Upload batch 4 to staging for candidate 5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0 (crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual)

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/calibration_manifest.json

@@ -0,0 +1,1433 @@
+{
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+      "h5": "2096.h5",
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+      "metadata": "2096.h5.metadata.json",
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+    "2097": {
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+      "h5": "2097.h5",
+      "max_constraint_pct_error": 2.08510351885624e-09,
+      "metadata": "2097.h5.metadata.json",
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+      "h5": "2098.h5",
+      "max_constraint_pct_error": 1.3304597871027255e-09,
+      "metadata": "2098.h5.metadata.json",
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+      "h5": "2099.h5",
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+      "metadata": "2099.h5.metadata.json",
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+      "validation_passed": true
+    },
+    "2100": {
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+      "calibration_quality": "exact",
+      "fell_back_to_ipf": false,
+      "h5": "2100.h5",
+      "max_constraint_pct_error": 2.001919323213907e-09,
+      "metadata": "2100.h5.metadata.json",
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+      "source_sha": "5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0",
+      "validation_issue_count": 0,
+      "validation_passed": true
+    }
+  },
+  "generated_at": "2026-05-21T07:29:49.358022+00:00",
+  "policyengine_us": {
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+    "package_file_sha256": "4816cc93528d4b0e752d0c27242911fa4d35c97c26ac7ff171c468cf5ae3e670",
+    "package_tree_sha256": "e3b3e42002892f1c9ae576a3b96aeeda55b0f504cfc8623adbb9e06cce441f18",
+    "version": "1.700.2"
+  },
+  "profile": {
+    "allow_greg_fallback": false,
+    "approximate_windows": [
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+        "end_year": 2074,
+        "max_age_error_pct": 1.0,
+        "max_constraint_error_pct": 1.0,
+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2026
+      },
+      {
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+        "end_year": 2078,
+        "max_age_error_pct": 0.5,
+        "max_constraint_error_pct": 0.5,
+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2075
+      },
+      {
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+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2079
+      },
+      {
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+        "end_year": 2095,
+        "max_age_error_pct": 20.0,
+        "max_constraint_error_pct": 20.0,
+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2086
+      },
+      {
+        "age_bucket_size": 5,
+        "end_year": null,
+        "max_age_error_pct": 35.0,
+        "max_constraint_error_pct": 35.0,
+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2096
+      }
+    ],
+    "benchmark_tob": false,
+    "calibration_method": "entropy",
+    "description": "Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.",
+    "max_age_error_pct": 0.1,
+    "max_constraint_error_pct": 0.1,
+    "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+    "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+    "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+    "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+    "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+    "name": "ss-payroll-tob",
+    "use_greg": false,
+    "use_h6_reform": false,
+    "use_payroll": true,
+    "use_ss": true,
+    "use_tob": true
+  },
+  "run_id": "crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual",
+  "source_sha": "5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0",
+  "support_augmentation": {
+    "activation_start_year": 2075,
+    "blueprint_base_weight_scale": 5.0,
+    "clone_weight_scale": 0.1,
+    "donors_per_target": 10,
+    "family": "targeted_donor",
+    "max_distance_for_clone": 5.0,
+    "name": "donor-backed-composite-v1",
+    "non_target_income_sanitizer_mode": "clone_all",
+    "report_file": "support_augmentation_report.json",
+    "report_summary": {
+      "augmented_household_count": 42504,
+      "augmented_person_count": 104434,
+      "base_household_count": 41314,
+      "base_person_count": 101384,
+      "clone_household_count": 1190,
+      "skipped_target_count": 0,
+      "successful_target_count": 1190
+    },
+    "sanitize_clone_non_target_income": true,
+    "sanitize_worker_non_target_income": false,
+    "target_year": 2100,
+    "target_year_strategy": "fixed",
+    "top_n_targets": 60
+  },
+  "target_source": {
+    "baseline_kind": "current_law_comparator",
+    "description": "2025 Trustees current-law baseline used by the legacy long-term calibration stack.",
+    "file": "trustees_2025_current_law.csv",
+    "name": "trustees_2025_current_law",
+    "not_law": false,
+    "notes": [
+      "Generated from social_security_aux.csv for explicit source selection."
