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values | parent_entity_id_used int64 2 904k | comment_id int64 31.7k 2.55M | created_at stringlengths 23 27 | text stringlengths 2 1.49k ⌀ | pseudonym stringlengths 7 42 ⌀ | user_address stringlengths 42 42 | proxy_wallet stringlengths 42 42 | position_side stringclasses 73
values | position_size float64 -49,852.73 2.96M | position_shares float64 0 5.54M | reactions stringlengths 2 32.8k | reaction_count int64 -1 160 ⌀ | report_count int64 0 12 ⌀ | parent_comment_id float64 31.7k 2.54M ⌀ | reply_count int64 0 152 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,151 | 2024-11-06T15:17:35.807404Z | I would now like to see a flood of apologies under this comment from you kamala supports that said some nasty things :) | Reasonable-Official | 0x012322fa17b5a262d4236560bbeac62bc8f2c4d3 | 0x7d8f7c2fa456439fcf0d5bb04aed45ce7ca3ce8f | Yes | 78.63 | 123.2286 | [{"id": "677550", "commentID": 582151, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x41eb6c7bb7fbe8eff23e480ec426d3a2b20d9738", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa9b99f8a6c273223f5c48c2d733a395e519483a8"}}, {"id": "677553", "commentID": 582151, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x903ae77a4494ef7a3e7bc75e04c2c75d3b3050c... | 2 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,144 | 2024-11-06T15:16:53.904027Z | I withdrawed 400 usdc 3 days ago and not arrived , i done all perfectly, did polymarket scam me or what? | Visible-Musician | 0xf4f4bf52bab46a080efae3d41f2a0e5b0c7a2ef3 | 0xbdaf5dc6a6dd5bbc3830494bf006b830e6ddf2be | Yes | 0.6634 | 0.0097 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,141 | 2024-11-06T15:16:52.405585Z | Why does it take so long to settle? | Hurtful-Pinkie | 0x9dbfb0d9895ef435b7d618cd4352c1bf53dc6c97 | 0xbde7f1ffb265f9d55323b2fdbbd6d5adeb45ec30 | Yes | -2,422.746 | 0.0024 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,139 | 2024-11-06T15:16:34.704118Z | I just googled it and Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC say he is the winner. Outcome proposed: Yes No dispute Final outcome: Yes What exactly are we waiting for? | Scaly-Motion | 0x32c1f8f84450013bdecb6e99c02407aa277c6ab0 | 0x0a0d2ec5cf738046a759f7f68750785c439db303 | Yes | 11,191.0113 | 17,605.75 | [{"id": "677484", "commentID": 582139, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}, {"id": "677431", "commentID": 582139, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x08b0ebf4e4813a008782669af0ab48231977915... | 5 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,126 | 2024-11-06T15:15:35.452107Z | What's everyone going to do with their sweet juicy winnings? | Brown-Stop | 0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6 | 0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903 | Yes | -97.8308 | 0.0087 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 2 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,131 | 2024-11-06T15:15:53.302152Z | nothing, i am poor | Posh-Lay | 0x1db89ba7eadb53de5d9572ad60b72afc935b7e4e | 0xa84c412051d753e5e3ecd2cd4bdc4477df29f16d | Yes | 8,971.7209 | 6,461.6527 | [{"id": "677423", "commentID": 582131, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903"}}] | 1 | 0 | 582,126 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,148 | 2024-11-06T15:17:25.252129Z | lol congrats my champ. You earned it. Well done | Brown-Stop | 0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6 | 0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903 | Yes | -97.8308 | 0.0087 | [] | 0 | 0 | 582,126 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,116 | 2024-11-06T15:14:29.743572Z | Come on | Remorseful-Scenario | 0xa11a56c5527c2b97f5a205be41ee87a89dbb51ef | 0xc701569f1ac460093a4e54636d1830e2824a13f1 | Yes | 412.1577 | 705.6576 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,110 | 2024-11-06T15:14:00.571585Z | Do you find is better to out ? If it can have an assasination | Offensive-Burning | 0xea4515ca668cf7111cdcba91947c5e29daf22bc3 | 0x4e3e182821fb7b5880010c67670d1faa0db37853 | Yes | 26.7636 | 46.0029 | [{"id": "677488", "commentID": 582110, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,115 | 2024-11-06T15:14:24.094921Z | Huh? | Stimulating-Hip | 0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d | 0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b | null | 0 | 0 | [] | 0 | 0 | 582,110 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,105 | 2024-11-06T15:13:51.594382Z | This is already resolved and they are holding the money, this is clunky af... | Wiggly-Prevalence | 0x1c76dba479aa111e7f9dccb5e7bcc6e372775046 | 0x748320b06bc39da1887188e202515fcaedc23a90 | Yes | 25,360.73 | 41,096.746 | [{"id": "677495", "commentID": 582105, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x9f4b14f6299fcf43de5aa5c8ffaa709b6c4b8d19", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x5f6433ac8bc5f7e12b1ec69104f173ee29e0de14"}}, {"id": "677362", "commentID": 582105, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x5bdd2332fdf86a84de945f2bb95ac332746cb9c... | 6 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,103 | 2024-11-06T15:13:38.762829Z | chuchu | Lovable-Yurt | 0xe72621ea4656d6814d83dc11fdb8b22d54d8fce2 | 0x9c23c181f1690580fb89b425c873b9e5a5e43b92 | Yes | -39.9678 | 1 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,100 | 2024-11-06T15:13:32.086493Z | Atlas intel won the election too. | Stimulating-Hip | 0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d | 0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b | null | 0 | 0 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,099 | 2024-11-06T15:13:29.869393Z | A BIG THANK YOU TO KAMALA FANS THAT GAVE ME 8K USD | Shameless-Wink | 0x88afca741fe2572892baed9d03e371c90c4e86b2 | 0x8c415ac947440fd772b480755fd023890ada9b79 | Yes | 25,202.9927 | 33,807.273 | [{"id": "677355", "commentID": 582099, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x3dc099e735aec4b840283b6f427f85f8014a73e7", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xbf718e431cb56546a632d05e307acb9751ee415f"}}, {"id": "677412", "commentID": 582099, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x57a154530e186cce8a38f7fb218e3d7fadd307d... | 11 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,073 | 2024-11-06T15:11:44.089249Z | ftx vibes | Knowing-Armor | 0x64ea3821427f8023d606f183793d21a6d7e259b6 | 0x324088e108a4eae7c8e63cab0d387d4f30396bd2 | Yes | 1,019.33 | 2,168.4201 | [{"id": "677315", "commentID": 582073, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x428f4298c5fc9a9bd4ac60f35ba1af2480bedc4f", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x7fdac6f6d2b74d46e857a617e63056f771229137"}}, {"id": "677316", "commentID": 582073, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x673c3d498b1023d75c42134bf19801846923064... | 5 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,068 | 2024-11-06T15:11:24.357028Z | Wait.... guys Ann Selzer says there's still a path. | Stimulating-Hip | 0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d | 0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b | null | 0 | 0 | [{"id": "677312", "commentID": 582068, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xd90d87ec02d0389978478a24f309073901628ab0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x3818c867be1ba080fed0f2d11aeca69c5332b8a5"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,096 | 2024-11-06T15:13:24.051582Z | She can still win IOWA even though they called it. Lets hope | Brown-Stop | 0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6 | 0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903 | Yes | -97.8308 | 0.0087 | [{"id": "677353", "commentID": 582096, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b"}}] | 1 | 0 | 582,068 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,067 | 2024-11-06T15:11:18.787949Z | Congrats to everyone! If it weren't for Belgamus none of us would be here rich and gloating | Brown-Stop | 0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6 | 0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903 | Yes | -97.8308 | 0.0087 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,065 | 2024-11-06T15:11:08.941654Z | I think they're waiting in case there is another assasination attempt on Trump | Exalted-Mountain | 0x059297df14697e8c86c8708f0f2169959cc0420d | 0xf856c465b68dc9054f6f0ffa143b3ddcac323a05 | Yes | 1,008.82 | 1,653.8033 | [{"id": "677299", "commentID": 582065, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x54e8c41648b61b6a4f06f7835f64a0ebfd594b2d", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa401bbf98fe618a68db2a85cc941fbc176e81b00"}}, {"id": "677301", "commentID": 582065, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1... | 6 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,084 | 2024-11-06T15:12:29.091202Z | Exactly | Fresh-Macrofauna | 0x20e104fdb0c18b7a7bae8c5e384062e4ac21e3e2 | 0x7d8ef53b591a510ddad3178c3cc233fa5e410a9e | Yes | 13,449.64 | 21,047.9499 | [] | 0 | 0 | 582,065 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,064 | 2024-11-06T15:11:07.193896Z | Where are all Kamala supporters which bet $10k+ on her? ?? | Happy-Courtroom | 0x5f4143d7f29635803ef4be44520e2439a1cde2f1 | 0x62d7dd8165ac0c36139dc5e4b58a763983c3fe0b | null | 0 | 0 | [{"id": "686664", "commentID": 582064, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x247d4b08a1d86c3e34f0622e75a191b795ed9349", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x78457848aff16bbbb35c8fedca314fa72c1d0e6f"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,061 | 2024-11-06T15:11:00.585781Z | Wonder where those extra 20 million voters went from 2020. A few went to Trump, but very curious where the rest went. Guess they just didn't feel like