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253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,151
2024-11-06T15:17:35.807404Z
I would now like to see a flood of apologies under this comment from you kamala supports that said some nasty things :)
Reasonable-Official
0x012322fa17b5a262d4236560bbeac62bc8f2c4d3
0x7d8f7c2fa456439fcf0d5bb04aed45ce7ca3ce8f
Yes
78.63
123.2286
[{"id": "677550", "commentID": 582151, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x41eb6c7bb7fbe8eff23e480ec426d3a2b20d9738", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa9b99f8a6c273223f5c48c2d733a395e519483a8"}}, {"id": "677553", "commentID": 582151, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x903ae77a4494ef7a3e7bc75e04c2c75d3b3050c...
2
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,144
2024-11-06T15:16:53.904027Z
I withdrawed 400 usdc 3 days ago and not arrived , i done all perfectly, did polymarket scam me or what?
Visible-Musician
0xf4f4bf52bab46a080efae3d41f2a0e5b0c7a2ef3
0xbdaf5dc6a6dd5bbc3830494bf006b830e6ddf2be
Yes
0.6634
0.0097
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,141
2024-11-06T15:16:52.405585Z
Why does it take so long to settle?
Hurtful-Pinkie
0x9dbfb0d9895ef435b7d618cd4352c1bf53dc6c97
0xbde7f1ffb265f9d55323b2fdbbd6d5adeb45ec30
Yes
-2,422.746
0.0024
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,139
2024-11-06T15:16:34.704118Z
I just googled it and Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC say he is the winner. Outcome proposed: Yes No dispute Final outcome: Yes What exactly are we waiting for?
Scaly-Motion
0x32c1f8f84450013bdecb6e99c02407aa277c6ab0
0x0a0d2ec5cf738046a759f7f68750785c439db303
Yes
11,191.0113
17,605.75
[{"id": "677484", "commentID": 582139, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}, {"id": "677431", "commentID": 582139, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x08b0ebf4e4813a008782669af0ab48231977915...
5
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,126
2024-11-06T15:15:35.452107Z
What's everyone going to do with their sweet juicy winnings?
Brown-Stop
0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6
0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903
Yes
-97.8308
0.0087
[]
0
0
null
2
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,131
2024-11-06T15:15:53.302152Z
nothing, i am poor
Posh-Lay
0x1db89ba7eadb53de5d9572ad60b72afc935b7e4e
0xa84c412051d753e5e3ecd2cd4bdc4477df29f16d
Yes
8,971.7209
6,461.6527
[{"id": "677423", "commentID": 582131, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903"}}]
1
0
582,126
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,148
2024-11-06T15:17:25.252129Z
lol congrats my champ. You earned it. Well done
Brown-Stop
0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6
0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903
Yes
-97.8308
0.0087
[]
0
0
582,126
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,116
2024-11-06T15:14:29.743572Z
Come on
Remorseful-Scenario
0xa11a56c5527c2b97f5a205be41ee87a89dbb51ef
0xc701569f1ac460093a4e54636d1830e2824a13f1
Yes
412.1577
705.6576
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,110
2024-11-06T15:14:00.571585Z
Do you find is better to out ? If it can have an assasination
Offensive-Burning
0xea4515ca668cf7111cdcba91947c5e29daf22bc3
0x4e3e182821fb7b5880010c67670d1faa0db37853
Yes
26.7636
46.0029
[{"id": "677488", "commentID": 582110, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}]
1
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,115
2024-11-06T15:14:24.094921Z
Huh?
Stimulating-Hip
0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d
0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b
null
0
0
[]
0
0
582,110
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,105
2024-11-06T15:13:51.594382Z
This is already resolved and they are holding the money, this is clunky af...
Wiggly-Prevalence
0x1c76dba479aa111e7f9dccb5e7bcc6e372775046
0x748320b06bc39da1887188e202515fcaedc23a90
Yes
25,360.73
41,096.746
[{"id": "677495", "commentID": 582105, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x9f4b14f6299fcf43de5aa5c8ffaa709b6c4b8d19", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x5f6433ac8bc5f7e12b1ec69104f173ee29e0de14"}}, {"id": "677362", "commentID": 582105, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x5bdd2332fdf86a84de945f2bb95ac332746cb9c...
6
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,103
2024-11-06T15:13:38.762829Z
chuchu
Lovable-Yurt
0xe72621ea4656d6814d83dc11fdb8b22d54d8fce2
0x9c23c181f1690580fb89b425c873b9e5a5e43b92
Yes
-39.9678
1
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,100
2024-11-06T15:13:32.086493Z
Atlas intel won the election too.
Stimulating-Hip
0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d
0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b
null
0
0
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,099
2024-11-06T15:13:29.869393Z
A BIG THANK YOU TO KAMALA FANS THAT GAVE ME 8K USD
Shameless-Wink
0x88afca741fe2572892baed9d03e371c90c4e86b2
0x8c415ac947440fd772b480755fd023890ada9b79
Yes
25,202.9927
33,807.273
[{"id": "677355", "commentID": 582099, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x3dc099e735aec4b840283b6f427f85f8014a73e7", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xbf718e431cb56546a632d05e307acb9751ee415f"}}, {"id": "677412", "commentID": 582099, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x57a154530e186cce8a38f7fb218e3d7fadd307d...
11
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,073
2024-11-06T15:11:44.089249Z
ftx vibes
Knowing-Armor
0x64ea3821427f8023d606f183793d21a6d7e259b6
0x324088e108a4eae7c8e63cab0d387d4f30396bd2
Yes
1,019.33
2,168.4201
[{"id": "677315", "commentID": 582073, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x428f4298c5fc9a9bd4ac60f35ba1af2480bedc4f", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x7fdac6f6d2b74d46e857a617e63056f771229137"}}, {"id": "677316", "commentID": 582073, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x673c3d498b1023d75c42134bf19801846923064...
5
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,068
2024-11-06T15:11:24.357028Z
Wait.... guys Ann Selzer says there's still a path.
Stimulating-Hip
0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d
0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b
null
0
0
[{"id": "677312", "commentID": 582068, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xd90d87ec02d0389978478a24f309073901628ab0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x3818c867be1ba080fed0f2d11aeca69c5332b8a5"}}]
1
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,096
2024-11-06T15:13:24.051582Z
She can still win IOWA even though they called it. Lets hope
Brown-Stop
0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6
0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903
Yes
-97.8308
0.0087
[{"id": "677353", "commentID": 582096, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b"}}]
1
0
582,068
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,067
2024-11-06T15:11:18.787949Z
Congrats to everyone! If it weren't for Belgamus none of us would be here rich and gloating
Brown-Stop
0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6
0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903
Yes
-97.8308
0.0087
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,065
2024-11-06T15:11:08.941654Z
I think they're waiting in case there is another assasination attempt on Trump
Exalted-Mountain
0x059297df14697e8c86c8708f0f2169959cc0420d
0xf856c465b68dc9054f6f0ffa143b3ddcac323a05
Yes
1,008.82
1,653.8033
[{"id": "677299", "commentID": 582065, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x54e8c41648b61b6a4f06f7835f64a0ebfd594b2d", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa401bbf98fe618a68db2a85cc941fbc176e81b00"}}, {"id": "677301", "commentID": 582065, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1...
6
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,084
2024-11-06T15:12:29.091202Z
Exactly
Fresh-Macrofauna
0x20e104fdb0c18b7a7bae8c5e384062e4ac21e3e2
0x7d8ef53b591a510ddad3178c3cc233fa5e410a9e
Yes
13,449.64
21,047.9499
[]
0
0
582,065
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,064
2024-11-06T15:11:07.193896Z
Where are all Kamala supporters which bet $10k+ on her? ??
Happy-Courtroom
0x5f4143d7f29635803ef4be44520e2439a1cde2f1
0x62d7dd8165ac0c36139dc5e4b58a763983c3fe0b
null
0
0
[{"id": "686664", "commentID": 582064, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x247d4b08a1d86c3e34f0622e75a191b795ed9349", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x78457848aff16bbbb35c8fedca314fa72c1d0e6f"}}]
1
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,061
2024-11-06T15:11:00.585781Z
Wonder where those extra 20 million voters went from 2020. A few went to Trump, but very curious where the rest went. Guess they just didn't feel like voting.