+    ],
+    "sha256": "e059aa9fba806b260a399b8a6a18b892a6363ba12ee00fe21ab109d09dff0ec4",
+    "source_urls": [
+      "https://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2025/lrIndex.html",
+      "https://www.ssa.gov/oact/solvency/provisions/tables/table_run133.html"
+    ],
+    "type": "trustees_current_law"
+  },
+  "tax_assumption": {
+    "description": "Best-public Trustees tax-side approximation: keep Social Security benefit-tax thresholds fixed, but wage-index all federal income tax parameters that otherwise use IRS CPI uprating after 2034 using the active NAWI path.",
+    "name": "trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1",
+    "not_default_current_law": true,
+    "parameter_groups": [
+      "all_gov_irs_uprating_parameters"
+    ],
+    "projection_base_year": 2026,
+    "source": "SSA 2025 Trustees Report V.C.7 and OACT email clarification, May 6, 2026",
+    "start_year": 2035,
+    "uprating_parameter": "gov.irs.uprating",
+    "wage_index": "gov.ssa.nawi"
+  },
+  "year_range": {
+    "end": 2100,
+    "start": 2026
+  },
+  "years": [
+    2026,
+    2027,
+    2028,
+    2029,
+    2030,
+    2031,
+    2032,
+    2033,
+    2034,
+    2035,
+    2036,
+    2037,
+    2038,
+    2039,
+    2040,
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+    2042,
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+    2044,
+    2045,
+    2046,
+    2047,
+    2048,
+    2049,
+    2050,
+    2051,
+    2052,
+    2053,
+    2054,
+    2055,
+    2056,
+    2057,
+    2058,
+    2059,
+    2060,
+    2061,
+    2062,
+    2063,
+    2064,
+    2065,
+    2066,
+    2067,
+    2068,
+    2069,
+    2070,
+    2071,
+    2072,
+    2073,
+    2074,
+    2075,
+    2076,
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+    2078,
+    2079,
+    2080,
+    2081,
+    2082,
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+    2084,
+    2085,
+    2086,
+    2087,
+    2088,
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+    2090,
+    2091,
+    2092,
+    2093,
+    2094,
+    2095,
+    2096,
+    2097,
+    2098,
+    2099,
+    2100
+  ]
+}

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2026.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2026-2026
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2026-2026
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2026/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2026:  348.8M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2026] SS baseline: $1647.3B, target: $1701.3B
+  [DEBUG 2026] Payroll cap: $184,500
+  [DEBUG 2026] Payroll baseline: $12139.6B, target: $11129.0B
+  [DEBUG 2026] OASDI TOB baseline: $62.8B, target: $76.8B
+  [DEBUG 2026] HI TOB baseline: $42.1B, target: $52.2B
+  [DEBUG 2026] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2026] SS achieved: $1701.3B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2026] Payroll achieved: $11129.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2026] OASDI TOB achieved: $76.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2026] HI TOB achieved: $52.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2026.h5 and metadata
+2026      348.8M     $14105.3B     $ 4992.5B     46.84GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2027.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2027-2027
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2027-2027
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2027/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2027:  350.9M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 1.04 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2027] SS baseline: $1769.8B, target: $1799.9B
+  [DEBUG 2027] Payroll cap: $192,600
+  [DEBUG 2027] Payroll baseline: $12735.9B, target: $11627.0B
+  [DEBUG 2027] OASDI TOB baseline: $68.7B, target: $82.6B
+  [DEBUG 2027] HI TOB baseline: $45.9B, target: $60.6B
+  [DEBUG 2027] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2027] SS achieved: $1799.9B (error: $0.2M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2027] Payroll achieved: $11627.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2027] OASDI TOB achieved: $82.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2027] HI TOB achieved: $60.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2027.h5 and metadata
+2027      350.9M     $17427.6B     $ 5253.7B     47.25GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2028.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2028-2028
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2028-2028
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2028/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2028:  353.0M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2028] SS baseline: $1886.3B, target: $1894.7B
+  [DEBUG 2028] Payroll cap: $198,600
+  [DEBUG 2028] Payroll baseline: $13303.9B, target: $12159.0B
+  [DEBUG 2028] OASDI TOB baseline: $74.2B, target: $88.8B
+  [DEBUG 2028] HI TOB baseline: $49.3B, target: $65.6B
+  [DEBUG 2028] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2028] SS achieved: $1894.7B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2028] Payroll achieved: $12159.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2028] OASDI TOB achieved: $88.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2028] HI TOB achieved: $65.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2028.h5 and metadata
+2028      353.0M     $20792.6B     $ 5479.4B     47.15GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2029.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2029-2029
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2029-2029
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2029/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2029:  355.1M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2029] SS baseline: $2011.7B, target: $1991.9B
+  [DEBUG 2029] Payroll cap: $206,400
+  [DEBUG 2029] Payroll baseline: $13891.9B, target: $12696.0B
+  [DEBUG 2029] OASDI TOB baseline: $84.2B, target: $95.2B
+  [DEBUG 2029] HI TOB baseline: $52.1B, target: $70.8B
+  [DEBUG 2029] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2029] SS achieved: $1991.9B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2029] Payroll achieved: $12696.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2029] OASDI TOB achieved: $95.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2029] HI TOB achieved: $70.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2029.h5 and metadata
+2029      355.1M     $23060.3B     $ 5806.6B     46.88GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2030.log

@@ -0,0 +1,64 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2030-2030
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2030-2030
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2030/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2030:  357.2M
+  2030:  357.2M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2030] SS baseline: $2134.8B, target: $2091.5B
+  [DEBUG 2030] Payroll cap: $214,200
+  [DEBUG 2030] Payroll baseline: $14490.3B, target: $13239.0B
+  [DEBUG 2030] OASDI TOB baseline: $90.7B, target: $103.3B
+  [DEBUG 2030] HI TOB baseline: $56.3B, target: $76.6B
+  [DEBUG 2030] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2030] SS achieved: $2091.5B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2030] Payroll achieved: $13239.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2030] OASDI TOB achieved: $103.3B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2030] HI TOB achieved: $76.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2030.h5 and metadata
+2030      357.2M     $27409.0B     $ 6100.4B     46.92GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2031.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2031-2031
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2031-2031
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2031/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2031:  359.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2031] SS baseline: $2247.9B, target: $2196.1B
+  [DEBUG 2031] Payroll cap: $222,300
+  [DEBUG 2031] Payroll baseline: $15102.1B, target: $13798.0B
+  [DEBUG 2031] OASDI TOB baseline: $96.7B, target: $111.8B
+  [DEBUG 2031] HI TOB baseline: $60.3B, target: $83.0B