voting. | Complicated-Shine | 0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606 | 0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52 | Yes | 5 | 7.9365 | [{"id": "677303", "commentID": 582061, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "677370", "commentID": 582061, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x57a154530e186cce8a38f7fb218e3d7fadd307d... | 7 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,114 | 2024-11-06T15:14:24.008748Z | seriously. like 20 million just didnt vote? no way. Definitely rigged election and Trump is now vindicated. Heads will roll | Brown-Stop | 0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6 | 0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903 | Yes | -97.8308 | 0.0087 | [] | 0 | 0 | 582,061 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,057 | 2024-11-06T15:10:44.690942Z | Cool | Amused-Fourths | 0x411611739b9609501f5e85883138ab50dd69b094 | 0x36bab3257592f78170c11ab624864835d8b02917 | Yes | -2.2026 | 0.0044 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,052 | 2024-11-06T15:10:00.364125Z | Who won? | Stimulating-Hip | 0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d | 0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b | null | 0 | 0 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,051 | 2024-11-06T15:09:57.045215Z | WHEN IT WILL BE RESOLVED FUCK FUCK FUCK FUCK | Exalted-Mountain | 0x059297df14697e8c86c8708f0f2169959cc0420d | 0xf856c465b68dc9054f6f0ffa143b3ddcac323a05 | Yes | 1,008.82 | 1,653.8033 | [{"id": "677340", "commentID": 582051, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}, {"id": "677284", "commentID": 582051, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x0ec6a5a6c0351f906bd9811cac9200ec325ff34... | 8 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,058 | 2024-11-06T15:10:50.623449Z | sell your shares man | Lovable-Yurt | 0xe72621ea4656d6814d83dc11fdb8b22d54d8fce2 | 0x9c23c181f1690580fb89b425c873b9e5a5e43b92 | Yes | -39.9678 | 1 | [] | 0 | 0 | 582,051 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,034 | 2024-11-06T15:07:44.039538Z | When will the rate be calculated? | Fond-Assurance | 0xb1d17bbc74b53b4eb74d669f05834a9c2002b287 | 0xf7e3f6c9e8dcd03d4e7af1b8864b859773a94a3b | Yes | 119 | 191.9355 | [{"id": "677410", "commentID": 582034, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xf404fde24703f09d6105a191d60fb287f875c6e9", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x6c49ce75de050ed05f8277b578d372b440666cb8"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,032 | 2024-11-06T15:07:31.857141Z | Resolve this poll already Polymarket | Required-Ikebana | 0x615574714c96ca4df84cb7f7da4def5990904d67 | 0xf56061602293db133bf26693aac3b93e453f34ea | Yes | 185.0118 | 307.84 | [{"id": "677263", "commentID": 582032, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xf9c8df6aff66469054ca5dca527a450d85a6c040", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xae4781035da3013c646d06ccde2ccb3201ab714d"}}, {"id": "677257", "commentID": 582032, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x54e8c41648b61b6a4f06f7835f64a0ebfd594b2... | 10 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,002 | 2024-11-06T15:03:58.241174Z | The dip to 55 at the last minute is interesting - chances are a Harris super PAC quickly tried to make it look better? Well they lost their money ;) | Unlawful-Combine | 0xc7405bd62ac706930d97d73f43052a2060344bc0 | 0x3f8542e86380dfce2d2bd600f95bba6dc9f34492 | Yes | 144.56 | 226.5831 | [{"id": "678777", "commentID": 582002, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8c97faf3f317b538c428e0dcbdcde6d3b27a0a01", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x6f0184cd37f0eae83f639d0f1f60b5ad1398a01c"}}, {"id": "679875", "commentID": 582002, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x34334cfecea4811e73dcd6b52c65ed9751ee06c... | 3 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,985 | 2024-11-06T15:02:12.190078Z | As a Taiwanese, I will fight against China for Trump. 0x79314b7facAc85d7A4d9Ae8d35c788A3ab19a988 | Curly-Knee | 0x79314b7facac85d7a4d9ae8d35c788a3ab19a988 | 0x96bd8eafab236274d9b53cd846c5b7440aa3ff97 | Yes | 1,297.92 | 2,028 | [{"id": "678780", "commentID": 581985, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8c97faf3f317b538c428e0dcbdcde6d3b27a0a01", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x6f0184cd37f0eae83f639d0f1f60b5ad1398a01c"}}, {"id": "677193", "commentID": 581985, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xeb44e6c3f207b65cc2826e1b7eeb184e409068f... | 2 | 1 | null | 3 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,999 | 2024-11-06T15:03:32.604664Z | shut up, your parents are form japan | Downright-Satellite | 0xeb44e6c3f207b65cc2826e1b7eeb184e409068f6 | 0xa4af998e438f5ac3931241c8a37acfac2d601026 | Yes | 1,971.2837 | 2,912.5807 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,985 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,003 | 2024-11-06T15:04:04.755307Z | Damn Taiwan independence elements | Woeful-Friendship | 0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26 | 0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1 | Yes | 1,998.8909 | 2,862.6385 | [{"id": "677217", "commentID": 582003, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xeb44e6c3f207b65cc2826e1b7eeb184e409068f6", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa4af998e438f5ac3931241c8a37acfac2d601026"}}, {"id": "677278", "commentID": 582003, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x3a42c28ff29475ce8ab81a9919cbb7f708b600a... | 2 | 0 | 581,985 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,046 | 2024-11-06T15:09:28.531514Z | Bro's just selling patrioticism | Severe-Joy | 0xbeeca20ae205462f56df0ecb68c56b49dd852f02 | 0x28e586a325c1fcd6e516989d66bca90e014c87df | No | -93.6007 | 15,470.8567 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,985 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,982 | 2024-11-06T15:01:48.715188Z | How do I cash out on Maga? | Formal-Clavicle | 0xb5b18797dc2b7e82c7183a905047503eee5e3493 | 0xabccfb5a417f450afcb31fd534593653b862dcb3 | Yes | 141.13 | 251.121 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,063 | 2024-11-06T15:11:04.586947Z | It takes forever, when will this be resolved | Fresh-Macrofauna | 0x20e104fdb0c18b7a7bae8c5e384062e4ac21e3e2 | 0x7d8ef53b591a510ddad3178c3cc233fa5e410a9e | Yes | 13,449.64 | 21,047.9499 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,982 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,980 | 2024-11-06T15:01:37.650261Z | Can anyone tell me when I can withdraw it? | Woeful-Friendship | 0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26 | 0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1 | Yes | 1,998.8909 | 2,862.6385 | [{"id": "677177", "commentID": 581980, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x218aa60078d6cb4dbd073fabe853643ce07d2a42", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x1a44ce2cbc0a2fa90b5ac1a1b9e49abcf00ccd8e"}}, {"id": "677374", "commentID": 581980, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xb609be4e911f2cf03a659d3d3a25b95fd760c25... | 2 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,094 | 2024-11-06T15:13:07.655901Z | sell your shares and send it to your wallet POL chain | Lovable-Yurt | 0xe72621ea4656d6814d83dc11fdb8b22d54d8fce2 | 0x9c23c181f1690580fb89b425c873b9e5a5e43b92 | Yes | -39.9678 | 1 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,980 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,971 | 2024-11-06T15:01:03.567659Z | https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1854034776815972649/photo/1 | Scaly-Motion | 0x32c1f8f84450013bdecb6e99c02407aa277c6ab0 | 0x0a0d2ec5cf738046a759f7f68750785c439db303 | Yes | 11,191.0113 | 17,605.75 | [{"id": "677179", "commentID": 581971, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x54e8c41648b61b6a4f06f7835f64a0ebfd594b2d", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa401bbf98fe618a68db2a85cc941fbc176e81b00"}}, {"id": "677180", "commentID": 581971, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e89560... | 4 | 2 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,929 | 2024-11-06T14:58:15.113838Z | Can anyone tell me when I can withdraw it? | Woeful-Friendship | 0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26 | 0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1 | Yes | 1,998.8909 | 2,862.6385 | [{"id": "677415", "commentID": 581929, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xf404fde24703f09d6105a191d60fb287f875c6e9", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x6c49ce75de050ed05f8277b578d372b440666cb8"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 3 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,934 | 2024-11-06T14:58:41.652223Z | you can't | Wiggly-Burden | 0xc337cf70e344591c0d122be8493344353c6d124c | 0xacb9916ef606542e0321460f68d7158ba1e892d3 | Yes | 154.75 | 231.7402 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,929 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,975 | 2024-11-06T15:01:11.565009Z | why | Woeful-Friendship | 0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26 | 0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1 | Yes | 1,998.8909 | 2,862.6385 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,929 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 582,077 | 2024-11-06T15:11:57.880303Z | sell your shares and send it to wallet | Lovable-Yurt | 0xe72621ea4656d6814d83dc11fdb8b22d54d8fce2 | 0x9c23c181f1690580fb89b425c873b9e5a5e43b92 | Yes | -39.9678 | 1 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,929 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,927 | 2024-11-06T14:58:09.806994Z | 0x00C104191CC1A5960D9cF73817D6f8ba354627d8 