Complicated-Shine
0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606
0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52
Yes
5
7.9365
[{"id": "677303", "commentID": 582061, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "677370", "commentID": 582061, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x57a154530e186cce8a38f7fb218e3d7fadd307d...
7
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,114
2024-11-06T15:14:24.008748Z
seriously. like 20 million just didnt vote? no way. Definitely rigged election and Trump is now vindicated. Heads will roll
Brown-Stop
0xbac169f81d47a6d5d1647494bc9fa951d401d4e6
0x8639de72a37b3dc730735e587a2925748c0af903
Yes
-97.8308
0.0087
[]
0
0
582,061
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,057
2024-11-06T15:10:44.690942Z
Cool
Amused-Fourths
0x411611739b9609501f5e85883138ab50dd69b094
0x36bab3257592f78170c11ab624864835d8b02917
Yes
-2.2026
0.0044
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,052
2024-11-06T15:10:00.364125Z
Who won?
Stimulating-Hip
0x74165a4a7c0ca768f09c592c0528b1d293e3c86d
0xe2816c961e8a4b7525805cc2fb17aaf2c78e9b2b
null
0
0
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,051
2024-11-06T15:09:57.045215Z
WHEN IT WILL BE RESOLVED FUCK FUCK FUCK FUCK
Exalted-Mountain
0x059297df14697e8c86c8708f0f2169959cc0420d
0xf856c465b68dc9054f6f0ffa143b3ddcac323a05
Yes
1,008.82
1,653.8033
[{"id": "677340", "commentID": 582051, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}, {"id": "677284", "commentID": 582051, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x0ec6a5a6c0351f906bd9811cac9200ec325ff34...
8
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,058
2024-11-06T15:10:50.623449Z
sell your shares man
Lovable-Yurt
0xe72621ea4656d6814d83dc11fdb8b22d54d8fce2
0x9c23c181f1690580fb89b425c873b9e5a5e43b92
Yes
-39.9678
1
[]
0
0
582,051
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,034
2024-11-06T15:07:44.039538Z
When will the rate be calculated?
Fond-Assurance
0xb1d17bbc74b53b4eb74d669f05834a9c2002b287
0xf7e3f6c9e8dcd03d4e7af1b8864b859773a94a3b
Yes
119
191.9355
[{"id": "677410", "commentID": 582034, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xf404fde24703f09d6105a191d60fb287f875c6e9", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x6c49ce75de050ed05f8277b578d372b440666cb8"}}]
1
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,032
2024-11-06T15:07:31.857141Z
Resolve this poll already Polymarket
Required-Ikebana
0x615574714c96ca4df84cb7f7da4def5990904d67
0xf56061602293db133bf26693aac3b93e453f34ea
Yes
185.0118
307.84
[{"id": "677263", "commentID": 582032, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xf9c8df6aff66469054ca5dca527a450d85a6c040", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xae4781035da3013c646d06ccde2ccb3201ab714d"}}, {"id": "677257", "commentID": 582032, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x54e8c41648b61b6a4f06f7835f64a0ebfd594b2...
10
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,002
2024-11-06T15:03:58.241174Z
The dip to 55 at the last minute is interesting - chances are a Harris super PAC quickly tried to make it look better? Well they lost their money ;)
Unlawful-Combine
0xc7405bd62ac706930d97d73f43052a2060344bc0
0x3f8542e86380dfce2d2bd600f95bba6dc9f34492
Yes
144.56
226.5831
[{"id": "678777", "commentID": 582002, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8c97faf3f317b538c428e0dcbdcde6d3b27a0a01", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x6f0184cd37f0eae83f639d0f1f60b5ad1398a01c"}}, {"id": "679875", "commentID": 582002, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x34334cfecea4811e73dcd6b52c65ed9751ee06c...
3
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,985
2024-11-06T15:02:12.190078Z
As a Taiwanese, I will fight against China for Trump. 0x79314b7facAc85d7A4d9Ae8d35c788A3ab19a988
Curly-Knee
0x79314b7facac85d7a4d9ae8d35c788a3ab19a988
0x96bd8eafab236274d9b53cd846c5b7440aa3ff97
Yes
1,297.92
2,028
[{"id": "678780", "commentID": 581985, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8c97faf3f317b538c428e0dcbdcde6d3b27a0a01", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x6f0184cd37f0eae83f639d0f1f60b5ad1398a01c"}}, {"id": "677193", "commentID": 581985, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xeb44e6c3f207b65cc2826e1b7eeb184e409068f...
2
1
null
3
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,999
2024-11-06T15:03:32.604664Z
shut up, your parents are form japan
Downright-Satellite
0xeb44e6c3f207b65cc2826e1b7eeb184e409068f6
0xa4af998e438f5ac3931241c8a37acfac2d601026
Yes
1,971.2837
2,912.5807
[]
0
0
581,985
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,003
2024-11-06T15:04:04.755307Z
Damn Taiwan independence elements
Woeful-Friendship
0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26
0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1
Yes
1,998.8909
2,862.6385
[{"id": "677217", "commentID": 582003, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xeb44e6c3f207b65cc2826e1b7eeb184e409068f6", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa4af998e438f5ac3931241c8a37acfac2d601026"}}, {"id": "677278", "commentID": 582003, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x3a42c28ff29475ce8ab81a9919cbb7f708b600a...
2
0
581,985
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,046
2024-11-06T15:09:28.531514Z
Bro's just selling patrioticism
Severe-Joy
0xbeeca20ae205462f56df0ecb68c56b49dd852f02
0x28e586a325c1fcd6e516989d66bca90e014c87df
No
-93.6007
15,470.8567
[]
0
0
581,985
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,982
2024-11-06T15:01:48.715188Z
How do I cash out on Maga?
Formal-Clavicle
0xb5b18797dc2b7e82c7183a905047503eee5e3493
0xabccfb5a417f450afcb31fd534593653b862dcb3
Yes
141.13
251.121
[]
0
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,063
2024-11-06T15:11:04.586947Z
It takes forever, when will this be resolved
Fresh-Macrofauna
0x20e104fdb0c18b7a7bae8c5e384062e4ac21e3e2
0x7d8ef53b591a510ddad3178c3cc233fa5e410a9e
Yes
13,449.64
21,047.9499
[]
0
0
581,982
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,980
2024-11-06T15:01:37.650261Z
Can anyone tell me when I can withdraw it?
Woeful-Friendship
0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26
0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1
Yes
1,998.8909
2,862.6385
[{"id": "677177", "commentID": 581980, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x218aa60078d6cb4dbd073fabe853643ce07d2a42", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x1a44ce2cbc0a2fa90b5ac1a1b9e49abcf00ccd8e"}}, {"id": "677374", "commentID": 581980, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xb609be4e911f2cf03a659d3d3a25b95fd760c25...
2
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,094
2024-11-06T15:13:07.655901Z
sell your shares and send it to your wallet POL chain
Lovable-Yurt
0xe72621ea4656d6814d83dc11fdb8b22d54d8fce2
0x9c23c181f1690580fb89b425c873b9e5a5e43b92
Yes
-39.9678
1
[]
0
0
581,980
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,971
2024-11-06T15:01:03.567659Z
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1854034776815972649/photo/1
Scaly-Motion
0x32c1f8f84450013bdecb6e99c02407aa277c6ab0
0x0a0d2ec5cf738046a759f7f68750785c439db303
Yes
11,191.0113
17,605.75
[{"id": "677179", "commentID": 581971, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x54e8c41648b61b6a4f06f7835f64a0ebfd594b2d", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa401bbf98fe618a68db2a85cc941fbc176e81b00"}}, {"id": "677180", "commentID": 581971, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e89560...
4
2
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,929
2024-11-06T14:58:15.113838Z
Can anyone tell me when I can withdraw it?
Woeful-Friendship
0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26
0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1
Yes
1,998.8909
2,862.6385
[{"id": "677415", "commentID": 581929, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xf404fde24703f09d6105a191d60fb287f875c6e9", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x6c49ce75de050ed05f8277b578d372b440666cb8"}}]
1
0
null
3
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,934
2024-11-06T14:58:41.652223Z
you can't
Wiggly-Burden
0xc337cf70e344591c0d122be8493344353c6d124c
0xacb9916ef606542e0321460f68d7158ba1e892d3
Yes
154.75
231.7402
[]
0
0
581,929
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,975
2024-11-06T15:01:11.565009Z
why
Woeful-Friendship
0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26
0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1
Yes
1,998.8909
2,862.6385
[]
0
0
581,929
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
582,077
2024-11-06T15:11:57.880303Z
sell your shares and send it to wallet
Lovable-Yurt
0xe72621ea4656d6814d83dc11fdb8b22d54d8fce2
0x9c23c181f1690580fb89b425c873b9e5a5e43b92