+  [DEBUG 2031] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2031] SS achieved: $2196.1B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2031] Payroll achieved: $13798.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2031] OASDI TOB achieved: $111.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2031] HI TOB achieved: $83.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2031.h5 and metadata
+2031      359.3M     $32384.9B     $ 6380.8B     46.91GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2032.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2032-2032
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2032-2032
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2032/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2032:  361.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2032] SS baseline: $2379.5B, target: $2300.8B
+  [DEBUG 2032] Payroll cap: $230,100
+  [DEBUG 2032] Payroll baseline: $15714.0B, target: $14380.0B
+  [DEBUG 2032] OASDI TOB baseline: $103.9B, target: $120.8B
+  [DEBUG 2032] HI TOB baseline: $64.6B, target: $89.9B
+  [DEBUG 2032] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2032] SS achieved: $2300.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2032] Payroll achieved: $14380.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2032] OASDI TOB achieved: $120.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2032] HI TOB achieved: $89.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2032.h5 and metadata
+2032      361.3M     $36468.7B     $ 6683.5B     46.91GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2033.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2033-2033
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2033-2033
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2033/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2033:  363.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2033] SS baseline: $2522.6B, target: $2409.1B
+  [DEBUG 2033] Payroll cap: $237,900
+  [DEBUG 2033] Payroll baseline: $16335.6B, target: $14987.0B
+  [DEBUG 2033] OASDI TOB baseline: $112.1B, target: $128.9B
+  [DEBUG 2033] HI TOB baseline: $69.3B, target: $97.0B
+  [DEBUG 2033] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2033] SS achieved: $2409.1B (error: $0.1M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2033] Payroll achieved: $14987.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2033] OASDI TOB achieved: $128.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2033] HI TOB achieved: $97.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2033.h5 and metadata
+2033      363.3M     $40943.1B     $ 6993.3B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2034.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2034-2034
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2034-2034
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2034/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2034:  365.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2034] SS baseline: $2671.0B, target: $2517.9B
+  [DEBUG 2034] Payroll cap: $246,000
+  [DEBUG 2034] Payroll baseline: $16979.6B, target: $15594.0B
+  [DEBUG 2034] OASDI TOB baseline: $120.5B, target: $138.8B
+  [DEBUG 2034] HI TOB baseline: $74.6B, target: $104.5B
+  [DEBUG 2034] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2034] SS achieved: $2517.9B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2034] Payroll achieved: $15594.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2034] OASDI TOB achieved: $138.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2034] HI TOB achieved: $104.5B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  Saved 2034.h5 and metadata
+2034      365.3M     $50011.3B     $ 7321.5B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2035.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2035-2035
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2035-2035
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2035/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2035:  367.2M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2035] SS baseline: $2828.7B, target: $2630.2B
+  [DEBUG 2035] Payroll cap: $254,400
+  [DEBUG 2035] Payroll baseline: $17645.5B, target: $16205.0B
+  [DEBUG 2035] OASDI TOB baseline: $128.9B, target: $145.8B
+  [DEBUG 2035] HI TOB baseline: $79.9B, target: $111.7B
+  [DEBUG 2035] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2035] SS achieved: $2630.2B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2035] Payroll achieved: $16205.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2035] OASDI TOB achieved: $145.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2035] HI TOB achieved: $111.7B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2035.h5 and metadata
+2035      367.2M     $59459.7B     $ 7640.5B     46.79GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2036.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2036-2036
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2036-2036
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2036/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2036:  369.1M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2036] SS baseline: $2986.7B, target: $2746.7B
+  [DEBUG 2036] Payroll cap: $263,100
+  [DEBUG 2036] Payroll baseline: $18333.8B, target: $16825.0B
+  [DEBUG 2036] OASDI TOB baseline: $137.1B, target: $153.1B
+  [DEBUG 2036] HI TOB baseline: $85.3B, target: $118.3B
+  [DEBUG 2036] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2036] SS achieved: $2746.7B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2036] Payroll achieved: $16825.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2036] OASDI TOB achieved: $153.1B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2036] HI TOB achieved: $118.3B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2036.h5 and metadata
+2036      369.1M     $68828.4B     $ 7961.2B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2037.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2037-2037
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2037-2037
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2037/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2037:  370.9M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2037] SS baseline: $3152.9B, target: $2867.0B
+  [DEBUG 2037] Payroll cap: $272,100
+  [DEBUG 2037] Payroll baseline: $19045.5B, target: $17465.0B
+  [DEBUG 2037] OASDI TOB baseline: $145.8B, target: $158.9B
+  [DEBUG 2037] HI TOB baseline: $91.2B, target: $125.0B
+  [DEBUG 2037] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2037] SS achieved: $2867.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2037] Payroll achieved: $17465.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2037] OASDI TOB achieved: $158.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2037] HI TOB achieved: $125.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2037.h5 and metadata
+2037      370.9M     $78449.8B     $ 8293.8B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2038.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2038-2038
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2038-2038
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2038/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2038:  372.6M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2038] SS baseline: $3327.8B, target: $2989.1B
+  [DEBUG 2038] Payroll cap: $281,400
+  [DEBUG 2038] Payroll baseline: $19781.4B, target: $18132.0B
+  [DEBUG 2038] OASDI TOB baseline: $154.9B, target: $166.8B
+  [DEBUG 2038] HI TOB baseline: $97.7B, target: $131.7B
+  [DEBUG 2038] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2038] SS achieved: $2989.1B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2038] Payroll achieved: $18132.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2038] OASDI TOB achieved: $166.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2038] HI TOB achieved: $131.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2038.h5 and metadata
+2038      372.6M     $89586.9B     $ 8641.0B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2039.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2039-2039
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2039-2039