can you gift me pls.! | Submissive-Superiority | 0x8a18893aabf423766de35dc5e8e6551a3d1a7eb9 | 0x00c104191cc1a5960d9cf73817d6f8ba354627d8 | Yes | 27.9837 | 44.56 | [] | 0 | 1 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,925 | 2024-11-06T14:57:54.487855Z | Belgamus at least come back for a min to say GOODBYE | Splendid-Slider | 0x65a6f4eabf910d4abc4e6639a28a7b2c3177ae91 | 0xa0867061d243253fc2d66f1c15fe1933a72e3afa | Yes | 50 | 85.7648 | [{"id": "678706", "commentID": 581925, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x9a6660e4f637c87eac91a6473a01ffefed016f35", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x08a6a956147f91f339340d4b1023548606a51058"}}, {"id": "688502", "commentID": 581925, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x71dea8688c86e7e572dbe39d7db0f05307a8b64... | 20 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,959 | 2024-11-06T15:00:10.301127Z | Brother I see you didnt buy much, why can you still mock others so confidently | Woeful-Friendship | 0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26 | 0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1 | Yes | 1,998.8909 | 2,862.6385 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,925 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,910 | 2024-11-06T14:56:12.861472Z | where is it | null | 0xba607dab2a93ffd516556d5ad0d4a28d4f50d90d | 0x232bc1ba887f82005b8ccbdb1f1db951ed195c16 | Yes | 998.6377 | 1,672.76 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,892 | 2024-11-06T14:54:49.653751Z | all 3 sources have called, the dispute has finished its time already, wheres me money | Concerned-Booking | 0x5bdd2332fdf86a84de945f2bb95ac332746cb9c1 | 0x6059ecf55b3314d973c63bc90461923e1f78e104 | Yes | 26.1 | 42.2564 | [{"id": "677077", "commentID": 581892, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x663ad42cc2388a0d7547cafc9325a80d7244c767", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xab75ed1d1ff796136c0e96860b2eafb68fa8738f"}}, {"id": "677080", "commentID": 581892, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xc25b4b772b6ec7ae033f0420440fa108bf09b83... | 17 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,896 | 2024-11-06T14:55:03.061962Z | Just sell shares like I did | Glorious-Van | 0x1eeee08ea31248db409e2d7920336d11d4320161 | 0xf97ccf1c1f8025feb1a9e7d368ea7e6e3a845cba | Yes | -7.9872 | 0.0037 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,892 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,884 | 2024-11-06T14:54:17.370282Z | Those of you who won were able to claim the prize? I could not | Impish-Saddle | 0x13285c7d12751700b4877a6f50c81662a20e1d16 | 0xf2e59018ee30f78b8da3fa0c6917cc5061717287 | Yes | 25 | 40.1929 | [{"id": "677061", "commentID": 581884, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "677302", "commentID": 581884, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x41eb6c7bb7fbe8eff23e480ec426d3a2b20d973... | 4 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,886 | 2024-11-06T14:54:30.732105Z | soon | Helpless-Minister | 0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f | 0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb | Yes | 984.5 | 1,736.3316 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,884 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,881 | 2024-11-06T14:53:52.788618Z | ?????? | Angelic-Blow | 0x2e37d9424c9e6d7385d8cb7795dc93c87150ab0d | 0x0fd8650f2e40fe7c0466403e9deb52ef101ac20f | Yes | 1,280 | 2,136.2903 | [{"id": "677063", "commentID": 581881, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "677092", "commentID": 581881, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x17c0d38099b923c9b62784c8603725c7266d771... | 2 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,878 | 2024-11-06T14:53:33.963942Z | When is market closing to claim | Glorious-Van | 0x1eeee08ea31248db409e2d7920336d11d4320161 | 0xf97ccf1c1f8025feb1a9e7d368ea7e6e3a845cba | Yes | 12.88 | 20.9337 | [{"id": "677056", "commentID": 581878, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x663ad42cc2388a0d7547cafc9325a80d7244c767", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xab75ed1d1ff796136c0e96860b2eafb68fa8738f"}}, {"id": "677059", "commentID": 581878, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x327c1b34d437dbb6b4973c3a7258021d9819959... | 3 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,875 | 2024-11-06T14:53:09.740527Z | How to claim the prize? | Impish-Saddle | 0x13285c7d12751700b4877a6f50c81662a20e1d16 | 0xf2e59018ee30f78b8da3fa0c6917cc5061717287 | Yes | 25 | 40.1929 | [{"id": "677068", "commentID": 581875, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "677421", "commentID": 581875, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x4abdf782327d3447f614525c842571e8172ce5a... | 3 | 0 | null | 2 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,877 | 2024-11-06T14:53:27.527479Z | When Associated Press, Fox, and NBC call | Offensive-Burning | 0xea4515ca668cf7111cdcba91947c5e29daf22bc3 | 0x4e3e182821fb7b5880010c67670d1faa0db37853 | Yes | 27.95 | 47.1929 | [{"id": "677067", "commentID": 581877, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,875 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,900 | 2024-11-06T14:55:22.792084Z | they all fucking called | Blue-Thunder | 0x28a00bd191ab54a782c99c6f7a52a3251e53e3a5 | 0xfbbcecca55d3c6d6226b9f16fc46b04bd8c65420 | Yes | 2,000.72 | 3,631.0708 | [{"id": "677082", "commentID": 581900, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x7b4c817eb75e83d03db79a25d166dc96be5afe9c", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xb960ec84505165ae0b30e0a30c9a39eed38c1568"}}, {"id": "677137", "commentID": 581900, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xac5c7ee22d45b873cd34896b3f109a10204cb7a... | 8 | 0 | 581,875 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,865 | 2024-11-06T14:52:25.996692Z | Did one of them : Associated Press, Fox, and NBC call ? | Offensive-Burning | 0xea4515ca668cf7111cdcba91947c5e29daf22bc3 | 0x4e3e182821fb7b5880010c67670d1faa0db37853 | Yes | 27.95 | 47.1929 | [{"id": "677045", "commentID": 581865, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x053774d2329ad64cca2b50d99641600162e79bfe", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x87ce5aff2291f1e8706af608bb68616007bae7af"}}, {"id": "677069", "commentID": 581865, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1... | 2 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,864 | 2024-11-06T14:52:25.234394Z | AHAHAHAH | Insistent-Dirndl | 0x3b9035400029267141bc9dbb227bc1db0ec62871 | 0x4d1020d4ca3597d0cbe8ef77ea41afb290e45ce8 | Yes | 184.1699 | 369 | [{"id": "677070", "commentID": 581864, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,854 | 2024-11-06T14:51:11.775611Z | You really don't get it yet? You're being given a chance to close your bet on Trump. 2 out of 3 media outlets haven't reached their verdict yet because there is severe vote rigging going on in favor of Kamala, so before it's too late, you better close your bets and quickly exchange them for ,,No,,. Are you really ready... | Slight-Comedy | 0x38e762167f8150f21b578192ac611ef51f1a4d76 | 0x06a54a2892d5c9db55cb307265052982b388f356 | No | 49.99 | 18,330 | [{"id": "680780", "commentID": 581854, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xbc9a5040aa37ed754b786b0e1adf3f92017fafce", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x9c5e2f321b59ef27eae7817c834e1502530d9cd8"}}, {"id": "677043", "commentID": 581854, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x663ad42cc2388a0d7547cafc9325a80d7244c76... | 3 | 0 | null | 5 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,861 | 2024-11-06T14:52:04.101615Z | I love this. | Forked-Historian | 0x663ad42cc2388a0d7547cafc9325a80d7244c767 | 0xab75ed1d1ff796136c0e96860b2eafb68fa8738f | Yes | 915.0239 | 1,039.6021 | [{"id": "677041", "commentID": 581861, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb"}}, {"id": "677072", "commentID": 581861, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1... | 12 | 0 | 581,854 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,868 | 2024-11-06T14:52:38.215717Z | womp womp | Helpless-Minister | 0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f | 0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb | Yes | 984.5 | 1,736.3316 | [{"id": "677057", "commentID": 581868, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x54e8c41648b61b6a4f06f7835f64a0ebfd594b2d", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa401bbf98fe618a68db2a85cc941fbc176e81b00"}}, {"id": "677073", "commentID": 581868, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1... | 9 | 0 | 581,854 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,876 | 2024-11-06T14:53:15.904862Z | I can feel your mad... | Ecstatic-Mission | 0x3a42c28ff29475ce8ab81a9919cbb7f708b600a6 | 0x92a1a4e282e1722443b59d987c6c154187d26535 | Yes | 24,054.3752 | 28,142.4076 | [{"id": "677060", "commentID": 581876, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xa12ba05ca2a4a9272d7480560e46391b2fb18ff7", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xd2a497907eddc0a45031c2381cda9149ec1b31f5"}}, {"id": "677076", "commentID": 581876, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1... | 6 | 0 | 581,854 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,950 | 2024-11-06T14:59:35.049022Z | womp womp | Deficient-Supper | 0xb86f7de75bdc3a2e531462c4f98e101323418919 | 0x0ea75451a028dbb99beea43ecf18f0da5146204e | Yes | 120 | 218.9781 | [{"id": "677327", "commentID": 581950, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x5f4143d7f29635803ef4be44520e2439a1cde2f1", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x62d7dd8165ac0c36139dc5e4b58a763983c3fe0b"}}, {"id": "677387", "commentID": 