |
| geometry audit reproduces every count and distance. | |
| **Validated contract.** Mask derivation, zero-mask semantics, | |
| geometry authority, membership, distance, population context, causal lineage, | |
| schema, files, and all answers are aligned. The binary-mask chain reads no | |
| undeclared normalization file. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 25 of 43 — multi-hazard air pollution `A` | |
| Population: **20 records** — 18 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Compute the maximum and 95th percentile of finite pixels in | |
| the declared Sentinel-5P episode-peak tropospheric NO2 raster, then return the | |
| maximum in µmol/m² with both statistics as evidence. | |
| **Agent inference.** The raster already stores each pixel's maximum over the | |
| declared episode. The requested answer is the spatial maximum of that temporal | |
| peak composite—not a surface concentration, health category, or live reading. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests product/unit interpretation, two-stage | |
| spatiotemporal statistic reasoning, declared-raster computation, causal tool | |
| use, and precise numeric synthesis. | |
| The four declared paths are the question, handle inventory, and | |
| `s5p_no2__peak` TIFF/sidecar. Other pollutants, derived masks, normalization, | |
| panels, and AOI files are excluded. The chain is `ReadData`, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=pollution_peak)`, | |
| `ComputeStats(metrics={peak_no2_column:true},region=aoi)`, and | |
| `TaskComplete`. | |
| The source is Sentinel-5P OFFL/L3 tropospheric NO2 column number density, | |
| scaled by 1e6 from mol/m² to µmol/m². The worker rejects missing declared | |
| dependencies and an empty finite population. It computes NumPy-compatible | |
| maximum and percentile statistics and rounds to six decimals. | |
| Independent hash, Rasterio, and NumPy checks reproduce all 20 answers and p95 | |
| values exactly. Peaks span 113.555962–412.991425 µmol/m²; every raster is | |
| finite and nonempty. Focused execution plus complete evidence support pass | |
| 20/20. | |
| **Validated contract.** Product identity, temporal/spatial | |
| meaning, units, finite-data handling, statistics, causal lineage, schema, | |
| declared inputs, and all answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 26 of 43 — multi-hazard air pollution `B` | |
| Population: **20 records** — 18 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Classify every finite pixel of the Sentinel-5P episode-peak | |
| tropospheric NO2-column raster into the declared training-relative quartile | |
| intervals, then return the pixel-count dominant class, fraction, and complete | |
| per-class counts, areas, and means. | |
| **Agent inference.** The four labels locate pixels within this benchmark's | |
| training distribution. They are not WHO categories, surface concentrations, | |
| health-risk classes, or live pollution assessments. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests leakage-safe normalization selection, | |
| continuous-raster classification, interval boundaries, dominance/tie logic, | |
| geospatial area evidence, and structured synthesis. | |
| The five declared paths are the question, handle inventory, Sentinel-5P | |
| TIFF/sidecar, and `normalization.json`. Other pollutants, derived masks, | |
| panels, and AOI files are excluded. The chain is `ReadData`, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=pollution_peak)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(hazard=air_pollution,scale=benchmark_relative_column_quartile)`, | |
| and `TaskComplete`. | |
| The normalization was fitted only on all 294,912 finite pixels from the 18 | |
| training AOIs; neither test AOI contributed. Recomputed quartile boundaries | |
| are exactly 88.19622039794922, 121.34806823730469, and | |
| 179.93792724609375 µmol/m². Intervals are lower-inclusive and upper-exclusive | |
| with numerical coverage extended to ±1e30. Dominance uses pixel count and an | |
| exact tie uses q1-to-q4 declaration order. Areas use WGS84 ellipsoidal cells. | |
| Independent Rasterio/NumPy reconstruction reproduces all thresholds and all | |
| 20 expected answers. Dominant results are 5 q1, 5 | |
| q2, 6 q3, and 4 q4; all 16,384 pixels in every AOI are finite and classified. | |
| The worker emits the benchmark-specific train-only fit contract, and complete | |
| evidence support passes 20/20. | |
| **Validated contract.** Training membership, test isolation, | |
| thresholds, units, interval coverage, interpretation, dominance, areas, | |
| lineage, schema, files, worker evidence, and all answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 27 of 43 — multi-hazard air pollution `C` | |
| Population: **20 records** — 18 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Compute each source's finite-pixel AOI mean for Sentinel-5P | |
| NO2 column, CAMS NO2 column, and MODIS AOD; standardize each mean against that | |
| source's training-AOI distribution; assign one of three relative states; and | |
| report whether all three sources occupy the same state. | |
| **Agent inference.** Agreement means agreement in within-product relative | |
| episode intensity. It does not mean equal physical values, interchangeable | |
| pollutants, pixelwise spatial correlation, or health-risk agreement. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests heterogeneous-source interpretation, | |
| leakage-safe per-source normalization, unit-aware evidence, categorical | |
| aggregation, causal tool use, and complete structured synthesis. | |
| The nine declared paths are the question, handle inventory, train-only | |
| normalization contract, and three TIFF/sidecar pairs. Panels and unrelated | |
| pollutants are excluded. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=multisource_hazard)`, | |
| `CompareSources(criterion=benchmark_relative_intensity_agreement, | |
| required_agreement_fraction=1.0,normalization_fit_split=train)`, and | |
| `TaskComplete`. | |
| For each source, z is `(AOI mean - mean of 18 training AOI means) / population | |
| standard deviation of those 18 means`. Values below -0.5 are | |
| `below_training_typical`, values above 0.5 are `above_training_typical`, and | |
| the inclusive middle is `training_typical`. Agreement fraction is the largest | |
| state count divided by three; the required 1.0 means all sources must match. | |