Yes
-39.9678
1
[]
0
0
581,929
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,927
2024-11-06T14:58:09.806994Z
0x00C104191CC1A5960D9cF73817D6f8ba354627d8 can you gift me pls.!
Submissive-Superiority
0x8a18893aabf423766de35dc5e8e6551a3d1a7eb9
0x00c104191cc1a5960d9cf73817d6f8ba354627d8
Yes
27.9837
44.56
[]
0
1
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,925
2024-11-06T14:57:54.487855Z
Belgamus at least come back for a min to say GOODBYE
Splendid-Slider
0x65a6f4eabf910d4abc4e6639a28a7b2c3177ae91
0xa0867061d243253fc2d66f1c15fe1933a72e3afa
Yes
50
85.7648
[{"id": "678706", "commentID": 581925, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x9a6660e4f637c87eac91a6473a01ffefed016f35", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x08a6a956147f91f339340d4b1023548606a51058"}}, {"id": "688502", "commentID": 581925, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x71dea8688c86e7e572dbe39d7db0f05307a8b64...
20
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,959
2024-11-06T15:00:10.301127Z
Brother I see you didnt buy much, why can you still mock others so confidently
Woeful-Friendship
0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26
0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1
Yes
1,998.8909
2,862.6385
[]
0
0
581,925
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,910
2024-11-06T14:56:12.861472Z
where is it
null
0xba607dab2a93ffd516556d5ad0d4a28d4f50d90d
0x232bc1ba887f82005b8ccbdb1f1db951ed195c16
Yes
998.6377
1,672.76
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,892
2024-11-06T14:54:49.653751Z
all 3 sources have called, the dispute has finished its time already, wheres me money
Concerned-Booking
0x5bdd2332fdf86a84de945f2bb95ac332746cb9c1
0x6059ecf55b3314d973c63bc90461923e1f78e104
Yes
26.1
42.2564
[{"id": "677077", "commentID": 581892, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x663ad42cc2388a0d7547cafc9325a80d7244c767", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xab75ed1d1ff796136c0e96860b2eafb68fa8738f"}}, {"id": "677080", "commentID": 581892, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xc25b4b772b6ec7ae033f0420440fa108bf09b83...
17
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,896
2024-11-06T14:55:03.061962Z
Just sell shares like I did
Glorious-Van
0x1eeee08ea31248db409e2d7920336d11d4320161
0xf97ccf1c1f8025feb1a9e7d368ea7e6e3a845cba
Yes
-7.9872
0.0037
[]
0
0
581,892
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,884
2024-11-06T14:54:17.370282Z
Those of you who won were able to claim the prize? I could not
Impish-Saddle
0x13285c7d12751700b4877a6f50c81662a20e1d16
0xf2e59018ee30f78b8da3fa0c6917cc5061717287
Yes
25
40.1929
[{"id": "677061", "commentID": 581884, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "677302", "commentID": 581884, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x41eb6c7bb7fbe8eff23e480ec426d3a2b20d973...
4
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,886
2024-11-06T14:54:30.732105Z
soon
Helpless-Minister
0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f
0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb
Yes
984.5
1,736.3316
[]
0
0
581,884
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,881
2024-11-06T14:53:52.788618Z
??????
Angelic-Blow
0x2e37d9424c9e6d7385d8cb7795dc93c87150ab0d
0x0fd8650f2e40fe7c0466403e9deb52ef101ac20f
Yes
1,280
2,136.2903
[{"id": "677063", "commentID": 581881, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "677092", "commentID": 581881, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x17c0d38099b923c9b62784c8603725c7266d771...
2
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,878
2024-11-06T14:53:33.963942Z
When is market closing to claim
Glorious-Van
0x1eeee08ea31248db409e2d7920336d11d4320161
0xf97ccf1c1f8025feb1a9e7d368ea7e6e3a845cba
Yes
12.88
20.9337
[{"id": "677056", "commentID": 581878, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x663ad42cc2388a0d7547cafc9325a80d7244c767", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xab75ed1d1ff796136c0e96860b2eafb68fa8738f"}}, {"id": "677059", "commentID": 581878, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x327c1b34d437dbb6b4973c3a7258021d9819959...
3
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,875
2024-11-06T14:53:09.740527Z
How to claim the prize?
Impish-Saddle
0x13285c7d12751700b4877a6f50c81662a20e1d16
0xf2e59018ee30f78b8da3fa0c6917cc5061717287
Yes
25
40.1929
[{"id": "677068", "commentID": 581875, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "677421", "commentID": 581875, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x4abdf782327d3447f614525c842571e8172ce5a...
3
0
null
2
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,877
2024-11-06T14:53:27.527479Z
When Associated Press, Fox, and NBC call
Offensive-Burning
0xea4515ca668cf7111cdcba91947c5e29daf22bc3
0x4e3e182821fb7b5880010c67670d1faa0db37853
Yes
27.95
47.1929
[{"id": "677067", "commentID": 581877, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}]
1
0
581,875
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,900
2024-11-06T14:55:22.792084Z
they all fucking called
Blue-Thunder
0x28a00bd191ab54a782c99c6f7a52a3251e53e3a5
0xfbbcecca55d3c6d6226b9f16fc46b04bd8c65420
Yes
2,000.72
3,631.0708
[{"id": "677082", "commentID": 581900, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x7b4c817eb75e83d03db79a25d166dc96be5afe9c", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xb960ec84505165ae0b30e0a30c9a39eed38c1568"}}, {"id": "677137", "commentID": 581900, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xac5c7ee22d45b873cd34896b3f109a10204cb7a...
8
0
581,875
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,865
2024-11-06T14:52:25.996692Z
Did one of them : Associated Press, Fox, and NBC call ?
Offensive-Burning
0xea4515ca668cf7111cdcba91947c5e29daf22bc3
0x4e3e182821fb7b5880010c67670d1faa0db37853
Yes
27.95
47.1929
[{"id": "677045", "commentID": 581865, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x053774d2329ad64cca2b50d99641600162e79bfe", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x87ce5aff2291f1e8706af608bb68616007bae7af"}}, {"id": "677069", "commentID": 581865, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1...
2
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,864
2024-11-06T14:52:25.234394Z
AHAHAHAH
Insistent-Dirndl
0x3b9035400029267141bc9dbb227bc1db0ec62871
0x4d1020d4ca3597d0cbe8ef77ea41afb290e45ce8
Yes
184.1699
369
[{"id": "677070", "commentID": 581864, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}]
1
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,854
2024-11-06T14:51:11.775611Z
You really don't get it yet? You're being given a chance to close your bet on Trump. 2 out of 3 media outlets haven't reached their verdict yet because there is severe vote rigging going on in favor of Kamala, so before it's too late, you better close your bets and quickly exchange them for ,,No,,. Are you really ready...
Slight-Comedy
0x38e762167f8150f21b578192ac611ef51f1a4d76
0x06a54a2892d5c9db55cb307265052982b388f356
No
49.99
18,330
[{"id": "680780", "commentID": 581854, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xbc9a5040aa37ed754b786b0e1adf3f92017fafce", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x9c5e2f321b59ef27eae7817c834e1502530d9cd8"}}, {"id": "677043", "commentID": 581854, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x663ad42cc2388a0d7547cafc9325a80d7244c76...
3
0
null
5
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,861
2024-11-06T14:52:04.101615Z
I love this.
Forked-Historian
0x663ad42cc2388a0d7547cafc9325a80d7244c767
0xab75ed1d1ff796136c0e96860b2eafb68fa8738f
Yes
915.0239
1,039.6021
[{"id": "677041", "commentID": 581861, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb"}}, {"id": "677072", "commentID": 581861, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1...
12
0
581,854
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,868
2024-11-06T14:52:38.215717Z
womp womp
Helpless-Minister
0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f
0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb
Yes
984.5
1,736.3316
[{"id": "677057", "commentID": 581868, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x54e8c41648b61b6a4f06f7835f64a0ebfd594b2d", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xa401bbf98fe618a68db2a85cc941fbc176e81b00"}}, {"id": "677073", "commentID": 581868, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1...
9
0
581,854
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,876
2024-11-06T14:53:15.904862Z
I can feel your mad...
Ecstatic-Mission
0x3a42c28ff29475ce8ab81a9919cbb7f708b600a6
0x92a1a4e282e1722443b59d987c6c154187d26535
Yes
24,054.3752
28,142.4076
[{"id": "677060", "commentID": 581876, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xa12ba05ca2a4a9272d7480560e46391b2fb18ff7", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xd2a497907eddc0a45031c2381cda9149ec1b31f5"}}, {"id": "677076", "commentID": 581876, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d1...