581950, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x7ba7508104bdc40481fef154f133c097488a62f... | 2 | 0 | 581,854 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,953 | 2024-11-06T14:59:58.411274Z | Oh, fascinating... do go on! | Wealthy-Publishing | 0x5b73c0c28040860cb4abdf2693ee10e203036557 | 0xa4a820e92256497e169c2d5e616afe1cfa3c3783 | Yes | 538.5132 | 763.153 | [{"id": "680808", "commentID": 581953, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8698702ebaf346548cb068666d54d3153e7fd620", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xcc48181796404feeb20e2a93449a19c07f2e60df"}}, {"id": "681836", "commentID": 581953, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xac28c2b38cb59f1508de91fc69d8e35f411b380... | 7 | 0 | 581,854 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,849 | 2024-11-06T14:50:50.800739Z | I guess thieves do prosper, mom! | Prickly-Timeout | 0x9e4c2401a4d17072058b271b3393f78ed8f79871 | 0x5a859dfd244bf50f9381db69fc6fea5a6b2ce77e | null | 0 | 0 | [{"id": "679069", "commentID": 581849, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x31443ddb41662c2de2655c15c3a8b4ce361d3723", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xd5e7bc0fa3401add9fabf1bb5fad466a9429cc29"}}, {"id": "677066", "commentID": 581849, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xa12ba05ca2a4a9272d7480560e46391b2fb18ff... | 2 | 0 | null | 3 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,851 | 2024-11-06T14:51:03.684665Z | justice has been made | Droopy-Tuneup | 0x9ef847bb071c155edd6253f5d59f307fd4325e7f | 0x510b8f0519825ae7d3322506cfaeeaee6c9e286d | Yes | 21,622.32 | 35,681.055 | [{"id": "677034", "commentID": 581851, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x17c0d38099b923c9b62784c8603725c7266d7718", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x3348b0beefe30daebb473979c82283a01de4dc9f"}}, {"id": "677124", "commentID": 581851, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x86379a6d557fdeadfe167faf1dc144d0cdaa42f... | 3 | 0 | 581,849 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,871 | 2024-11-06T14:52:54.563537Z | No bigger thief than a democrat government | Complicated-Shine | 0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606 | 0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52 | Yes | 5 | 7.9365 | [{"id": "677130", "commentID": 581871, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x86379a6d557fdeadfe167faf1dc144d0cdaa42fb", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x928c7363058b12da899cbec3f368befeaf98864b"}}, {"id": "677143", "commentID": 581871, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x1f5dcc90b3eb2a1d50d7663c47fb972948b29b6... | 4 | 0 | 581,849 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,898 | 2024-11-06T14:55:14.589618Z | All the thieves are in liberal cities, try again retard. | Proper-Marketplace | 0x16b3b80e8c0fa3ddc710ca25e7db278d04c39510 | 0x26aea398c14122cf3d4d5f7ebad865d75711ebb1 | null | 0 | 0 | [{"id": "677117", "commentID": 581898, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x17c0d38099b923c9b62784c8603725c7266d7718", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x3348b0beefe30daebb473979c82283a01de4dc9f"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,849 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,829 | 2024-11-06T14:48:37.625011Z | So delicious that Allan Lichtman was wrong (again). | Complicated-Shine | 0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606 | 0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52 | Yes | 5 | 7.9365 | [{"id": "677744", "commentID": 581829, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x9fe9dbaf471e037a21a6c64076ed1ca74f4236c6", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0e7c33da1cda514e2fedaeee64ffbeb3d61c767f"}}, {"id": "677016", "commentID": 581829, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x16b3b80e8c0fa3ddc710ca25e7db278d04c3951... | 12 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,835 | 2024-11-06T14:49:09.982799Z | Yeah he shit his diaper yesterday | Splendid-Slider | 0x65a6f4eabf910d4abc4e6639a28a7b2c3177ae91 | 0xa0867061d243253fc2d66f1c15fe1933a72e3afa | Yes | 50 | 85.7648 | [{"id": "677012", "commentID": 581835, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x176b45bfedd0bab70e9816f21438d8e613bed05e", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x147cb220d211a5684fdc879b5834f2a0b40e7006"}}, {"id": "677017", "commentID": 581835, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x16b3b80e8c0fa3ddc710ca25e7db278d04c3951... | 6 | 0 | 581,829 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,828 | 2024-11-06T14:48:35.542585Z | can you guys claim now? | Required-Ikebana | 0x615574714c96ca4df84cb7f7da4def5990904d67 | 0xf56061602293db133bf26693aac3b93e453f34ea | Yes | 185.0118 | 307.84 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 3 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,837 | 2024-11-06T14:49:13.920766Z | nein | Complicated-Shine | 0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606 | 0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52 | Yes | 5 | 7.9365 | [{"id": "677014", "commentID": 581837, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,828 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,842 | 2024-11-06T14:49:53.395533Z | Can I ask how to claim | Costly-Cargo | 0x36d65ddfceb4f6bf4c111dcdba74fca7f45a3fe9 | 0xbaea243b4ee97b61a5567092aa1736d55fa34f04 | Yes | 105.54 | 170.7767 | [{"id": "677025", "commentID": 581842, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,828 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,858 | 2024-11-06T14:51:39.582381Z | ys also wanna ask how | Weak-Driver | 0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0 | 0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5 | Yes | 967.1 | 1,546.879 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,828 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,813 | 2024-11-06T14:47:06.178389Z | Outcome proposed: Yes No dispute Final outcome: Yes | Scaly-Motion | 0x32c1f8f84450013bdecb6e99c02407aa277c6ab0 | 0x0a0d2ec5cf738046a759f7f68750785c439db303 | Yes | 11,191.0113 | 17,605.75 | [{"id": "677062", "commentID": 581813, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xab01c77e5ced53b65241aaa0b2c2b63cd944df87", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x8a993f8f7e81d790f6a557b3911f487216169ce6"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 2 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,820 | 2024-11-06T14:47:44.749837Z | where you can see this contract info? | Grateful-Trapezium | 0xf6867470a9adaa9c76c5ace2288a3457c6a0fd80 | 0x39c277d0432056a115efea239241a04d96e2b228 | Yes | 190.8012 | 434.4671 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,813 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,834 | 2024-11-06T14:49:07.106836Z | click show more, under rules | Helpless-Minister | 0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f | 0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb | Yes | 984.5 | 1,736.3316 | [{"id": "677071", "commentID": 581834, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xab01c77e5ced53b65241aaa0b2c2b63cd944df87", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x8a993f8f7e81d790f6a557b3911f487216169ce6"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,813 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,811 | 2024-11-06T14:47:04.207392Z | lets go to sleep guy. come back tmmr | Orderly-Phone | 0x3d1acd545187b5e5ee839003b2eb3df08f028faf | 0x9ddcb819e97bb16361e5cdb594c900989723f21c | Yes | 2,117.76 | 3,279.9332 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,802 | 2024-11-06T14:45:40.569384Z | It ended! Claim your rewards, se you in 2028 | Irritating-Ruler | 0xab412d6e9150e469f7de3121657d2703942b16ec | 0xa7439dcbeb1e68a8d4e45be4f0934c268de28116 | Yes | 1,020.998 | 1,634.3403 | [{"id": "676997", "commentID": 581802, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "676996", "commentID": 581802, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x17c0d38099b923c9b62784c8603725c7266d771... | 5 | 0 | null | 3 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,815 | 2024-11-06T14:47:10.727269Z | how do I claim it? | Ill-Informed-Cornmeal | 0xef4c604c4d2c34a1842f39499b235620845ca704 | 0xb91cc087fc79c1410519b937bb0e631068defe90 | Yes | 1,686.64 | 2,804.7127 | [{"id": "677005", "commentID": 581815, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xcccdb8c5afde9a8ba91b9b8f23b6f5c939568ed6", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xb8f4fff2857825db2b0710b3456257ce309363dc"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,802 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,819 | 2024-11-06T14:47:35.290028Z | how to claim? | Wiggly-Burden | 0xc337cf70e344591c0d122be8493344353c6d124c | 0xacb9916ef606542e0321460f68d7158ba1e892d3 | Yes | 154.75 | 231.7402 | [{"id": "677037", "commentID": 581819, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xdb09e7685ad374c7ac0cc7cda8c81368a18b6413", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xb36384338fe3b3f499c5831f0dde8908c9bb739c"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,802 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,824 | 2024-11-06T14:47:59.267358Z | How to get it | Woeful-Friendship | 0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26 | 0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1 | Yes | 1,998.8909 | 2,862.6385 | [{"id": "677038", "commentID": 581824, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xdb09e7685ad374c7ac0cc7cda8c81368a18b6413", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xb36384338fe3b3f499c5831f0dde8908c9bb739c"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,802 