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Nov 4

FinFIRST: Benchmarking Search Agents for Financial Information Retrieval, Sourcing and Traceability

Financial search is a highly demanding task for LLM agents, requiring not only a correct final answer but also temporally valid information retrieval, authoritative source selection, entity and period alignment, unit and definition consistency, and verifiable evidence for all conclusions. Existing benchmarks predominantly evaluate only the final answer, making it difficult to localize errors or assess whether an answer is well-founded. To address this gap, we introduce FinFIRST (Financial Information Retrieval, Sourcing and Traceability), the first financial benchmark to jointly evaluate answers and supporting evidence through atomic rubrics. FinFIRST comprises 123 expert-authored tasks spanning a graduated difficulty spectrum, constructed from aggregate patterns of real-world financial scenarios through an 18-field taxonomy, a six-axis coverage blueprint, a registry of 138 financial sources, contributions from over 50 finance experts, and a six-stage quality-control pipeline. Each task is accompanied by an evidence-grounded reference package decomposed into atomic criteria across three dimensions: raw-information acquisition, source verification, and computation and answer formation. We evaluate 15 model configurations under a unified tool setting. Claude-Opus-5 achieves the highest atomic score of 87.59%, while GPT-5.6-Sol attains the highest strict pass rate of 71.54%. Computation and answer formation consistently lag behind raw-information acquisition across systems. FinFIRST retains final-answer correctness as the primary objective while making the supporting research process measurable, verifiable, and diagnosable.

  • 11 authors
·
Sep 20

Agentic RSR: Real-to-Sim-to-Real through Scene Reconstruction and Execution-Grounded Robot Policies

A simulation of a real robot workspace must preserve task-relevant interactions, while policies developed in it must operate on observations available to the real robot. Yet scene reconstruction and policy development are often treated separately. We present Agentic Real-to-Sim-to-Real (Agentic RSR), a framework that links scene reconstruction, policy development, and real-robot execution through the same manipulation task. Given a workspace video, a task description, and a known robot model, an agent recovers metric scale, iteratively refines the scene using visual feedback, and checks task-relevant interactions in MuJoCo. A coding agent then develops an executable policy, progressing from privileged object poses to visual observations and randomized simulation. The policy can interleave multiple observations and actions within one invocation, while the agent uses execution feedback to continue, retry, or revise its approach. A shared task-level interface carries the policy and accumulated experience to the real robot, where fresh observations and safety checks guide execution. Using Claude Opus 5.5 through DeepSeek Harness (DSH), all 18 scenes across two robots pass the joint visual check; mean four-view Depth MAE against reference depth estimates is 0.0808 m, mean Lab ΔE_{76} is 8.01, and mean grayscale SSIM is 0.7338. In real-robot experiments, the aggregate task success rate reaches 80% of the simulation task success rate, indicating substantial retention of simulated performance on hardware. Code and reconstructed scene data will be made publicly available.

  • 10 authors
·
Oct 10

Skip the Compressor: Coding Agents Fix More Issues When They Pick Whole Files

A coding agent works on repositories that can be far larger than its context window can hold. Prompt compressors and retrievers offer solutions to this problem, but patching an issue needs two things at once: the files that must change, and their code exactly as written, since the model must reproduce the lines it edits. Retrievers rank code by its similarity to the issue rather than by whether it must change, and compressors delete text to fit the budget. We show that at an equal token budget, an agent resolves more issues when the budget goes to choosing which files to show verbatim, as our simple selector CQ2-CARE does, than when it goes to pruning tokens or retrieving chunks. We fit every context to the same per-issue budget on 300 recent SWE-rebench issues and grade each patch with the benchmark's tests. With GPT-5.6 and Claude Opus 5, CQ2-CARE resolves 43.7% and 46.7% of the issues, 6.3 points more than the best of three compressors with either model, and 9.3 and 12.7 points more than the best of three retrievers. CQ2-CARE even resolves more issues than two methods trained for issue resolution, SweRank (by 0.7 and 1.7 points) and SWE-Pruner (by 2.0 and 7.3). Our analysis shows the defects of the baseline methods: retrievers often miss the files to edit, and compressors keep them but alter their text, so fewer patches apply. Exact-file selection needs no compression model and shows every line as the repository has it, so the model can quote the code it edits.

MIMESIS: Learning User Simulators as Training Environments for Interactive Agents

Training and evaluating interactive language agents typically requires rich user interactions, yet collecting human feedback is expensive and difficult to scale. Simulated users offer a scalable alternative, but they must both resemble real user behavior and provide useful learning experiences for agents. In contrast, most agent-training frameworks rely on off-the-shelf assistant LLMs, whose helpfulness can make them overly cooperative, explicit, and behaviorally homogeneous compared with real users. We introduce MIMESIS, a purpose-built user simulator trained on human conversations with explicit reasoning supervision and 13 realistic behavioral patterns derived from real user interactions. Empirically, our 9B model achieves a SOUL-Index of 65.7, surpassing the strongest frontier model. Compared with Claude-Opus-5, the strongest baseline on RealUserSim and SimulatorArena, MIMESIS improves behavioral fidelity by 13.4 points and reduces Turing distance by 3.6 points, respectively. We then freeze the simulator and train an agent by interacting with the frozen simulator using multi-turn reinforcement learning. Across eight environments, training with MIMESIS yields better agent performance than training with GPT-5.5 under all nine unseen user simulators, demonstrating stronger generalization to new user simulators. Moreover, we propose Coached On-Policy Self-Distillation (CSD), which leverages simulator-generated private reasoning traces and subsequent utterances as feedback on how well the agent addresses user needs. A coach converts this information into concise coaching notes that describe how the agent can better anticipate user needs and adapt its behavior over the course of an interaction. CSD turns this feedback into dense, token-level supervision beyond sparse task rewards, yielding further gains across all nine evaluation user models.

facebook AI at Meta
·
Oct 6 2

Kepler: Auditable World Models for ARC-AGI-3

ARC-AGI-3 evaluates agents in interactive environments whose rules and objectives must be inferred from observation. We present Kepler, an open-source harness that represents hypotheses as executable world models and validates them through retrospective transition checks and conditional prediction checks. Under one frozen Claude Opus 5 configuration, Kepler obtained a server-verified 100.00 RHAE on all 25 public games, with no per-game model selection or score-conditioned reruns. On 181 of 183 completed levels, the final Opus attempt used no more actions than the corresponding median-human baseline. The retained board runs used 8,256 environment actions, of which 7,292 occurred in scored levels. Retained local provider-session records yield 858.0 million tokens, 97.37% cache reads, and a \$777.72 cost at September 1, 2026 API list-equivalent rates. We also report three evaluation failures: source-code leakage that produced an invalid perfect run, agents reconstructing a removed harness in a control condition, and autonomous repair masking a broken planner. A single-game observation case study showed that animation frames contained task-relevant information absent from settled text grids. Across the final Claude Opus 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol boards, 48 of 50 game-model cells reached 100. These results indicate that public-set score alone has limited discriminative value and motivate first-attempt, cost-conditioned, and verification-aware reporting.

  • 1 authors
·
Sep 29

Investor's Last Exam: Can AI Agents Do Equity Investment Without Seeing the Future?

Financial agents must form forecasts and investment judgments from decision-time evidence, with predictions evaluated against subsequent outcomes. Existing benchmarks assess financial knowledge, research workflows, or forecasting, but evaluating the full research process requires a strictly frozen information set and professional evaluation criteria. We introduce Investor's Last Exam (ILE), an equity-research benchmark led by experienced buy-side investors and fund managers. Its three components are a versioned financial database spanning 3.43 million document versions and nine source categories, supplemented by structured market data, with validated timestamps governing retrieval and computation; a task taxonomy organized around professional analyst deliverables; and an expert-led framework linking scoring criteria to sources, calculations, and assumptions through financial dependency graphs. Evaluation spans 86 assignments and jointly assesses research quality, forecast accuracy, and simulated investment performance. GPT-6 Astra and Claude Opus 5.5 lead overall at 68.1 and 66.9 out of 100, yet even Astra scores only 52.5 on Forecast & Model. Our results show that even state-of-the-art models fail to translate overall research capability into predictive performance. ILE shifts the evaluation unit from isolated capabilities to the evidence--assumption--judgment chain, allowing researchers to locate where analytical advantages fail to translate into forecasts and investment judgments, and providing a traceable, diagnostic foundation for training and evaluating financial agents.

  • 10 authors
·
Oct 27 4

OpenRUA: Robot-Use Agents Are Zero-Shot Visuomotor Policies

Coding agents are extending their reach into the physical world by writing and executing robot control programs. One might expect the agents to use the existing mature software stack that engineers have developed over decades to access sensors and control motion. Yet prior work primarily engineers complex custom harnesses to orchestrate agents for robot use, particularly by prescribing specialized workflows and providing bespoke interfaces. This raises the question: "Is such additional harness engineering necessary?" We introduce OpenRUA, a zero-abstraction harness that bypasses bespoke abstraction layers by providing off-the-shelf coding agents with only terminal access to the robot's native software interface ROS 2. OpenRUA employs a minimalist workspace-as-harness design, only offering ROS 2 documentation and basic tools while leaving the coding agent to organize its own work without orchestrating any agentic workflow. Within this workspace, OpenRUA recasts perception as file I/O and manipulation as coding. With Claude Code powered by Claude Opus 5, OpenRUA achieves success rates of 99.0% on CaP-Bench and 87.0% on LIBERO-PRO, demonstrating that an off-the-shelf coding agent can serve as a zero-shot visuomotor policy through the robot's native interface, without bespoke primitives or task-specific training. Under this minimalist design, further analysis reveals striking emergent behaviors of coding agents: (1) For perception, the agent spontaneously writes programs that process raw sensory inputs and derive metric measurements in 96.80% of episodes. (2) For manipulation, the agent spontaneously builds motion-control clients (e.g., gripper control) in 95.87% of episodes and closed-loop control programs (e.g., adjusting motion based on sensor feedback) in 50.13% of episodes. Our code is available at https://github.com/terminalworld/OpenRUA.

  • 7 authors
·
Sep 30 2

The Next Challenge for Agentic Cybersecurity: A Realistic, Contamination-Free Reverse Engineering Benchmark

AI agents are rapidly improving in cybersecurity capabilities when the source code is available for analysis, yet much of the software most consequential to cybersecurity, including malware, firmware, and proprietary applications, is available only as binaries. Analyzing such software requires reverse engineering(RE): recovering program semantics before the analysis can be meaningfully performed. However, evaluating agentic RE poses a fundamental challenge: benchmark instances must be unseen as source code in the LLMs' training data to prevent models from taking shortcuts by recognizing them rather than really analyzing them, while also matching the scale and anti-analysis protections of real software. Unfortunately, however, existing benchmarks do not jointly satisfy these requirements. To this end, we introduce SRE-Bench, the first realistic, contamination-free RE benchmark. Built entirely from scratch by RE experts with over 5,000 hours, SRE-Bench comprises 19 private, real-world-scale programs averaging 16.9K lines of code. We further developed 44 in-house anti-analysis primitives, yielding 262 binary instances and 1572 deterministically graded tasks. Our evaluation across five frontier LLMs (GPT-5.6-sol,Claude-Opus-5,GPT-5.5,Grok-4.5, and GLM-5.2) shows that RE remains largely unsolved: the strongest model, GPT-5.6-sol, scores 61.4% per instance, and fully solves only 31.5% of the instances. Our analysis further reveals that agents behave differently from human engineers, where agents are relatively insensitive to compiler optimization and static linking. Controlled ablations also confirm that both contamination control and realistic scale are essential. These results indicate that strong source-code security capabilities do not yet transfer to binary analysis, highlighting RE as an important frontier for agentic cybersecurity and SRE-Bench as a rigorous testbed to measure progress.

  • 8 authors
·
Aug 10

Verifiable by Construction: Claim-Level Evaluation of Verbatim Citation in Clinical Question Answering

Large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for clinical question answering (QA). Current systems can attach citations to their answers, but these often point to broad texts, leaving time-pressed clinicians unable to verify them efficiently. An alternative is to ensure that responses are verifiable by construction: providing fine-grained verbatim quotes from reference material that substantiate claims, so users can verify an answer without opening other documents. In this paper, we evaluate the ability of current models to perform this task end-to-end: from providing citations for every factual claim, to producing verbatim quotes, to ensuring that those quotes fully substantiate the claims. To do so, we build a standardized harness over four clinical practice guidelines and evaluate twelve LLMs on 222 synthetic clinical questions, measuring each of these stages separately. We find that most models can attach verbatim quotes to over 90% of their claims from prompting alone, apart from some lightweight models such as claude-haiku-4.5. Yet these quotes often fail to substantiate every detail of the claims they accompany. For instance, claude-opus-5 produces verbatim quotes for 98.0% of its claims, but fully substantiates only 37.1%. Our work provides insights into the current capability gap of LLMs in building verifiable clinical QA systems, along with artifacts for future research.

  • 4 authors
·
Sep 13

BizBench: Unveiling Hidden Challenges in Deploying Long-Horizon Agents for Real-World Business

Existing long-horizon agent benchmarks often emphasize final task success while providing limited assessment of intermediate execution validity. Yet real-world business operations require agents to navigate extensive, potentially outdated or conflicting policies while satisfying critical constraints throughout execution. These requirements are particularly consequential in high-stakes domains such as payments, where intermediate violations can incur financial losses or regulatory consequences regardless of the final outcome. To bridge this evaluation gap, we introduce BizBench, a multi-turn benchmark grounded in real-world procedures from a leading payments company. Its executable environment integrates 789 knowledge documents and 601 discoverable business tools, with consistent policies, states, and tool behavior. The benchmark comprises 50 tasks involving resource constraints, temporal dependencies, prior commitments, and conflicting or outdated guidance. Each task is validated through reference execution, while deterministic checks assess both goal attainment and execution validity without prescribing a single solution path. Experiments reveal substantial limitations even among frontier models: Claude Opus 5 and GPT-6 Sol achieve strict success rates of only 64.0% and 61.3%, respectively. For Qwen3.8-27B, goal attainment reaches 42.0%, but strict success drops to 32.7%, demonstrating how outcome-based evaluation can mask invalid execution. Beyond success rates, DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash averages 191.3 tool calls per run, approximately 70% more than reference executions, revealing substantial execution overhead. Overall, BizBench establishes a testbed for evaluating and advancing long-horizon agents beyond task completion, toward reliable and constraint-compliant execution in complex business environments.

$τ^τ$-Bench: An Environment for End-To-End, Realistic Agent Construction

LLM agents are rapidly becoming production software, deployed to handle customer service, adjudicate disputes, and operate internal systems. Notably, the work of building them is increasingly handed to coding agents, yet existing benchmarks say little about whether an AI system can deliver one under the conditions of a real client engagement. We introduce τ^τ-bench (pronounced hyper-tau-bench), a benchmark that makes agent construction the task. A developer agent is given the records a business actually keeps, a client who holds requirements, a production API that operations must run through, a codebase to inherit, and limits on serving cost and models: the same starting point a real engagement provides. From these it must deliver a complete customer-service agent, scored by deploying that agent against held-out simulated users. Across 53 tasks spanning four domains, the strongest configuration, Claude Opus 5 under Claude Code, passes just 23.9% of evaluation simulations. Meanwhile, an expert-authored reference ceiling scores 82.2%. The failures mirror ones human agent developers see: models issue shallow queries in place of deep comprehension of the records, communicate almost nothing to the client, and experiment too little with agent architecture and serving spend, shipping the first design that runs. We aim for τ^τ-bench to turn the work of cooperative agent building into a measurable target for coding agents.