| Test AOIs never enter the fit. | |
| Independent Rasterio/NumPy reconstruction reproduces all training means and | |
| population standard deviations, then every source mean, z-score, state, | |
| fraction, and verdict. Four records agree and 16 disagree; fractions are 1.0 | |
| for 4, 0.666667 for 7, and 0.333333 for 9. The worker rejects a non-train fit or | |
| agreement threshold other than 1.0. Focused execution/support pass 20/20. | |
| **Validated contract.** Product meanings, differing units, | |
| finite-pixel summaries, training-only normalization, state boundaries, | |
| decision rule, worker arguments, lineage, schema, files, and all answers are | |
| aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 28 of 43 — multi-hazard air pollution `D` | |
| Population: **20 records** — 18 train and 2 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Use the declared binary top-quartile Sentinel-5P NO2-column | |
| footprint, sum co-registered WorldPop people-per-pixel values inside it, and | |
| return that population with footprint area and cached hospital/school context. | |
| **Agent inference.** The answer is population geographically located in a | |
| benchmark-relative high-column footprint at the WorldPop 2020 reference | |
| epoch. It is not exposed-person causality, surface concentration, health risk, | |
| or a live population estimate. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests prepared-mask provenance, inclusive | |
| threshold boundaries, raster/raster aggregation, vector/raster membership, | |
| valid zero-footprint handling, and causal exposure routing. | |
| The seven declared paths are the question, handle inventory, | |
| `high_no2_column` TIFF/sidecar, WorldPop TIFF/metadata, and authoritative | |
| cached OSM GeoJSON. The sidecar carries the training threshold provenance, so | |
| the runtime consumes the prepared footprint without an undeclared raw-raster | |
| read. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=pollution_peak_exposure)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(hazard=air_pollution,scale=impact_footprint)`, | |
| `EstimateExposure(exposure=high_no2_column_population)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| Independent reconstruction verifies every mask as finite | |
| `s5p_no2__peak >= training-pixel q75`, where q75 is | |
| 179.93792724609375 µmol/m² and the lower q4 boundary is inclusive. WorldPop | |
| must match shape, CRS, and affine transform and contain no negative values. | |
| OSM membership uses each authoritative geometry's representative point; | |
| 5 km context and nearest distance use a local azimuthal-equidistant CRS and | |
| positive cell centers. | |
| Twelve footprints are valid measured-zero masks, so their population, area, | |
| asset counts, and nearest values are zero/null as defined—not missing output. | |
| Across the other eight cases, population reaches 711,292.703 and footprint | |
| area reaches 26,228.546 ha. All expected answers reproduce. The exposure | |
| worker emits the required `train_only_s5p_pixel_q75_v1` provenance field, and | |
| binary-mask scoring performs no undeclared normalization read. | |
| Focused execution/support pass 20/20; the independent 157-case multi-hazard D | |
| geometry audit passes all counts and distances. | |
| **Validated contract.** Train-only threshold provenance, | |
| inclusive boundary, zero-mask semantics, grid alignment, population sum, | |
| geometry authority, distances, worker output, lineage, schema, files, and all | |
| answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 29 of 43 — xBD damage `XBD-Q1` | |
| Population: **177 records** — 160 train and 17 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Open the post-disaster scene and its declared xBD building | |
| polygons, compute counts by damage class, classified-only damaged and severe | |
| percentages, and total severe-building footprint area. | |
| **Agent inference.** Severe means `major-damage` or `destroyed`. Unclassified | |
| polygons count toward `total_buildings` but not percentage denominators; | |
| polygon labels and geometry—not visual guessing from the PNG—are authoritative. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests causal multimodal routing, categorical | |
| aggregation, denominator discipline, polygon-area computation, and exact | |
| structured reporting. | |
| The two declared paths are the post-disaster PNG and | |
| `building_damage_xy.geojson`. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=xbd_damage)`, `AssessDamage(aggregation=scene)`, | |
| `ComputeStats` on `damage_1`, and `TaskComplete`. `ComputeStats` consumes the | |
| causal damage artifact; it does not reread a hidden target. | |
| The five normalized classes are `no-damage`, `minor-damage`, `major-damage`, | |
| `destroyed`, and `unclassified`. Damaged count is minor+major+destroyed; | |
| severe count is major+destroyed. Both percentages divide by the four-class | |
| classified count and return 0 only if that denominator is zero. Severe area | |
| is polygon pixel-coordinate area multiplied by the scene GSD squared, summed | |
| and rounded to four decimals. Source coordinates are retained for scene-level | |
| area; the separate frame-clipping rule belongs only to quadrant tasks. | |
| Independent source-first geometry recomputation matches all 177 answers. | |
| Sixty scenes contain unclassified buildings, confirming that the denominator | |
| rule is exercised; no scene has zero classified buildings. Severe counts | |
| range 0–271, and 56 scenes validly report zero severe area. Focused execution | |
| and complete evidence support pass 177/177. The schema bounds counts/area at | |
| zero and percentages at 0–100. | |
| **Validated contract.** Source authority, label normalization, | |
| class definitions, denominators, area method, causal handles, schema, files, | |
| and every expected answer are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 30 of 43 — xBD damage `XBD-Q2` | |
| Population: **177 records** — 160 train and 17 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Rank the four 2×2 frame quadrants by severe polygon area | |
| clipped to each quadrant, select the ascending-ID representative of an exact | |
| maximum-area tie, and report that quadrant's centroid-assigned severe-building | |
| count and clipped severe area. | |
| **Agent inference.** Area is spatially divisible across boundaries, while a | |
