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"""
Student Performance Prediction - Machine Learning with MongoDB & Python
Complete End-to-End Project Script
Author: B.Tech CSE Student Project
Database: MongoDB (Localhost: 27017)
Library: PyMongo, Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn, Matplotlib
Algorithm: Linear Regression
"""
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from pymongo import MongoClient
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from sklearn.metrics import r2_score, mean_absolute_error, mean_squared_error
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
# ==========================================
# STEP 1: GENERATE REALISTIC DATASET (1,000 RECORDS)
# ==========================================
def generate_dataset(num_records=1000):
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 1: GENERATING 1,000 REALISTIC STUDENT RECORDS")
print("="*50)
# Set seed for reproducibility so outputs remain consistent
np.random.seed(42)
student_ids = [f"STU{1001 + i}" for i in range(num_records)]
# Realistic feature distributions:
# 1. Study Hours: between 1.0 to 10.0 hours daily
study_hours = np.round(np.random.uniform(1.0, 9.5, num_records), 1)
# 2. Attendance Percentage: between 60% and 99%
attendance = np.round(np.random.uniform(60.0, 99.0, num_records), 1)
# 3. Previous Exam Marks: between 40 and 95
previous_marks = np.round(np.random.uniform(40.0, 95.0, num_records), 1)
# 4. Assignments Completed: between 4 and 10
assignments_score = np.random.randint(4, 11, num_records)
# Realistic formula for Final Marks with slight realistic noise:
# Final Marks depends on previous marks (40%), study hours (30%), attendance (20%), assignments (10%)
noise = np.random.normal(0, 2.5, num_records)
final_marks = (
0.45 * previous_marks +
3.5 * study_hours +
0.25 * attendance +
1.5 * assignments_score +
noise
)
# Clip marks between 30 and 100
final_marks = np.round(np.clip(final_marks, 30.0, 100.0), 1)
df = pd.DataFrame({
"student_id": student_ids,
"study_hours": study_hours,
"attendance": attendance,
"previous_marks": previous_marks,
"assignments_score": assignments_score,
"final_marks": final_marks
})
print(f"-> Successfully generated {len(df)} student records.")
return df
# ==========================================
# STEP 2: STORE DATASET IN MONGODB
# ==========================================
def save_to_mongodb(df, db_name="student_performance_db", collection_name="students"):
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 2: CONNECTING TO MONGODB & INSERTING RECORDS")
print("="*50)
# Connect to local MongoDB instance
client = MongoClient("mongodb://localhost:27017/")
db = client[db_name]
collection = db[collection_name]
# Clean up old records if re-running
collection.delete_many({})
print("-> Cleared existing data in collection (if any).")
# Convert DataFrame to dictionary format suitable for MongoDB
records = df.to_dict(orient="records")
# Insert all 1,000 records
result = collection.insert_many(records)
print(f"-> Connected to Database: '{db_name}'")
print(f"-> Connected to Collection: '{collection_name}'")
print(f"-> Successfully inserted {len(result.inserted_ids)} records into MongoDB!")
client.close()
# ==========================================
# STEP 3: FETCH DATASET FROM MONGODB USING PYMONGO
# ==========================================
def fetch_from_mongodb(db_name="student_performance_db", collection_name="students"):
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 3: FETCHING DATA FROM MONGODB USING PYMONGO")
print("="*50)
client = MongoClient("mongodb://localhost:27017/")
db = client[db_name]
collection = db[collection_name]
# Retrieve all documents
cursor = collection.find()
# Convert MongoDB cursor directly to a Pandas DataFrame
df = pd.DataFrame(list(cursor))
print(f"-> Successfully fetched {len(df)} records from MongoDB.")
# Display 5 sample records
print("\n--- 5 Sample Records Retreived from MongoDB ---")
print(df.head(5).to_string(index=False))
client.close()
return df
# ==========================================
# STEP 4: DATA PREPROCESSING
# ==========================================
def preprocess_data(df):
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 4: DATA PREPROCESSING")
print("="*50)
# 1. Drop MongoDB default '_id' and identifier 'student_id'
# These are identifiers, not predictive numerical features
cols_to_drop = [col for col in ['_id', 'student_id'] if col in df.columns]
data = df.drop(columns=cols_to_drop)
print(f"-> Removed non-predictive columns: {cols_to_drop}")
# 2. Check for missing / null values
null_counts = data.isnull().sum()
print("-> Missing values in each column:")
for col, count in null_counts.items():
print(f" - {col}: {count} missing")
# 3. Separate features (X) and target label (y)
# Features (Inputs): study_hours, attendance, previous_marks, assignments_score
# Target (Output to predict): final_marks
X = data.drop(columns=['final_marks'])
y = data['final_marks']
print("\n-> Features (Inputs - X):", list(X.columns))
print("-> Target (Output to Predict - y): final_marks")
# 4. Train-Test Split (80% Training, 20% Testing)
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(
X, y, test_size=0.20, random_state=42
)
print(f"\n-> Total records: {len(data)}")
print(f"-> Training dataset size (80%): {X_train.shape[0]} records")
print(f"-> Testing dataset size (20%): {X_test.shape[0]} records")
return X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, X.columns
# ==========================================
# STEP 5: TRAIN MACHINE LEARNING MODEL
# ==========================================
def train_and_evaluate(X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_names):
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 5: TRAINING MACHINE LEARNING MODEL (LINEAR REGRESSION)")
print("="*50)
# Initialize the Linear Regression model
model = LinearRegression()
# Train (fit) the model on the training data
model.fit(X_train, y_train)
print("-> Model training complete!")