VeriHarm-Bench: Measuring Harmful Success in LLM Coding Agents Verifiably

Large language model (LLM) coding agents increasingly operate with shell access, allowing them to write scripts, move files, alter permissions, and modify system configurations. However, an agent may achieve a user's goal while causing unintended harm, such as deleting unrelated files, weakening access controls, or corrupting data, in response to benign inputs without explicit jailbreaking. This failure mode is particularly important because apparent task success may reassure users that an agent behaved correctly, causing harmful side effects to go unnoticed. We call this harmful success: the agent successfully completes the intended benign task while simultaneously causing unintended harm. Despite its importance, harmful success is difficult to measure because conventional task-success metrics overlook harmful behaviors, while existing safety evaluations are often designed solely to assess harmful outcomes. We introduce VeriHarm, an automatic framework for constructing programmatically verifiable benchmarks that directly measure harmful success. VeriHarm minimally perturbs coding tasks to elicit unintended harmful behavior while maintaining the benignity of the task and preserving the original task objective. It then synthesizes executable harm tests that, together with the original task-correctness tests, evaluate both task accuracy and harmful outcomes. Frontier agents, including GPT-5.6-Sol and Claude-Opus-5, achieve an average task accuracy of 95% on our curated VeriHarm-Bench, yet still struggle to complete tasks safely: their safe success rate, the fraction of tasks completed successfully without triggering the designated harm, averages only 37%. These results suggest that successful task completion can frequently coexist with unintended harm, and that task-success metrics alone may substantially understate the potential safety risks of coding agents.

  • 6 authors
·
Nov 1

Beyond Compilation: Evaluating Faithful Natural-Language-to-Lean Statement Formalization

Lean verifies that a generated declaration is well typed, but cannot check whether it states what the user intended. We measure how far compilation overstates faithfulness in statement autoformalization without canonical Lean targets. Our criterion requires Lean compilation and agreement of two LLM judges from different model families. On an independent random audit, it agrees with the human majority on 91.5% of cases; it rarely accepts an unfaithful output but rejects some faithful ones. Across eight systems on 227 university-level statements, the gap between compiling and accepted outputs ranges from 1.3 to 29.5 percentage points: our tool-augmented agent compiles 87.2% of the statements, but only 57.7% are accepted. Human review of all the agent's rejections confirms that 23.8 of its 29.5 points are real translation errors. For the gaps of the seven one-shot systems, a two-stage review by Claude Opus 5.5 with Lean and GPT-6.1 Sol, validated on these human labels, finds that 78-100% are real translation errors for six of them. When GPT-5.2, one of the two judges, grades the translations of two models released after it, GPT-6 Astra and Claude Opus 5.5, it accepts 83% of the statements for each, against 21% for one-shot GPT-5.2. For these two models, the same review classifies only 4 of their 54 rejections (7%) as translation errors, so most of their measured gap is judge errors rather than translation errors. This is consistent with these systems erring less while the judge does not: the fewer errors a system makes, the smaller the share of its rejections that are translation errors. Finally, a 2^3 tool ablation of the agent shows that Lean feedback drives most of its compilation gain, and that nearly half of this gain fails the semantic criterion. Code and data are available at https://github.com/grenadeComing/beyond-compilation.

ucriverside UC Riverside
·
Oct 14 2

K-Bench: measuring model performance on real scientific agent requests

Benchmarks for scientific artificial intelligence are mostly written to be scored: multiple-choice questions, curated agent tasks with reference solutions, or simulators with a known generative structure. Real scientific requests arrive differently. They are underspecified, they carry attachments, and lack ground truth. We report K-Bench 01, an evaluation built from first-turn requests sampled from live user traffic on K-Dense Web and run end to end by nine frontier models in identical sandboxes, yielding 1,602 completed agent runs. Three blinded language-model judges scored every run against an eight-dimension rubric. On a rubric whose 8-anchor instructs judges that a domain scientist would accept the work with minor edits, no model clears the line under all three judges. gpt-5.6-sol has the highest pooled mean, 8.04, but its 95% interval [7.80, 8.23] spans the threshold, and two of the three judges rank claude-opus-5 first instead. We therefore report the ordering of systems as the reproducible quantity, the absolute level as an attribute of the instrument, and the top of the table as unresolved. Across all 39,934 scored judgments -- the eight dimension scores plus a holistic overall for each assessment, excluding not-applicable cells -- 47.6% fall below the 8-point threshold. Difficulty is not uniform across the rubric: scientific accuracy averages 6.22 against 7.33 for communication, on identical denominators and in the same direction within every one of the nine models. The single leading failure tag is overclaiming, on 31.4% of assessments. We argue that the informative quantity for scientific agents is not a leaderboard position but the joint distribution of what was delivered, what was claimed, and what artifacts were produced.

  • 4 authors
·
Aug 20

SWE Refactor Bench: Can Coding Agents Complete a Long-Horizon, Whole-Repository Stack Migration?

Modern software systems accumulate technical debt over decades of development, which makes migration expensive and largely manual. As coding agents become increasingly capable at bug fixing, can they autonomously perform such migrations? Existing benchmarks cannot answer this question because they evaluate only behavioural correctness, not whether the migration actually occurred. This leads an easy hack: agents copy the original implementation to make tests pass. We call this Blindness. To address this problem, we introduce SWE Refactor Bench, a benchmark comprising 20 whole-repository migrations, covering 4 kinds of technical debt. A three-stage evaluation protocol measures both migration completeness and behavioural correctness. (1) Migration Audit verifies that the migration occurred. (2) Behavioural Tests measure correctness with a fixed test suite. (3) Agentic Verification uses 6 independent coding agents to generate targeted tests for hidden behavioural differences. Across 520 runs from 8 frontier models and 26 model-effort configurations, only 28 of 520 runs (5.4%) pass all three stages, 13 of the 20 tasks receive no accepted solution, and the best model (claude-opus-5) scores 47.0/100. Migration completeness and behavioural correctness are distinct abilities: a few runs preserve behaviour by skipping the migration and are stopped at Migration Audit; most attempt it and break behaviour, and are stopped at Behavioural Tests. Agents cannot deliver a perfect migration: among the 340 runs that pass Migration Audit, 58% reach 99% of the fixed checks, yet only 26% reach 100%. Agent capability differs across migration categories: agents score 31.4 on build toolchain rewrites but only 5.6 on language rewrites. Together, these findings position SWE Refactor Bench as a rigorous testbed for developing coding agents for reliable whole-repository migrations.

  • 10 authors
·
Aug 23 2

From Research Goals to Scientific Closure: Evaluating Agents Through Evidence-Supported Physics Research

Can AI agents organize scientific investigations that lead to well-supported conclusions? To evaluate this capability, we introduce PhysClosureBench, a benchmark of 50 expert-verified, goal-specified research tasks spanning strong-field, attosecond, and neighboring physics areas. Each task specifies the research objective and essential scientific constraints, while leaving the agent to organize the investigation and determine how to generate and validate the evidence needed to answer the question. A 20-criterion Atomic Score measures local scientific accomplishment, while Research Closure (RC0--RC4) assesses how fully the investigation resolves the specified research question based on whether its indispensable evidence requirements and applicable scope conditions are satisfied. We evaluate seven frontier LLMs, where Claude-Opus-5 achieves the highest mean Atomic Score (6.29/10) but reaches RC4 in only 32.7% of attempts. Across the benchmark, 36.2% of attempts scoring at least 8/10 still fall short of RC4, while all seven models reach RC4 on substantially fewer tasks in all three runs than in at least one. Case-level analysis further illustrates how misinterpretation of generated results and unresolved physical applicability limits can lead to incomplete closure. Together, these results reveal a persistent gap between AI agents' local scientific accomplishments and their ability to achieve complete research closure.

Latent Coherence: Do Frontier Language Models' Probability Judgments Obey the Law of Total Probability?

LawZero's Scientist AI trains a Predictor toward the Bayesian posterior, with an objective that penalizes inconsistent probabilities among latent explanations. We ask whether current frontier language models, with no such training, are already consistent in this sense zero-shot: do their probability judgments satisfy the law of total probability, P(X)=sum_z P(z)P(X|z), when the latent z must be inferred from records in the context? In separate single-turn calls, models are asked for P(X), for P(z) over the latent's states, and for P(X|z); a causal family applies the same test to P(y|do(x)) and the back-door adjustment. Every query has an exact ground-truth probability, and a subset of items is asked in three wordings to separate persistent incoherence from rewording noise. Across seven models, GPT-6.1 Sol and Claude Opus 5.5 are the most coherent (mean absolute residual 0.08 and 0.12 log-odds, about 2 percentage points). Claude Haiku 5.5, Gemini 3.8 Flash and DeepSeek V4-Pro show persistent incoherence (0.27-0.35 log-odds) that is mostly item-specific rather than a shared offset. Within every model, larger residuals go with larger errors against the truth (Spearman 0.40-0.62), so the residual, which needs no ground truth, flags unreliable answers. Reasoning length does not predict coherence, across models or within a model across rewordings of the same question. Simple consistency checks pass almost everywhere; the failures are specific to reasoning through a latent variable. Code and data: https://github.com/ppotash/latent-coherence

  • 1 authors
·
Oct 21

Watch and Learn: Teaching Visual In-Context Learning by Removing Textual Shortcuts

Vision-language models (VLMs) struggle with in context learning compared to their textual counterparts. Our preliminary study shows that VLMs rely on textual shortcuts and underutilize the visual demonstrations. We therefore hypothesize that VLMs are insufficiently trained to perform visual in-context learning (vICL). To this end, we construct MIME, a task-agnostic vICL training set without textual shortcuts. We ensure the instruction does not state the rule linking the demonstration images to their answers, so the model must infer it from the visual demonstrations. Fine-tuning on MIME improves vICL accuracy by 8.1 to 18.0 points across three VLMs, preserves single-image performance, and improves multi-image and text only in-context learning. In contrast, stating the rule in the training data sharply reduces this gain. We further propose DTAD (Demonstration Text Attention Dropout), which randomly withholds demonstration labels during training so that the VLM must infer the rule from the demonstration images. While achieving comparable vICL accuracy to fine-tuning on MIME, DTAD yields more consistent attention to the demonstration images. On TrueMICL, Qwen3-VL-8B trained on MIME matches frontier models such as Claude Opus 5, and surpasses them with DTAD. Finally, adding MIME to the instruction-tuning mix of LLaVA 1.5 13B more than doubles its vICL accuracy without hurting single-image abilities, whereas a same-size multi-image set improves it only slightly. These results suggest that vICL data should be a standard component of VLM training.

  • 5 authors
·
Oct 21

VideoMemBench: How Well Do MLLMs Remember in Video Conversations?

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) can now process hour-long videos, making extended multi-turn dialogue over a single video a natural mode of use. Sustaining such a dialogue requires more than answering each question in isolation: the model must retrieve and reuse information established earlier in the conversation, both what it has seen and what it has said, an ability we term in-context video memory. Existing video QA benchmarks leave this ability unmeasured: their questions are mutually independent, never reference one another, and each is answerable from the video alone, so nothing ever requires carrying information across turns. We introduce VideoMemBench, in which each sample pairs a single video with a long multi-turn dialogue, whose turns are connected by typed cross-turn dependencies: an Episodic Dependency refers back to a visual episode described in an earlier turn, probing memory of what the model has seen, while an Answer Dependency builds on the model's own earlier answer, probing memory of what the model has said. Every dependency is verified considering two properties: 1) necessity, meaning the question cannot be answered without its earlier turns, and 2) non-leakage, meaning the question does not restate the information from its earlier turns. To enforce these properties, we design a construction pipeline with three LLM roles: a planner, a generator, and a judger, with each dialogue reviewed by human experts. VideoMemBench comprises 326 videos with 2,476 turns, of which 1,387 depend on earlier turns, including multi-parent dependencies and long-range call-back. Among over 20 evaluated open- and closed-source MLLMs, Claude Opus 5 performs the best with an overall score of only 45.7%, highlighting the challenge of in-context video memory. Our dataset and evaluation are released.

  • 7 authors
·
Nov 2

Athanor: An Agent-Native System for Autonomous Post-Training Research

Recursive self-improvement, in which AI systems build stronger AI systems, is one promising route to superintelligence. We study a weaker form that can be measured today: frontier agents post-training a small raw base model with public data, as a test of their research potential. We build Athanor, an open agent-native system for autonomous post-training research (AutoPostTrain) on real GPUs. We give the agents full research autonomy, low-friction engineering tools, and efficient starter code. The agents carry out the research themselves: they read datasets and evaluation results, build their training data, write and modify training algorithms, tune hyperparameters, and analyze the results to decide what to try next. They work in a sandbox and cannot use external teacher models. Athanor's services supply frozen evaluation, managed jobs, decontaminated data, a persistent research record, and a held-out suite the agents are unaware of. In a 104-hour campaign, a team of four Claude Opus 5.5 agents, each on an eight-GPU node and given no research advice, improves Qwen3-4B-Base from 15.9 to 67.3 on a six-task development suite and from 9.2 to 48.2 on a held-out suite, against 66.5 and 47.9 for the official Qwen3-4B-Instruct-2507. To our knowledge, this is the first demonstration that a team of frontier agents can autonomously post-train a raw base model into a cross-domain generalist model that matches or surpasses the official instruct version on average. The campaign's full record shows that the agents reach this level by recombining known methods and each other's models: SFT on public reasoning data, RL with a rollout change one agent introduced, weight merges across agents, and rounds of self-distillation. With execution handled, today's agents already have the engineering and research ability to conquer this task. We hope Athanor provides a foundation for scaling autonomous AI research.

ByteDance ByteDance
·
Oct 14 2

SpatialScout: Can VLM Agents Actively Explore and Map 3D Scenes?

Spatial intelligence requires agents to actively acquire visual evidence and integrate observations into a coherent representation of the three-dimensional world. Yet spatial question answering offers limited evidence of whether models can construct accurate metric maps through autonomous exploration. We introduce SpatialScout, a benchmark for evaluating vision-language model (VLM) agents on active object-level 3D mapping. SpatialScout comprises 80 diverse indoor scenes containing 3,140 target objects. Given an object inventory, RGB observations, camera calibration, and camera poses, agents control a camera to explore each scene and estimate object centers in a shared coordinate frame. The task requires coordinating viewpoint selection, cross-view association, geometric estimation, and map revision under bounded interaction budgets. Evaluation jointly measures localization accuracy and target coverage through object-scale overlap scores that penalize missing predictions. Experiments with frontier VLMs reveal substantial limitations: the strongest evaluated model, Claude Opus 5.5, achieves a mean overlap score of 41.71%, with 47.23% of targets exceeding an intersection-over-union (IoU) threshold of 0.5 and only 3.25% exceeding 0.9. These results reveal a substantial gap between recovering coarse object layouts and constructing complete, precise metric maps. SpatialScout provides a quantitative testbed for developing agents that build reliable 3D spatial representations through active perception. Code is available at https://github.com/JesseZZZZZ/SpatialScout.

ACE-Brain-0.6: Scaling Spatial Grounding for Physical Foundation Models

General-purpose multimodal models, including GPT-6 Astra and Claude Opus 5.5, demonstrate broad capabilities in embodied manipulation. Our analysis indicates that this generality is accompanied by strong spatial perception, as Astra can determine where to interact with task-relevant entities amid visual distractors. Because spatial perception connects high-level reasoning to the physical scene, we investigate scaling visual grounding to strengthen the perceptual foundation of general embodied operation. We develop a unified data pipeline that combines robot manipulation recordings with complementary visual data from diverse sources. After automatically annotating the robot recordings, the pipeline converts the collected data into verifiable grounding supervision. Fine-tuning Qwen3.5-9B on approximately 1.5 million samples produced by this pipeline yields ACE-Brain-0.6. The model outperforms GPT-6 Astra on four of seven public grounding benchmarks, with an overall average score of 75.41 compared with Astra's 73.68. Under a fixed Qwen3.5-9B fine-tuning setup, aggregate grounding performance improves steadily as successive data releases expand the training collection to cover a broader range of grounding scenarios. These results show that scaling verifiable grounding supervision from diverse sources can strengthen the spatial perception of an open 9B model for general embodied operation.

ACERobotics ACE Robotics
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Oct 18 2

VibeVideoBench: Evaluating Multimodal Agents on Code-Driven Video Generation

Diffusion video models produce striking clips, but they cannot reliably render an exact formula, a correct chart, a rule-consistent game or narration synchronized to on-screen events. A different route is emerging: multimodal agents that write code to render every frame and synthesize every sound. We introduce VibeVideoBench, a benchmark for evaluating agents on code-driven video generation. Its 239 self-contained tasks in English and Chinese span 12 categories, from data stories and music-driven pieces to classroom lessons and paper explainers; each asks an agent, running in its native harness inside a sandbox with no image or video generation model, to deliver a finished MP4 with sound within one hour. Evaluation is hierarchical and evidence-based: program checks of the delivery spec, about 13k task-specific rubric checks traced to the requirements they enforce, and five quality dimensions anchored per task, scored by three VLM judge panels. Across nine frontier agent systems and 2,151 scored rollouts, GPT-6 Astra and Claude Opus 5.5 rank first and second with both the judges and human annotators, and the strongest system satisfies every core requirement on 76.3% of tasks. Delivery is a second axis: counting missing videos as zero changes the ranking, and three quarters of the lost videos are final renders that started too late, ran too slowly or never started, a failure of how agents plan their hour. Agents build their own rendering pipelines and inspect their own frames, yet how much they look does not predict quality. The judges' ranking of the systems closely matches blind human preferences.