| building count is indivisible and belongs to its centroid quadrant. The count | |
| and area therefore need not describe the same set of whole polygons. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests prepared spatial summaries, object-versus- | |
| area aggregation, clipping semantics, deterministic ranking, tie handling, | |
| causal artifact use, and exact synthesis. | |
| The two declared paths are the post-disaster PNG and `quadrants.geojson`. | |
| That table is a source-derived cache independently checked against the xBD | |
| polygons. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=xbd_quadrants,grid=2x2)`, | |
| `AssessDamage(aggregation=quadrant_2x2,severity=severe)`, | |
| `RankRegions(by=severe_footprint_area_m2,top_k=1)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| The frame is clipped at x/y 0, 512, and 1024. Severe classes are major and | |
| destroyed. Ranking uses unrounded clipped square-metre area; exact ties select | |
| the lexicographically ascending Q0–Q3 ID only as the reported representative. | |
| In a zero-severe scene all four areas tie at zero, so Q0 with count/area zero | |
| is the defined result. | |
| Independent polygon clipping reproduces all 177 targets. It finds 146 severe | |
| polygons crossing quadrant boundaries in 53 scenes; using centroid area | |
| instead would change the winner in two scenes, confirming that the declared | |
| rule is material. Fifty-six zero-severe scenes exercise the all-zero tie. | |
| Focused execution and complete evidence support pass 177/177. Schema values | |
| are constrained to Q0–Q3 and nonnegative count/area. | |
| **Validated contract.** Frame/clipping coordinates, severe-class | |
| definition, mixed count/area semantics, ranking, exact ties, zero state, | |
| causal handles, schema, files, and every answer are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 31 of 43 — xBD damage `XBD-Q3` | |
| Population: **177 records** — 160 train and 17 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Rank eligible cells in the prepared 4×4 grid by the exact | |
| classified-building severity fraction, return the ascending-ID representative | |
| of the exact top tie, all tied IDs, the top three eligible cells, and complete | |
| winner/count/status evidence. | |
| **Agent inference.** The score is | |
| `(minor + 2×major + 3×destroyed)/(3×classified)`. Unclassified buildings do | |
| not enter the denominator; a cell with no classified buildings has no score | |
| and cannot win, even if its cached display score is zero. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests formula interpretation, undefined-versus- | |
| zero handling, exact rational ranking before display rounding, full tie | |
| reporting, top-k behavior, and structured synthesis from a causal artifact. | |
| The two declared paths are the post-disaster PNG and `grid_4x4.geojson`. | |
| The prepared table is independently reconstructed from the polygon source. | |
| The chain is two `ReadData` calls, `PrepareScene(mode=xbd_grid,grid=4x4)`, | |
| `AssessDamage(aggregation=grid_4x4)`, | |
| `RankRegions(by=normalized_damage_severity,top_k=3)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| Ranking uses exact integer fractions, descending, then ascending cell ID. | |
| `severity_score` is only the six-decimal display value. `top_tied_cell_ids` | |
| contains every exact top tie, while `top_k_cells` contains the first three | |
| ranked eligible cells. A future scene with no eligible cell has null winner | |
| and score, an empty top list, and status `no_classified_buildings`. | |
| Independent source-first recomputation matches all 177 answers, representative | |
| winners, tie sets, and top-three rows. Across the scenes, 1,089 cells are | |
| excluded for lacking classified buildings, including 30 all-unclassified | |
| cells; 90 records exercise an exact top tie, with as many as 16 tied cells. | |
| Every current scene still has at least one eligible cell. Focused execution and | |
| complete evidence support pass 177/177. Schema bounds preserve both current | |
| and defined future branches. | |
| **Validated contract.** Formula, classified denominator, | |
| eligibility, exact ranking, display rounding, ties, top-k, no-eligible branch, | |
| causal handles, schema, files, and all answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 32 of 43 — xBD damage `XBD-Q4` | |
| Population: **55 records**, each a unique same-event scene pair — 49 train and | |
| 6 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Compute a complete polygon-derived damage summary for each | |
| scene, compare classified-only severe percentages and severe footprint areas | |
| separately, and report each metric's unique winner or exact tie set. | |
| **Agent inference.** Percentage and area answer different questions and may | |
| have different winners. A tied metric has every tied scene ID, a null singular | |
| winner, and status `tie`; the agent must not choose an arbitrary representative. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests multi-scene handle routing, denominator | |
| discipline, two-criterion comparison, exact tie/null semantics, and structured | |
| synthesis across causal analytical stages. | |
| The four declared paths are each scene's post-disaster PNG and xBD polygon | |
| GeoJSON. All pairs are unique, unordered same-event pairs and remain wholly in | |
| one split. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=scene_compare)`, | |
| `AssessDamage(aggregation=pair_compare,severity=severe)`, | |
| `CompareScenes(by=severe_damage_ratio_and_footprint)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| For each scene, severe percentage is `100 × (major+destroyed) / classified`, | |
| rounded to two decimals; unclassified polygons remain in totals but not the | |
| denominator. A future zero-classified scene emits 0.0 with status | |
| `no_classified_buildings` and is excluded from percentage ranking. Area uses | |
| the unrounded sum of severe polygon areas. Comparisons use emitted numeric | |
| values and preserve all exact top ties. | |
| Independent polygon/GSD recomputation matches both summaries, both winners, | |
| tie lists, and statuses for all 55 pairs. Every current scene is percentage- | |
| eligible. Forty-nine pairs have unique winners for each metric; six pairs tie | |
| on both and correctly return null winner fields. Focused execution and | |