# Display learned weights (coefficients)
print("\n--- Learned Equation Parameters ---")
for feat, coef in zip(feature_names, model.coef_):
print(f" Weight for '{feat}': {coef:.4f}")
print(f" Intercept (Base value): {model.intercept_:.4f}")
# Make predictions on test dataset
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
# ==========================================
# STEP 6: EVALUATION METRICS
# ==========================================
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 6: MODEL EVALUATION METRICS")
print("="*50)
r2 = r2_score(y_test, y_pred)
mae = mean_absolute_error(y_test, y_pred)
mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred)
rmse = np.sqrt(mse)
print(f"1. R-Squared (R2) Score : {r2:.4f} ({r2*100:.2f}% variance explained)")
print(f"2. Mean Absolute Error : {mae:.2f} marks")
print(f"3. Root Mean Sq. Error : {rmse:.2f} marks")
# ==========================================
# STEP 7: ACTUAL VS PREDICTED COMPARISON
# ==========================================
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 7: ACTUAL VS PREDICTED RESULTS (FIRST 10 TEST STUDENTS)")
print("="*50)
comparison_df = pd.DataFrame({
"Actual Marks": y_test.values[:10],
"Predicted Marks": np.round(y_pred[:10], 1),
"Difference (Error)": np.round(np.abs(y_test.values[:10] - y_pred[:10]), 1)
})
print(comparison_df.to_string(index=True))
# ==========================================
# STEP 8: VISUALIZATION
# ==========================================
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 8: SAVING VISUALIZATION PLOT")
print("="*50)
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 5))
# Subplot 1: Actual vs Predicted Scatter Plot
plt.subplot(1, 2, 1)
plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred, color='#2563EB', alpha=0.6, edgecolors='k', s=40)
plt.plot([y_test.min(), y_test.max()], [y_test.min(), y_test.max()], color='#DC2626', linestyle='--', linewidth=2, label='Perfect Fit (y=x)')
plt.title("Actual Marks vs Predicted Marks", fontsize=12, fontweight='bold')
plt.xlabel("Actual Final Marks", fontsize=10)
plt.ylabel("Predicted Final Marks", fontsize=10)
plt.grid(True, linestyle=':', alpha=0.6)
plt.legend()
# Subplot 2: Bar Chart for first 10 students
plt.subplot(1, 2, 2)
indices = np.arange(10)
bar_width = 0.35
plt.bar(indices - bar_width/2, y_test.values[:10], bar_width, label='Actual', color='#3B82F6')
plt.bar(indices + bar_width/2, y_pred[:10], bar_width, label='Predicted', color='#10B981')
plt.title("Comparison for 10 Students", fontsize=12, fontweight='bold')
plt.xlabel("Sample Student Index", fontsize=10)
plt.ylabel("Marks", fontsize=10)
plt.xticks(indices, [f"S{i+1}" for i in indices])
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True, linestyle=':', alpha=0.6)
plt.tight_layout()
plot_file = "actual_vs_predicted.png"
plt.savefig(plot_file, dpi=300)
plt.close()
print(f"-> Plot successfully saved as '{plot_file}'")
# ==========================================
# STEP 9: SAMPLE CUSTOM PREDICTION
# ==========================================
print("\n" + "="*50)
print("STEP 9: TESTING PREDICTION WITH A NEW CUSTOM STUDENT")
print("="*50)
# Example student: study_hours=6.5, attendance=88.0, previous_marks=78.0, assignments_score=9
new_student = pd.DataFrame([{
"study_hours": 6.5,
"attendance": 88.0,
"previous_marks": 78.0,
"assignments_score": 9
}])
predicted_score = model.predict(new_student)[0]
print("Input Features for New Student:")
print(" - Daily Study Hours: 6.5 hrs")
print(" - Attendance: 88.0%")
print(" - Previous Exam Marks: 78.0 / 100")
print(" - Assignments Score: 9 / 10")
print(f"-> Predicted Final Marks: {predicted_score:.1f} / 100")
print("="*50 + "\n")
return model
# ==========================================
# MAIN EXECUTION CONTROLLER
# ==========================================
if __name__ == "__main__":
# 1. Create dataset
raw_df = generate_dataset(num_records=1000)
# Also save to CSV for local inspection
raw_df.to_csv("student_data.csv", index=False)
print("-> Saved backup copy as 'student_data.csv'")
# 2. Store to MongoDB
save_to_mongodb(raw_df)
# 3. Read back from MongoDB
df_from_db = fetch_from_mongodb()
# 4. Preprocess data
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, features = preprocess_data(df_from_db)
# 5. Train & evaluate model
model = train_and_evaluate(X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, features)
print("ALL PROJECT STEPS EXECUTED SUCCESSFULLY!")