  • 24 authors
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Oct 26 2

NumTrace: Auditing the Number Provenance of Financial Analyst Agents

A numerical claim generated by a financial analyst agent can match a number in a company filing but refer to the wrong entity, concept, period, unit or scope. A check based on reference answers can mark such an answer as wrong but does not explain why it fails. In this paper, we present NumTrace, a new benchmark that audits the provenance of each numerical claim made by financial analyst agents: its source and financial semantics. NumTrace currently has 540 questions over 2,163 SEC EDGAR documents. To the best of our knowledge, it is the first numerical benchmark about who holds a company's shares (Form 13F) and what its executives are owed (Item 402(i)). On a frozen snapshot of these documents, we build the reference answers according to accounting rules. NumTrace then gives each claim three separate verdicts: value, binding and support. By retaining separate value and binding verdicts, NumTrace detects right number, wrong account (RNWA) errors: a claim has an RNWA error when it passes the value check but fails the binding check. The RNWA rate quantifies the gap between value-only and joint value-and-binding pass rates. Finally, we audit three agents, Claude Opus 5.5, GPT-6 Astra and DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash. RNWA errors make up 67.5-81.8% of each agent's failing claims. In particular, on 13F co-filing group questions, about 91% of claims pass the value check, but fewer than half pass the binding check.

  • 4 authors
·
Oct 25

One Skill Takes Over: Clashing Agent Skills and a One-File Fix

Agent Skills are instruction files that tell a coding agent how to do one job. Users install skills from many authors, so two skills for the same job can be active at the same time. We ask what a model does when both skill files are in its context: does it combine their compatible rules, or follow one skill and drop the other? We build SkillClash, 16 pairs of same-job skills in which code checks every rule and a reference output shows the best result that can be reached. On seven models from five families, from 4B open models to Qwen3-235B and GPT-4.1, a skill's rules are followed 93 to 99% of the time when it is loaded alone and 61 to 62% when a same-job skill is loaded next to it. Most outputs show takeover: every rule that only one skill asks for is followed, and every rule that only the other skill asks for is dropped. The worked examples inside the skills drive this. When each skill file instead ends with one example that follows both skills, takeover falls to 1 to 15% on the six models we tested. Telling the model which skill has priority does not bring the dropped skill back, and telling it to apply both skills brings the dropped skill back only on the two strong models and leaves the interacting rules broken. One merged skill file written by the strongest model we used, Claude Opus 5.5, lets all seven models follow 96 to 99% of the achievable rules. Most of its gain over a plain list of both skills' rules comes from its one worked example, and such an example helps only when it is correct. Code and data: https://github.com/prazmara/skillclash

  • 3 authors
·
Oct 17

3DCodeVerse: Exploring 3D Worlds as Code

We introduce 3DCodeVerse, a research ecosystem that enables coding agents to create editable and verifiable 3D content at scale. 3DCodeVerse comprises large-scale, high-quality datasets of executable 3D code, a coding harness for spatial reasoning and automated verification, and practical guidance for 3D coding. First, we construct 3DCodeVerse-2M, a large-scale curated dataset of standalone 3D executable code. We build this corpus by collecting open-source data, converting specialized representations, and generating new programs with coding agents. Each program is packaged with the source files and associated assets required for execution in its declared environment, along with available descriptions and verification records. Second, we develop the 3DCodeVerse Harness, a multi-agent directed acyclic graph framework for generating and refining 3D content. It uses execution checks, spatial measurements, and visual feedback to automatically evaluate and revise generated programs without human feedback during generation. Third, we conduct systematic empirical studies of 3D coding, establishing baselines with fine-tuned open models and deriving practical guidance through component-level analyses of our harness. Extensive experiments demonstrate that fine-tuning on our dataset significantly improves the 3D coding capabilities of open-source models. Notably, our 3DCodeVerse harness achieves a 90% win rate against Claude Design (3D Object) in pairwise human evaluations, when both are utilized by Claude Opus 5.5.

FigmaTrace: Capturing Creative Nuances in Human Figma Design Workflows

Vision Language Models have recently shown improvements in several objective and verifiable domains such as object detection but continue to underperform on subjective and creative design tasks. A major contributor to this performance gap is the lack of high quality human workflow data that captures a diverse set of preferences and decisions that make human experts good at design tasks. In this work, we first define a unique, expert curated taxonomy of design skills and best practices which we further expand into a set of 126 open ended, subjective, long horizon tasks. Built on top of this and expert solutions, our dataset FigmaTrace contains over 200 hours of human captured video data converted into 3469 design trajectories using a novel design phase-based method. We use our dataset to train four models and show that training on FigmaTrace leads to a performance improvement comparable to frontier closed models such as Claude-Opus-5 and GPT-5.6-Sol on four out of distribution agentic GUI environments. We further perform a useful ablation to attribute these performance improvements to a design phase-based video to trajectory conversion which outperforms prior length-based conversion approaches. Finally, we perform a qualitative analysis on the best performing Qwen3.8-27B outputs to better correlate performance improvements to FigmaTrace's trends. We open source our dataset and the best model for the community.

  • 8 authors
·
Aug 19

Recursive Experiential-Working Memory Evolution for Long-Horizon Agent Harnesses

Recursive self-improvement (RSI) remains hard in long-horizon tasks, where growing histories obscure the task state and misalign skill invocation. We introduce Recuris, a recursive Experiential-Working Memory architecture for long-horizon agent harnesses, in which Working Memory tracks task progress and guides skill selection from Experiential Memory, grounding skill use in current needs rather than the full history. This coupling also turns execution into structured evidence that localizes failures to specific memory components. Across tasks, a fixed Meta-Agent turns that evidence into localized, validation-gated updates to Skill Memory that reshape execution and yield new evidence, forming a bounded recursive memory-evolution loop. Across four long-horizon benchmarks and ten models, Recuris improves task success in 35 of the 37 completed model-benchmark pairs, carrying frontier models to SOTA-level task success: on tau-bench it adds +17.8 points to GPT-5.6 Sol and +15.6 to Claude Opus 5, taking Opus 5 to 87.9%, and +16.6/+13.5 points on Qwen3.6-27B/35B on SkillFlow. The advantage widens as the interaction horizon grows, to +32.2 points on the longest tasks, and common long-horizon failures fall by up to 80%. These results position recursively evolving memory as a scalable foundation for RSI, enabling agents to continuously transform accumulated experience into increasingly effective long-horizon behavior. Code: https://github.com/Gen-Verse/Recuris

KlinikeBench: Evaluating Language Models Beyond Diagnostic Accuracy

Most clinical benchmarks evaluate language models (LMs) on diagnosis using complete case descriptions. In clinical practice, however, patients present information in different ways, and clinicians must obtain relevant history and determine which examinations are needed before reaching a diagnosis. Diagnostic accuracy alone therefore cannot establish whether an agent gathered essential information or conducted an appropriate clinical assessment. Furthermore, existing benchmarks lack professional clinicians' verification. To address this gap, we introduce KlinikeBench, a benchmark of 333 clinician-authored tasks, each providing an isolated sandbox environment with a virtual patient, clinical tools, and task-specific success criteria. More than 35 clinicians contributed to case authoring and benchmark evaluation. In an empirical study, clinicians gave simulated dialogues higher mean quality ratings than reference conversations, which is adapted from real conversation. In each task, an LM has a fixed budget of turns to communicate with the patient, ask about relevant history, request examinations, follow action constraints, and record a final diagnosis. We score these steps separately as well as together. Across 31 models and seven model families, the best-performing models (e.g., GPT-6-astra and Claude Opus 5) succeed on less than 30% of tasks, even though their diagnosis accuracy reaches 90.7%. Some models benefit from talking with the patient; others diagnose well from a complete chart but perform much worse in conversation. Overall, KlinikeBench provides a testbed for evaluating the full clinical encounter and reveals a substantial gap between diagnostic accuracy and performance in interactive clinical assessment.

  • 8 authors
·
Sep 28

Tev: Scaling Long-Horizon Agentic Environments with Dense Progress Rewards

Long-horizon agents have drawn growing attention for their ability to work autonomously -- from hours to days -- on economically valuable tasks, a capability essential to automated discovery and recursive self-improvement (RSI). Yet open-source models still struggle on long-horizon tasks, largely for lack of both training data and a working recipe, and scaling both is hard: long, complex tasks are difficult to curate and verify, and their rewards are sparse. We address both. First, we introduce Tev-Gym, the first long-horizon agent training dataset with verifiable, dense, progressive rewards -- 1,170 verified task environments across 7 domains. It is built on a latent-world-first approach that first constructs a latent world: a complete and correct hidden specification of the task domain, workflow, and expected state after each step. Each task is then progressively rendered from this specification into an agent-facing environment, enabling controllable complexity and a natural progress metric. Second, we turn this metric into a training recipe: via progress-potential reward shaping (PPRS), we convert progress into a dense per-step reward that improves training efficiency and makes otherwise-intractable tasks trainable. Training with this recipe yields Tev-27B, which achieves substantial gains on the Agents' Last Exam computing and math sciences domains (ALE-CM), matching GPT-6 Astra and Claude Opus 5 at Pass@5. Despite training only on ALE-related data, it generalizes to the Terminal-Bench (TB) 3.0 and 4.0 subsets, surpassing GLM 5.2 and Gemini 3.7 Flash, and reaches Claude Opus 4.8-level performance on middle-horizon tasks such as TB 2.1.

  • 6 authors
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Oct 12 3

OpenGCUA: Toward a Fully Open Stack for Generalist Computer Use

Computer use has reached a turning point: the focus is expanding from GUI-only interaction to systems that complete tasks on users' computers through visual and programmatic interfaces. We define a generalist computer-use agent (GCUA) as a system in which the model chooses how to observe, act, and organize its work across visual and programmatic interfaces. Yet frontier implementations, such as GPT-6 Astra's computer-use system, remain largely closed, limiting systematic study of their design. We introduce Open Generalist CUA (OpenGCUA), an ongoing project to develop and open the full stack for GCUAs with the community. This report presents the first release of OpenGCUA. Code execution is a key feature of our agent design: it lets intermediate results determine subsequent operations and enables models to apply their existing programming capabilities directly to computer interaction. We also propose harness-to-model decision transfer, moving selected observations and task-state decisions from fixed harness rules to the model. On OSWorld-v2, our full configuration improves task scores across all eight evaluated models, including GPT-6 Astra and Claude Opus 5, raising mean partial score by +19.6 points and reducing reported steps per task by an average of 53.0% relative to batched GUI-only execution. We release our implementation and prompts, evaluation trajectories from all eight models, and preliminary versions of a real-device harness and a cross-device SDK. The harness addresses real-device challenges not fully captured by benchmarks, while the SDK provides a common programming interface across computers, mobiles and browsers. Across four real macOS tasks under our real-device harness, selected Qwen3.8-Max runs use 19.4 times as many reported reasoning tokens as GPT-6 Astra, highlighting substantial differences between models in real-device execution efficiency.

Tongyi-MAI Tongyi-MAI
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Oct 14 4

LEASH: Uncertainty-Aware Weak-to-Strong Escalation and Oversight for Computer-Use Agents

Computer-use agents increasingly tackle long-horizon tasks, where running a frontier model at every step is expensive and a small open-weight model alone often fails. Weak-to-strong escalation offers a middle ground where a weak agent acts by default and hands control to a strong one only when needed. The core challenge is deciding when to escalate, which requires an uncertainty signal cheap enough to check at every step. However, even after handoff, the strong agent can still get lost, but a black-box API that the strong agent is usually served exposes no internals to monitor. To this end, we propose LEASH, a training-free framework that unleashes the strong agent only when the weak agent's latent uncertainty signals it is needed, and keeps it on a leash afterward. LEASH has three layers: (1) initial task uncertainty for early routing, (2) step-level uncertainty for runtime escalation, and, after handoff, (3) a shadow observer for continued oversight of the strong black-box agent. Here, we use latent uncertainty as a fuel for all three layers. Specifically, we compare the weak model's hidden states with those from its past successful and failed trajectories, and a state that looks more like the failures signals higher uncertainty. During weak-agent execution, our uncertainty estimator reuses activations already produced during action generation, so it needs no extra forward pass or dedicated monitor training. Experiments on OSWorld across four contemporary model backbones show that LEASH consistently improves over standalone weak agents and outperforms random escalation by 6.55--11.94 points at matched escalation rates. With Qwen3.5-35B-A3B, LEASH achieves 73.66% task success at $0.4117 per task, matching always-on Claude Opus 5 (72.90%) while reducing inference cost by 19.2%.

  • 7 authors
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Oct 14 2

DiscoveryRSI: Recursively Learning to Discover Valuable Hypotheses

Scientific discovery requires developing worthwhile hypotheses into practical investigations, yet learning from this evolving research process remains challenging. We introduce an operational definition of valuable and testable research hypotheses: evidence-grounded claims about consequential uncertainties, coupled with feasible investigations, explicit decision criteria, and alternative explanations. Our DiscoveryRSI framework develops hypothesis trees through multi-agent evolutionary search, compiles selected investigations into executable Harbor tasks, and recursively learns through three mechanisms: hypothesis credit optimization attributes scientific assessments to documented research contributions; harness replay identifies productive strategies and recurring failures to refine research workflows; and rediscovery applies accepted improvements to new investigations, generating further experience for subsequent learning. We also introduce DFM-Bench, which provides comprehensive assessment of hypothesis quality and cumulative research progress at the levels of hypotheses, revisions, development paths and research runs. Across four life-science domains, automated evaluation shows that hypothesis quality rises from 4.86 for the base model to 5.39 after two rounds of self-improvement, with the large gains in falsifiability and data resolvability. We further validate hypothesis quality through expert review, comparing our DiscoveryRSI-27B with other research agents. Preliminary human assessments show that DiscoveryRSI-27B scores higher than GPT-6 Luna on hypothesis importance and whether claims are plausible and evidence-bounded. DiscoveryRSI-27B achieved a 6.3% rate of hypothesis correspondence with research published after the model cutoff, largely outperform GPT-6 with 2.5% and Claude Opus 5 with 2.3%, while delivering greater human-rated improvement along research paths.

PhAILabs PhAI Labs
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Oct 15 2

From Reasoning to Action: Benchmarking Frontier AI Models on LIBERO-10 Robot Manipulation Tasks

Recent advances in frontier AI models have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in visual understanding, reasoning, planning, and tool use, raising the possibility of using general-purpose AI models for robot manipulation without task-specific training. However, their manipulation capabilities have not been systematically evaluated on standardized robotics benchmarks. In this report, we present a unified closed-loop manipulation framework for evaluating frontier AI models on the LIBERO-10 benchmark. Our framework enables models to control a robot directly through visual observations, robot proprioception, and structured tool calls, primarily by specifying target end-effector poses and gripper commands, without task-specific fine-tuning or pretrained manipulation skills. We evaluate six frontier AI models, including GPT-6 Astra, GPT-6.1 Sol, GPT-6 Luna, Claude Opus 5, Claude Opus 5.5, and Gemini-4 Argon, across three reasoning effort levels, resulting in 18 configurations and 1,800 evaluation episodes. Our results show that GPT-6 Astra achieves the highest success rate of 44%, followed by Gemini-4 Argon at 43%. Increasing reasoning effort generally improves manipulation performance, but the benefits vary across models and come at additional inference cost. We also observe substantial differences across tasks, with models performing relatively well on object placement tasks but struggling with precise spatial arrangements and complex multi-step interactions. These findings demonstrate both the potential and limitations of frontier AI models for robot manipulation, highlighting the challenges of translating reasoning capabilities into reliable physical actions. We release our evaluation framework and experimental results to support reproducible benchmarking and future research on reasoning-based robot manipulation.