6
0
581,854
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,950
2024-11-06T14:59:35.049022Z
womp womp
Deficient-Supper
0xb86f7de75bdc3a2e531462c4f98e101323418919
0x0ea75451a028dbb99beea43ecf18f0da5146204e
Yes
120
218.9781
[{"id": "677327", "commentID": 581950, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x5f4143d7f29635803ef4be44520e2439a1cde2f1", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x62d7dd8165ac0c36139dc5e4b58a763983c3fe0b"}}, {"id": "677387", "commentID": 581950, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x7ba7508104bdc40481fef154f133c097488a62f...
2
0
581,854
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,953
2024-11-06T14:59:58.411274Z
Oh, fascinating... do go on!
Wealthy-Publishing
0x5b73c0c28040860cb4abdf2693ee10e203036557
0xa4a820e92256497e169c2d5e616afe1cfa3c3783
Yes
538.5132
763.153
[{"id": "680808", "commentID": 581953, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8698702ebaf346548cb068666d54d3153e7fd620", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xcc48181796404feeb20e2a93449a19c07f2e60df"}}, {"id": "681836", "commentID": 581953, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xac28c2b38cb59f1508de91fc69d8e35f411b380...
7
0
581,854
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,849
2024-11-06T14:50:50.800739Z
I guess thieves do prosper, mom!
Prickly-Timeout
0x9e4c2401a4d17072058b271b3393f78ed8f79871
0x5a859dfd244bf50f9381db69fc6fea5a6b2ce77e
null
0
0
[{"id": "679069", "commentID": 581849, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x31443ddb41662c2de2655c15c3a8b4ce361d3723", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xd5e7bc0fa3401add9fabf1bb5fad466a9429cc29"}}, {"id": "677066", "commentID": 581849, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xa12ba05ca2a4a9272d7480560e46391b2fb18ff...
2
0
null
3
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,851
2024-11-06T14:51:03.684665Z
justice has been made
Droopy-Tuneup
0x9ef847bb071c155edd6253f5d59f307fd4325e7f
0x510b8f0519825ae7d3322506cfaeeaee6c9e286d
Yes
21,622.32
35,681.055
[{"id": "677034", "commentID": 581851, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x17c0d38099b923c9b62784c8603725c7266d7718", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x3348b0beefe30daebb473979c82283a01de4dc9f"}}, {"id": "677124", "commentID": 581851, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x86379a6d557fdeadfe167faf1dc144d0cdaa42f...
3
0
581,849
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,871
2024-11-06T14:52:54.563537Z
No bigger thief than a democrat government
Complicated-Shine
0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606
0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52
Yes
5
7.9365
[{"id": "677130", "commentID": 581871, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x86379a6d557fdeadfe167faf1dc144d0cdaa42fb", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x928c7363058b12da899cbec3f368befeaf98864b"}}, {"id": "677143", "commentID": 581871, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x1f5dcc90b3eb2a1d50d7663c47fb972948b29b6...
4
0
581,849
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,898
2024-11-06T14:55:14.589618Z
All the thieves are in liberal cities, try again retard.
Proper-Marketplace
0x16b3b80e8c0fa3ddc710ca25e7db278d04c39510
0x26aea398c14122cf3d4d5f7ebad865d75711ebb1
null
0
0
[{"id": "677117", "commentID": 581898, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x17c0d38099b923c9b62784c8603725c7266d7718", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x3348b0beefe30daebb473979c82283a01de4dc9f"}}]
1
0
581,849
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,829
2024-11-06T14:48:37.625011Z
So delicious that Allan Lichtman was wrong (again).
Complicated-Shine
0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606
0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52
Yes
5
7.9365
[{"id": "677744", "commentID": 581829, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x9fe9dbaf471e037a21a6c64076ed1ca74f4236c6", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0e7c33da1cda514e2fedaeee64ffbeb3d61c767f"}}, {"id": "677016", "commentID": 581829, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x16b3b80e8c0fa3ddc710ca25e7db278d04c3951...
12
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,835
2024-11-06T14:49:09.982799Z
Yeah he shit his diaper yesterday
Splendid-Slider
0x65a6f4eabf910d4abc4e6639a28a7b2c3177ae91
0xa0867061d243253fc2d66f1c15fe1933a72e3afa
Yes
50
85.7648
[{"id": "677012", "commentID": 581835, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x176b45bfedd0bab70e9816f21438d8e613bed05e", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x147cb220d211a5684fdc879b5834f2a0b40e7006"}}, {"id": "677017", "commentID": 581835, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x16b3b80e8c0fa3ddc710ca25e7db278d04c3951...
6
0
581,829
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,828
2024-11-06T14:48:35.542585Z
can you guys claim now?
Required-Ikebana
0x615574714c96ca4df84cb7f7da4def5990904d67
0xf56061602293db133bf26693aac3b93e453f34ea
Yes
185.0118
307.84
[]
0
0
null
3
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,837
2024-11-06T14:49:13.920766Z
nein
Complicated-Shine
0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606
0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52
Yes
5
7.9365
[{"id": "677014", "commentID": 581837, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}]
1
0
581,828
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,842
2024-11-06T14:49:53.395533Z
Can I ask how to claim
Costly-Cargo
0x36d65ddfceb4f6bf4c111dcdba74fca7f45a3fe9
0xbaea243b4ee97b61a5567092aa1736d55fa34f04
Yes
105.54
170.7767
[{"id": "677025", "commentID": 581842, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}]
1
0
581,828
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,858
2024-11-06T14:51:39.582381Z
ys also wanna ask how
Weak-Driver
0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0
0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5
Yes
967.1
1,546.879
[]
0
0
581,828
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,813
2024-11-06T14:47:06.178389Z
Outcome proposed: Yes No dispute Final outcome: Yes
Scaly-Motion
0x32c1f8f84450013bdecb6e99c02407aa277c6ab0
0x0a0d2ec5cf738046a759f7f68750785c439db303
Yes
11,191.0113
17,605.75
[{"id": "677062", "commentID": 581813, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xab01c77e5ced53b65241aaa0b2c2b63cd944df87", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x8a993f8f7e81d790f6a557b3911f487216169ce6"}}]
1
0
null
2
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,820
2024-11-06T14:47:44.749837Z
where you can see this contract info?
Grateful-Trapezium
0xf6867470a9adaa9c76c5ace2288a3457c6a0fd80
0x39c277d0432056a115efea239241a04d96e2b228
Yes
190.8012
434.4671
[]
0
0
581,813
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,834
2024-11-06T14:49:07.106836Z
click show more, under rules
Helpless-Minister
0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f
0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb
Yes
984.5
1,736.3316
[{"id": "677071", "commentID": 581834, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xab01c77e5ced53b65241aaa0b2c2b63cd944df87", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x8a993f8f7e81d790f6a557b3911f487216169ce6"}}]
1
0
581,813
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,811
2024-11-06T14:47:04.207392Z
lets go to sleep guy. come back tmmr
Orderly-Phone
0x3d1acd545187b5e5ee839003b2eb3df08f028faf
0x9ddcb819e97bb16361e5cdb594c900989723f21c
Yes
2,117.76
3,279.9332
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,802
2024-11-06T14:45:40.569384Z
It ended! Claim your rewards, se you in 2028
Irritating-Ruler
0xab412d6e9150e469f7de3121657d2703942b16ec
0xa7439dcbeb1e68a8d4e45be4f0934c268de28116
Yes
1,020.998
1,634.3403
[{"id": "676997", "commentID": 581802, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xe38c0163df66b17389b488be00a4ea89a8c84d18", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3"}}, {"id": "676996", "commentID": 581802, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x17c0d38099b923c9b62784c8603725c7266d771...
5
0
null
3
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,815
2024-11-06T14:47:10.727269Z
how do I claim it?
Ill-Informed-Cornmeal
0xef4c604c4d2c34a1842f39499b235620845ca704
0xb91cc087fc79c1410519b937bb0e631068defe90
Yes
1,686.64
2,804.7127
[{"id": "677005", "commentID": 581815, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xcccdb8c5afde9a8ba91b9b8f23b6f5c939568ed6", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xb8f4fff2857825db2b0710b3456257ce309363dc"}}]
1
0
581,802
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,819
