pluto-2.1 / RESULTS.md
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Pluto-2.1 results

General-model comparison

Same rows and same scorer for every locally measured model. Mean is the mean of Typed Decisions and DecisionBench matched accuracy.

Model Params Typed Decisions DecisionBench matched Mean
Pluto-2.1 1.738B 0.6695 0.7208 0.6952
Pluto-2 400M 0.397B 0.7835 0.5789 0.6812
Bosun 3.1 1.7B (initializer) 1.738B 0.4980 0.8288 0.6634
d1-3B 3.123B 0.6495 0.6486 0.6490
d1-2B 1.918B 0.6325 0.6339 0.6332

Pluto-2.1 clears d1-2B by +3.7 Typed and +8.7 DecisionBench points, and clears d1-3B by +2.0 and +7.2 points. It has the highest mean accuracy of the five models. Bosun retains the broad-only lead; Pluto-2 400M retains the Typed-only lead. Pluto-2.1 owns the balance.

Distribution quality

Benchmark Model Brier KL / NLL
Typed Decisions Pluto-2.1 0.1261 0.2139
Typed Decisions d1-3B 0.1416 0.2854
Typed Decisions d1-2B 0.1440 0.2958
DecisionBench matched Pluto-2.1 0.3730 0.7439
DecisionBench matched d1-3B 0.4937 1.0345
DecisionBench matched d1-2B 0.4510 0.9333

Typed Decisions by primitive

Primitive n Accuracy Brier ECE
choice 600 0.7250 0.1024 0.1011
noul 600 0.7350 0.1241 0.0581
score 800 0.5788 0.1455 0.0368
all 2,000 0.6695 0.1261 0.0556

DecisionBench by primitive

Primitive n Accuracy NLL ECE
binary classification 530 0.7868 0.4489 0.0489
candidate selection 893 0.7492 0.7902 0.0928
ordinal scoring 142 0.2958 1.5537 0.1550
all 1,565 0.7208 0.7439 0.0586

Evaluation scope

Typed Decisions is the full 2,000-decision test split. DecisionBench is a 1,565-row matched subset limited to ≤16 candidates and ≤2,048-token prompts; it is not the full 23,900-row suite. The full suite is not claimed.

Checkpoint selection

Step Typed Decisions DecisionBench 1,565
1,000 0.6095 0.7534
1,500 0.5550 0.7655
2,000 0.6695 0.7208

The 2,000-step checkpoint is shipped because it is the only tested checkpoint that clears both d1-2B and d1-3B on both measured benchmarks.