  • 3 authors
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Oct 20

Measuring Alignment With Reader Highlights Net of Position and Length

Context compression discards most of a document before a language model reads it, and is normally evaluated by downstream task accuracy - which makes another model the judge of what mattered. Naturalistic social highlighting offers a non-circular reference: many people independently marking passages on the same page. But the obvious metric, the fraction of crowd-marked sentences a compressor keeps, is confounded twice: crowd marks are front-loaded and crowd-marked sentences are longer, so any method favouring early or long sentences scores well regardless of readers. We remove both by matching each marked sentence against unmarked sentences of the same document at equal relative depth and equal within-document length rank, and we calibrate every estimator on synthetic nulls built from position and length alone - a step that matters, since depth-only stratification returns a false positive on 20-36% of nulls containing no effect. On 120 web documents (at least 12 independent readers each), a language-model importance ranking keeps 38.4% of crowd-marked sentences against 19.9% of their matched neighbours: an enrichment of +0.196 [+0.148, +0.239], at p = 0.0005 under an exact randomization test that assumes nothing about clustering, and replicated cross-vendor. Naive truncation, whose keep rule is position, correctly falls to +0.003. To give the number a scale: scored identically, on the same budget, against a crowd label recomputed to exclude them, a single human reader reaches +0.182 - indistinguishable from GPT-5.4 (+0.002 [-0.081, +0.088]) and below Claude Opus 5. Classical methods are not null - Luhn's 1958 heuristic reaches +0.088 - so reader selection is partly recoverable by counting words; conditioning additionally on lexical centrality removes only 0.010, so the agreement is not centrality. We also report that a claim in our own prior work does not reproduce on this corpus.

  • 2 authors
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Jul 29

Beyond Benchmarks: Can Small Open-Weight Models Get Real Coding Work Done?

Making an open-weight language model generate text is not the same as making it finish coding work. This retrospective empirical systems experience report follows my engineering work from July to October 2026 across coding clients, model-specific serving recipes, vLLM, SGLang, llama.cpp, and MLX. Models behind a nominally compatible endpoint still differed in tool-call formatting, turn control, context behavior, cache reuse, and reliability. A served model, coherent text, executed tool calls, and code that passes independent behavioral checks proved to be distinct levels of progress. The evidence includes 4,165 coding-agent gateway turns from my own sessions, 623 debug jobs, and three separate delegation studies with hidden behavioral checks and a fixed Claude Opus 5.5 parent. Saved cold-prefix requests had a median time to first token of about 69.4 s, versus 2.8 s for high-reuse requests (observational). In a 45-trial study, direct coding passed 15/15 and delegation to a quantized Qwen3-Coder 30B-A3B worker passed 12/15 and 14/15. On a second 15-task suite under a fixed artifact contract, the completed replacement cohort had 45/45 for direct coding and 12/45 for a Nemotron Cascade 2 worker (11 worker substitutions). Sixteen sessions stopped by a subscription limit before any model call were replaced; counting them as failures gives 37/45 and 8/45. A Qwen3-Coder worker passed 0/45. In both studies with a direct arm, direct coding had lower API list-price-equivalent frontier cost per verified success. A post-hoc diagnostic found that 19 of 36 artifacts rejected only for renamed parameters passed the hidden checks unchanged; they are not counted as successes. The contribution is an evidence-qualified account of serving, agent protocol, session continuity, artifact validation, and verification in practice. The studies are not pooled and do not rank models or runtimes.

  • 1 authors
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Oct 24 7

ToolSpace: Scaling Tool-Centric Environment Synthesis for Long-Horizon Agents

Large language models are deployed as long-horizon agents that compose diverse tools across MCP services into executable workflows. Existing MCP environment-scaling methods are data-centric: they first synthesize a database and scenario, then derive tools and tasks from them. As a result, tool interfaces may not match real ones, tool compositions are not grounded in execution, and tasks rarely span more than one environment. We propose ToolSpace, a tool-centric framework that reverses this order. ToolSpace mines data, state, and retry dependencies from adjacent calls in execution traces of real MCP services and open agent corpora, using deterministic rules rather than LLM judgment, and clusters the resulting weighted tool-composition graph into environments. Databases are synthesized only for state-mutating environments, while query and stateless tools replay recorded returns. ToolSpace then performs state-aware random walks with rollback and decompiles each chain into a natural-language task with assertion-based checks, keeping only samples that replay successfully from the initial state. Applied to AutomationBench and tau3-Bench Banking, the pipeline produces harder Pro versions on which 7 frontier models drop by up to 38.2 points. Across seven long-horizon tool-use benchmarks, ToolSpace raises Qwen3.6-35B-A3B from 23.0 to 41.0 average score (43.2 with RL) and GLM-5.2 from 44.6 to 56.6, on par with Claude Opus 5. Ablations show that execution-witnessed edges clearly outperform LLM-judged ones, and performance keeps improving with data and environment scale.

Coding Agents for Generalized Task and Motion Planning Problems

Task and motion planning (TAMP) problems remain difficult even with full observability and object-centric states because discrete decisions are tightly coupled to geometric, kinematic, and dynamic constraints. Generalized TAMP addresses this difficulty by exploiting regularities across problem instances to reduce planning effort on new instances. However, existing methods require substantial TAMP-specific engineering. We investigate whether coding agents can automate this process by synthesizing programs that generalize across instances. Given a task description and simulator access, each agent chooses how to interact with the environment while developing a program within a fixed synthesis budget. The program is then frozen and evaluated on unseen instances. We evaluate Claude Code (Opus 5) and Codex (GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra) on 28 simulated environments from KinDER and PDDLStream, with object counts beyond those evaluated in the original benchmark. Across all program synthesis methods, we evaluate 980 generated programs on 100 held-out instances each, 98,000 evaluation episodes in total. Overall, we find that coding agents are surprisingly effective at generalized TAMP: all three agent configurations outperform hand-engineered planners, one-shot generation, and an LLM-based generalized planning baseline in mean success (56% to 95% versus 47% for the planners, on the 16 environments where a planner is available). As object counts grow, the agents' programs maintain higher success than the planner, using an order of magnitude less computation per instance on average. Logs show agents using interaction to calibrate physical models, test edge cases, and refine strategies. We release all code, including the full prompts given to the agents. These findings suggest that coding agents are a strong baseline for generalized TAMP.

Plan Pointers and Record-Directive Form in Budgeted Verification of Inherited Agent Memory

An agent that inherits six one-line memories may pull at most one archived source record before acting; a directive written into the store can steer that choice: a pointer to the record, a criterion that identifies it, or both. Across twelve registered studies on one instrument lineage (14,760 attempts) we measured where the request goes under each form. On six direct-provider models a length-matched criterion exceeded a bare id by +35.0 points [+31.2, +38.8] (Study D); the contrast failed its registered superiority rule on a nine-model OpenRouter-served panel (Study E). Appending the id cancelled the criterion on three Claude models (Opus 5: 40/40 to 0/40; Study F-x); six byte-matched edits gave each exact string its own effect (Study G), and a re-run at eighty runs per cell left fifteen of thirty replication contrasts within the margin, fifteen unresolved and none beyond (Study G'). A ratification line (+96.0 points on Opus 5) and a budget of two credits restored the target on all three (Study J); across five criterion strings the suffix's cancellation held for four of the five wordings on Opus 5 and all five wordings on Fable 5.1 (Study H2); in a second store every model followed the criterion (Study H1). Continued into a decision, the criterion moved the choice toward the current record (+100.0 points, Opus 5) and away from it on Fable 5.1 (Study I). A one-character plan pointer's effect (+78.0 points; Study B, after a correction of its first repository report) returned the same verdict under a prospectively registered re-run (+81.7 points; Study B'). All results are descriptive effects of exact edits on fixed panels with registered intervals and no mechanism claim.

  • 1 authors
·
Sep 2

MobileCybench: Evaluating Agent Vulnerability Discovery via Executable Probes

AI agents now report vulnerabilities faster than maintainers can review them. Reports often depend on security properties specific to the application, and require considerable human labor to process. To mitigate this, we introduce a framework for evaluating vulnerability reports via probes, executable checks of security properties. A reported exploit is evaluated by replaying it against the application and running the probes: a triggered probe indicates both that the exploit succeeded and which security property it violated. As a probe encodes a security property rather than a known vulnerability, it can detect vulnerabilities that were not known when the probe was written. We instantiate the framework as MobileCybench, a benchmark for vulnerability discovery by AI agents in 13 Android applications, with 495 probes written and reviewed by the authors. We evaluate 5 coding agents (OpenCode with GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6-Sol, and GLM-5.2; Claude Code with Opus 4.8 and Opus 5) under 4 settings: as a malicious app on the victim's device or as a remote attacker with a low-privilege account, each with either only an obfuscated APK or access to the application's source code. Given only the obfuscated APK, the top agent, OpenCode with GPT-5.6-Sol, triggers probes in 53.8% of applications in the malicious-app setting and 16.7% in the remote-attacker setting. With source code, the trigger rate across all agents and both attack settings increases from 28.8% to 32.8%. Building and running the benchmark surfaced 23 previously unreported vulnerabilities, the majority of which have been confirmed by maintainers.

  • 24 authors
·
Sep 20

SWE-bench Science: Can Coding Agents Resolve Engineering Tasks in Science?

Software increasingly functions as part of the scientific instrument itself, making failures in scientific code capable of compromising not only program behavior but also the evidence underlying scientific conclusions. Yet existing evaluations of coding agents largely emphasize aggregate task success, providing limited insight into why agents fail when repairing scientific software. We introduce SWE-bench Science, a repository-level benchmark for scientific software engineering comprising 119 tasks from 98 GitHub repositories across 20 scientific domains. Each task is organized into one of three paradigms: Issue-driven, Expert-exploratory, and Engineering-integration. Even the best-performing agent, Claude Code with Opus-5 (max), achieves a pass@1 below 50\%, highlighting the substantial challenges posed by scientific software engineering. We identify four recurring failure mechanisms: deficits in scientific knowledge or abstraction, misguided exploration or surface-level repair, incomplete repair coverage or system integration, and failures to generalize scientific knowledge beyond observed cases in our analysis. We further conduct a paired ablation that removes explicit scientific guidance while preserving the repository and executable engineering context. The results show that scientific knowledge is not uniformly beneficial: well-grounded information can constrain repair and improve average performance and token efficiency, whereas poorly aligned guidance can induce anchoring and does not necessarily improve exact repair success. Together, SWE-bench Science provides a broad testbed for studying both the capabilities and failure mechanisms of coding agents in scientific software engineering.

OpenMOSS-Team OpenMOSS
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Aug 19 4

Terminus-4B: Can a Smaller Model Replace Frontier LLMs at Agentic Execution Tasks?

Modern coding agents increasingly delegate specialized subtasks to subagents, which are smaller, focused agentic loops that handle narrow responsibilities like search, debugging or terminal execution. This architectural pattern keeps the main agent's context window clean by isolating verbose outputs (e.g. build logs, test results, etc.) within the subagent context. Typically when agents employ subagents for such tasks, they use frontier models as these subagents. In this paper, we investigate whether a finetuned small language model (SLM) can achieve comparable performance to frontier models in the task of agentic terminal execution. We present Terminus-4B, which is a post-trained Qwen3-4B model via Supervised Finetuning (SFT) and Reinforcement Learning (RL) using rubric-based LLM-as-judge reward, specifically for this task. In our extensive evaluation spanning various frontier models, training ablations and main agent configurations, we find that Terminus-4B is able to reduce the token usage of the main agent by up to ~30% compared to the No Subagent baseline with no impact to agent performance on benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro and our internal SWE-Bench C# benchmark, which tends to be heavy in verbose execution tasks. Furthermore, Terminus-4B improves key metrics showing the main agent relying on the outputs of the subagent and doing fewer terminal execution tasks by itself. We see that our model not only closes the gap between the Vanilla Qwen model and frontier models like Claude Sonnet / Opus / GPT-5.3-Codex, but often even exceeds their performance.

  • 3 authors
·
May 3

ParetoRSI-Gym: Can AI Agents Improve Language Models Across Multiple Domains?

Recursive self-improvement (RSI) requires an agentic system to design, train, and evaluate its own successor. Data-driven post-training is a central part of that loop, yet existing evaluations measure it on a single benchmark, where an agent selects from a static pool or distills a stronger model to push one score up in one run. Real post-training is multi-domain, and a gain in one domain has to be weighed against a regression in another. We propose ParetoRSI-Gym, in which an agent searches for data, curates it, trains, reads back per-domain results, and repeats, with everything but the data held fixed: the initial LLM, the five domains (math, code, finance, medicine, science), the toolset, and the SFT pipeline. Generalization benchmarks in each domain separate capability gains from overfitting to the scores the agent optimizes against. Across three agent systems, three base models, five rounds and multiple seeds, the strongest system, Claude Code with Opus-5, raises the generalization scores of its proxy-best checkpoint by 9.2% relative to the starting model (+2.3 absolute points), averaged with equal weight over three base models and five domains, with a single-domain relative gain of up to 63% (medicine on Ministral-3-3B). Further analysis shows that the harness matters as much as the model it drives, and that each agent keeps a unique data selection strategy. We see our work as a step towards evaluation of RSI systems in real-world machine learning engineering.

  • 9 authors
·
Oct 24 2

Reimagining computational quantum research with AI scientists

AI scientists are expanding automated research across scientific domains, yet their ability to turn the scientific record into a foundation for autonomous discovery remains elusive. Here we uncover a fundamental barrier to this transition and demonstrate a route to overcome it in computational quantum science, where advances shape both what we can learn from complex quantum systems and what quantum computing can ultimately deliver. To identify this barrier, we introduce OmniQ, an expert-audited virtual research environment that converts published studies into executable reproduction tasks. Across 59 papers spanning classical simulation, quantum algorithms and quantum-property characterization, we systematically evaluate five agentic systems powered by large language models and six third-party agent harnesses. Our findings reveal that current AI scientists often fail to reproduce published results, exposing a fundamental mismatch between what scientific papers communicate and what autonomous agents require. By contrast, human expert intervention can turn these failures into successful reproductions, showing that the missing information can be identified and converted into reusable research experience. Guided by this observation, we develop Residual Agents (RA), a quantum-tailored self-improving AI scientist that distils externally verified workflow repairs into such experience. RA substantially improves research performance under fixed base models and limited adaptation budgets. For example, RA raises DeepSeek V4.1 Flash performance from 68% to 85%, matching Claude Code with Opus 5 at a third of its cost despite using a weaker base model. We integrate all reproduced results into an extensible platform built on the model context protocol, making verified research workflows directly accessible to AI scientists and allowing new scientific papers to be continuously incorporated.

  • 6 authors
·
Nov 1

How Well Do Agentic Skills Work in the Wild: Benchmarking LLM Skill Usage in Realistic Settings

Agent skills, which are reusable, domain-specific knowledge artifacts, have become a popular mechanism for extending LLM-based agents, yet formally benchmarking skill usage performance remains scarce. Existing skill benchmarking efforts focus on overly idealized conditions, where LLMs are directly provided with hand-crafted, narrowly-tailored task-specific skills for each task, whereas in many realistic settings, the LLM agent may have to search for and select relevant skills on its own, and even the closest matching skills may not be well-tailored for the task. In this paper, we conduct the first comprehensive study of skill utility under progressively challenging realistic settings, where agents must retrieve skills from a large collection of 34k real-world skills and may not have access to any hand-curated skills. Our findings reveal that the benefits of skills are fragile: performance gains degrade consistently as settings become more realistic, with pass rates approaching no-skill baselines in the most challenging scenarios. To narrow this gap, we study skill refinement strategies, including query-specific and query-agnostic approaches, and we show that query-specific refinement substantially recovers lost performance when the initial skills are of reasonable relevance and quality. We further demonstrate the generality of retrieval and refinement on Terminal-Bench 2.0, where they improve the pass rate of Claude Opus 4.6 from 57.7% to 65.5%. Our results, consistent across multiple models, highlight both the promise and the current limitations of skills for LLM-based agents. Our code is available at https://github.com/UCSB-NLP-Chang/Skill-Usage.