2024-11-06T14:47:35.290028Z
how to claim?
Wiggly-Burden
0xc337cf70e344591c0d122be8493344353c6d124c
0xacb9916ef606542e0321460f68d7158ba1e892d3
Yes
154.75
231.7402
[{"id": "677037", "commentID": 581819, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xdb09e7685ad374c7ac0cc7cda8c81368a18b6413", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xb36384338fe3b3f499c5831f0dde8908c9bb739c"}}]
1
0
581,802
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,824
2024-11-06T14:47:59.267358Z
How to get it
Woeful-Friendship
0x9144348006aeee45a08882f4f723261428c93f26
0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1
Yes
1,998.8909
2,862.6385
[{"id": "677038", "commentID": 581824, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xdb09e7685ad374c7ac0cc7cda8c81368a18b6413", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xb36384338fe3b3f499c5831f0dde8908c9bb739c"}}]
1
0
581,802
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,800
2024-11-06T14:45:31.453302Z
But but but but the polls which are so real said Kamala is ahead ! ????
White-Bachelor
0x8d8a6c4cc3b02b90053d7bb0ca98a3379b062c14
0x28f096de7cf1355fd939493eddd7adbab995ceab
Yes
151.75
250
[{"id": "677750", "commentID": 581800, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xee3d41b92248f7f8fccacd5146e0a571c87071b0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0e29bca588b689a79f43ab13a9c20e9d5a381224"}}, {"id": "678785", "commentID": 581800, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8c97faf3f317b538c428e0dcbdcde6d3b27a0a0...
10
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,798
2024-11-06T14:45:02.678698Z
But but but but Nate silver said ????????????????
White-Bachelor
0x8d8a6c4cc3b02b90053d7bb0ca98a3379b062c14
0x28f096de7cf1355fd939493eddd7adbab995ceab
Yes
151.75
250
[{"id": "677752", "commentID": 581798, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xee3d41b92248f7f8fccacd5146e0a571c87071b0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0e29bca588b689a79f43ab13a9c20e9d5a381224"}}, {"id": "678787", "commentID": 581798, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x8c97faf3f317b538c428e0dcbdcde6d3b27a0a0...
11
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,857
2024-11-06T14:51:22.993385Z
how could you bet 30K on this guy ?
Droopy-Tuneup
0x9ef847bb071c155edd6253f5d59f307fd4325e7f
0x510b8f0519825ae7d3322506cfaeeaee6c9e286d
Yes
21,622.32
35,681.055
[{"id": "677051", "commentID": 581857, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x176b45bfedd0bab70e9816f21438d8e613bed05e", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x147cb220d211a5684fdc879b5834f2a0b40e7006"}}]
1
0
581,798
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,788
2024-11-06T14:43:57.357926Z
Do I need an active selling point, or will it be automated?
Natural-Wire
0xb8c3e6b5a49bc09710088e93a31da093eab359dd
0x433591131e79c2e2bfb1cf443448ced10de26842
Yes
75.9
122.8846
[{"id": "676995", "commentID": 581788, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x035d4363b7a3d7e6f92be5cacf023306c37e1005", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0c429c52fce84ef7115d4311bb314117bd844e35"}}]
1
0
null
1
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,795
2024-11-06T14:44:47.972757Z
auto
Helpless-Minister
0x9133d70e75d2786258e0e7398f1a3d547e04451f
0x2303b0ee8b4dcfc58acfca7ce68f07031f127cbb
Yes
984.5
1,736.3316
[{"id": "677031", "commentID": 581795, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}, {"id": "677589", "commentID": 581795, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x41eb6c7bb7fbe8eff23e480ec426d3a2b20d973...
2
0
581,788
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,778
2024-11-06T14:42:59.748833Z
Asking for tips while claiming to be a "poor uni student" I'd have to assume is an attempt to defraud users
Complicated-Shine
0xe6772a1ea11b841889d000228f6f1bd07e895606
0x433cbb70eb02158b9e4307b12179d0daf80ccd52
Yes
5
7.9365
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,761
2024-11-06T14:41:28.765943Z
I bet correct then How to withdraw?
Crooked-Student
0x21c41fa0a76b62ceab036261c7f84afe7847f413
0x2c2ad8915fb9a6c7866ea32542f3fb573d27f1cc
Yes
109.49
205.9411
[{"id": "677039", "commentID": 581761, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x871657b0b981bfa805c4f5bdc5d2620399fcc3c0", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x0cc1f9611cc5d175865fd530d54e5c478621e9a5"}}, {"id": "677058", "commentID": 581761, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x176b45bfedd0bab70e9816f21438d8e613bed05...
2
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,752
2024-11-06T14:40:42.676943Z
https://oracle.uma.xyz/ really strange. if i go to "settled" the site just freezes
Scaly-Motion
0x32c1f8f84450013bdecb6e99c02407aa277c6ab0
0x0a0d2ec5cf738046a759f7f68750785c439db303
Yes
11,191.0113
17,605.75
[]
0
0
null
3
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,767
2024-11-06T14:41:56.717987Z
same for me.
Familiar-Typewriter
0xcccdb8c5afde9a8ba91b9b8f23b6f5c939568ed6
0xb8f4fff2857825db2b0710b3456257ce309363dc
Yes
198.17
325.6679
[]
0
0
581,752
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,770
2024-11-06T14:42:04.117446Z
oh no! exit scam :(
Posh-Lay
0x1db89ba7eadb53de5d9572ad60b72afc935b7e4e
0xa84c412051d753e5e3ecd2cd4bdc4477df29f16d
Yes
8,971.7209
6,461.6527
[]
0
0
581,752
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,784
2024-11-06T14:43:26.956848Z
just sell, you get a few bucks less
Faithful-Coinsurance
0x630fb717280a129ece46696389e01490b2396b7c
0xdd37e1a4ded5c1798bac639899135267ef576993
Yes
-1,583.503
0.0068
[]
0
0
581,752
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,749
2024-11-06T14:40:01.287682Z
i couldnt sleep because i spent hours relishing in liberals sweeeet sweeeeet delicious tears, it even sweeter than 2016
Querulous-Publicity
0x924979f97f18f12adc90db96f19110cf468a881d
0x94a876fd68232545412a541894b293e71de59215
null
0
0
[{"id": "676991", "commentID": 581749, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xd9758f1f52b62a193fa508ae689265455c1cd094", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xfb6c7eaef341b0e1bc4ddb2763de07e9f081e48b"}}, {"id": "677022", "commentID": 581749, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xec6164c4fe1e13b129af720cb7d08eb4270edea...
2
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,748
2024-11-06T14:40:00.620938Z
if there was a poor competiton - i would win, i am the poorest.
Posh-Lay
0x1db89ba7eadb53de5d9572ad60b72afc935b7e4e
0xa84c412051d753e5e3ecd2cd4bdc4477df29f16d
Yes
8,971.7209
6,461.6527
[]
0
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,746
2024-11-06T14:39:55.690519Z
rip cumhola
Best-Geography
0x7df71c35357a0a46bf7204d21af18d0f452c33cb
0x4a1fa232ca17bb7e496ac7e9a07136e12688a008
null
0
0
[{"id": "677000", "commentID": 581746, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x176b45bfedd0bab70e9816f21438d8e613bed05e", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0x147cb220d211a5684fdc879b5834f2a0b40e7006"}}]
1
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,745
2024-11-06T14:39:52.273872Z
will it ever resolve?
Wiggly-Burden
0xc337cf70e344591c0d122be8493344353c6d124c
0xacb9916ef606542e0321460f68d7158ba1e892d3
Yes
154.75
231.7402
[{"id": "676992", "commentID": 581745, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xd07c373ad38383ff34e7122ab7a4f2c8b11e0854", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xab264456f9d760424560fb4f8ee261f4554e5ef1"}}]
1
0
null
0
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,733
2024-11-06T14:38:49.253233Z
Tips me plz :(
Prize-Lemur
0xc193a5ab9f428f787b3b89bec4b7f9f28dc26f94
0x31516650b25a1067bdf35627301f9ec8f4b55518
Yes
173.95
285.1639
[]
0
0
null
5
253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,735
2024-11-06T14:38:55.229991Z
0xbcecd4e3249ec1dfa58562b97e8539bd40505d9a
Prize-Lemur
0xc193a5ab9f428f787b3b89bec4b7f9f28dc26f94
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Yes
173.95
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[]
0
0
581,733
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253,591
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
politics
2024-01-04T22:58:00Z
2024-11-06 15:17:41+00
Event
903,193
581,740
2024-11-06T14:39:27.397338Z
get a job smelly pajeet
Past-Devastation
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0x45915988e447fa959d51d90e3c3ad394c5691bfb
Yes
61,595.41
101,054.5075
[{"id": "676971", "commentID": 581740, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0x615574714c96ca4df84cb7f7da4def5990904d67", "profile": {"proxyWallet": "0xf56061602293db133bf26693aac3b93e453f34ea"}}, {"id": "676972", "commentID": 581740, "reactionType": "HEART", "userAddress": "0xb0ef8d04e73ea7ba47d1bc50528998e290b9028...
4
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0
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio

StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment

Version: 1.1.2 (Hugging Face release; the data are those of release 1.1.1 on Google Drive, with two Polymarket files re-encoded to UTF-8, see Hugging Face notes)
Date: 2026-11-04
License: CC BY 4.0
Paper: Pei, Hu, Shi, Ma, Liu, Cartlidge. StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment. NeurIPS 2026, Track on Evaluations and Datasets. arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26074 · OpenReview: https://openreview.net/forum?id=FWuX7Tx9gK
Code: https://github.com/PEIYUNHUA/stakebench_code_NeurIPS26
Archival copy (release 1.1.1, referenced in the paper): https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1Xg83tRFH-BghesJUUGWY5XacQliCRYhu


Overview

StakeBench is a large-scale evaluation framework for commitment-grounded language understanding in prediction markets. It links 560,876 comments from 2,261 resolved markets to each author's verified position record, post-comment trading actions, and market price histories across two public platforms — Polymarket (real-money, USD) and Manifold Markets (virtual-currency, Mana).

The key design principle is to replace perception-based supervision with revealed-preference signals derived from observable market commitments: position sides, post-comment trading actions, market resolutions, and price trajectories replace human annotation across four progressive diagnostic tasks.

Polymarket Manifold
Comments (cleaned) 514,314 46,562
Unique comment IDs 266,446 46,562
Markets / Topics 2,070 191
Unique users 24,909 3,250
Date range May 2024 → Mar 2026 Jan 2022 → Mar 2026
Currency Real USD Virtual Mana (M$)
Position coverage (G1/G2) 27.2% (139,848) 80.5% (37,430)
Resolved outcome Price-inferred (≥0.90) Direct API field

Hugging Face notes

  • Loading. Each main CSV is exposed as a configuration of this dataset (see the YAML header): polymarket_comments (default), manifold_comments, polymarket_positions, manifold_positions, polymarket_markets, manifold_markets, polymarket_topics, manifold_markets_summary, polymarket_prices, manifold_prices. The raw/ and model_outputs/ folders are plain files; download them with snapshot_download. The two price configurations declare their column types in the YAML header (token_id as a string, because Polymarket token IDs exceed 64-bit integers; category as a string, because it is empty in some files); when reading the CSV files directly, pass dtype={"token_id": str} to pandas.

    from datasets import load_dataset
    comments = load_dataset("greenday123/StakeBench", "polymarket_comments", split="train")
    
    from huggingface_hub import snapshot_download
    path = snapshot_download(repo_id="greenday123/StakeBench", repo_type="dataset", local_dir="StakeBench")
    
  • Encoding. On Google Drive, polymarket/comments_clean.csv and polymarket/market_attrs.csv are GB18030-encoded. Here both files are UTF-8 (re-encoded without any other change: same rows, same columns, same values; characters that were outside GB18030 at creation time, mainly emoji, remain ?). The evaluation code in the code repository reads the Drive file with encoding="latin1", so the model inputs in model_outputs/ show non-ASCII punctuation as mojibake (e.g. he¡¯s); the reported results were obtained on that input. For the original text, join raw/polymarket/comments.csv on market_id, comment_id and created_at. All other files are UTF-8 on both hosts.

  • Checksums. croissant.json lists the SHA-256 of every distributed file for this release; the two re-encoded files differ from the Drive copies, everything else is byte-identical.


Four Diagnostic Tasks

StakeBench is organized as a progressive diagnostic suite. All targets are derived from public records without human annotation.

Task Input Prediction Target Notes
G1 Position Detection question, comment Does commenter hold a position? y ∈ {0,1} Acc, F1
G2 Belief Inference question, comment Which side does commenter's position support? z ∈ {YES, NO} + abstention DA, CCA, CSD
G3 Language–Action Consistency question, comment, side, stake What is user's first post-comment position update? a ∈ {flip, increase, decrease, hold} Acc₄, Accf, Accd
G4 Belief–Price Lead Detection window of positioned comments Does aggregate committed signal predict next price direction? d ∈ {UP, DOWN} PLA, ΔPLA, n₊

The four tasks form an increasingly demanding hierarchy: detecting financially committed speech → inferring committed belief → predicting subsequent action → detecting collective price-leading signal.


Repository Structure

StakeBench/
├── README.md                         ← this dataset card
├── LICENSE                           ← CC BY 4.0
├── croissant.json                    ← MLCommons Croissant 1.0 metadata (file list with SHA-256, record sets)
├── data_processing.md                ← full data collection & cleaning documentation
│
├── polymarket/
│   ├── comments_clean.csv            ← primary data: 514,314 comment rows (G1–G2)
│   ├── market_attrs.csv              ← market-level metadata (2,070+ markets)
│   ├── topics_summary.csv            ← event/topic-level aggregates
│   ├── positions_clean.csv           ← G3 position-change records (862,539 rows)
│   └── prices/
│       └── {topic_id}.csv            ← hourly price history per topic (G4), 2,055 files
│
├── manifold/
│   ├── comments_clean.csv            ← primary data: 46,562 comment rows (G1–G2)
│   ├── market_attrs.csv              ← market-level metadata (191 markets)
│   ├── markets_summary.csv           ← market-level aggregates
│   ├── positions_clean.csv           ← G3 position-change records (387,262 rows)
│   └── prices/
│       └── {market_id}.csv           ← probability history per market (G4), 191 files
│
├── raw/                              ← unmodified collection outputs (see raw/README.md)
│   ├── README.md
│   ├── polymarket/
│   │   ├── comments.csv              ← comment crawl output, 514,314 rows, UTF-8
│   │   ├── user_positions.csv        ← activity records, 907,375 rows
│   │   └── valid_topics.jsonl        ← 22,240 candidate events with member markets
│   └── manifold/
│       ├── comments.csv              ← comment crawl output, 119,805 rows / 2,926 markets
│       ├── user_positions.csv        ← bet records, 590,904 rows
│       └── valid_markets.jsonl       ← 6,083 candidate resolved binary markets
│
└── model_outputs/                    ← per-sample outputs of the 15 evaluated models (see model_outputs/README.md)

File Descriptions

Primary Benchmark Files (G1 / G2)

polymarket/comments_clean.csv (353 MB, 514,314 rows)

Each row is a comment on a Polymarket prediction market with the commenter's reconstructed financial position at comment time.

Field Type Description
market_id str Polymarket market ID
slug str URL slug
question str Market question text
condition_id str On-chain EVM condition ID
category_validated str Topic category (see §Topic Structure)
market_start_time ISO8601 Market open time (UTC)
market_end_time ISO8601 Market close/settlement time (UTC)
parent_entity_type_used str API entity type: Event or Series
parent_entity_id_used str Entity ID used for comment API call
comment_id str Comment ID (may repeat for Series-pooled markets)
created_at ISO8601 Comment timestamp (UTC)
text str Comment body (plain text)
pseudonym str Platform display name
user_address str On-chain ETH wallet address (pseudonymous)
proxy_wallet str Polymarket proxy wallet address
position_side str Yes / No / team name at comment time; NaN if no position
position_size float USD net cost (negative = profitable exit; NaN if no position)
position_shares float Net shares held at comment time
reactions JSON str Raw reaction objects array
reaction_count int Total reaction count (−1 = API anomaly; treat as 0)
report_count int Number of reports
parent_comment_id str Parent comment ID (NaN for top-level)
reply_count int Reply count within collection window

Deduplication note: 48.2% of rows share a comment_id with another row (same comment collected under multiple market_id values for Series-pooled markets). For unique-comment analysis, apply df.drop_duplicates(subset='comment_id', keep='first') to obtain the 266,446 unique comments.

G1/G2 instances: 139,848 rows have position_size > 0 (27.2% of all rows). These form the G1 positive class and the G2 evaluation set.

manifold/comments_clean.csv (22 MB, 46,562 rows)

Each row is a comment on a resolved Manifold binary market with position and probability context.