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2039/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2039:  374.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2039] SS baseline: $3511.8B, target: $3115.3B
+  [DEBUG 2039] Payroll cap: $291,000
+  [DEBUG 2039] Payroll baseline: $20542.0B, target: $18819.0B
+  [DEBUG 2039] OASDI TOB baseline: $164.4B, target: $175.0B
+  [DEBUG 2039] HI TOB baseline: $104.6B, target: $138.4B
+  [DEBUG 2039] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2039] SS achieved: $3115.3B (error: $0.2M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2039] Payroll achieved: $18819.0B (error: $0.1M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2039] OASDI TOB achieved: $175.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2039] HI TOB achieved: $138.4B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2039.h5 and metadata
+2039      374.3M     $101163.2B     $ 9001.1B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2040.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2040-2040
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2040-2040
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2040/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2040:  376.0M
+  2040:  376.0M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2040] SS baseline: $3705.4B, target: $3242.9B
+  [DEBUG 2040] Payroll cap: $300,900
+  [DEBUG 2040] Payroll baseline: $21327.8B, target: $19532.0B
+  [DEBUG 2040] OASDI TOB baseline: $174.7B, target: $183.6B
+  [DEBUG 2040] HI TOB baseline: $111.9B, target: $145.3B
+  [DEBUG 2040] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2040] SS achieved: $3242.9B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2040] Payroll achieved: $19532.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2040] OASDI TOB achieved: $183.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2040] HI TOB achieved: $145.3B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  Saved 2040.h5 and metadata
+2040      376.0M     $113492.9B     $ 9374.3B     46.80GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2041.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2041-2041
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2041-2041
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2041/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2041:  377.6M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2041] SS baseline: $3908.9B, target: $3373.2B
+  [DEBUG 2041] Payroll cap: $311,100
+  [DEBUG 2041] Payroll baseline: $22139.5B, target: $20269.0B
+  [DEBUG 2041] OASDI TOB baseline: $185.8B, target: $190.5B
+  [DEBUG 2041] HI TOB baseline: $119.4B, target: $152.2B
+  [DEBUG 2041] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2041] SS achieved: $3373.2B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2041] Payroll achieved: $20269.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2041] OASDI TOB achieved: $190.5B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2041] HI TOB achieved: $152.2B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  Saved 2041.h5 and metadata
+2041      377.6M     $124574.3B     $ 9760.6B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2042.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2042-2042
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2042-2042
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2042/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2042:  379.1M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2042] SS baseline: $4123.0B, target: $3508.1B
+  [DEBUG 2042] Payroll cap: $321,600
+  [DEBUG 2042] Payroll baseline: $22977.9B, target: $21035.0B
+  [DEBUG 2042] OASDI TOB baseline: $197.8B, target: $197.7B
+  [DEBUG 2042] HI TOB baseline: $127.2B, target: $159.2B
+  [DEBUG 2042] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2042] SS achieved: $3508.1B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2042] Payroll achieved: $21035.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2042] OASDI TOB achieved: $197.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2042] HI TOB achieved: $159.2B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  Saved 2042.h5 and metadata
+2042      379.1M     $135102.0B     $10162.2B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2043.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2043-2043
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2043-2043
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2043/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2043:  380.6M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2043] SS baseline: $4348.2B, target: $3647.6B
+  [DEBUG 2043] Payroll cap: $332,400
+  [DEBUG 2043] Payroll baseline: $23843.5B, target: $21828.0B
+  [DEBUG 2043] OASDI TOB baseline: $210.4B, target: $207.4B
+  [DEBUG 2043] HI TOB baseline: $135.5B, target: $166.4B
+  [DEBUG 2043] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2043] SS achieved: $3647.6B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2043] Payroll achieved: $21828.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2043] OASDI TOB achieved: $207.4B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2043] HI TOB achieved: $166.4B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2043.h5 and metadata
+2043      380.6M     $150264.1B     $10575.6B     46.79GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2044.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2044-2044
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2044-2044
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2044/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2044:  382.0M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2044] SS baseline: $4585.0B, target: $3793.2B
+  [DEBUG 2044] Payroll cap: $343,800
+  [DEBUG 2044] Payroll baseline: $24741.1B, target: $22653.0B
+  [DEBUG 2044] OASDI TOB baseline: $223.5B, target: $215.2B
+  [DEBUG 2044] HI TOB baseline: $144.3B, target: $173.9B
+  [DEBUG 2044] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2044] SS achieved: $3793.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2044] Payroll achieved: $22653.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2044] OASDI TOB achieved: $215.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2044] HI TOB achieved: $173.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2044.h5 and metadata
+2044      382.0M     $158423.9B     $11008.2B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2045.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2045-2045
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2045-2045
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2045/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2045:  383.4M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2045] SS baseline: $4834.0B, target: $3943.8B
+  [DEBUG 2045] Payroll cap: $355,500
+  [DEBUG 2045] Payroll baseline: $25668.0B, target: $23507.0B
+  [DEBUG 2045] OASDI TOB baseline: $237.6B, target: $225.7B
+  [DEBUG 2045] HI TOB baseline: $153.6B, target: $181.6B
+  [DEBUG 2045] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2045] SS achieved: $3943.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2045] Payroll achieved: $23507.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2045] OASDI TOB achieved: $225.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2045] HI TOB achieved: $181.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2045.h5 and metadata
+2045      383.4M     $168576.7B     $11457.3B     46.75GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2046.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2046-2046
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2046-2046
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2046/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2046:  384.7M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2046] SS baseline: $5095.9B, target: $4097.7B
+  [DEBUG 2046] Payroll cap: $367,500
+  [DEBUG 2046] Payroll baseline: $26624.9B, target: $24391.0B
+  [DEBUG 2046] OASDI TOB baseline: $252.7B, target: $234.2B
+  [DEBUG 2046] HI TOB baseline: $163.2B, target: $189.6B
+  [DEBUG 2046] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2046] SS achieved: $4097.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2046] Payroll achieved: $24391.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2046] OASDI TOB achieved: $234.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2046] HI TOB achieved: $189.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2046.h5 and metadata