Adaptive Adversaries: A Multi-Turn, Multi-LLM Benchmark for LLM Agent Security

LLM-based agents process external content, exposing them to prompt injection and multi-turn manipulation. Most safety benchmarks evaluate defenders against fixed attack pools collected before evaluation, single-turn or multi-turn. We present a 21-scenario benchmark for adaptive multi-round attacks against memoryless LLM defenders: an autonomous LLM attacker observes prior defender responses and pivots across rounds, while each defender response is evaluated as a fresh interaction. Holding the 21 scenarios, attackers, defenders, and structured-output scoring fixed, restricting scoring to the first attacker turn yields 0-1% attack success rate (ASR); allowing 15 rounds of adaptive attack yields 5.4-14.0%. Pooling three frontier attacker LLMs uncovers 1.4-2.2times as many unique successful attacks as the best single attacker, and the generated attacks have low cosine similarity (0.02-0.14) to attacks in existing benchmarks. Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 are tied in aggregate (5.4% each; overlapping 95% CIs), but their weaknesses differ sharply: on one scenario Opus reaches 60% ASR (95% CI 36--80%) while GPT-5.4 and Gemini each stay at 7% (CI 1-30%; the gap is preserved in a higher-N replication). 13 of 21 scenarios distinguish at least one defender pair, yet rankings disagree across scenarios (Kendall's W = 0.19). We release the benchmark -- 21 evaluation scenarios, 10 public development scenarios, the orchestrator, baseline harnesses, and a multi-attacker CLI -- plus 945 transcripts from the 3times3 frontier matrix, an attack-replay dataset, and 18{,}422 gpt-oss-20b battles from an open competition's final scoring rounds.

  • 3 authors
·
Jul 19

CEO-Bench: Can Agents Play the Long Game?

Language model agents are becoming proficient executors at isolated, short-horizon tasks such as software engineering and customer service. Yet real-world challenges require a combination of sophisticated skills that remain largely untested in agents: (1) navigating long horizons amid uncertainty; (2) acquiring information in noisy environments; (3) adapting to a changing world; (4) orchestrating multiple moving parts toward a coherent goal. We introduce CEO-Bench, which evaluates these capabilities together by simulating a representative real-world task: operating a startup for 500 days. An agent manages pricing, marketing, budgeting, and many other aspects of a fictional company through a programmable Python interface, operating in the same environment and facing the same challenges as a human CEO. Success demands analyzing noisy, interconnected business databases, translating signals into sound strategy, and coordinating many decisions with programming. The strongest agents write sophisticated code that simulates customer cohorts to forecast future cash and mines negotiation history to uncover hidden customer preferences. Even so, most state-of-the-art models struggle in this environment. Only Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5.5 finish above the $1M starting balance, and neither consistently turns a profit. CEO-Bench takes a first step toward measuring the intelligence required to drive sustained, adaptive progress over time.

  • 3 authors
·
Jun 15 1

ORQA: An Occupation-Realistic Question and Answer Framework for LLM Professional Knowledge

We present ORQA, a method for testing occupation-level knowledge in large language models. Prior methods either map abstract LLM skills to occupations via task definitions or utilize expert knowledge which is difficult to obtain at scale and expensive. ORQA complements both of these methods by connecting O*NET occupations to trusted occupation-specific websites (such as regulatory agencies, licensing bodies, professional organizations, and government publications) and converting these into source-traceable question-answer pairs. A combination of an automated pipeline and human review produces a set of high quality questions about occupations. The question set created via our method covers 116 occupations from all 21 major groups in the SOC, with 480 questions sourced from 187 different websites. Each question is designed to probe a real-world skill question that is relevant to the occupation in question. We test 15 state-of-the-art frontier and open-weight models via this method. Claude Opus 4.6, GPT-5.4 and Claude Sonnet 4.6 all perform the best at approximately 58-62% while smaller open-weight models achieve approximately 33-41% performance. Performance varies significantly across occupations. Healthcare-related occupations achieve the highest performance (78%) while Office and Administrative Support achieve approximately 40%. Performance on individual occupations (e.g. Sheet Metal Workers and Fish and Game Wardens) is essentially zero. We also find that open-ended questions and weighting by wage bill do not significantly affect the ranking of models on this benchmark. We believe that leveraging existing trusted occupation-specific information to test LLM knowledge in professional domains may be a scalable and useful method for evaluating occupation-level AI performance in the future. Results and data are available at orqabench.org.

  • 3 authors
·
Sep 10

EnterpriseBench Corecraft: Training Generalizable Agents on High-Fidelity RL Environments

We show that training AI agents on high-fidelity reinforcement learning environments produces capabilities that generalize beyond the training distribution. We introduce CoreCraft, the first environment in EnterpriseBench, Surge AI's suite of agentic RL environments. CoreCraft is a fully operational enterprise simulation of a customer support organization, comprising over 2,500 entities across 14 entity types with 23 unique tools, designed to measure whether AI agents can perform the multi-step, domain-specific work that real jobs demand. Frontier models such as GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 solve fewer than 30% of tasks when all expert-authored rubric criteria must be satisfied. Using this environment, we train GLM 4.6 with Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and adaptive clipping. After a single epoch of training, the model improves from 25.37% to 36.76% task pass rate on held-out evaluation tasks. More importantly, these gains transfer to out-of-distribution benchmarks: +4.5% on BFCL Parallel, +7.4% on Tau2-Bench Retail, and +6.8% on Tool Decathlon (Pass@1). We believe three environment properties are consistent with the observed transfer: task-centric world building that optimizes for diverse, challenging tasks; expert-authored rubrics enabling reliable reward computation; and enterprise workflows that reflect realistic professional patterns. Our results suggest that environment quality, diversity, and realism are key factors enabling generalizable agent capabilities.

  • 6 authors
·
Feb 17

Evolving Agent Interfaces

Computer-use agents are limited by the interfaces humans give them. An agent may type a spreadsheet cell by cell when a single line of code would do, or print all two thousand lines of a file through a shell to find one function. Both the interfaces and the knowledge of when to use each are built by hand, which cannot keep pace with new applications, workflows, and models. We argue that interface design should itself be an agent capability. We introduce Agent S4, an autonomous computer-use scientist that builds Evolving Agent Interfaces from task experience. A meta-agent examines task agents' trajectories on synthetic training tasks, without success labels, and constructs and revises interfaces and usage knowledge in a repository. Population-based evolution then selects which repositories to develop further by their performance on validation tasks the meta-agent never sees, favoring changes that generalize beyond the seen tasks. On OSWorld V2, Agent S4, with Qwen3.8-27B and the evolved repository of interfaces, sets a new state of the art in open-source computer-use agents, reaching 21.3% binary score, 3.8 times the same model with fixed interfaces. This is above both GPT-5.5 (13.0%) and Claude Opus 4.8 (20.6%), at about 4.3% and 1.5% of their respective costs. On ScienceBoard, the evolved interfaces improve the success rate from 41.4% to 58.6% with the same model. These results suggest that useful interfaces can be evolved from experience, making autonomous interface design a source of improvement complementary to advances in models and harnesses. We open-source our code at https://github.com/simular-ai/agent-s.

  • 8 authors
·
Oct 19 2

Rethinking the Evaluation of Harness Evolution for Agents

We revisit the evaluation of automatic harness evolution for LLM agents. Existing harness evolution methods use unit test cases to search for harness configurations and then report final performance on the same public benchmark. This protocol raises two fundamental concerns. First, harness evolution is itself an iterative search procedure that repeatedly evaluates and revises candidate harnesses using task feedback. As in agentic test-time scaling, it should therefore be compared with simple task-level search baselines under matched feedback and inference budgets to determine whether its gains arise from improved harness design or from additional search alone. Second, because the search and the final evaluation share the same benchmark, the reported gains risk overfitting to that specific task set. To address these concerns, we conduct an extensive evaluation comparing harness evolution with simple test-time scaling and discovery baselines under comparable feedback and inference budgets, and also evaluate evolved harnesses on held-out tasks to assess whether the discovered improvements generalize. Experiments on Terminal-Bench 2.1 with GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus 4.6 show that automatic harness evolution does not consistently outperform simple test-time scaling methods and exhibits limited generalization. Our results raise important questions about the effectiveness of automatic harness evolution and highlight the need for fairer evaluation protocols and benchmarks for automatic harness design. Our code is available at https://github.com/rethinking-harness-evolution.

Do Large Language Models Know What They Don't Know? Kalshibench: A New Benchmark for Evaluating Epistemic Calibration via Prediction Markets

A well-calibrated model should express confidence that matches its actual accuracy -- when it claims 80\% confidence, it should be correct 80\% of the time. While large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable performance across diverse tasks, their epistemic calibration remains poorly understood. We introduce KalshiBench, a benchmark of 300 prediction market questions from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, with verifiable real-world outcomes occurring after model training cutoffs. Unlike traditional benchmarks measuring accuracy on static knowledge, KalshiBench evaluates whether models can appropriately quantify uncertainty about genuinely unknown future events. We evaluate five frontier models -- Claude Opus 4.5, GPT-5.2, DeepSeek-V3.2, Qwen3-235B, and Kimi-K2 -- and find systematic overconfidence across all models. Even the best-calibrated model (Claude Opus 4.5, ECE=0.120) shows substantial calibration errors, while reasoning-enhanced models like GPT-5.2-XHigh exhibit worse calibration (ECE=0.395) despite comparable accuracy. Critically, only one model achieves a positive Brier Skill Score, indicating most models perform worse than simply predicting base rates. Our findings suggest that scaling and enhanced reasoning do not automatically confer calibration benefits, highlighting epistemic calibration as a distinct capability requiring targeted development.

  • 1 authors
·
Dec 17, 2025

DPBench: Structural Determinants of Multi-Agent LLM Coordination Under Simultaneous Resource Contention

We present DPBench, a benchmark for evaluating coordination in multi-agent systems built from large language models. Existing benchmarks measure task-level success under a fixed protocol; the structural conditions under which coordination succeeds or fails at all have not been characterised. DPBench adapts the Dining Philosophers problem into a controlled testbed where the action protocol, the communication structure, and the group size each vary independently. We evaluate six agents: GPT-5.2, Claude Opus 4.5, Grok 4.1, Gemini 2.5 Flash, Llama 4 Maverick, and a uniform-random baseline. Under simultaneous action at N=5 with the default prompt, deadlock ranges from 25.0% (95% Wilson CI [11.2, 46.9]) for GPT-5.2 to 90.0% [74.4, 96.5] for Gemini 2.5 Flash; sequential action is solved by four of the six. Holding the model fixed at Gemini 2.5 Flash, three protocol variables drive deadlock from 90% to within CI of zero: three rounds of pre-commitment communication (0.0% vs. single-round 86.7%), a prompt encoding a classical concurrency primitive (0.0% for resource-ordering and symmetry-breaking, against 100% for the minimal prompt), or doubling the group from N=5 to N=10 (90.0% to 10.0%). Single-round messaging and memory of past timesteps do not change the rate at the sample size we ran. Whether the same model coordinates or deadlocks is determined by the protocol, not by the model's capability.

  • 2 authors
·
Jun 2

Do LLMs Hold Their Values? MANTA: A Multi-Turn Adversarial Benchmark for Animal Welfare Reasoning

Evaluating animal welfare reasoning in LLMs remains an open challenge despite rapid deployment in consumer and professional contexts where welfare considerations appear implicitly in everyday queries. Existing benchmarks such as AnimalHarmBench evaluate this through single-turn, explicitly framed questions, measuring whether models avoid harmful content when directly asked. This approach overlooks two failure modes: alignment degradation under sustained adversarial pressure, and moral sensitivity (whether a model spontaneously surfaces welfare stakes in everyday queries). To fill this gap, we construct MANTA, a benchmark of 1,088 five-turn conversations progressing from an implicit Turn-1 scenario through an explicit welfare prompt to three adversarial pressure rounds drawn from a five-type taxonomy: Social, Cultural, Economic, Pragmatic, and Epistemic. We score conversations on two dimensions: Animal Welfare Value Stability (AWVS, primary) and Animal Welfare Moral Sensitivity (AWMS, diagnostic). We evaluate seven frontier models: Claude Opus 4.7, GPT-5.5, DeepSeek V4, Llama 3.3 70B, Mistral Small, Grok 4.3, and Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite. Multi-turn evaluation captures behavior single-turn benchmarks miss: 4 of 7 models change rank relative to Turn 1 scores, including Gemini Flash Lite, which drops from fifth on AWMS to last on AWVS. AWMS and AWVS are positively but imperfectly correlated, suggesting moral-recognition tests capture a stable but incomplete component of model behavior under pressure. MANTA also enables a species-by-pressure interaction matrix unavailable to prior benchmarks, showing welfare robustness depends jointly on the animal and pressure applied; companion animals score above wild animals, which score above farmed animals and invertebrates. We release the dataset, scripted pressure plans, judge prompts, and analysis code.

  • 8 authors
·
Jun 2

MatrAIx: Simulating the World with 8.3 Billion Persona Agents

Human evaluation of AI systems and digital products is costly, slow, and difficult to scale. Offline evaluations are more scalable but often abstract away human diversity and interactive behavior. We therefore introduce MatrAIx, a population-scale simulated-user evaluation infrastructure for testing AI systems and digital products with heterogeneous users. MatrAIx has three core components: First, Persona 8B contains 8.3 billion persona records represented by 1,290 categorical dimensions. Records are either sampled from a dependency graph that preserves correlated attributes or derived from human-authored profiles. We release a quality-filtered coreset of approximately 1 million personas, comprising 599,847 human-grounded and 400,000 synthetic records. Second, the MatrAIx Playground provides four environments in which diverse users evaluate and interact with digital products: Survey, AI Chatbot, Web, and App. Third, MatrAIx provides 1,010 application tasks spanning more than 25 domains, including Commerce, Software, Finance, and Healthcare. We conducted 18,189 evaluation trials across eight representative tasks. Persona agents were powered by three LLMs: Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5, and Claude Haiku 4.5. The resulting feedback captures how decisions and preferences vary across persona backgrounds, including hesitation after a price increase, willingness to continue after an AI assistant fails, and latency tolerance. We conducted two main validation studies: First, a 400-trial controlled study evaluated persona adherence across ten behavioral attributes and all four environments. The declared behavior was expressed or correctly suppressed in 366 trials (91.5%). Second, human and LLM judges evaluated the extraction quality of human-grounded personas. Overall, MatrAIx provides an end-to-end infrastructure for evaluating AI systems and digital products with diverse simulated human users.

MatrAIx2026 MatrAIx
·
Aug 3 4

Calibrated Trust, Not Sharper Prediction: An Empirical Test of Uncertainty Fusion

A recurring proposal in legal AI is to improve case-outcome prediction by fusing uncertainty tools (evidence graphs with belief propagation, sequential Bayesian odds updating, Dempster-Shafer combination, and conformal prediction) into one pipeline. We test this on 1,000 real European Court of Human Rights cases from LexGLUE and FairLex, predicting whether the Court found a Convention violation from the case's fact paragraphs. We compare three families across two frontier LLMs (Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5.5) as per-fact evidence estimators: (A) the raw LLM, (B) the LLM routed through the fusion pipeline, and (C) a term-frequency baseline through the same pipeline. Across roughly 4,750 tests we find: (1) on discrimination (AUROC around 0.83) the pipeline yields no improvement over either the raw LLM or the baseline; a frontier LLM used directly is the strongest single discriminator. (2) Naively composing an LLM with Bayesian-odds and Dempster-Shafer fusion more than doubles calibration error (ECE from about 0.16 to 0.46) via a prior-mismatch mechanism that replicates across both models. (3) Dempster-Shafer fusion is actively unsafe on long chains, committing confidently to wrong labels at below-chance accuracy; we recommend removing it. (4) The pipeline's genuine value is operational: routed through a conformal selective-prediction layer, the system decides which cases to automate and which to escalate. After removing Dempster-Shafer, recalibrating, and applying class-conditional risk control on the full 1,000-case set, the tuned engine auto-clears at 96.8 percent accuracy with 0.5 percent errors escaping and 96.3 percent caught for review, versus 85.9 / 3.8 / 72.1 for an untuned baseline. The contribution of such pipelines in law is calibrated trust, not sharper prediction.