Field Type Description
market_id str Manifold market ID (alphanumeric)
slug str URL slug
question str Market question text
outcome_type str Always BINARY
category str Topic category (see §Topic Structure)
resolution str Ground-truth resolution: YES or NO
comment_id str Unique comment ID
created_at ISO8601 Comment timestamp (UTC)
text str Plain text (extracted from ProseMirror JSON)
pseudonym str Username (publicly visible)
user_address str Manifold user ID
position_side str YES / NO at comment time (80.5% coverage)
position_size float Net Mana M$ invested at comment time
position_shares float Net shares held at comment time
prob_at_comment float Market probability snapshot [0,1] at comment time (87.9% coverage)
reaction_count int Like count
parent_comment_id str Parent comment ID (NaN for top-level)
reply_count int Back-calculated reply count

G3 Position-Change Records

polymarket/positions_clean.csv (862,539 rows) · manifold/positions_clean.csv (387,262 rows)

Timestamped per-trade position records. Used in G3 to derive each commenter's first position update within 48 hours after their comment. Also provides richer position timelines for custom feature engineering.

Polymarket columns: proxy_wallet, timestamp, conditionId, type, side, outcome, outcomeIndex, size, usdcSize, price, transactionHash, title, slug, eventSlug, position_side, position_shares, position_size, yes_cum_shares, no_cum_shares, potential_arbitrage, market_price, position_market_value.

Manifold columns: user_id, username, bet_id, created_at, contract_id, slug, question, outcome, amount, shares, prob_before, prob_after, is_redemption, is_cancelled, is_filled, position_side, position_shares, position_size, yes_cum_shares, no_cum_shares, potential_arbitrage, market_price, position_market_value.


Market Metadata Files

polymarket/market_attrs.csv

Full market metadata from the Gamma API. One row per market. Key fields: market_id, question, description, condition_id, clob_token_ids, start_date, end_date, resolved, resolution, volume, liquidity, category_validated, event_id, event_title, event_comment_count.

manifold/market_attrs.csv

Full Manifold market metadata. One row per market. Key fields: market_id, question, description, resolution, resolution_probability, probability, volume, unique_bettor_count, comment_count, category_validated.


Summary Files

polymarket/topics_summary.csv: event/topic-level aggregates — event_id, series_id, category, comment_count, total_volume, market_count, event_title, representative_question, best_market_id, best_market_volume, end_date, resolution.

manifold/markets_summary.csv: market-level summary statistics for each of the 191 Manifold markets — market_id, slug, category, outcome_type, resolution, close_time, resolution_time, volume, unique_bettors, total_liquidity, last_comment_time, creator_username, question.


Price History (G4)

polymarket/prices/{topic_id}.csv (2,055 files): hourly CLOB Yes-outcome price per Polymarket topic. Columns: market_id, slug, question, category, token_id, outcome, ts (Unix seconds), datetime (UTC), price (0–1).

manifold/prices/{market_id}.csv (191 files): hourly probability history per Manifold market. Columns: market_id, slug, question, category, ts (Unix seconds), datetime (UTC), outcome, price (YES probability, 0–1).


Topic Structure

StakeBench spans 18 topic–platform combinations: 6 Polymarket topics × 2 platforms, with Manifold split into 12 finer categories.

Polymarket (6 topics): crypto, economics, politics_intl, politics_us, tech_other, other

Manifold (12 topics): crypto, culture, economics, meta, politics_intl, politics_us, science, social, sports_other, tech_ai, tech_other, other


Quick Start

Load comments and filter G1/G2 instances

import pandas as pd

# Polymarket (UTF-8 in this release; the Drive copy needs encoding="gb18030")
poly = pd.read_csv("polymarket/comments_clean.csv", low_memory=False)
poly_dedup = poly.drop_duplicates(subset="comment_id", keep="first")  # 266,446 unique

# G1/G2 instances: position_size > 0
g12_poly = poly_dedup[poly_dedup["position_size"] > 0]   # 139,848 rows (27.2%)
g12_mani = pd.read_csv("manifold/comments_clean.csv")
g12_mani = g12_mani[g12_mani["position_size"] > 0]       # 37,430 rows (80.5%)

G2 — Belief Inference

# Binary YES/NO instances for G2
g2_poly = g12_poly[g12_poly["position_side"].isin(["Yes", "No"])]
g2_mani = g12_mani[g12_mani["position_side"].isin(["YES", "NO"])]

G3 — Language–Action Consistency

# Load position-change records, join to comments by user and market
trades_poly = pd.read_csv("polymarket/positions_clean.csv", low_memory=False)
# For each comment in g2_poly, find first trade within 48h after created_at

G4 — Price Lead Detection

import os, pandas as pd

prices = {}
for fname in os.listdir("polymarket/prices"):
    topic_id = fname.replace(".csv", "")
    prices[topic_id] = pd.read_csv(f"polymarket/prices/{fname}")
# Aggregate positioned comments into time windows; compare to price direction

The task instances evaluated in the paper are built from these files by common.py in the code repository (see Benchmark instance filters).


Dataset Statistics

Core Scale

Metric Polymarket Manifold
Comments (cleaned) 514,314 46,562
Unique comments (dedup) 266,446 46,562
Markets 2,070 191
Unique users 24,909 3,250
G1/G2 instances (position_size > 0) 139,848 (27.2%) 37,430 (80.5%)
G3 position-change records 862,539 387,262
G4 price history files 2,055 191

Comment Length (characters)

p10 p25 p50 p75 p90 max
Polymarket ~10 22 44 85 ~160 1,492
Manifold ~18 49 107 230 ~470 9,132

Polymarket Stake-Size Tiers (G1/G2 instances)

Tier Range (USD) Count % of positioned
Retail < $100 52,259 37.4%
Small $100–$500 35,042 25.1%
Medium $500–$1,000 14,162 10.1%
Large $1,000–$5,000 23,865 17.1%
XLarge $5,000–$10,000 6,315 4.5%
Whale $10,000–$50,000 6,732 4.8%
Mega > $50,000 1,473 1.1%

Comments per Market

Metric Polymarket Manifold
Median 70 163
Mean 248.5 243.8
Min (filter threshold) 10 100
Max 25,049 990

Manifold Resolution Distribution

Resolution Comments Share
YES 25,009 53.7%
NO 21,553 46.3%

Data Collection

All data were collected from public APIs requiring no authentication:

Platform Data Endpoint
Polymarket Markets / tags gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets
Polymarket Comments gamma-api.polymarket.com/comments
Polymarket Position activity data-api.polymarket.com/activity
Polymarket Price history clob.polymarket.com/prices-history
Manifold Markets api.manifold.markets/v0/search-markets
Manifold Comments api.manifold.markets/v0/comments
Manifold Bets (positions) api.manifold.markets/v0/bets

Collection funnel:

Stage Polymarket Manifold
Comment-crawl input 2,469 6,083
With collected comments 2,070 2,926
After comment-depth filter 2,070 191

Polymarket keeps markets with ≥ 10 valid comments; Manifold keeps markets with ≥ 100 valid comments (enforcing discussion depth for G3 linkage quality). Collection period: January–March 2026. See data_processing.md for full pipeline documentation.


Raw collection files

raw/ contains the unmodified outputs of the collection scripts for both platforms: the candidate market lists (valid_topics.jsonl, valid_markets.jsonl), the comment crawls (comments.csv) and the per-user position records (user_positions.csv) from which *_clean.csv are derived by collection/clean_comments.py and collection/clean_positions.py in the code repository. raw/README.md lists each file's rows, producer script, columns and the exact cleaning steps.


Benchmark instance filters

comments_clean.csv is the collected corpus after market-level cleaning only (markets with an empty question or fewer than 10 comments removed on Polymarket, fewer than 100 on Manifold). The task instances evaluated in the paper are built from it at run time by common.py in the code repository, with the parameters below (config.py). Comments that fail these filters are retained in the released files so that the tasks can be rebuilt under other thresholds.