| complete evidence support pass 55/55. Schema bounds cover counts, | |
| percentages, areas, and 0–2-item tie lists. | |
| **Validated contract.** Pair identity/split isolation, class and | |
| denominator rules, polygon areas, independent comparison axes, zero- | |
| denominator policy, exact ties/nulls, causal handles, schema, files, and all | |
| answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 33 of 43 — xBD damage `XBD-Q5` | |
| Population: **121 records** — 109 train and 12 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Extract exactly the major-damage and destroyed building | |
| polygons, then report their count, combined footprint area, separate | |
| major/destroyed areas, source, filter, and area method. | |
| **Agent inference.** “Severe” is the union of two explicit xBD label classes, | |
| not a new visual classification. A scene with no qualifying polygon returns a | |
| complete zero-valued result, not an empty object or failed extraction. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests metadata-bound question interpretation, | |
| object filtering, causal handle passage from extraction to assessment, | |
| polygon/GSD area aggregation, zero-object handling, and exact synthesis. | |
| The two declared paths are the post-disaster PNG and | |
| `building_damage_xy.geojson`. The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=xbd_damage)`, | |
| `ExtractObjects(target=severe_buildings,severity=major_or_destroyed)`, | |
| `AssessDamage(work=objects_1,aggregation=severe_only)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| The final assessment consumes the extraction artifact rather than bypassing | |
| the declared causal step. | |
| Each polygon area is its pixel-coordinate geometry area multiplied by the | |
| scene GSD squared. Major and destroyed areas are summed independently and | |
| their sum is the combined severe area, rounded to four decimals. Counts are | |
| whole qualifying polygons; unclassified, no-damage, and minor-damage polygons | |
| are excluded. | |
| Independent source-first recomputation matches all 121 counts and all three | |
| areas. Thirty-nine records validly contain zero severe polygons and return a | |
| complete seven-field result with zero count/areas. Focused execution and full | |
| evidence support pass 121/121. Every Q5 prompt derives the disaster type and | |
| event from its declared scene metadata. | |
| **Validated contract.** Prompt/scene identity, severe filter, | |
| causal extraction, polygon source, GSD area calculation, per-class sum, | |
| zero-object behavior, schema, files, and all answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 34 of 43 — xBD damage `XBD-Q7` | |
| Population: **121 records** — 109 train and 12 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Count severe-building centroids in each 2×2 quadrant, rank | |
| all four quadrants, compute maximum-count concentration, classify its spatial | |
| pattern, and return the full distribution and exact maximum tie set. | |
| **Agent inference.** Concentration is `max quadrant severe count / total | |
| severe count`. When total severe is zero the ratio is undefined, so the score | |
| and worst quadrant are null and the top-tie list is empty—not four tied zeros. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests causal multi-stage aggregation, spatial | |
| count concentration, threshold classification, exact ties, null/zero | |
| distinction, and structured answer synthesis. | |
| The two declared paths are the post-disaster PNG and `quadrants.geojson`. | |
| The chain is two `ReadData` calls, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=xbd_quadrants,grid=2x2)`, | |
| `AssessDamage(aggregation=quadrant_2x2,severity=major_or_destroyed)`, | |
| `RankRegions(by=severe_damage_count,top_k=4)`, | |
| `ScoreHazard(work=rank_1,scale=spatial_concentration)`, and `TaskComplete`. | |
| The scorer consumes the ranked artifact and cannot bypass it with `work_1`. | |
| For a positive total, scores at least 0.70 are highly concentrated, scores at | |
| least 0.45 and below 0.70 are moderately concentrated, and lower scores are | |
| spatially dispersed. Exact maximum ties emit every tied ID; the ascending ID | |
| is only the representative `worst_quadrant`, with `tie_break_applied=true`. | |
| Independent centroid-count reconstruction reproduces all 121 distributions, | |
| scores, classes, ties, and representatives. Coverage is 36 highly | |
| concentrated, 26 moderately concentrated, 20 dispersed, and 39 | |
| `no_severe_damage`; four scored records exercise a maximum tie. All 39 zero | |
| cases have null score/winner and empty tie list. Focused execution and complete | |
| evidence support pass 121/121. Schema constraints bind grid, counts, score | |
| range, quadrants, and the null branch. | |
| **Validated contract.** Severe definition, centroid assignment, | |
| concentration formula, thresholds, exact ties, zero/null state, causal handles, | |
| schema, files, and every answer are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 35 of 43 — xBD damage `XBD-Q8` | |
| Population: **177 records** — 160 train and 17 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Produce one comprehensive scene report from the declared xBD | |
| building polygons, 2×2 quadrant table, and target mask: damage counts and | |
| percentages, footprint areas, severe-damage concentration, and raster/polygon | |
| class-presence validation. | |
| **Agent inference.** Polygon labels are authoritative for building counts and | |
| areas. The target mask is an independent rasterized validation view: mask | |
| classes 3+4 count severe *pixels*, not buildings. Therefore the valid | |
| cross-source check compares whether each damage class is present, while exact | |
| pixel histograms and polygon counts remain separate quantities. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests a multimodal four-input join, nested answer | |
| synthesis, classified-only denominator policy, polygon/GSD area computation, | |
| spatial concentration, raster-code interpretation, and explicit cross-source | |
| validation without conflating objects with pixels. | |
| The four declared paths are the post-disaster PNG, | |
| `building_damage_xy.geojson`, `quadrants.geojson`, and `post_target.png`. The | |
| chain calls `ReadData` for `image_1`, `damage_labels_1`, and `mask_layers_1`; | |