  • 1 authors
·
Jul 10

Just A Rather Very Intelligent Spoken Agent

Long-horizon AI agents are becoming increasingly capable, yet their interaction with users remains surprisingly thin. In most workflows, users give an initial instruction, receive only selective textual updates, and lose a clear sense of what the agent is doing or when to step in. This leaves a missing part in the current agent ecosystem: an always-on Jarvis-style mediator that keeps the agent continuously reachable to the user. Such a mediator should support real-time spoken interaction with the user, answer questions without interrupting the worker, proactively report progress or confusion, and inject user guidance back into the agent's execution when useful. In this work, we introduce JarvisBench, a benchmark for measuring the dual value of mediation in long-horizon agent workflows. JarvisBench contains two complementary tracks: an agent-collaboration track that measures whether mediation improves downstream task completion, and a user-interaction track that measures whether mediation makes ongoing execution more understandable, responsive, and accessible to users. We instantiate the benchmark with a modular reference Jarvis prototype and evaluate it on 34 text-only WildClaw tasks executed in OpenClaw. Preliminary results with GPT-5.5, Claude Opus 4.7, Gemini-based, and GPT-based worker agents suggest that Jarvis-style mediation can provide trace-grounded responses to user questions and improve task performance when sparse user guidance is injected at appropriate moments. The results also show that effectiveness depends strongly on the mediator's LLM brain, highlighting both the promise of this missing middle layer and the need for broader community effort. Demo page https://cchen1436.github.io/jarvis

  • 2 authors
·
Jul 17

HydroAgent: Closing the Gap Between Frontier LLMs and Human Experts in Hydrologic Model Calibration via Simulator-Grounded RL

Calibrating distributed hydrologic models is a critical bottleneck across operational water resources management - streamflow prediction, reservoir operation, drought monitoring, infrastructure design, and flood forecasting all depend on it. Each basin demands an expert to translate hydrograph signatures into adjustments of a high-dimensional parameter vector, and the resulting workflow does not transfer between watersheds. We ask: can frontier large language model (LLM) agents replace the human hydrologic modeler, and if not, what would it take? We benchmark nine frontier LLM agents - Claude Opus 4.6/4.7, Sonnet 4.6, GPT-5/5.4/5.4-pro, and Gemini 2.5-pro/3.1-pro/3-flash - on the operational CREST distributed hydrologic model used by the U.S. National Weather Service for flash-flood forecasting. Best-of-twenty-rounds Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) across four held-out gauges spanning 329-40,792 km2 ranges from -0.16 (GPT-5.4) to 0.75 (Sonnet 4.6); the ceiling reproduces across all three vendors and capability tiers, with the strongest models concentrating in the 0.65-0.75 band, and no model reaches the human-expert reference except Opus-4.7 on one gauge. We argue this gap is not a parameter-count problem but a domain-grounding problem. We then propose HYDROAGENT, fine-tuning open-weight Qwen3-4B with supervised fine-tuning on 2,576 expert calibration trajectories and Group-Relative Policy Optimization using NSE as a verifiable reward from online CREST simulations - reinforcement learning with simulation feedback (RLSF). For Earth system science, a small domain-tuned policy with simulator-in-the-loop RL is a more compute-efficient and physically faithful path than scaling generic frontier models, and the multi-modal richness of Earth data - remote sensing, in-situ time series, and forecaster narrative - makes domain agents a leveraged direction for AI in physical science.

  • 7 authors
·
May 17

Metal-Sci: A Scientific Compute Benchmark for Evolutionary LLM Kernel Search on Apple Silicon

We present Metal-Sci, a 10-task benchmark of scientific Apple Silicon Metal compute kernels spanning six optimization regimes (stencils, all-pairs in n-body problems, multi-field Boltzmann, neighbor-list molecular dynamics, multi-kernel PDE, FFT). Each task ships a CPU reference, a roofline-anchored fitness function, and a held-out generalization size. We pair the benchmark with a lightweight harness for automatic kernel search that runtime-compiles each candidate, scores it against the roofline across multiple sizes, and feeds structured compile and per-size correctness diagnostics back to a frozen LLM driving a (1{+}1) evolutionary loop. We report matched single-model sweeps of Claude Opus 4.7, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and GPT 5.5 on M1 Pro: in-distribution self-speedups span 1.00times to 10.7times. Beyond raw speedup, our central methodological claim is structural: the held-out gate scoring function Φ_T (evaluated once at end-of-run on a configuration the agent never sees during search) functions as a cheap mechanical oversight primitive on this automatic search loop, catching e.g. an Opus template <uint D> HMC win that returns wrong samples at unseen dimensions, and a GPT FFT3D best that wins in-distribution at 2.95times speedup but collapses to 0.23times on a 256^3 held-out cube, a silent regression that the in-distribution score alone cannot see. Code at https://github.com/vicgalle/metal-sci-kernels

  • 1 authors
·
May 9 1

Enginuity: A Dataset and Benchmark for Vision-Language Understanding of Engineering Diagrams

Engineering diagrams pose a distinct challenge for vision-language models: unlike natural images or general documents, they encode information through dense spatial layouts, domain-specific symbols, and cross-references between visual callouts and structured parts tables. Despite their centrality to service, repair, and design workflows, there is no public benchmark for measuring VLM capabilities in this domain; existing datasets primarily focus on flowcharts, scientific figures, or business documents. To address this gap, we introduce Enginuity, the first open dataset and benchmark for evaluating VLMs on complex engineering diagrams. We define two tasks over a corpus of U.S. military service and repair manuals: structured parts-table extraction (Task 1) and free-form visual diagram question answering (VQA)(Task 2) for benchmarking. We evaluate four frontier VLMs (GPT-5.2 Chat, Claude Opus 4.7, Gemma 4, Qwen3-VL-32B-Instruct) under zero-shot and chain-of-thought prompting. On Task 1, models reach Recall@all of 0.61-0.87 but Token F1pen of only 0.03-0.18, exposing a systematic gap between part identification and description fidelity. Task 2 reveals a consistent factual-reasoning gap across all models. A supporting analysis shows that token-overlap metrics under-report model capability on technical descriptions by 2-6x relative to semantic similarity, motivating LLM-as-judge calibration for domain-specific evaluation. We release the dataset, annotations, evaluation harness, and per-sample model outputs to support a reproducible study of VLM capability on engineering content.

  • 6 authors
·
Jun 1

An Independent Safety Evaluation of Kimi K2.5

Kimi K2.5 is an open-weight LLM that rivals closed models across coding, multimodal, and agentic benchmarks, but was released without an accompanying safety evaluation. In this work, we conduct a preliminary safety assessment of Kimi K2.5 focusing on risks likely to be exacerbated by powerful open-weight models. Specifically, we evaluate the model for CBRNE misuse risk, cybersecurity risk, misalignment, political censorship, bias, and harmlessness, in both agentic and non-agentic settings. We find that Kimi K2.5 shows similar dual-use capabilities to GPT 5.2 and Claude Opus 4.5, but with significantly fewer refusals on CBRNE-related requests, suggesting it may uplift malicious actors in weapon creation. On cyber-related tasks, we find that Kimi K2.5 demonstrates competitive cybersecurity performance, but it does not appear to possess frontier-level autonomous cyberoffensive capabilities such as vulnerability discovery and exploitation. We further find that Kimi K2.5 shows concerning levels of sabotage ability and self-replication propensity, although it does not appear to have long-term malicious goals. In addition, Kimi K2.5 exhibits narrow censorship and political bias, especially in Chinese, and is more compliant with harmful requests related to spreading disinformation and copyright infringement. Finally, we find the model refuses to engage in user delusions and generally has low over-refusal rates. While preliminary, our findings highlight how safety risks exist in frontier open-weight models and may be amplified by the scale and accessibility of open-weight releases. Therefore, we strongly urge open-weight model developers to conduct and release more systematic safety evaluations required for responsible deployment.

  • 15 authors
·
Apr 2

ORCA: Evaluating LLMs on Data Science Code Translation

Data Science Code Translation (DSCT) is the process of converting code between data science libraries while preserving functional equivalence and enabling interoperability across data science ecosystems. While Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated considerable progress in Data Science Code Generation (DSCG), their performance in DSCT remains insufficiently studied. To address this gap, we introduce ORCA, a comprehensive benchmark with two complementary settings: ORCA-MAIN, which comprises 1,600 carefully curated grounding-level tasks across 3 representative domains: Data Querying, Data Manipulation, and Deep Learning; and ORCA-PROJECT, which contains 200 translation tasks over complete data science projects across 7 data science task types. Each task is accompanied by annotated reference translations and test cases for validating functional equivalence. We further incorporate a multi-stage quality verification process that thoroughly verifies task correctness and test case robustness. Experimental results demonstrate challenges in DSCT, with even frontier LLMs showing limited performance. Specifically, Claude-Opus-4.6 achieves a success rate of 56.92% on ORCA-MAIN and 33.67% on ORCA-PROJECT, indicating considerable room for improvement in DSCT. We also observe a clear directional preference in DSCT, where translation is consistently easier when the source code expresses the task through more explicit, fine-grained operations. Motivated by this, we propose an intent-augmented method, in which the model first infers source-code intent and then uses it as additional context for translation, achieving average absolute success-rate gains of 4.80% and 5.33% on ORCA-MAIN and ORCA-PROJECT, respectively.

  • 8 authors
·
Sep 24

AptMQL-Bench: From Text-to-SQL to Text-to-MQL via Access-Pattern Schema Design and Data-Preserving Migration

Document databases such as MongoDB are core infrastructure for modern applications, and natural-language interfaces to them---text-to-MQL---would let non-experts query complex, semi-structured data without mastering the query language. Progress on this task depends on high-quality benchmarks, which are most practically obtained by converting an existing text-to-SQL benchmark to the document setting. Unfortunately, existing efforts rely on heuristics for mechanical conversion: the document schema mirrors the relational foreign-key graph, and each query mirrors its source SQL. As a result in our experiments, these approaches fail to migrate 6 of 21 BIRD databases outright, silently drop up to 25.9\% of rows on others, and yield schemas whose ground-truth queries run over an order of magnitude slower as the data scales. We instead propose a conversion pipeline, driven by coding agents with human-in-the-loop verification, that designs each document schema from expected access patterns and rewrites queries to be MongoDB-native. Applying it to BIRD, we build an access-pattern-based text-to-MQL benchmark (AptMQL-Bench). It includes 21 document-oriented databases, 3,186 natural-language requests, and their associated MQL queries---whose databases are migrated from SQLite without data loss and scale efficiently. The strongest model, Claude Opus 4.5, achieves only 57.38\% accuracy without external knowledge evidence and 70.34\% with it. This indicates that realistic text-to-MQL generation remains challenging.

  • 3 authors
·
Oct 1

BigCodeArena: Unveiling More Reliable Human Preferences in Code Generation via Execution

Crowdsourced model evaluation platforms, such as Chatbot Arena, enable real-time evaluation from human perspectives to assess the quality of model responses. In the coding domain, manually examining the quality of LLM-generated content is extremely challenging, as it requires understanding long chunks of raw code and deliberately simulating code execution. To this end, we introduce BigCodeArena, an open human evaluation platform for code generation backed by a comprehensive and on-the-fly execution environment. Built on top of Chatbot Arena, BigCodeArena enables the execution of LLM-generated code and allows humans to interact with the execution process and outcomes. We collected over 14,000 raw code-centric conversation sessions across 10 widely used LLMs, spanning 10 languages and 8 types of execution environments. Among these conversations, we identified more than 4,700 multi-turn samples with pairwise human preferences. Further analysis uncovers underexplored preferences of LLMs in fine-grained domains characterized by tasks, languages, and frameworks. To systematically examine code understanding and generation capabilities of frontier LLMs, we curated two benchmarks based on the collected data, namely BigCodeReward and AutoCodeArena. For BigCodeReward, we post-processed the 4,700 conversations and evaluated the consistency between reward models and human preferences. The evaluation shows that most LLMs have superior performance in judging coding preferences when the execution results are available. Inspired by these findings, we propose AutoCodeArena, an automatic Elo rating benchmark designed to assess the coding quality of LLMs without human involvement. We find that proprietary LLMs like GPT-5, Claude-Sonnet-4, and Claude-Opus-4 still lead in code generation performance among recent emerging models.

bigcode BigCode
·
Oct 9, 2025 3

BTGenBot-2: Efficient Behavior Tree Generation with Small Language Models

Recent advances in robot learning increasingly rely on LLM-based task planning, leveraging their ability to bridge natural language with executable actions. While prior works showcased great performances, the widespread adoption of these models in robotics has been challenging as 1) existing methods are often closed-source or computationally intensive, neglecting the actual deployment on real-world physical systems, and 2) there is no universally accepted, plug-and-play representation for robotic task generation. Addressing these challenges, we propose BTGenBot-2, a 1B-parameter open-source small language model that directly converts natural language task descriptions and a list of robot action primitives into executable behavior trees in XML. Unlike prior approaches, BTGenBot-2 enables zero-shot BT generation, error recovery at inference and runtime, while remaining lightweight enough for resource-constrained robots. We further introduce the first standardized benchmark for LLM-based BT generation, covering 52 navigation and manipulation tasks in NVIDIA Isaac Sim. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that BTGenBot-2 consistently outperforms GPT-5, Claude Opus 4.1, and larger open-source models across both functional and non-functional metrics, achieving average success rates of 90.38% in zero-shot and 98.07% in one-shot, while delivering up to 16x faster inference compared to the previous BTGenBot.

AIRLab-POLIMI AIRLab
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Feb 2

NormAct: A Benchmark for Hidden Social Norm Compliance in Embodied Planning

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) are increasingly deployed as embodied planners in egocentric environments, where task success requires not only achieving instructed goals but also acting in socially appropriate ways. While explicit goals may render certain actions optimal, implicit social norms often impose hidden constraints. Existing evaluations typically focus on explicit goal achievement or direct norm knowledge, seldom assessing whether planners can infer and apply these hidden constraints within action sequences. We introduce NormAct, a benchmark for embodied social-norm interactions that evaluates plans on Goal Achievement, Norm Compliance, and overall Task Success. NormAct uniquely embeds hidden norms within ordinary tasks, testing whether models can realize them without explicit instruction. Experiments with state-of-the-art MLLMs (GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.7, Gemini 3 Pro) reveal a significant gap: models achieve explicit goals in 67.3\% of cases, but comply with hidden norms in only 26.4\%. Cue-condition experiments indicate that this gap stems not from a lack of general social knowledge, but from challenges in activating and grounding relevant norms in context. To address this, we propose NormPerceptor, a context-conditioned cue generator that infers scene-relevant norms prior to planning, increasing Task Success from 24.2\% to 46.7\%. Our results underscore the importance of enabling embodied agents to proactively detect hidden norms, ground them in visual evidence, and integrate them as action-planning constraints. Our benchmark is publicly available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/Caleb196x/NormAct.

  • 10 authors
·
Jun 25

OSWorld2.0: Benchmarking Computer Use Agents on Long-Horizon Real-World Tasks

Existing computer-use benchmarks fail to capture the realism, complexity, and long-horizon demands of real-world computer use, limiting their ability to reveal the limitations of frontier agents. We introduce OSWorld 2.0, a benchmark of 108 long-horizon computer-use workflows across everyday and professional tasks, designed to capture complex and challenging real-world phenomena. Each task represents a realistic end-to-end workflow that takes human users a median of about 1.6 hours to complete and requires an average of 318 tool calls with Claude Opus 4.7 using maximum thinking, compared with about 30 in OSWorld 1.0. OSWorld 2.0 targets challenge phenomena that are common in real workflows yet underrepresented in prior benchmarks, spanning interaction-design challenges such as streaming interaction and dynamic environments, as well as agent-pattern challenges such as cross-source reasoning, implicit-state inference, and visual-spatial precision. Tasks are grounded in authentic input artifacts and cross-referenced against realistic stateful user profile data, and include separate safety reports auditing safety-sensitive execution. Under our primary binary-completion metric at 500 steps, Claude Opus 4.8 with maximum thinking and batched tool calls scores best but still completes only 20.6% of tasks at a 54.8% partial score; GPT-5.5 is far more token-efficient yet plateaus near 13%. These results show that current agents are still far from professional-level computer use: rather than stumbling on basic GUI control or coding, they lose track of constraints, miss information that arrives mid-task, guess rather than ask the user, and skip verification, struggling most when a task hinges on hidden state they must recover.