+2046      384.7M     $169258.2B     $11922.7B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2047.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2047-2047
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2047-2047
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2047/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2047:  386.0M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2047] SS baseline: $5371.4B, target: $4261.8B
+  [DEBUG 2047] Payroll cap: $380,100
+  [DEBUG 2047] Payroll baseline: $27616.5B, target: $25313.0B
+  [DEBUG 2047] OASDI TOB baseline: $268.8B, target: $243.0B
+  [DEBUG 2047] HI TOB baseline: $173.2B, target: $197.9B
+  [DEBUG 2047] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2047] SS achieved: $4261.8B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2047] Payroll achieved: $25313.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2047] OASDI TOB achieved: $243.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2047] HI TOB achieved: $197.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2047.h5 and metadata
+2047      386.0M     $163926.6B     $12403.2B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2048.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2048-2048
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2048-2048
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2048/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2048:  387.2M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2048] SS baseline: $5661.1B, target: $4433.2B
+  [DEBUG 2048] Payroll cap: $393,000
+  [DEBUG 2048] Payroll baseline: $28639.9B, target: $26270.0B
+  [DEBUG 2048] OASDI TOB baseline: $286.2B, target: $254.8B
+  [DEBUG 2048] HI TOB baseline: $183.7B, target: $206.6B
+  [DEBUG 2048] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2048] SS achieved: $4433.2B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2048] Payroll achieved: $26270.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2048] OASDI TOB achieved: $254.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2048] HI TOB achieved: $206.6B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2048.h5 and metadata
+2048      387.2M     $165976.8B     $12905.2B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2049.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2049-2049
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2049-2049
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2049/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2049:  388.5M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2049] SS baseline: $5965.9B, target: $4614.0B
+  [DEBUG 2049] Payroll cap: $406,500
+  [DEBUG 2049] Payroll baseline: $29700.4B, target: $27263.0B
+  [DEBUG 2049] OASDI TOB baseline: $304.4B, target: $264.5B
+  [DEBUG 2049] HI TOB baseline: $194.8B, target: $215.8B
+  [DEBUG 2049] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2049] SS achieved: $4614.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2049] Payroll achieved: $27263.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2049] OASDI TOB achieved: $264.5B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2049] HI TOB achieved: $215.8B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2049.h5 and metadata
+2049      388.5M     $162802.7B     $13425.5B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2050.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2050-2050
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2050-2050
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2050/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2050:  389.7M
+  2050:  389.7M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2050] SS baseline: $6286.5B, target: $4802.5B
+  [DEBUG 2050] Payroll cap: $420,300
+  [DEBUG 2050] Payroll baseline: $30795.4B, target: $28300.0B
+  [DEBUG 2050] OASDI TOB baseline: $323.4B, target: $277.3B
+  [DEBUG 2050] HI TOB baseline: $206.5B, target: $230.0B
+  [DEBUG 2050] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2050] SS achieved: $4802.5B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2050] Payroll achieved: $28300.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2050] OASDI TOB achieved: $277.3B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2050] HI TOB achieved: $230.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2050.h5 and metadata
+2050      389.7M     $166505.5B     $13964.1B     46.79GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2051.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2051-2051
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2051-2051
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2051/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2051:  390.9M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2051] SS baseline: $6623.8B, target: $4999.5B
+  [DEBUG 2051] Payroll cap: $434,700
+  [DEBUG 2051] Payroll baseline: $31929.9B, target: $29376.0B
+  [DEBUG 2051] OASDI TOB baseline: $343.2B, target: $287.9B
+  [DEBUG 2051] HI TOB baseline: $218.7B, target: $240.3B
+  [DEBUG 2051] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2051] SS achieved: $4999.5B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2051] Payroll achieved: $29376.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2051] OASDI TOB achieved: $287.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2051] HI TOB achieved: $240.3B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2051.h5 and metadata
+2051      390.9M     $171561.7B     $14524.4B     46.79GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2052.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2052-2052
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2052-2052
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2052/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2052:  392.1M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2052] SS baseline: $6978.8B, target: $5208.7B
+  [DEBUG 2052] Payroll cap: $449,400
+  [DEBUG 2052] Payroll baseline: $33101.7B, target: $30494.0B
+  [DEBUG 2052] OASDI TOB baseline: $364.3B, target: $301.9B
+  [DEBUG 2052] HI TOB baseline: $231.5B, target: $251.1B
+  [DEBUG 2052] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2052] SS achieved: $5208.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2052] Payroll achieved: $30494.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2052] OASDI TOB achieved: $301.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2052] HI TOB achieved: $251.1B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2052.h5 and metadata
+2052      392.1M     $179504.4B     $15104.9B     46.79GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2053.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2053-2053
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2053-2053
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2053/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2053:  393.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2053] SS baseline: $7352.5B, target: $5428.8B
+  [DEBUG 2053] Payroll cap: $464,700
+  [DEBUG 2053] Payroll baseline: $34316.2B, target: $31661.0B
+  [DEBUG 2053] OASDI TOB baseline: $386.8B, target: $313.4B
+  [DEBUG 2053] HI TOB baseline: $245.0B, target: $262.5B
+  [DEBUG 2053] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2053] SS achieved: $5428.8B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2053] Payroll achieved: $31661.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2053] OASDI TOB achieved: $313.4B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2053] HI TOB achieved: $262.5B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2053.h5 and metadata
+2053      393.3M     $177304.0B     $15708.8B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2054.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2054-2054
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2054-2054
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2054/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2054:  394.5M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2054] SS baseline: $7746.0B, target: $5658.7B
+  [DEBUG 2054] Payroll cap: $480,600
+  [DEBUG 2054] Payroll baseline: $35575.1B, target: $32869.0B