Parameter Value Where
Minimum comment length after URL stripping (MIN_TEXT_LEN) 30 characters common.is_quality_text
Alphabetic-character ratio ≥ 0.30 common.is_quality_text
English heuristic (is_english) ≥ 85% ASCII letters and ≥ 3% English function words common.is_english
Non-financial market blacklist wordle / crossword / spelling-bee style puzzle markets common._NONFINANCIAL_BLACKLIST
G3 action window (HOLD_HOURS) 48 h after the comment (6–72 h sensitivity in Appendix C) common.build_task2_pairs
G3 hold band (ACTION_THR) position-size change within ±10% of the pre-comment size = hold common.build_task2_pairs
G4 near-tie filter (TASK3_PRICE_EPS) windows with |Δ odds| ≤ 0.005 removed config.py
G4 window construction (N_WINDOWS_TARGET, MIN_COMMENTS_PER_WINDOW, MIN_WINDOWS_PASS, TASK3_MIN_WINDOW_COMMENTS, TASK3_NEAR50_LOWER/UPPER) 8 / 10 / 2 / 2 / 0.30–0.70 config.py
Consensus baseline (CONSENSUS_STRENGTH_THR, PRICE_EPS) consensus direction only if strength ≥ 0.15; |Δ odds| ≤ 0.01 counted as no move in the consensus statistics config.py
G1 sampling floor (MIN_EXPLICIT_TASK0) ≥ 5 explicit-position comments per class config.py
Instances per topic (N_MARKETS_PER_TOPIC, DEFAULT_TOPIC_CFG, DEFAULT_TOPIC_CFG_POLYMARKET) per-task counts per topic, e.g. Polymarket default 40 / 80 / 30 / 15 for G1–G4 config.py
Decoding greedy, temperature 0, seed 42 config.py

Multilingual headroom

The benchmark is scoped to English. The table reports what the English heuristic removes among quality-passing comments; the removed comments remain in comments_clean.csv. Language identification is heuristic (ASCII-letter ratio and English function-word rate), not a validated language-ID model.

Platform Quality-passing comments Kept as English Removed as non-English Positioned comments removed
Polymarket 326,162 302,941 23,221 (7.1%) 5,293 (5.7% of 93,398)
Manifold 38,420 37,693 727 (1.9%) 512 (1.7% of 30,826)

The removed Polymarket set is dominated by Romanian, Spanish, Portuguese and French threads on political markets. A non-English track would need the quality filter, the explicit-position lexicon and a verified language-identification step rebuilt for the target language.


Model outputs

  • model_outputs/ — per-sample predictions of the 15 evaluated models, prompt audit logs, and the Wrong-Bettor / DiD audit inputs. See model_outputs/README.md.
  • The result files behind Section 5.5 and the appendices added in the camera-ready version (lexical probe, activity-skew stress test, G4 window-level probe and its window pool, multiplicity-corrected Wrong-Bettor audit, verified examples) are not distributed as files; the scripts that regenerate them from model_outputs/ and the benchmark files are in the code repository under analysis/.

Responsible AI Statement

Data Limitations

  • Polymarket G1/G2 position coverage is 27.2%: Many users comment without holding a position. Tasks requiring position labels should account for this imbalance. Use position_size > 0 as the inclusion criterion for G1/G2 (not merely position_side non-null).
  • Polymarket comment deduplication: 48.2% of rows are duplicates across Series-pooled markets. Analyses must deduplicate on comment_id before unique-comment tasks.
  • Temporal non-stationarity: Both platforms show strong temporal spikes (e.g., Polymarket peaks in June 2025 due to Iran/nuclear markets). Models trained without temporal splits may overfit to event clusters.
  • Manifold uses virtual currency: position_size values are in Mana (M$), not comparable to Polymarket USD. Cross-platform financial comparisons require normalization.
  • English language bias: The vast majority of comments are in English. Non-English markets exist but are underrepresented; the English heuristic removes 7.1% of quality-passing Polymarket comments and 1.9% on Manifold (see Multilingual headroom).
  • G3 label coverage on Polymarket: G3 labels exist for 73,893 of the 139,848 positioned Polymarket comments, and for 27,116 of 37,430 on Manifold. A comment whose author has no reconstructed position record cannot receive a G3 label, and a further share of positioned comments is removed by the text-quality filter (see Benchmark instance filters). Whether the unreconstructed Polymarket records differ systematically from the retained ones cannot be tested from the released data.

Data Biases

  • Topic concentration: Polymarket is heavily weighted toward US/global politics. Sports and economics are underrepresented.
  • User concentration: Top users account for a disproportionate share of comments (power-law distribution). Analyses may be dominated by prolific users.
  • Platform self-selection: Prediction market users skew toward financially engaged, English-speaking users with interest in forecasting — not a representative sample of the general population.
  • Commitment-non-commitment selection: Position-holding commenters differ from non-holders on observable dimensions with effect sizes below d = 0.3 (Cohen's d), indicating modest but non-zero selection bias in G2 and G3 evaluation sets.

Sensitive Information

  • On-chain wallet addresses: Polymarket user_address and proxy_wallet are public Ethereum addresses. They are pseudonymous but potentially re-identifiable via on-chain analysis. Researchers should not attempt to de-anonymize users.
  • Display names: Polymarket pseudonym and Manifold pseudonym are platform-assigned or user-chosen display names, publicly visible on the respective platforms.
  • No real names, IP addresses, or private messages are included.
  • The raw files in raw/ contain the same identifier types and no others; see raw/README.md.

Construct Validity

  • position_side as belief proxy: Revealed position side is a behavioral proxy for private belief, not a direct observation. It reflects observable market commitment, not an unobserved mental state.
  • G3 action labels: Derived from net position changes in the trading record within 48 hours. Labels are deterministic reconstructions from public records, not self-reported intentions.
  • Market resolution as ground truth: Manifold resolution (YES/NO) is human-adjudicated per platform resolution policy. It reflects platform rules, not necessarily objective ground truth.

Potential Misuse

  • Deanonymization: Combining user_address with public blockchain data could reveal user identity. This is discouraged and may violate platform terms of service.
  • Automated content generation: The dataset should not be used to train models that generate fake prediction market comments for manipulation purposes.

Synthetic Data

This dataset contains no synthetic data. All comments, positions, and prices are sourced directly from Polymarket and Manifold public APIs.

Provenance

Data collected under Polymarket's Terms of Use and Manifold's Terms of Service, both of which permit non-commercial research use. Collection and cleaning scripts are in the code repository under collection/; their unmodified outputs are in raw/.


Benchmark Results (15 LLMs, 18 topic–platform splits)

Key findings from the StakeBench evaluation (camera-ready version of the paper):

  • G1 Position Detection: 11 of 15 models exceed 0.65 accuracy (best Qwen3-32B, 0.747); model rankings transfer across platforms (ρ = 0.975)
  • G2 Directed Accuracy: 0.506–0.599 across 15 models (closed-source avg. 0.593, finance-domain avg. 0.527)
  • G3 class collapse: 10 of 15 models collapse to one or two action labels; mean hold recall 22.9% although hold is 47.6% of true actions
  • G4: all ΔPLA values are negative (−0.022 to −0.437); no model consistently exceeds the stake-weighted majority baseline
  • Scale: model parameter count is at most weakly associated with any task score across the 3B–32B open-weight range (|ρ| ≤ 0.43)
  • Finance-domain tuning: associated with weaker speaker-level commitment comprehension than comparable general models (mean G3 action accuracy 0.171 vs. 0.271 for closed-source models)

See the paper for full tables and analysis.


License

This dataset is released under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license.

You are free to share and adapt this data for any purpose, including commercial use, provided you give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made.

See LICENSE for the full license text.


Citation

If you use StakeBench in your research, please cite:

@inproceedings{pei2026stakebench,
  title     = {StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment},
  author    = {Pei, Yunhua and Hu, Jingyu and Shi, Yiwei and Ma, Hongnan and Liu, Weiru and Cartlidge, John},
  booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS), Track on Evaluations and Datasets},
  year      = {2026},
  note      = {arXiv:2605.26074}
}

Changelog

  • 1.1.2 (2026-11-04, Hugging Face release): polymarket/comments_clean.csv and polymarket/market_attrs.csv re-encoded from GB18030 to UTF-8 (no other change); croissant.json regenerated with the new checksums; dataset card: corrected the column lists of the price files and of positions_clean.csv, updated the Benchmark Results summary to the camera-ready numbers, added the Hugging Face loading notes. All other files are byte-identical to 1.1.1.
  • 1.1.1 (2026-10-30, Google Drive): croissant.json rebuilt to Croissant 1.0 with per-file checksums and record sets.
  • 1.1 (2026-10-27): de-anonymised metadata; corrected the G3 coverage statement; added Benchmark instance filters, Multilingual headroom, raw/ (unmodified collection outputs) and model_outputs/; added the encoding note for polymarket/comments_clean.csv; corrected the positions_clean.csv row counts (header line had been counted). Data files are byte-identical to 1.0.
  • 1.0 (2026-05): submission version.
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