  • 36 authors
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Jun 27 1

Small Average Error, Wide Individual Error: General-Purpose LLMs Estimating Energy Intake from Meal Photos in a Feeding Trial

Photo-based estimation of food energy could ease dietary assessment, and general-purpose multimodal large language models (LLMs) make such estimates easy to obtain. Most evaluations use one photo taken before eating and compare with energy served, while dietary assessment needs energy eaten. We evaluated six models from two vendors (Claude Haiku, Sonnet and Opus 5.5; GPT-6 luna, 6.1 sol and 6 astra) on 802 meals from ACETADA, a controlled feeding trial with weighed intake, with the before photo only, before and after photos in separate calls (subtraction), or both photos in one request. Three results ran against intuition. Subtraction under-estimated intake for five of six models, because the models still report hundreds of kilocalories for a nearly empty tray. Scaling the before-only estimate by the average share eaten (0.87) matched much of the gain from the after photo; beyond that constant, the second photo lowered meal-level error by only 2.2 to 3.4 points, mainly in meals with food left. With one photo, two models had a near-zero intake bias only because they under-estimated the served energy and ignored uneaten food. In ablations, adding the after photo improved accuracy under both prompt formats for five models, while prompt effects varied across models. Over 148 feeding days, three models kept the 90% confidence interval of their mean error within a pre-set 10% margin, but no model reached the pre-set 30% limits of agreement. Protein was under-estimated by every model, most in protein-dense meals; repeated calls changed error by at most 1.4 points; a high reasoning effort helped only the smallest model (4.2 points) and changed the others by less than 1 point. A low average bias is not evidence of accurate individual intake estimation; such estimates should support, not replace, assessment by a dietitian.

  • 1 authors
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Oct 18

Does Inference Scaling Improve Reasoning Faithfulness? A Multi-Model Analysis of Self-Consistency Tradeoffs

Self-consistency has emerged as a popular technique for improving large language model accuracy on reasoning tasks. The approach is straightforward: generate multiple reasoning paths and select the most common answer through majority voting. While this reliably boosts accuracy, it remains unclear whether these gains reflect genuine improvements in reasoning quality. We investigate a fundamental question that has not been studied before: does inference scaling improve reasoning faithfulness? We conduct a comprehensive empirical study across four frontier models (GPT-5.2, Claude Opus 4.5, Gemini-3-flash-preview, and DeepSeek-v3.2) on 100 GSM8K mathematical reasoning problems. Our analysis employs bootstrap confidence intervals, McNemar's tests for paired comparisons, and Cohen's d effect sizes to quantify the effects rigorously. The results reveal striking differences across models that challenge common assumptions about self-consistency. GPT-5.2 shows the expected pattern: accuracy improves from 78% to 90% at N=5, with faithfulness remaining relatively stable (0.540 to 0.510). Claude Opus 4.5 tells a completely different story. Its accuracy actually drops from 78% to 74.3% while faithfulness jumps dramatically from 0.270 to 0.891 at N=5. DeepSeek-v3.2, already at 98% accuracy, shows ceiling effects with modest faithfulness gains (0.440 to 0.541). Gemini-3-flash improves from 81% to 86% accuracy with a slight faithfulness decrease (0.260 to 0.212). Problem difficulty analysis reveals that GPT-5.2 solves 82% of hard problems while breaking only 13% of easy ones. Claude, in contrast, breaks 23% of easy problems, explaining its accuracy decrease. These findings matter for practitioners: self-consistency is not universally beneficial, and teams should test their specific models before deployment. We release our code and provide practical recommendations for navigating these tradeoffs.

  • 1 authors
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Jan 9 2

Can Current Agents Close the Discovery-to-Application Gap? A Case Study in Minecraft

Discovering causal regularities and applying them to build functional systems--the discovery-to-application loop--is a hallmark of general intelligence, yet evaluating this capacity has been hindered by the vast complexity gap between scientific discovery and real-world engineering. We introduce SciCrafter, a Minecraft-based benchmark that operationalizes this loop through parameterized redstone circuit tasks. Agents must ignite lamps in specified patterns (e.g., simultaneously or in timed sequences); scaling target parameters substantially increases construction complexity and required knowledge, forcing genuine discovery rather than reliance on memorized solutions. Evaluating frontier models including GPT-5.2, Gemini-3-Pro, and Claude-Opus-4.5 under a general-purpose code agent scaffold, we find that all plateau at approximately 26% success rate. To diagnose these failures, we decompose the loop into four capacities--knowledge gap identification, experimental discovery, knowledge consolidation, and knowledge application--and design targeted interventions whose marginal contributions serve as proxies for corresponding gaps. Our analysis reveals that although the general knowledge application capability still remains as the biggest gap across all models, for frontier models the knowledge gap identification starts to become a major hurdle--indicating the bottleneck is shifting from solving problems right to raising the right problems for current AI. We release SciCrafter as a diagnostic probe for future research on AI systems that navigate the full discovery-to-application loop.

  • 12 authors
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Apr 26

How Closely Do LLM Reviews Align with Human Peer Review?

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to generate scientific reviews, yet existing evaluations rarely examine whether different providers align with both conference decisions and human reviewing priorities within the same controlled setting. We compare reviews from OpenAI GPT-5.4, Google Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, and Anthropic Claude Opus 4.6 with human reviews and final decisions for 300 topic-matched ICLR 2026 submissions, equally divided among oral, poster, and rejected papers. Each model reviewed every paper using identical instructions and rating scales after decision information was removed. Our study contributes a cross-provider analysis of three complementary dimensions: alignment with broad and fine-grained decision categories, differences in recommendation-scale usage, and thematic agreement in identified weaknesses. All three LLMs distinguished accepted from rejected papers, but none reproduced the oral versus poster distinction present in human ratings. Scoring patterns were provider-specific: Gemini assigned systematically higher ratings, while OpenAI and Claude were closer to humans for rejected and poster papers but more critical of oral papers. Human and LLM reviews also differed in emphasis, with LLMs more frequently identifying missing baseline comparisons and humans more often raising computational-efficiency concerns. These results show that broad decision alignment does not imply agreement with finer human judgments or reviewing priorities.

  • 2 authors
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Aug 3

AlgoWorlds: Benchmarking Tool Use for Global Optimization in Algorithmic Worlds

Tool-use benchmarks generally evaluate whether an agent completes a workflow using appropriate tools and valid arguments. However, feasibility alone is insufficient in real-world decision settings such as route planning and fleet dispatch. Individual choices interact through shared constraints and costs, so a feasible solution may still be substantially suboptimal. This raises a harder question: can an agent turn information gathered through tools into a globally optimal decision? We introduce AlgoWorlds, a benchmark that transforms formally specified combinatorial optimization problems into partially observed decision environments with verifiable global optima. Each environment contains a hidden instance observed only through task-specific information tools, after which the agent commits to one structured decision evaluated for feasibility and optimality. AlgoWorlds contains 240 environments covering ten combinatorial optimization families and four workload levels. Family-specific deterministic programs generate the instances, exact algorithms certify their optima and determine workload levels, and two structurally different tool interfaces present each underlying instance. We evaluate seven leading LLMs, including Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5.6 Sol. Achieving global optimality remains highly challenging: although leading models produce feasible decisions in most cases, the best-performing model reaches exact optimality in only 38.61% of cases. Even when agents collect sufficient information to reconstruct the hidden instance, most failures end in feasible but suboptimal decisions. The challenge therefore extends beyond information acquisition to information integration, global constraint reasoning, and decision verification. The project homepage is available at https://xzx34.github.io/AlgoWorlds/, and the code is available at https://github.com/xzx34/AlgoWorlds.

  • 3 authors
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Aug 28

QEDBENCH: Quantifying the Alignment Gap in Automated Evaluation of University-Level Mathematical Proofs

As Large Language Models (LLMs) saturate elementary benchmarks, the research frontier has shifted from generation to the reliability of automated evaluation. We demonstrate that standard "LLM-as-a-Judge" protocols suffer from a systematic Alignment Gap when applied to upper-undergraduate to early graduate level mathematics. To quantify this, we introduce QEDBench, the first large-scale dual-rubric alignment benchmark to systematically measure alignment with human experts on university-level math proofs by contrasting course-specific rubrics against expert common knowledge criteria. By deploying a dual-evaluation matrix (7 judges x 5 solvers) against 1,000+ hours of human evaluation, we reveal that certain frontier evaluators like Claude Opus 4.5, DeepSeek-V3, Qwen 2.5 Max, and Llama 4 Maverick exhibit significant positive bias (up to +0.18, +0.20, +0.30, +0.36 mean score inflation, respectively). Furthermore, we uncover a critical reasoning gap in the discrete domain: while Gemini 3.0 Pro achieves state-of-the-art performance (0.91 average human evaluation score), other reasoning models like GPT-5 Pro and Claude Sonnet 4.5 see their performance significantly degrade in discrete domains. Specifically, their average human evaluation scores drop to 0.72 and 0.63 in Discrete Math, and to 0.74 and 0.50 in Graph Theory. In addition to these research results, we also release QEDBench as a public benchmark for evaluating and improving AI judges. Our benchmark is publicly published at https://github.com/qqliu/Yale-QEDBench.

Continuous Context Management

Long-horizon large language model (LLM) agents commonly retain their complete interaction history until compaction is triggered at a predefined threshold. We study Continuous Context Management (CCM), which performs compaction at every turn to prevent interaction history from accumulating in the active prompt. At each turn, a CCM agent emits an updated memory together with an environment action; its next prompt contains the original task, retained memory, and newest observation rather than the complete transcript. We first evaluate CCM without fine-tuning on TerminalBench-2 using Claude Sonnet 4.6, Claude Opus 4.6, GLM-5, and Kimi K3. CCM substantially reduces cumulative input usage and active-prompt size, although it lowers task success for most models while preserving performance for Kimi K3. We use GRPO with privileged full-history distillation to improve CCM in open-weight models. A frozen copy of the student's initial model scores each sampled student action under the complete history reconstructed from that student's rollout, providing dense action-token supervision without a separate teacher rollout or reference solution. On WebShop, this objective substantially improves CCM over GRPO at both evaluated model scales and surpasses full-history GRPO for Qwen3-4B-Instruct, though not for Qwen3-8B. On Endless Terminals, the augmented method provides a modest improvement over GRPO, with both CCM policies outperforming the untrained full-history baseline. These results demonstrate that CCM is a viable inference paradigm for agents operating with substantially reduced retained context and that its performance can be improved through reinforcement learning with privileged full-history distillation.

  • 4 authors
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Sep 27

Technical Report: Full-Stack Fine-Tuning for the Q Programming Language

Even though large language models are becoming increasingly capable, it is still unreasonable to expect them to excel at tasks that are under-represented on the Internet. Leveraging LLMs for specialized applications, particularly in niche programming languages and private domains, remains challenging and largely unsolved. In this work, we address this gap by presenting a comprehensive, open-source approach for adapting LLMs to the Q programming language, a popular tool in quantitative finance that is much less present on the Internet compared to Python, C, Java, and other ``mainstream" languages and is therefore not a strong suit of general-purpose AI models. We introduce a new Leetcode style evaluation dataset for Q, benchmark major frontier models on the dataset, then do pretraining, supervised fine tuning, and reinforcement learning to train a suite of reasoning and non-reasoning models based on the Qwen-2.5 series, spanning five parameter sizes (1.5B, 3B, 7B, 14B, 32B). Our best model achieves a pass@1 accuracy of 59 percent on our Q benchmark, surpassing the best-performing frontier model, Claude Opus-4 by 29.5 percent. Additionally, all models, even our 1.5B model, outperform GPT-4.1 on this task. In addition to releasing models, code, and data, we provide a detailed blueprint for dataset construction, model pretraining, supervised fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning. Our methodology is broadly applicable, and we discuss how these techniques can be extended to other tasks, including those where evaluation may rely on soft or subjective signals.

  • 5 authors
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Aug 9, 2025 1

StateAct: Program State, before Pixels, for Long-Horizon Computer-Use Agents

Computer-use agents are usually improved by strengthening perception: better models for reading a screenshot and choosing where to click. Yet a screenshot is only a lossy rendering of the underlying program state, e.g., the files, application backends, and DOM that hold the task data. Different states can produce the same pixels, while code can inspect and modify that state directly. StateAct is a code-first, multi-agent harness built around this distinction. Its main agent works directly with program state by using code, while a dedicated GUI subagent handles screenshot-and-click interaction on the few subgoals that need it, just 28 of 108 tasks and 1.1% of main-agent steps. The same direct access to program state also supports verification: an independent finish gate double-checks the saved result for structural failures, e.g., output that is missing, unsaved, or written to the wrong path. To stay on track over hundreds of steps, the main agent hands subgoals to fresh subagents, keeping its own context focused. On OSWorld 2.0, StateAct lifts Claude Opus 4.8 from 20.6% to 26.9% on binary success, and from 54.8% to 61.6% on partial success, at ~ 9x lower cost per task than the same model driven by screenshots alone; a code-only variant with no GUI subagent reaches only 45.9% partial, below that screenshot-based baseline's 54.8%. In general, grounding action, verification, and memory in state, what we call state-grounding, shifts the main bottleneck from perception toward reasoning: failures depend more on what the agent thinks than on what it sees.

SWE-AGI: Benchmarking Specification-Driven Software Construction with MoonBit in the Era of Autonomous Agents

Although large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive coding capabilities, their ability to autonomously build production-scale software from explicit specifications remains an open question. We introduce SWE-AGI, an open-source benchmark for evaluating end-to-end, specification-driven construction of software systems written in MoonBit. SWE-AGI tasks require LLM-based agents to implement parsers, interpreters, binary decoders, and SAT solvers strictly from authoritative standards and RFCs under a fixed API scaffold. Each task involves implementing 1,000-10,000 lines of core logic, corresponding to weeks or months of engineering effort for an experienced human developer. By leveraging the nascent MoonBit ecosystem, SWE-AGI minimizes data leakage, forcing agents to rely on long-horizon architectural reasoning rather than code retrieval. Across frontier models, gpt-5.3-codex achieves the best overall performance (solving 19/22 tasks, 86.4%), outperforming claude-opus-4.6 (15/22, 68.2%), and kimi-2.5 exhibits the strongest performance among open-source models. Performance degrades sharply with increasing task difficulty, particularly on hard, specification-intensive systems. Behavioral analysis further reveals that as codebases scale, code reading, rather than writing, becomes the dominant bottleneck in AI-assisted development. Overall, while specification-driven autonomous software engineering is increasingly viable, substantial challenges remain before it can reliably support production-scale development.

  • 14 authors
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Feb 10

Chasing the Public Score: User Pressure and Evaluation Exploitation in Coding Agent Workflows

Frontier coding agents are increasingly used in workflows where users supervise progress primarily through repeated improvement of a public score, namely the reported score on a public evaluation file with labels in the workspace, rather than through direct inspection of the agent's intermediate outputs. We study whether multi-round user pressure to improve that score induces public score exploitation: behavior that raises the public score through shortcuts without improving hidden private evaluation. We begin with a preliminary single-script tabular classification task, where GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus 4.6 both exploit label information within 10 rounds of user-agent interaction. We then build AgentPressureBench, a 34-task machine-learning repository benchmark spanning three input modalities, and collect 1326 multi-round trajectories from 13 coding agents. On our benchmark, we observe 403 exploitative runs, spanning across all tasks. We also find that stronger models have higher exploitation rates, supported by a significant Spearman rank correlation of 0.77. Our ablation experiments show that higher user pressure leads to earlier exploitation, reducing the average first exploit round by 15.6 rounds (i.e., 19.67 to 4.08). As a mitigation, adding explicit anti-exploit wordings in prompt mostly eliminates exploitation (100% to 8.3%). We hope that our work can bring attention to more careful use of coding agents workflow, and developing more robust coding agents under user pressure. Our project page is at https://ucsc-vlaa.github.io/AgentPressureBench .