| the last handle contains both quadrant and target-mask paths. It then calls | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=xbd_scene_summary)`, `AssessDamage(aggregation=scene)`, and | |
| `ComputeStats(metrics=damage_summary,target_mask_distribution,severe_footprint_area)`, | |
| before `TaskComplete`. Every runtime read resolves from those opened handles. | |
| Severe percentage uses classified buildings only. Severe polygon area uses | |
| pixel-coordinate geometry multiplied by GSD squared. Concentration uses the | |
| largest quadrant severe-centroid count divided by total severe count; its | |
| zero-severe branch returns null score, null worst quadrant, and no tied IDs. | |
| The 1024×1024 mask permits only codes 0–4, so every stored histogram sums to | |
| 1,048,576 pixels. Unclassified polygons are intentionally excluded because | |
| the target encoding has no unclassified class. `class_presence_consistent` | |
| means polygon and raster sources agree on whether each class occurs; it does | |
| not assert equal object and pixel counts. | |
| Independent reads of the declared assets reproduce all 177 polygon summaries, | |
| all 177 mask histograms, and every severe-pixel total; all class-presence checks | |
| are consistent. Fifty-six scenes validly exercise the complete zero-severe | |
| branch. Focused execution and complete answer evidence pass 177/177, with 708 | |
| declared path references present and repository-relative. Capture date is not | |
| reported because the question does not ask for it and no declared input is an | |
| authoritative capture-date source. The public schema binds methods, encodings, | |
| ranges, class names, and null states explicitly. | |
| **Validated contract.** Input roles, denominators, areas, | |
| concentration, zero/null behavior, mask encoding, polygon/raster semantics, | |
| schema, paths, and all answers are aligned. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 36 of 43 — routing `nearest_shelter` | |
| Population: **200 records** — 180 train and 20 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Validate the supplied flood-screened route candidates against | |
| the declared road-edge costs, select the minimum fastest-objective candidate, | |
| and report its attached shelter, confidence, route ID, distance, ETA, | |
| length-weighted flood risk, objective cost, and blocked-edge count. | |
| **Agent inference.** `nearest_shelter` is a backward-compatible type name. The | |
| agent is not given a new universe of shelters and must not claim a fresh | |
| spatial nearest-neighbour or road-graph search. It validates the packaged F | |
| candidate group and reports the shelter attached to its computed winner. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests precise scope reading, causal use of | |
| flood-exposure evidence, independent validation of a cached geospatial product, | |
| constrained candidate selection, metadata reporting, and resistance to | |
| overclaiming what the inputs prove. | |
| The seven declared paths are Sentinel-2 RGB GeoTIFF/preview, metadata, | |
| Copernicus flood extent, OSM-derived flood-risk roads, candidate-route | |
| geometries, and route scores. The chain is `ReadData`, | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=flood_safe_routing)`, | |
| `EstimateExposure(exposure=blocked_roads)`, then | |
| `PlanRoutes(objective=nearest_reachable_shelter, | |
| avoid.flood_affected_roads=true)` consuming `exposure_1`, followed by | |
| `TaskComplete`. | |
| The worker decomposes each route geometry into its declared road edges and | |
| recomputes distance, ETA, node count, blocked-edge count, length-weighted risk, | |
| and objective cost. Fastest cost is summed `travel_time_min`; only candidates | |
| with zero blocked edges are eligible, with ETA, distance, and route ID as | |
| deterministic tie-breakers. The selected shelter fields must match metadata. | |
| Confidence is copied from declared metadata: 187/200 scenes carry the | |
| `low_fallback_public_facility` label. This is a benchmark candidate-validation | |
| task, not official evacuation guidance. | |
| Independent source-first audit reproduces all 1,800 route metric sets from | |
| 454,968 road edges and verifies the fastest winner, unblocked state, origin, | |
| common endpoint, shelter metadata, and expected Type 36 answer in all 200 | |
| scenes. Focused execution and complete answer evidence pass 200/200; all 1,400 | |
| path references are present and repository-relative. Six argument-sensitivity | |
| tests confirm that invalid objectives, unscreened requests, and invalid render | |
| layer combinations are rejected. The schema requires a nonempty answer and | |
| `terminated=true`. | |
| **Validated contract.** Inputs, | |
| blocked-road evidence, metric formulas, selection, causal handles, shelter | |
| metadata, confidence disclosure, answer synthesis, schema, and paths align. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 37 of 43 — routing `fastest_safest` | |
| Population: **200 records** — 180 train and 20 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Validate all supplied route candidates, select the minimum-cost | |
| candidate within the fastest, safest-weighted, and balanced groups, report all | |
| three, and quantify the safest-versus-fastest distance, ETA, and mean-risk | |
| trade-off without inventing an evacuation recommendation. | |
| **Agent inference.** “Safest-weighted” is a named composite objective, not a | |
| claim that the selected route has the smallest displayed mean risk. The agent | |
| must apply the declared edge-cost formula and distinguish selection cost from | |
| the descriptive length-weighted risk statistic. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests validation of cached route products, | |
| multi-objective reasoning, formula fidelity, comparison-handle dataflow, | |
| zero-versus-positive trade-offs, and disciplined reporting under a declared | |
| safety scope. | |
| The same seven repository-relative routing inputs are used. The chain is | |
| `ReadData`, `PrepareScene(mode=flood_safe_routing)`, | |
| `PlanRoutes(objective=candidate_routes, | |
| avoid.flood_affected_roads=true)`, and `CompareRoutes` consuming `routes_1` | |
| with fastest, safest, and balanced preferences enabled, then `TaskComplete`. | |
| For each route geometry, the worker reconstructs source road edges and checks | |