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,800 | 2024-11-06T14:45:31.453302Z | But but but but the polls which are so real said Kamala is ahead ! ???? | White-Bachelor | 0x8d8a6c4cc3b02b90053d7bb0ca98a3379b062c14 | 0x28f096de7cf1355fd939493eddd7adbab995ceab | Yes | 151.75 | 250 | [{"id": "677750", "commentID": 581800, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xee3d41b92248f7f8fccacd5146e0a571c87071b0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0e29bca588b689a79f43ab13a9c20e9d5a381224"}}, {"id": "678785", "commentID": 581800, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8c97faf3f317b538c428e0dcbdcde6d3b27a0a0... | 10 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,798 | 2024-11-06T14:45:02.678698Z | But but but but Nate silver said ???????????????? | White-Bachelor | 0x8d8a6c4cc3b02b90053d7bb0ca98a3379b062c14 | 0x28f096de7cf1355fd939493eddd7adbab995ceab | Yes | 151.75 | 250 | [{"id": "677752", "commentID": 581798, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xee3d41b92248f7f8fccacd5146e0a571c87071b0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0e29bca588b689a79f43ab13a9c20e9d5a381224"}}, {"id": "678787", "commentID": 581798, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8c97faf3f317b538c428e0dcbdcde6d3b27a0a0... | 11 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,857 | 2024-11-06T14:51:22.993385Z | how could you bet 30K on this guy ? | Droopy-Tuneup | 0x9ef847bb071c155edd6253f5d59f307fd4325e7f | 0x510b8f0519825ae7d3322506cfaeeaee6c9e286d | Yes | 21,622.32 | 35,681.055 | [{"id": "677051", "commentID": 581857, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x176b45bfedd0bab70e9816f21438d8e613bed05e", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x147cb220d211a5684fdc879b5834f2a0b40e7006"}}] | 1 | 0 | 581,798 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,788 | 2024-11-06T14:43:57.357926Z | Do I need an active selling point, or will it be automated? | Natural-Wire | 0xb8c3e6b5a49bc09710088e93a31da093eab359dd | 0x433591131e79c2e2bfb1cf443448ced10de26842 | Yes | 75.9 | 122.8846 | [{"id": "676995", "commentID": 581788, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x035d4363b7a3d7e6f92be5cacf023306c37e1005", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0c429c52fce84ef7115d4311bb314117bd844e35"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 1 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,795 | 2024-11-06T14:44:47.972757Z | auto | Helpless-Minister | 0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f | 0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb | Yes | 984.5 | 1,736.3316 | [{"id": "677031", "commentID": 581795, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}, {"id": "677589", "commentID": 581795, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x41eb6c7bb7fbe8eff23e480ec426d3a2b20d973... | 2 | 0 | 581,788 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,778 | 2024-11-06T14:42:59.748833Z | Asking for tips while claiming to be a "poor uni student" I'd have to assume is an attempt to defraud users | Complicated-Shine | 0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606 | 0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52 | Yes | 5 | 7.9365 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,761 | 2024-11-06T14:41:28.765943Z | I bet correct then How to withdraw? | Crooked-Student | 0x21c41fa0a76b62ceab036261c7f84afe7847f413 | 0x2c2ad8915fb9a6c7866ea32542f3fb573d27f1cc | Yes | 109.49 | 205.9411 | [{"id": "677039", "commentID": 581761, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}, {"id": "677058", "commentID": 581761, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x176b45bfedd0bab70e9816f21438d8e613bed05... | 2 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,752 | 2024-11-06T14:40:42.676943Z | https://oracle.uma.xyz/ really strange. if i go to "settled" the site just freezes | Scaly-Motion | 0x32c1f8f84450013bdecb6e99c02407aa277c6ab0 | 0x0a0d2ec5cf738046a759f7f68750785c439db303 | Yes | 11,191.0113 | 17,605.75 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 3 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,767 | 2024-11-06T14:41:56.717987Z | same for me. | Familiar-Typewriter | 0xcccdb8c5afde9a8ba91b9b8f23b6f5c939568ed6 | 0xb8f4fff2857825db2b0710b3456257ce309363dc | Yes | 198.17 | 325.6679 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,752 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,770 | 2024-11-06T14:42:04.117446Z | oh no! exit scam :( | Posh-Lay | 0x1db89ba7eadb53de5d9572ad60b72afc935b7e4e | 0xa84c412051d753e5e3ecd2cd4bdc4477df29f16d | Yes | 8,971.7209 | 6,461.6527 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,752 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,784 | 2024-11-06T14:43:26.956848Z | just sell, you get a few bucks less | Faithful-Coinsurance | 0x630fb717280a129ece46696389e01490b2396b7c | 0xdd37e1a4ded5c1798bac639899135267ef576993 | Yes | -1,583.503 | 0.0068 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,752 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,749 | 2024-11-06T14:40:01.287682Z | i couldnt sleep because i spent hours relishing in liberals sweeeet sweeeeet delicious tears, it even sweeter than 2016 | Querulous-Publicity | 0x924979f97f18f12adc90db96f19110cf468a881d | 0x94a876fd68232545412a541894b293e71de59215 | null | 0 | 0 | [{"id": "676991", "commentID": 581749, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xd9758f1f52b62a193fa508ae689265455c1cd094", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xfb6c7eaef341b0e1bc4ddb2763de07e9f081e48b"}}, {"id": "677022", "commentID": 581749, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xec6164c4fe1e13b129af720cb7d08eb4270edea... | 2 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,748 | 2024-11-06T14:40:00.620938Z | if there was a poor competiton - i would win, i am the poorest. | Posh-Lay | 0x1db89ba7eadb53de5d9572ad60b72afc935b7e4e | 0xa84c412051d753e5e3ecd2cd4bdc4477df29f16d | Yes | 8,971.7209 | 6,461.6527 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,746 | 2024-11-06T14:39:55.690519Z | rip cumhola | Best-Geography | 0x7df71c35357a0a46bf7204d21af18d0f452c33cb | 0x4a1fa232ca17bb7e496ac7e9a07136e12688a008 | null | 0 | 0 | [{"id": "677000", "commentID": 581746, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x176b45bfedd0bab70e9816f21438d8e613bed05e", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x147cb220d211a5684fdc879b5834f2a0b40e7006"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,745 | 2024-11-06T14:39:52.273872Z | will it ever resolve? | Wiggly-Burden | 0xc337cf70e344591c0d122be8493344353c6d124c | 0xacb9916ef606542e0321460f68d7158ba1e892d3 | Yes | 154.75 | 231.7402 | [{"id": "676992", "commentID": 581745, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xd07c373ad38383ff34e7122ab7a4f2c8b11e0854", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xab264456f9d760424560fb4f8ee261f4554e5ef1"}}] | 1 | 0 | null | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,733 | 2024-11-06T14:38:49.253233Z | Tips me plz :( | Prize-Lemur | 0xc193a5ab9f428f787b3b89bec4b7f9f28dc26f94 | 0x31516650b25a1067bdf35627301f9ec8f4b55518 | Yes | 173.95 | 285.1639 | [] | 0 | 0 | null | 5 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,735 | 2024-11-06T14:38:55.229991Z | 0xbcecd4e3249ec1dfa58562b97e8539bd40505d9a | Prize-Lemur | 0xc193a5ab9f428f787b3b89bec4b7f9f28dc26f94 | 0x31516650b25a1067bdf35627301f9ec8f4b55518 | Yes | 173.95 | 285.1639 | [] | 0 | 0 | 581,733 | 0 |
253,591 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917 | politics | 2024-01-04T22:58:00Z | 2024-11-06 15:17:41+00 | Event | 903,193 | 581,740 | 2024-11-06T14:39:27.397338Z | get a job smelly pajeet | Past-Devastation | 0xdbd5d31b7f48adc13a0ab0c591f7e3d4f9642e69 | 0x45915988e447fa959d51d90e3c3ad394c5691bfb | Yes | 61,595.41 | 101,054.5075 | [{"id": "676971", "commentID": 581740, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x615574714c96ca4df84cb7f7da4def5990904d67", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf56061602293db133bf26693aac3b93e453f34ea"}}, {"id": "676972", "commentID": 581740, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xb0ef8d04e73ea7ba47d1bc50528998e290b9028... | 4 | 0 | 581,733 | 0 |
- Overview
- Hugging Face notes
- Four Diagnostic Tasks
- Repository Structure
- File Descriptions
- Topic Structure
- Quick Start
- Dataset Statistics
- Data Collection
- Raw collection files
- Benchmark instance filters
- Multilingual headroom
- Model outputs
- Responsible AI Statement
- Benchmark Results (15 LLMs, 18 topic–platform splits)
- License
- Citation
- Changelog
StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment
Version: 1.1.2 (Hugging Face release; the data are those of release 1.1.1 on Google Drive, with two Polymarket files re-encoded to UTF-8, see Hugging Face notes)
Date: 2026-11-04
License: CC BY 4.0
Paper: Pei, Hu, Shi, Ma, Liu, Cartlidge. StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment. NeurIPS 2026, Track on Evaluations and Datasets. arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26074 · OpenReview: https://openreview.net/forum?id=FWuX7Tx9gK
Code: https://github.com/PEIYUNHUA/stakebench_code_NeurIPS26
Archival copy (release 1.1.1, referenced in the paper): https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1Xg83tRFH-BghesJUUGWY5XacQliCRYhu
Overview
StakeBench is a large-scale evaluation framework for commitment-grounded language understanding in prediction markets. It links 560,876 comments from 2,261 resolved markets to each author's verified position record, post-comment trading actions, and market price histories across two public platforms — Polymarket (real-money, USD) and Manifold Markets (virtual-currency, Mana).