+  [DEBUG 2054] OASDI TOB baseline: $410.8B, target: $328.7B
+  [DEBUG 2054] HI TOB baseline: $259.1B, target: $274.5B
+  [DEBUG 2054] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2054] SS achieved: $5658.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2054] Payroll achieved: $32869.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2054] OASDI TOB achieved: $328.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2054] HI TOB achieved: $274.5B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2054.h5 and metadata
+2054      394.5M     $182517.0B     $16339.8B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2055.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2055-2055
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2055-2055
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2055/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2055:  395.7M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2055] SS baseline: $8160.3B, target: $5902.6B
+  [DEBUG 2055] Payroll cap: $496,800
+  [DEBUG 2055] Payroll baseline: $36876.0B, target: $34124.0B
+  [DEBUG 2055] OASDI TOB baseline: $436.3B, target: $344.7B
+  [DEBUG 2055] HI TOB baseline: $273.9B, target: $287.2B
+  [DEBUG 2055] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2055] SS achieved: $5902.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2055] Payroll achieved: $34124.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2055] OASDI TOB achieved: $344.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2055] HI TOB achieved: $287.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2055.h5 and metadata
+2055      395.7M     $183700.5B     $16991.9B     46.79GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2056.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2056-2056
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2056-2056
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2056/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2056:  397.0M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2056] SS baseline: $8595.0B, target: $6159.0B
+  [DEBUG 2056] Payroll cap: $513,600
+  [DEBUG 2056] Payroll baseline: $38217.0B, target: $35432.0B
+  [DEBUG 2056] OASDI TOB baseline: $462.9B, target: $357.9B
+  [DEBUG 2056] HI TOB baseline: $290.0B, target: $300.6B
+  [DEBUG 2056] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2056] SS achieved: $6159.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2056] Payroll achieved: $35432.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2056] OASDI TOB achieved: $357.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2056] HI TOB achieved: $300.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2056.h5 and metadata
+2056      397.0M     $180256.6B     $17666.0B     46.79GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2057.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2057-2057
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2057-2057
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2057/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2057:  398.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2057] SS baseline: $9052.8B, target: $6428.7B
+  [DEBUG 2057] Payroll cap: $531,000
+  [DEBUG 2057] Payroll baseline: $39607.3B, target: $36790.0B
+  [DEBUG 2057] OASDI TOB baseline: $491.0B, target: $375.3B
+  [DEBUG 2057] HI TOB baseline: $307.1B, target: $314.7B
+  [DEBUG 2057] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2057] SS achieved: $6428.7B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2057] Payroll achieved: $36790.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2057] OASDI TOB achieved: $375.3B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2057] HI TOB achieved: $314.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2057.h5 and metadata
+2057      398.3M     $192837.3B     $18368.2B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2058.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2058-2058
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2058-2058
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2058/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2058:  399.6M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2058] SS baseline: $9535.0B, target: $6712.4B
+  [DEBUG 2058] Payroll cap: $549,000
+  [DEBUG 2058] Payroll baseline: $41048.0B, target: $38201.0B
+  [DEBUG 2058] OASDI TOB baseline: $520.8B, target: $393.5B
+  [DEBUG 2058] HI TOB baseline: $325.7B, target: $329.5B
+  [DEBUG 2058] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2058] SS achieved: $6712.4B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2058] Payroll achieved: $38201.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2058] OASDI TOB achieved: $393.5B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2058] HI TOB achieved: $329.5B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2058.h5 and metadata
+2058      399.6M     $207170.3B     $19101.1B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2059.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2059-2059
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2059-2059
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2059/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2059:  400.9M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2059] SS baseline: $10042.9B, target: $7005.6B
+  [DEBUG 2059] Payroll cap: $567,600
+  [DEBUG 2059] Payroll baseline: $42540.6B, target: $39670.0B
+  [DEBUG 2059] OASDI TOB baseline: $552.1B, target: $412.6B
+  [DEBUG 2059] HI TOB baseline: $345.2B, target: $344.9B
+  [DEBUG 2059] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2059] SS achieved: $7005.6B (error: $0.4M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2059] Payroll achieved: $39670.0B (error: $0.2M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2059] OASDI TOB achieved: $412.6B (error: $0.1M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2059] HI TOB achieved: $344.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2059.h5 and metadata
+2059      400.9M     $218441.7B     $19864.0B     46.80GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2060.log

@@ -0,0 +1,64 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2060-2060
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2060-2060
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2060/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2060:  402.3M
+  2060:  402.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2060] SS baseline: $10577.9B, target: $7309.2B
+  [DEBUG 2060] Payroll cap: $586,800
+  [DEBUG 2060] Payroll baseline: $44087.2B, target: $41196.0B
+  [DEBUG 2060] OASDI TOB baseline: $585.2B, target: $428.4B
+  [DEBUG 2060] HI TOB baseline: $366.2B, target: $360.9B
+  [DEBUG 2060] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2060] SS achieved: $7309.2B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2060] Payroll achieved: $41196.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2060] OASDI TOB achieved: $428.4B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2060] HI TOB achieved: $360.9B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2060.h5 and metadata
+2060      402.3M     $222706.7B     $20651.8B     46.78GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2061.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2061-2061
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2061-2061
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2061/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2061:  403.7M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2061] SS baseline: $11141.4B, target: $7623.3B
+  [DEBUG 2061] Payroll cap: $606,900
+  [DEBUG 2061] Payroll baseline: $45693.3B, target: $42782.0B
+  [DEBUG 2061] OASDI TOB baseline: $620.7B, target: $449.2B
+  [DEBUG 2061] HI TOB baseline: $388.1B, target: $377.3B
+  [DEBUG 2061] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2061] SS achieved: $7623.3B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2061] Payroll achieved: $42782.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2061] OASDI TOB achieved: $449.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2061] HI TOB achieved: $377.3B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2061.h5 and metadata
+2061      403.7M     $231954.2B     $21475.9B     46.77GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2062.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2062-2062