| all metrics. Fastest cost is `sum(travel_time_min)`, safest-weighted cost is | |
| `sum(travel_time_min * (1 + 10*flood_risk))`, and balanced cost uses multiplier | |
| 4. Eligibility requires zero blocked edges; objective cost, ETA, distance, and | |
| route ID define deterministic selection. Deltas are S1 minus F1 for distance | |
| and ETA and F1 minus S1 for displayed mean risk. | |
| Independent audit validates every F1/S1/B1 winner and all 1,800 candidate | |
| metric sets. S1 is also the minimum raw-risk S candidate in only 27/200 scenes, | |
| demonstrating why the composite-objective wording matters. In 144 scenes the | |
| rank-one strategies share a geometry and correctly report a zero trade-off; | |
| the remaining 56 have larger S1 distance/ETA and lower displayed mean risk. | |
| Focused execution and complete answer evidence pass 200/200, with all 1,400 | |
| path references present. The worker emits no recommendation, performs no | |
| runtime graph search, and rejects partial/invalid preference contracts. The | |
| schema requires a nonempty answer and `terminated=true`. | |
| **Validated contract.** Candidate | |
| validation, objective formulas, eligibility, selections, deltas, zero cases, | |
| causal handles, safety wording, schema, files, and all answers align. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 38 of 43 — routing `visual_overlay` | |
| Population: **200 records** — 180 train and 20 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Validate and compare the packaged route candidates, render a | |
| fresh overlay from the declared RGB, road, flood, route, and metadata inputs, | |
| then return the image marker and schema-fixed render-validation receipt. | |
| **Agent inference.** The requested image must be newly derived from the current | |
| `route_compare_1` handle. A prepared overlay is not an allowed | |
| shortcut. A zero visible count for a source layer is valid when the declared | |
| feature set has no in-chip member; the agent must not manufacture content. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests causal artifact generation, multi-layer CRS | |
| alignment, deterministic visualization, image-plus-JSON output, provenance, | |
| and the distinction between actually rendering evidence and retrieving a | |
| cached final answer. | |
| The same seven routing inputs are declared; no prepared overlay PNG is on the | |
| input card. The chain is `ReadData`, `PrepareScene`, | |
| `PlanRoutes(objective=overlay_routes)`, `CompareRoutes` over all three | |
| objectives, then `RenderMap(work=route_compare_1,style=route_overlay)` with | |
| RGB, roads, flood, blocked roads, origin, shelter, routes, and labels enabled, | |
| followed by `TaskComplete`. | |
| The renderer reads the GeoTIFF CRS and affine transform, converts WGS84 vector | |
| coordinates into that CRS, and applies the inverse raster transform to obtain | |
| pixels. It does not use a synthetic `from_origin(0, ...)` transform. It | |
| validates the current F1/S1/B1 selections, all nine route geometries and labels, | |
| both point markers, nonempty bytes, and changed RGB pixels, and writes a PNG | |
| plus JSON manifest inside the current run artifact directory. | |
| The final answer is a structured receipt directly backed by worker fields: | |
| `<image>`, existence, render contract, `prepared_overlay_used=false`, current | |
| handle, selected IDs, requested layers, rendered route/label IDs, origin and | |
| shelter flags, 912×512 dimensions, and termination. | |
| Focused execution has complete answer evidence for 200/200. Independent | |
| artifact inspection opens all 200 PNGs/manifests with zero errors; byte sizes | |
| range from 499,654 to 696,682 and changed chip pixels from 4,452 to 131,737. | |
| All 200 image hashes reproduce exactly across separate runs. Five scenes | |
| validly render zero in-chip risky roads and 20 render zero blocked roads; all | |
| still contain flood pixels, ordinary roads, nine routes/labels, and markers. | |
| All 1,400 declared path references exist and remain repository-relative. | |
| **Validated contract.** Current-handle causality, real | |
| georeferencing, declared inputs, layer toggles, rendered content, determinism, | |
| artifact storage, structured gold, schema, files, and all outputs align. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 39 of 43 — Sen1Floods11 `A` | |
| Population: **100 records** — 90 train and 10 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Derive a flood-prediction mask from the declared Sentinel-1 | |
| VV/VH raster and report predicted flood percentage and exact-grid area, | |
| 8-neighbour component count, largest-component area/centroid, and the complete | |
| 4×4 spatial inventory. | |
| **Agent inference.** These are properties of a deterministic SAR-derived | |
| prediction, not claims that every predicted pixel is true flood. Hand labels | |
| are evaluator-only and must not be used to create the answer. The valid | |
| empty-prediction branch returns zero measurements and no largest centroid; it must | |
| never fall back to a label or cached target. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests raster loading, finite/nodata handling, | |
| deterministic thresholding, generated-artifact lineage, connected components, | |
| geodesic measurement, spatial aggregation, and honest prediction semantics. | |
| The sole declared data path is the chip's `S1Portable.tif`, a finite-nodata | |
| derivative of the official Sen1Floods11 two-band Sentinel-1 input. The chain is | |
| `ReadData`, `PrepareScene(mode=sar_flood)`, | |
| `MapFlood(method=s1_min_backscatter_otsu_v1)`, | |
| `ExtractObjects(target=flood_components)`, `DescribeFlood` consuming | |
| `objects_1` with percentage/area/components/4×4 metrics, then `TaskComplete`. | |
| The predictor uses pixels finite and non-nodata in both VV and VH, calculates | |
| `min(VV,VH)`, applies a 256-bin Otsu threshold, and marks scores at or below the | |
| threshold as predicted flood. It writes a run-scoped uint8 mask with 0 valid | |
| non-flood, 1 predicted flood, and 255 nodata. Components use 8-neighbour | |
| connectivity. Area is summed from WGS84 ellipsoidal cell areas; centroids are | |
| means of positive pixel-center coordinates. The 4×4 grid reports valid/flood | |
| pixels, within-cell percentage, and share of total predicted flood. | |
| Independent source and execution audit covers all 100 rasters: they are | |