The key design principle is to replace perception-based supervision with revealed-preference signals derived from observable market commitments: position sides, post-comment trading actions, market resolutions, and price trajectories replace human annotation across four progressive diagnostic tasks.
| Polymarket | Manifold | |
|---|---|---|
| Comments (cleaned) | 514,314 | 46,562 |
| Unique comment IDs | 266,446 | 46,562 |
| Markets / Topics | 2,070 | 191 |
| Unique users | 24,909 | 3,250 |
| Date range | May 2024 → Mar 2026 | Jan 2022 → Mar 2026 |
| Currency | Real USD | Virtual Mana (M$) |
| Position coverage (G1/G2) | 27.2% (139,848) | 80.5% (37,430) |
| Resolved outcome | Price-inferred (≥0.90) | Direct API field |
Hugging Face notes
Loading. Each main CSV is exposed as a configuration of this dataset (see the YAML header):
polymarket_comments(default),manifold_comments,polymarket_positions,manifold_positions,polymarket_markets,manifold_markets,polymarket_topics,manifold_markets_summary,polymarket_prices,manifold_prices. Theraw/andmodel_outputs/folders are plain files; download them withsnapshot_download. The two price configurations declare their column types in the YAML header (token_idas a string, because Polymarket token IDs exceed 64-bit integers;categoryas a string, because it is empty in some files); when reading the CSV files directly, passdtype={"token_id": str}to pandas.from datasets import load_dataset comments = load_dataset("greenday123/StakeBench", "polymarket_comments", split="train") from huggingface_hub import snapshot_download path = snapshot_download(repo_id="greenday123/StakeBench", repo_type="dataset", local_dir="StakeBench")Encoding. On Google Drive,
polymarket/comments_clean.csvandpolymarket/market_attrs.csvare GB18030-encoded. Here both files are UTF-8 (re-encoded without any other change: same rows, same columns, same values; characters that were outside GB18030 at creation time, mainly emoji, remain?). The evaluation code in the code repository reads the Drive file withencoding="latin1", so the model inputs inmodel_outputs/show non-ASCII punctuation as mojibake (e.g.he¡¯s); the reported results were obtained on that input. For the original text, joinraw/polymarket/comments.csvonmarket_id,comment_idandcreated_at. All other files are UTF-8 on both hosts.Checksums.
croissant.jsonlists the SHA-256 of every distributed file for this release; the two re-encoded files differ from the Drive copies, everything else is byte-identical.
Four Diagnostic Tasks
StakeBench is organized as a progressive diagnostic suite. All targets are derived from public records without human annotation.
| Task | Input | Prediction | Target | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G1 Position Detection | question, comment | Does commenter hold a position? | y ∈ {0,1} |
Acc, F1 |
| G2 Belief Inference | question, comment | Which side does commenter's position support? | z ∈ {YES, NO} + abstention |
DA, CCA, CSD |
| G3 Language–Action Consistency | question, comment, side, stake | What is user's first post-comment position update? | a ∈ {flip, increase, decrease, hold} |
Acc₄, Accf, Accd |
| G4 Belief–Price Lead Detection | window of positioned comments | Does aggregate committed signal predict next price direction? | d ∈ {UP, DOWN} |
PLA, ΔPLA, n₊ |
The four tasks form an increasingly demanding hierarchy: detecting financially committed speech → inferring committed belief → predicting subsequent action → detecting collective price-leading signal.
Repository Structure
StakeBench/
├── README.md ← this dataset card
├── LICENSE ← CC BY 4.0
├── croissant.json ← MLCommons Croissant 1.0 metadata (file list with SHA-256, record sets)
├── data_processing.md ← full data collection & cleaning documentation
│
├── polymarket/
│ ├── comments_clean.csv ← primary data: 514,314 comment rows (G1–G2)
│ ├── market_attrs.csv ← market-level metadata (2,070+ markets)
│ ├── topics_summary.csv ← event/topic-level aggregates
│ ├── positions_clean.csv ← G3 position-change records (862,539 rows)
│ └── prices/
│ └── {topic_id}.csv ← hourly price history per topic (G4), 2,055 files
│
├── manifold/
│ ├── comments_clean.csv ← primary data: 46,562 comment rows (G1–G2)
│ ├── market_attrs.csv ← market-level metadata (191 markets)
│ ├── markets_summary.csv ← market-level aggregates
│ ├── positions_clean.csv ← G3 position-change records (387,262 rows)
│ └── prices/
│ └── {market_id}.csv ← probability history per market (G4), 191 files
│
├── raw/ ← unmodified collection outputs (see raw/README.md)
│ ├── README.md
│ ├── polymarket/
│ │ ├── comments.csv ← comment crawl output, 514,314 rows, UTF-8
│ │ ├── user_positions.csv ← activity records, 907,375 rows
│ │ └── valid_topics.jsonl ← 22,240 candidate events with member markets
│ └── manifold/
│ ├── comments.csv ← comment crawl output, 119,805 rows / 2,926 markets
│ ├── user_positions.csv ← bet records, 590,904 rows
│ └── valid_markets.jsonl ← 6,083 candidate resolved binary markets
│
└── model_outputs/ ← per-sample outputs of the 15 evaluated models (see model_outputs/README.md)
File Descriptions
Primary Benchmark Files (G1 / G2)
polymarket/comments_clean.csv (353 MB, 514,314 rows)
Each row is a comment on a Polymarket prediction market with the commenter's reconstructed financial position at comment time.
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
market_id |
str | Polymarket market ID |
slug |
str | URL slug |
question |
str | Market question text |
condition_id |
str | On-chain EVM condition ID |
category_validated |
str | Topic category (see §Topic Structure) |
market_start_time |
ISO8601 | Market open time (UTC) |
market_end_time |
ISO8601 | Market close/settlement time (UTC) |
parent_entity_type_used |
str | API entity type: Event or Series |
parent_entity_id_used |
str | Entity ID used for comment API call |
comment_id |
str | Comment ID (may repeat for Series-pooled markets) |
created_at |
ISO8601 | Comment timestamp (UTC) |
text |
str | Comment body (plain text) |
pseudonym |
str | Platform display name |
user_address |
str | On-chain ETH wallet address (pseudonymous) |
proxy_wallet |
str | Polymarket proxy wallet address |
position_side |
str | Yes / No / team name at comment time; NaN if no position |
position_size |
float | USD net cost (negative = profitable exit; NaN if no position) |
position_shares |
float | Net shares held at comment time |
reactions |
JSON str | Raw reaction objects array |
reaction_count |
int | Total reaction count (−1 = API anomaly; treat as 0) |
report_count |
int | Number of reports |
parent_comment_id |
str | Parent comment ID (NaN for top-level) |
reply_count |
int | Reply count within collection window |
Deduplication note: 48.2% of rows share a
comment_idwith another row (same comment collected under multiplemarket_idvalues for Series-pooled markets). For unique-comment analysis, applydf.drop_duplicates(subset='comment_id', keep='first')to obtain the 266,446 unique comments.
G1/G2 instances: 139,848 rows have
position_size > 0(27.2% of all rows). These form the G1 positive class and the G2 evaluation set.
manifold/comments_clean.csv (22 MB, 46,562 rows)
Each row is a comment on a resolved Manifold binary market with position and probability context.