UCSC-VLAA UCSC-VLAA
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Apr 21 2

Training Deliberative Monitors for Black-Box Scheming Detection

As autonomous agents become more capable of performing real-world tasks, distinguishing scheming behavior from benign task pursuit may become a central AI control problem. Existing monitors often rely on chain-of-thought access or internal activations, or use prompted frontier models, all of which can be unavailable, unreliable or expensive in deployment. In this work, we study action-only deliberative monitors: smaller open-weight models trained to detect scheming and sabotage from agentic trajectories without accessing the monitored agent's reasoning or model internals. Our method, inspired by deliberative alignment, uses a scheming specification to elicit structured rationales from a frontier teacher, filters them with a separate judge, and distills the highest-quality rationales into open-weight monitors with supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning. We train on five datasets, and evaluate across six out-of-distribution agentic misalignment benchmarks. We show that applying our method to Qwen3.5-27B yields higher performance than all low-cost frontier models as prompted monitors (Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite, GPT-5.4 Nano, and Claude Haiku 4.5) and than Gemini 2.5 Pro, while also achieving lower marginal inference cost (token-metered USD per 1,000 evaluations). Stronger prompted frontier monitors (Gemini 3.1 Pro, GPT-5.4, Claude Sonnet 4.6, and Claude Opus 4.6) achieve higher performance but at roughly 16--34times higher marginal inference cost. Several of our trained monitors are positioned on the empirical cost--performance Pareto frontier among the monitors we evaluate, providing practical low-cost, low-FPR alternatives to prompted frontier models.

  • 8 authors
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May 27

ESAA: Event Sourcing for Autonomous Agents in LLM-Based Software Engineering

Autonomous agents based on Large Language Models (LLMs) have evolved from reactive assistants to systems capable of planning, executing actions via tools, and iterating over environment observations. However, they remain vulnerable to structural limitations: lack of native state, context degradation over long horizons, and the gap between probabilistic generation and deterministic execution requirements. This paper presents the ESAA (Event Sourcing for Autonomous Agents) architecture, which separates the agent's cognitive intention from the project's state mutation, inspired by the Event Sourcing pattern. In ESAA, agents emit only structured intentions in validated JSON (agent.result or issue.report); a deterministic orchestrator validates, persists events in an append-only log (activity.jsonl), applies file-writing effects, and projects a verifiable materialized view (roadmap.json). The proposal incorporates boundary contracts (AGENT_CONTRACT.yaml), metaprompting profiles (PARCER), and replay verification with hashing (esaa verify), ensuring the immutability of completed tasks and forensic traceability. Two case studies validate the architecture: (i) a landing page project (9 tasks, 49 events, single-agent composition) and (ii) a clinical dashboard system (50 tasks, 86 events, 4 concurrent agents across 8 phases), both concluding with run.status=success and verify_status=ok. The multi-agent case study demonstrates real concurrent orchestration with heterogeneous LLMs (Claude Sonnet 4.6, Codex GPT-5, Antigravity/Gemini 3 Pro, and Claude Opus 4.6), providing empirical evidence of the architecture's scalability beyond single-agent scenarios.

  • 1 authors
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Feb 25 1

Deceive, Detect, and Disclose: Large Language Models Play Mini-Mafia

Large language models are increasingly deployed in multi-agent settings whose outcomes hinge on social intelligence, motivating evaluations of their interactive capabilities; yet existing studies remain overwhelmingly empirical, leaving us without a theoretical understanding of how agent interactions determine collective outcomes. To address this, we introduce Mini-Mafia, a four-player simplification of the social deduction game Mafia in which a fixed night phase reduces the game to a single critical exchange among a mafioso, a detective, and a villager. In this setting, we show that the mafia win-rate p is predicted by the analytical formula logit(p) = v times (m - d), where m, d, and v represent the mafioso's deception, the detective's disclosure, and the villager's detection capabilities. We turn this analytical framework into the Mini-Mafia Benchmark, where Bayesian inference over gameplay data yields per-model estimates of the intrinsic parameters m, d, and v. For I models, only 3I parameters suffice to predict the outcomes of all I^3 tournament combinations; and in 5-fold cross-validation the formula achieves a 76.6% Brier-score reduction over a random baseline. The benchmark also reveals counterintuitive results: Grok 3 Mini is the strongest detector and GPT-5 Mini the strongest discloser, both ahead of DeepSeek V3.1, Claude Opus 4, and Claude Sonnet 4; while Claude Sonnet 4 is the weakest detector, near random chance. Together, these results show that Mini-Mafia, a simple but nontrivial multi-agent system, admits an analytical description and serves as a principled benchmark for language model interactions.

  • 2 authors
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May 13

IntentGrasp: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Intent Understanding

Accurately understanding the intent behind speech, conversation, and writing is crucial to the development of helpful Large Language Model (LLM) assistants. This paper introduces IntentGrasp, a comprehensive benchmark for evaluating the intent understanding capability of LLMs. Derived from 49 high-quality, open-licensed corpora spanning 12 diverse domains, IntentGrasp is constructed through source datasets curation, intent label contextualization, and task format unification. IntentGrasp contains a large-scale training set of 262,759 instances and two evaluation sets: an All Set of 12,909 test cases and a more balanced and challenging Gem Set of 470 cases. Extensive evaluations on 20 LLMs across 7 families (including frontier models such as GPT-5.4, Gemini-3.1-Pro, and Claude-Opus-4.7) demonstrate unsatisfactory performance, with scores below 60% on All Set and below 25% on Gem set. Notably, 17 out of 20 tested models perform worse than a random-guess baseline (15.2%) on Gem Set, while the estimated human performance is ~81.1%, showing substantial room for improvement. To enhance such ability, this paper proposes Intentional Fine-Tuning (IFT), which fine-tunes the models on the training set in IntentGrasp, yielding significant gains of 30+ F1 points on All Set and 20+ points on Gem Set. Tellingly, the leave-one-domain-out (Lodo) experiments further demonstrate the strong cross-domain generalizability of IFT, verifying that it is a promising approach to substantially enhancing the intent understanding of LLMs. Overall, by benchmarking and boosting intent understanding ability, this study sheds light on a promising path towards more intentional, capable, and safe AI assistants for human benefits and social good.

KISS Sorcar: A Stupidly-Simple General-Purpose and Software Engineering AI Assistant

Large language models can generate code and call tools with remarkable fluency, yet deploying them as practical software engineering assistants still expose stubborn gaps: finite context windows, single mistakes that derail entire sessions, agents that get stuck in dead ends, AI slop, and generated changes that are difficult to review or revert. We present KISS Sorcar, a general-purpose assistant and integrated development environment (IDE) built on top of the KISS Agent Framework, a stupidly-simple AI agent framework of roughly 1,850 lines of code. The framework addresses these gaps using a robust system prompt and through a five-layer agent hierarchy in which each layer adds exactly one concern: budget-tracked ReAct execution, automatic continuation across sub-sessions via summarization, coding, and browser tools with parallel sub-agents, persistent multi-turn chat with history recall, and git worktree isolation so every task runs on its own branch. To assess the power of the KISS agent framework, we implemented KISS Sorcar as a free, open-source Visual Studio Code extension that runs locally and effectively for long-horizon tasks, and supports browser automation, multimodal input, and Docker containers. In this research, we deliberately prioritize output quality over latency: giving a frontier model adequate time to validate its own output -- running linters, type checkers, and tests -- dramatically reduces the low-quality code that plagues faster but less thorough agents. The entire system was built using itself in 4.5 months, providing a continuous stress test in which any agent-introduced bug immediately impairs its own ability to work. On Terminal Bench 2.0, KISS Sorcar achieves a 62.2% overall pass rate with Claude Opus 4.6, comparing favorably to Claude Code (58%) and Cursor Composer 2 (61.7).

  • 1 authors
·
Apr 25

Expert Evaluation of Clinical AI Tools on Real Point-of-Care Clinical Queries

Physicians now pose millions of clinical questions to AI tools each week, yet these tools are evaluated largely on hypothetical or exam-style questions, not those actually asked in practice. We report a blinded evaluation built on 620 Real-world Point-Of-Care Queries (Real-POCQi) submitted to the OpenEvidence (OE) platform by physicians spanning 30 specialties, as well as 187 questions from HealthBench. 149 practicing physicians across 36 states made head-to-head comparisons between answers from three frontier general-purpose models (Claude Opus 4.8, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and GPT-5.5) and a specialized clinical tool (OE), with graders matched to each question's specialty. When comparing answers along five dimensions relevant to clinical decision support -- accuracy, clinical utility, source quality, verifiability, & completeness -- physicians scored the specialized tool highest on all axes; in the primary analysis on Real-POCQi, win differences (margins between win and loss rates) ranged from 25 to 39 percentage points (p<0.001). Results remained consistent in sensitivity analyses stratifying by citation display, answer length, OE-user status, and Real-POCQi versus HealthBench. In parallel, LLM judges were found to systematically differ from expert judges, though both generally agreed on the best model. These findings underscore two conclusions: (i) AI tool evaluations should reflect real-world query distributions and use expert judges that mirror the specialization defining modern medicine and (ii) the consistent advantage of the specialized tool over general-purpose models does not necessarily mean that the latter cannot serve similar purposes, but that targeted engineering and customization can yield meaningful gains in performance for its users. We release Real-POCQi as a public benchmark, as well as the prespecified statistical analysis for reproducing results of this study.

  • 8 authors
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Jun 26

ContractBench: Can LLM Agents Preserve Observation Contracts?

Tool-augmented LLM agents call APIs whose intermediate outputs, such as presigned URLs, session tokens, and OAuth state parameters, are observation contracts: artifacts whose later use is constrained by the external system that produced them. We show that observation contract compliance (preserving the temporal validity and byte-level integrity) is an emergent, regression-prone capability: it is neither guaranteed by general tool-use ability nor consistently improved by larger or newer models. To measure this, we introduce ContractBench, a benchmark of 33 dual-axis tasks that probe two orthogonal failure modes no existing benchmark evaluates: validity failures (using an artifact after expiry) and integrity failures (corrupting an artifact's bytes through the observation-to-action pipeline). Our evaluation is deterministic and programmatic, with a virtual clock controlling time and SHA-256 hashes verifying byte integrity. We assign each outcome a failure label drawn from real-world API specifications. We evaluate 38 models and report four findings: (i) no evaluated model clears 80%, with Claude-Opus-4.6 leading at 77.8%, revealing that current frontier models still fail to comply with observation contracts; (ii) a sharp within-family capability cliff in Qwen 3.5 between 4B (0%) and 9B (56.6%), smoothing to 70.7% at 397B-A17B: what emerges across the cliff is mid-trajectory restraint, not tool-call competence; (iii) non-monotonic scaling across the GPT-5 family: agentic post-training can erode compliance through sycophancy-driven regression; (iv) our failure taxonomy works as an actionable in-context reward signal, yielding +7.1 pp on 42 paired GPT-5.1 failures.

  • 6 authors
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Sep 26

Forecasting Future Behavior as a Learning Task

Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs. For large reasoning models (LRMs), this conventional route is particularly difficult to follow: explanation methods for single token generations do not naturally generalize to long trajectories, and the trajectories themselves are often not faithful when read as natural language. We propose an alternative that bypasses the explanation step: treat behavior forecasting as a learnable task and train Behavior Forecasters that operates on a single reasoning trajectory to make the same forecasts one would typically seek from an explanation. The forecaster's training data is obtained by querying the LRM with no human annotation, and its inference is done in a single forward pass. We instantiate this approach on two tasks: how likely the LRM is to repeat its answer on re-runs, and how removing parts of the input changes its answer. We evaluate this approach on both tasks across three diverse reasoning datasets and find that trained Behavior Forecasters are more accurate than GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus-4.6 reading the same trajectories as naive readers, at a small fraction of their inference cost. We find that fine-tuning the backbone end-to-end and initializing it from the target LRM are each necessary for strong performance. These results show that the reasoning trajectory carries information about the LRM's future behavior that goes beyond what naive reading conveys.

  • 3 authors
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Jun 8 2

FIFA World Cup 2026 as a Contamination-Free Benchmark for LLM Forecasting Agents: Four Models, a Bookmaker, and 104 Matches

We introduce WC2026-Agents, a benchmark and dataset for evaluating large language models (LLMs) as autonomous forecasting agents on real, future events. For every one of the 104 matches of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, four frontier models -- Claude Opus 4.8, ChatGPT (GPT-5.5, high reasoning), Gemini 3.1 Pro, and Grok (Expert Mode) -- ran an identical search-act-reflect loop: gather evidence with a web tool, commit to a 1X2 (team-A win / draw / team-B win) distribution and a virtual 100-USD bet, and, after the match, reflect given only the final score. Because every match kicked off after the models' training cutoffs, the benchmark is contamination-free by construction. Crucially, we pair the four agents with a fifth competitor drawn from the same information environment -- the pre-match betting market -- collected as per-match 1X2 odds, giving an economically grounded baseline and letting us score not just what an agent predicts but what it does with money. The release contains 416 forecasts and 414 reflections with verbatim reasoning, ground truth (including penalty shootouts), odds, and a reproducible evaluation suite. A reference evaluation surfaces findings that raw accuracy hides: the four agents issue an identical top pick in 92% of matches and none beats the market's Brier score; indeed, a naive flat stake on the market favorite out-earns all four agents. Yet the agents diverge sharply as decision-makers: betting return-on-investment ranges from -18% to +10%, fading the market is unprofitable for all four, the share of forecasts that cite the market ranges from 12% to 100%, and self-reported error rates on wrong picks range from 36% to 86%. The benchmark thus measures calibration, decision quality, and self-knowledge -- axes on which frontier models differ even when their predictions do not. Data and code: https://github.com/graphuofm/FIFA2026LLM

  • 3 authors
·
Jul 19 1

LogiScope-VQA: Benchmarking Vision-Language Models for Logistics Hazard Identification in Industrial Scenarios

Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) large-scale deployment in industrial warehouse settings specifically necessitates that models exhibit human-expert-level hazard-oriented perception, understanding, and reasoning capabilities. However, the scarcity of real industrial data, tightly coupled to commercial terms, significantly hampers further advancement. To bridge this gap, we curate LogiScope-VQA to investigate the practical applicability of mainstream LMMs in real-world logistics operations. LogiScope-VQA comprises 2,476 images and 2,918 videos primarily sourced from real-world logistics parks, along with 10,274 VQAs meticulously curated and validated by human annotators. Grounded in 18 core objects and 20 risk types, we devise 39 subtasks aligned with three principal themes: industrial element perception, warehouse knowledge understanding, and potential risk reasoning. Furthermore, we incorporate dynamic thinking-budget configurations and dual-dimensional risk bias analyses to elucidate the properties of LMMs. Extensive experiments unveil that even powerful proprietary models, including GPT-5.5, Gemini-3.1-Pro, and Claude-Opus-4.7, exhibit a significant gap relative to human performance. The unique challenge of jointly integrating perception, understanding, and reasoning for hazard identification poses substantial headroom for further improvement on LogiScope-VQA. We additionally reveal the pervasive security bias issue that impedes LLMs' practical deployment in real-world settings. The industrial dataset is publicly available under the CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 license.

  • 6 authors
·
Sep 8

iCoder-27B: Recursive AI-Led Development of Frontier Industrial Coding Model

Recursive AI, the prospect of AI taking an increasingly complete role in building and improving AI, is a crown jewel of AI for AI. Although recursive self-development has become practical for small models, bounded tasks, and fixed time budgets, a more consequential realization of this ambition, i.e., developing a release-ready, frontier-competitive model, remains far more challenging. In this work, we ask how little human involvement is sufficient for an agent to develop a frontier model. We concentrate human input into a high-density, low-frequency interface: experts encode objectives, stage scaffolds, permission boundaries, and operating procedures as reusable research skills, while the agent instantiates these priors, selects experiments, diagnoses outcomes, and revises the training strategy. In the challenging domain of industrial coding, the agent evolves data and coordinates SFT, on-policy self-distillation, and reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards, ultimately producing iCoder, a 27B model for RTL design and GPU kernel optimization. Across seven benchmarks, iCoder leads RTLLM, outperforming GPT-5.5 and Claude-Opus-4.8; ranks second on CVDP and KernelBench L2, exceeding GPT-5.5 by 16 points; and ties Claude-Opus-4.8 for the best TritonBench result. Exploratory case studies further show iCoder's competitive iterative RTL and GPU-kernel optimization with substantially fewer tokens. These results chart an engineering path toward recursive self-improvement, in which humans distill the principles of model building, agents operationalize them through evidence-driven experimentation, and each generation of AI becomes a more capable architect of the next.

  • 12 authors
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Aug 27