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2062-2062
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2062/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2062:  405.2M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2062] SS baseline: $11734.8B, target: $7950.7B
+  [DEBUG 2062] Payroll cap: $627,600
+  [DEBUG 2062] Payroll baseline: $47356.7B, target: $44429.0B
+  [DEBUG 2062] OASDI TOB baseline: $658.3B, target: $470.9B
+  [DEBUG 2062] HI TOB baseline: $411.5B, target: $394.4B
+  [DEBUG 2062] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2062] SS achieved: $7950.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2062] Payroll achieved: $44429.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2062] OASDI TOB achieved: $470.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2062] HI TOB achieved: $394.4B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2062.h5 and metadata
+2062      405.2M     $241849.6B     $22331.8B     46.76GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2063.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2063-2063
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2063-2063
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2063/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2063:  406.6M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2063] SS baseline: $12359.9B, target: $8287.0B
+  [DEBUG 2063] Payroll cap: $648,900
+  [DEBUG 2063] Payroll baseline: $49078.9B, target: $46136.0B
+  [DEBUG 2063] OASDI TOB baseline: $698.3B, target: $489.0B
+  [DEBUG 2063] HI TOB baseline: $436.3B, target: $412.1B
+  [DEBUG 2063] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2063] SS achieved: $8287.0B (error: $0.9M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2063] Payroll achieved: $46136.0B (error: $0.5M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2063] OASDI TOB achieved: $489.0B (error: $0.2M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2063] HI TOB achieved: $412.1B (error: $0.1M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2063.h5 and metadata
+2063      406.6M     $251776.6B     $23222.6B     46.36GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2064.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2064-2064
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2064-2064
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2064/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2064:  408.1M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2064] SS baseline: $13018.3B, target: $8637.1B
+  [DEBUG 2064] Payroll cap: $671,100
+  [DEBUG 2064] Payroll baseline: $50866.2B, target: $47902.0B
+  [DEBUG 2064] OASDI TOB baseline: $740.9B, target: $512.6B
+  [DEBUG 2064] HI TOB baseline: $462.4B, target: $430.3B
+  [DEBUG 2064] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2064] SS achieved: $8637.1B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2064] Payroll achieved: $47902.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2064] OASDI TOB achieved: $512.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2064] HI TOB achieved: $430.3B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  Saved 2064.h5 and metadata
+2064      408.1M     $270192.8B     $24148.8B     46.37GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2065.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2065-2065
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2065-2065
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2065/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2065:  409.6M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2065] SS baseline: $13711.7B, target: $9002.2B
+  [DEBUG 2065] Payroll cap: $693,900
+  [DEBUG 2065] Payroll baseline: $52716.4B, target: $49733.0B
+  [DEBUG 2065] OASDI TOB baseline: $786.8B, target: $532.1B
+  [DEBUG 2065] HI TOB baseline: $489.4B, target: $449.3B
+  [DEBUG 2065] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2065] SS achieved: $9002.2B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2065] Payroll achieved: $49733.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2065] OASDI TOB achieved: $532.1B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2065] HI TOB achieved: $449.3B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  Saved 2065.h5 and metadata
+2065      409.6M     $283998.5B     $25109.5B     46.36GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2066.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2066-2066
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2066-2066
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2066/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2066:  411.2M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2066] SS baseline: $14442.1B, target: $9379.6B
+  [DEBUG 2066] Payroll cap: $717,600
+  [DEBUG 2066] Payroll baseline: $54635.7B, target: $51631.0B
+  [DEBUG 2066] OASDI TOB baseline: $835.8B, target: $557.6B
+  [DEBUG 2066] HI TOB baseline: $517.3B, target: $469.1B
+  [DEBUG 2066] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2066] SS achieved: $9379.6B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2066] Payroll achieved: $51631.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2066] OASDI TOB achieved: $557.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2066] HI TOB achieved: $469.1B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2066.h5 and metadata
+2066      411.2M     $295184.5B     $26112.0B     46.31GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2067.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2067-2067
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2067-2067
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2067/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2067:  412.7M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.88 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2067] SS baseline: $15211.4B, target: $9775.7B
+  [DEBUG 2067] Payroll cap: $741,900
+  [DEBUG 2067] Payroll baseline: $56621.8B, target: $53598.0B
+  [DEBUG 2067] OASDI TOB baseline: $887.1B, target: $584.2B
+  [DEBUG 2067] HI TOB baseline: $546.8B, target: $489.7B
+  [DEBUG 2067] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2067] SS achieved: $9775.7B (error: $0.1M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2067] Payroll achieved: $53598.0B (error: $0.1M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2067] OASDI TOB achieved: $584.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2067] HI TOB achieved: $489.7B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2067.h5 and metadata
+2067      412.7M     $300148.8B     $27150.1B     46.32GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2068.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2068-2068
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2068-2068
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2068/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2068:  414.2M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2068] SS baseline: $16021.6B, target: $10185.0B
+  [DEBUG 2068] Payroll cap: $767,100
+  [DEBUG 2068] Payroll baseline: $58681.9B, target: $55637.0B
+  [DEBUG 2068] OASDI TOB baseline: $941.1B, target: $606.4B
+  [DEBUG 2068] HI TOB baseline: $577.7B, target: $511.2B
+  [DEBUG 2068] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2068] SS achieved: $10185.0B (error: $2.4M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2068] Payroll achieved: $55637.0B (error: $0.9M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2068] OASDI TOB achieved: $606.4B (error: $0.4M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2068] HI TOB achieved: $511.2B (error: $0.3M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2068.h5 and metadata
+2068      414.2M     $296793.6B     $28230.8B     46.30GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2069.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2069-2069
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2069-2069
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2069/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2069:  415.8M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2069] SS baseline: $16875.1B, target: $10614.1B
+  [DEBUG 2069] Payroll cap: $793,200