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
market_id |
str | Manifold market ID (alphanumeric) |
slug |
str | URL slug |
question |
str | Market question text |
outcome_type |
str | Always BINARY |
category |
str | Topic category (see §Topic Structure) |
resolution |
str | Ground-truth resolution: YES or NO |
comment_id |
str | Unique comment ID |
created_at |
ISO8601 | Comment timestamp (UTC) |
text |
str | Plain text (extracted from ProseMirror JSON) |
pseudonym |
str | Username (publicly visible) |
user_address |
str | Manifold user ID |
position_side |
str | YES / NO at comment time (80.5% coverage) |
position_size |
float | Net Mana M$ invested at comment time |
position_shares |
float | Net shares held at comment time |
prob_at_comment |
float | Market probability snapshot [0,1] at comment time (87.9% coverage) |
reaction_count |
int | Like count |
parent_comment_id |
str | Parent comment ID (NaN for top-level) |
reply_count |
int | Back-calculated reply count |
G3 Position-Change Records
polymarket/positions_clean.csv (862,539 rows) · manifold/positions_clean.csv (387,262 rows)
Timestamped per-trade position records. Used in G3 to derive each commenter's first position update within 48 hours after their comment. Also provides richer position timelines for custom feature engineering.
Polymarket columns: proxy_wallet, timestamp, conditionId, type, side, outcome, outcomeIndex, size, usdcSize, price, transactionHash, title, slug, eventSlug, position_side, position_shares, position_size, yes_cum_shares, no_cum_shares, potential_arbitrage, market_price, position_market_value.
Manifold columns: user_id, username, bet_id, created_at, contract_id, slug, question, outcome, amount, shares, prob_before, prob_after, is_redemption, is_cancelled, is_filled, position_side, position_shares, position_size, yes_cum_shares, no_cum_shares, potential_arbitrage, market_price, position_market_value.
Market Metadata Files
polymarket/market_attrs.csv
Full market metadata from the Gamma API. One row per market. Key fields: market_id, question, description, condition_id, clob_token_ids, start_date, end_date, resolved, resolution, volume, liquidity, category_validated, event_id, event_title, event_comment_count.
manifold/market_attrs.csv
Full Manifold market metadata. One row per market. Key fields: market_id, question, description, resolution, resolution_probability, probability, volume, unique_bettor_count, comment_count, category_validated.
Summary Files
polymarket/topics_summary.csv: event/topic-level aggregates — event_id, series_id, category, comment_count, total_volume, market_count, event_title, representative_question, best_market_id, best_market_volume, end_date, resolution.
manifold/markets_summary.csv: market-level summary statistics for each of the 191 Manifold markets — market_id, slug, category, outcome_type, resolution, close_time, resolution_time, volume, unique_bettors, total_liquidity, last_comment_time, creator_username, question.
Price History (G4)
polymarket/prices/{topic_id}.csv (2,055 files): hourly CLOB Yes-outcome price per Polymarket topic. Columns: market_id, slug, question, category, token_id, outcome, ts (Unix seconds), datetime (UTC), price (0–1).
manifold/prices/{market_id}.csv (191 files): hourly probability history per Manifold market. Columns: market_id, slug, question, category, ts (Unix seconds), datetime (UTC), outcome, price (YES probability, 0–1).
Topic Structure
StakeBench spans 18 topic–platform combinations: 6 Polymarket topics × 2 platforms, with Manifold split into 12 finer categories.
Polymarket (6 topics): crypto, economics, politics_intl, politics_us, tech_other, other
Manifold (12 topics): crypto, culture, economics, meta, politics_intl, politics_us, science, social, sports_other, tech_ai, tech_other, other
Quick Start
Load comments and filter G1/G2 instances
import pandas as pd
# Polymarket (UTF-8 in this release; the Drive copy needs encoding="gb18030")
poly = pd.read_csv("polymarket/comments_clean.csv", low_memory=False)
poly_dedup = poly.drop_duplicates(subset="comment_id", keep="first") # 266,446 unique
# G1/G2 instances: position_size > 0
g12_poly = poly_dedup[poly_dedup["position_size"] > 0] # 139,848 rows (27.2%)
g12_mani = pd.read_csv("manifold/comments_clean.csv")
g12_mani = g12_mani[g12_mani["position_size"] > 0] # 37,430 rows (80.5%)
G2 — Belief Inference
# Binary YES/NO instances for G2
g2_poly = g12_poly[g12_poly["position_side"].isin(["Yes", "No"])]
g2_mani = g12_mani[g12_mani["position_side"].isin(["YES", "NO"])]
G3 — Language–Action Consistency
# Load position-change records, join to comments by user and market
trades_poly = pd.read_csv("polymarket/positions_clean.csv", low_memory=False)
# For each comment in g2_poly, find first trade within 48h after created_at
G4 — Price Lead Detection
import os, pandas as pd
prices = {}
for fname in os.listdir("polymarket/prices"):
topic_id = fname.replace(".csv", "")
prices[topic_id] = pd.read_csv(f"polymarket/prices/{fname}")
# Aggregate positioned comments into time windows; compare to price direction
The task instances evaluated in the paper are built from these files by common.py in the code repository (see Benchmark instance filters).
Dataset Statistics
Core Scale
| Metric | Polymarket | Manifold |
|---|---|---|
| Comments (cleaned) | 514,314 | 46,562 |
| Unique comments (dedup) | 266,446 | 46,562 |
| Markets | 2,070 | 191 |
| Unique users | 24,909 | 3,250 |
| G1/G2 instances (position_size > 0) | 139,848 (27.2%) | 37,430 (80.5%) |
| G3 position-change records | 862,539 | 387,262 |
| G4 price history files | 2,055 | 191 |
Comment Length (characters)
| p10 | p25 | p50 | p75 | p90 | max | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | ~10 | 22 | 44 | 85 | ~160 | 1,492 |
| Manifold | ~18 | 49 | 107 | 230 | ~470 | 9,132 |
Polymarket Stake-Size Tiers (G1/G2 instances)
| Tier | Range (USD) | Count | % of positioned |
|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | < $100 | 52,259 | 37.4% |
| Small | $100–$500 | 35,042 | 25.1% |
| Medium | $500–$1,000 | 14,162 | 10.1% |
| Large | $1,000–$5,000 | 23,865 | 17.1% |
| XLarge | $5,000–$10,000 | 6,315 | 4.5% |
| Whale | $10,000–$50,000 | 6,732 | 4.8% |
| Mega | > $50,000 | 1,473 | 1.1% |
Comments per Market
| Metric | Polymarket | Manifold |
|---|---|---|
| Median | 70 | 163 |
| Mean | 248.5 | 243.8 |
| Min (filter threshold) | 10 | 100 |
| Max | 25,049 | 990 |
Manifold Resolution Distribution
| Resolution | Comments | Share |
|---|---|---|
| YES | 25,009 | 53.7% |
| NO | 21,553 | 46.3% |
Data Collection
All data were collected from public APIs requiring no authentication:
| Platform | Data | Endpoint |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Markets / tags | gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets |
| Polymarket | Comments | gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments |
| Polymarket | Position activity | data-api.polymarket.com/activity |
| Polymarket | Price history | clob.polymarket.com/prices-history |
| Manifold | Markets | api.manifold.markets/v0/search-markets |
| Manifold | Comments | api.manifold.markets/v0/comments |
| Manifold | Bets (positions) | api.manifold.markets/v0/bets |
Collection funnel:
| Stage | Polymarket | Manifold |
|---|---|---|
| Comment-crawl input | 2,469 | 6,083 |
| With collected comments | 2,070 | 2,926 |
| After comment-depth filter | 2,070 | 191 |
Polymarket keeps markets with ≥ 10 valid comments; Manifold keeps markets with ≥ 100 valid comments (enforcing discussion depth for G3 linkage quality). Collection period: January–March 2026. See data_processing.md for full pipeline documentation.
Raw collection files
raw/ contains the unmodified outputs of the collection scripts for both platforms: the candidate market lists (valid_topics.jsonl, valid_markets.jsonl), the comment crawls (comments.csv) and the per-user position records (user_positions.csv) from which *_clean.csv are derived by collection/clean_comments.py and collection/clean_positions.py in the code repository. raw/README.md lists each file's rows, producer script, columns and the exact cleaning steps.