| 512×512, two-band VV/VH, EPSG:4326, float32, nodata `-9999`, with no duplicate | |
| source hashes and no material train/test spatial overlap. Recomputed | |
| 8-neighbour counts match 100/100; ellipsoidal area differs from worker output | |
| by at most 0.000493 m² before three-decimal rounding. No prediction in the | |
| release is empty; flood coverage spans 0.3638–67.83638% and component counts | |
| 31–4,138. | |
| Focused execution and complete answer evidence pass 100/100, all 100 input | |
| paths exist, and nine invalid/sensitivity tests pass. The agent-facing records | |
| declare zero `LabelHand`, cached-target, or hidden-answer paths. | |
| The separate label-based accuracy audit is construct validation, not part of | |
| this task's answer and not an input available to the worker. The public thin | |
| release requires users to hydrate the official Sen1Floods11 subset with the | |
| checksum-verified installer documented in `ATTRIBUTIONS.md`. | |
| **Validated contract.** Input isolation, | |
| threshold method, nodata encoding, connectivity, areas, centroids, grid, | |
| empty-mask policy, causal handles, schema, files, and all answers align. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 40 of 43 — Sen1Floods11 `B` | |
| Population: **100 records** — 90 train and 10 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Generate a run-scoped polygon GeoJSON from the SAR-derived | |
| prediction and report generation status, polygon count, total and largest | |
| component areas, largest bounding box/centroid, and the three most flooded 4×4 | |
| cells. | |
| **Agent inference.** Polygons represent connected regions in the generated | |
| prediction, not hand-label objects. Connectivity is 8-neighbour throughout; | |
| switching to 4-neighbour would change every current scene. Reported area is the | |
| exact-grid cell-area sum associated with the component, not an unqualified | |
| planar area computed from longitude/latitude polygon coordinates. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests causal raster-to-vector conversion, | |
| connectivity semantics, run-scoped artifact creation, geometry validation, | |
| largest-object characterization, deterministic spatial ranking, and combined | |
| artifact-plus-numeric synthesis. | |
| The only declared data path is `S1Portable.tif`. After `ReadData`, | |
| `PrepareScene`, and `MapFlood`, `ExtractObjects(target=flood_polygons)` consumes | |
| `flood_1`, writes the GeoJSON, and validates the feature count against the mask. | |
| `DescribeFlood` consumes `objects_1`; `RankRegions` consumes `flood_report_1` | |
| with `by=flood_percentage`, `candidates=grid_4x4`, and `top_k=3`, followed by | |
| `TaskComplete`. | |
| Polygonization uses rasterio feature extraction with connectivity 8 and source | |
| georeferencing. Each feature receives a component ID. The largest component is | |
| selected by positive pixel count; its bounding box uses outer pixel edges and | |
| its centroid averages pixel centers. Grid ranking is descending flood | |
| percentage, then flood-pixel count, then descending cell ID. The final key is | |
| only a stable serialization rule, and numerical ties remain visible. | |
| Independent artifact audit opens all B and E polygon outputs with zero | |
| failures: feature counts match, every coordinate is finite, every geometry is | |
| Polygon/MultiPolygon, and all coordinates lie within the source raster bounds. | |
| The current Type B feature count ranges from 31 to 4,138 and GeoJSON size from | |
| 64,722 to 9,014,842 bytes. All 300 family ranking calls reproduce the expected | |
| order; one Type B record exercises an equal percentage/pixel tie within its | |
| top three. Four- and eight-neighbour counts differ in all 100 scenes, while | |
| the reported counts match eight-neighbour results in 100/100. Focused execution | |
| and complete answer evidence pass 100/100, and all 100 declared paths exist. | |
| **Validated contract.** Prediction lineage, 8-neighbour | |
| polygonization, geometry bounds, feature counts, exact-grid area semantics, | |
| largest-object fields, ranking/ties, schema, files, and all answers align. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 41 of 43 — Sen1Floods11 `C` | |
| Population: **100 records** — 90 train and 10 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Derive the predicted mask, rank the three most flooded 4×4 | |
| cells, calculate maximum-cell concentration, and classify the prediction as | |
| localized or dispersed under the declared threshold. | |
| **Agent inference.** Concentration is a share of total predicted-flood pixels, | |
| not the winning cell's within-cell flood percentage. `localized` means that a | |
| single grid cell holds at least half of all predicted-flood pixels. An empty | |
| prediction has concentration zero and is dispersed. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests exact denominator selection, deterministic | |
| grid aggregation and ranking, causal report-to-ranking dataflow, threshold | |
| classification, visible tie handling, and zero-state interpretation. | |
| The sole input is `S1Portable.tif`. `ReadData`, `PrepareScene` with a 4×4 grid | |
| check, and `MapFlood` produce the current mask; `DescribeFlood` consumes it for | |
| grid, concentration, and pattern metrics; `RankRegions` consumes | |
| `flood_report_1` with `by=flood_percentage`, `candidates=grid_4x4`, and | |
| `top_k=3`; then `TaskComplete` closes the specialist subgoal and ORC terminates | |
| with the published answer reference. | |
| Each deterministic index partition reports within-cell flood percentage and | |
| share of total flood. Ranking is descending percentage, then flood pixels, | |
| then descending cell ID; the ID key is stable serialization only, and tied | |
| numbers remain in the answer. Concentration is | |
| `max(cell flood pixels) / total predicted flood pixels`, with localized at | |
| `>=0.5` and dispersed below it. | |
| Independent checks reproduce all 100 full-grid totals, top-three lists, | |
| concentrations, and classes with zero failures. Scores span 0.069474–0.673538. | |
| Ninety-nine scenes are dispersed; the single localized scene belongs to the | |
| test split. Thus training does not demonstrate the localized or empty-mask | |
| branches, an intentional observed coverage limitation rather than a reason to | |