+  [DEBUG 2069] Payroll baseline: $60816.0B, target: $57746.0B
+  [DEBUG 2069] OASDI TOB baseline: $998.7B, target: $635.2B
+  [DEBUG 2069] HI TOB baseline: $610.2B, target: $533.6B
+  [DEBUG 2069] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2069] SS achieved: $10614.1B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2069] Payroll achieved: $57746.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2069] OASDI TOB achieved: $635.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2069] HI TOB achieved: $533.6B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2069.h5 and metadata
+2069      415.8M     $309148.7B     $29358.2B     46.32GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2070.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2070-2070
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2070-2070
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2070/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2070:  417.3M
+  2070:  417.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2070] SS baseline: $17774.0B, target: $11060.9B
+  [DEBUG 2070] Payroll cap: $820,200
+  [DEBUG 2070] Payroll baseline: $63026.5B, target: $59930.0B
+  [DEBUG 2070] OASDI TOB baseline: $1059.8B, target: $659.2B
+  [DEBUG 2070] HI TOB baseline: $644.2B, target: $557.0B
+  [DEBUG 2070] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2070] SS achieved: $11060.9B (error: $0.1M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2070] Payroll achieved: $59930.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2070] OASDI TOB achieved: $659.2B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2070] HI TOB achieved: $557.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2070.h5 and metadata
+2070      417.3M     $314827.8B     $30527.2B     46.29GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2071.log

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2071-2071
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2071-2071
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2071/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2071:  418.8M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2071] SS baseline: $18720.7B, target: $11523.3B
+  [DEBUG 2071] Payroll cap: $848,100
+  [DEBUG 2071] Payroll baseline: $65317.0B, target: $62196.0B
+  [DEBUG 2071] OASDI TOB baseline: $1124.6B, target: $690.4B
+  [DEBUG 2071] HI TOB baseline: $680.1B, target: $581.1B
+  [DEBUG 2071] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2071] SS achieved: $11523.3B (error: $3.9M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2071] Payroll achieved: $62196.0B (error: $1.2M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2071] OASDI TOB achieved: $690.4B (error: $0.6M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2071] HI TOB achieved: $581.2B (error: $0.5M, 0.000%)
+  Saved 2071.h5 and metadata
+2071      418.8M     $344294.6B     $31743.3B     46.31GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2072.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2072-2072
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2072-2072
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2072/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2072:  420.3M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.89 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2072] SS baseline: $19717.9B, target: $12004.2B
+  [DEBUG 2072] Payroll cap: $876,900
+  [DEBUG 2072] Payroll baseline: $67690.1B, target: $64543.0B
+  [DEBUG 2072] OASDI TOB baseline: $1193.2B, target: $722.9B
+  [DEBUG 2072] HI TOB baseline: $717.6B, target: $606.3B
+  [DEBUG 2072] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2072] SS achieved: $12004.2B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2072] Payroll achieved: $64543.0B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2072] OASDI TOB achieved: $722.9B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2072] HI TOB achieved: $606.3B (error: $0.0M, -0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2072.h5 and metadata
+2072      420.3M     $367807.8B     $33008.7B     46.33GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2073.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2073-2073
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2073-2073
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2073/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2073:  421.8M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.86 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2073] SS baseline: $20768.2B, target: $12504.6B
+  [DEBUG 2073] Payroll cap: $906,600
+  [DEBUG 2073] Payroll baseline: $70148.3B, target: $66975.0B
+  [DEBUG 2073] OASDI TOB baseline: $1266.1B, target: $750.1B
+  [DEBUG 2073] HI TOB baseline: $757.2B, target: $632.6B
+  [DEBUG 2073] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2073] SS achieved: $12504.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2073] Payroll achieved: $66975.0B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2073] OASDI TOB achieved: $750.1B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2073] HI TOB achieved: $632.6B (error: $0.0M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2073.h5 and metadata
+2073      421.8M     $362388.1B     $34325.0B     46.26GB

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/long_term/logs/2074.log

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+======================================================================
+HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL INCOME TAX PROJECTION: 2074-2074
+======================================================================
+
+Configuration:
+  Base year: 2024 (CPS microdata)
+  Projection: 2074-2074
+  Calculation level: HOUSEHOLD ONLY (simplified)
+  Calibration profile: ss-payroll-tob
+  Profile description: Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.
+  Target source: trustees_2025_current_law
+  Long-run tax assumption: trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1
+  Calibration method: ENTROPY
+  Including Social Security benefits constraint: Yes
+  Including taxable payroll constraint: Yes
+  Including TOB revenue constraint: Yes
+  Saving year-specific .h5 files: Yes (to /__modal/volumes/vo-Z61F7GEhCDhsa5YnQg4DRJ/crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/.parallel_tmp/2074/)
+  Years to process: 1
+  Estimated time: ~3 minutes
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 1: DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded SSA projections: 86 ages x 1 years
+
+Population projections:
+  2074:  423.2M
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 2: BUILDING HOUSEHOLD AGE COMPOSITION
+======================================================================
+
+Loaded 41,314 households
+Household age matrix shape: (41314, 86)
+
+======================================================================
+STEP 3: HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL PROJECTION
+======================================================================
+
+Methodology (SIMPLIFIED):
+  1. PolicyEngine uprates to each projection year
+  2. Calculate all values at household level (map_to='household')
+  3. IPF/GREG adjusts weights to match SSA demographics
+  4. Apply calibrated weights directly (no aggregation needed)
+
+Initial memory usage: 0.87 GB
+
+Year    Population    Income Tax    Baseline Tax    Memory
+-----------------------------------------------------------------
+  [DEBUG 2074] SS baseline: $21874.5B, target: $13025.6B
+  [DEBUG 2074] Payroll cap: $937,500
+  [DEBUG 2074] Payroll baseline: $72698.9B, target: $69501.0B
+  [DEBUG 2074] OASDI TOB baseline: $1343.5B, target: $785.4B
+  [DEBUG 2074] HI TOB baseline: $799.0B, target: $659.9B
+  [DEBUG 2074] Negative weights: 0 (all weights non-negative)
+  [DEBUG 2074] SS achieved: $13025.6B (error: $0.8M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2074] Payroll achieved: $69501.0B (error: $0.2M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2074] OASDI TOB achieved: $785.4B (error: $0.2M, 0.000%)
+  [DEBUG 2074] HI TOB achieved: $659.9B (error: $0.1M, 0.000%)
+Warning: You are sending unauthenticated requests to the HF Hub. Please set a HF_TOKEN to enable higher rate limits and faster downloads.
+  Saved 2074.h5 and metadata
+2074      423.2M     $364473.8B     $35693.0B     46.26GB