Benchmark instance filters
comments_clean.csv is the collected corpus after market-level cleaning only (markets with an empty question or fewer than 10 comments removed on Polymarket, fewer than 100 on Manifold). The task instances evaluated in the paper are built from it at run time by common.py in the code repository, with the parameters below (config.py). Comments that fail these filters are retained in the released files so that the tasks can be rebuilt under other thresholds.
| Parameter | Value | Where |
|---|---|---|
Minimum comment length after URL stripping (MIN_TEXT_LEN) |
30 characters | common.is_quality_text |
| Alphabetic-character ratio | ≥ 0.30 | common.is_quality_text |
English heuristic (is_english) |
≥ 85% ASCII letters and ≥ 3% English function words | common.is_english |
| Non-financial market blacklist | wordle / crossword / spelling-bee style puzzle markets | common._NONFINANCIAL_BLACKLIST |
G3 action window (HOLD_HOURS) |
48 h after the comment (6–72 h sensitivity in Appendix C) | common.build_task2_pairs |
G3 hold band (ACTION_THR) |
position-size change within ±10% of the pre-comment size = hold |
common.build_task2_pairs |
G4 near-tie filter (TASK3_PRICE_EPS) |
windows with |Δ odds| ≤ 0.005 removed | config.py |
G4 window construction (N_WINDOWS_TARGET, MIN_COMMENTS_PER_WINDOW, MIN_WINDOWS_PASS, TASK3_MIN_WINDOW_COMMENTS, TASK3_NEAR50_LOWER/UPPER) |
8 / 10 / 2 / 2 / 0.30–0.70 | config.py |
Consensus baseline (CONSENSUS_STRENGTH_THR, PRICE_EPS) |
consensus direction only if strength ≥ 0.15; |Δ odds| ≤ 0.01 counted as no move in the consensus statistics | config.py |
G1 sampling floor (MIN_EXPLICIT_TASK0) |
≥ 5 explicit-position comments per class | config.py |
Instances per topic (N_MARKETS_PER_TOPIC, DEFAULT_TOPIC_CFG, DEFAULT_TOPIC_CFG_POLYMARKET) |
per-task counts per topic, e.g. Polymarket default 40 / 80 / 30 / 15 for G1–G4 | config.py |
| Decoding | greedy, temperature 0, seed 42 | config.py |
Multilingual headroom
The benchmark is scoped to English. The table reports what the English heuristic removes among quality-passing comments; the removed comments remain in comments_clean.csv. Language identification is heuristic (ASCII-letter ratio and English function-word rate), not a validated language-ID model.
| Platform | Quality-passing comments | Kept as English | Removed as non-English | Positioned comments removed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 326,162 | 302,941 | 23,221 (7.1%) | 5,293 (5.7% of 93,398) |
| Manifold | 38,420 | 37,693 | 727 (1.9%) | 512 (1.7% of 30,826) |
The removed Polymarket set is dominated by Romanian, Spanish, Portuguese and French threads on political markets. A non-English track would need the quality filter, the explicit-position lexicon and a verified language-identification step rebuilt for the target language.
Model outputs
model_outputs/— per-sample predictions of the 15 evaluated models, prompt audit logs, and the Wrong-Bettor / DiD audit inputs. Seemodel_outputs/README.md.- The result files behind Section 5.5 and the appendices added in the camera-ready version (lexical probe, activity-skew stress test, G4 window-level probe and its window pool, multiplicity-corrected Wrong-Bettor audit, verified examples) are not distributed as files; the scripts that regenerate them from
model_outputs/and the benchmark files are in the code repository underanalysis/.
Responsible AI Statement
Data Limitations
- Polymarket G1/G2 position coverage is 27.2%: Many users comment without holding a position. Tasks requiring position labels should account for this imbalance. Use
position_size > 0as the inclusion criterion for G1/G2 (not merelyposition_sidenon-null). - Polymarket comment deduplication: 48.2% of rows are duplicates across Series-pooled markets. Analyses must deduplicate on
comment_idbefore unique-comment tasks. - Temporal non-stationarity: Both platforms show strong temporal spikes (e.g., Polymarket peaks in June 2025 due to Iran/nuclear markets). Models trained without temporal splits may overfit to event clusters.
- Manifold uses virtual currency:
position_sizevalues are in Mana (M$), not comparable to Polymarket USD. Cross-platform financial comparisons require normalization. - English language bias: The vast majority of comments are in English. Non-English markets exist but are underrepresented; the English heuristic removes 7.1% of quality-passing Polymarket comments and 1.9% on Manifold (see Multilingual headroom).
- G3 label coverage on Polymarket: G3 labels exist for 73,893 of the 139,848 positioned Polymarket comments, and for 27,116 of 37,430 on Manifold. A comment whose author has no reconstructed position record cannot receive a G3 label, and a further share of positioned comments is removed by the text-quality filter (see Benchmark instance filters). Whether the unreconstructed Polymarket records differ systematically from the retained ones cannot be tested from the released data.
Data Biases
- Topic concentration: Polymarket is heavily weighted toward US/global politics. Sports and economics are underrepresented.
- User concentration: Top users account for a disproportionate share of comments (power-law distribution). Analyses may be dominated by prolific users.
- Platform self-selection: Prediction market users skew toward financially engaged, English-speaking users with interest in forecasting — not a representative sample of the general population.
- Commitment-non-commitment selection: Position-holding commenters differ from non-holders on observable dimensions with effect sizes below d = 0.3 (Cohen's d), indicating modest but non-zero selection bias in G2 and G3 evaluation sets.
Sensitive Information
- On-chain wallet addresses: Polymarket
user_addressandproxy_walletare public Ethereum addresses. They are pseudonymous but potentially re-identifiable via on-chain analysis. Researchers should not attempt to de-anonymize users. - Display names: Polymarket
pseudonymand Manifoldpseudonymare platform-assigned or user-chosen display names, publicly visible on the respective platforms. - No real names, IP addresses, or private messages are included.
- The raw files in
raw/contain the same identifier types and no others; seeraw/README.md.
Construct Validity
position_sideas belief proxy: Revealed position side is a behavioral proxy for private belief, not a direct observation. It reflects observable market commitment, not an unobserved mental state.- G3 action labels: Derived from net position changes in the trading record within 48 hours. Labels are deterministic reconstructions from public records, not self-reported intentions.
- Market resolution as ground truth: Manifold
resolution(YES/NO) is human-adjudicated per platform resolution policy. It reflects platform rules, not necessarily objective ground truth.
Potential Misuse
- Deanonymization: Combining
user_addresswith public blockchain data could reveal user identity. This is discouraged and may violate platform terms of service. - Automated content generation: The dataset should not be used to train models that generate fake prediction market comments for manipulation purposes.
Synthetic Data
This dataset contains no synthetic data. All comments, positions, and prices are sourced directly from Polymarket and Manifold public APIs.
Provenance
Data collected under Polymarket's Terms of Use and Manifold's Terms of Service, both of which permit non-commercial research use. Collection and cleaning scripts are in the code repository under collection/; their unmodified outputs are in raw/.
Benchmark Results (15 LLMs, 18 topic–platform splits)
Key findings from the StakeBench evaluation (camera-ready version of the paper):
- G1 Position Detection: 11 of 15 models exceed 0.65 accuracy (best Qwen3-32B, 0.747); model rankings transfer across platforms (ρ = 0.975)
- G2 Directed Accuracy: 0.506–0.599 across 15 models (closed-source avg. 0.593, finance-domain avg. 0.527)
- G3 class collapse: 10 of 15 models collapse to one or two action labels; mean hold recall 22.9% although hold is 47.6% of true actions
- G4: all ΔPLA values are negative (−0.022 to −0.437); no model consistently exceeds the stake-weighted majority baseline
- Scale: model parameter count is at most weakly associated with any task score across the 3B–32B open-weight range (|ρ| ≤ 0.43)
- Finance-domain tuning: associated with weaker speaker-level commitment comprehension than comparable general models (mean G3 action accuracy 0.171 vs. 0.271 for closed-source models)
See the paper for full tables and analysis.
License
This dataset is released under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license.
You are free to share and adapt this data for any purpose, including commercial use, provided you give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made.
See LICENSE for the full license text.
Citation
If you use StakeBench in your research, please cite:
@inproceedings{pei2026stakebench,
title = {StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment},
author = {Pei, Yunhua and Hu, Jingyu and Shi, Yiwei and Ma, Hongnan and Liu, Weiru and Cartlidge, John},
booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS), Track on Evaluations and Datasets},
year = {2026},
note = {arXiv:2605.26074}
}
Changelog
- 1.1.2 (2026-11-04, Hugging Face release):
polymarket/comments_clean.csvandpolymarket/market_attrs.csvre-encoded from GB18030 to UTF-8 (no other change);croissant.jsonregenerated with the new checksums; dataset card: corrected the column lists of the price files and ofpositions_clean.csv, updated the Benchmark Results summary to the camera-ready numbers, added the Hugging Face loading notes. All other files are byte-identical to 1.1.1. - 1.1.1 (2026-10-30, Google Drive):
croissant.jsonrebuilt to Croissant 1.0 with per-file checksums and record sets. - 1.1 (2026-10-27): de-anonymised metadata; corrected the G3 coverage statement; added Benchmark instance filters, Multilingual headroom,
raw/(unmodified collection outputs) andmodel_outputs/; added the encoding note forpolymarket/comments_clean.csv; corrected thepositions_clean.csvrow counts (header line had been counted). Data files are byte-identical to 1.0. - 1.0 (2026-05): submission version.
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