| retune the threshold or split. Focused execution and complete answer evidence | |
| pass 100/100, all 100 paths exist, and the worker rejects unsupported grid, | |
| metric, candidate, and `top_k` contracts. | |
| **Validated contract.** Grid | |
| accounting, denominator, ranking/ties, concentration, threshold, zero policy, | |
| causal handles, schema, files, and all answers align. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 42 of 43 — Sen1Floods11 `D` | |
| Population: **100 records** — 90 train and 10 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Generate the SAR prediction, compare its positive pixels with | |
| the required JRC known-water raster, and report total predicted flood, overlap | |
| and outside-reference counts/percentages, and largest-component area/centroid. | |
| **Agent inference.** JRC is contextual known-water coverage, not flood ground | |
| truth. A predicted pixel outside JRC is outside the known-water reference; it | |
| must not automatically be called new or erroneous flood. Both percentages use | |
| total predicted-flood pixels as denominator. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This tests a causal two-source join, raster-grid | |
| compatibility, boolean intersection, denominator discipline, zero-reference | |
| handling, careful semantic wording, and structured multi-source synthesis. | |
| Two required paths are declared: `S1Portable.tif` and `JRCWaterHand.tif`. | |
| Separate `ReadData` calls feed | |
| `PrepareScene(mode=sar_flood_reference)`, then `MapFlood` creates the current | |
| prediction. `CompareSources(work=flood_1,reference=known_water, | |
| criterion=overlap_vs_outside_reference)` validates and intersects the grids. | |
| `DescribeFlood` consumes `compare_1` for prediction, component, overlap, and | |
| outside-reference metrics, then `TaskComplete` closes the specialist subgoal | |
| and ORC terminates with the published answer reference. | |
| The worker requires identical array shape, CRS, and affine transform and | |
| accepts only JRC values 0/1 (plus declared nodata if present). Overlap is | |
| `prediction & JRC==1`; outside is `prediction & JRC!=1`. Counts partition the | |
| predicted-flood pixels, and their percentages sum to 100 for nonempty masks. | |
| A valid all-zero JRC raster is measured as zero known-water overlap, not | |
| treated as absent data. | |
| Independent reads reproduce every comparison with zero failures. All 100 grid, | |
| CRS, transform, and encoding checks pass. Forty-two references contain known | |
| water and yield positive overlap; 58 contain only valid zeros and yield exact | |
| zero overlap. Overlap ranges from 0 to 76,295 pixels and 0–79.140461% of the | |
| prediction; every overlap/outside count and percentage partitions correctly. | |
| Focused execution and complete answer evidence pass 100/100, all 200 required | |
| path references exist, and invalid/missing reference contracts are rejected. | |
| **Validated contract.** Required inputs, | |
| grid alignment, encoding, intersections, denominators, zero-reference state, | |
| largest-component fields, cautious semantics, causal handles, schema, paths, | |
| and all answers align. | |
| --- | |
| # Question type 43 of 43 — Sen1Floods11 `E` | |
| Population: **100 records** — 90 train and 10 public-reference test. | |
| **Agent task.** Execute the complete SAR-flood analysis: generate the mask | |
| and polygon artifacts, measure components/area/grid, rank cells, compare JRC | |
| known-water context, and render a fresh analysis image. The runtime projects | |
| the complete worker evidence into the fixed-schema result. | |
| **Agent inference.** Each step must consume the current preceding handle; the | |
| answer is not a static report lookup. The map visualizes the requested SAR, | |
| prediction, component-boundary, and grid layers. JRC informs the numeric | |
| comparison but is intentionally not drawn because the render request does not | |
| enable that layer. | |
| **Benchmark meaning.** This is the end-to-end capstone for raster processing, | |
| raster-to-vector conversion, quantitative/spatial analysis, multi-source | |
| comparison, ranking, deterministic visualization, artifact provenance, causal | |
| tool use, and large structured-answer synthesis. | |
| The two required paths are `S1Portable.tif` and `JRCWaterHand.tif`. The chain | |
| calls `ReadData` for each input, `PrepareScene(mode=sar_flood_diagnostic)`, | |
| `MapFlood`, `ExtractObjects(target=flood_polygons)`, `DescribeFlood`, | |
| `RankRegions`, `CompareSources` from `rank_1`, and `RenderMap` from `compare_1` | |
| with style `flood_diagnostic`; only then does `TaskComplete` close the | |
| specialist subgoal. ORC terminates with the published reference to the | |
| runtime-projected 19-field summary. The three generated artifacts are the | |
| prediction GeoTIFF, polygon GeoJSON, and PNG/JSON render pair. | |
| The returned summary combines all final contracts from Types A–D: predicted | |
| coverage/area, 8-neighbour component and polygon counts, largest geometry, | |
| full grid and top three, concentration/pattern, JRC overlap/outside partition, | |
| method, and three generation flags. The renderer verifies its current handle, | |
| requested/rendered layers, mask hash, component boundaries, changed pixels, | |
| nonempty output, and `prepared_overlay_used=false`. | |
| Persistent independent audit reports zero mask, geometry, grid, ranking, | |
| known-water, render-contract, or render-artifact failures. All 100 PNGs and | |
| manifests open; images are 512×512, 69,088–636,031 bytes, change | |
| 3,714–178,679 pixels from the SAR base, and contain 682–79,742 component-boundary | |
| pixels. Both prediction-mask and image SHA-256 values reproduce in 100/100 | |
| separate executions. Focused execution and complete answer evidence pass | |
| 100/100, all 200 required path references exist, and all nine worker | |
| argument/sensitivity tests pass. | |
| **Validated contract.** Every input, intermediate handle, | |
| measurement, polygon, grid/rank, contextual comparison, render, artifact, | |
| schema field, path, and expected answer is aligned end to end. | |
| --- | |
| All **43 of 43 question types** are defined by the contracts above. The release | |
| baseline includes the repository-wide replay, deep asset inspection, | |
| derivative consistency checks, and documentation consistency checks. | |